Alert archive / North Carolina / Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in 2006

Severe Thunderstorm Warning 446, NWS Raleigh, NC

October 11, 2006Guilford County, North Carolina

NWS Raleigh, NC issued this severe thunderstorm warning at Oct 11, 2006, 11:45 PM EDT for Guilford County, North Carolina. It was in force for 17 min. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued
Oct 11, 2006, 11:45 PM EDT (03:45 UTC)
Expired
Oct 12, 2006, 12:02 AM EDT
In force
17 min
Issued by
NWS Raleigh, NC
Area
Counties, with a storm outline in the text

County Guilford County, NC

The radar

The Roanoke radar (KFCX), 114 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 03:45 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The nearest sounding before it

Greensboro/Hi Pt, NC (KGSO), launched 00:00Z, 3.8 hours before the alert went out and 10 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Greensboro/Hi Pt, NC at 00:00Z on 2006-10-12Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 128 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Greensboro/Hi Pt, NC at 00:00Z on 2006-10-12The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 170 square meters per square second.19395878Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
128 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-25 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
835 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
44 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
170 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
209 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.1
Supercell composite
0.6

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this severe thunderstorm warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Raleigh, NC wrote its last area forecast discussion before this severe thunderstorm warning went out at Oct 11, 11:33 PM EDT, 12 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Oct 11, 11:33 PM EDT, 12 minutes before
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Hazardous weather outlook, Oct 11, 4:04 AM EDT, 19 hours 41 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RALEIGH NC
404 AM EDT WED OCT 11 2006

NCZ007>011-021>028-038>043-073>078-083>086-088-089-120815-
PERSON-GRANVILLE-VANCE-WARREN-HALIFAX-FORSYTH-GUILFORD-ALAMANCE-
ORANGE-DURHAM-FRANKLIN-NASH-EDGECOMBE-DAVIDSON-RANDOLPH-CHATHAM-
WAKE-JOHNSTON-WILSON-STANLY-MONTGOMERY-MOORE-LEE-HARNETT-WAYNE-
ANSON-RICHMOND-SCOTLAND-HOKE-CUMBERLAND-SAMPSON-
404 AM EDT WED OCT 11 2006

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF CENTRAL NORTH
CAROLINA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

SCATTERED SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED OVER THE
AREA THIS AFTERNOON INTO EARLY TONIGHT... AS AN UPPER LEVEL
DISTURBANCE AND WEAK SURFACE TROUGH PASS THROUGH. NO WIDESPREAD
HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY

A STRONG COLD FRONT WILL DROP THROUGH THE AREA THURSDAY NIGHT...
AND A MUCH COLDER AIR MASS WILL BUILD IN FROM THE WEST. PATCHY
FROST MAY OCCUR SATURDAY AND SUNDAY MORNINGS IN LOW LYING PORTIONS
OF THE WESTERN PIEDMONT. OTHERWISE... NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS
EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED TO BE NEEDED TODAY OR TONIGHT.

GIH

In the hours before

Special weather statement, Oct 11, 8:59 PM EDT, 2 hours 46 minutes before
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RALEIGH NC
859 PM EDT WED OCT 11 2006

NCZ021-022-038-039-120200-
FORSYTH-GUILFORD-DAVIDSON-RANDOLPH-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...WINSTON-SALEM...GREENSBORO...
HIGH POINT...LEXINGTON...ASHEBORO
859 PM EDT WED OCT 11 2006

AN AREA OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS MOVING TO THE NORTHEAST NEAR 35
MPH WILL AFFECT PORTIONS OF THE NORTHWEST PIEDMONT THROUGH 10 PM.
THESE STORMS MAY CONTAIN GUSTY WINDS UP TO 40 MPH... SMALL HAIL...
HEAVY RAIN.... AND DANGEROUS CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING.

LOCATIONS TO BE IMPACTED INCLUDE... WINSTON-SALEM... GREENSBORO...
LEXINGTON... AND ASHEBORO.

IF YOU SEE LIGHTNING OR HEAR THUNDER... TAKE SHELTER IMMEDIATELY.

BSD
Special weather statement, Oct 11, 8:59 PM EDT, 2 hours 46 minutes before
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RALEIGH NC
859 PM EDT WED OCT 11 2006

NCZ021-022-038-039-120200-
FORSYTH-GUILFORD-DAVIDSON-RANDOLPH-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...WINSTON-SALEM...GREENSBORO...
HIGH POINT...LEXINGTON...ASHEBORO
859 PM EDT WED OCT 11 2006

AN OF SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS MOVING TO THE NORTHEAST
NEAR 35 MPH WILL AFFECT PORTIONS OF THE NORTHWEST PIEDMONT THROUGH
10 PM. THESE STORMS MAY CONTAIN GUSTY WINDS UP TO 40 MPH... SMALL
HAIL... HEAVY RAIN.... AND DANGEROUS CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING.

LOCATIONS TO BE IMPACTED INCLUDE... WINSTON-SALEM... GREENSBORO...
LEXINGTON... AND ASHEBORO.

IF YOU SEE LIGHTNING OR HEAR THUNDER... TAKE SHELTER IMMEDIATELY.

BSD
Local storm report, Oct 11, 10:15 PM EDT, 1 hour 30 minutes before
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Special weather statement, Oct 11, 10:37 PM EDT, 1 hour 8 minutes before
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The office that day

Everything else NWS Raleigh, NC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Oct 11, 9:55 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningRAHDavidson, Forsyth50 min

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in North Carolina, 2006Every severe thunderstorm warning in 2006

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.