Severe Thunderstorm Warning 352, NWS Springfield, MO

000 
WWUS53 KSGF 140053
SVSSGF

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
753 PM CDT SUN AUG 13 2006

MOC015-140130-
/O.CON.KSGF.SV.W.0352.000000T0000Z-060814T0130Z/
BENTON MO-
753 PM CDT SUN AUG 13 2006

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 830 PM CDT
FOR SOUTHEASTERN BENTON COUNTY...

AT 751 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR CONTINUED TO
INDICATE A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING DAMAGING WINDS IN
EXCESS OF 60 MPH.  THIS STORM WAS LOCATED NEAR FRISTOE...OR ABOUT 9
MILES SOUTHEAST OF WARSAW...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 15 MPH.

THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WILL BE NEAR...
  EDWARDS BY 810 PM CDT
  HASTAIN BY 820 PM CDT
  KNOBBY BY 825 PM CDT
  LAKEVIEW HEIGHTS AND ZORA BY 830 PM CDT

PEOPLE IN THE PATH OF THIS STORM SHOULD PREPARE IMMEDIATELY FOR 
DAMAGING WINDS AND DEADLY CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING. MOVE TO AN 
INDOOR SHELTER AND STAY AWAY FROM WINDOWS.

LAT...LON 3815 9339 3807 9335 3810 9307 3832 9308

$$

LINDENBERG

000 
WWUS53 KSGF 140109
SVSSGF

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
808 PM CDT SUN AUG 13 2006

MOC015-140130-
/O.CON.KSGF.SV.W.0352.000000T0000Z-060814T0130Z/
BENTON MO-
808 PM CDT SUN AUG 13 2006

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 830 PM CDT
FOR SOUTHEASTERN BENTON COUNTY...

AT 806 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR CONTINUED TO
INDICATE A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING DAMAGING WINDS IN
EXCESS OF 60 MPH.  THIS STORM WAS LOCATED NEAR EDWARDS...OR ABOUT 11
MILES SOUTHEAST OF WARSAW...MOVING EAST AT 15 MPH.

THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WILL BE NEAR...
  EDWARDS BY 815 PM CDT
  HASTAIN BY 820 PM CDT
  KNOBBY BY 830 PM CDT

PEOPLE IN THE PATH OF THIS STORM SHOULD PREPARE IMMEDIATELY FOR 
DAMAGING WINDS AND DEADLY CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING. MOVE TO AN 
INDOOR SHELTER AND STAY AWAY FROM WINDOWS.

LAT...LON 3815 9339 3807 9335 3810 9307 3827 9309

$$

LINDENBERG

000 
WWUS53 KSGF 140119
SVSSGF

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
819 PM CDT SUN AUG 13 2006

MOC015-140129-
/O.CAN.KSGF.SV.W.0352.000000T0000Z-060814T0130Z/
BENTON MO-
819 PM CDT SUN AUG 13 2006

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR SOUTHEASTERN BENTON COUNTY 
HAS BEEN CANCELLED...

WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED THAT THE THUNDERSTORMS WHICH 
PROMPTED THE WARNING HAVE WEAKENED AND NO LONGER POSE AN IMMEDIATE 
THREAT TO LIFE OR PROPERTY. THEREFORE THE WARNING HAS BEEN CANCELLED.

LAT...LON 3815 9339 3807 9335 3810 9307 3827 9309

$$

LINDENBERG

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
621 PM CDT SUN AUG 13 2006

...UPDATED AVIATION DISCUSSION...

.DISCUSSION...

ISOLATED SHOWERS HAVE DEVELOPED DURING THE PAST HOUR ALONG THE
ARKANSAS STATE LINE. WITH MORE LOW LEVEL MOISTURE
AVAILABLE...MLCAPES OF 2000 J/KG ALLOWING MORE WIDESPREAD CUMULUS
DEVELOPMENT. WATER VAPOR IMAGERY AND KSGF 12Z SOUNDING STILL SHOW
QUITE A BIT OF DRY AIR ALOFT WITH THE UPPER RIDGE. HAVE SMALL POPS
TO ACCOUNT FOR ANYTHING THAT MAY DEVELOP.

COLD FRONT EXTENDING FROM SW IA TO CNTRL KS EARLY THIS AFTERNOON IS
STILL PROGGED TO MOVE FAIRLY QUICKLY SOUTHEAST THROUGH THE FORECAST
AREA LATE TONIGHT AND MONDAY MORNING. CONVECTION SHOULD CONTINUE TO
DEVELOP ALONG THE FRONT AND MOVE SOUTHEAST TOWARD THE FORECAST AREA
TONIGHT. LIMITED INSTABILITY BY THAT TIME SHOULD PRECLUDE MUCH OF A
SEVERE THREAT...MAYBE A LOW END WIND THREAT. THE TIMING OF THE
FRONTAL PASSAGE MAY LIMIT AFTERNOON DESTABILIZATION...BUT THE WRF
DOES INDICATE THAT SOUTH CENTRAL MO MAY ESCAPE MUCH OF THE
CLOUDS/PRECIP...WITH MLCAPES OF 2500 J/KG (POINT FORECAST SOUNDING
ALTON MO). WILL HAVE THE HIGHEST POPS IN NORTHWEST PORTIONS OF THE
FORECAST AREA LATE TONIGHT AND EARLY MONDAY MORNING...AND IN THE
SOUTHEAST ON MONDAY AFTERNOON. THE GFS IS FASTER WITH THE
FROPA...AND IT IS CONCEIVABLE THAT CONVECTIVE REDEVELOPMENT MAY TAKE
PLACE SOUTHEAST OF THE REGION.

IT SHOULD BE A COUPLE OF NICE DAYS BEHIND THE FRONT WITH LOWER
DEWPOINTS AND NEAR SEASONABLE AFTERNOON TEMPERATURES...ESPECIALLY
OVER CENTRAL MO. THERE MAY BE SOME ISOLATED CONVECTION OVER EXTREME
SOUTHWEST MO TUESDAY AFTERNOON WHERE LOW LEVEL MOISTURE POOLS ALONG
THE STALLED 850MB FRONT.

THE UPPER RIDGE BUILDS BACK TO THE NORTH LATE IN THE WORK WEEK...AND
WENT A BIT ABOVE NCEP AND OPERATIONAL GUIDANCE TEMPERATURES. DSA

&&

.AVIATION...

FOR THE 0000 UTC TAFS...ISOLATED SHRA/TSRA WILL SUBSIDE BY SUNSET
AND COVERAGE SHOULD BE SUFFICIENTLY LOW TO NOT REQUIRE MENTION IN
THE TAFS...THOUGH WILL AMEND IF NECESSARY. NEXT CHANCE OF SHRA/TSRA
WILL ARRIVE MONDAY MORNING AS COLD FRONT APPROACHES THE TERMINALS.
ITS LIKELY THAT WHATEVER IS LEFT OF THE TSTMS OVER KS AND NW MO THIS
EVENING WILL BE WEAKENING AS DROPS SLOWLY SOUTHWARD INTO THE OZARKS.
GIVEN THE UNFAVORABLE TIME OF DAY DECIDED TO ONLY MENTION VCTS IN
TAFS FOR NOW...BUT WITH LOW LEVEL JET PROGGED TO CRANK UP TONIGHT
ITS NOT IMPOSSIBLE THAT TSTMS COULD REMAIN MORE ACTIVE LATE INTO THE
NIGHT AND INTO MONDAY MORNING. WINDS WILL VEER AROUND TO THE NORTH
MIDDAY MONDAY WITH TSTM CHANCES MOVING SOUTH OF THE TERMINALS CLOSER
TO THE AR/MO BORDER.

IZZI

&&

.SGF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...

MO...NONE.
KS...NONE.

WFO SGF

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
210 PM CDT SUN AUG 13 2006

KSZ073-097-101-MOZ055>058-066>071-077>083-088>098-101>106-141815-
BOURBON-CRAWFORD-CHEROKEE-BENTON-MORGAN-MILLER-MARIES-VERNON-
ST. CLAIR-HICKORY-CAMDEN-PULASKI-PHELPS-BARTON-CEDAR-POLK-DALLAS-
LACLEDE-TEXAS-DENT-JASPER-DADE-GREENE-WEBSTER-WRIGHT-NEWTON-
LAWRENCE-CHRISTIAN-DOUGLAS-HOWELL-SHANNON-MCDONALD-BARRY-STONE-
TANEY-OZARK-OREGON-
210 PM CDT SUN AUG 13 2006

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF THE MISSOURI
OZARKS AND EXTREME SOUTHEAST KANSAS.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE THIS AFTERNOON AND EARLY
THIS EVENING. ONE OR TWO STORMS MAY BE CAPABLE OF STRONG WINDS...BUT
WIDESPREAD SEVERE WEATHER IS NOT EXPECTED.

THUNDERSTORMS ARE ALSO EXPECTED TO DEVELOP OVER THE CENTRAL PLAINS
IN NEBRASKA AND KANSAS LATER TODAY. THESE STORMS ARE EXPECTED TO
DEVELOP INTO ONE OR MORE CLUSTERS OF STORMS AND MOVE SOUTHEAST
TONIGHT. THE WEAKENING STORMS ARE EXPECTED TO MOVE INTO INTO WEST
CENTRAL MISSOURI AND PORTIONS OF SOUTHEAST KANSAS LATE TONIGHT AFTER
3 AM. THE RISK OF SEVERE WEATHER IS LOW...BUT WIND GUSTS OF 40 TO 50
MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE.

IN ADDITION TO THE THUNDERSTORMS CHANCES...HEAT INDEX VALUES WILL
REACH UP TO NEAR 105 DEGREES OVER PORTIONS OF WESTER MISSOURI AND
SOUTHEAST KANSAS THIS AFTERNOON...MAINLY WEST OF A PINEVILLE TO
OSCEOLA LINE.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY.

THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO BE ONGOING OVER PORTIONS OF THE
OUTLOOK AREA...AFFECTING AREAS MAINLY ALONG AND NORTH OF
INTERSTATE 44 IN THE MORNING AS A COLD FRONT BEGINS TO PUSH
THROUGH THE REGION.

CLOUDINESS AND LINGERING PRECIPITATION WILL LIKELY HAMPER
DESTABILIZATION OF THE ATMOSPHERE DURING THE DAY ON MONDAY. SOME
SUNSHINE AND INSTABILITY IS EXPECTED TO DEVELOP IN COUNTIES ALONG
THE ARKANSAS STATE LINE IN SOUTH CENTRAL MISSOURI DURING THE
AFTERNOON. STRONG TO ISOLATED SEVERE STORMS MAY BE POSSIBLE
SOUTHEAST OF A EMINENCE TO GAINESVILLE LINE AFTER 3 PM WITH
DAMAGING WINDS THE MAIN STORM HAZARD.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE NEEDED THROUGH TONIGHT.

&&

THIS PRODUCT IS NOW AVAILABLE IN GRAPHICAL FORMAT...ALONG WITH
OTHER WEATHER...HYDROLOGICAL AND CLIMATE INFORMATION...AT
HTTP://WWW.CRH.NOAA.GOV/SGF(ALL LOWERCASE)

DSA