Alert archive / New York / Severe Thunderstorm Watches in 2006

Severe Thunderstorm Watch 577

July 3, 20064 states

The Storm Prediction Center issued this severe thunderstorm watch at Jul 3, 2006, 1:46 PM EDT for 4 states. It was in force for 7 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued: Jul 3, 2006, 1:46 PM EDT (17:46 UTC)
Expired: Jul 3, 2006, 9:00 PM EDT
In force: 7 hr
Issued by: the Storm Prediction Center
Largest hail expected: 1.5 in
Strongest gust expected: 60 kt

All 48 counties

Capitol Planning Region, CT, Greater Bridgeport Planning Region, CT, Lower Connecticut River Valley Planning Region, CT, Naugatuck Valley Planning Region, CT, Northwest Hills Planning Region, CT, Berkshire County, MA, Franklin County, MA, Hampden County, MA, Hampshire County, MA, Albany County, NY, Broome County, NY, Cayuga County, NY, Chemung County, NY, Chenango County, NY, Columbia County, NY, Cortland County, NY, Delaware County, NY, Dutchess County, NY, Fulton County, NY, Greene County, NY, Herkimer County, NY, Madison County, NY, Montgomery County, NY, Oneida County, NY, Onondaga County, NY, Orange County, NY, Otsego County, NY, Putnam County, NY, Rensselaer County, NY, Rockland County, NY, Saratoga County, NY, Schenectady County, NY, Schoharie County, NY, Schuyler County, NY, Seneca County, NY, Steuben County, NY, Sullivan County, NY, Tioga County, NY, Tompkins County, NY, Ulster County, NY, Yates County, NY, Bradford County, PA, Lackawanna County, PA, Luzerne County, PA, Pike County, PA, Susquehanna County, PA, Wayne County, PA, Wyoming County, PA

The radar

The Binghamton radar (KBGM), 72 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 17:47 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What SPC expected

The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.

Two or more tornadoes: 10%
One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes: 2%
Ten or more severe wind reports: 30%
One or more gusts of 65 knots or more: 30%
Ten or more severe hail reports: 30%
One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more: 20%
Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports: 70%

Warnings issued inside it

11 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.

Issued	Product	Office	Counties	Lasted
Jul 3, 1:50 PM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	ALY	Dutchess, Ulster	55 min
Jul 3, 1:56 PM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	BGM	Onondaga	49 min
Jul 3, 2:44 PM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	ALY	Dutchess	46 min
Jul 3, 2:54 PM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	ALY	Columbia, Ulster	51 min
Jul 3, 4:15 PM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	BOX	Capitol Planning Region	45 min
Jul 3, 4:31 PM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	ALY	Dutchess, Ulster	59 min
Jul 3, 4:46 PM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	OKX	Orange	44 min
Jul 3, 4:56 PM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	BOX	Northeastern Connecticut Planning Region	49 min
Jul 3, 7:14 PM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	ALY	Schoharie	61 min
Jul 3, 8:03 PM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	ALY	Northwest Hills Planning Region	57 min
Jul 3, 9:00 PM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	ALY	Northwest Hills Planning Region	29 min

Discussions around it

SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

Issued	Product	Office	Counties	Lasted
Jul 3, 11:38 AM EDT	Mesoscale Discussion	SPC		2 hr
Jul 3, 5:04 PM EDT	Mesoscale Discussion	SPC		86 min

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Watches in New York, 2006 Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Pennsylvania, 2006 Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Connecticut, 2006 Every severe thunderstorm watch in 2006

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.