Alert archive / New Jersey / Tornado Watches in 2006

Tornado Watch 877

December 1, 2006Greater Bridgeport Planning Region, Northwest Hills Planning Region, Connecticut; 11 counties in New Jersey; 11 counties in New York

The Storm Prediction Center issued this tornado watch at Dec 1, 2006, 6:11 PM EST for Greater Bridgeport Planning Region, Northwest Hills Planning Region, Connecticut; 11 counties in New Jersey; 11 counties in New York. It was in force for 2 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Dec 1, 2006, 6:11 PM EST (23:11 UTC)
Expired
Dec 1, 2006, 8:30 PM EST
In force
2 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Largest hail expected
1 in
Strongest gust expected
60 kt
All 24 counties

Greater Bridgeport Planning Region, CT, Northwest Hills Planning Region, CT, Bergen County, NJ, Essex County, NJ, Hudson County, NJ, Hunterdon County, NJ, Middlesex County, NJ, Morris County, NJ, Passaic County, NJ, Somerset County, NJ, Sussex County, NJ, Union County, NJ, Warren County, NJ, Bronx County, NY, Dutchess County, NY, Kings County, NY, New York County, NY, Orange County, NY, Putnam County, NY, Queens County, NY, Richmond County, NY, Rockland County, NY, Ulster County, NY, Westchester County, NY

The radar

The Albany radar (KENX), 132 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 23:14 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What SPC expected

The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.

Two or more tornadoes
40%
One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
20%
Ten or more severe wind reports
70%
One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
40%
Ten or more severe hail reports
10%
One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
5%
Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
90%

Warnings issued inside it

7 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Dec 1, 6:26 PM ESTTornado WarningALYDutchess53 min
Dec 1, 6:33 PM ESTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOKXGreater Bridgeport Planning Region87 min
Dec 1, 6:40 PM ESTSevere Thunderstorm WarningALYNorthwest Hills Planning Region65 min
Dec 1, 7:03 PM ESTTornado WarningALYNorthwest Hills Planning Region35 min
Dec 1, 7:43 PM ESTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPHIMiddlesex, Monmouth53 min
Dec 1, 7:50 PM ESTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOKXHudson25 min
Dec 1, 8:00 PM ESTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOKXGreater Bridgeport Planning Region, Naugatuck Valley Planning Region45 min

Discussions around it

SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.

The nearest sounding before it

Brookhaven, NY (KOKX), launched 12:00Z, 11.2 hours before the alert went out and 134 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Brookhaven, NY at 12:00Z on 2006-12-01Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 31 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Brookhaven, NY at 12:00Z on 2006-12-01The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 41 square meters per square second.1939587897117136Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
31 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-104 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
538 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
67 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
41 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
125 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Dec 1, 3:24 PM ESTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCNorthwest Hills Planning Region7 hr
Dec 1, 4:08 PM ESTMesoscale DiscussionSPC2 hr
Dec 1, 6:15 PM ESTMesoscale DiscussionSPC60 min
Dec 1, 6:47 PM ESTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCCapitol Planning Region, Lower Connecticut River Valley Planning Region, Naugatuck Valley Planning Region, Southeastern Connecticut Planning Region, Northeastern Connecticut Planning Region118 min
Dec 1, 11:38 AM ESTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAtlantic, Bergen, Burlington, Camden, Cape May, Cumberland and 15 more2 hr
Dec 1, 11:54 AM ESTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCAllegany, Broome, Cattaraugus, Cayuga, Chemung, Chenango and 16 more6 hr
Dec 1, 12:26 PM ESTMesoscale DiscussionSPCClinton6 hr
Dec 1, 6:13 AM ESTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCBeaver, Butler, Lawrence, Mercer, Venango5 hr
Dec 1, 8:44 AM ESTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBeaver, Butler, Lawrence, Mercer, Venango61 min
Dec 1, 10:09 AM ESTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCAdams, Allegheny, Armstrong, Beaver, Bedford, Blair and 42 more8 hr

Nearby

Tornado Watches in New Jersey, 2006Tornado Watches in New York, 2006Tornado Watches in Connecticut, 2006Every tornado watch in 2006

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.