Alert archive / Georgia / Red Flag Warnings in 2006

Red Flag Warning 46, NWS Tallahassee, FL

April 3, 200626 counties in Georgia; 16 counties in Florida

NWS Tallahassee, FL issued this red flag warning at Apr 3, 2006, 2:30 PM EDT for 26 counties in Georgia; 16 counties in Florida. It took effect at Apr 4, 2006, 4:23 AM EDT. It was in force for 16 hr. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued
Apr 3, 2006, 2:30 PM EDT (18:30 UTC)
In effect from
Apr 4, 2006, 4:23 AM EDT
Expired
Apr 4, 2006, 8:52 PM EDT
In force
16 hr
Issued by
NWS Tallahassee, FL
All 42 counties

Bay County, FL, Calhoun County, FL, Dixie County, FL, Franklin County, FL, Gadsden County, FL, Gulf County, FL, Holmes County, FL, Jackson County, FL, Jefferson County, FL, Lafayette County, FL, Leon County, FL, Madison County, FL, Taylor County, FL, Wakulla County, FL, Walton County, FL, Washington County, FL, Baker County, GA, Ben Hill County, GA, Berrien County, GA, Brooks County, GA, Calhoun County, GA, Clay County, GA, Colquitt County, GA, Cook County, GA, Decatur County, GA, Dougherty County, GA, Early County, GA, Grady County, GA, Irwin County, GA, Lanier County, GA, Lee County, GA, Lowndes County, GA, Miller County, GA, Mitchell County, GA, Quitman County, GA, Randolph County, GA, Seminole County, GA, Terrell County, GA, Thomas County, GA, Tift County, GA, Turner County, GA, Worth County, GA

The radar

The Tallahassee radar (KTLH), 61 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 18:27 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The nearest sounding before it

Tallahassee Rgnl, FL (KTLH), launched 12:00Z, 6.5 hours before the alert went out and 61 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Tallahassee Rgnl, FL at 12:00Z on 2006-04-03Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 226 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Tallahassee Rgnl, FL at 12:00Z on 2006-04-03The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 52 square meters per square second.193958Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
226 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-526 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
1118 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
21 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
52 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
39 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

000 
WWUS82 KTAE 031830
RFWTAE

RED FLAG WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL
230 PM EDT MON APR 3 2006

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM EDT /10 AM CDT/ TO 8 PM EDT 
/7 PM CDT/ TUESDAY FOR THE FLORIDA BIG BEND AND EASTERN PANHANDLE...

...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT FOR TUESDAY AFTERNOON FOR
SOUTHWEST AND SOUTH CENTRAL GEORGIA FOR POTENTIAL LONG DURATIONS
OF LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY BELOW 25 PERCENT...

...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT FOR WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON FOR THE
FLORIDA BIG BEND AND EASTERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE FOR POTENTIAL LONG
DURATIONS OF LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY BELOW 35 PERCENT...

.DISCUSSION...A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE THROUGH THE FORECAST AREA
TOWARDS MIDNIGHT TONIGHT IN SOUTHEAST ALABAMA AND THEN EXIT THE
SOUTHEAST BIG BEND AROUND SUNRISE. THIS FRONT WILL BRING OFFSHORE
FLOW AND A SLIGHTLY COOLER BUT MUCH DRIER AIRMASS TO THE REGION
BEGINNING OVERNIGHT CREATING THREE DAYS WITH CRITICALLY LOW
RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES. ANOTHER COLD FRONT WILL APPROACH ON
FRIDAY. WITH SOUTHERLY FLOW AHEAD OF THE FRONT...MOISTURE LEVELS
SHOULD INCREASE ENOUGH TO PUT AN END TO ANY FIRE WEATHER CONCERNS.

FLZ007-009>019-026>029-034-040230-
/O.UPG.KTAE.FW.A.0042.060404T1700Z-060405T0000Z/
/O.NEW.KTAE.FW.W.0046.060404T1500Z-060405T0000Z/
/O.NEW.KTAE.FW.A.0044.060405T1600Z-060405T2300Z/
INLAND WALTON-HOLMES-WASHINGTON-JACKSON-BAY-CALHOUN-GULF-FRANKLIN-
GADSDEN-LEON-JEFFERSON-MADISON-LIBERTY-WAKULLA-TAYLOR-LAFAYETTE-
DIXIE-
130 PM CDT MON APR 3 2006 /230 PM EDT MON APR 3 2006/

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM EDT /10 AM CDT/ TO 8 PM
EDT /7 PM CDT/ TUESDAY...
...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT FROM WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH
WEDNESDAY EVENING...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TALLAHASSEE HAS ISSUED A RED FLAG
WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM EDT /10 AM CDT/ TO 8 PM
EDT /7 PM CDT/ TUESDAY. A FIRE WEATHER WATCH HAS ALSO BEEN
ISSUED. THIS FIRE WEATHER WATCH IS IN EFFECT FROM WEDNESDAY
AFTERNOON THROUGH WEDNESDAY EVENING. THE FIRE WEATHER WATCH IS NO
LONGER IN EFFECT. 

A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL SHORTLY. A COMBINATION OF
STRONG WINDS...LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY...AND WARM TEMPERATURES WILL
CREATE EXPLOSIVE FIRE GROWTH POTENTIAL.

A FIRE WEATHER WATCH MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS 
 ARE FORECAST TO OCCUR. LISTEN FOR LATER FORECASTS AND POSSIBLE
RED FLAG WARNINGS.

$$

GAZ120>131-142>148-155>161-040230-
/O.NEW.KTAE.FW.A.0043.060404T1600Z-060404T2300Z/
QUITMAN-CLAY-RANDOLPH-CALHOUN-TERRELL-DOUGHERTY-LEE-WORTH-TURNER-
TIFT-BEN HILL-IRWIN-EARLY-MILLER-BAKER-MITCHELL-COLQUITT-COOK-
BERRIEN-SEMINOLE-DECATUR-GRADY-THOMAS-BROOKS-LOWNDES-LANIER-
230 PM EDT MON APR 3 2006

...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT FROM TUESDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH
TUESDAY EVENING...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TALLAHASSEE HAS ISSUED A FIRE
WEATHER WATCH...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM TUESDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH
TUESDAY EVENING. 

A FIRE WEATHER WATCH MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS 
 ARE FORECAST TO OCCUR. LISTEN FOR LATER FORECASTS AND POSSIBLE
RED FLAG WARNINGS.

$$

BLOCK
6 follow-up statements
000 
WWUS82 KTAE 040228
RFWTAE

RED FLAG WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL
1028 PM EDT MON APR 3 2006

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM EDT /10 AM CDT/ TO 8 PM
EDT /7 PM CDT/ TUESDAY FOR THE FLORIDA BIG BEND AND EASTERN
PANHANDLE DUE TO LONG DURATIONS OF RELATIVE HUMIDITY BELOW 35 PERCENT...

...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT FOR TUESDAY AFTERNOON FOR SOUTHWEST
AND SOUTH CENTRAL GEORGIA FOR POTENTIAL LONG DURATIONS OF RELATIVE
HUMIDITY BELOW 25 PERCENT...

...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT FOR WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON FOR THE
FLORIDA BIG BEND AND EASTERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE FOR POTENTIAL LONG
DURATIONS OF RELATIVE HUMIDITY BELOW 35 PERCENT...

.DISCUSSION...A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE THROUGH THE FORECAST AREA
LATE TONIGHT AND EARLY TUESDAY MORNING. THIS FRONT WILL SHIFT WINDS
TO OFFSHORE...USHERING A SLIGHTLY COOLER BUT MUCH DRIER AIRMASS
TO THE REGION. ANOTHER COLD FRONT WILL APPROACH LATE IN THE WEEK.
WITH SOUTHERLY FLOW AHEAD OF THE FRONT...MOISTURE LEVELS SHOULD
INCREASE ENOUGH TO PUT AN END TO ANY FIRE WEATHER CONCERNS.

FLZ007-009>019-026>029-034-041230-
/O.CON.KTAE.FW.W.0046.060404T1500Z-060405T0000Z/
/O.CON.KTAE.FW.A.0044.060405T1600Z-060405T2300Z/
INLAND WALTON-HOLMES-WASHINGTON-JACKSON-BAY-CALHOUN-GULF-FRANKLIN-
GADSDEN-LEON-JEFFERSON-MADISON-LIBERTY-WAKULLA-TAYLOR-LAFAYETTE-
DIXIE-
928 PM CDT MON APR 3 2006 /1028 PM EDT MON APR 3 2006/

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM EDT /10 AM CDT/
TO 8 PM EDT /7 PM CDT/ TUESDAY...
...FIRE WEATHER WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON
THROUGH WEDNESDAY EVENING...

A RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM LATE MORNING THROUGH
EARLY EVENING TUESDAY. A FIRE WEATHER WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT
FROM WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH WEDNESDAY EVENING.

A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE EXPECTED TO OCCUR. A COMBINATION OF STRONG WINDS...LOW
RELATIVE HUMIDITY...AND WARM TEMPERATURES WILL CREATE EXPLOSIVE
FIRE GROWTH POTENTIAL.

A FIRE WEATHER WATCH MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS 
ARE FORECAST TO OCCUR. LISTEN FOR LATER FORECASTS AND POSSIBLE
RED FLAG WARNINGS.

$$

GAZ120>131-142>148-155>161-041230-
/O.CON.KTAE.FW.A.0043.060404T1600Z-060404T2300Z/
QUITMAN-CLAY-RANDOLPH-CALHOUN-TERRELL-DOUGHERTY-LEE-WORTH-TURNER-
TIFT-BEN HILL-IRWIN-EARLY-MILLER-BAKER-MITCHELL-COLQUITT-COOK-
BERRIEN-SEMINOLE-DECATUR-GRADY-THOMAS-BROOKS-LOWNDES-LANIER-
1028 PM EDT MON APR 3 2006

...FIRE WEATHER WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM TUESDAY AFTERNOON
THROUGH TUESDAY EVENING...

A FIRE WEATHER WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM TUESDAY AFTERNOON
THROUGH TUESDAY EVENING. 

A FIRE WEATHER WATCH MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS 
ARE FORECAST TO OCCUR. LISTEN FOR LATER FORECASTS AND POSSIBLE
RED FLAG WARNINGS.

$$

BLOCK/MAJ
000 
WWUS82 KTAE 040823
RFWTAE

RED FLAG WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL
423 AM EDT TUE APR 4 2006

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT TODAY FROM 11 AM EDT (10 AM CDT)
UNTIL 9 PM EDT (8 PM CDT) FOR ALL OF THE EASTERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE
AND FLORIDA BIG BEND DUE TO LONG DURATIONS OF LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY
BELOW 35 PERCENT...

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT TODAY FROM NOON EDT UNTIL 8 PM EDT FOR
SOUTHWEST AND SOUTH CENTRAL GEORGIA DUE TO LONG DURATIONS OF LOW
RELATIVE HUMIDITY BELOW 25 PERCENT...

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT WEDNESDAY FROM 11 AM EDT (10 AM CDT)
UNTIL 9 PM EDT (8 PM CDT) FOR ALL OF THE EASTERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE
AND FLORIDA BIG BEND DUE TO LONG DURATIONS OF LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY
BELOW 35 PERCENT...

...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON AND EARLY EVENING
FOR SOUTHWEST AND SOUTH CENTRAL GEORGIA DUE TO POTENTIAL LONG DURATIONS
OF LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY BELOW 25 PERCENT...

.DISCUSSION...A DRY AIRMASS WILL OVERSPREAD THE REGION TODAY IN THE
WAKE OF A COLD FRONT THAT PASSED THROUGH THE REGION EARLY THIS MORNING.
THE DRY AIRMASS AND WARM TEMPERATURES WILL CREATE LOW RELATIVE
HUMIDITIES FOR NORTH FLORIDA AND SOUTHERN GEORGIA TUESDAY AND
WEDNESDAY AFTERNOONS. 

FLZ007-009>019-026>029-034-042000-
/O.UPG.KTAE.FW.A.0044.060405T1600Z-060405T2300Z/
/O.NEW.KTAE.FW.W.0047.060405T1500Z-060406T0100Z/
/O.EXT.KTAE.FW.W.0046.060404T1500Z-060405T0100Z/
INLAND WALTON-HOLMES-WASHINGTON-JACKSON-BAY-CALHOUN-GULF-FRANKLIN-
GADSDEN-LEON-JEFFERSON-MADISON-LIBERTY-WAKULLA-TAYLOR-LAFAYETTE-
DIXIE-
323 AM CDT TUE APR 4 2006 /423 AM EDT TUE APR 4 2006/

...RED FLAG WARNING NOW IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM EDT /10 AM CDT/ THIS
MORNING TO 9 PM EDT /8 PM CDT/ THIS EVENING FOR ALL OF THE EASTERN 
FLORIDA PANHANDLE AND FLORIDA BIG BEND DUE TO LONG DURATIONS OF LOW
RELATIVE HUMIDITY BELOW 35 PERCENT...
...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM EDT /10 AM CDT/ TO 9 PM
EDT /8 PM CDT/ WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON FOR ALL OF THE EASTERN FLORIDA 
PANHANDLE AND FLORIDA BIG BEND DUE TO LONG DURATIONS OF LOW RELATIVE
HUMIDITY BELOW 35 PERCENT...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TALLAHASSEE HAS EXTENDED THE RED
FLAG WARNING THAT IS IN EFFECT FOR TODAY UNTIL 9 PM EDT (8 PM
EDT). THE FIRE WEATHER WATCH THAT WAS IN EFFECT FOR WEDNESDAY
AFTERNOON HAS BEEN UPGRADED TO A RED FLAG WARNING. 

A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE
EITHER OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL SHORTLY. A COMBINATION OF LOW
RELATIVE HUMIDITY...AND WARM TEMPERATURES WILL CREATE FIRE GROWTH
POTENTIAL.

$$

GAZ120>131-142>148-155>161-042000-
/O.UPG.KTAE.FW.A.0043.060404T1600Z-060404T2300Z/
/O.NEW.KTAE.FW.A.0045.060405T1600Z-060406T0000Z/
/O.EXB.KTAE.FW.W.0046.060404T1600Z-060405T0000Z/
QUITMAN-CLAY-RANDOLPH-CALHOUN-TERRELL-DOUGHERTY-LEE-WORTH-TURNER-
TIFT-BEN HILL-IRWIN-EARLY-MILLER-BAKER-MITCHELL-COLQUITT-COOK-
BERRIEN-SEMINOLE-DECATUR-GRADY-THOMAS-BROOKS-LOWNDES-LANIER-
423 AM EDT TUE APR 4 2006

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM NOON TODAY TO 8 PM EDT THIS
EVENING FOR SOUTHWEST AND SOUTH CENTRAL GEORGIA DUE TO LONG DURATIONS
OF LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY BELOW 25 PERCENT...
...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT FROM WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH
WEDNESDAY EVENING FOR SOUTHWEST AND SOUTH CENTRAL GEORGIA DUE TO POTENTIAL
LONG DURATIONS OF LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY BELOW 25 PERCENT...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TALLAHASSEE HAS EXTENDED THE RED
FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FOR TODAY UNTIL 8 PM EDT. A FIRE WEATHER
WATCH HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON.

A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL SHORTLY. A COMBINATION OF LOW
RELATIVE HUMIDITY AND WARM TEMPERATURES WILL CREATE FIRE GROWTH
POTENTIAL.

A FIRE WEATHER WATCH MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS 
ARE FORECAST TO OCCUR. LISTEN FOR LATER FORECASTS AND POSSIBLE
RED FLAG WARNINGS.

$$

38-GODSEY
000 
WWUS82 KTAE 041927
RFWTAE

RED FLAG WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL
327 PM EDT TUE APR 4 2006

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT TODAY UNTIL 9 PM EDT (8 PM CDT)
FOR ALL OF THE EASTERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE AND FLORIDA BIG BEND DUE
TO LONG DURATIONS OF LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY BELOW 35 PERCENT...

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT FOR SOUTHWEST AND
SOUTH CENTRAL GEORGIA DUE TO LONG DURATIONS OF LOW RELATIVE
HUMIDITY BELOW 25 PERCENT...

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT WEDNESDAY FROM 11 AM EDT (10 AM
CDT) UNTIL 9 PM EDT (8 PM CDT) FOR ALL OF THE EASTERN FLORIDA
PANHANDLE AND FLORIDA BIG BEND DUE TO LONG DURATIONS OF LOW
RELATIVE HUMIDITY BELOW 35 PERCENT...

...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON AND EARLY
EVENING FOR SOUTHWEST AND SOUTH CENTRAL GEORGIA DUE TO POTENTIAL
LONG DURATIONS OF LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY BELOW 25 PERCENT...

...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT THURSDAY AFTERNOON AND EARLY EVENING
FOR ALL FLORIDA ZONES EXCEPT GULF AND FRANKLIN COUNTIES DUE TO POTENTIAL
LONG DURATIONS OF LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY BELOW 35 PERCENT...

.DISCUSSION...THE DRY AIRMASS WILL RESIDE OVER THE REGION FOR AT LEAST
ONE MORE DAY RESULTING IN RED FLAG CONDITIONS OVER NORTH FLORIDA.
DURATIONS OF LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY APPEAR TO BE MARGINAL FOR OUR
GEORGIA ZONES WEDNESDAY SO A FIRE WEATHER WATCH REMAINS IN PLACE. THE
KEETCH BYRAM DROUGHT INDEX IS NOT HIGH ENOUGH IN ALABAMA TO MEET RED
FLAG CRITERIA. ON THURSDAY...THE AIRMASS WILL BECOME A LITTLE MORE
MOIST AND LIKELY PREVENT RED FLAG CONDITIONS IN GEORGIA...BUT NOT FOR
MOST OF NORTH FLORIDA.

FLZ007-009>013-016>019-026>029-034-050100-
/O.NEW.KTAE.FW.A.0046.060406T1600Z-060406T2300Z/
/O.CON.KTAE.FW.W.0046.000000T0000Z-060405T0100Z/
/O.CON.KTAE.FW.W.0047.060405T1500Z-060406T0100Z/
INLAND WALTON-HOLMES-WASHINGTON-JACKSON-BAY-CALHOUN-GADSDEN-LEON-
JEFFERSON-MADISON-LIBERTY-WAKULLA-TAYLOR-LAFAYETTE-DIXIE-
227 PM CDT TUE APR 4 2006 /327 PM EDT TUE APR 4 2006/

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM EDT /8 PM CDT/
THIS EVENING...
...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM EDT /10 AM CDT/
TO 9 PM EDT /8 PM CDT/ WEDNESDAY...
...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT FROM THURSDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH
THURSDAY EVENING...

A RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM EDT /8 PM CDT/
THIS EVENING. A RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM EDT
/10 AM CDT/ TO 9 PM EDT /8 PM CDT/ WEDNESDAY.

A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL SHORTLY. A COMBINATION OF LOW
RELATIVE HUMIDITY...AND WARM TEMPERATURES WILL CREATE FIRE GROWTH
POTENTIAL.

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TALLAHASSEE HAS ISSUED A FIRE
WEATHER WATCH...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM THURSDAY AFTERNOON
THROUGH THURSDAY EVENING. 

A FIRE WEATHER WATCH MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS 
ARE FORECAST TO OCCUR. LISTEN FOR LATER FORECASTS AND POSSIBLE
RED FLAG WARNINGS.

$$

FLZ014-015-050100-
/O.CON.KTAE.FW.W.0046.000000T0000Z-060405T0100Z/
/O.CON.KTAE.FW.W.0047.060405T1500Z-060406T0100Z/
GULF-FRANKLIN-
227 PM CDT TUE APR 4 2006 /327 PM EDT TUE APR 4 2006/

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM EDT /8 PM CDT/
THIS EVENING...
...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM EDT /10 AM CDT/
TO 9 PM EDT /8 PM CDT/ WEDNESDAY...

A RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM EDT /8 PM CDT/
THIS EVENING. A RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM EDT
/10 AM CDT/ TO 9 PM EDT /8 PM CDT/ WEDNESDAY. 

A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL SHORTLY. A COMBINATION OF LOW
RELATIVE HUMIDITY...AND WARM TEMPERATURES WILL CREATE FIRE GROWTH
POTENTIAL.

$$

GAZ120>131-142>148-155>161-050000-
/O.EXT.KTAE.FW.A.0045.060405T1800Z-060405T2300Z/
/O.CON.KTAE.FW.W.0046.000000T0000Z-060405T0000Z/
QUITMAN-CLAY-RANDOLPH-CALHOUN-TERRELL-DOUGHERTY-LEE-WORTH-TURNER-
TIFT-BEN HILL-IRWIN-EARLY-MILLER-BAKER-MITCHELL-COLQUITT-COOK-
BERRIEN-SEMINOLE-DECATUR-GRADY-THOMAS-BROOKS-LOWNDES-LANIER-
327 PM EDT TUE APR 4 2006

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT THIS
EVENING...
...FIRE WEATHER WATCH NOW IN EFFECT FROM WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON
THROUGH WEDNESDAY EVENING...

A RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT THIS EVENING.

A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL SHORTLY. A COMBINATION OF LOW
RELATIVE HUMIDITY AND WARM TEMPERATURES WILL CREATE FIRE GROWTH
POTENTIAL.

THE FIRE WEATHER WATCH IS NOW IN EFFECT FROM WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON
THROUGH WEDNESDAY EVENING. 

A FIRE WEATHER WATCH MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE FORECAST TO OCCUR. LISTEN FOR LATER FORECASTS AND POSSIBLE
RED FLAG WARNINGS.

$$

BARRY
000 
WWUS82 KTAE 050052
RFWTAE

RED FLAG WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL
852 PM EDT TUE APR 4 2006

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT WEDNESDAY FROM 11 AM EDT (10 AM
CDT) UNTIL 9 PM EDT (8 PM CDT) FOR ALL OF THE EASTERN FLORIDA
PANHANDLE AND FLORIDA BIG BEND DUE TO LONG DURATIONS OF LOW
RELATIVE HUMIDITY BELOW 35 PERCENT...

...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON AND EARLY
EVENING FOR SOUTHWEST AND SOUTH CENTRAL GEORGIA DUE TO POTENTIAL
LONG DURATIONS OF LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY BELOW 25 PERCENT...

...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT THURSDAY AFTERNOON AND EARLY
EVENING FOR ALL FLORIDA ZONES EXCEPT GULF AND FRANKLIN COUNTIES
DUE TO POTENTIAL LONG DURATIONS OF LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY BELOW
35 PERCENT...

.DISCUSSION...THE DRY AIRMASS WILL RESIDE OVER THE REGION FOR AT
LEAST ONE MORE DAY RESULTING IN RED FLAG CONDITIONS OVER NORTH
FLORIDA. DURATIONS OF LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY APPEAR TO BE MARGINAL
FOR OUR GEORGIA ZONES WEDNESDAY SO A FIRE WEATHER WATCH REMAINS
IN PLACE. THE KEETCH BYRAM DROUGHT INDEX IS NOT HIGH ENOUGH IN
ALABAMA TO MEET RED FLAG CRITERIA. ON THURSDAY...THE AIRMASS WILL
BECOME A LITTLE MORE MOIST AND LIKELY PREVENT RED FLAG CONDITIONS
IN GEORGIA...BUT NOT FOR MOST OF NORTH FLORIDA.

FLZ007-009>013-016>019-026>029-034-051230-
/O.CAN.KTAE.FW.W.0046.000000T0000Z-060405T0100Z/
/O.CON.KTAE.FW.W.0047.060405T1500Z-060406T0100Z/
/O.CON.KTAE.FW.A.0046.060406T1600Z-060406T2300Z/
INLAND WALTON-HOLMES-WASHINGTON-JACKSON-BAY-CALHOUN-GADSDEN-LEON-
JEFFERSON-MADISON-LIBERTY-WAKULLA-TAYLOR-LAFAYETTE-DIXIE-
752 PM CDT TUE APR 4 2006 /852 PM EDT TUE APR 4 2006/

...RED FLAG WARNING IS CANCELLED...
...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM EDT /10 AM CDT/
TO 9 PM EDT /8 PM CDT/ WEDNESDAY...
...FIRE WEATHER WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM THURSDAY AFTERNOON
THROUGH THURSDAY EVENING...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TALLAHASSEE HAS CANCELLED THE RED
FLAG WARNING. A RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM EDT
/10 AM CDT/ TO 9 PM EDT /8 PM CDT/ WEDNESDAY. A FIRE WEATHER
WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM THURSDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH THURSDAY
EVENING. 

A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE EXPECTED TO OCCUR. LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITIES WILL ENHANCE THE
FIRE GROWTH POTENTIAL. 

A FIRE WEATHER WATCH MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE
FORECAST TO OCCUR. LISTEN FOR LATER FORECASTS AND POSSIBLE RED
FLAG WARNINGS.

$$

FLZ014-015-051230-
/O.CAN.KTAE.FW.W.0046.000000T0000Z-060405T0100Z/
/O.CON.KTAE.FW.W.0047.060405T1500Z-060406T0100Z/
GULF-FRANKLIN-
752 PM CDT TUE APR 4 2006 /852 PM EDT TUE APR 4 2006/

...RED FLAG WARNING IS CANCELLED...
...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM EDT /10 AM CDT/
TO 9 PM EDT /8 PM CDT/ WEDNESDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TALLAHASSEE HAS CANCELLED THE RED
FLAG WARNING. A RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM EDT
/10 AM CDT/ TO 9 PM EDT /8 PM CDT/ WEDNESDAY. 

A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE EXPECTED TO OCCUR. LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITIES WILL ENHANCE THE
FIRE GROWTH POTENTIAL.

$$

GAZ120>131-142>148-155>161-051230-
/O.CON.KTAE.FW.A.0045.060405T1800Z-060405T2300Z/
QUITMAN-CLAY-RANDOLPH-CALHOUN-TERRELL-DOUGHERTY-LEE-WORTH-TURNER-
TIFT-BEN HILL-IRWIN-EARLY-MILLER-BAKER-MITCHELL-COLQUITT-COOK-
BERRIEN-SEMINOLE-DECATUR-GRADY-THOMAS-BROOKS-LOWNDES-LANIER-
852 PM EDT TUE APR 4 2006

...FIRE WEATHER WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON
THROUGH WEDNESDAY EVENING...

A FIRE WEATHER WATCH MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE FORECAST TO OCCUR. LISTEN FOR LATER FORECASTS AND POSSIBLE RED
FLAG WARNINGS.

$$

MJ/PS
000 
WWUS82 KTAE 050927
RFWTAE

RED FLAG WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL
506 AM EDT WED APR 5 2006

...A RED FLAG WARNING IS IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 7 PM
EDT THIS EVENING FOR SOUTHWEST AND SOUTH-CENTRAL GEORGIA DUE TO
LONG DURATIONS OF RELATIVE HUMIDITIES LESS THAN 25 PERCENT...

...A RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM EDT /10 AM CDT/
THIS MORNING TO 9 PM EDT /8 PM CDT/ THIS EVENING FOR THE EASTERN
FLORIDA PANHANDLE AND THE FLORIDA BIG BEND DUE TO LONG DURATIONS
OF RELATIVE HUMIDITIES LESS THAN 35 PERCENT...

...A FIRE WEATHER WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM THURSDAY AFTERNOON
THROUGH THURSDAY EVENING FOR INLAND PORTIONS OF THE EASTERN
FLORIDA PANHANDLE AND FLORIDA BIG BEND DUE TO EXPECTED LONG
DURATIONS OF RELATIVE HUMIDITIES LESS THAN 35 PERCENT...

.DISCUSSION...LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITIES WILL CONTINUE THIS AFTERNOON
WITH HIGH PRESSURE OVERHEAD. RED FLAG CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED
THROUGHOUT MOST OF SOUTHWEST AND SOUTH-CENTRAL GEORGIA AS WELL AS
THE EASTERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE AND FLORIDA BIG BEND. AS THIS HIGH
MOVES EAST OF THE AREA TOMORROW MORNING...RELATIVE HUMIDITIES WILL
BEGIN TO SLOWLY INCREASE. HOWEVER...RED FLAG CONDITIONS ARE STILL
EXPECTED OVER THE INLAND FLORIDA PANHANDLE AND BIG BEND THURSDAY 
AFTERNOON.

GAZ120>131-142>148-155>161-051930-
/O.UPG.KTAE.FW.A.0045.060405T1800Z-060405T2300Z/
/O.EXB.KTAE.FW.W.0047.060405T1700Z-060405T2300Z/
QUITMAN-CLAY-RANDOLPH-CALHOUN-TERRELL-DOUGHERTY-LEE-WORTH-TURNER-
TIFT-BEN HILL-IRWIN-EARLY-MILLER-BAKER-MITCHELL-COLQUITT-COOK-
BERRIEN-SEMINOLE-DECATUR-GRADY-THOMAS-BROOKS-LOWNDES-LANIER-
506 AM EDT WED APR 5 2006

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 7 PM
EDT THIS EVENING FOR SOUTHWEST AND SOUTH-CENTRAL GEORGIA...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TALLAHASSEE HAS ISSUED A RED FLAG
WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 7 PM EDT
THIS EVENING. THIS UPGRADES THE FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT FOR
THE SAME TIME AND AREA.

A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE ANTICIPATED. A COMBINATION OF LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY AND WARM
TEMPERATURES WILL ENHANCE FIRE GROWTH POTENTIAL.

$$

FLZ007-009>013-016>019-026>029-034-051930-
/O.CON.KTAE.FW.W.0047.060405T1500Z-060406T0100Z/
/O.CON.KTAE.FW.A.0046.060406T1600Z-060406T2300Z/
INLAND WALTON-HOLMES-WASHINGTON-JACKSON-BAY-CALHOUN-GADSDEN-LEON-
JEFFERSON-MADISON-LIBERTY-WAKULLA-TAYLOR-LAFAYETTE-DIXIE-
406 AM CDT WED APR 5 2006 /506 AM EDT WED APR 5 2006/

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM EDT /10 AM CDT/
THIS MORNING TO 9 PM EDT /8 PM CDT/ THIS EVENING FOR THE EASTERN 
FLORIDA PANHANDLE AND FLORIDA BIG BEND...
...FIRE WEATHER WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM THURSDAY AFTERNOON
THROUGH THURSDAY EVENING FOR INLAND PORTIONS OF THE EASTERN FLORIDA
PANHANDLE AND FLORIDA BIG BEND...

A RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM EDT /10 AM CDT/
THIS MORNING TO 9 PM EDT /8 PM CDT/ THIS EVENING. A FIRE WEATHER
WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM THURSDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH THURSDAY
EVENING. 

A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE EXPECTED TO OCCUR. LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITIES WILL ENHANCE THE
FIRE GROWTH POTENTIAL.

A FIRE WEATHER WATCH MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE FORECAST TO OCCUR. LISTEN FOR LATER FORECASTS AND POSSIBLE
RED FLAG WARNINGS.

$$

FLZ014-015-051930-
/O.CON.KTAE.FW.W.0047.060405T1500Z-060406T0100Z/
GULF-FRANKLIN-
406 AM CDT WED APR 5 2006 /506 AM EDT WED APR 5 2006/

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM EDT /10 AM CDT/
THIS MORNING TO 9 PM EDT /8 PM CDT/ THIS EVENING FOR THE EASTERN
FLORIDA PANHANDLE...

A RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM EDT /10 AM CDT/
THIS MORNING TO 9 PM EDT /8 PM CDT/ THIS EVENING. 

A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE EXPECTED TO OCCUR. LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITIES WILL ENHANCE THE
FIRE GROWTH POTENTIAL.

$$

MCNATT
000 
WWUS82 KTAE 051909
RFWTAE

RED FLAG WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL
309 PM EDT WED APR 5 2006

...A RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EDT THIS EVENING
FOR SOUTHWEST AND SOUTH-CENTRAL GEORGIA DUE TO LONG DURATIONS OF
RELATIVE HUMIDITIES LESS THAN 25 PERCENT...

...A RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM EDT (8 PM CDT) THIS
EVENING FOR THE EASTERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE AND FLORIDA BIG BEND DUE TO
LONG DURATIONS OF RELATIVE HUMIDITIES LESS THAN 35 PERCENT...

...A RED FLAG WARNING IS IN EFFECT FROM THURSDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH
THURSDAY EVENING FOR THE EASTERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE AND FLORIDA BIG
BEND DUE TO EXPECTED LONG DURATIONS OF RELATIVE HUMIDITIES LESS THAN
35 PERCENT..

...A FIRE WEATHER WATCH IS IN EFFECT FROM THURSDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH
THURSDAY EVENING FOR SOUTHWEST AND SOUTH-CENTRAL GEORGIA DUE TO
POSSIBLE LONG DURATIONS OF RELATIVE HUMIDITIES LESS THAN 25 PERCENT...

.DISCUSSION...AS THE SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE MOVES EAST OF THE AREA ON
THURSDAY WINDS WILL SWING AROUND TO THE SOUTHEAST AND SOUTH ALLOWING
LOW LEVEL MOISTURE TO GRADUALLY INCREASE. HOWEVER...RED FLAG CONDITIONS
ARE STILL EXPECTED OVER NORTH FLORIDA AND POSSIBLY OUR GEORGIA ZONES.
BY FRIDAY...MOISTURE WILL INCREASE ENOUGH THAT RED FLAG CONDITIONS
ARE NO LONGER EXPECTED.

FLZ007-009>013-016>019-026>029-034-060100-
/O.UPG.KTAE.FW.A.0046.060406T1600Z-060406T2300Z/
/O.NEW.KTAE.FW.W.0048.060406T1600Z-060407T0000Z/
/O.CON.KTAE.FW.W.0047.000000T0000Z-060406T0100Z/
INLAND WALTON-HOLMES-WASHINGTON-JACKSON-BAY-CALHOUN-GADSDEN-LEON-
JEFFERSON-MADISON-LIBERTY-WAKULLA-TAYLOR-LAFAYETTE-DIXIE-
209 PM CDT WED APR 5 2006 /309 PM EDT WED APR 5 2006/

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM EDT /8 PM CDT/
THIS EVENING...
...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 12 PM EDT /11 AM CDT/ TO 8 PM
EDT /7 PM CDT/ THURSDAY...

A RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM EDT /8 PM CDT/ THIS
EVENING.

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TALLAHASSEE HAS ALSO ISSUED A RED
FLAG WARNING FROM 12 PM EDT /11 AM CDT UNTIL 8 PM EDT /7 PM CDT/
THURSDAY. THIS WARNING REPLACES THE FIRE WEATHER WATCH.

A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL SHORTLY. A COMBINATION OF
STRONG WINDS...LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY...AND WARM TEMPERATURES WILL
CREATE EXPLOSIVE FIRE GROWTH POTENTIAL.

$$

FLZ014-015-060100-
/O.NEW.KTAE.FW.W.0048.060406T1600Z-060407T0000Z/
/O.CON.KTAE.FW.W.0047.000000T0000Z-060406T0100Z/
GULF-FRANKLIN-
209 PM CDT WED APR 5 2006 /309 PM EDT WED APR 5 2006/

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM EDT /8 PM CDT/
THIS EVENING...
...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 12 PM EDT /11 AM CDT/ TO 8 PM
EDT /7 PM CDT/ THURSDAY...

A RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM EDT /8 PM CDT/
THIS EVENING.

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TALLAHASSEE HAS ALSO ISSUED A RED
FLAG WARNING FROM 12 PM EDT /11 AM CDT/ TO 8 PM EDT /7 PM CDT/
THURSDAY.

A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE EXPECTED TO OCCUR. LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITIES WILL ENHANCE THE
FIRE GROWTH POTENTIAL.

$$

GAZ120>131-142>148-155>161-052300-
/O.NEW.KTAE.FW.A.0047.060406T1800Z-060406T2300Z/
/O.CON.KTAE.FW.W.0047.000000T0000Z-060405T2300Z/
QUITMAN-CLAY-RANDOLPH-CALHOUN-TERRELL-DOUGHERTY-LEE-WORTH-TURNER-
TIFT-BEN HILL-IRWIN-EARLY-MILLER-BAKER-MITCHELL-COLQUITT-COOK-
BERRIEN-SEMINOLE-DECATUR-GRADY-THOMAS-BROOKS-LOWNDES-LANIER-
309 PM EDT WED APR 5 2006

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EDT THIS
EVENING...
...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT FROM THURSDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH
THURSDAY EVENING...

A RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EDT THIS EVENING.

A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE ANTICIPATED. A COMBINATION OF LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY AND WARM
TEMPERATURES WILL ENHANCE FIRE GROWTH POTENTIAL.

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TALLAHASSEE HAS ISSUED A FIRE
WEATHER WATCH...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM THURSDAY AFTERNOON
THROUGH THURSDAY EVENING. 

A FIRE WEATHER WATCH MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS 
ARE FORECAST TO OCCUR. LISTEN FOR LATER FORECASTS AND POSSIBLE
RED FLAG WARNINGS.

$$

BARRY

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this red flag warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Tallahassee, FL wrote its last area forecast discussion before this red flag warning went out at Apr 3, 1:44 PM EDT, 46 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Apr 3, 1:44 PM EDT, 46 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL
144 PM EDT MON APR 3 2006

.SYNOPSIS...SFC LOW HAS MOVED EAST OVER LAKE HURON NOW WITH FRONT
EXTENDING DOWN THROUGH NORTHERN AL...CNTRL MS AND INTO CNTRL LA.
EARLIER CONVECTION OVER N-CNTRL AL AND GA HAS DISSIPATED ALTHOUGH
POTENTIAL FOR SVR WX IS STILL OVER PORTIONS OF N GA AND INTO THE
CAROLINAS. BELIEVE THAT WITH MOST OF THE ENERGY STAYING UP TO OUR
NORTH AND LIMITED MOISTURE TO WORK WITH DOWN HERE...ONLY A SLIGHT
CHANCE OF A STORM OR TWO IN OUR AL AND GA COUNTIES FOR THE REST OF
THIS AFTN.

.SHORT TERM...WE SHOULD START TO SEE THE FRONT ENTER OUR CWA JUST
BEFORE MIDNIGHT TONIGHT...MVG INTO THE TLH AREA BETWEEN 2-5AM EDT
AND EXITING OUR SE ZONES BY 5-7AM. NO PRECIP EXPECTED WITH FROPA...
TOO DRY. MOS GUIDANCE IN PRETTY GOOD AGREEMENT ON LOWS TONIGHT...LWR
TO MID 50S AREA WIDE WITH CLEARING SKIES. WILL NOTICE SIGNIFICANTLY
DRIER AND SOMEWHAT COOLER AIR IN THE AREA TOMORROW...WITH HIGHS IN
THE MID TO UPR 70S AND RHS OF 25-30% IN THE AFTN. THE REST OF THE
WEEK APPEARS TO REMAIN DRY WITH A GRADUAL WARM-UP UNDER HIGH
PRESSURE.

.LONG TERM...(THURSDAY-MONDAY) THE 00 UTC GFS AND ECMWF RUNS HAVE THE
NEXT POSSIBLE FRONTAL PASSAGE THIS WEEKEND. MOS HAS A 20-30 PERCENT
POP DURING THIS TIME...BUT WE APPEAR TO BE IN A PATTERN WHERE FRONTAL
PASSAGES (AND THEIR CORRESPONDING INCREASED RAIN CHANCES NEAR THE
END OF THE EXTENDED PERIOD) CONTINUOUSLY GET DELAYED ANOTHER 24 HOURS
WITH EACH NEW MODEL RUN. TO AVOID THIS WE OPTED TO UNDERCUT THE MOS
POP SLIGHTLY DURING THIS PERIOD. TEMPERATURES WILL START OFF A BIT
BELOW AVERAGE...THEN BE NEAR AVERAGE BY THE WEEKEND.

&&

.MARINE...WINDS ARE STILL PRETTY LIGHT OFFSHORE BUT EXPECT THEM TO
INCREASE THIS EVNG AND OVERNIGHT AS THE FRONT APPROACHES. WILL
INCLUDE AN EXERCISE CAUTION HEADLINE FOR THE OFFSHORE WATERS FOR
EARLY TOMORROW MORNING...BELIEVE THAT WINDS NEAR SHORE WILL REMAIN
AROUND 15KTS THROUGH FRONTAL PASSAGE. WIND SPEEDS WILL DIMINISH
RAPIDLY LATE TOMORROW MORNING AND REMAIN LIGHT THROUGH THE NEXT
SEVERAL DAYS.

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...WITH DRIER AIR MOVING IN LATE TONIGHT/EARLY
TOMORROW...FIRE WEATHER CONCERNS BEGIN TOMORROW AFTN. THE WATCH
OVER OUR FL COUNTIES WILL BE UPGRADED TO A WARNING THIS AFTN AND A
WATCH WILL ALSO BE ISSUED FOR OUR GA COUNTIES. DURATION OF RHS IN GA
WILL BE MARGINAL...BUT BELIEVE ENOUGH DRY AIR WILL BE IN PLACE FOR
AT LEAST A FEW AREAS TO SEE ABOUT FOUR HOURS OF AROUND OR LESS THAN
25 PERCENT. MIDNIGHT SHIFT WILL HAVE TO REVIEW TO SEE IF IT IS STILL
JUSTIFIED TONIGHT. RED FLAG CONDITIONS ARE ALSO EXPECTED WED AND
THURS AFTERNOONS OVER OUR FL COUNTIES.

&&

.AVIATION...LOW STRATUS FINALLY LIFTED AROUND NOON WITH OCNL CIGS
3-5K REST OF AFTERNOON. INCREASING ONSHORE FLOW AHEAD OF COLD FRONT
WITH WINDS TO AROUND 15 MPH AND GUSTS TO AROUND 20 MPH TRANSLATING
NW-SE THRU AFTERNOON AND EVENING...TO REACH ALL BUT POSSIBLY VLD.
ACTIVE CONVECTION AHEAD OF FRONT HAS WEAKENED BUT WITH AN UNSTABLE
AIRMASS...A FEW LATE AFTN OR EVENING SHOWERS AND EVEN A TSTM COULD
DEVELOP MAINLY DHN AND ABY AND HAVE INCLUDED VCTS 18Z-22Z THESE
SITES. AS FRONT PUSHES THRU 02Z-06Z OFFSHORE FLOW 5 TO 10 MPH OR
HIGHER SHOULD PRECLUDE FORMATION OF ANY FOG OR LOW STRATUS
OVERNIGHT.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
TALLAHASSEE  53 77 39 78 / 05 00 00 00
PANAMA CITY  56 74 52 74 / 05 00 00 00
DOTHAN       52 74 47 74 / 00 00 00 05
ALBANY       52 74 44 75 / 05 00 00 00
VALDOSTA     53 76 43 77 / 05 00 00 00
CROSS CITY   56 79 44 79 / 00 00 00 00

&&

.TAE WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AL...NONE.
GA...FIRE WEATHER WATCH ALL COUNTIES TUESDAY LATE MORNING THROUGH
     AFTERNOON.
FL...RED FLAG WARNING ALL COUNTIES TUESDAY FROM 9 AM TO 6 PM EST.
     FIRE WEATHER WATCH ALL COUNTIES WEDNESDAY MORNING THROUGH
     AFTERNOON.

&&

AVIATION...BLOCK
LONG TERM...FOURNIER
REST OF DISCUSSION...MCNATT
Hazardous weather outlook, Apr 3, 5:53 AM EDT, 8 hours 37 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL
553 AM EDT MON APR 3 2006

ALZ065>069-FLZ007>019-026>029-034-GAZ120>131-142>148-155>161-GMZ750-
755-770-775-031015-
BAKER GA-BAY FL-BEN HILL GA-BERRIEN GA-BROOKS GA-CALHOUN GA-
CALHOUN FL-CLAY GA-COASTAL WALTON FL-COFFEE AL-COLQUITT GA-COOK GA-
DALE AL-DECATUR GA-DIXIE FL-DOUGHERTY GA-EARLY GA-FRANKLIN FL-
GADSDEN FL-GENEVA AL-GRADY GA-GULF FL-HENRY AL-HOLMES FL-HOUSTON AL-
INLAND WALTON FL-IRWIN GA-JACKSON FL-JEFFERSON FL-LAFAYETTE FL-
LANIER GA-LEE GA-LEON FL-LIBERTY FL-LOWNDES GA-MADISON FL-MILLER GA-
MITCHELL GA-QUITMAN GA-RANDOLPH GA-SEMINOLE GA-TAYLOR FL-TERRELL GA-
THOMAS GA-TIFT GA-TURNER GA-WAKULLA FL-WASHINGTON FL-WORTH GA-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ABBEVILLE...ADEL...ALBANY...APALACHICOLA...
ASHBURN...BAINBRIDGE...BLAKELY...BLOUNTSTOWN...BONIFAY...CAIRO...
CALLAWAY...CAMILLA...CARRABELLE...CHIPLEY...COLQUITT...COTTONWOOD...
CRAWFORDVILLE...CROSS CITY...CUTHBERT...DALEVILLE...DAWSON...
DE FUNIAK SPRINGS...DONALSONVILLE...DOWNTOWN DOTHAN...ELBA...
ENTERPRISE...FITZGERALD...FORT GAINES...FORT RUCKER...GENEVA...
GEORGETOWN...HEADLAND...LAKELAND...LEESBURG...MADISON...MARIANNA...
MAYO...MONTICELLO...MORGAN...MOULTRIE...NASHVILLE...NEWTON...
OCILLA...OZARK...PANAMA CITY...PANAMA CITY BEACH...PELHAM...PERRY...
PORT ST. JOE...PUTNEY...QUITMAN...SANTA ROSA BEACH...ST. MARKS...
STEINHATCHEE...SYLVESTER...TALLAHASSEE...THOMASVILLE...TIFTON...
VALDOSTA AND VERNON
553 AM EDT MON APR 3 2006

THIS OUTLOOK IS FOR SOUTHEAST ALABAMA...SOUTHWEST AND SOUTH CENTRAL
GEORGIA...THE FLORIDA BIG BEND AND EASTERN PANHANDLE...AND THE
ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS.

.DAY ONE...
THERE IS A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS TODAY...MAINLY
IN SOUTHWEST AND SOUTH CENTRAL GEORGIA AND SOUTHEAST ALABAMA. A COLD
FRONT IS APPROACHING FROM THE NORTHWEST AND SCATTERED SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS HAVE DEVELOPED AHEAD OF THIS FRONT. SOME OF THESE
STORMS HAVE BEEN SEVERE IN CENTRAL ALABAMA EARLY THIS MORNING. THIS
FRONT WILL BE WEAKENING AS IT NEARS THE REGION LATER THIS
AFTERNOON...WHICH IS WHY THE RAIN CHANCES ARE LOW. HOWEVER...IF A
FEW OF THESE STORMS DO MAKE IT INTO THIS AREA THEY COULD BE STRONG
WITH GUSTY WINDS AND POSSIBLE SMALL HAIL. THERE IS ALSO A MODERATE
RISK OF RIP CURRENTS TODAY ALONG THE EAST FLORIDA PANHANDLE COAST.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...
RAIN CHANCES WILL DIMINISH OVERNIGHT AS THE COLD FRONT MOVES
THROUGH...BRINGING COOLER DRIER AIR AND FAIR WEATHER TO THE REGION.
FREEZING TEMPERATURES ARE NOT EXPECTED BEHIND THIS COLD FRONT.
FAIR WEATHER IS EXPECTED FOR THE REMAINDER OF THE WORK WEEK.

.SPOTTER CALL TO ACTION STATEMENT...
SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED...BUT SPOTTERS IN SOUTHEAST
ALABAMA AND SOUTHWEST AND SOUTH CENTRAL GEORGIA SHOULD BE ALERT IN
CASE STORMS DEVELOP IN THIS AREA.

FOR ADDITIONAL WEATHER INFORMATION...VISIT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE IN TALLAHASSEE VIA OUR WEB SITE AT WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/TLH/ OR
LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO...LOCAL TELEVISION OR RADIO STATIONS.

FOURNIER

The office that day

Everything else NWS Tallahassee, FL issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Apr 3, 2:30 PM EDTFire Weather WatchTAEBaker, Ben Hill, Berrien, Brooks, Calhoun, Clay and 20 more14 hr
Apr 3, 2:30 PM EDTFire Weather WatchTAEBay, Calhoun, Dixie, Franklin, Gadsden, Gulf and 10 more14 hr

Nearby

Red Flag Warnings in Georgia, 2006Red Flag Warnings in Florida, 2006Every red flag warning in 2006

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.