Alert archive / North Dakota / Tornado Watches in 2006
Tornado Watch 484
The Storm Prediction Center issued this tornado watch at Jun 14, 2006, 5:14 PM MDT for 8 counties in Montana; 11 counties in North Dakota; 9 counties in South Dakota. It was in force for 8 hr.
The area
The outline as issued.
The facts
- Issued
- Jun 14, 2006, 5:14 PM MDT (23:14 UTC)
- Expired
- Jun 15, 2006, 1:00 AM MDT
- In force
- 8 hr
- Issued by
- the Storm Prediction Center
- Largest hail expected
- 3 in
- Strongest gust expected
- 60 kt
All 28 counties
Carter County, MT, Custer County, MT, Dawson County, MT, Fallon County, MT, McCone County, MT, Prairie County, MT, Richland County, MT, Wibaux County, MT, Adams County, ND, Billings County, ND, Bowman County, ND, Dunn County, ND, Golden Valley County, ND, Grant County, ND, Hettinger County, ND, McKenzie County, ND, Sioux County, ND, Slope County, ND, Stark County, ND, Butte County, SD, Corson County, SD, Dewey County, SD, Haakon County, SD, Harding County, SD, Meade County, SD, Perkins County, SD, Stanley County, SD, Ziebach County, SD
What SPC expected
The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.
- Two or more tornadoes
- 40%
- One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
- 20%
- Ten or more severe wind reports
- 50%
- One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
- 30%
- Ten or more severe hail reports
- 60%
- One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
- 40%
- Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
- 90%
Warnings issued inside it
31 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 14, 5:16 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | UNR | Meade | 59 min |
| Jun 14, 5:43 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | UNR | Perkins | 62 min |
| Jun 14, 5:46 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | BYZ | Fallon | 59 min |
| Jun 14, 5:54 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | UNR | Butte, Harding, Perkins | 48 min |
| Jun 14, 5:56 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | GGW | Dawson, McCone, Richland | 64 min |
| Jun 14, 6:07 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | GGW | Dawson, Prairie, Wibaux | 38 min |
| Jun 14, 6:14 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | GGW | McCone | 61 min |
| Jun 14, 6:20 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | UNR | Haakon, Ziebach | 70 min |
| Jun 14, 6:29 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | GGW | Dawson, Richland, Roosevelt, Wibaux | 61 min |
| Jun 14, 6:42 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | BYZ | Fallon | 63 min |
| Jun 14, 6:43 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | GGW | Wibaux | 62 min |
| Jun 14, 6:44 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | UNR | Perkins | 22 min |
| Jun 14, 6:52 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | BIS | Golden Valley | 53 min |
| Jun 14, 6:53 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | BIS | Bowman, Slope | 67 min |
| Jun 14, 6:55 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | UNR | Perkins | 19 min |
| Jun 14, 6:56 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | GGW | Wibaux | 19 min |
| Jun 14, 6:57 PM MDT | Tornado Warning | BIS | Golden Valley | 28 min |
| Jun 14, 7:21 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | GGW | Daniels, Richland, Roosevelt | 54 min |
| Jun 14, 7:26 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | GGW | Dawson, Wibaux | 19 min |
| Jun 14, 7:27 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | UNR | Haakon | 36 min |
| Jun 14, 7:42 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | GGW | Dawson, Wibaux | 33 min |
| Jun 14, 7:45 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | BIS | Golden Valley | 60 min |
| Jun 14, 8:03 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | BIS | Slope | 33 min |
| Jun 14, 8:08 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | BIS | Billings | 67 min |
| Jun 14, 8:17 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | GGW | Dawson, Richland, Wibaux | 43 min |
| Jun 14, 8:26 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | UNR | Meade | 64 min |
| Jun 14, 9:41 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | UNR | Meade | 43 min |
| Jun 14, 10:08 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | UNR | Perkins, Ziebach | 58 min |
| Jun 14, 10:52 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | ABR | Dewey | 28 min |
| Jun 14, 11:24 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | BIS | Golden Valley | 36 min |
| Jun 14, 11:27 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | BIS | McKenzie | 48 min |
Discussions around it
SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.
The nearest sounding before it
Bismarck Municip, ND (KBIS), launched 12:00Z, 11.2 hours before the alert went out and 260 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 0 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- No buoyant parcel
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 1201 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 38 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- 255 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 588 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 0.0
- Supercell composite
- 0.7
The text
As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.
000
WWUS20 KWNS 142318
SEL4
SPC WW 142318
MTZ000-NDZ000-SDZ000-150700-
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 484
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
515 PM MDT WED JUN 14 2006
THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF
EASTERN MONTANA
WESTERN NORTH DAKOTA
WESTERN AND CENTRAL SOUTH DAKOTA
EFFECTIVE THIS WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON AND THURSDAY MORNING FROM 515
PM UNTIL 100 AM MDT.
TORNADOES...HAIL TO 3 INCHES IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND
GUSTS TO 70 MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE
AREAS.
THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 85 STATUTE
MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 40 MILES WEST NORTHWEST OF
SIDNEY MONTANA TO 75 MILES WEST OF PIERRE SOUTH DAKOTA. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE
UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU4).
REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...THIS TORNADO WATCH REPLACES SEVERE
THUNDERSTORM WATCH NUMBER 482...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH NUMBER
483. WATCH NUMBER 482 483 WILL NOT BE IN EFFECT AFTER 515 PM MDT.
CONTINUE...WW 480...
DISCUSSION...SUPERCELLS NOW IN SE MT AND W CNTRL SD EXPECTED TO BE
JOINED BY ADDITIONAL STORMS FORMING LATER THIS EVENING IN ZONE OF
LOW LEVEL WARM ADVECTION AND INCREASING DEEP ASCENT DOWNSTREAM FROM
STRONG WRN WY UPR IMPULSE. BACKED LOW LEVEL FLOW AND LOWERED LCLS
INVOF STALLED FRONT NOW EXTENDING FROM NEAR MLS ESE INTO SE SD MAY
ENHANCE POTENTIAL FOR LOW LEVEL ROTATION/POSSIBLE TORNADOES AS
STORMS CROSS THE BOUNDARY. WITH TIME...ACTIVITY SHOULD MERGE INTO A
LARGE CLUSTER...WITH EMBEDDED CELLS CONTINUING TO PRODUCE VERY LARGE
HAIL/HIGH WIND.
AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL
SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 3 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE
WIND GUSTS TO 60 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO
550. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 23030.
...CORFIDISPC that day
Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 14, 10:36 AM MDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Big Horn, Carbon, Golden Valley, Musselshell, Rosebud, Treasure and 1 more | 84 min |
| Jun 14, 11:12 AM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Watch | SPC | Big Horn, Carbon, Golden Valley, Musselshell, Park, Stillwater and 4 more | 4 hr |
| Jun 14, 2:32 PM MDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Big Horn, Blaine, Carbon, Chouteau, Custer, Fergus and 13 more | 28 min |
| Jun 14, 2:45 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Watch | SPC | Big Horn, Carter, Custer, Fallon, Powder River, Rosebud and 1 more | 3 hr |
| Jun 14, 4:47 PM MDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Carter, Custer, Dawson, Fallon, Prairie, Wibaux | 88 min |
| Jun 14, 12:58 AM MDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Burleigh, Dickey, Dunn, Emmons, Grant, Hettinger and 9 more | 3 hr |
| Jun 14, 8:43 AM MDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Dickey, Emmons, Logan, McIntosh, Sioux | 92 min |
| Jun 14, 2:58 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Watch | SPC | Adams, Bowman, Hettinger, Slope | 2 hr |
| Jun 13, 8:40 PM MDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Jackson, Jones, Lyman, Mellette, Todd, Tripp | 95 min |
| Jun 14, 2:33 PM MDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Custer, Fall River, Oglala Lakota, Pennington | 87 min |
Nearby
Tornado Watches in North Dakota, 2006Tornado Watches in South Dakota, 2006Tornado Watches in Montana, 2006Every tornado watch in 2006
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive.