Alert archive / Georgia / Red Flag Warnings in 2006
Red Flag Warning 47, NWS Tallahassee, FL
NWS Tallahassee, FL issued this red flag warning at Apr 4, 2006, 4:23 AM EDT for 26 counties in Georgia; 16 counties in Florida. It took effect at Apr 5, 2006, 5:27 AM EDT. It was in force for 24 hr. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.
The area
The counties it named.
The facts
- Issued
- Apr 4, 2006, 4:23 AM EDT (08:23 UTC)
- In effect from
- Apr 5, 2006, 5:27 AM EDT
- Expired
- Apr 6, 2006, 5:09 AM EDT
- In force
- 24 hr
- Issued by
- NWS Tallahassee, FL
All 42 counties
Bay County, FL, Calhoun County, FL, Dixie County, FL, Franklin County, FL, Gadsden County, FL, Gulf County, FL, Holmes County, FL, Jackson County, FL, Jefferson County, FL, Lafayette County, FL, Leon County, FL, Madison County, FL, Taylor County, FL, Wakulla County, FL, Walton County, FL, Washington County, FL, Baker County, GA, Ben Hill County, GA, Berrien County, GA, Brooks County, GA, Calhoun County, GA, Clay County, GA, Colquitt County, GA, Cook County, GA, Decatur County, GA, Dougherty County, GA, Early County, GA, Grady County, GA, Irwin County, GA, Lanier County, GA, Lee County, GA, Lowndes County, GA, Miller County, GA, Mitchell County, GA, Quitman County, GA, Randolph County, GA, Seminole County, GA, Terrell County, GA, Thomas County, GA, Tift County, GA, Turner County, GA, Worth County, GA
The nearest sounding before it
Tallahassee Rgnl, FL (KTLH), launched 00:00Z, 8.4 hours before the alert went out and 61 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 1706 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- -28 J/kg
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 1249 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 40 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- -9 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 11 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- -0.2
- Supercell composite
- -1.2
The text
As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.
000 WWUS82 KTAE 040823 RFWTAE RED FLAG WARNING NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL 423 AM EDT TUE APR 4 2006 ...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT TODAY FROM 11 AM EDT (10 AM CDT) UNTIL 9 PM EDT (8 PM CDT) FOR ALL OF THE EASTERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE AND FLORIDA BIG BEND DUE TO LONG DURATIONS OF LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY BELOW 35 PERCENT... ...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT TODAY FROM NOON EDT UNTIL 8 PM EDT FOR SOUTHWEST AND SOUTH CENTRAL GEORGIA DUE TO LONG DURATIONS OF LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY BELOW 25 PERCENT... ...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT WEDNESDAY FROM 11 AM EDT (10 AM CDT) UNTIL 9 PM EDT (8 PM CDT) FOR ALL OF THE EASTERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE AND FLORIDA BIG BEND DUE TO LONG DURATIONS OF LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY BELOW 35 PERCENT... ...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON AND EARLY EVENING FOR SOUTHWEST AND SOUTH CENTRAL GEORGIA DUE TO POTENTIAL LONG DURATIONS OF LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY BELOW 25 PERCENT... .DISCUSSION...A DRY AIRMASS WILL OVERSPREAD THE REGION TODAY IN THE WAKE OF A COLD FRONT THAT PASSED THROUGH THE REGION EARLY THIS MORNING. THE DRY AIRMASS AND WARM TEMPERATURES WILL CREATE LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITIES FOR NORTH FLORIDA AND SOUTHERN GEORGIA TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY AFTERNOONS. FLZ007-009>019-026>029-034-042000- /O.UPG.KTAE.FW.A.0044.060405T1600Z-060405T2300Z/ /O.NEW.KTAE.FW.W.0047.060405T1500Z-060406T0100Z/ /O.EXT.KTAE.FW.W.0046.060404T1500Z-060405T0100Z/ INLAND WALTON-HOLMES-WASHINGTON-JACKSON-BAY-CALHOUN-GULF-FRANKLIN- GADSDEN-LEON-JEFFERSON-MADISON-LIBERTY-WAKULLA-TAYLOR-LAFAYETTE- DIXIE- 323 AM CDT TUE APR 4 2006 /423 AM EDT TUE APR 4 2006/ ...RED FLAG WARNING NOW IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM EDT /10 AM CDT/ THIS MORNING TO 9 PM EDT /8 PM CDT/ THIS EVENING FOR ALL OF THE EASTERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE AND FLORIDA BIG BEND DUE TO LONG DURATIONS OF LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY BELOW 35 PERCENT... ...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM EDT /10 AM CDT/ TO 9 PM EDT /8 PM CDT/ WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON FOR ALL OF THE EASTERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE AND FLORIDA BIG BEND DUE TO LONG DURATIONS OF LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY BELOW 35 PERCENT... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TALLAHASSEE HAS EXTENDED THE RED FLAG WARNING THAT IS IN EFFECT FOR TODAY UNTIL 9 PM EDT (8 PM EDT). THE FIRE WEATHER WATCH THAT WAS IN EFFECT FOR WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON HAS BEEN UPGRADED TO A RED FLAG WARNING. A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL SHORTLY. A COMBINATION OF LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY...AND WARM TEMPERATURES WILL CREATE FIRE GROWTH POTENTIAL. $$ GAZ120>131-142>148-155>161-042000- /O.UPG.KTAE.FW.A.0043.060404T1600Z-060404T2300Z/ /O.NEW.KTAE.FW.A.0045.060405T1600Z-060406T0000Z/ /O.EXB.KTAE.FW.W.0046.060404T1600Z-060405T0000Z/ QUITMAN-CLAY-RANDOLPH-CALHOUN-TERRELL-DOUGHERTY-LEE-WORTH-TURNER- TIFT-BEN HILL-IRWIN-EARLY-MILLER-BAKER-MITCHELL-COLQUITT-COOK- BERRIEN-SEMINOLE-DECATUR-GRADY-THOMAS-BROOKS-LOWNDES-LANIER- 423 AM EDT TUE APR 4 2006 ...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM NOON TODAY TO 8 PM EDT THIS EVENING FOR SOUTHWEST AND SOUTH CENTRAL GEORGIA DUE TO LONG DURATIONS OF LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY BELOW 25 PERCENT... ...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT FROM WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH WEDNESDAY EVENING FOR SOUTHWEST AND SOUTH CENTRAL GEORGIA DUE TO POTENTIAL LONG DURATIONS OF LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY BELOW 25 PERCENT... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TALLAHASSEE HAS EXTENDED THE RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FOR TODAY UNTIL 8 PM EDT. A FIRE WEATHER WATCH HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON. A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL SHORTLY. A COMBINATION OF LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY AND WARM TEMPERATURES WILL CREATE FIRE GROWTH POTENTIAL. A FIRE WEATHER WATCH MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE FORECAST TO OCCUR. LISTEN FOR LATER FORECASTS AND POSSIBLE RED FLAG WARNINGS. $$ 38-GODSEY
7 follow-up statements
000 WWUS82 KTAE 041927 RFWTAE RED FLAG WARNING NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL 327 PM EDT TUE APR 4 2006 ...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT TODAY UNTIL 9 PM EDT (8 PM CDT) FOR ALL OF THE EASTERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE AND FLORIDA BIG BEND DUE TO LONG DURATIONS OF LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY BELOW 35 PERCENT... ...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT FOR SOUTHWEST AND SOUTH CENTRAL GEORGIA DUE TO LONG DURATIONS OF LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY BELOW 25 PERCENT... ...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT WEDNESDAY FROM 11 AM EDT (10 AM CDT) UNTIL 9 PM EDT (8 PM CDT) FOR ALL OF THE EASTERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE AND FLORIDA BIG BEND DUE TO LONG DURATIONS OF LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY BELOW 35 PERCENT... ...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON AND EARLY EVENING FOR SOUTHWEST AND SOUTH CENTRAL GEORGIA DUE TO POTENTIAL LONG DURATIONS OF LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY BELOW 25 PERCENT... ...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT THURSDAY AFTERNOON AND EARLY EVENING FOR ALL FLORIDA ZONES EXCEPT GULF AND FRANKLIN COUNTIES DUE TO POTENTIAL LONG DURATIONS OF LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY BELOW 35 PERCENT... .DISCUSSION...THE DRY AIRMASS WILL RESIDE OVER THE REGION FOR AT LEAST ONE MORE DAY RESULTING IN RED FLAG CONDITIONS OVER NORTH FLORIDA. DURATIONS OF LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY APPEAR TO BE MARGINAL FOR OUR GEORGIA ZONES WEDNESDAY SO A FIRE WEATHER WATCH REMAINS IN PLACE. THE KEETCH BYRAM DROUGHT INDEX IS NOT HIGH ENOUGH IN ALABAMA TO MEET RED FLAG CRITERIA. ON THURSDAY...THE AIRMASS WILL BECOME A LITTLE MORE MOIST AND LIKELY PREVENT RED FLAG CONDITIONS IN GEORGIA...BUT NOT FOR MOST OF NORTH FLORIDA. FLZ007-009>013-016>019-026>029-034-050100- /O.NEW.KTAE.FW.A.0046.060406T1600Z-060406T2300Z/ /O.CON.KTAE.FW.W.0046.000000T0000Z-060405T0100Z/ /O.CON.KTAE.FW.W.0047.060405T1500Z-060406T0100Z/ INLAND WALTON-HOLMES-WASHINGTON-JACKSON-BAY-CALHOUN-GADSDEN-LEON- JEFFERSON-MADISON-LIBERTY-WAKULLA-TAYLOR-LAFAYETTE-DIXIE- 227 PM CDT TUE APR 4 2006 /327 PM EDT TUE APR 4 2006/ ...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM EDT /8 PM CDT/ THIS EVENING... ...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM EDT /10 AM CDT/ TO 9 PM EDT /8 PM CDT/ WEDNESDAY... ...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT FROM THURSDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH THURSDAY EVENING... A RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM EDT /8 PM CDT/ THIS EVENING. A RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM EDT /10 AM CDT/ TO 9 PM EDT /8 PM CDT/ WEDNESDAY. A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL SHORTLY. A COMBINATION OF LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY...AND WARM TEMPERATURES WILL CREATE FIRE GROWTH POTENTIAL. THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TALLAHASSEE HAS ISSUED A FIRE WEATHER WATCH...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM THURSDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH THURSDAY EVENING. A FIRE WEATHER WATCH MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE FORECAST TO OCCUR. LISTEN FOR LATER FORECASTS AND POSSIBLE RED FLAG WARNINGS. $$ FLZ014-015-050100- /O.CON.KTAE.FW.W.0046.000000T0000Z-060405T0100Z/ /O.CON.KTAE.FW.W.0047.060405T1500Z-060406T0100Z/ GULF-FRANKLIN- 227 PM CDT TUE APR 4 2006 /327 PM EDT TUE APR 4 2006/ ...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM EDT /8 PM CDT/ THIS EVENING... ...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM EDT /10 AM CDT/ TO 9 PM EDT /8 PM CDT/ WEDNESDAY... A RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM EDT /8 PM CDT/ THIS EVENING. A RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM EDT /10 AM CDT/ TO 9 PM EDT /8 PM CDT/ WEDNESDAY. A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL SHORTLY. A COMBINATION OF LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY...AND WARM TEMPERATURES WILL CREATE FIRE GROWTH POTENTIAL. $$ GAZ120>131-142>148-155>161-050000- /O.EXT.KTAE.FW.A.0045.060405T1800Z-060405T2300Z/ /O.CON.KTAE.FW.W.0046.000000T0000Z-060405T0000Z/ QUITMAN-CLAY-RANDOLPH-CALHOUN-TERRELL-DOUGHERTY-LEE-WORTH-TURNER- TIFT-BEN HILL-IRWIN-EARLY-MILLER-BAKER-MITCHELL-COLQUITT-COOK- BERRIEN-SEMINOLE-DECATUR-GRADY-THOMAS-BROOKS-LOWNDES-LANIER- 327 PM EDT TUE APR 4 2006 ...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT THIS EVENING... ...FIRE WEATHER WATCH NOW IN EFFECT FROM WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH WEDNESDAY EVENING... A RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT THIS EVENING. A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL SHORTLY. A COMBINATION OF LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY AND WARM TEMPERATURES WILL CREATE FIRE GROWTH POTENTIAL. THE FIRE WEATHER WATCH IS NOW IN EFFECT FROM WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH WEDNESDAY EVENING. A FIRE WEATHER WATCH MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE FORECAST TO OCCUR. LISTEN FOR LATER FORECASTS AND POSSIBLE RED FLAG WARNINGS. $$ BARRY
000 WWUS82 KTAE 050052 RFWTAE RED FLAG WARNING NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL 852 PM EDT TUE APR 4 2006 ...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT WEDNESDAY FROM 11 AM EDT (10 AM CDT) UNTIL 9 PM EDT (8 PM CDT) FOR ALL OF THE EASTERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE AND FLORIDA BIG BEND DUE TO LONG DURATIONS OF LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY BELOW 35 PERCENT... ...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON AND EARLY EVENING FOR SOUTHWEST AND SOUTH CENTRAL GEORGIA DUE TO POTENTIAL LONG DURATIONS OF LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY BELOW 25 PERCENT... ...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT THURSDAY AFTERNOON AND EARLY EVENING FOR ALL FLORIDA ZONES EXCEPT GULF AND FRANKLIN COUNTIES DUE TO POTENTIAL LONG DURATIONS OF LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY BELOW 35 PERCENT... .DISCUSSION...THE DRY AIRMASS WILL RESIDE OVER THE REGION FOR AT LEAST ONE MORE DAY RESULTING IN RED FLAG CONDITIONS OVER NORTH FLORIDA. DURATIONS OF LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY APPEAR TO BE MARGINAL FOR OUR GEORGIA ZONES WEDNESDAY SO A FIRE WEATHER WATCH REMAINS IN PLACE. THE KEETCH BYRAM DROUGHT INDEX IS NOT HIGH ENOUGH IN ALABAMA TO MEET RED FLAG CRITERIA. ON THURSDAY...THE AIRMASS WILL BECOME A LITTLE MORE MOIST AND LIKELY PREVENT RED FLAG CONDITIONS IN GEORGIA...BUT NOT FOR MOST OF NORTH FLORIDA. FLZ007-009>013-016>019-026>029-034-051230- /O.CAN.KTAE.FW.W.0046.000000T0000Z-060405T0100Z/ /O.CON.KTAE.FW.W.0047.060405T1500Z-060406T0100Z/ /O.CON.KTAE.FW.A.0046.060406T1600Z-060406T2300Z/ INLAND WALTON-HOLMES-WASHINGTON-JACKSON-BAY-CALHOUN-GADSDEN-LEON- JEFFERSON-MADISON-LIBERTY-WAKULLA-TAYLOR-LAFAYETTE-DIXIE- 752 PM CDT TUE APR 4 2006 /852 PM EDT TUE APR 4 2006/ ...RED FLAG WARNING IS CANCELLED... ...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM EDT /10 AM CDT/ TO 9 PM EDT /8 PM CDT/ WEDNESDAY... ...FIRE WEATHER WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM THURSDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH THURSDAY EVENING... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TALLAHASSEE HAS CANCELLED THE RED FLAG WARNING. A RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM EDT /10 AM CDT/ TO 9 PM EDT /8 PM CDT/ WEDNESDAY. A FIRE WEATHER WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM THURSDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH THURSDAY EVENING. A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO OCCUR. LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITIES WILL ENHANCE THE FIRE GROWTH POTENTIAL. A FIRE WEATHER WATCH MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE FORECAST TO OCCUR. LISTEN FOR LATER FORECASTS AND POSSIBLE RED FLAG WARNINGS. $$ FLZ014-015-051230- /O.CAN.KTAE.FW.W.0046.000000T0000Z-060405T0100Z/ /O.CON.KTAE.FW.W.0047.060405T1500Z-060406T0100Z/ GULF-FRANKLIN- 752 PM CDT TUE APR 4 2006 /852 PM EDT TUE APR 4 2006/ ...RED FLAG WARNING IS CANCELLED... ...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM EDT /10 AM CDT/ TO 9 PM EDT /8 PM CDT/ WEDNESDAY... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TALLAHASSEE HAS CANCELLED THE RED FLAG WARNING. A RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM EDT /10 AM CDT/ TO 9 PM EDT /8 PM CDT/ WEDNESDAY. A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO OCCUR. LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITIES WILL ENHANCE THE FIRE GROWTH POTENTIAL. $$ GAZ120>131-142>148-155>161-051230- /O.CON.KTAE.FW.A.0045.060405T1800Z-060405T2300Z/ QUITMAN-CLAY-RANDOLPH-CALHOUN-TERRELL-DOUGHERTY-LEE-WORTH-TURNER- TIFT-BEN HILL-IRWIN-EARLY-MILLER-BAKER-MITCHELL-COLQUITT-COOK- BERRIEN-SEMINOLE-DECATUR-GRADY-THOMAS-BROOKS-LOWNDES-LANIER- 852 PM EDT TUE APR 4 2006 ...FIRE WEATHER WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH WEDNESDAY EVENING... A FIRE WEATHER WATCH MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE FORECAST TO OCCUR. LISTEN FOR LATER FORECASTS AND POSSIBLE RED FLAG WARNINGS. $$ MJ/PS
000 WWUS82 KTAE 050927 RFWTAE RED FLAG WARNING NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL 506 AM EDT WED APR 5 2006 ...A RED FLAG WARNING IS IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 7 PM EDT THIS EVENING FOR SOUTHWEST AND SOUTH-CENTRAL GEORGIA DUE TO LONG DURATIONS OF RELATIVE HUMIDITIES LESS THAN 25 PERCENT... ...A RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM EDT /10 AM CDT/ THIS MORNING TO 9 PM EDT /8 PM CDT/ THIS EVENING FOR THE EASTERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE AND THE FLORIDA BIG BEND DUE TO LONG DURATIONS OF RELATIVE HUMIDITIES LESS THAN 35 PERCENT... ...A FIRE WEATHER WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM THURSDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH THURSDAY EVENING FOR INLAND PORTIONS OF THE EASTERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE AND FLORIDA BIG BEND DUE TO EXPECTED LONG DURATIONS OF RELATIVE HUMIDITIES LESS THAN 35 PERCENT... .DISCUSSION...LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITIES WILL CONTINUE THIS AFTERNOON WITH HIGH PRESSURE OVERHEAD. RED FLAG CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED THROUGHOUT MOST OF SOUTHWEST AND SOUTH-CENTRAL GEORGIA AS WELL AS THE EASTERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE AND FLORIDA BIG BEND. AS THIS HIGH MOVES EAST OF THE AREA TOMORROW MORNING...RELATIVE HUMIDITIES WILL BEGIN TO SLOWLY INCREASE. HOWEVER...RED FLAG CONDITIONS ARE STILL EXPECTED OVER THE INLAND FLORIDA PANHANDLE AND BIG BEND THURSDAY AFTERNOON. GAZ120>131-142>148-155>161-051930- /O.UPG.KTAE.FW.A.0045.060405T1800Z-060405T2300Z/ /O.EXB.KTAE.FW.W.0047.060405T1700Z-060405T2300Z/ QUITMAN-CLAY-RANDOLPH-CALHOUN-TERRELL-DOUGHERTY-LEE-WORTH-TURNER- TIFT-BEN HILL-IRWIN-EARLY-MILLER-BAKER-MITCHELL-COLQUITT-COOK- BERRIEN-SEMINOLE-DECATUR-GRADY-THOMAS-BROOKS-LOWNDES-LANIER- 506 AM EDT WED APR 5 2006 ...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 7 PM EDT THIS EVENING FOR SOUTHWEST AND SOUTH-CENTRAL GEORGIA... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TALLAHASSEE HAS ISSUED A RED FLAG WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 7 PM EDT THIS EVENING. THIS UPGRADES THE FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT FOR THE SAME TIME AND AREA. A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE ANTICIPATED. A COMBINATION OF LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY AND WARM TEMPERATURES WILL ENHANCE FIRE GROWTH POTENTIAL. $$ FLZ007-009>013-016>019-026>029-034-051930- /O.CON.KTAE.FW.W.0047.060405T1500Z-060406T0100Z/ /O.CON.KTAE.FW.A.0046.060406T1600Z-060406T2300Z/ INLAND WALTON-HOLMES-WASHINGTON-JACKSON-BAY-CALHOUN-GADSDEN-LEON- JEFFERSON-MADISON-LIBERTY-WAKULLA-TAYLOR-LAFAYETTE-DIXIE- 406 AM CDT WED APR 5 2006 /506 AM EDT WED APR 5 2006/ ...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM EDT /10 AM CDT/ THIS MORNING TO 9 PM EDT /8 PM CDT/ THIS EVENING FOR THE EASTERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE AND FLORIDA BIG BEND... ...FIRE WEATHER WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM THURSDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH THURSDAY EVENING FOR INLAND PORTIONS OF THE EASTERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE AND FLORIDA BIG BEND... A RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM EDT /10 AM CDT/ THIS MORNING TO 9 PM EDT /8 PM CDT/ THIS EVENING. A FIRE WEATHER WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM THURSDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH THURSDAY EVENING. A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO OCCUR. LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITIES WILL ENHANCE THE FIRE GROWTH POTENTIAL. A FIRE WEATHER WATCH MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE FORECAST TO OCCUR. LISTEN FOR LATER FORECASTS AND POSSIBLE RED FLAG WARNINGS. $$ FLZ014-015-051930- /O.CON.KTAE.FW.W.0047.060405T1500Z-060406T0100Z/ GULF-FRANKLIN- 406 AM CDT WED APR 5 2006 /506 AM EDT WED APR 5 2006/ ...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM EDT /10 AM CDT/ THIS MORNING TO 9 PM EDT /8 PM CDT/ THIS EVENING FOR THE EASTERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE... A RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM EDT /10 AM CDT/ THIS MORNING TO 9 PM EDT /8 PM CDT/ THIS EVENING. A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO OCCUR. LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITIES WILL ENHANCE THE FIRE GROWTH POTENTIAL. $$ MCNATT
000 WWUS82 KTAE 051909 RFWTAE RED FLAG WARNING NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL 309 PM EDT WED APR 5 2006 ...A RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EDT THIS EVENING FOR SOUTHWEST AND SOUTH-CENTRAL GEORGIA DUE TO LONG DURATIONS OF RELATIVE HUMIDITIES LESS THAN 25 PERCENT... ...A RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM EDT (8 PM CDT) THIS EVENING FOR THE EASTERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE AND FLORIDA BIG BEND DUE TO LONG DURATIONS OF RELATIVE HUMIDITIES LESS THAN 35 PERCENT... ...A RED FLAG WARNING IS IN EFFECT FROM THURSDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH THURSDAY EVENING FOR THE EASTERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE AND FLORIDA BIG BEND DUE TO EXPECTED LONG DURATIONS OF RELATIVE HUMIDITIES LESS THAN 35 PERCENT.. ...A FIRE WEATHER WATCH IS IN EFFECT FROM THURSDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH THURSDAY EVENING FOR SOUTHWEST AND SOUTH-CENTRAL GEORGIA DUE TO POSSIBLE LONG DURATIONS OF RELATIVE HUMIDITIES LESS THAN 25 PERCENT... .DISCUSSION...AS THE SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE MOVES EAST OF THE AREA ON THURSDAY WINDS WILL SWING AROUND TO THE SOUTHEAST AND SOUTH ALLOWING LOW LEVEL MOISTURE TO GRADUALLY INCREASE. HOWEVER...RED FLAG CONDITIONS ARE STILL EXPECTED OVER NORTH FLORIDA AND POSSIBLY OUR GEORGIA ZONES. BY FRIDAY...MOISTURE WILL INCREASE ENOUGH THAT RED FLAG CONDITIONS ARE NO LONGER EXPECTED. FLZ007-009>013-016>019-026>029-034-060100- /O.UPG.KTAE.FW.A.0046.060406T1600Z-060406T2300Z/ /O.NEW.KTAE.FW.W.0048.060406T1600Z-060407T0000Z/ /O.CON.KTAE.FW.W.0047.000000T0000Z-060406T0100Z/ INLAND WALTON-HOLMES-WASHINGTON-JACKSON-BAY-CALHOUN-GADSDEN-LEON- JEFFERSON-MADISON-LIBERTY-WAKULLA-TAYLOR-LAFAYETTE-DIXIE- 209 PM CDT WED APR 5 2006 /309 PM EDT WED APR 5 2006/ ...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM EDT /8 PM CDT/ THIS EVENING... ...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 12 PM EDT /11 AM CDT/ TO 8 PM EDT /7 PM CDT/ THURSDAY... A RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM EDT /8 PM CDT/ THIS EVENING. THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TALLAHASSEE HAS ALSO ISSUED A RED FLAG WARNING FROM 12 PM EDT /11 AM CDT UNTIL 8 PM EDT /7 PM CDT/ THURSDAY. THIS WARNING REPLACES THE FIRE WEATHER WATCH. A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL SHORTLY. A COMBINATION OF STRONG WINDS...LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY...AND WARM TEMPERATURES WILL CREATE EXPLOSIVE FIRE GROWTH POTENTIAL. $$ FLZ014-015-060100- /O.NEW.KTAE.FW.W.0048.060406T1600Z-060407T0000Z/ /O.CON.KTAE.FW.W.0047.000000T0000Z-060406T0100Z/ GULF-FRANKLIN- 209 PM CDT WED APR 5 2006 /309 PM EDT WED APR 5 2006/ ...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM EDT /8 PM CDT/ THIS EVENING... ...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 12 PM EDT /11 AM CDT/ TO 8 PM EDT /7 PM CDT/ THURSDAY... A RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM EDT /8 PM CDT/ THIS EVENING. THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TALLAHASSEE HAS ALSO ISSUED A RED FLAG WARNING FROM 12 PM EDT /11 AM CDT/ TO 8 PM EDT /7 PM CDT/ THURSDAY. A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO OCCUR. LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITIES WILL ENHANCE THE FIRE GROWTH POTENTIAL. $$ GAZ120>131-142>148-155>161-052300- /O.NEW.KTAE.FW.A.0047.060406T1800Z-060406T2300Z/ /O.CON.KTAE.FW.W.0047.000000T0000Z-060405T2300Z/ QUITMAN-CLAY-RANDOLPH-CALHOUN-TERRELL-DOUGHERTY-LEE-WORTH-TURNER- TIFT-BEN HILL-IRWIN-EARLY-MILLER-BAKER-MITCHELL-COLQUITT-COOK- BERRIEN-SEMINOLE-DECATUR-GRADY-THOMAS-BROOKS-LOWNDES-LANIER- 309 PM EDT WED APR 5 2006 ...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EDT THIS EVENING... ...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT FROM THURSDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH THURSDAY EVENING... A RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EDT THIS EVENING. A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE ANTICIPATED. A COMBINATION OF LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY AND WARM TEMPERATURES WILL ENHANCE FIRE GROWTH POTENTIAL. THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TALLAHASSEE HAS ISSUED A FIRE WEATHER WATCH...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM THURSDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH THURSDAY EVENING. A FIRE WEATHER WATCH MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE FORECAST TO OCCUR. LISTEN FOR LATER FORECASTS AND POSSIBLE RED FLAG WARNINGS. $$ BARRY
000 WWUS82 KTAE 052307 RFWTAE RED FLAG WARNING NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL 707 PM EDT WED APR 5 2006 ...A RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM EDT (8 PM CDT) THIS EVENING FOR THE EASTERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE AND FLORIDA BIG BEND DUE TO LONG DURATIONS OF RELATIVE HUMIDITIES LESS THAN 35 PERCENT... ...A RED FLAG WARNING IS IN EFFECT FROM THURSDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH THURSDAY EVENING FOR THE EASTERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE AND FLORIDA BIG BEND DUE TO EXPECTED LONG DURATIONS OF RELATIVE HUMIDITIES LESS THAN 35 PERCENT... ...A FIRE WEATHER WATCH IS IN EFFECT FROM THURSDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH THURSDAY EVENING FOR SOUTHWEST AND SOUTH-CENTRAL GEORGIA DUE TO POSSIBLE LONG DURATIONS OF RELATIVE HUMIDITIES LESS THAN 25 PERCENT... .DISCUSSION...AS THE SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE RIDGE MOVES EAST OF THE AREA ON THURSDAY...WINDS WILL SWING AROUND TO THE SOUTH ALLOWING LOW LEVEL MOISTURE TO GRADUALLY INCREASE. HOWEVER...RED FLAG CONDITIONS ARE STILL EXPECTED OVER NORTH FLORIDA AND POSSIBLY OVER SOUTH GEORGIA. BY FRIDAY...MOISTURE WILL INCREASE ENOUGH THAT RED FLAG CONDITIONS WILL NO LONGER BE EXPECTED. GAZ120>131-142>148-155>161-061230- /O.EXP.KTAE.FW.W.0047.000000T0000Z-060405T2300Z/ /O.CON.KTAE.FW.A.0047.060406T1800Z-060406T2300Z/ QUITMAN-CLAY-RANDOLPH-CALHOUN-TERRELL-DOUGHERTY-LEE-WORTH-TURNER- TIFT-BEN HILL-IRWIN-EARLY-MILLER-BAKER-MITCHELL-COLQUITT-COOK- BERRIEN-SEMINOLE-DECATUR-GRADY-THOMAS-BROOKS-LOWNDES-LANIER- 707 PM EDT WED APR 5 2006 ...RED FLAG WARNING HAS EXPIRED... ...FIRE WEATHER WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM THURSDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH THURSDAY EVENING... A FIRE WEATHER WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM THURSDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH THURSDAY EVENING FOR SOUTHWEST AND SOUTH-CENTRAL GEORGIA. A FIRE WEATHER WATCH MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE FORECAST TO OCCUR. LISTEN FOR LATER FORECASTS AND POSSIBLE RED FLAG WARNINGS. $$ FLZ007-009>019-026>029-034-060100- /O.CON.KTAE.FW.W.0047.000000T0000Z-060406T0100Z/ /O.CON.KTAE.FW.W.0048.060406T1600Z-060407T0000Z/ INLAND WALTON-HOLMES-WASHINGTON-JACKSON-BAY-CALHOUN-GULF-FRANKLIN- GADSDEN-LEON-JEFFERSON-MADISON-LIBERTY-WAKULLA-TAYLOR-LAFAYETTE- DIXIE- 607 PM CDT WED APR 5 2006 /707 PM EDT WED APR 5 2006/ ...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM EDT /8 PM CDT/ THIS EVENING... ...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 12 PM EDT /11 AM CDT/ TO 8 PM EDT /7 PM CDT/ THURSDAY... A RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM EDT /8 PM CDT/ THIS EVENING. A RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 12 PM EDT /11 AM CDT/ TO 8 PM EDT /7 PM CDT/ THURSDAY. A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO OCCUR. LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITIES WILL ENHANCE THE FIRE GROWTH POTENTIAL. $$ JAMSKI
000 WWUS82 KTAE 060107 RFWTAE RED FLAG WARNING NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL 907 PM EDT WED APR 5 2006 ...A RED FLAG WARNING IS IN EFFECT FROM THURSDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH THURSDAY EVENING FOR THE EASTERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE AND FLORIDA BIG BEND DUE TO EXPECTED LONG DURATIONS OF RELATIVE HUMIDITIES LESS THAN 35 PERCENT... ...A FIRE WEATHER WATCH IS IN EFFECT FROM THURSDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH THURSDAY EVENING FOR SOUTHWEST AND SOUTH-CENTRAL GEORGIA DUE TO POSSIBLE LONG DURATIONS OF RELATIVE HUMIDITIES LESS THAN 25 PERCENT... .DISCUSSION...AS THE SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE RIDGE MOVES EAST OF THE AREA ON THURSDAY...WINDS WILL SWING AROUND TO THE SOUTH ALLOWING LOW LEVEL MOISTURE TO GRADUALLY INCREASE. HOWEVER...RED FLAG CONDITIONS ARE STILL EXPECTED OVER NORTH FLORIDA AND POSSIBLY OVER SOUTH GEORGIA. BY FRIDAY...MOISTURE WILL INCREASE ENOUGH THAT RED FLAG CONDITIONS WILL NO LONGER BE EXPECTED. FLZ007-009>019-026>029-034-061230- /O.EXP.KTAE.FW.W.0047.000000T0000Z-060406T0100Z/ /O.CON.KTAE.FW.W.0048.060406T1600Z-060407T0000Z/ INLAND WALTON-HOLMES-WASHINGTON-JACKSON-BAY-CALHOUN-GULF-FRANKLIN- GADSDEN-LEON-JEFFERSON-MADISON-LIBERTY-WAKULLA-TAYLOR-LAFAYETTE- DIXIE- 807 PM CDT WED APR 5 2006 /907 PM EDT WED APR 5 2006/ ...RED FLAG WARNING HAS EXPIRED... ...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 12 PM EDT /11 AM CDT/ TO 8 PM EDT /7 PM CDT/ THURSDAY... A RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 12 PM EDT /11 AM CDT/ TO 8 PM EDT /7 PM CDT/ THURSDAY FOR THE FLORIDA BIG BEND AND EASTERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE. A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO OCCUR. LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITIES WILL ENHANCE THE FIRE GROWTH POTENTIAL. $$ GAZ120>131-142>148-155>161-061230- /O.CON.KTAE.FW.A.0047.060406T1800Z-060406T2300Z/ QUITMAN-CLAY-RANDOLPH-CALHOUN-TERRELL-DOUGHERTY-LEE-WORTH-TURNER- TIFT-BEN HILL-IRWIN-EARLY-MILLER-BAKER-MITCHELL-COLQUITT-COOK- BERRIEN-SEMINOLE-DECATUR-GRADY-THOMAS-BROOKS-LOWNDES-LANIER- 907 PM EDT WED APR 5 2006 ...FIRE WEATHER WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM THURSDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH THURSDAY EVENING... A FIRE WEATHER WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM THURSDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH THURSDAY EVENING FOR SOUTHWEST AND SOUTH-CENTRAL GEORGIA. A FIRE WEATHER WATCH MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE FORECAST TO OCCUR. LISTEN FOR LATER FORECASTS AND POSSIBLE RED FLAG WARNINGS. $$ JAMSKI
000 WWUS82 KTAE 060909 RFWTAE RED FLAG WARNING NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL 451 AM EDT THU APR 6 2006 ...A RED FLAG WARNING IS IN EFFECT TODAY FROM 2 PM EDT UNTIL 7 PM EDT FOR SOUTHWEST AND SOUTH-CENTRAL GEORGIA DUE TO LONG DURATIONS OF RELATIVE HUMIDITY LESS THAN 25 PERCENT... ...A RED FLAG WARNING IS IN EFFECT TODAY FROM 11 AM EDT (10 AM CDT) UNTIL 9 PM EDT (8 PM CDT) FOR THE EASTERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE AND FLORIDA BIG BEND DUE TO LONG DURATIONS OF RELATIVE HUMIDITY LESS THAN 35 PERCENT... .DISCUSSION...RED FLAG CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED AGAIN TODAY OVER THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE AND BIG BEND AS WELL AS SOUTHWEST AND SOUTH- CENTRAL GEORGIA WITH DRY AIR IN PLACE. HIGH PRESSURE WILL BE MOVING TOWARDS THE EAST COAST TODAY HOWEVER AND SOUTHERLY WINDS WILL START INCREASING MOISTURE THROUGHOUT THE AREA. RED FLAG CONDITIONS ARE NOT ANTICIPATED FRIDAY OR SATURDAY AS A FRONTAL SYSTEM APPROACHES. GAZ120>131-142>148-155>161-061930- /O.UPG.KTAE.FW.A.0047.060406T1800Z-060406T2300Z/ /O.EXB.KTAE.FW.W.0048.060406T1800Z-060406T2300Z/ QUITMAN-CLAY-RANDOLPH-CALHOUN-TERRELL-DOUGHERTY-LEE-WORTH-TURNER- TIFT-BEN HILL-IRWIN-EARLY-MILLER-BAKER-MITCHELL-COLQUITT-COOK- BERRIEN-SEMINOLE-DECATUR-GRADY-THOMAS-BROOKS-LOWNDES-LANIER- 451 AM EDT THU APR 6 2006 ...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 2 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 7 PM EDT THIS EVENING FOR SOUTHWEST AND SOUTH-CENTRAL GEORGIA DUE TO LONG DURATIONS OF RELATIVE HUMIDITY LESS THAN 25 PERCENT... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TALLAHASSEE HAS ISSUED A RED FLAG WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 2 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 7 PM EDT THIS EVENING. THIS UPGRADES THE FIRE WEATHER WATCH WHICH WAS PREVIOUSLY IN EFFECT. A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO OCCUR. LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITIES WILL ENHANCE FIRE GROWTH POTENTIAL. $$ FLZ007-009>019-026>029-034-061930- /O.EXT.KTAE.FW.W.0048.060406T1500Z-060407T0100Z/ INLAND WALTON-HOLMES-WASHINGTON-JACKSON-BAY-CALHOUN-GULF-FRANKLIN- GADSDEN-LEON-JEFFERSON-MADISON-LIBERTY-WAKULLA-TAYLOR-LAFAYETTE- DIXIE- 351 AM CDT THU APR 6 2006 /451 AM EDT THU APR 6 2006/ ...RED FLAG WARNING NOW IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM EDT /10 AM CDT/ THIS MORNING TO 9 PM EDT /8 PM CDT/ THIS EVENING FOR THE EASTERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE AND FLORIDA BIG BEND DUE TO LONG DURATIONS OF RELATIVE HUMIDITY LESS THAN 35 PERCENT... THE RED FLAG WARNING IS IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM EDT /10 AM CDT/ THIS MORNING TO 9 PM EDT /8 PM CDT/ THIS EVENING. A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO OCCUR. LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITIES WILL ENHANCE THE FIRE GROWTH POTENTIAL. $$ MCNATT
What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before this red flag warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Tallahassee, FL wrote its last area forecast discussion before this red flag warning went out at Apr 4, 3:10 AM EDT, 1 hour 13 minutes earlier.
Area forecast discussion, Apr 4, 3:10 AM EDT, 1 hour 13 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL
310 AM EDT TUE APR 4 2006
.SYNOPSIS...
THE LARGE SCALE VAPOR LOOP AND UPPER AIR OBSERVATIONS SHOW A DEEP
TROUGH ABOUT TO MOVE ASHORE THE WESTERN U.S. COAST...RIDGING OVER
THE CENTRAL U.S....AND TROUGHING OVER THE EAST. THE 03 UTC SURFACE
ANALYSIS SHOWS A COLD FRONT FROM TIFTON GEORGIA...THROUGH PANAMA
CITY FLORIDA...AND EXTENDING WESTWARD ALONG THE GULF COAST. THERE
WAS NO RAIN DETECTED ON ANY OF OUR LOCAL RADARS.
&&
.SHORT TERM...
(TODAY-THURSDAY) THE DRY COLD FRONT WILL MOVE SOUTH OF OUR AREA
BY DAYBREAK...AND FAIR AND MILD WEATHER IS EXPECTED FOR THE SHORT
TERM PERIOD AS OUR AREA REMAINS UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF A DRY
AIR MASS AND SUBSIDING NORTHWEST FLOW ALOFT. WE USED A BLEND OF
THE TIGHTLY CLUSTERED MOS...FORECASTING DAILY HIGH TEMPERATURES NEAR
AVERAGE AND LOW TEMPERATURES A LITTLE BELOW AVERAGE.
.LONG TERM...
(FRIDAY-TUESDAY) THE NEXT CHANCE OF RAIN WILL BE ON SATURDAY AS A
WEAK COLD FRONT MOVES THROUGH THE AREA. BASED ON RECENT FRONTAL
PASSAGES AND THE TIME OF YEAR (APRIL IS ONE OF OUR DRIEST MONTHS ON
AVERAGE) WE UNDERCUT THE ALREADY-LOW MOS POP SLIGHTLY. THE 00 UTC GFS
THEN STALLS THE FRONT JUST SOUTH OF OUR AREA AND DEVELOPS A FRONTAL
WAVE...KEEPING SLIGHT CHANCE POPS AND NEAR-AVERAGE TEMPERATURES
THROUGH THE PERIOD. THE 12 UTC ECMWF SHOWS A CLEAN FRONTAL PASSAGE
FOLLOWED BY A DRIER AIRMASS. THIS SOLUTION MATCHES BETTER WITH THE
WEATHER PATTERN WE HAVE BEEN IN THE PAST SEVERAL DAYS SO WE UNDERCUT
THE MOS POP LATE IN THE PERIOD AS WELL.
&&
.MARINE...
WINDS AND SEAS WILL BRIEFLY PICK UP THIS MORNING BEHIND THE FRONT...
BUT SHOULD REMAIN BELOW ADVISORY LEVELS. WINDS AND SEAS WILL DIMINISH
OVERNIGHT...AND REMAIN RATHER LOW THROUGH MUCH OF THE WEEK.
&&
.FIRE WEATHER...
PROBABLY THE MOST CHALLENGING PART OF THE SHORT TERM PERIOD FORECAST
WILL BE THE FIRE WEATHER. WE RELIED MOSTLY ON THE GFS MOS FOR
DEWPOINTS SINCE IT WAS THE DRIEST OF THE GUIDANCE...AND MOS IS
OFTEN TOO MOIST IN ITS SURFACE DEWPOINT FORECAST THIS TIME OF YEAR.
TODAY WILL BE DRY ENOUGH TO WARRANT RED FLAG WARNINGS FOR OUR GEORGIA
AND FLORIDA ZONES. ALTHOUGH THE WINDS WILL BE ONSHORE BY WEDNESDAY
AFTERNOON...THE VERTICAL MIXING (AND DRYING) WILL LIKELY OVERWHELM
ANY SHALLOW MOISTURE ADVECTION THAT OCCURS. THUS RED FLAG WARNING
CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED ACROSS OUR FLORIDA ZONES WEDNESDAY
AFTERNOON AS WELL. IT IS LESS CERTAIN IN GEORGIA SO WE ISSUED A
WATCH INSTEAD.
&&
.AVIATION...COLD FRONT MOVING THROUGH SOUTHERN PORTIONS OF THE
COUNTY WARNING AREA AT THIS TIME. FRONT IS A LITTLE SLOW TO GET PAST
TLH TERMINAL. THIS DELAY HAS CAUSED SOME LOW STRATUS (IFR
CONDITIONS) TO DEVELOP IN THE STILL WARM MOIST AIRMASS AHEAD OF THE
FRONT. AT TAF ISSUANCE...ALL TERMINALS XCPT TLH WILL BE VFR
WITH NO RESTRICTIONS OVERNIGHT. TLH WILL HAVE IFR TIL AROUND
09Z WHEN THE FRONT SHOULD FINALLY PASS THESE LOCATIONS AND WINDS
SWING AROUND TO NORTHWESTERLY. FOR THE DAYLIGHT HOURS...VFR
CONDITIONS PREVAIL EVERYWHERE. WILL SEE SOME HIGH CLOUDS...MAINLY
ABOVE 20KFT ALL TERMS UNTIL SUNSET WHEN CLEAR SKIES WILL PREVAIL
THROUGH THE NIGHT.
&&
.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
TALLAHASSEE 80 44 79 46 / 0 0 0 0
PANAMA CITY 77 54 76 59 / 0 0 0 0
DOTHAN 76 48 78 52 / 0 0 0 0
ALBANY 75 47 77 50 / 0 0 0 0
VALDOSTA 78 46 78 47 / 0 0 0 0
CROSS CITY 80 46 78 48 / 0 0 0 0
&&
.TAE WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AL...NONE.
GA...RED FLAG WARNING ALL ZONES TODAY NOON UNTIL 8 PM EDT.
FIRE WEATHER WATCH ALL ZONES WEDNESDAY NOON UNTIL 8 PM EDT.
FL...RED FLAG WARNING ALL ZONES TODAY 11 AM UNTIL 9 PM EDT.
RED FLAG WARNING ALL ZONES WEDNESDAY 11 AM UNTIL 9 PM EDT.
&&
AVIATION...GODSEY
REST OF DISCUSSION...FOURNIERHazardous weather outlook, Apr 3, 5:53 AM EDT, 22 hours 30 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL 553 AM EDT MON APR 3 2006 ALZ065>069-FLZ007>019-026>029-034-GAZ120>131-142>148-155>161-GMZ750- 755-770-775-031015- BAKER GA-BAY FL-BEN HILL GA-BERRIEN GA-BROOKS GA-CALHOUN GA- CALHOUN FL-CLAY GA-COASTAL WALTON FL-COFFEE AL-COLQUITT GA-COOK GA- DALE AL-DECATUR GA-DIXIE FL-DOUGHERTY GA-EARLY GA-FRANKLIN FL- GADSDEN FL-GENEVA AL-GRADY GA-GULF FL-HENRY AL-HOLMES FL-HOUSTON AL- INLAND WALTON FL-IRWIN GA-JACKSON FL-JEFFERSON FL-LAFAYETTE FL- LANIER GA-LEE GA-LEON FL-LIBERTY FL-LOWNDES GA-MADISON FL-MILLER GA- MITCHELL GA-QUITMAN GA-RANDOLPH GA-SEMINOLE GA-TAYLOR FL-TERRELL GA- THOMAS GA-TIFT GA-TURNER GA-WAKULLA FL-WASHINGTON FL-WORTH GA- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ABBEVILLE...ADEL...ALBANY...APALACHICOLA... ASHBURN...BAINBRIDGE...BLAKELY...BLOUNTSTOWN...BONIFAY...CAIRO... CALLAWAY...CAMILLA...CARRABELLE...CHIPLEY...COLQUITT...COTTONWOOD... CRAWFORDVILLE...CROSS CITY...CUTHBERT...DALEVILLE...DAWSON... DE FUNIAK SPRINGS...DONALSONVILLE...DOWNTOWN DOTHAN...ELBA... ENTERPRISE...FITZGERALD...FORT GAINES...FORT RUCKER...GENEVA... GEORGETOWN...HEADLAND...LAKELAND...LEESBURG...MADISON...MARIANNA... MAYO...MONTICELLO...MORGAN...MOULTRIE...NASHVILLE...NEWTON... OCILLA...OZARK...PANAMA CITY...PANAMA CITY BEACH...PELHAM...PERRY... PORT ST. JOE...PUTNEY...QUITMAN...SANTA ROSA BEACH...ST. MARKS... STEINHATCHEE...SYLVESTER...TALLAHASSEE...THOMASVILLE...TIFTON... VALDOSTA AND VERNON 553 AM EDT MON APR 3 2006 THIS OUTLOOK IS FOR SOUTHEAST ALABAMA...SOUTHWEST AND SOUTH CENTRAL GEORGIA...THE FLORIDA BIG BEND AND EASTERN PANHANDLE...AND THE ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS. .DAY ONE... THERE IS A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS TODAY...MAINLY IN SOUTHWEST AND SOUTH CENTRAL GEORGIA AND SOUTHEAST ALABAMA. A COLD FRONT IS APPROACHING FROM THE NORTHWEST AND SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS HAVE DEVELOPED AHEAD OF THIS FRONT. SOME OF THESE STORMS HAVE BEEN SEVERE IN CENTRAL ALABAMA EARLY THIS MORNING. THIS FRONT WILL BE WEAKENING AS IT NEARS THE REGION LATER THIS AFTERNOON...WHICH IS WHY THE RAIN CHANCES ARE LOW. HOWEVER...IF A FEW OF THESE STORMS DO MAKE IT INTO THIS AREA THEY COULD BE STRONG WITH GUSTY WINDS AND POSSIBLE SMALL HAIL. THERE IS ALSO A MODERATE RISK OF RIP CURRENTS TODAY ALONG THE EAST FLORIDA PANHANDLE COAST. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN... RAIN CHANCES WILL DIMINISH OVERNIGHT AS THE COLD FRONT MOVES THROUGH...BRINGING COOLER DRIER AIR AND FAIR WEATHER TO THE REGION. FREEZING TEMPERATURES ARE NOT EXPECTED BEHIND THIS COLD FRONT. FAIR WEATHER IS EXPECTED FOR THE REMAINDER OF THE WORK WEEK. .SPOTTER CALL TO ACTION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED...BUT SPOTTERS IN SOUTHEAST ALABAMA AND SOUTHWEST AND SOUTH CENTRAL GEORGIA SHOULD BE ALERT IN CASE STORMS DEVELOP IN THIS AREA. FOR ADDITIONAL WEATHER INFORMATION...VISIT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TALLAHASSEE VIA OUR WEB SITE AT WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/TLH/ OR LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO...LOCAL TELEVISION OR RADIO STATIONS. FOURNIER
The office that day
Everything else NWS Tallahassee, FL issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 4, 4:23 AM EDT | Fire Weather Watch | TAE | Baker, Ben Hill, Berrien, Brooks, Calhoun, Clay and 20 more | 25 hr |
| Apr 4, 3:27 PM EDT | Fire Weather Watch | TAE | Bay, Calhoun, Dixie, Gadsden, Holmes, Jackson and 8 more | 24 hr |
Nearby
Red Flag Warnings in Georgia, 2006Red Flag Warnings in Florida, 2006Every red flag warning in 2006
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive.