Flash Flood Warning 27, NWS Salt Lake City, UT

000 
WGUS75 KSLC 042356
FFSSLC

FLASH FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SALT LAKE CITY UT
600 PM MDT FRI AUG 4 2006

UTC025-050100-
KANE UT-
600 PM MDT FRI AUG 4 2006

...A FLASH FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 700 PM MDT FOR
EASTERN KANE COUNTY...

AT 546 PM MDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR CONTINUED TO
INDICATE A THUNDERSTORM PRODUCING FLASH FLOODING OVER THE WARNED 
AREA.  HIGH WATER IS EXPECTED TO COURSE THROUGH WARM CREEK AND FLOW 
INTO WARM CREEK BAY OF LAKE POWELL BY APPROXIMATELY 7PM THIS EVENING.

LAT...LON 3724 11169 3701 11145 3717 11132 3749 11157
      3755 11172

$$

MCINERNEY

000 
WGUS75 KSLC 050053
FFSSLC

FLASH FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SALT LAKE CITY UT
651 PM MDT FRI AUG 4 2006

UTC025-050101-
KANE UT-
651 PM MDT FRI AUG 4 2006

...THE FLASH FLOOD WARNING WILL EXPIRE AT 700 PM MDT FOR EASTERN KANE
COUNTY...

THUNDERSTORMS HAVE DISSIPATED ACROSS THE WARNING AREA. WATER
WILL CONTINUE TO RUN THROUGH WARM CREEK BAY DURING THE EVENING
HOURS BUT THE THREAT FOR FLASH FLOODING HAS ENDED.

LAT...LON 3724 11169 3701 11145 3717 11132 3749 11157
      3755 11172

$$

TARDY

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SALT LAKE CITY UT
320 PM MDT FRI AUG 4 2006

.SYNOPSIS...AN UPPER TROUGH ALONG THE CALIFORNIA COAST WILL KEEP A
SOUTHWESTERLY FLOW OVER THE AREA THROUGH THE WEEKEND AND INTO EARLY
NEXT WEEK. MOISTURE WILL REMAIN OVER MUCH OF THE REGION THE NEXT FEW
DAYS.

&&

.DISCUSSION...WATER VAPOR IMAGERY CONTINUES TO INDICATE MOISTURE
STREAMING NORTHEAST ACROSS THE SOUTHEAST HALF OF UTAH.  DRIER AIR
HAS PUNCHED INTO THE NORTHWEST CORNER.  FIRST IMPULSE IS NOW WORKING
ACROSS EAST CENTRAL UTAH INTO COLORADO.  SECOND IMPULSE IS MOVING
THROUGH CENTRAL ARIZONA...WITH ADDITIONAL UPWARD MOTION BEING
GENERATED BY UPPER LEVEL SPEED MAX...DIVERGENCE ALOFT. CONVECTION
HAS BEEN FIRING ON NORTH RIM AND IS NOW SLIPPING INTO SOUTHERN
UTAH.  DESPITE EXTENSIVE CLOUD COVER...AIRMASS APPEARS TO HAVE
DESTABILIZED SUFFICIENTLY.  VERY MOIST AIRMASS IN PLACE WITH PW
VALUES IN EXCESS OF 1 INCH.   ALL CONSIDERED FLASH FLOOD WATCH
CONTINUES FOR THIS EVENING.  WRF AND GFS BOTH SUGGEST SLIGHTLY DRIER
IN PLACE FOR SATURDAY AND ABSENCE OF ANY SIGNIFICANT FORCING...SO
HAVE PULLED BACK ON POPS AND LOWERED FLASH FLOOD POTENTIAL RATING TO
MODERATE CATEGORY...WHICH MIGHT STILL BE TOO HIGH.  SUNDAY AND
MONDAY IN PARTICULAR...LOOK MORE ACTIVE WITH HIGHER PRECIPITABLE
WATER IN PLACE AND IMPROVING DYNAMICS.  TUESDAY A BIT IN QUESTION AS
SYSTEM CLEARS THE REGION...SO NO CHANGES.  FROM WEDNESDAY
ON...SHOULD ONLY SEE ISOLATED ACTIVITY IN THE HIGHER TERRAIN AREAS.

WITH MORE SUNSHINE ON SATURDAY...HAVE BOOSTED HIGH TEMPERATURES A
BIT FROM PREVIOUS PACKAGE.  OTHERWISE...NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGES.

&&

.AVIATION...LAKE BREEZE IS STILL EXPECTED TO DEVELOP LATE THIS
AFTERNOON SOMETIME BETWEEN 22Z AND 23Z. THUNDERSTORMS HAVE NOT
DEVELOPED AS EXPECTED AS TOWERING CUMULUS HAS TRIED TO DEVELOP ON
THE OQUIRRHS...BUT CUMULUS DEVELOPMENT IS BEING LIMITED. THE WINDOW
FOR THUNDERSTORMS APPEARS TO SLIDING TO A 00Z THROUGH 02Z WINDOW.
THERE IS A 20 PERCENT CHANCE FOR THUNDERSTORMS THIS EVENING BETWEEN
00Z AND 02Z.

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...DEEP MOISTURE CONTINUES TO SPREAD ACROSS UTAH...AND
HAS ALREADY RESULTED IN SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS
MOST OF THE FIRE DISTRICT. ADDITIONAL SHOWER AND THUNDERSTORM
DEVELOPMENT IS EXPECTED LATER TODAY...WITH WETTING RAINS POSSIBLE.
THE BEST CHANCE FOR WETTING RAIN WILL BE IN SOUTHEASTERN
UTAH...WHERE A WEAK DISTURBANCE WILL MOVE THROUGH THIS AFTERNOON. A
TROUGH OFF THE COAST OF CALIFORNIA WILL KEEP MOIST SOUTHERLY FLOW
OVER THE AREA THROUGH THE WEEKEND.

&&

.SLC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
UT...FLASH FLOOD WATCH UNTIL 10 PM MDT UTZ012-013-017-018-020-021.
WY...NONE.

&&

BARJENBRUCH/HALL/TRAPHAGAN