Wind Advisory 11, NWS Pocatello, ID

000 
WWUS75 KPIH 292152
NPWPIH

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE POCATELLO ID
252 PM MST SUN OCT 29 2006

IDZ017-020-021-301030-
/O.CON.KPIH.WI.Y.0011.061030T0400Z-061030T1600Z/
EASTERN MAGIC VALLEY-UPPER SNAKE RIVER PLAIN-
LOWER SNAKE RIVER PLAIN-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BURLEY...RUPERT...SHOSHONE...CAREY...
IDAHO FALLS...REXBURG...RIGBY...POCATELLO...BLACKFOOT...
AMERICAN FALLS
252 PM MST SUN OCT 29 2006

...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 9 PM THIS EVENING TO 9 AM
MST MONDAY...

A WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 9 PM THIS EVENING TO 9 AM
MST MONDAY. 

A VERY STRONG COLD FRONT WILL PASS THROUGH EASTERN IDAHO
OVERNIGHT. WINDS WILL CONTINUE INCREASING AHEAD OF THE FRONT THIS
EVENING...BUT WILL BECOME QUITE STRONG BY MIDNIGHT. SUSTAINED
WINDS BETWEEN 30 AND 35 MPH ARE EXPECTED...AND GUSTS CAN REACH AS
HIGH AS 45 MPH OVERNIGHT. WINDS WILL BEGIN TO TURN NORTHWEST AND
DECREASE MONDAY MORNING AS THE FRONT SAGS WELL SOUTH OF THE AREA.
BREEZY WINDS MAY CONTINUE THROUGH THE DAY... BUT THE STRONGEST
WINDS SHOULD END BY MID MORNING.

A WIND ADVISORY MEANS THAT WINDS OF 30 MPH OR GREATER ARE
EXPECTED. WINDS THIS STRONG CAN MAKE DRIVING DIFFICULT...
ESPECIALLY FOR HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES. USE EXTRA CAUTION.

$$

000 
WWUS75 KPIH 301049
NPWPIH

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE POCATELLO ID
349 AM MST MON OCT 30 2006

IDZ017-020-021-301600-
/O.CON.KPIH.WI.Y.0011.000000T0000Z-061030T1600Z/
EASTERN MAGIC VALLEY-UPPER SNAKE RIVER PLAIN-
LOWER SNAKE RIVER PLAIN-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BURLEY...RUPERT...SHOSHONE...CAREY...
IDAHO FALLS...REXBURG...RIGBY...POCATELLO...BLACKFOOT...
AMERICAN FALLS
349 AM MST MON OCT 30 2006

...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 AM MST THIS MORNING...

A WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 AM MST THIS MORNING. 

A VERY STRONG COLD FRONT MOVING PAST EASTERN IDAHO THIS MORNING
WILL KEEP WINDS STRONG THROUGH SUNRISE. SUSTAINED WINDS BETWEEN
30 AND 35 MPH AND GUSTS UP TO 45 MPH WILL CONTINUE UNTIL 9 AM. BY
MIDDAY THE WINDS WILL START TO DECREASE AS THE INFLUENCES OF THE
FRONTAL BOUNDARY LEAVE THE AREA. WINDS BY LATER THIS AFTERNOON
WILL DECREASE TO 15 TO 25 MPH WITH A FEW ISOLATED GUSTS TO 35.

A WIND ADVISORY MEANS THAT WINDS OF 30 MPH OR GREATER ARE
EXPECTED. WINDS THIS STRONG CAN MAKE DRIVING DIFFICULT...
ESPECIALLY FOR HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES. USE EXTRA CAUTION.

$$

000 
WWUS75 KPIH 301526
NPWPIH

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE POCATELLO ID
826 AM MST MON OCT 30 2006


IDZ017-020-021-301630-
/O.CAN.KPIH.WI.Y.0011.000000T0000Z-061030T1600Z/
EASTERN MAGIC VALLEY-UPPER SNAKE RIVER PLAIN-
LOWER SNAKE RIVER PLAIN-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BURLEY...RUPERT...SHOSHONE...CAREY...
IDAHO FALLS...REXBURG...RIGBY...POCATELLO...BLACKFOOT...
AMERICAN FALLS
826 AM MST MON OCT 30 2006

...WIND ADVISORY IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN POCATELLO HAS CANCELLED THE WIND
ADVISORY. 

$$

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE POCATELLO ID
308 AM MST SUN OCT 29 2006

.SHORT TERM....TODAY THROUGH TUESDAY. UPPER RIDGE FLAT OVER FCST
AREA AHEAD OF BC CANADA LOW. DRY AND WARM WEDGE AHEAD OF LOW PER
WV SAT IMAGERY KEEPING HIGHER ELEVATIONS DRY AND MILD TONIGHT.
MOISTURE ASSOCIATED WITH BC LOW BEING SHEARED APART WITH MOST OF
THE MOISTURE BEING PUSHED EAST OF LOW. REMAINDER BEING PULLED BACK
TOWARD PACIFIC LOW AT 150W. FRONTAL BOUNDARY BETWEEN
SEATTLE/VANCOUVER EARLY THIS MORNING...BUT SLIPS SOUTH QUICKLY AND
CROSSES FCST AREA AS POTENT BAROCLINIC BOUNDARY. WITH LIMITED
MOISTURE...KEPT POPS TO MID- CHANCE CATEGORY ALONG WY/MT BORDERS.
BIGGEST STORY WILL BE WINDS BEGINNING THIS AFTERNOON ACROSS FCST
AREA AND LASTING INTO MON MORNING. SFC LOW SPINS UP RAPIDLY THIS
AFTN IN FAVORED LEE LOCATION IN WY/MT. AT SAME TIME...VERY STRONG
5H JET DROPS SOUTH THROUGH OREGON TOWARD FCST AREA. AT THIS
TIME...NAM NUMERICAL GUIDANCE FAVORED ALTHOUGH POTENTIALLY A BIT
LOW OVER SNAKE VALLEY. LOCAL WIND SCHEME GIVES NEAR HIGH WIND
WARNING VALUES DEPSITE NOCTURNAL PASSAGE OF FRONT. SUPPOSE 40+KT
60FT AGL WINDS DEPICTED ON NAM ALONG WITH 90KT 5H JET WOULD HAVE
SOMETHING TO DO WITH THAT. STRONG FRONTAL FORCING SHOULD HAVE NO
PROBLEM MIXING THESE WINDS DOWN...ESPECIALLY GIVEN LOW MOISTURE
CONTENT EXPECTED OVER FCST AREA. THUS FEEL FAIRLY CONFIDENT IN
OVERNIGHT WIND ADVISORY FOR ALL THREE SNAKE VALLEY ZONES.

AXIS OF UPPER LOW SLIPS EAST INTO WY MON. FLOW ALOFT REMAINS
STRONG BUT WITH A NORTHWESTERLY DIRECTION THAT IS NOT FAVORABLE
FOR STRONG WINDS IN SNAKE VALLEY. THUS END THE WIND ADVISORY 9AM
MON MORN. DYNAMICS/MOISTURE SHOULD FAVOR EASTERN HIGHLANDS MON
HOWEVER WEAK. STORM TOTAL SNOWS EVEN FOR HIGHER ELEVATIONS IN THE
2-5 INCH RANGE...MOSTLY DUE TO COLD TEMPS MON. COLD ADVECTION BEHIND
FRONT QUITE STRONG THUS TEMPS MON SOME 15-20 DEG COLDER THAN
TODAY. NUMERICAL GUIDANCE INDICATING A 30DEG DROP IN PLACES..BUT
TEMPERED THAT TREND IN GRIDS SOMEWHAT. TUE DRY BUT CONTINUED COLD
AS DRY NORTHWEST FLOW BUILDS SFC HIGH INTO FCST AREA. DMH

.LONG TERM...TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY...
LONG WAVE RIDGE WILL BE OVER SOUTHEAST IDAHO ON TUES BUT WILL BEGIN
TO WEAKEN ON WEDNESDAY AS A DEEP PACIFIC LOW BEGINS TO SEND A SERIES
OF SHORTWAVES THROUGH THE PAC NORTHWEST TOWARD IDAHO.  FIRST OF THESE
WAVES SHOULD REACH SOUTHEAST IDAHO LATE THURSDAY INTO FRIDAY WITH
ADDITIONAL TROFS FOLLOWING EVERY 12 HRS OR SO. MOIST SOUTHWESTERLY
FLOW ACCOMPANYING THE TROFS WILL KEEP SKIES CLOUDY WITH SCATTERED
PRECIPITATION THROUGH NEXT WEEKEND.  PRECIP WILL LIKELY BE A MIX OF LIGHT
RAIN ACROSS THE SNAKE RIVER BASIN WITH LIGHT SNOW ABOVE 6000 FT.
LIQUID PRECIP TOTALS FOR THUR-SUN ARE FORECAST TO RANGE FROM ABOUT
0.3 INCH IN THE SOUTHERN HIGHLANDS TO 1.0 INCH IN THE CENTRAL
MOUNTAINS.  BRW

&&

.AVIATION...VFR CONDITIONS ARE FORECAST FOR MOST OF SUNDAY BUT A
COLD FRONT WILL APPROACH THE AREA FROM THE NORTHWEST TONIGHT.
INCREASED CLOUDINESS...ISOLATED SNOWSHOWERS...AND MVFR/IFR
CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE ACROSS THE CENTRAL IDAHO MOUNTAINS AND UPPER
SNAKE RIVER HIGHLANDS AFTER 30 OCT/03Z.  BRW

&&

.PIH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
WIND ADVISORY FROM 9 PM THIS EVENING TO 9 AM MST MONDAY FOR
IDZ017-IDZ020-IDZ021.

&&

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE POCATELLO ID
556 AM MDT SAT OCT 28 2006

IDZ017>025-031-032-291200-
EASTERN MAGIC VALLEY-SAWTOOTH MOUNTAINS-UPPER SNAKE HIGHLANDS-
UPPER SNAKE RIVER PLAIN-LOWER SNAKE RIVER PLAIN-
SOUTH CENTRAL HIGHLANDS-CARIBOU HIGHLANDS-
CACHE VALLEY/IDAHO PORTION-WASATCH MOUNTAINS/IDAHO PORTION-
BIG AND LITTLE WOOD RIVER REGION-LOST RIVER/PAHSIMEROI-
556 AM MDT SAT OCT 28 2006

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR EASTERN IDAHO.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

WE ASK TRAINED SPOTTERS AND CITIZENS TO REPORT SIGNIFICANT
WEATHER CONDITIONS WHEN IT IS SAFE TO DO SO. THESE CONDITIONS MAY
INCLUDE HAIL...TORNADOES...STRONG WIND...DUST STORMS...SNOWFALL...
EXTREME COLD TEMPERATURES...FREEZING RAIN OR HEAVY RAIN...DENSE
FOG...AND FLOODING OR ICE JAMS. INFORMATION ABOUT THESE HAZARDOUS
CONDITIONS SHOULD BE CALLED INTO YOUR NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE
OFFICE IN POCATELLO USING THE 1-800 SEVERE WEATHER HOTLINE...OR
208-233-0834.