Alert archive / Massachusetts / Mesoscale Discussions in 2006

Mesoscale Discussion 1421

July 2, 20065 states

The Storm Prediction Center issued this mesoscale discussion at Jul 2, 2006, 7:48 PM EDT for 5 states. It was in force for 87 min.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Jul 2, 2006, 7:48 PM EDT (23:48 UTC)
Expired
Jul 2, 2006, 9:15 PM EDT
In force
87 min
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
All 33 counties

Berkshire County, MA, Bristol County, MA, Essex County, MA, Franklin County, MA, Hampden County, MA, Hampshire County, MA, Middlesex County, MA, Norfolk County, MA, Plymouth County, MA, Suffolk County, MA, Worcester County, MA, Androscoggin County, ME, Cumberland County, ME, Franklin County, ME, Kennebec County, ME, Oxford County, ME, Sagadahoc County, ME, York County, ME, Belknap County, NH, Carroll County, NH, Cheshire County, NH, Coos County, NH, Grafton County, NH, Hillsborough County, NH, Merrimack County, NH, Rockingham County, NH, Strafford County, NH, Sullivan County, NH, Bristol County, RI, Providence County, RI, Essex County, VT, Windham County, VT, Windsor County, VT

The radar

The Boston radar (KBOX), 120 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 23:49 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The nearest sounding before it

Gray, ME (KGYX), launched 12:00Z, 11.8 hours before the alert went out and 122 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Gray, ME at 12:00Z on 2006-07-02Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 0 joules per kilogram.LCL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Gray, ME at 12:00Z on 2006-07-02The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 278 square meters per square second.19395878Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
0 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
No buoyant parcel
Mixed-layer LCL
1049 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
55 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
278 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
280 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

000 
ACUS11 KWNS 022349
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 022348 
MEZ000-MAZ000-NHZ000-RIZ000-VTZ000-CTZ000-NYZ000-030115-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1421
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0648 PM CDT SUN JUL 02 2006

AREAS AFFECTED...CT...MA...ME...NH...RI

CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 575...

VALID 022348Z - 030115Z

TSTM ACTIVITY HAS BEEN ISOLATED AND SUB-SEVERE ACROSS WATCH 575 SO
FAR. STRONGER STORMS ASSOCIATED WITH THE MID LEVEL WIND MAX AND
APPROACHING FRONT HAVE REMAINED CONFINED TO NRN ME AND SRN QUEBEC
THROUGH THE EVENING. HOWEVER...DIAGNOSTIC DATA INDICATED THAT
INSTABILITY AXIS WAS SITUATED FROM MA/SRN NH NEWD INTO WRN ME AND
COULD STILL FUEL CONVECTIVE DEVELOPMENT AS THE FRONT MOVES ACROSS
NRN PORTIONS OF WATCH 575 OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF HOURS.

FARTHER SOUTH...FORCING FOR DEVELOPMENT APPEARS TO BE MORE LIMITED
AND TIME OF DAY WILL ALSO HINDER ROBUST TSTM DEVELOP. THEREFORE...
PORTIONS OF WATCH 575 ARE LIKELY TO BE CANCELED PRIOR TO EXPIRATION.

..CARBIN.. 07/02/2006

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...CAR...GYX...BOX...BTV...OKX...ALY...

41697072 41697365 45077177 45046923

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jul 2, 11:19 AM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPC86 min
Jul 2, 1:37 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCNorthwest Hills Planning Region7 hr
Jul 2, 3:45 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPC60 min
Jul 2, 4:03 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCGreater Bridgeport Planning Region5 hr
Jul 2, 5:53 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCCapitol Planning Region, Northeastern Connecticut Planning Region4 hr
Jul 2, 6:43 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPC92 min

Nearby

Mesoscale Discussions in Massachusetts, 2006Mesoscale Discussions in New Hampshire, 2006Mesoscale Discussions in Maine, 2006Every mesoscale discussion in 2006

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.