Flash Flood Warning 5, NWS Blacksburg, VA

000 
WGUS71 KRNK 261350
FFSRNK

FLASH FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA
947 AM EDT MON JUN 26 2006

VAC163-678-261545-
CITY OF LEXINGTON VA-ROCKBRIDGE VA-
947 AM EDT MON JUN 26 2006

...A FLASH FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1145 AM EDT FOR 
ROCKBRIDGE COUNTY AND THE CITY OF LEXINGTON...

AT 944 AM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR CONTINUED TO
INDICATE A THUNDERSTORM PRODUCING VERY HEAVY RAIN.  THIS STORM WAS
LOCATED 11 MILES NORTH OF FAIRFIELD...OR ABOUT 14 MILES NORTHEAST OF
ROCKBRIDGE BATHS...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 30 MPH.

ADDITIONAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF AROUND AN INCH ARE POSSIBLE IN THE 
WARNED AREA. THIS WILL PRODUCE FLOODING ALONG THE MAURY RIVER AND 
SMALLER STREAMS ACROSS CENTRAL AND NORTHERN ROCKBRIDGE COUNTY.

DO NOT DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE INTO AREAS WHERE THE WATER COVERS THE
ROADWAY. THE WATER DEPTH MAY BE TOO GREAT TO ALLOW YOUR CAR TO CROSS
SAFELY. MOVE TO HIGHER GROUND.

FLOODING IS OCCURRING OR IS IMMINENT. IT IS IMPORTANT TO KNOW WHERE
YOU ARE RELATIVE TO STREAMS...RIVERS...OR CREEKS WHICH CAN BECOME
KILLERS IN HEAVY RAINS. CAMPERS AND HIKERS SHOULD AVOID STREAMS OR
CREEKS.

LAT...LON 3767 7967 3767 7944 3786 7926 3800 7949

$$

JH

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA
652 AM EDT MON JUN 26 2006

.AVIATION...

A LARGE BAND OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE MOUNTAINS
CONTINUES TO MOVE VERY SLOWLY NORTHWEST...WITH RAIN FILLING IN
OVER BLF AND LWB AROUND 12Z. CEILINGS AND VISIBILITIES WILL DROP
TO MVFR ONCE THE RAIN ARRIVES. WIDESPREAD IFR CEILING ALONG AND
EAST OF THE BLUE RIDGE WILL BE SLOW TO IMPROVE TODAY. ADDITIONAL
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP IN THE LATE
AFTERNOON AND CONTINUE OVERNIGHT. THIS WILL RESULT IN MVFR TO IFR
CONDITIONS AT THE END OF THE FORECAST PERIOD.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION...
 (ISSUED 302 AM EDT MON JUN 26 2006)

SHORT TERM /TODAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT/...

THERE WILL TWO PRIME AREAS FOR HEAVY RAINFALL TODAY AND TONIGHT. THE
FIRST IS IN THE VERY NEAR TERM THROUGH THE CENTRAL COUNTY WARNING
WERE THE RADAR IS SHOWING A WIDESPREAD AREA OF SHOWERS WITH A
HEAVIER BAND OF HIGHER REFLECTIVITIES IN THE ALLEGHANY HIGHLANDS AND
SOUTHERN SHENANDOAH OF THE BLUE RIDGE. THE SHOWERS OVER THE BLUE
RIDGE WILL MOVE WEST AND OUT OF THE COUNTY WARNING AREA THIS
MORNING...BUT NOT BEFORE PRODUCING ANOTHER 2 TO 4 INCHES OF RAIN.

THE SECOND WILL BE WITH IN THE EASTERN COUNTY WARNING AREA ALONG THE
PLUME OF MOISTURE SEEN ON THE WATER VAPOR LOOP FROM THE NORTHERN
BAHAMAS TO EASTERN VIRGINIA. MODELS SHOWING SOME ENHANCEMENT OF
UPSLOPE WINDS ALONG THE BLUE RIDGE NORTH OF ROANOKE AROUND 00Z
TONIGHT. BETWEEN THESE TWO AREAS...AS DURING PAST FEW DAYS...WILL
TAKE UNTIL LATE AFTERNOON TO EARLY EVENING FOR THUNDERSTORMS TO
DEVELOP.

ALL PARAMETERS TUESDAY STILL POINT TO ANOTHER PROLONGED PERIOD OF
WIDESPREAD MODERATE TO HEAVY RAINFALL. INFLOW OFF THE ATLANTIC IS
MAXIMIZED TUESDAY AS A SURFACE LOW MOVES THROUGH THE CAROLINAS AND
INTO VIRGINIA.

ONCE THIS LOW GOES BY TO THE NORTH THE PATTERN STARTS TO CHANGE. LOW
LEVELS WINDS BECOME WESTERLY AND DRIER AIR BEGINS TO MOVE INTO THE
REGION...ALTHOUGH RESIDUAL LOW LEVEL RELATIVE HUMIDITY REMAINS
THROUGH THURSDAY. NMM AND GFS HAVE SOME LIFT ON WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON
WITH A COLD FRONT CROSSING THROUGH THE FORECAST AREA...BUT NOT MUCH
IN THE MORNING SO WILL BE LOWERING CHANCE OF RAIN EARLY WEDNESDAY.

AS USUAL...TEMPERATURES WILL BE DEPENDANT ON AMOUNT OF SUNSHINE.
SOME HEATING IS LIKELY IN THE WESTERN COUNTY WARNING AREA LATE THIS
MORNING ONCE THE PRECIPITATION MOVES OUT...ANY THERE MAY BE SOME SUN
IN THE EAST EARLY THIS MORNING BEFORE THE CONVECTION WITH THE
ATLANTIC MOISTURE PLUME DEVELOPS. MAV/MET GUIDANCE WERE MUCH TOO
COOL WITH TEMPERATURES ON SUNDAY AND ARE CARRYING LOTS OF CLOUD
COVER AGAIN TODAY. THERE SHOULD BE MORE THAN ENOUGH BREAKS IN THE
CLOUDS TO SUPPORT GOING A CAT OR TWO ABOVE GUIDANCE FOR MAXIMUM
TEMPERATURES TODAY.

LONG TERM /THURSDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/...

NO CHANGES AT THIS TIME.

AVIATION...

SHOWERS AND SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS WILL AGAIN AFFECT AVIATION
INTERESTS THROUGHOUT THE PERIOD. CIGS/VSBYS WILL VARY ESPECIALLY
EARLY THIS MORNING FROM THE BLUE RIDGE WEST IN RAIN SHOWERS.
FURTHER EAST IN LYH/DAN EXPECT LOW CLOUDS AND FOG.
THE AXIS OF PRECIPITATION OVER THE BLUE RIDGE THIS MORNING WILL
DISSIPATE OR SHIFT FURTHER WEST...WHILE ANOTHER PLUME OF
PRECIPITATION SHIFTS INTO THE PIEDMONT BY EARLY AFTERNOON.

&&

.RNK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
VA...FLASH FLOOD WATCH FOR VAZ007-009>020-022>024-032>035-043>047-
     058-059 UNTIL 7 PM TUESDAY.
NC...FLASH FLOOD WATCH FOR NCZ001>006-018>020 UNTIL 7 PM TUESDAY.
WV...FLASH FLOOD WATCH FOR WVZ042>045 UNTIL 7 PM TUESDAY.
&&

AMS

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA
647 AM EDT MON JUN 26 2006

NCZ001>006-018>020-VAZ007-009>020-022>024-032>035-043>047-058-059-
WVZ042>045-271100-
ASHE-ALLEGHANY-SURRY-STOKES-ROCKINGHAM-CASWELL-WATAUGA-WILKES-
YADKIN-TAZEWELL-SMYTH-BLAND-GILES-WYTHE-PULASKI-MONTGOMERY-
GRAYSON-CARROLL-FLOYD-CRAIG-BATH-ROANOKE-BOTETOURT-ROCKBRIDGE-
PATRICK-FRANKLIN-BEDFORD-AMHERST-HENRY-PITTSYLVANIA-CAMPBELL-
APPOMATTOX-BUCKINGHAM-HALIFAX-CHARLOTTE-MERCER-SUMMERS-MONROE-
GREENBRIER-
647 AM EDT MON JUN 26 2006

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF NORTH CENTRAL
NORTH CAROLINA...NORTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA...CENTRAL VIRGINIA...
SOUTH CENTRAL VIRGINIA...SOUTHWEST VIRGINIA...WEST CENTRAL
VIRGINIA AND SOUTHEAST WEST VIRGINIA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

A FLASH FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE ENTIRE REGION
THROUGH TUESDAY EVENING. SEVERAL PERIODS OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS AREA EXPECT THROUGH TUESDAY. ADDITIONAL RAINFALL
AMOUNTS WILL BE ONE TO TWO INCHES...WITH LOCALIZED AMOUNTS UP TO 5
INCHES.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AFTER TUESDAY EVENING AT THIS
TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTERS MAY BE CONTACTED FOR FLOODING OR RAINFALL REPORTS.

AMS

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA
409 AM EDT MON JUN 26 2006

NCZ002-003-019-VAZ015>017-022-032>034-260912-
ALLEGHANY NC-BEDFORD-CARROLL-FLOYD-FRANKLIN-GRAYSON-PATRICK-ROANOKE-
SURRY-WILKES-
409 AM EDT MON JUN 26 2006

...MORE HEAVY SHOWERS ACROSS THE FOOTHILLS AND MOUNTAINS...

SHOWERS...SOME HEAVY...WILL CONTINUE TO STREAM NORTH FROM NORTH
CAROLINA INTO THE FOOTHILLS AND MOUNTAINS OF VIRGINIA THROUGH 515
AM. ONE HOUR RAINFALL RATES AS HIGH AS TWO INCHES CAN BE EXPECTED.
ANTICIPATE MORE PONDING OF WATER ON ROADS...AND LOW LYING FLOODING
IN POOR DRAINAGE AREAS...SUCH AS DITCHES AND CULVERTS. IF TRAVELING
EARLY THIS MORNING...SLOW DOWN TO AVOID HYDROPLANING. VISIBILITIES
WILL BE GREATLY REDUCED IN THE HEAVY RAIN.

05

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA
519 AM EDT MON JUN 26 2006

NCZ001>003-018-019-VAZ014>020-022-023-032>034-261050-
ALLEGHANY NC-ALLEGHANY VA-ASHE-BATH-BEDFORD-BOTETOURT-CARROLL-CRAIG-
FLOYD-FRANKLIN-GRAYSON-MONTGOMERY-PATRICK-ROANOKE-SURRY-WATAUGA-
WILKES-
519 AM EDT MON JUN 26 2006

...HEAVY RAINS TO CREATE TRAVEL PROBLEMS...

SHOWERS...HEAVY AT TIMES...WILL TRACK FROM THE NORTH CAROLINA
MOUNTAINS AND FOOTHILLS...NORTH ACROSS WESTERN VIRGINIA THROUGH 700
AM. THE HEAVIEST RAINS ARE GOING TO OCCUR ALONG THE BLUE RIDGE FROM
BLOWING ROCK TO PEAKS OF OTTER. RAINFALL AMOUNTS BETWEEN ONE HALF
TO ONE AND A HALF INCHES WILL FALL BETWEEN 530 AM AND 700 AM. THIS
WILL LEAD TO MORE PONDING OF WATER ON HIGHWAYS. MAKE SURE YOU SLOW
DOWN WHILE DRIVING TO WORK THIS MORNING...AS VISIBILITIES WILL BE
GREATLY REDUCED IN THE HEAVY DOWNPOURS.

05

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA
811 AM EDT MON JUN 26 2006

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0800 AM     FLASH FLOOD      ROANOKE                 37.28N 79.96W
06/26/2006                   CITY OF ROANOKE    VA   TRAINED SPOTTER

            WATER GOING INTO HOTEL ON FRANKLIN STREET AND 2 FEET OF
            WATER FLOWING OVER FRANKLIN ROAD NEAR ORE BRANCH.

&&

HYSELL