Red Flag Warning 4, NWS Riverton, WY

000 
WWUS85 KRIW 140203
RFWRIW

RED FLAG WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RIVERTON WY
803 PM MDT THU JUL 13 2006


WYZ279-280-289-140315-
/O.EXP.KRIW.FW.W.0004.000000T0000Z-060714T0200Z/
SWEETWATER COUNTY / ROCK SPRINGS BLM / FLAMING GORGE NRA-
NATRONA COUNTY / CASPER BLM-
GRANITE / GREEN / FERRIS / RATTLESNAKE MOUNTAINS-
803 PM MDT THU JUL 13 2006

...RED FLAG WARNING HAS EXPIRED...

THE RED FLAG WARNING IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT. CONDITIONS HAVE
IMPROVED WITH LIGHTER WIND SPEEDS. A GRADUAL INCREASE IN 
RELATIVE HUMIDITY IS EXPECTED THE REST OF THE EVENING.
THEREFORE...THE RED FLAG WARNING HAS BEEN ALLOWED TO EXPIRE 
AT 8 PM MDT.

$$

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RIVERTON WY
146 PM MDT THU JUL 13 2006

.SHORT TERM...TONIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY
THINGS WARMING UP ACROSS THE STATE THIS AFTERNOON AS HIGH PRESSURE
BUILDS IN OVER THE REGION. HARDLY ANY CLOUDS CAN BE SEEN FROM HERE TO
THE WEST COAST. A SIGN OF THINGS TO COME...DRY...CLEAR AND HOT.
MODELS IN GOOD AGREEMENT WITH HIGH PRESSURE BUILDING AND 700 MB
TEMPERATURES INCREASING OVER THE AREA EACH DAY. THIS WILL BRING
HIGHS IN THE 100S OVER THE BIGHORN BASIN FRIDAY INTO SUNDAY. THE
WIND RIVER BASIN WILL SEE HIGHS NEAR 100 FOR THE SAME TIME PERIOD.
FIRE WEATHER ISSUES TO CONTINUE FOR THE STATE AS RH VALUES DECREASE
AND HIGH TEMPERATURES PERSIST. AT THIS TIME WINDS TO BE LIGHT SO
WILL NOT ISSUE ANY WATCHES OR WARNINGS AT THIS TIME. LOOKS TO BE
QUIET OVER THE FORECAST AREA FOR THE NEXT FEW DAYS WITH ONLY HOT
AND DRY CONDITIONS. A RETURN OF MOISTURE MAY OCCUR BY SUNDAY
AFTERNOON FOR SOME ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS OVER THE WESTERN
MOUNTAINS. WILL CONTINUE TO WATCH AS THIS MAY BE THE RETURN OF
ANOTHER ROUND OF ACTIVE WEATHER FOR THE AREA.

.LONG TERM...SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY
MODELS HAVE BEEN REASONABLY CONSISTENT WITH THE PATTERN EVOLUTION IN
THE MEDIUM RANGE PERIOD. UPPER HIGH CENTER INITIALLY BEGINS AROUND
COLORADO AND THEN BY EARLY NEXT WEEK BEGINS TO WEAKEN AND DRIFT OF
TO THE EAST OR SOUTHEAST OPENING THE DOOR FOR MORE MONSOONAL
MOISTURE TO MOVE UP FROM THE SOUTH AND SOUTHWEST. IT WILL LIKELY BE
A SLOW PROCESS INITIALLY BUT IT HAS THE POSSIBILITY OF PICKING UP
STEAM TUESDAY INTO WEDNESDAY...CONTINUING THROUGH THURSDAY. IT WILL
REMAIN QUITE HOT EARLY IN THE PERIOD BUT WITH INCREASED MOISTURE
LEVELS AND POSSIBLY A WEAK FRONT OR TWO ACROSS THE NORTH...
TEMPERATURES SHOULD MODERATE SOME EARLY NEXT WEEK. SUNDAY WILL LIKELY
JUST BEGIN ANY THREAT OF ISOLATED HIGH BASED STORMS ACROSS THE SOUTH
AND WEST...INCREASING SOME ON MONDAY. TUESDAY INTO WEDNESDAY WILL
LIKELY BE THE BIG CHANGE AS BY THEN...THE INCREASING S TO SW FLOW
SHOULD HAVE TIME TO DO ITS JOB. WILL INCREASE THE SWRN MOUNTAINS TO
CHANCE POPS FOR WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY AND EVEN INCLUDE SOME
ISOLATED NOCTURNAL STORMS BEGINNING TUESDAY NIGHT.

&&

.RIW WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...NONE.

&&

SHORT TERM...22
LONG TERM...SKRBAC

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RIVERTON WY
200 AM MDT THU JUL 13 2006

WYZ001>020-022>030-141100-
ABSAROKA MOUNTAINS-BIGHORN MOUNTAINS SOUTHEAST-
BIGHORN MOUNTAINS WEST-CASPER MOUNTAIN-CODY FOOTHILLS-
EAST SWEETWATER COUNTY-FLAMING GORGE-
GREEN MOUNTAINS AND RATTLESNAKE RANGE-JACKSON HOLE-LANDER FOOTHILLS-
NATRONA COUNTY LOWER ELEVATIONS-NORTH BIG HORN BASIN-
NORTHEAST JOHNSON COUNTY-OWL CREEK AND BRIDGER MOUNTAINS-
ROCK SPRINGS AND GREEN RIVER-SALT RIVER AND WYOMING RANGES-
SOUTH LINCOLN COUNTY-SOUTHEAST BIG HORN BASIN-
SOUTHEAST JOHNSON COUNTY-SOUTHWEST BIG HORN BASIN-STAR VALLEY-
TETON AND GROS VENTRE MOUNTAINS-UPPER GREEN RIVER BASIN-
UPPER GREEN RIVER BASIN FOOTHILLS-UPPER WIND RIVER BASIN-
WIND RIVER BASIN-WIND RIVER MOUNTAINS EAST-WIND RIVER MOUNTAINS WEST-
YELLOWSTONE NATIONAL PARK-
200 AM MDT THU JUL 13 2006

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR WESTERN AND CENTRAL WYOMING.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT
DRY...HOT AND BREEZY CONDITIONS WILL OCCUR TODAY.  TEMPERATURES IN
THE CENTRAL BASINS WILL BE IN THE 90S...WITH 80S IN THE WEST.
RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES WILL BE IN THE 8 TO 15 PERCENT RANGES OVER
LOWER ELEVATIONS.  WINDS WILL BE OUT OF THE SOUTHWEST THIS
AFTERNOON WITH SPEEDS OF 10 TO 20 MPH...WITH OCCASIONAL GUSTS OF 25
TO 30 MPH.  THIS WILL INCREASE THE FIRE DANGER TODAY AND THIS
EVENING.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY

THURSDAY THROUGH THE WEEKEND WILL FEATURE HOT AND DRY WEATHER WITH
HIGHS EXPECTED TO BE AS HIGH AS 100 DEGREES IN THE BIG HORN
BASIN BY FRIDAY WITH MID TO UPPER 90S ELSEWHERE AT THE LOWER
ELEVATIONS EAST OF THE DIVIDE INCREASING THE FIRE DANGER. MONSOONAL
MOISTURE IS EXPECTED TO BE ON THE INCREASE EARLY NEXT WEEK...
ESPECIALLY TUESDAY INTO WEDNESDAY RESULTING IN A CHANCE OF LATE DAY
THUNDERSTORMS. INITIALLY...THE MAIN THREAT FROM THESE STORMS WILL
BE STRONG WIND GUSTS BUT BY TUESDAY OR WEDNESDAY...A FEW STORMS MAY
PRODUCE HEAVY RAIN AND HAIL.

SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE NEEDED TODAY AND TONIGHT.

TEAM RIW