Flash Flood Warning 27, NWS Charleston, WV

000 
WGUS71 KRLX 110754
FFSRLX

FLASH FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHARLESTON WV
347 AM EDT FRI AUG 11 2006

WVC045-110915-
LOGAN WV-
347 AM EDT FRI AUG 11 2006

...A FLASH FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 515 AM EDT FOR LOGAN
COUNTY...

AT 341 AM EDT...LOCAL LAW ENFORCEMENT OFFICIALS REPORTED SOME 
FLOODING OVER SOUTHEASTERN LOGAN COUNTY...MAINLY SECONDARY ROADS 
CLOSED BY SMALLER STREAMS AND CREEKS OUT OF THEIR BANKS...AND 
MUDSLIDES ISOLATING HOLLOWS. EVEN THOUGH THE MOST OF THE RAIN HAS 
EXITED THE AREA...SHOWERS REMAIN POSSIBLE...SO THAT THE FLASH FLOOD 
WARNING CONTINUES UNTIL 515 AM.

LOCATIONS IN THE WARNING INCLUDE BUT ARE NOT LIMITED TO BLAIR...MOUNT
GAY...LOGAN...HOLDEN AND CHIEF LOGAN STATE PARK

BE ESPECIALLY CAUTIOUS AT NIGHT WHEN IT IS HARDER TO RECOGNIZE THE
DANGERS OF FLOODING. IF FLASH FLOODING IS OBSERVED ACT QUICKLY. MOVE
UP TO HIGHER GROUND TO ESCAPE FLOOD WATERS. DO NOT STAY IN AREAS
SUBJECT TO FLOODING WHEN WATER BEGINS RISING.

DO NOT DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE INTO AREAS WHERE THE WATER COVERS THE
ROADWAY. THE WATER DEPTH MAY BE TOO GREAT TO ALLOW YOUR CAR TO CROSS
SAFELY. MOVE TO HIGHER GROUND.

LAT...LON 3769 8203 3766 8180 3780 8171 3792 8191
      3797 8217 3779 8211

$$

05

000 
WGUS71 KRLX 110916
FFSRLX

FLASH FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHARLESTON WV
514 AM EDT FRI AUG 11 2006

WVC045-110924-
LOGAN WV-
514 AM EDT FRI AUG 11 2006

...THE FLASH FLOOD WARNING FOR LOGAN COUNTY EXPIRES AT 515 AM EDT...

HEAVY RAIN IS NO LONGER ANTICIPATED...THEREFORE THE FLASH FLOOD 
WARNING THAT WAS IN EFFECT HAS BEEN ALLOWED TO EXPIRE. SCATTERED 
SHOWERS CAN BE EXPECTED BUT NO ADDITIONAL HIGH WATER IS ANTICIPATED.

IF YOU ENCOUNTER HIGH WATER...TURN AROUND AND DO NOT DROWN. DO NOT 
DRIVE YOUR CAR ON FLOODED ROADWAYS.

PLEASE REPORT HIGH WATER TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BY CALLING
TOLL FREE 877-633-6772 WHEN YOU CAN DO SO SAFELY.

LAT...LON 3769 8203 3766 8180 3780 8171 3792 8191
      3797 8217 3779 8211

$$

05

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHARLESTON WV
805 PM EDT THU AUG 10 2006

.SHORT TERM /REST OF TONIGHT/...

WILL UPDATE FORECAST TO LOWER POPS THIS EVENING BASED ON CURRENT
RADAR TRENDS.

&&

.AVIATION...

EXPECT WIDESPREAD HAZE AND LIGHT FOG TONIGHT...WITH A FEW LOCATIONS
HAVING PATCHY DENSE FOG. A FEW THUNDERSTORMS COULD DEVELOP LATE
TONIGHT. ADDITIONAL SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS CAN BE EXPECTED FRIDAY
AFTERNOON...MAINLY OVER CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN AREAS OF THE REGION.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION...
 /ISSUED 251 PM EDT THU AUG 10 2006/

SHORT TERM /REST OF TONIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY/...
DIFFICULT FCST FOR THIS EVE THROUGH FRIDAY. BOTH GFS AND NAM SHOW
DIV AT 250 AND 850 CONV VCNTY OF SRN PORTION OF THE CWA AT VARYING
TIMES THIS EVENING INTO FRIDAY. THIS MAKES THE PLACEMENT AND
TIMING OF HIGHER POPS DIFFICULT. LOCAL WRF MODEL AND RUC ALSO
SUPPORT 250 DIV/850 CONV 23 TO 04Z TIME FRAME SO HAVE GONE WITH
LKLY POPS OVER THE SOUTH THEN. INCREASE POPS AGAIN AND SHIFT TO SE
DURING FRIDAY AS THE UPPER FLOW SUPPORTS LIFT WHILE THE SOUTHEAST
FLOW AT LOW LEVELS SHOULD PROMOTE UPSLOPE PCPN. HAVE LOWERED THE
MAX TEMPS FOR FRIDAY ALSO IN LIGHT OF THE CLOUDS/PCPN ACROSS THE
SOUTHERN HALF OF CWA.

AVIATION...
CONDS EXPECTED TO LOWER TO MVFR THIS EVENING AND TONIGHT ACROSS
THE SOUTHERN HALF OF CWA IF PRECIPITATION DEVELOPS AS EXPECTED
DURING THE EARLY NIGHT. FOG IN MOUNTAIN VALLEYS SHOULD HAVE A GOOD
CHANCE TO DEVELOP AS USUAL OVER NIGHT. STRONG SE FLOW WILL DEVELOP
AT LOW LEVELS FRIDAY AFTERNOON SO NEW TAFS SHOULD REFLECT LOWER
CONDITIONS AT BKW IN AFTN.

PREV DISCUSSION...
 /ISSUED 147 PM EDT THU AUG 10 2006/

LONG TERM /FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY/...

CHANGES FOR THIS PERIOD HAVE BEEN TO INCREASE POPS FOR THE EXTREME
SE CORNER OF THE CWA FOR EARLY FRIDAY NIGHT...AND TO SLOW DOWN POPS
AGAIN FOR THE COLD FRONT SLIDING ACROSS EARLY NEXT WEEK.
OVERALL...THE SLOWDOWN WAS BETWEEN 6 TO 12 HOURS FROM OUR PREVIOUS
FORECAST ISSUANCE.

THE UPPER LEVEL TROUGH THAT HAS BEEN SITUATED OVER THE NORTHEASTERN
UNITED STATES FOR QUITE A WHILE...WILL BE TEMPORARILY TAKING A
VACATION...ALLOWING FOR THE RIDGE TO SLIDE OVER THE CENTRAL
APPALACHIANS AND
MIDDLE OHIO VALLEY...REALLY STARTING ON SATURDAY.  IN FACT...THE
RIDGE SHOULD BE OVERHEAD 12Z MONDAY.  THIS WILL BE SHORT LIVED
THOUGH...WITH THE TROUGH SLIDING IN AGAIN WITH OUR COLD FRONT ON
TUESDAY.

THE NAM AND GFS BUTTING HEADS AGAIN TODAY...WITH THE NAM KEEPING
ABUNDANT PRECIP IN THROUGH THE FIRST HALF OF THE WEEKEND...AND THE
GFS SWEEPING IN THE COOLER SFC HIGH FROM THE NORTH.  AS A RESULT OF
THESE DISCREPANCIES...HAVE TAILORED THE FORECAST WITH A LEAN TOWARDS
THE SLIGHTLY COOLER AND DRIER GFS.  FOR DAYS 4 THROUGH 7...MONDAY
THROUGH THURSDAY...A GFS/ECMWF MIX WAS GENERALLY AGAIN PREFERRED.

&&

.RLX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
WV...NONE.
OH...NONE.
KY...NONE.
VA...NONE.
&&

SHORT TERM...RPY
AVIATION...RPY

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHARLESTON WV
1037 PM EDT THU AUG 10 2006

KYZ101>103-105-OHZ066-067-075-076-083>087-VAZ003-004-WVZ005>011-
013>020-024>040-046-047-120245-
GREENUP-CARTER-BOYD-LAWRENCE KY-PERRY-MORGAN-ATHENS-WASHINGTON-
JACKSON OH-VINTON-MEIGS-GALLIA-LAWRENCE OH-DICKENSON-BUCHANAN-
WAYNE-CABELL-MASON-JACKSON WV-WOOD-PLEASANTS-TYLER-LINCOLN-PUTNAM-
KANAWHA-ROANE-WIRT-CALHOUN-RITCHIE-DODDRIDGE-MINGO-LOGAN-BOONE-
CLAY-BRAXTON-GILMER-LEWIS-HARRISON-TAYLOR-MCDOWELL-WYOMING-
RALEIGH-FAYETTE-NICHOLAS-WEBSTER-UPSHUR-BARBOUR-POCAHONTAS-
RANDOLPH-
1037 PM EDT THU AUG 10 2006

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF NORTHEAST
KENTUCKY...SOUTHEAST OHIO...SOUTHWEST VIRGINIA AND WEST VIRGINIA.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE NEEDED.