Flash Flood Warning 96, NWS Springfield, MO

000 
WGUS73 KSGF 251406
FFSSGF

FLASH FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
900 AM CDT FRI AUG 25 2006

MOC185-251845-
ST. CLAIR MO-
900 AM CDT FRI AUG 25 2006

...A FLASH FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 145 PM CDT FOR ST.
CLAIR COUNTY...

AT 855 AM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED 
SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS WITH HEAVY RAINFALL ACROSS ST. CLAIR COUNTY. 
HOWEVER THE OVERALL COVERAGE HAD DECREASED. RADAR ESTIMATED RAINFALL 
AMOUNTS RANGED FROM ONE TO ONE AND A HALF INCHES ACROSS THE WARNED 
AREA. ADDITIONAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF ONE HALF TO ONE INCH WILL BE 
POSSIBLE IN LOCALIZED AREAS. 

EXCESSIVE RUNOFF FROM THE HEAVY RAINFALL WILL CAUSE FLOODING OF 
FLOOD PRONE SMALL CREEKS AND STREAMS...AND POSSIBLY SOME LOW WATER 
CROSSINGS. 

LAT...LON 3791 9406 3790 9380 3784 9381 3783 9360
      3792 9361 3792 9353 3818 9352 3820 9403

$$

FOSTER

000 
WGUS73 KSGF 251613
FFSSGF

FLASH FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
1112 AM CDT FRI AUG 25 2006

MOC185-251622-
ST. CLAIR MO-
1112 AM CDT FRI AUG 25 2006

...THE FLASH FLOOD WARNING HAS BEEN CANCELLED FOR ST. CLAIR COUNTY...

LAW ENFORCEMENT OFFICIALS REPORT THAT NO FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND 
THE THREAT FOR ADDITIONAL HEAVY RAINFALL AND FLOODING HAS DIMISHED.

LAT...LON 3791 9406 3790 9380 3784 9381 3783 9360
      3792 9361 3792 9353 3818 9352 3820 9403

$$

IZZI

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
741 AM CDT FRI AUG 25 2006

.DISCUSSION...
HAVE MADE SOME FIRST PERIOD ADJUSTMENTS TO ACCOMMODATE FOR ONGOING
THUNDERSTORM COMPLEX.  INCREASED POPS TO LIKELY OVER MANY AREAS.

LOW LEVEL JET HAS VEERED AND ALLOWED ADDITIONAL DEVELOPMENT OF
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS EXTREME SOUTHEAST KANSAS AND
SOUTHWEST MISSOURI.  THIS DEVELOPMENT WAS MORE NOTICEABLE WITHIN AN
AREA OF HIGHER INSTABILITY WHERE HIGH LEVELS OF MID LEVEL R.H. WAS
SHIFTING IN FROM THE WEST.  CAPE VALUES ARE JUST UNDER LEVELS THAT
WOULD ALLOW FOR SEVERE UPDRAFTS...HOWEVER STRONG STORMS HAVE
DEVELOPED WITHIN THE COMPLEX AND WILL CONTINUE TO MONITOR THOSE
CLOSELY FOR MICROBURST POTENTIAL.

THERE SHOULD BE A GOOD CHANCE FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS THIS
AFTERNOON AND EVENING AS HEATING OCCURS.  12Z RAOB HAS SHOWN A SLIGHT
INCREASE IN MID LEVEL MOISTURE...ULTIMATELY STEEPENING MID LEVEL
LAPSE RATES SOME.  AREAS THAT ARE EXPOSED TO SUN THIS AFTERNOON WILL
LIKELY ACQUIRE 2000-3000 J/KG OF ML CAPE.  THIS WILL BE SUFFICIENT
FOR SEVERE UPDRAFTS WITH MICROBURSTS BEING THE MAIN HAZARD.  STAY
TUNED FOR FURTHER UPDATES AS THIS ONGOING WEATHER SITUATION UNFOLDS.

&&

.AVIATION...
NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS HAVE DEVELOPED ACROSS SOUTHWEST
MISSOURI AND INTO CENTRAL MISSOURI.  WILL BE UPDATING TAFS
PERIODICALLY THROUGHOUT THE MORNING TO ACCOMMODATE FOR THIS
ACTIVITY.  SOUTHERLY WINDS SHOULD PERSIST...AND CEILINGS SHOULD
REMAIN VFR.  LOOK FOR MVFR TO IFR VISIBILITIES WHERE THUNDERSTORMS
EXIST.

&&

.SGF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...

MO...NONE.
KS...NONE.

CRAMER

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
355 AM CDT FRI AUG 25 2006

KSZ073-097-101-MOZ055>058-066>071-077>083-088>098-101>106-260900-
BOURBON-CRAWFORD-CHEROKEE-BENTON-MORGAN-MILLER-MARIES-VERNON-
ST. CLAIR-HICKORY-CAMDEN-PULASKI-PHELPS-BARTON-CEDAR-POLK-DALLAS-
LACLEDE-TEXAS-DENT-JASPER-DADE-GREENE-WEBSTER-WRIGHT-NEWTON-
LAWRENCE-CHRISTIAN-DOUGLAS-HOWELL-SHANNON-MCDONALD-BARRY-STONE-
TANEY-OZARK-OREGON-
355 AM CDT FRI AUG 25 2006

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF THE MISSOURI
OZARKS AND EXTREME SOUTHEAST KANSAS.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

  WEATHER HAZARDS EXPECTED:

 THUNDERSTORMS CONTAINING DAMAGING WIND GUSTS UP TO 70 MPH...HAIL UP
 TO THE SIZE OF QUARTERS...FREQUENT CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING...AND
 BRIEF PERIODS OF HEAVY RAIN THAT MAY CAUSE SOME LOCALIZED FLASH
 FLOODING.

  AREAS AFFECTED AND TIMING:

 THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE NORTH OF THE INTERSTATE 44 CORRIDOR
 DURING THE MORNING HOURS.  THEN STORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE ACROSS ALL
 OF EXTREME SOUTHEAST KANSAS AND THE MISSOURI OZARKS THIS AFTERNOON.

  DISCUSSION:

 A SIGNIFICANT INCREASE IN MOISTURE WILL CONTINUE TO GRADUALLY SHIFT
 INTO THE REGION TODAY. THIS INCREASE IN MOISTURE COMBINED WITH AN
 INCREASE IN INSTABILITY DUE TO SUNSHINE...WILL PROVIDE AN
 AIRMASS CONDUCIVE TO STRONG TO SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS TODAY.
 THE PRIMARY HAZARD ASSOCIATED WITH THIS ACTIVITY WILL BE DAMAGING
 WINDS UP TO 70 MPH. HOWEVER...HAIL UP TO THE SIZE OF QUARTERS CAN
 NOT BE RULED OUT. A FEW AREAS OF ISOLATED FLASH FLOODING ALSO CAN
 NOT BE RULED OUT.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY.

 A COLD FRONT WILL STALL OUT ACROSS THE OSAGE PLAINS AND OZARKS
 REGION THROUGH THE WEEKEND. WITH COPIOUS AMOUNTS OF MOISTURE
 PRESENT WITHIN THE ATMOSPHERE...THIS STALLED OUT FRONT WILL
 BECOME A FOCUS FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS
 ON A DAILY BASIS. IF SUFFICIENT BREAKS IN CLOUD COVER OCCURS FOR
 STRONG DAYTIME HEATING...THEN STRONG TO SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WILL
 BE LIKELY BOTH SATURDAY AND SUNDAY AFTERNOONS.  DAMAGING WIND
 GUSTS WILL BE THE PRIMARY HAZARD.  SOME SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WILL
 BE POSSIBLE ON MONDAY AFTERNOON OVER SOUTH CENTRAL MISSOURI AS
 THE FRONT BECOMES POSITION CLOSER TO THIS AREA.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

 SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NEEDED TODAY FOR DAMAGING WIND REPORTS.

&&

THIS PRODUCT IS NOW AVAILABLE IN GRAPHICAL FORMAT...ALONG WITH
OTHER WEATHER...HYDROLOGICAL AND CLIMATE INFORMATION...AT
HTTP://WWW.CRH.NOAA.GOV/SGF(ALL LOWERCASE)

CRAMER