Red Flag Warning 2, NWS Riverton, WY

000 
WWUS85 KRIW 141729
RFWRIW

RED FLAG WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RIVERTON WY
1129 AM MDT WED JUN 14 2006

...RED FLAG WARNING FROM 10 AM THIS MORNING THROUGH 9 PM TONIGHT
FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONES 279...283...288 AND 289 FOR LOW RELATIVE
HUMIDITIES...STRONG SOUTHWEST WINDS...HOT TEMPERATURES...ISOLATED
DRY LIGHTNING AND AN EVENING COLD FRONTAL PASSAGE...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN RIVERTON HAS ISSUED A RED FLAG
WARNING FOR PORTIONS OF CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN WYOMING FROM 1000 AM
THIS MORNING THROUGH 900 PM THIS EVENING. THE COMBINATION OF
STRONG SOUTHWEST WINDS...LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITIES UNDER
15 PERCENT...HOT TEMPERATURES...ISOLATED DRY LIGHTNING...AND AN
EVENING COLD FRONT...WILL PRODUCE DANGEROUS FIRE WEATHER
CONDITIONS.

WYZ279-289-150300-
/O.CON.KRIW.FW.W.0002.000000T0000Z-060615T0300Z/
SWEETWATER COUNTY / ROCK SPRINGS BLM / FLAMING GORGE NRA-
GRANITE / GREEN / FERRIS / RATTLESNAKE MOUNTAINS-
1129 AM MDT WED JUN 14 2006

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM MDT THIS
EVENING...

A RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM MDT THIS EVENING.

SOUTHWEST WINDS WILL INCREASE THIS MORNING TO 25 TO 35 MPH WITH
SOME STRONGER GUSTS. THESE WINDS WILL COMBINE WITH LOW RELATIVE
HUMIDITIES OF 10 TO 15 PERCENT...HIGH TEMPERATURES IN THE 80S...
ISOLATED DRY LIGHTNING...AN EVENING COLD FRONTAL PASSAGE AND DRY
FUELS TO PRODUCE DANGEROUS FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS.

A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL SHORTLY. A COMBINATION OF
STRONG WINDS...LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY...AND WARM TEMPERATURES WILL
CREATE EXPLOSIVE FIRE GROWTH POTENTIAL.

$$

WYZ283-288-150300-
/O.CON.KRIW.FW.W.0002.000000T0000Z-060615T0300Z/
UPPER WIND RIVER BASIN / WIND RIVER BASIN-
EAST WIND RIVER MOUNTAINS / SOUTH SHOSHONE NF-
1129 AM MDT WED JUN 14 2006

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM MDT THIS
EVENING...

A RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM MDT THIS EVENING.

SOUTHWEST WINDS WILL INCREASE THIS MORNING TO 25 TO 35 MPH WITH
GUSTS OVER 45 MPH ON THE EAST SLOPE OF THE WIND RIVER MOUNTAINS.
THESE WINDS WILL COMBINE WITH LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITIES OF 10 TO
15 PERCENT...HIGH TEMPERATURES IN THE 80S...ISOLATED DRY
LIGHTNING...AN EVENING COLD FRONTAL PASSAGE...AND DRY FUELS TO
PRODUCE DANGEROUS FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS. SOUTHWEST WINDS WILL
SHIFT TO THE WEST OR NORTHWEST DURING THE LATE AFTERNOON OR EARLY
EVENING AS THE COLD FRONT PUSHES THROUGH.

A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL SHORTLY. A COMBINATION OF
STRONG WINDS...LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY...AND WARM TEMPERATURES WILL
CREATE EXPLOSIVE FIRE GROWTH POTENTIAL.

$$

000 
WWUS85 KRIW 142306
RFWRIW

RED FLAG WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RIVERTON WY
506 PM MDT WED JUN 14 2006


WYZ279-283-288-289-150015-
/O.CAN.KRIW.FW.W.0002.000000T0000Z-060615T0300Z/
SWEETWATER COUNTY / ROCK SPRINGS BLM / FLAMING GORGE NRA-
UPPER WIND RIVER BASIN / WIND RIVER BASIN-
EAST WIND RIVER MOUNTAINS / SOUTH SHOSHONE NF-
GRANITE / GREEN / FERRIS / RATTLESNAKE MOUNTAINS-
506 PM MDT WED JUN 14 2006

...RED FLAG WARNING IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN RIVERTON HAS CANCELLED THE RED
FLAG WARNING. A COLD FRONT HAS MOVED THROUGH THE AREA RESULTING IN
COOLER TEMPERATURES AND HIGHER RELATIVE HUMIDITIES.

$$

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RIVERTON WY
322 AM MDT WED JUN 14 2006

.SHORT TERM...TODAY THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT
GETTING ACTIVE ACROSS THE WESTERN PART OF THE STATE EARLY THIS
MORNING AS UPPER LOW AND ITS MOISTURE MOVES UP FROM THE SOUTH. WE
ALSO HAVE A NICE JET MAX THAT IS PUSHING INTO THE STATE WHICH
SHOULD HELP TO GIVE US THE UPPER DYNAMICS FROM ITS LEFT FRONT
QUADRANT TO PRODUCE A GOOD AREA OF THUNDERSTORMS MAINLY OVER THE
MOUNTAINS AS IT MOVES THROUGH THE STATE. LOOKS LIKE IT WILL CONTINUE
TO IMPACT MOST AREAS WEST OF THE DIVIDE THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING.
MODELS IN GOOD AGREEMENT IN THE SHORT TERM WITH THIS UPPER LOW MOVING
SLOWLY TO THE NORTH AND EAST. FRONT EXPECTED TO MOVE ACROSS THE STATE
BY THIS EVENING. WILL CONTINUE TO KEEP ISOLATED SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS EAST OF THE DIVIDE THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING AS THE
FRONT PASSES. TEMPERATURES TO COOL DOWN NICELY TODAY WITH EVENING
COOLER BY THURSDAY AFTER THE FRONT PASSES. WINDS TO INCREASE ACROSS
THE AREA LATE THIS MORNING INTO THIS AFTERNOON. THIS ALONG WITH LOW
RH VALUES...WARM TEMPERATURES...DRY LIGHTNING AND CRITICAL FUELS HAS
WARRANTED A RED FLAG WARNING FOR PARTS OF OUR FORECAST AREA.
THINGS START TO SLOW DOWN THURSDAY INTO FRIDAY AS THE UPPER LOW PULLS
OUT OF THE AREA. WILL CONTINUE ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS OVER THE WHOLE
AREA THURSDAY AFTERNOON WITH INSTABILITY STILL OVER THE AREA. WILL
NEED TO WATCH THE SOUTHWESTERN PART OF THE STATE AS LIFTED INDEX
VALUES OF - 1 TO -2 CENTIGRADE BRINGS THE POSSIBILITY FOR STRONGER
STORMS FOR THIS AREA. FRIDAY WILL SEE DRYING CONDITIONS OVER THE AREA
WITH SUBSTANCE MOVING ACROSS THE STATE. AT THIS TIME DO NOT SEE ANY
THREAT OF THUNDERSTORMS...BUT THINGS CAN CHANGE QUICKLY DURING THE
SUMMERS IN WYOMING.

LONG TERM...SATURDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY
LONG RANGE MODELS SEEM IN GOOD SHAPE SATURDAY WITH WEST FLOW ALOFT
AND SOME MID LEVEL MOISTURE ALONG THE WY/MT BORDER SAT PM INTO THE
EVENING. THUS LEFT THE ISOLATED STORMS IN THE FORECAST THROUGH SAT
NIGHT IN THE FAR NORTH ZONES. LOOKS TO BE WARM ON SAT WITH AN
AFTERNOON BREEZE IN FAVORED PLACES. SW FLOW ALOFT FORECAST BY THE
LONG RANGE MODELS FOR SUN AND MON INTO TUE. MOST LIKELY IN THIS
WEATHER PATTERN THERE WILL BE A SERIES OF SHORTWAVES IN THE FLOW.
SUNDAY LOOKS QUITE WARM AHEAD OF THE FIRST DISTURBANCE. HAVE KEPT THE
AFTERNOON AND EVENING STORM CHANCE OVER THE NORTH ZONES SUN PM/EVE.
COLD FRONT PUSHES INTO THE NORTH SUN EVE AND TO CENT WY BY 12Z MON
WITH A WIND SHIFT TO THE NORTH. FOR MON INTO TUE...A FEW DISTURBANCES
IN THE SW FLOW ALOFT COMBINED WITH A FRONTAL BOUNDARY OVER CENTRAL
WY...WILL HELP AID AFTERNOON AND EVENING STORM FORMATION. MAY NEED TO
EXPAND THE COVERAGE IN THE WESTERN MTS AND NORTH ZONES IF THIS FLOW
PATTERN IS CONSISTENT IN THE NEXT FEW LONG RANGE MODEL RUNS. FOR NOW
LEAVING THE SLIGHT CHANCE OF STORMS OVER THE NORTH ZONES MON AND TUE.
HIGH TEMPS MON AND TUE WILL BE COOLER IN THE NORTH WITH LESS COOLING
CENT AND SOUTH ZONES. NOT MUCH OF A CHANGE EXPECTED NEXT WED WITH THE
OVERALL WEATHER PATTERN. THUS NEXT WED FORECAST SIMILAR TO NEXT TUE.

&&

.RIW WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...RED FLAG WARNING FOR FIRE WEATHER
ZONES 279...283...288 AND 289 FROM 10 AM THIS MORNING TO 9 PM THIS
EVENING.

&&

SHORT TERM...H2
LONG TERM...AR

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RIVERTON WY
1224 PM MDT TUE JUN 13 2006

WYZ001>020-022>030-141400-
ABSAROKA MOUNTAINS-BIGHORN MOUNTAINS SOUTHEAST-
BIGHORN MOUNTAINS WEST-CASPER MOUNTAIN-CODY FOOTHILLS-
EAST SWEETWATER COUNTY-FLAMING GORGE-
GREEN MOUNTAINS AND RATTLESNAKE RANGE-JACKSON HOLE-LANDER FOOTHILLS-
NATRONA COUNTY LOWER ELEVATIONS-NORTH BIG HORN BASIN-
NORTHEAST JOHNSON COUNTY-OWL CREEK AND BRIDGER MOUNTAINS-
ROCK SPRINGS AND GREEN RIVER-SALT RIVER AND WYOMING RANGES-
SOUTH LINCOLN COUNTY-SOUTHEAST BIG HORN BASIN-
SOUTHEAST JOHNSON COUNTY-SOUTHWEST BIG HORN BASIN-STAR VALLEY-
TETON AND GROS VENTRE MOUNTAINS-UPPER GREEN RIVER BASIN-
UPPER GREEN RIVER BASIN FOOTHILLS-UPPER WIND RIVER BASIN-
WIND RIVER BASIN-WIND RIVER MOUNTAINS EAST-WIND RIVER MOUNTAINS WEST-
YELLOWSTONE NATIONAL PARK-
1224 PM MDT TUE JUN 13 2006

...FIRE WEATHER WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTHERN AND CENTRAL WYOMING
WEDNESDAY FROM NOON THROUGH 9 PM...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR WESTERN AND CENTRAL WYOMING.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

TODAY WILL BE QUITE WARM TO HOT OVER THE AREA WITH VERY LOW HUMIDITY
AND LOCALLY BREEZY CONDITIONS. THOSE SENSITIVE TO THE HEAT SHOULD
TAKE ADEQUATE PRECAUTIONS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY

WITH THE APPROACH OF A WEATHER SYSTEM WEDNESDAY THE THREAT FOR
THUNDERSTORMS WILL INCREASE OVER THE AREA. SOME OF THESE STORMS COULD
BE QUITE STRONG OVER THE WEST WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING.
THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY SHOULD LINGER INTO THURSDAY AS WELL...AS THE
WEATHER SYSTEM MOVES ACROSS THE REGION.

WEDNESDAY WILL ALSO BE QUITE WARM TO HOT ALONG WITH BREEZY TO WINDY
WEATHER IN THE CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN PART OF WYOMING. THIS...ALONG
WITH LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY...WILL INCREASE THE FIRE DANGER OVER THESE
AREAS.  THEREFORE...A FIRE WEATHER WATCH IS IN EFFECT WEDNESDAY FROM
NOON THROUGH 9 PM FOR THESE AREAS.

SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE NEEDED TODAY AND TONIGHT.

TEAM RIW