Alert archive / Texas / Mesoscale Discussions in 2006

Mesoscale Discussion 1012

May 28, 2006Ellis County, Harper County, Roger Mills County, Oklahoma; 11 counties in Texas

The Storm Prediction Center issued this mesoscale discussion at May 28, 2006, 3:11 PM CDT for Ellis County, Harper County, Roger Mills County, Oklahoma; 11 counties in Texas. It was in force for 2 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
May 28, 2006, 3:11 PM CDT (20:11 UTC)
Expired
May 28, 2006, 5:15 PM CDT
In force
2 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center

Counties Ellis County, OK, Harper County, OK, Roger Mills County, OK, Armstrong County, TX, Briscoe County, TX, Carson County, TX, Collingsworth County, TX, Donley County, TX, Gray County, TX, Hall County, TX, Hemphill County, TX, Lipscomb County, TX, Roberts County, TX, Wheeler County, TX

The radar

The Amarillo radar (KAMA), 104 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 20:08 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The watches that followed

Watches SPC issued over any of the same counties within four hours of this discussion.

The nearest sounding before it

Amarillo Airport, TX (KAMA), launched 12:00Z, 8.2 hours before the alert went out and 104 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Amarillo Airport, TX at 12:00Z on 2006-05-28Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 1037 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Amarillo Airport, TX at 12:00Z on 2006-05-28The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 143 square meters per square second.193958Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
1037 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-178 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
1542 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
13 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
143 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
203 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.9

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

000 
ACUS11 KWNS 282011
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 282011 
OKZ000-KSZ000-TXZ000-282215-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1012
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0311 PM CDT SUN MAY 28 2006

AREAS AFFECTED...EASTERN TX/OK PANHANDLES...SWRN KS

CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL 

VALID 282011Z - 282215Z

...THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP ALONG THE DRYLINE...

BOUNDARY LAYER TEMPERATURES HAVE WARMED RAPIDLY THROUGH THE MID 90S
ACROSS THE SRN HIGH PLAINS FROM THE TX PANHANDLE INTO SWRN KS. 
LATEST DIAGNOSTIC FIELDS SUGGEST LOWEST 3 KM LAPSE RATES ARE NEAR
DRY ADIABATIC ALONG THE DRYLINE WHICH STRETCHES ALONG THIS AXIS. 
LATEST SATELLITE IMAGERY SUPPORT THESE TRENDS WITH AN EXPANDING CU
FIELD ALONG THIS CONFLUENCE ZONE.  FORECAST SOUNDINGS SUGGEST
MODIFIED INVERTED-V PROFILES WILL SUPPORT THUNDERSTORM BASES NEAR
650 MB.  NEEDLESS TO SAY...SBCAPE VALUES IN EXCESS OF 2000 J/KG AND
SUBSTANTIAL DRY SUB CLOUD LAYER WILL PROVE SUPPORTIVE OF STRONG
DOWNBURSTS WITH MULTICELL UPDRAFTS THAT DRIFT NEWD OFF THE DRYLINE
LATER THIS EVENING.

..DARROW.. 05/28/2006

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...OUN...DDC...LUB...AMA...

35450136 37229995 37169908 34020051 34260161

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
May 28, 3:51 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCBeaver, Beckham, Custer, Dewey, Ellis, Greer and 7 more6 hr
May 28, 3:06 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBrooks, Dimmit, Duval, Frio, Hidalgo, Jim Hogg and 14 more114 min
May 28, 5:00 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCBorden, Coke, Concho, Crockett, Fisher, Garza and 21 more4 hr

Nearby

Mesoscale Discussions in Texas, 2006Mesoscale Discussions in Oklahoma, 2006Every mesoscale discussion in 2006

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.