Alert archive / Iowa / Tornado Watches in 2006

Tornado Watch 623

July 19, 200630 counties in Iowa; 13 counties in Minnesota

The Storm Prediction Center issued this tornado watch at Jul 19, 2006, 9:44 PM CDT for 30 counties in Iowa; 13 counties in Minnesota. It was in force for 6 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Jul 19, 2006, 9:44 PM CDT (02:44 UTC)
Expired
Jul 20, 2006, 3:35 AM CDT
In force
6 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Largest hail expected
2 in
Strongest gust expected
60 kt
All 43 counties

Black Hawk County, IA, Bremer County, IA, Buena Vista County, IA, Butler County, IA, Cerro Gordo County, IA, Cherokee County, IA, Chickasaw County, IA, Clay County, IA, Dickinson County, IA, Emmet County, IA, Fayette County, IA, Floyd County, IA, Franklin County, IA, Grundy County, IA, Hamilton County, IA, Hancock County, IA, Hardin County, IA, Howard County, IA, Humboldt County, IA, Kossuth County, IA, Mitchell County, IA, O'Brien County, IA, Osceola County, IA, Palo Alto County, IA, Pocahontas County, IA, Webster County, IA, Winnebago County, IA, Winneshiek County, IA, Worth County, IA, Wright County, IA, Blue Earth County, MN, Cottonwood County, MN, Dodge County, MN, Faribault County, MN, Fillmore County, MN, Freeborn County, MN, Jackson County, MN, Martin County, MN, Mower County, MN, Olmsted County, MN, Steele County, MN, Waseca County, MN, Watonwan County, MN

The radar

The Minneapolis radar (KMPX), 143 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 02:45 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What SPC expected

The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.

Two or more tornadoes
50%
One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
20%
Ten or more severe wind reports
40%
One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
20%
Ten or more severe hail reports
50%
One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
20%
Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
80%

Warnings issued inside it

25 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jul 19, 10:00 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFSDJackson30 min
Jul 19, 10:06 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMPXWatonwan29 min
Jul 19, 10:08 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMPXSteele, Waseca52 min
Jul 19, 10:14 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMPXFaribault, Martin61 min
Jul 19, 10:25 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningARXDodge40 min
Jul 19, 10:27 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMPXBlue Earth38 min
Jul 19, 10:32 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFSDJackson27 min
Jul 19, 10:47 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDMXKossuth, Winnebago58 min
Jul 19, 10:58 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMPXWaseca32 min
Jul 19, 10:59 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDMXEmmet46 min
Jul 19, 11:01 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMPXSteele44 min
Jul 19, 11:12 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMPXFaribault, Martin48 min
Jul 19, 11:30 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDMXWorth45 min
Jul 19, 11:48 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDMXKossuth57 min
Jul 19, 11:51 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDMXCerro Gordo21 min
Jul 19, 11:53 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDMXWinnebago52 min
Jul 19, 11:58 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningARXMitchell32 min
Jul 19, 11:58 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMPXMartin32 min
Jul 20, 12:16 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningARXChickasaw, Howard44 min
Jul 20, 12:33 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningARXFayette, Winneshiek42 min
Jul 20, 12:39 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDMXBremer51 min
Jul 20, 12:59 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDMXWinnebago46 min
Jul 20, 1:36 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDMXCerro Gordo, Worth39 min
Jul 20, 1:49 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDMXWinnebago26 min
Jul 20, 3:01 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDMXCerro Gordo16 min

Discussions around it

SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.

The nearest sounding before it

Minneapolis, MN (KMPX), launched 00:00Z, 2.7 hours before the alert went out and 142 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Minneapolis, MN at 00:00Z on 2006-07-20Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 181 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Minneapolis, MN at 00:00Z on 2006-07-20The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 168 square meters per square second.19395878Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
181 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-458 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
1336 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
52 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
168 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
137 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
-0.1

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

000 
WWUS20 KWNS 200245
SEL3  
SPC WW 200245
IAZ000-MNZ000-201000-

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 623
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
945 PM CDT WED JUL 19 2006

THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF 

       NORTHERN IOWA
       SOUTHERN MINNESOTA

EFFECTIVE THIS WEDNESDAY NIGHT AND THURSDAY MORNING FROM 945 PM
UNTIL 500 AM CDT.

TORNADOES...HAIL TO 2 INCHES IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND
GUSTS TO 70 MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE
AREAS.

THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 60 STATUTE
MILES NORTH AND SOUTH OF A LINE FROM 35 MILES NORTH NORTHWEST OF
SPENCER IOWA TO 45 MILES NORTH NORTHEAST OF WATERLOO IOWA.  FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE
UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU3).

REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.

OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...THIS TORNADO WATCH REPLACES TORNADO
WATCH NUMBER 620. WATCH NUMBER 620 WILL NOT BE IN EFFECT AFTER
945 PM CDT. CONTINUE...WW 621...WW 692...

DISCUSSION...SUPERCELLS EXPECTED TO FORM/INTENSIFY IN STRENGTHENING
WARM ADVECTION ZONE ON SRN FRINGE OF PASSING MID LEVEL SPEED MAX. 
ABSENCE OF STRONG LINEAR FORCING...BACKED LOW LEVEL FLOW AND RICH
BOUNDARY LAYER MOISTURE CONTENT SUGGEST POTENTIAL FOR TORNADOES
DESPITE SLIGHTLY ELEVATED NATURE OF STORMS.

AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL
SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 2 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE
WIND GUSTS TO 60 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO
550. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 28030.


...CORFIDI

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jul 19, 7:57 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAllamakee, Benton, Black Hawk, Bremer, Buchanan, Buena Vista and 45 more93 min
Jul 19, 10:48 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAllamakee, Buchanan, Clayton, Delaware, Dubuque, Fayette and 3 more87 min
Jul 19, 11:10 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCAllamakee, Benton, Buchanan, Cedar, Clayton, Clinton and 7 more8 hr
Jul 20, 2:32 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCClinton, Dubuque, Jackson88 min
Jul 20, 2:55 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBlack Hawk, Bremer, Buchanan, Butler, Cerro Gordo, Chickasaw and 10 more95 min

Nearby

Tornado Watches in Iowa, 2006Tornado Watches in Minnesota, 2006Every tornado watch in 2006

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.