Wind Advisory 12, NWS Seattle, WA

000 
WWUS76 KSEW 121900
NPWSEW

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SEATTLE WA
1100 AM PST TUE DEC 12 2006

WAZ001-503-506-510-130700-
/O.CON.KSEW.WI.Y.0012.061213T0800Z-061213T2000Z/
SAN JUAN COUNTY-WESTERN WHATCOM COUNTY-WESTERN SKAGIT COUNTY-
ADMIRALTY INLET AREA-
1100 AM PST TUE DEC 12 2006

...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO 12 PM
PST WEDNESDAY...

A WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT UNTIL
NOON ON WEDNESDAY.

ANOTHER FRONT WILL REACH THE AREA TONIGHT. BY ABOUT MIDNIGHT
TONIGHT SOUTHERLY WINDS WILL RISE TO AROUND 30 MPH WITH GUSTS TO
50 MPH. WINDS WILL SUBSIDE BY DAYBREAK BEHIND THE FRONT...BUT THEN
SOUTHWESTERLY WINDS OF 20 TO 30 MPH WILL DEVELOP LATER WEDNESDAY
MORNING AS A VIGOROUS TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE MOVES OVER THE
REGION. WINDS THIS STRONG CAN SNAP SMALL TREE BRANCHES AND CAUSE
LOCAL POWER OUTAGES.

$$

MM

000 
WWUS76 KSEW 130459
NPWSEW

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SEATTLE WA
859 PM PST TUE DEC 12 2006

WAZ504-505-507>509-511-131300-
/O.EXB.KSEW.WI.Y.0012.061213T1400Z-061213T2000Z/
SOUTHWEST INTERIOR-EAST PUGET SOUND LOWLANDS-EVERETT AND VICINITY-
SEATTLE/BREMERTON AREA-TACOMA AREA-HOOD CANAL AREA-
859 PM PST TUE DEC 12 2006

...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 6 AM TO 12 PM PST WEDNESDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN SEATTLE HAS ISSUED A WIND
ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 6 AM TO 12 PM PST WEDNESDAY. 

A STRONG FRONT WILL MOVE THROUGH THE AREA DURING THE EARLY MORNING
HOURS ON WEDNESDAY. THE COMBINATION OF PRESSURE RISES TO THE
SOUTH OF THE AREA BEHIND THIS FRONT...AND A DEEP LOW PRESSURE
SYSTEM MOVING BY WELL TO THE NORTH OF THE AREA...WILL BRING
SOUTHERLY WINDS OF 25 TO 35 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 50 MPH WEDNESDAY
MORNING. WINDS WILL GRADUALLY DIMINISH DURING THE AFTERNOON HOURS.

WINDS THIS STRONG CAN SNAP SMALL TREE BRANCHES AND CAUSE LOCAL
POWER OUTAGES.

$$

WAZ001-503-506-510-131300-
/O.CON.KSEW.WI.Y.0012.061213T0800Z-061213T2000Z/
SAN JUAN COUNTY-WESTERN WHATCOM COUNTY-WESTERN SKAGIT COUNTY-
ADMIRALTY INLET AREA-
859 PM PST TUE DEC 12 2006

...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO 12 PM
PST WEDNESDAY...

ANOTHER FRONT WILL REACH THE AREA DURING THE EARLY MORNING HOURS.
BY ABOUT MIDNIGHT TONIGHT...SOUTHEAST WINDS WILL RISE TO AROUND 30
MPH WITH GUSTS TO 50 MPH. WINDS WILL BRIEFLY SUBSIDE IMMEDIATELY
BEHIND THE FRONT WEDNESDAY MORNING...BUT WILL RISE AGAIN TO SOUTH
25 TO 35 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 50 MPH AS PRESSURES RISE TO THE SOUTH
OF THE AREA AND DEEP LOW PRESSURE MOVES BY WELL TO THE NORTH. WIND
WILL GRADUALLY DIMINISH DURING THE AFTERNOON HOURS.

WINDS THIS STRONG CAN SNAP SMALL TREE BRANCHES AND CAUSE LOCAL
POWER OUTAGES.

$$

ALBRECHT
WEATHER.GOV/SEATTLE

000 
WWUS76 KSEW 131215
NPWSEW

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SEATTLE WA
415 AM PST WED DEC 13 2006

WAZ504-505-507>509-511-132000-
/O.EXT.KSEW.WI.Y.0012.061213T1215Z-061213T2000Z/
SOUTHWEST INTERIOR-EAST PUGET SOUND LOWLANDS-EVERETT AND VICINITY-
SEATTLE/BREMERTON AREA-TACOMA AREA-HOOD CANAL AREA-
415 AM PST WED DEC 13 2006

...WIND ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON PST TODAY...

THE WIND ADVISORY IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON PST TODAY. 

STRONG PRESSURE RISES BEHIND A FRONT THAT MOVED THROUGH EARLY
THIS MORNING WILL GENERATE STRONG GUSTY WINDS OVER INTERIOR
WESTERN WASHINGTON THIS MORNING. EXPECT SOUTHERLY WINDS OF 25 TO
35 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 45 MPH THIS MORNING OVER THE SOUTHWEST
INTERIOR AND PUGET SOUND REGION. WINDS WILL DIMINISH THROUGH THE
AFTERNOON. 

WINDS THIS STRONG CAN SNAP SMALL TREE BRANCHES AND CAUSE LOCAL
POWER OUTAGES.

$$

WAZ001-503-506-510-132000-
/O.NEW.KSEW.HW.A.0009.061214T2100Z-061215T1200Z/
/O.CON.KSEW.WI.Y.0012.000000T0000Z-061213T2000Z/
SAN JUAN COUNTY-WESTERN WHATCOM COUNTY-WESTERN SKAGIT COUNTY-
ADMIRALTY INLET AREA-
415 AM PST WED DEC 13 2006

...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON PST TODAY...
...HIGH WIND WATCH IN EFFECT FROM THURSDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH LATE
THURSDAY NIGHT...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN SEATTLE HAS ISSUED A HIGH WIND
WATCH...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM THURSDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH LATE
THURSDAY NIGHT. A WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON PST
TODAY. 

STRONG PRESSURE RISES BEHIND A FRONT THAT MOVED THROUGH EARLY
THIS MORNING WILL GENERATE STRONG GUSTY WINDS OVER THE AREA THIS
MORNING. EXPECT SOUTHERLY WINDS OF 25 TO 35 MPH WITH GUSTS OF 40
TO 50 MPH EARLY THIS MORNING...GRADUALLY TURNING WEST BEFORE
EASING THIS AFTERNOON. WINDS THIS STRONG CAN SNAP SMALL TREE
BRANCHES AND CAUSE LOCAL POWER OUTAGES.

A HIGH WIND WATCH HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR THE POTENTIAL OF STRONG
DAMAGING WINDS THURSDAY AFTERNOON AND THURSDAY NIGHT. SOUTHEAST
WINDS THURSDAY AFTERNOON MAY REACH SUSTAINED SPEEDS OF 30 TO 40
MPH WITH GUSTS TO 60 MPH. THE WIND IS THEN EXPECTED TO BECOME
SOUTHWEST THURSDAY NIGHT WHILE MAINTAINING HIGH WIND SPEEDS.

A HIGH WIND WATCH MEANS THERE IS THE POTENTIAL FOR A HAZARDOUS
HIGH WIND EVENT. SUSTAINED WINDS OF AT LEAST 40 MPH...OR GUSTS OF
60 MPH OR STRONGER MAY OCCUR. CONTINUE TO MONITOR THE LATEST
FORECASTS FROM THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE.

$$

WAZ514>517-132015-
/O.NEW.KSEW.HW.A.0009.061214T2100Z-061215T1200Z/
EASTERN STRAIT OF JUAN DE FUCA-WESTERN STRAIT OF JUAN DE FUCA-
NORTH COAST-CENTRAL COAST-
415 AM PST WED DEC 13 2006

...HIGH WIND WATCH IN EFFECT FROM THURSDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH LATE
THURSDAY NIGHT...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN SEATTLE HAS ISSUED A HIGH WIND
WATCH...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM THURSDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH LATE
THURSDAY NIGHT. 

A DEEP LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO APPROACH THE REGION
THURSDAY AFTERNOON...PASSING BY JUST TO THE NORTH THURSDAY NIGHT.
STRONG SOUTHEAST WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP THURSDAY AFTERNOON
IN ADVANCE OF THE LOW. AS THE LOW PASSES...STRONG WEST WINDS WILL
DEVELOP...ESPECIALLY DOWN THE STRAIT OF JUAN DE FUCA. STRONG AND
DAMAGING WINDS ARE POSSIBLE WITH THIS STORM BOTH IN ADVANCE OF AND
IN THE WAKE OF THIS STORM.

A HIGH WIND WATCH MEANS THERE IS THE POTENTIAL FOR A HAZARDOUS
HIGH WIND EVENT. SUSTAINED WINDS OF AT LEAST 40 MPH...OR GUSTS OF
60 MPH OR STRONGER MAY OCCUR. CONTINUE TO MONITOR THE LATEST
FORECASTS FROM THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE.

$$

CERNIGLIA

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SEATTLE WA
335 AM PST TUE DEC 12 2006

.SYNOPSIS...SHOWERS WILL GRADUALLY DIMINISH TODAY WITH THE SUN
POKING THROUGH AT TIMES. A STRONG FRONT WILL MOVE THROUGH THE AREA
EARLY WEDNESDAY MORNING BRINGING RAIN AND LOCALLY WINDY CONDITIONS.
WINDY CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE ONCE AGAIN THURSDAY NIGHT INTO FRIDAY
AND YET ANOTHER LOW MOVE ONSHORE. GENERALLY UNSETTLED CONDITIONS
WILL THEN CONTINUE INTO THE WEEKEND.

&&

.SHORT TERM...UNSTABLE AIR CONTINUES TO ADVECT OVER THE AREA FOR
PLENTY OF SHOWER ACTIVITY. THIS WILL DIMINISH THROUGH THE DAY. STILL
HAVE ENOUGH WIND IN THE LOW LEVELS THAT HEAVIER SHOWERS ARE MIXING
THIS MOMENTUM DOWN TO THE SURFACE AT TIMES FOR DECENT GUSTS. THIS TO
WILL DIMINISH THROUGH THE MORNING HOURS AS THE LOW TO MID LEVEL FLOW
RELAXES. THEN WE BEGIN TO RELOAD.

A 960 MB OR SO LOW IS FORECAST TO PLOW INTO THE QUEEN CHARLOTTES
WEDNESDAY MORNING. THIS LOW WILL DIRECT A FAIRLY STRONG FRONT ACROSS
THE AREA WEDNESDAY MORNING. RAIN WILL SPREAD ACROSS THE REGION
TONIGHT THEN TAPER TO SHOWERS WEDNESDAY MORNING. THE FRONT IS STRONG
ENOUGH THAT SHOULD BE ABLE TO REACH WIND ADVISORY CRITERIA FOR A
SHORT TIME OVER PARTS OF THE NW INTERIOR FOR SOUTHERLY WINDS. SO
HOISTED A WIND ADVISORY FOR LATE TONIGHT INTO WEDNESDAY MORNING THAT
AREA. WILL HAVE TO WATCH THE WESTERLY FLOW THAT DEVELOPS BY
WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON DOWN THE STRAIT...AS WE MAY NEED TO EXTEND THE
ADVISORY INTO THE AFTERNOON FOR WHIDBEY ISLAND.  FOR THE REST OF THE
LOWLAND AREAS...WEDNESDAY WILL BE BLUSTERY AND SHOWERY.

THIS FRONT WILL ALSO POSE SOME ISSUES FOR THE CASCADES AS WELL. WHEN
THE PRECIPITATION BEGINS LATE TONIGHT IT WILL BE SNOW AND WE SHOULD
BE ABLE TO TALLY UP A FAIR AMOUNT BEFORE THE SNOW LEVEL RISES. MAIN
CONCERN HOWEVER IS THE MOIST WESTERLY FLOW BEHIND THE FRONT THAT
WILL AFFECT THE DURING THE DAY WEDNESDAY. SHOULD HAVE ABOUT 30 KNOTS
OF MID LEVEL FLOW WITH THE SNOW LEVEL LOWERING TO PASS LEVEL AGAIN.
THEREFORE HAVE TOSSED UP A SNOW ADVISORY FOR LATE TONIGHT INTO
WEDNESDAY EVENING AS 24 HOUR AMOUNTS SHOULD BE ABLE TO REACH
ADVISORY CRITERIA. THIS MATCHES UP WELL WITH THE EAST SIDE OFFICES
AS WELL.  CERNIGLIA

.LONG TERM...THURS NIGHT AND FRIDAY...THE MODELS JUST CANT MAKE UP
THEIR MINDS.  SIGNIFICANT LOW WILL PLOW INTO THE NORTHWEST LATE
THURSDAY NIGHT AND THIS IDEA HAS BEEN RATHER CONSISTENT. THE PROBLEM
IS WHERE THE SURFACE LOW COMES ONSHORE WHICH MAKES A HUGE DIFFERENCE
IN WHAT WILL OCCUR...IE LIGHT NORTHERLY WINDS OR DAMAGING SOUTHERLY
WINDS. CURRENT RUNS ARE DRIVING THE SURFACE LOW SOUTHERN/CENTRAL
WASHINGTON WHICH WOULD NOT BE ANYWHERE NEAR AS BAD AS WHAT WAS
ADVERTISED EARLIER.  BEST BET WOULD BE TO HAVE THE LOW PASS TO OUR
NORTH WHICH THE CURRENT FORECAST LEANS TOWARD SO WILL MAKE NO
CHANGES TO THAT THOUGHT AT THIS POINT.

FOR THE WEEKEND...WE HAVE SHOWERS LIKELY FOR THE FORECAST BUT THAT
IS BEGINNING TO LOOK RATHER PESSIMISTIC AT THIS POINT. BEGINNING TO
LOOKS LIKE IT WILL BE DRIER...WITH LESS CLOUDS BUT TEMPS WILL BE
RATHER COOL. CANT ADDRESS THESE CHANGES ON THIS SHIFT SO HAVE TO
DEFER TO THE DAY SHIFT ON THAT ONE.  CERNIGLIA

&&

.AVIATION...SCATTERED -SHRA WILL OCCUR ACROSS THE AREA TIL ABOUT
20Z...AND THEN BECOME ISOLATED AND MOSTLY CONFINED TO THE CASCADES.
HOWEVER RAIN WILL REDEVELOP ON THE COAST AFTER 00Z. MEANWHILE...CIGS
WILL GENERALLY BE AOA 4K FT...EXCEPT NEAR 2K FT WITH HEAVIER SHRA
THIS MORNING. AFTER 20Z...CIGS WILL GENERALLY BE AOA 7K FT...EXCEPT
LOWERING TO NEAR 025 ON THE COAST AFTER 00Z. WEAKENING LOW LEVEL SLY
FLOW THIS MORNING WILL BECOME SE AND INCREASE AFTER 00Z AHEAD OF THE
NEXT FRONTAL SYSTEM.

AT KSEA...EXPECT OCCASIONAL -SHRA TIL 18Z...WITH CIGS GENERALLY AOA
3K FT. AFTER 18Z...CIGS EXPECTED TO LIFT TO 6K FT OR HIGHER. SLY
WINDS 9-15 KT TIL 18Z...THEN SUBSIDING TO 6-10 KT.

&&

MARINE...THE LARGE SWELLS SUBSIDED BELOW 20 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
HOWEVER EXPECT THE SWELLS TO BUILD UP TO 23 FT LATE WED AFTERNOON
BEHIND THE NEXT FRONTAL SYSTEM. THE SWELLS ARE ANTICIPATED TO THEN
REACH 31 FT LATE WED NIGHT. AT THIS TIME...WILL HOLD OFF ON ISSUING
A COASTAL FLOOD WATCH FOR WED NIGHT SINCE HIGH TIDE IS EXPECTED TO
BE ONLY ABOUT 9.5 FT ON THE CENTRAL COAST. HOWEVER LATER SHIFTS WILL
NEED TO KEEP A CLOSE EYE ON THE TIDAL ANOMALIES FOR ABERDEEN. HIGH
TIDES OF 12 FT OR HIGHER COMBINED WITH SWELLS OF 25 FT OR HIGHER
NORMALLY RESULTS IN COASTAL FLOODING ALONG THE CENTRAL WASHINGTON
COAST.

MEANWHILE...SOUTHERLY WINDS WILL INCREASE TONIGHT AHEAD OF THE NEXT
FRONTAL SYSTEM. GALES ARE LIKELY ACROSS THE COASTAL WATERS...
NORTHERN INLAND WATERS...ENTRANCES TO THE STRAIT...AND ADMIRALTY
INLET. GALE FORCE WESTERLIES ARE EXPECTED THRU THE STRAIT WED
AFTERNOON BEHIND THE FRONT. IT IS POSSIBLE THAT GALE FORCE S OR SW
WINDS COULD ALSO OCCUR ACROSS THE PUGET SOUND ON WED. WILL NEED TO
ALSO KEEP AN EYE OUT FOR THE POSSIBILITY OF BRIEF STORM FORCE
WESTERLIES THRU THE STRAIT WED AFTERNOON AND THE CENTRAL COASTAL
WATERS...S OF CAPE ELIZABETH...WED MORNING.

&&

.SEW WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
    ...GALE WARNING COASTAL WATERS...ENTRANCES TO THE STRAIT OF JUAN
       DE FUCA...ADMIRALTY INLET...NORTHERN INLAND WATERS.
    ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY ALL OTHER WATERS.
    ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY GRAYS HARBOR FOR ROUGH BAR CONDITIONS.
    ...SNOW ADVISORY FOR THE CASCADES LATE TONIGHT INTO WEDNESDAY
       NIGHT.
    ...WIND ADVISORY FOR THE NW INTERIOR LATE TONIGHT UNTIL NOON
       WEDNESDAY.
    ...FLOOD WARNING SKOKOMISH RIVER IN MASON COUNTY...