Alert archive / North Carolina / Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in 2006
Severe Thunderstorm Warning 98, NWS Blacksburg, VA
NWS Blacksburg, VA issued this severe thunderstorm warning at Jun 22, 2006, 3:41 PM EDT for Wilkes County, North Carolina. It was in force for 45 min. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.
The area
The counties it named.
The facts
- Issued
- Jun 22, 2006, 3:41 PM EDT (19:41 UTC)
- Expired
- Jun 22, 2006, 4:26 PM EDT
- In force
- 45 min
- Issued by
- NWS Blacksburg, VA
- Area
- Counties, with a storm outline in the text
County Wilkes County, NC
The radar
The Roanoke radar (KFCX), 121 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 19:45 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
The nearest sounding before it
Greensboro/Hi Pt, NC (KGSO), launched 12:00Z, 7.7 hours before the alert went out and 114 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 861 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- -178 J/kg
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 1479 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 9 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- 11 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 72 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 0.0
- Supercell composite
- 0.0
What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before this severe thunderstorm warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Blacksburg, VA wrote its last area forecast discussion before this severe thunderstorm warning went out at Jun 22, 3:08 PM EDT, 33 minutes earlier.
Area forecast discussion, Jun 22, 3:08 PM EDT, 33 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA 308 PM EDT THU JUN 22 2006 .SHORT TERM /TONIGHT THROUGH MONDAY/... LOW/MID LEVEL DRY AIR AND WARM AIR ALOFT IS CAPPING CONVECTION FOR THE MOST PART. HOWEVER SOME LOW LVL CONVERGENCE ALONG AND NEAR THE BLUE RDG HAS COMBINED WITH DIFFERENTIAL HTG TO SPUR A FEW ISOLATED SHOWERS ON THE EASTERN SLOPES OF NC. EXPECT ISOLATED ACTIVITY TO CONTINUE INTO THE EVENING AND POSSIBLY OVERNIGHT ALONG THE AREA OF CONVERGENCE/LEE TROF. TSTM ACTIVITY WILL INCREASE TMRW AS FRONTAL BNDRY PUSHES INTO THE SOUTHERN APPS AND THE UPR RIDGE BREAKS DOWN/FLATTENS OUT. THIS WILL INCREASE MOISTR AND INSTABILITY ACROSS THE AREA. SOMEWHAT COOLER TEMPS ALOFT WILL KNOCK A FEW DEGREES OF HIGH TEMPS TMRW COMPARED TO TDA. MOST MODELS IN AGREEMENT ON EVENTUALLY MOVING THE FRONTAL BNDRY TO NEAR THE BLUE RIDGE WITH WAVES MOVING UP ALONG THE BNDRY THRU THE WEEKEND AND PRODUCING PERIODS OF CONVECTION/POSSIBLY HEAVY RAIN. AS A RESULT POPS WILL BE IN THE HIGH CHANCE TO LIKELY CATEGORY FOR THE WEEKEND AND A HYDROLOGIC OUTLOOK WILL BE RE-ISSUED FOR THE THREAT OF FLOODING. && .LONG TERM /TUESDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/... HIGH UNCERTAINTY CONCERNING THE EXTENDED PORTION OF THE FORECAST. MODELS HINTING THAT BLOCKING PTTN MAY PERSIST THRU MIDWEEK...KEEPING THE FRONT IN THE GENERAL VICINITY. IN ADDITION...TROPICAL WAVE OVER THE ATLANTIC INDICATED TO MOVE NW TOWARD THE SOUTHEAST COAST AT SOME POINT NEXT WEEK. && .AVIATION... VFR CONDITIONS WITH WIDELY SCATTERED MVFR CONVECTION AND FOG EXPECTED DURING THE PERIOD. THE BEST CHANCE OF A THUNDERSTORM WILL OCCUR ALONG THE HIGHER TERRAIN ESPECIALLY IN SOUTHEAST WEST VIRGINIA. HIGH CLOUDS OVERNIGHT AHEAD OF A MCS OR PREFRONTAL BAND MAY HINDER LOW CLOUDS AND FOG DEVELOPMENT OVERNIGHT. LOOK FOR THE COVERAGE OF CONVECTION TO INCREASE FRIDAY WITH THE BEST CHANCE IN THE NORTHWEST. && .RNK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... VA...NONE. NC...NONE. WV...NONE. && JS/KK
Hazardous weather outlook, Jun 22, 3:27 AM EDT, 12 hours 14 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA 327 AM EDT THU JUN 22 2006 NCZ001>003-018-019-VAZ007-009>020-022>024-WVZ042>045-230730- ASHE-ALLEGHANY-SURRY-WATAUGA-WILKES-TAZEWELL-SMYTH-BLAND-GILES- WYTHE-PULASKI-MONTGOMERY-GRAYSON-CARROLL-FLOYD-CRAIG-BATH-ROANOKE- BOTETOURT-ROCKBRIDGE-MERCER-SUMMERS-MONROE-GREENBRIER- 327 AM EDT THU JUN 22 2006 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF NORTH CENTRAL NORTH CAROLINA...NORTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA...SOUTHWEST VIRGINIA... WEST CENTRAL VIRGINIA AND SOUTHEAST WEST VIRGINIA. .DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL BECOME MORE NUMEROUS AHEAD OF A COLD FRONT BY FRIDAY AFTERNOON AND THEN CONTINUE OFF AND ON THROUGH THE WEEKEND. SOME OF THESE STORMS COULD CONTAIN STRONG WINDS OR HAIL INTO FRIDAY EVENING. PERSISTENT HEAVY RAINS THIS WEEKEND AND EARLY NEXT WEEK MAY PRODUCE FLOODING CONDITIONS ALONG AREA CREEKS AND STREAMS...POSSIBLY EVEN MAIN STEM RIVERS. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE NEEDED. NCZ004>006-020-VAZ032>035-043>047-058-059-230730- STOKES-ROCKINGHAM-CASWELL-YADKIN-PATRICK-FRANKLIN-BEDFORD-AMHERST- HENRY-PITTSYLVANIA-CAMPBELL-APPOMATTOX-BUCKINGHAM-HALIFAX- CHARLOTTE- 327 AM EDT THU JUN 22 2006 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF NORTH CENTRAL NORTH CAROLINA...NORTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA...CENTRAL VIRGINIA... SOUTH CENTRAL VIRGINIA...SOUTHWEST VIRGINIA AND WEST CENTRAL VIRGINIA. .DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL DEVELOP AHEAD OF AN APPROACHING COLD FRONT BY FRIDAY AFTERNOON. SOME OF THE STORMS HAVE THE POTENTIAL TO BE LOCALLY STRONG TO SEVERE. PERSISTENT HEAVY RAINS THIS WEEKEND AND EARLY NEXT WEEK COULD PRODUCE FLOODING CONDITIONS ALONG AREA CREEKS AND STREAMS...POSSIBLY EVEN MAIN STEM RIVERS. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE NEEDED.
In the hours before
Special weather statement, Jun 22, 3:31 PM EDT, 10 minutes before
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA 331 PM EDT THU JUN 22 2006 NCZ019-020-222030- YADKIN NC-WILKES NC- 335 PM EDT THU JUN 22 2006 ...ISOLATED STRONG THUNDERSTORMS OVER WILKES AND YADKIN COUNTIES... AT 335 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A COUPLE OF STRONG THUNDERSTORMS OVER EASTERN WILKES AND WESTERN YADKIN COUNTIES. THE STORMS EXTENDED FROM NEAR WINDY GAP...EASTWARD INTO THE BUCK SHOALS AREA....AND WERE NEARLY STATIONARY. OTHER LOCATIONS THAT MAY BE AFFECTED THROUGH 4:30 PM INCLUDE RONDA AND SWANCREEK. THESE STORMS MAY PRODUCE WIND GUSTS TO 40 MPH AND SMALL HAIL. IN ADDITION...HEAVY DOWNPOURS OF UP TO ONE AND A HALF INCHES ARE POSSIBLE IN LESS THAN AN HOUR. THIS WILL LIKELY CAUSE SOME LOCALIZED MINOR FLOODING OF POOR DRAINAGE AREAS. LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR YOUR FAVORITE MEDIA OUTLET FOR UPDATES ON THIS DEVELOPING SITUATION. JJ
Nearby
Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in North Carolina, 2006Every severe thunderstorm warning in 2006
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.