Alert archive / North Dakota / Tornado Watches in 2006

Tornado Watch 484

June 14, 20068 counties in Montana; 11 counties in North Dakota; 9 counties in South Dakota

The Storm Prediction Center issued this tornado watch at Jun 14, 2006, 5:14 PM MDT for 8 counties in Montana; 11 counties in North Dakota; 9 counties in South Dakota. It was in force for 8 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Jun 14, 2006, 5:14 PM MDT (23:14 UTC)
Expired
Jun 15, 2006, 1:00 AM MDT
In force
8 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Largest hail expected
3 in
Strongest gust expected
60 kt
All 28 counties

Carter County, MT, Custer County, MT, Dawson County, MT, Fallon County, MT, McCone County, MT, Prairie County, MT, Richland County, MT, Wibaux County, MT, Adams County, ND, Billings County, ND, Bowman County, ND, Dunn County, ND, Golden Valley County, ND, Grant County, ND, Hettinger County, ND, McKenzie County, ND, Sioux County, ND, Slope County, ND, Stark County, ND, Butte County, SD, Corson County, SD, Dewey County, SD, Haakon County, SD, Harding County, SD, Meade County, SD, Perkins County, SD, Stanley County, SD, Ziebach County, SD

What SPC expected

The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.

Two or more tornadoes
40%
One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
20%
Ten or more severe wind reports
50%
One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
30%
Ten or more severe hail reports
60%
One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
40%
Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
90%

Warnings issued inside it

31 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jun 14, 5:16 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningUNRMeade59 min
Jun 14, 5:43 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningUNRPerkins62 min
Jun 14, 5:46 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBYZFallon59 min
Jun 14, 5:54 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningUNRButte, Harding, Perkins48 min
Jun 14, 5:56 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGGWDawson, McCone, Richland64 min
Jun 14, 6:07 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGGWDawson, Prairie, Wibaux38 min
Jun 14, 6:14 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGGWMcCone61 min
Jun 14, 6:20 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningUNRHaakon, Ziebach70 min
Jun 14, 6:29 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGGWDawson, Richland, Roosevelt, Wibaux61 min
Jun 14, 6:42 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBYZFallon63 min
Jun 14, 6:43 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGGWWibaux62 min
Jun 14, 6:44 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningUNRPerkins22 min
Jun 14, 6:52 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBISGolden Valley53 min
Jun 14, 6:53 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBISBowman, Slope67 min
Jun 14, 6:55 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningUNRPerkins19 min
Jun 14, 6:56 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGGWWibaux19 min
Jun 14, 6:57 PM MDTTornado WarningBISGolden Valley28 min
Jun 14, 7:21 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGGWDaniels, Richland, Roosevelt54 min
Jun 14, 7:26 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGGWDawson, Wibaux19 min
Jun 14, 7:27 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningUNRHaakon36 min
Jun 14, 7:42 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGGWDawson, Wibaux33 min
Jun 14, 7:45 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBISGolden Valley60 min
Jun 14, 8:03 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBISSlope33 min
Jun 14, 8:08 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBISBillings67 min
Jun 14, 8:17 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGGWDawson, Richland, Wibaux43 min
Jun 14, 8:26 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningUNRMeade64 min
Jun 14, 9:41 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningUNRMeade43 min
Jun 14, 10:08 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningUNRPerkins, Ziebach58 min
Jun 14, 10:52 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningABRDewey28 min
Jun 14, 11:24 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBISGolden Valley36 min
Jun 14, 11:27 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBISMcKenzie48 min

Discussions around it

SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.

The nearest sounding before it

Bismarck Municip, ND (KBIS), launched 12:00Z, 11.2 hours before the alert went out and 260 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Bismarck Municip, ND at 12:00Z on 2006-06-14Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 0 joules per kilogram.LCL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Bismarck Municip, ND at 12:00Z on 2006-06-14The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 255 square meters per square second.193958Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
0 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
No buoyant parcel
Mixed-layer LCL
1201 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
38 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
255 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
588 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.7

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

000 
WWUS20 KWNS 142318
SEL4  
SPC WW 142318
MTZ000-NDZ000-SDZ000-150700-

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 484
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
515 PM MDT WED JUN 14 2006

THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF 

       EASTERN MONTANA
       WESTERN NORTH DAKOTA
       WESTERN AND CENTRAL SOUTH DAKOTA

EFFECTIVE THIS WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON AND THURSDAY MORNING FROM 515
PM UNTIL 100 AM MDT.

TORNADOES...HAIL TO 3 INCHES IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND
GUSTS TO 70 MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE
AREAS.

THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 85 STATUTE
MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 40 MILES WEST NORTHWEST OF
SIDNEY MONTANA TO 75 MILES WEST OF PIERRE SOUTH DAKOTA.  FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE
UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU4).

REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.

OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...THIS TORNADO WATCH REPLACES SEVERE
THUNDERSTORM WATCH NUMBER 482...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH NUMBER
483. WATCH NUMBER 482 483 WILL NOT BE IN EFFECT AFTER 515 PM MDT.
CONTINUE...WW 480...

DISCUSSION...SUPERCELLS NOW IN SE MT AND W CNTRL SD EXPECTED TO BE
JOINED BY ADDITIONAL STORMS FORMING LATER THIS EVENING IN ZONE OF
LOW LEVEL WARM ADVECTION AND INCREASING DEEP ASCENT DOWNSTREAM FROM
STRONG WRN WY UPR IMPULSE.  BACKED LOW LEVEL FLOW AND LOWERED LCLS
INVOF STALLED FRONT NOW EXTENDING FROM NEAR MLS ESE INTO SE SD MAY
ENHANCE POTENTIAL FOR LOW LEVEL ROTATION/POSSIBLE TORNADOES AS
STORMS CROSS THE BOUNDARY.  WITH TIME...ACTIVITY SHOULD MERGE INTO A
LARGE CLUSTER...WITH EMBEDDED CELLS CONTINUING TO PRODUCE VERY LARGE
HAIL/HIGH WIND.

AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL
SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 3 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE
WIND GUSTS TO 60 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO
550. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 23030.


...CORFIDI

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jun 14, 10:36 AM MDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBig Horn, Carbon, Golden Valley, Musselshell, Rosebud, Treasure and 1 more84 min
Jun 14, 11:12 AM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCBig Horn, Carbon, Golden Valley, Musselshell, Park, Stillwater and 4 more4 hr
Jun 14, 2:32 PM MDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBig Horn, Blaine, Carbon, Chouteau, Custer, Fergus and 13 more28 min
Jun 14, 2:45 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCBig Horn, Carter, Custer, Fallon, Powder River, Rosebud and 1 more3 hr
Jun 14, 4:47 PM MDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCCarter, Custer, Dawson, Fallon, Prairie, Wibaux88 min
Jun 14, 12:58 AM MDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBurleigh, Dickey, Dunn, Emmons, Grant, Hettinger and 9 more3 hr
Jun 14, 8:43 AM MDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCDickey, Emmons, Logan, McIntosh, Sioux92 min
Jun 14, 2:58 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCAdams, Bowman, Hettinger, Slope2 hr
Jun 13, 8:40 PM MDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCJackson, Jones, Lyman, Mellette, Todd, Tripp95 min
Jun 14, 2:33 PM MDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCCuster, Fall River, Oglala Lakota, Pennington87 min

Nearby

Tornado Watches in North Dakota, 2006Tornado Watches in South Dakota, 2006Tornado Watches in Montana, 2006Every tornado watch in 2006

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive.