Alert archive / Maine / Severe Thunderstorm Watches in 2006

Severe Thunderstorm Watch 521

June 20, 20067 states

The Storm Prediction Center issued this severe thunderstorm watch at Jun 20, 2006, 12:12 PM EDT for 7 states. It was in force for 8 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Jun 20, 2006, 12:12 PM EDT (16:12 UTC)
Expired
Jun 20, 2006, 8:00 PM EDT
In force
8 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Largest hail expected
2 in
Strongest gust expected
60 kt
All 54 counties

Capitol Planning Region, CT, Northeastern Connecticut Planning Region, CT, Berkshire County, MA, Bristol County, MA, Essex County, MA, Franklin County, MA, Hampden County, MA, Hampshire County, MA, Middlesex County, MA, Norfolk County, MA, Plymouth County, MA, Suffolk County, MA, Worcester County, MA, Androscoggin County, ME, Aroostook County, ME, Cumberland County, ME, Franklin County, ME, Kennebec County, ME, Knox County, ME, Lincoln County, ME, Oxford County, ME, Penobscot County, ME, Piscataquis County, ME, Sagadahoc County, ME, Somerset County, ME, Waldo County, ME, York County, ME, Belknap County, NH, Carroll County, NH, Cheshire County, NH, Coos County, NH, Grafton County, NH, Hillsborough County, NH, Merrimack County, NH, Rockingham County, NH, Strafford County, NH, Sullivan County, NH, Albany County, NY, Columbia County, NY, Rensselaer County, NY, Saratoga County, NY, Schenectady County, NY, Washington County, NY, Providence County, RI, Bennington County, VT, Caledonia County, VT, Essex County, VT, Lamoille County, VT, Orange County, VT, Orleans County, VT, Rutland County, VT, Washington County, VT, Windham County, VT, Windsor County, VT

The radar

The Portland,ME radar (KGYX), 126 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 16:15 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What SPC expected

The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.

Two or more tornadoes
10%
One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
5%
Ten or more severe wind reports
40%
One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
20%
Ten or more severe hail reports
50%
One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
20%
Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
80%

Warnings issued inside it

40 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jun 20, 12:15 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBOXHampden60 min
Jun 20, 12:50 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBTVCaledonia, Essex25 min
Jun 20, 12:59 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBTVRutland61 min
Jun 20, 1:10 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGYXCoos, Grafton80 min
Jun 20, 1:15 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBTVCaledonia, Essex30 min
Jun 20, 1:20 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBOXWorcester40 min
Jun 20, 1:25 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBTVChittenden, Lamoille65 min
Jun 20, 1:35 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBOXCheshire46 min
Jun 20, 2:23 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGYXCoos, Grafton67 min
Jun 20, 2:30 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGYXSomerset60 min
Jun 20, 3:00 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGYXFranklin, Oxford60 min
Jun 20, 3:20 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGYXGrafton40 min
Jun 20, 3:34 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGYXCarroll41 min
Jun 20, 3:41 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGYXSomerset64 min
Jun 20, 3:49 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningALYColumbia, Ulster41 min
Jun 20, 3:50 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGYXFranklin, Oxford55 min
Jun 20, 4:04 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGYXBelknap, Carroll56 min
Jun 20, 4:29 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGYXCumberland61 min
Jun 20, 4:39 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGYXOxford66 min
Jun 20, 4:42 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningCARPenobscot, Piscataquis63 min
Jun 20, 4:52 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGYXYork53 min
Jun 20, 5:13 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGYXAndroscoggin62 min
Jun 20, 5:17 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningALYRensselaer43 min
Jun 20, 5:32 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGYXCumberland58 min
Jun 20, 5:32 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBOXBristol43 min
Jun 20, 5:37 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningALYBerkshire53 min
Jun 20, 5:51 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBOXFranklin, Hampshire54 min
Jun 20, 5:52 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningCARPenobscot38 min
Jun 20, 5:56 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBTVOrange37 min
Jun 20, 6:01 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGYXKennebec, Sagadahoc44 min
Jun 20, 6:06 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGYXGrafton54 min
Jun 20, 6:40 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningALYBerkshire50 min
Jun 20, 6:54 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGYXBelknap51 min
Jun 20, 6:58 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBOXHampden62 min
Jun 20, 7:18 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGYXCarroll42 min
Jun 20, 7:27 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGYXStrafford63 min
Jun 20, 7:33 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBOXCapitol Planning Region42 min
Jun 20, 7:33 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGYXYork57 min
Jun 20, 7:49 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBOXWorcester41 min
Jun 20, 7:53 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBOXHampden, Worcester52 min

Discussions around it

SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.

The nearest sounding before it

Gray, ME (KGYX), launched 12:00Z, 4.2 hours before the alert went out and 126 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Gray, ME at 12:00Z on 2006-06-20Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 175 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Gray, ME at 12:00Z on 2006-06-20The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 8 square meters per square second.1939587897Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
175 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-84 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
1018 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
34 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
8 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
53 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

000 
WWUS20 KWNS 201612
SEL1  
SPC WW 201612
CTZ000-MAZ000-MEZ000-NHZ000-NYZ000-RIZ000-VTZ000-CWZ000-210000-

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH NUMBER 521
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1215 PM EDT TUE JUN 20 2006

THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF 

       PARTS OF CONNECTICUT
       MOST OF MASSACHUSETTS
       MUCH OF MAINE
       NEW HAMPSHIRE
       PARTS OF EASTERN NEW YORK
       PARTS OF RHODE ISLAND
       EASTERN AND SOUTHERN VERMONT
       COASTAL WATERS

EFFECTIVE THIS TUESDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING FROM 1215 PM UNTIL
800 PM EDT.

HAIL TO 2 INCHES IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND GUSTS TO 70
MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE AREAS.

THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 100
STATUTE MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 45 MILES WEST
NORTHWEST OF CARIBOU MAINE TO 25 MILES EAST SOUTHEAST OF WINDSOR
LOCKS CONNECTICUT.  FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE
ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU1).

REMEMBER...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE
FAVORABLE FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS. SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAN AND OCCASIONALLY
DO PRODUCE TORNADOES.

DISCUSSION...THUNDERSTORMS WILL INCREASE IN NUMBER AND INTENSITY
ACROSS NEW ENGLAND THIS AFTERNOON AHEAD OF UPPER TROUGH AND COLD
FRONT NOW ERN NY.  WITH MDT INSTABILITY AND 25-30KT OF SHEAR
DAMAGING DOWNBURST WINDS AND LARGE HAIL ARE POSSIBLE WITH STRONGER
STORMS

AVIATION...A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT
TO 2 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE WIND GUSTS TO 60
KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO 500. MEAN STORM
MOTION VECTOR 26025.


...HALES

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jun 19, 8:47 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPC88 min
Jun 20, 11:33 AM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCYork87 min

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Maine, 2006Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Massachusetts, 2006Severe Thunderstorm Watches in New Hampshire, 2006Every severe thunderstorm watch in 2006

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.