Alert archive / Michigan / Severe Thunderstorm Watches in 2006

Severe Thunderstorm Watch 680

August 3, 200618 counties in Michigan

The Storm Prediction Center issued this severe thunderstorm watch at Aug 3, 2006, 7:11 AM EDT for 18 counties in Michigan. It was in force for 3 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Aug 3, 2006, 7:11 AM EDT (11:11 UTC)
Expired
Aug 3, 2006, 10:31 AM EDT
In force
3 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Largest hail expected
0.5 in
Strongest gust expected
60 kt

Counties Allegan County, MI, Barry County, MI, Berrien County, MI, Branch County, MI, Calhoun County, MI, Cass County, MI, Clinton County, MI, Eaton County, MI, Gratiot County, MI, Ingham County, MI, Ionia County, MI, Jackson County, MI, Kalamazoo County, MI, Kent County, MI, Montcalm County, MI, Ottawa County, MI, Saint Joseph County, MI, Van Buren County, MI

The radar

The Grand Rapids radar (KGRR), 73 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 11:14 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What SPC expected

The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.

Two or more tornadoes
5%
One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
5%
Ten or more severe wind reports
30%
One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
5%
Ten or more severe hail reports
5%
One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
5%
Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
60%

Warnings issued inside it

7 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Aug 3, 7:43 AM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningIWXCass62 min
Aug 3, 7:53 AM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGRRVan Buren52 min
Aug 3, 8:06 AM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningIWXSaint Joseph54 min
Aug 3, 8:13 AM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGRRKalamazoo47 min
Aug 3, 8:46 AM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningIWXBranch28 min
Aug 3, 8:49 AM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGRRCalhoun41 min
Aug 3, 9:36 AM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGRRIngham, Jackson39 min

Discussions around it

SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.

The nearest sounding before it

Detroit, MI (KDTX), launched 00:00Z, 11.2 hours before the alert went out and 234 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Detroit, MI at 00:00Z on 2006-08-03Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 1974 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Detroit, MI at 00:00Z on 2006-08-03The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 136 square meters per square second.193958Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
1974 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-14 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
1473 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
22 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
136 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
214 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
6.5

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Aug 2, 9:34 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBerrien, Branch, Calhoun, Cass, Hillsdale, Ingham and 10 more86 min
Aug 2, 10:04 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCLenawee, Livingston, Macomb, Monroe, Oakland, Saint Clair and 2 more3 hr
Aug 3, 6:33 AM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAllegan, Barry, Berrien, Branch, Calhoun, Cass and 12 more117 min
Aug 3, 9:31 AM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCGenesee, Lapeer, Lenawee, Livingston, Macomb, Monroe and 8 more2 hr

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Michigan, 2006Every severe thunderstorm watch in 2006

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.