Severe Thunderstorm Warning 35, NWS Pocatello, ID

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE POCATELLO ID
230 PM MDT THU JUL 6 2006

.DISCUSSION...DEEP CONVECTION DEVELOPING OVER MANY AREAS OF THE CWA
THIS AFTN AS MINOR WAVES IN TH SW FLOW ALOFT MOVE THRU THE AREA.
MSAS LI PRODUCT SHOWING A VERY UNSTABLE CORE OVR W CEN ID...
EXTENDING INTO THE CEN MTNS. THIS IS WHERE CONVECTION IS MOST LIKELY
TO GET FRISKY LATER THIS AFTN...AND ALSO WHERE SPC HAS HIGHLIGHTED
FOR SVR POTENTIAL. TSTMS SHOULD DIMINISH LATER THIS EVENING...ALTHO
THE NAM IS SHOWING ANOTHER MINOR WAVE GENERATING PRECIP ACRS THE SRN
HIGHLANDS OVERNITE.

THE UPPER RIDGE BEGINS TO BUILD BACK UP OVER ID ON FRI AND CONTINUES
TO DOMINATE INTO NEXT WEEK. MODEL PWAT VALUES DROP BY ABOUT 70
PERCENT BY FRI NITE. ISOLD AFTN/EVE TSTMS CAN BE EXPECTED OVER THE
MTNS THRU THE END OF THE FCST PERIOD...WHICH IS LITTLE CHANGE OVER
THE PREVIOUS FCST PKG. HEDGES

&&

.AVIATION...WIDESPREAD VFR THROUGH TONIGHT. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS...SOME WITH GUSTY WINDS...HAIL...AND HEAVY RAIN...WILL
CONTINUE TO IMPACT ALL ROUTES UNTIL AROUND 03Z. EXPECT MVFR
CONDITIONS WITH THE STRONGER STORMS. CONDITIONS WILL IMPROVE AFTER
03Z BUT ISOLATED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL REMAIN OVER THE AREA
UNTIL 12Z FRI.  WAW

&&

.PIH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...NONE.
&&

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE POCATELLO ID
504 AM MDT THU JUL 6 2006

IDZ017>025-031-032-071115-
EASTERN MAGIC VALLEY-SAWTOOTH MOUNTAINS-UPPER SNAKE HIGHLANDS-
UPPER SNAKE RIVER PLAIN-LOWER SNAKE RIVER PLAIN-
SOUTH CENTRAL HIGHLANDS-CARIBOU HIGHLANDS-
CACHE VALLEY/IDAHO PORTION-WASATCH MOUNTAINS/IDAHO PORTION-
BIG AND LITTLE WOOD RIVER REGION-LOST RIVER/PAHSIMEROI-
504 AM MDT THU JUL 6 2006

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR EASTERN IDAHO.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

MAINLY SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS ARE FORECAST FOR MUCH OF EASTERN
IDAHO TODAY. THE BEST CHANCE FOR THUNDERSTORMS APPEARS TO BE OVER
THE CENTRAL IDAHO MOUNTAINS. DEEP MOISTURE AND MODERATE
INSTABILITY WILL ALLOW STRONG THUNDERSTORMS TO DEVELOP IN THAT
AREA. THE STRONGER STORMS HAVE THE POTENTIAL TO PRODUCE LARGE HAIL
AND VERY STRONG WIND GUSTS. SMALL HAIL AND GUSTY WINDS ARE
POSSIBLE OVER THE REMAINDER OF EASTERN IDAHO THROUGH THE EVENING.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. A SERIES OF
DISTURBANCES ARE EXPECTED EVERY COUPLE DAYS ACROSS EASTERN IDAHO.
ENOUGH INSTABILITY WILL BE PRESENT EACH DAY TO ALLOW ISOLATED TO
SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS TO DEVELOP...MAINLY OVER THE HIGHER
TERRAIN THROUGHOUT THE REGION.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

WE ASK TRAINED SPOTTERS AND CITIZENS TO REPORT SIGNIFICANT
WEATHER CONDITIONS WHEN IT IS SAFE TO DO SO. THESE CONDITIONS MAY
INCLUDE HAIL...TORNADOES...STRONG WIND...DUST STORMS...SNOWFALL...
EXTREME COLD TEMPERATURES...FREEZING RAIN OR HEAVY RAIN...DENSE
FOG...AND FLOODING OR ICE JAMS. INFORMATION ABOUT THESE HAZARDOUS
CONDITIONS SHOULD BE CALLED INTO YOUR NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE
OFFICE IN POCATELLO USING THE 1-800 SEVERE WEATHER HOTLINE...OR
208-233-0834.