Alert archive / Texas / Mesoscale Discussions in 2006

Mesoscale Discussion 813

May 9, 20064 counties in Kansas; 11 counties in Oklahoma; 21 counties in Texas

The Storm Prediction Center issued this mesoscale discussion at May 9, 2006, 4:56 PM CDT for 4 counties in Kansas; 11 counties in Oklahoma; 21 counties in Texas. It was in force for 2 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
May 9, 2006, 4:56 PM CDT (21:56 UTC)
Expired
May 9, 2006, 7:00 PM CDT
In force
2 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
All 36 counties

Clark County, KS, Comanche County, KS, Meade County, KS, Seward County, KS, Beaver County, OK, Beckham County, OK, Custer County, OK, Dewey County, OK, Ellis County, OK, Harper County, OK, Major County, OK, Roger Mills County, OK, Texas County, OK, Woods County, OK, Woodward County, OK, Armstrong County, TX, Briscoe County, TX, Carson County, TX, Collingsworth County, TX, Deaf Smith County, TX, Donley County, TX, Gray County, TX, Hansford County, TX, Hartley County, TX, Hemphill County, TX, Hutchinson County, TX, Lipscomb County, TX, Moore County, TX, Ochiltree County, TX, Oldham County, TX, Potter County, TX, Randall County, TX, Roberts County, TX, Sherman County, TX, Swisher County, TX, Wheeler County, TX

The radar

The Amarillo radar (KAMA), 107 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 21:58 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The watches that followed

Watches SPC issued over any of the same counties within four hours of this discussion.

The nearest sounding before it

Amarillo Airport, TX (KAMA), launched 12:00Z, 9.9 hours before the alert went out and 106 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Amarillo Airport, TX at 12:00Z on 2006-05-09Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 107 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Amarillo Airport, TX at 12:00Z on 2006-05-09The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 57 square meters per square second.193958Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
107 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-342 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
729 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
47 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
57 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
137 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.5

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

000 
ACUS11 KWNS 092156
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 092156 
OKZ000-KSZ000-TXZ000-NMZ000-100000-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0813
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0456 PM CDT TUE MAY 09 2006

AREAS AFFECTED...PARTS SW KS...THE TX/OK PHNDLS...AND WRN OK

CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL 

VALID 092156Z - 100000Z

TRENDS ARE BEING MONITORED FOR AN INCREASING SEVERE THREAT AND THE
POSSIBILITY OF AN ADDITIONAL WW BY EARLY EVENING.

STRONG MID/UPPER FORCING FOR UPWARD VERTICAL MOTION IS READILY
EVIDENT IN WATER VAPOR IMAGERY SPREADING EAST SOUTHEAST OF THE
CENTRAL ROCKIES...ASSOCIATED WITH DIGGING MID/UPPER JET ACROSS THE
INTERMOUNTAIN WEST.  THIS IS CONTRIBUTING TO DEVELOPING CLUSTER OF
STORMS ACROSS THE SOUTH CENTRAL HIGH PLAINS...NOW WEST THROUGH NORTH
OF DALHART TEXAS.  GIVEN LOW SURFACE DEW POINTS IN POST
OUTFLOW/FRONTAL ENVIRONMENT...CAPE IS WEAK...BUT LAPSE RATES ARE
STEEP AND MAY SUPPORT INCREASING SEVERE POTENTIAL WITH EVOLVING
CONVECTIVE CLUSTER AS IT DEVELOPS SOUTHEASTWARD THROUGH 00Z.  LARGE
LOW-LEVEL TEMPERATURE/DEW POINT SPREADS WILL SUPPORT POTENTIAL FOR
DAMAGING DOWNBURSTS.  AND...MODERATE EASTERLY COMPONENT TO LOW-LEVEL
FLOW AHEAD OF DEVELOPING SOUTHERN PLAINS SURFACE LOW SEEMS LIKELY TO
CONTRIBUTE TO FAVORABLE SYSTEM RELATIVE FLOW CONFIGURATION FOR
INCREASINGLY ORGANIZED CONVECTIVE CLUSTER BENEATH 40 KT MID-LEVEL
FLOW.

..KERR.. 05/09/2006

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...OUN...DDC...LUB...AMA...ABQ...

36510185 37080122 37340032 37239936 37029882 36659825
36149810 35369926 34790004 34510116 34510201 34840331
35220357 35700349 36040255

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
May 8, 7:47 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBarton, Brown, Clay, Cloud, Ellis, Gray and 15 more58 min
May 8, 10:59 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAtchison, Barber, Barton, Brown, Butler, Chase and 50 more91 min
May 8, 11:40 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCBarber, Comanche, Edwards, Harper, Harvey, Kingman and 7 more5 hr
May 9, 1:13 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCChautauqua, Cherokee, Cowley, Crawford, Elk, Labette and 4 more92 min
May 9, 4:24 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCChautauqua, Cherokee, Elk, Labette, Montgomery4 hr
May 9, 4:46 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCCherokee, Labette, Montgomery89 min
May 9, 3:45 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAtoka, Bryan, Carter, Choctaw, Cleveland, Coal and 24 more2 hr
May 9, 4:04 PM CDTTornado WatchSPCAtoka, Bryan, Choctaw, Coal, Haskell, Hughes and 12 more7 hr
May 9, 5:07 PM CDTTornado WatchSPCAdair, Cherokee, Creek, Delaware, Mayes, Muskogee and 5 more6 hr
May 9, 6:01 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCBeaver, Beckham, Custer, Dewey, Ellis, Greer and 8 more7 hr
May 9, 6:30 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAdair, Atoka, Bryan, Cherokee, Choctaw, Coal and 17 more90 min
May 8, 7:42 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCNewton93 min
May 9, 4:08 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBandera, Blanco, Burnet, Comal, Edwards, Gillespie and 11 more97 min
May 9, 6:30 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCAtascosa, Bandera, Bell, Bexar, Blanco, Burnet and 27 more4 hr

Nearby

Mesoscale Discussions in Texas, 2006Mesoscale Discussions in Oklahoma, 2006Mesoscale Discussions in Kansas, 2006Every mesoscale discussion in 2006

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.