Alert archive / New Jersey / Winter Weather Advisories in 2006

Winter Weather Advisory 7, NWS Philadelphia/Mount Holly

March 1, 20064 states

NWS Philadelphia/Mount Holly issued this winter weather advisory at Mar 1, 2006, 3:17 PM EST for 4 states. It took effect at Mar 2, 2006, 4:24 AM EST. It was in force for 8 hr.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued
Mar 1, 2006, 3:17 PM EST (20:17 UTC)
In effect from
Mar 2, 2006, 4:24 AM EST
Expired
Mar 2, 2006, 12:00 PM EST
In force
8 hr
Issued by
NWS Philadelphia/Mount Holly

Counties New Castle County, DE, Cecil County, MD, Atlantic County, NJ, Burlington County, NJ, Camden County, NJ, Cape May County, NJ, Cumberland County, NJ, Gloucester County, NJ, Monmouth County, NJ, Ocean County, NJ, Salem County, NJ, Delaware County, PA, Philadelphia County, PA

The radar

The Philadelphia radar (KDIX), 59 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 20:22 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The nearest sounding before it

Phillips Aaf/Abe, MD (KAPG), launched 12:00Z, 8.3 hours before the alert went out and 96 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Phillips Aaf/Abe, MD at 12:00Z on 2006-03-01Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 0 joules per kilogram.LCL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Phillips Aaf/Abe, MD at 12:00Z on 2006-03-01The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 45 square meters per square second.1939587897117136Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
0 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
No buoyant parcel
Mixed-layer LCL
1658 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
84 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
45 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
133 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

000 
WWUS41 KPHI 012017
WSWPHI

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
317 PM EST WED MAR 1 2006

NJZ014-020-026-027-012130-
/O.CAN.KPHI.WS.A.0004.060302T0500Z-060303T0300Z/
EASTERN MONMOUTH-OCEAN-COASTAL OCEAN-SOUTHEASTERN BURLINGTON-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...SANDY HOOK...JACKSON...
LONG BEACH ISLAND...WHARTON STATE FOREST
317 PM EST WED MAR 1 2006

...WINTER STORM WATCH IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MOUNT HOLLY HAS CANCELLED THE
WINTER STORM WATCH. ALTHOUGH PRECIPITATION MAY BEGIN AS A PERIOD
OF SLEET OVER THE AREA, MAINLY RAIN IS FORECAST.

$$

NJZ001-007-008-PAZ054-055-062-020300-
/O.UPG.KPHI.WS.A.0004.060302T0500Z-060303T0300Z/
/O.NEW.KPHI.WS.W.0005.060302T1000Z-060303T0000Z/
SUSSEX-WARREN-MORRIS-CARBON-MONROE-NORTHAMPTON-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...NEWTON...WASHINGTON...MORRISTOWN...
JIM THORPE...STROUDSBURG...BETHLEHEM...EASTON
317 PM EST WED MAR 1 2006

...WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 5 AM TO 7 PM EST
THURSDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MOUNT HOLLY HAS ISSUED A WINTER
STORM WARNING, WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 5 AM TO 7 PM EST THURSDAY.
THE WINTER STORM WATCH IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT.

FOUR TO SEVEN INCHES OF SNOW AND SLEET ARE FORECAST FOR THE 
SOUTHERN POCONOS AND THE UPPER LEHIGH VALLEY IN PENNSYLVANIA AND FOR 
NORTHWESTERN NEW JERSEY, WITH PRECIPITATION BEGINNING BY THE 
THURSDAY MORNING RUSH HOUR AND TAPERING OFF BY EVENING. THE SNOW
AND SLEET WILL MAKE DRIVING DANGEROUS. PEOPLE WHO NEED TO DRIVE ON
THURSDAY ARE ENCOURAGED TO ALLOW EXTRA TIME FOR THEIR COMMUTES.
THE SAFEST COURSE OF ACTION WOULD BE TO AVOID DRIVING.

LOW PRESSURE OVER THE EASTERN PLAINS EARLY WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON IS 
FORECAST TO MOVE INTO THE OHIO VALLEY OVERNIGHT AND THEN MOVE OFF 
THE NORTHERN MID ATLANTIC COAST THURSDAY AFTERNOON. THIS SYSTEM WILL 
BRING THE WINTER WEATHER TO OUR REGION. 

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO ALL HAZARDS, THE VOICE OF THE 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE, OR LOCAL MEDIA OUTLETS FOR FURTHER UPDATES 
ON THIS WINTER WEATHER EVENT. 

A WINTER STORM WARNING MEANS SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF SNOW AND SLEET
ARE EXPECTED, MAKING TRAVEL DANGEROUS. 

$$

NJZ009-010-012-015-PAZ060-061-067>069-020300-
/O.UPG.KPHI.WS.A.0004.060302T0500Z-060303T0300Z/
/O.NEW.KPHI.WS.W.0005.060302T1000Z-060303T0000Z/
HUNTERDON-SOMERSET-MIDDLESEX-MERCER-BERKS-LEHIGH-CHESTER-
MONTGOMERY-BUCKS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...FLEMINGTON...SOMERVILLE...
NEW BRUNSWICK...TRENTON...READING...ALLENTOWN...WEST CHESTER...
NORRISTOWN...DOYLESTOWN
317 PM EST WED MAR 1 2006

...WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 5 AM TO 7 PM EST
THURSDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MOUNT HOLLY HAS ISSUED A WINTER
STORM WARNING, WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 5 AM TO 7 PM EST THURSDAY.
THE WINTER STORM WATCH IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT.

FOR NORTH CENTRAL NEW JERSEY, THREE TO FIVE INCHES OF SNOW AND SLEET 
WITH AN ADDITIONAL QUARTER INCH OF ICE ARE FORECAST. FOR THE LOWER 
LEHIGH VALLEY AND BERKS COUNTY IN PENNSYLVANIA, TWO TO FOUR INCHES 
OF SNOW AND SLEET WITH AN ADDITIONAL QUARTER INCH OF ICE ARE 
FORECAST. FOR THE NORTHERN AND WESTERN SUBURBS OF PHILADELPHIA IN 
PENNSYLVANIA, ONE TO TWO INCHES OF SNOW AND SLEET WITH AN ADDITIONAL 
QUARTER INCH OF ICE ARE FORECAST. PRECIPITATION IS EXPECTED TO BEGIN 
BY THE THURSDAY MORNING RUSH HOUR AS SNOW, MIX WITH SLEET DURING
THE MORNING, AND THEN CHANGE TO FREEZING RAIN. THE FREEZING RAIN
IS WHAT WILL CAUSE THE QUARTER INCH OF ICE ON TOP OF THE SNOW AND
SLEET, AND IT WILL GREATLY EXACERBATE THE DANGER TO TRAVELERS.
FREEZING RAIN MAY CHANGE TO RAIN OVER THE IMMEDIATE NORTHERN AND
WESTERN SUBURBS OF PHILADELPHIA DURING THE AFTERNOON. ALL
PRECIPITATION IS EXPECTED TO TAPER OFF BY EVENING.

PEOPLE WHO NEED TO DRIVE ON THURSDAY ARE ENCOURAGED TO ALLOW
EXTRA TIME FOR THEIR COMMUTES. THE SAFEST COURSE OF ACTION WOULD
BE TO AVOID DRIVING.

LOW PRESSURE OVER THE EASTERN PLAINS EARLY WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON IS 
FORECAST TO MOVE INTO THE OHIO VALLEY OVERNIGHT AND THEN MOVE OFF THE 
NORTHERN MID ATLANTIC COAST THURSDAY AFTERNOON. THIS SYSTEM WILL 
BRING THE WINTER WEATHER TO OUR REGION. 

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO ALL HAZARDS, THE VOICE OF THE 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE, OR LOCAL MEDIA OUTLETS FOR FURTHER UPDATES 
ON THIS WINTER WEATHER EVENT. 

A WINTER STORM WARNING MEANS SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF SNOW, SLEET AND
ICE ARE EXPECTED, MAKING TRAVEL DANGEROUS. 

$$

DEZ001-MDZ008-NJZ013-016>019-PAZ070-071-020300-
/O.UPG.KPHI.WS.A.0004.060302T0500Z-060303T0300Z/
/O.NEW.KPHI.WW.Y.0007.060302T1000Z-060302T1700Z/
NEW CASTLE-CECIL-WESTERN MONMOUTH-SALEM-GLOUCESTER-CAMDEN-
NORTHWESTERN BURLINGTON-DELAWARE-PHILADELPHIA-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...WILMINGTON...ELKTON...FREEHOLD...
PENNSVILLE...GLASSBORO...CAMDEN...CHERRY HILL...MOORESTOWN...
MOUNT HOLLY...MEDIA
317 PM EST WED MAR 1 2006

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 5 AM TO 12 PM EST
THURSDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MOUNT HOLLY HAS ISSUED A WINTER
WEATHER ADVISORY, WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 5 AM TO 12 PM EST
THURSDAY. THE WINTER STORM WATCH IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT.

FOR THE INTERSTATE 295 AND INTERSTATE 95 CORRIDORS OF EAST CENTRAL 
AND SOUTHWESTERN NEW JERSEY, THE IMMEDIATE PHILADELPHIA METRO AREA, 
NORTHERN DELAWARE AND NORTHEASTERN MARYLAND, ANYWHERE FROM A COATING 
TO TWO INCHES OF SNOW AND SLEET WITH AN ADDITIONAL LIGHT COATING OF 
ICE ARE FORECAST. PRECIPITATION IS EXPECTED TO BEGIN BY THE THURSDAY 
MORNING RUSH HOUR AS SNOW AND SLEET, CHANGE TO FREEZING RAIN DURING 
THE MORNING, AND THEN CHANGE TO RAIN BY NOON. PRIOR TO THE 
CHANGEOVER, THE COMBINATION OF SNOW, SLEET AND FREEZING RAIN WILL 
MAKE DRIVING HAZARDOUS. PEOPLE WHO NEED TO DRIVE ON THURSDAY SHOULD 
ALLOW EXTRA TIME FOR THEIR COMMUTES. 

LOW PRESSURE OVER THE EASTERN PLAINS EARLY WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON IS 
FORECAST TO MOVE INTO THE OHIO VALLEY OVERNIGHT AND THEN MOVE OFF 
THE NORTHERN MID ATLANTIC COAST THURSDAY AFTERNOON. THIS SYSTEM WILL 
BRING THE WINTER WEATHER TO OUR REGION. 

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO ALL HAZARDS, THE VOICE OF THE 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE, OR LOCAL MEDIA OUTLETS FOR FURTHER UPDATES 
ON THIS WINTER WEATHER EVENT.

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY MEANS THAT PERIODS OF SNOW, SLEET OR
FREEZING RAIN WILL CAUSE TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR
SLIPPERY ROADS AND LIMITED VISIBILITIES, AND USE CAUTION WHILE
DRIVING.

$$

THE LATEST WEATHER INFORMATION IS AVAILABLE ON THE INTERNET AT
WWW.WEATHER.GOV/ER/PHI

GORSE/MPD
6 follow-up statements
000 
WWUS41 KPHI 020218
WSWPHI

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
918 PM EST WED MAR 1 2006

NJZ001-007-008-PAZ054-055-062-021100-
/O.CON.KPHI.WS.W.0005.060302T1000Z-060303T0000Z/
SUSSEX-WARREN-MORRIS-CARBON-MONROE-NORTHAMPTON-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...NEWTON...WASHINGTON...MORRISTOWN...
JIM THORPE...STROUDSBURG...BETHLEHEM...EASTON
918 PM EST WED MAR 1 2006

...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 5 AM TO 7 PM EST
THURSDAY...

A WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 5 AM TO 7 PM EST
THURSDAY. 

FOUR TO SEVEN INCHES OF SNOW AND SLEET ARE FORECAST FOR THE
SOUTHERN POCONOS AND THE UPPER LEHIGH VALLEY IN PENNSYLVANIA AND
FOR NORTHWESTERN NEW JERSEY, WITH PRECIPITATION BEGINNING BY THE
THURSDAY MORNING RUSH HOUR AND TAPERING OFF BY EVENING. THE SNOW
AND SLEET WILL MAKE DRIVING DANGEROUS. PEOPLE WHO NEED TO DRIVE ON
THURSDAY ARE ENCOURAGED TO ALLOW EXTRA TIME FOR THEIR COMMUTES.
THE SAFEST COURSE OF ACTION WOULD BE TO AVOID DRIVING.

LOW PRESSURE OVER THE CENTRAL MISSISSIPPI RIVER VALLEY WEDNESDAY
EVENING IS FORECAST TO MOVE INTO THE OHIO VALLEY OVERNIGHT AND
THEN MOVE OFF THE NORTHERN MID ATLANTIC COAST THURSDAY AFTERNOON.
THIS SYSTEM WILL BRING THE WINTER WEATHER TO OUR REGION.

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO ALL HAZARDS, THE VOICE OF THE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE, OR LOCAL MEDIA OUTLETS FOR FURTHER
UPDATES ON THIS WINTER WEATHER EVENT.

A WINTER STORM WARNING MEANS SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF SNOW AND
SLEET ARE EXPECTED, MAKING TRAVEL DANGEROUS.

$$

NJZ009-010-012-015-PAZ060-061-067>069-021100-
/O.CON.KPHI.WS.W.0005.060302T1000Z-060303T0000Z/
HUNTERDON-SOMERSET-MIDDLESEX-MERCER-BERKS-LEHIGH-CHESTER-
MONTGOMERY-BUCKS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...FLEMINGTON...SOMERVILLE...
NEW BRUNSWICK...TRENTON...READING...ALLENTOWN...WEST CHESTER...
NORRISTOWN...DOYLESTOWN
918 PM EST WED MAR 1 2006

...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 5 AM TO 7 PM EST
THURSDAY...

A WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 5 AM TO 7 PM EST
THURSDAY. 

FOR NORTH CENTRAL NEW JERSEY, THREE TO FIVE INCHES OF SNOW AND
SLEET WITH AN ADDITIONAL QUARTER INCH OF ICE ARE FORECAST. FOR THE
LOWER LEHIGH VALLEY AND BERKS COUNTY IN PENNSYLVANIA, TWO TO FOUR
INCHES OF SNOW AND SLEET WITH AN ADDITIONAL QUARTER INCH OF ICE
ARE FORECAST. FOR THE NORTHERN AND WESTERN SUBURBS OF PHILADELPHIA
IN PENNSYLVANIA, ONE TO TWO INCHES OF SNOW AND SLEET WITH AN
ADDITIONAL QUARTER INCH OF ICE ARE FORECAST. PRECIPITATION IS
EXPECTED TO BEGIN BY THE THURSDAY MORNING RUSH HOUR AS SNOW, MIX
WITH SLEET DURING THE MORNING, AND THEN CHANGE TO FREEZING RAIN.
THE FREEZING RAIN IS WHAT WILL CAUSE THE QUARTER INCH OF ICE ON
TOP OF THE SNOW AND SLEET, AND IT WILL GREATLY EXACERBATE THE
DANGER TO TRAVELERS. FREEZING RAIN MAY CHANGE TO RAIN OVER THE
IMMEDIATE NORTHERN AND WESTERN SUBURBS OF PHILADELPHIA DURING THE
AFTERNOON. ALL PRECIPITATION IS EXPECTED TO TAPER OFF BY EVENING.

PEOPLE WHO NEED TO DRIVE ON THURSDAY ARE ENCOURAGED TO ALLOW
EXTRA TIME FOR THEIR COMMUTES. THE SAFEST COURSE OF ACTION WOULD
BE TO AVOID DRIVING.

LOW PRESSURE OVER THE CENTRAL MISSISSIPPI RIVER VALLEY WEDNESDAY
EVENING IS FORECAST TO MOVE INTO THE OHIO VALLEY OVERNIGHT AND
THEN MOVE OFF THE NORTHERN MID ATLANTIC COAST THURSDAY AFTERNOON.
THIS SYSTEM WILL BRING THE WINTER WEATHER TO OUR REGION.

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO ALL HAZARDS, THE VOICE OF THE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE, OR LOCAL MEDIA OUTLETS FOR FURTHER
UPDATES ON THIS WINTER WEATHER EVENT.

A WINTER STORM WARNING MEANS SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF SNOW, SLEET
AND ICE ARE EXPECTED, MAKING TRAVEL DANGEROUS.

$$

DEZ001-MDZ008-NJZ013-016>019-PAZ070-071-021100-
/O.CON.KPHI.WW.Y.0007.060302T1000Z-060302T1700Z/
NEW CASTLE-CECIL-WESTERN MONMOUTH-SALEM-GLOUCESTER-CAMDEN-
NORTHWESTERN BURLINGTON-DELAWARE-PHILADELPHIA-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...WILMINGTON...ELKTON...FREEHOLD...
PENNSVILLE...GLASSBORO...CAMDEN...CHERRY HILL...MOORESTOWN...
MOUNT HOLLY...MEDIA
918 PM EST WED MAR 1 2006

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 5 AM TO 12 PM
EST THURSDAY...

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 5 AM TO 12 PM
EST THURSDAY. 

FOR THE INTERSTATE 295, 195 AND 95 CORRIDORS OF EAST CENTRAL AND
SOUTHWESTERN NEW JERSEY, THE IMMEDIATE PHILADELPHIA METRO AREA,
NORTHERN DELAWARE AND NORTHEASTERN MARYLAND, ANYWHERE FROM A
COATING TO TWO INCHES OF SNOW AND SLEET WITH AN ADDITIONAL LIGHT
COATING OF ICE ARE FORECAST. PRECIPITATION IS EXPECTED TO BEGIN BY
THE THURSDAY MORNING RUSH HOUR AS SNOW AND SLEET, CHANGE TO
FREEZING RAIN DURING THE MORNING, AND THEN CHANGE TO RAIN BY NOON.
PRIOR TO THE CHANGEOVER, THE COMBINATION OF SNOW, SLEET AND
FREEZING RAIN WILL MAKE DRIVING HAZARDOUS. PEOPLE WHO NEED TO
DRIVE ON THURSDAY SHOULD ALLOW EXTRA TIME FOR THEIR COMMUTES.

LOW PRESSURE OVER THE CENTRAL MISSISSIPPI RIVER VALLEY WEDNESDAY
EVENING IS FORECAST TO MOVE INTO THE OHIO VALLEY OVERNIGHT AND
THEN MOVE OFF THE NORTHERN MID ATLANTIC COAST THURSDAY AFTERNOON.
THIS SYSTEM WILL BRING THE WINTER WEATHER TO OUR REGION.

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO ALL HAZARDS, THE VOICE OF THE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE, OR LOCAL MEDIA OUTLETS FOR FURTHER
UPDATES ON THIS WINTER WEATHER EVENT.

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY MEANS THAT PERIODS OF SNOW, SLEET OR
FREEZING RAIN WILL CAUSE TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR
SLIPPERY ROADS AND LIMITED VISIBILITIES, AND USE CAUTION WHILE
DRIVING.

$$

MPD
000 
WWUS41 KPHI 020924
WSWPHI

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
424 AM EST THU MAR 2 2006

NJZ001-007-008-PAZ054-055-021730-
/O.CON.KPHI.WS.W.0005.060302T1000Z-060303T0000Z/
SUSSEX-WARREN-MORRIS-CARBON-MONROE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...NEWTON...WASHINGTON...MORRISTOWN...
JIM THORPE...STROUDSBURG
424 AM EST THU MAR 2 2006

...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST THIS
EVENING...

A WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST THIS
EVENING. 

FOUR TO SEVEN INCHES OF SNOW AND SLEET ARE FORECAST FOR THE
SOUTHERN POCONOS AND THE UPPER LEHIGH VALLEY IN PENNSYLVANIA. SIX
TO EIGHT INCHES OF SNOW AND SLEET ARE FORECAST FOR NORTHWESTERN
NEW JERSEY, WHERE SOME FREEZING RAIN IS ALSO POSSIBLE, ESPECIALLY
IN WARREN AND MORRIS COUNTIES. A THUNDERSTORM IS ALSO POSSIBLE IN
A FEW LOCATIONS. PRECIPITATION IS EXPECTED TO BEGIN DURING THE
MORNING COMMUTE, THEN CONTINUE THROUGH MUCH OF THE DAY BEFORE
TAPERING OFF BY EVENING. THE SNOW, SLEET AND FREEZING RAIN WILL
MAKE DRIVING DANGEROUS. PEOPLE WHO NEED TO DRIVE TODAY ARE
ENCOURAGED TO ALLOW EXTRA TIME FOR THEIR COMMUTES. THE SAFEST
COURSE OF ACTION WOULD BE TO AVOID DRIVING.

LOW PRESSURE OVER THE OHIO RIVER VALLEY THIS MORNING IS FORECAST
TO MOVE OFF THE MID ATLANTIC COAST LATE THIS AFTERNOON. MOISTURE
FROM THIS SYSTEM WILL BRING WINTER WEATHER TO OUR REGION TODAY.

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO ALL HAZARDS... THE VOICE OF THE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE... OR LOCAL MEDIA OUTLETS FOR FURTHER
UPDATES ON THIS WINTER WEATHER EVENT.

A WINTER STORM WARNING MEANS SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF SNOW AND
SLEET ARE EXPECTED... MAKING TRAVEL DANGEROUS.

$$

NJZ009-010-012-015-PAZ060>062-067>069-021730-
/O.CON.KPHI.WS.W.0005.060302T1000Z-060303T0000Z/
HUNTERDON-SOMERSET-MIDDLESEX-MERCER-BERKS-LEHIGH-NORTHAMPTON-
CHESTER-MONTGOMERY-BUCKS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...FLEMINGTON...SOMERVILLE...
NEW BRUNSWICK...TRENTON...READING...ALLENTOWN...BETHLEHEM...
EASTON...WEST CHESTER...NORRISTOWN...DOYLESTOWN
424 AM EST THU MAR 2 2006

...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST THIS
EVENING...

A WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST THIS
EVENING. 

FOR NORTH CENTRAL NEW JERSEY... THREE TO FIVE INCHES OF SNOW AND
SLEET WITH AN ADDITIONAL QUARTER INCH OF ICE ARE FORECAST. FOR THE
LOWER LEHIGH VALLEY...TWO TO FIVE INCHES OF SNOW AND SLEET WITH
AN ADDITIONAL QUARTER INCH OF ICE ARE FORECAST. FOR BERKS COUNTY,
ONE TO TWO INCHES OF SNOW AND SLEET WITH AN ADDITIONAL QUARTER
INCH OF ICE ARE FORECAST. FOR THE NORTHERN AND WESTERN SUBURBS OF
PHILADELPHIA IN PENNSYLVANIA... ONE TO TWO INCHES OF SNOW AND
SLEET WITH AN ADDITIONAL QUARTER INCH OF ICE ARE FORECAST. A
THUNDERSTORM IS ALSO POSSIBLE IN A FEW LOCATIONS THROUGHOUT THE
ENTIRE REGION. PRECIPITATION IS EXPECTED TO BEGIN AS SNOW DURING THE
RUSH HOUR THIS MORNING... MIX WITH SLEET A LITTLE LATER IN THE
MORNING BEFORE CHANGING OVER TO FREEZING RAIN. THE FREEZING RAIN
IS WHAT WILL CAUSE THE QUARTER INCH OF ICE ON TOP OF THE SNOW AND
SLEET... AND IT WILL GREATLY EXACERBATE THE DANGER TO TRAVELERS.
FREEZING RAIN MAY CHANGE TO RAIN OVER THE IMMEDIATE NORTHERN AND
WESTERN SUBURBS OF PHILADELPHIA DURING THE AFTERNOON. ALL
PRECIPITATION IS EXPECTED TO TAPER OFF BY EVENING.

PEOPLE WHO NEED TO DRIVE TODAY ARE ENCOURAGED TO ALLOW EXTRA TIME
FOR THEIR COMMUTES. THE SAFEST COURSE OF ACTION WOULD BE TO AVOID
DRIVING.

LOW PRESSURE OVER THE OHIO RIVER VALLEY THIS MORNING IS FORECAST
TO MOVE OFF THE MID ATLANTIC COAST LATE THIS AFTERNOON. MOISTURE
FROM THIS SYSTEM WILL BRING WINTER WEATHER TO OUR REGION TODAY.

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO ALL HAZARDS... THE VOICE OF THE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE... OR LOCAL MEDIA OUTLETS FOR FURTHER
UPDATES ON THIS WINTER WEATHER EVENT.

A WINTER STORM WARNING MEANS SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF SNOW... SLEET
AND ICE ARE EXPECTED... MAKING TRAVEL DANGEROUS.

$$

NJZ020-021700-
/O.EXA.KPHI.WW.Y.0007.060302T1000Z-060302T1700Z/
OCEAN-
INCLUDING THE CITY OF...JACKSON
424 AM EST THU MAR 2 2006

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON EST TODAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MOUNT HOLLY HAS ISSUED A WINTER
WEATHER ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON EST TODAY. 

FOR THE INTERSTATE 295... 195 AND 95 CORRIDORS OF EAST CENTRAL
AND SOUTHWESTERN NEW JERSEY...ANYWHERE FROM A COATING TO TWO
INCHES OF SNOW AND SLEET WITH AN ADDITIONAL LIGHT COATING OF ICE
ARE FORECAST. A THUNDERSTORM IS ALSO POSSIBLE IN A FEW LOCATIONS.
PRECIPITATION IS EXPECTED TO BEGIN AS SNOW AND SLEET DURING THE
RUSH HOUR THIS MORNING...THEN CHANGE TO FREEZING RAIN A LITTLE
LATER IN THE MORNING...BEFORE CHANGING TO PLAIN RAIN BY NOON.
PRIOR TO THE CHANGEOVER... THE COMBINATION OF SNOW... SLEET AND
FREEZING RAIN WILL MAKE DRIVING HAZARDOUS. PEOPLE WHO NEED TO
DRIVE TODAY SHOULD ALLOW EXTRA TIME FOR THEIR COMMUTES.

LOW PRESSURE OVER THE OHIO RIVER VALLEY THIS MORNING IS FORECAST
TO MOVE OFF THE MID ATLANTIC COAST LATE THIS AFTERNOON. MOISTURE
FROM THIS SYSTEM WILL BRING WINTER WEATHER TO OUR REGION TODAY.

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO ALL HAZARDS... THE VOICE OF THE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE... OR LOCAL MEDIA OUTLETS FOR FURTHER
UPDATES ON THIS WINTER WEATHER EVENT.

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY MEANS THAT PERIODS OF SNOW... SLEET OR
FREEZING RAIN WILL CAUSE TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR
SLIPPERY ROADS AND LIMITED VISIBILITIES... AND USE CAUTION WHILE
DRIVING.

$$

DEZ001-MDZ008-NJZ013-016>019-PAZ070-071-021700-
/O.CON.KPHI.WW.Y.0007.060302T1000Z-060302T1700Z/
NEW CASTLE-CECIL-WESTERN MONMOUTH-SALEM-GLOUCESTER-CAMDEN-
NORTHWESTERN BURLINGTON-DELAWARE-PHILADELPHIA-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...WILMINGTON...ELKTON...FREEHOLD...
PENNSVILLE...GLASSBORO...CAMDEN...CHERRY HILL...MOORESTOWN...
MOUNT HOLLY...MEDIA
424 AM EST THU MAR 2 2006

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON EST
TODAY...

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON EST TODAY.

FOR THE INTERSTATE 295... 195 AND 95 CORRIDORS OF EAST CENTRAL
AND SOUTHWESTERN NEW JERSEY... THE IMMEDIATE PHILADELPHIA METRO
AREA... NORTHERN DELAWARE AND NORTHEASTERN MARYLAND... ANYWHERE
FROM A COATING TO TWO INCHES OF SNOW AND SLEET WITH AN ADDITIONAL
LIGHT COATING OF ICE ARE FORECAST. A THUNDERSTORM IS ALSO POSSIBLE
IN A FEW LOCATIONS. PRECIPITATION IS EXPECTED TO BEGIN AS SNOW AND
SLEET DURING RUSH HOUR THIS MORNING... THEN CHANGE TO FREEZING
RAIN A LITTLE LATER IN THE MORNING...BEFORE CHANGING TO PLAIN RAIN
BY NOON. PRIOR TO THE CHANGEOVER... THE COMBINATION OF SNOW...
SLEET AND FREEZING RAIN WILL MAKE DRIVING HAZARDOUS. PEOPLE WHO
NEED TO DRIVE TODAY SHOULD ALLOW EXTRA TIME FOR THEIR COMMUTES.

LOW PRESSURE OVER THE OHIO RIVER VALLEY THIS MORNING IS FORECAST
TO MOVE OFF THE MID ATLANTIC COAST LATE THIS AFTERNOON. MOISTURE
FROM THIS SYSTEM WILL BRING WINTER WEATHER TO OUR REGION TODAY.

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO ALL HAZARDS... THE VOICE OF THE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE... OR LOCAL MEDIA OUTLETS FOR FURTHER
UPDATES ON THIS WINTER WEATHER EVENT.

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY MEANS THAT PERIODS OF SNOW... SLEET OR
FREEZING RAIN WILL CAUSE TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR
SLIPPERY ROADS AND LIMITED VISIBILITIES... AND USE CAUTION WHILE
DRIVING.

$$
000 
WWUS41 KPHI 020952
WSWPHI

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
452 AM EST THU MAR 2 2006

NJZ001-007-008-PAZ054-055-021800-
/O.CON.KPHI.WS.W.0005.060302T1000Z-060303T0000Z/
SUSSEX-WARREN-MORRIS-CARBON-MONROE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...NEWTON...WASHINGTON...MORRISTOWN...
JIM THORPE...STROUDSBURG
452 AM EST THU MAR 2 2006

...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST THIS
EVENING...

A WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST THIS
EVENING. 

FOUR TO SEVEN INCHES OF SNOW AND SLEET ARE FORECAST FOR THE
SOUTHERN POCONOS AND THE UPPER LEHIGH VALLEY IN PENNSYLVANIA. SIX
TO EIGHT INCHES OF SNOW AND SLEET ARE FORECAST FOR NORTHWESTERN
NEW JERSEY... WHERE SOME FREEZING RAIN IS ALSO POSSIBLE...
ESPECIALLY IN WARREN AND MORRIS COUNTIES. A THUNDERSTORM IS ALSO
POSSIBLE IN A FEW LOCATIONS. PRECIPITATION IS EXPECTED TO BEGIN
DURING THE MORNING COMMUTE... THEN CONTINUE THROUGH MUCH OF THE
DAY BEFORE TAPERING OFF BY EVENING. THE SNOW... SLEET AND
FREEZING RAIN WILL MAKE DRIVING DANGEROUS. PEOPLE WHO NEED TO
DRIVE TODAY ARE ENCOURAGED TO ALLOW EXTRA TIME FOR THEIR
COMMUTES. THE SAFEST COURSE OF ACTION WOULD BE TO AVOID DRIVING.

LOW PRESSURE OVER THE OHIO RIVER VALLEY THIS MORNING IS FORECAST
TO MOVE OFF THE MID ATLANTIC COAST LATE THIS AFTERNOON. MOISTURE
FROM THIS SYSTEM WILL BRING WINTER WEATHER TO OUR REGION TODAY.

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO ALL HAZARDS... THE VOICE OF THE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE... OR LOCAL MEDIA OUTLETS FOR FURTHER
UPDATES ON THIS WINTER WEATHER EVENT.

A WINTER STORM WARNING MEANS SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF SNOW AND
SLEET ARE EXPECTED... MAKING TRAVEL DANGEROUS.

$$

NJZ009-010-012-015-PAZ060>062-067>069-021800-
/O.CON.KPHI.WS.W.0005.060302T1000Z-060303T0000Z/
HUNTERDON-SOMERSET-MIDDLESEX-MERCER-BERKS-LEHIGH-NORTHAMPTON-
CHESTER-MONTGOMERY-BUCKS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...FLEMINGTON...SOMERVILLE...
NEW BRUNSWICK...TRENTON...READING...ALLENTOWN...BETHLEHEM...
EASTON...WEST CHESTER...NORRISTOWN...DOYLESTOWN
452 AM EST THU MAR 2 2006

...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST THIS
EVENING...

A WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST THIS
EVENING. 

FOR NORTH CENTRAL NEW JERSEY... THREE TO FIVE INCHES OF SNOW AND
SLEET WITH AN ADDITIONAL QUARTER INCH OF ICE ARE FORECAST. FOR
THE LOWER LEHIGH VALLEY...TWO TO FIVE INCHES OF SNOW AND SLEET
WITH AN ADDITIONAL QUARTER INCH OF ICE ARE FORECAST. FOR BERKS
COUNTY... ONE TO TWO INCHES OF SNOW AND SLEET WITH AN ADDITIONAL
QUARTER INCH OF ICE ARE FORECAST. FOR THE NORTHERN AND WESTERN
SUBURBS OF PHILADELPHIA IN PENNSYLVANIA... ONE TO TWO INCHES OF
SNOW AND SLEET WITH AN ADDITIONAL QUARTER INCH OF ICE ARE
FORECAST. A THUNDERSTORM IS ALSO POSSIBLE IN A FEW LOCATIONS
THROUGHOUT THE ENTIRE REGION. PRECIPITATION IS EXPECTED TO BEGIN
AS SNOW DURING THE RUSH HOUR THIS MORNING... MIX WITH SLEET A
LITTLE LATER IN THE MORNING BEFORE CHANGING OVER TO FREEZING
RAIN. THE FREEZING RAIN IS WHAT WILL CAUSE THE QUARTER INCH OF
ICE ON TOP OF THE SNOW AND SLEET... AND IT WILL GREATLY
EXACERBATE THE DANGER TO TRAVELERS. FREEZING RAIN MAY CHANGE TO
RAIN OVER THE IMMEDIATE NORTHERN AND WESTERN SUBURBS OF
PHILADELPHIA DURING THE AFTERNOON. ALL PRECIPITATION IS EXPECTED
TO TAPER OFF BY EVENING.

PEOPLE WHO NEED TO DRIVE TODAY ARE ENCOURAGED TO ALLOW EXTRA TIME
FOR THEIR COMMUTES. THE SAFEST COURSE OF ACTION WOULD BE TO AVOID
DRIVING.

LOW PRESSURE OVER THE OHIO RIVER VALLEY THIS MORNING IS FORECAST
TO MOVE OFF THE MID ATLANTIC COAST LATE THIS AFTERNOON. MOISTURE
FROM THIS SYSTEM WILL BRING WINTER WEATHER TO OUR REGION TODAY.

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO ALL HAZARDS... THE VOICE OF THE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE... OR LOCAL MEDIA OUTLETS FOR FURTHER
UPDATES ON THIS WINTER WEATHER EVENT.

A WINTER STORM WARNING MEANS SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF SNOW... SLEET
AND ICE ARE EXPECTED... MAKING TRAVEL DANGEROUS.

$$

NJZ021>023-027-021400-
/O.EXB.KPHI.WW.Y.0007.060302T0952Z-060302T1400Z/
CUMBERLAND-ATLANTIC-CAPE MAY-SOUTHEASTERN BURLINGTON-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...MILLVILLE...HAMMONTON...
CAPE MAY COURT HOUSE...WHARTON STATE FOREST
452 AM EST THU MAR 2 2006

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 AM EST THIS
MORNING...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MOUNT HOLLY HAS ISSUED A WINTER
WEATHER ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 AM EST THIS
MORNING. 

FOR THE INTERSTATE 295... 195 AND 95 CORRIDORS OF EAST CENTRAL
AND SOUTHWESTERN NEW JERSEY... THE IMMEDIATE PHILADELPHIA METRO
AREA... NORTHERN DELAWARE AND NORTHEASTERN MARYLAND... AND
SOUTHERN NEW JERSEY... ANYWHERE FROM A COATING TO TWO INCHES OF
SNOW AND SLEET WITH AN ADDITIONAL LIGHT COATING OF ICE ARE
FORECAST. A THUNDERSTORM IS ALSO POSSIBLE IN A FEW LOCATIONS.
PRECIPITATION IS EXPECTED TO BEGIN AS SNOW AND SLEET DURING RUSH
HOUR THIS MORNING... THEN CHANGE TO FREEZING RAIN A LITTLE LATER
IN THE MORNING...BEFORE CHANGING TO PLAIN RAIN BY LATE MORNING.
PRIOR TO THE CHANGEOVER... THE COMBINATION OF SNOW... SLEET AND
FREEZING RAIN WILL MAKE DRIVING HAZARDOUS. PEOPLE WHO NEED TO
DRIVE TODAY SHOULD ALLOW EXTRA TIME FOR THEIR COMMUTES.

LOW PRESSURE OVER THE OHIO RIVER VALLEY THIS MORNING IS FORECAST
TO MOVE OFF THE MID ATLANTIC COAST LATE THIS AFTERNOON. MOISTURE
FROM THIS SYSTEM WILL BRING WINTER WEATHER TO OUR REGION TODAY.

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO ALL HAZARDS... THE VOICE OF THE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE... OR LOCAL MEDIA OUTLETS FOR FURTHER
UPDATES ON THIS WINTER WEATHER EVENT.

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY MEANS THAT PERIODS OF SNOW... SLEET OR
FREEZING RAIN WILL CAUSE TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR
SLIPPERY ROADS AND LIMITED VISIBILITIES... AND USE CAUTION WHILE
DRIVING.

$$

DEZ001-MDZ008-NJZ013-016>020-PAZ070-071-021700-
/O.CON.KPHI.WW.Y.0007.060302T1000Z-060302T1700Z/
NEW CASTLE-CECIL-WESTERN MONMOUTH-SALEM-GLOUCESTER-CAMDEN-
NORTHWESTERN BURLINGTON-OCEAN-DELAWARE-PHILADELPHIA-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...WILMINGTON...ELKTON...FREEHOLD...
PENNSVILLE...GLASSBORO...CAMDEN...CHERRY HILL...MOORESTOWN...
MOUNT HOLLY...JACKSON...MEDIA
452 AM EST THU MAR 2 2006

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON EST
TODAY...

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON EST TODAY.

FOR THE INTERSTATE 295... 195 AND 95 CORRIDORS OF EAST CENTRAL
AND SOUTHWESTERN NEW JERSEY... THE IMMEDIATE PHILADELPHIA METRO
AREA... NORTHERN DELAWARE AND NORTHEASTERN MARYLAND... ANYWHERE
FROM A COATING TO TWO INCHES OF SNOW AND SLEET WITH AN ADDITIONAL
LIGHT COATING OF ICE ARE FORECAST. A THUNDERSTORM IS ALSO
POSSIBLE IN A FEW LOCATIONS. PRECIPITATION IS EXPECTED TO BEGIN
AS SNOW AND SLEET DURING RUSH HOUR THIS MORNING... THEN CHANGE TO
FREEZING RAIN A LITTLE LATER IN THE MORNING...BEFORE CHANGING TO
PLAIN RAIN BY NOON. PRIOR TO THE CHANGEOVER... THE COMBINATION OF
SNOW... SLEET AND FREEZING RAIN WILL MAKE DRIVING HAZARDOUS.
PEOPLE WHO NEED TO DRIVE TODAY SHOULD ALLOW EXTRA TIME FOR THEIR
COMMUTES.

LOW PRESSURE OVER THE OHIO RIVER VALLEY THIS MORNING IS FORECAST
TO MOVE OFF THE MID ATLANTIC COAST LATE THIS AFTERNOON. MOISTURE
FROM THIS SYSTEM WILL BRING WINTER WEATHER TO OUR REGION TODAY.

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO ALL HAZARDS... THE VOICE OF THE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE... OR LOCAL MEDIA OUTLETS FOR FURTHER
UPDATES ON THIS WINTER WEATHER EVENT.

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY MEANS THAT PERIODS OF SNOW... SLEET OR
FREEZING RAIN WILL CAUSE TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR
SLIPPERY ROADS AND LIMITED VISIBILITIES... AND USE CAUTION WHILE
DRIVING.

$$
000 
WWUS41 KPHI 021403
WSWPHI

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
903 AM EST THU MAR 2 2006

NJZ021>023-027-021515-
/O.CAN.KPHI.WW.Y.0007.000000T0000Z-060302T1400Z/
CUMBERLAND-ATLANTIC-CAPE MAY-SOUTHEASTERN BURLINGTON-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...MILLVILLE...HAMMONTON...
CAPE MAY COURT HOUSE...WHARTON STATE FOREST
903 AM EST THU MAR 2 2006

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MOUNT HOLLY HAS CANCELLED THE
WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY. TEMPERATURES AROUND THE AREA ARE ABOVE
FREEZING, SO THE THREAT OF WINTER WEATHER HAS ENDED.


$$

DEZ001-MDZ008-021515-
/O.CAN.KPHI.WW.Y.0007.000000T0000Z-060302T1700Z/
NEW CASTLE-CECIL-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...WILMINGTON...ELKTON
903 AM EST THU MAR 2 2006

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MOUNT HOLLY HAS CANCELLED THE
WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY. TEMPERATURES AROUND THE AREA ARE ABOVE
FREEZING, SO THE THREAT OF WINTER WEATHER HAS ENDED. 

$$

NJZ001-007-008-PAZ054-055-021730-
/O.CON.KPHI.WS.W.0005.000000T0000Z-060303T0000Z/
SUSSEX-WARREN-MORRIS-CARBON-MONROE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...NEWTON...WASHINGTON...MORRISTOWN...
JIM THORPE...STROUDSBURG
903 AM EST THU MAR 2 2006

...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST THIS
EVENING...

A WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST THIS
EVENING. 

FOUR TO SEVEN INCHES OF SNOW AND SLEET ARE FORECAST FOR THE
SOUTHERN POCONOS AND THE UPPER LEHIGH VALLEY IN PENNSYLVANIA. SIX
TO EIGHT INCHES OF SNOW AND SLEET ARE FORECAST FOR NORTHWESTERN
NEW JERSEY... WHERE SOME FREEZING RAIN IS ALSO POSSIBLE...
ESPECIALLY IN WARREN AND MORRIS COUNTIES. A THUNDERSTORM IS ALSO
POSSIBLE IN A FEW LOCATIONS. PRECIPITATION IS EXPECTED TO BEGIN
DURING THE MORNING COMMUTE... THEN CONTINUE THROUGH MUCH OF THE
DAY BEFORE TAPERING OFF BY EVENING. THE SNOW... SLEET AND
FREEZING RAIN WILL MAKE DRIVING DANGEROUS. PEOPLE WHO NEED TO
DRIVE TODAY ARE ENCOURAGED TO ALLOW EXTRA TIME FOR THEIR
COMMUTES. THE SAFEST COURSE OF ACTION WOULD BE TO AVOID DRIVING.

LOW PRESSURE OVER THE OHIO RIVER VALLEY THIS MORNING IS FORECAST
TO MOVE OFF THE MID ATLANTIC COAST LATE THIS AFTERNOON. MOISTURE
FROM THIS SYSTEM WILL BRING WINTER WEATHER TO OUR REGION TODAY.

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO ALL HAZARDS... THE VOICE OF THE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE... OR LOCAL MEDIA OUTLETS FOR FURTHER
UPDATES ON THIS WINTER WEATHER EVENT.

A WINTER STORM WARNING MEANS SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF SNOW AND
SLEET ARE EXPECTED... MAKING TRAVEL DANGEROUS.

$$

NJZ009-010-012-015-PAZ060>062-067>069-021730-
/O.CON.KPHI.WS.W.0005.000000T0000Z-060303T0000Z/
HUNTERDON-SOMERSET-MIDDLESEX-MERCER-BERKS-LEHIGH-NORTHAMPTON-
CHESTER-MONTGOMERY-BUCKS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...FLEMINGTON...SOMERVILLE...
NEW BRUNSWICK...TRENTON...READING...ALLENTOWN...BETHLEHEM...
EASTON...WEST CHESTER...NORRISTOWN...DOYLESTOWN
903 AM EST THU MAR 2 2006

...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST THIS
EVENING...

A WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST THIS
EVENING. 

FOR NORTH CENTRAL NEW JERSEY... THREE TO FIVE INCHES OF SNOW AND
SLEET WITH AN ADDITIONAL QUARTER INCH OF ICE ARE FORECAST. FOR
THE LOWER LEHIGH VALLEY...TWO TO FIVE INCHES OF SNOW AND SLEET
WITH AN ADDITIONAL QUARTER INCH OF ICE ARE FORECAST. FOR BERKS
COUNTY... ONE TO TWO INCHES OF SNOW AND SLEET WITH AN ADDITIONAL
QUARTER INCH OF ICE ARE FORECAST. FOR THE NORTHERN AND WESTERN
SUBURBS OF PHILADELPHIA IN PENNSYLVANIA... ONE TO TWO INCHES OF
SNOW AND SLEET WITH AN ADDITIONAL QUARTER INCH OF ICE ARE
FORECAST. A THUNDERSTORM IS ALSO POSSIBLE IN A FEW LOCATIONS
THROUGHOUT THE ENTIRE REGION. PRECIPITATION IS EXPECTED TO BEGIN
AS SNOW DURING THE RUSH HOUR THIS MORNING... MIX WITH SLEET A
LITTLE LATER IN THE MORNING BEFORE CHANGING OVER TO FREEZING
RAIN. THE FREEZING RAIN IS WHAT WILL CAUSE THE QUARTER INCH OF
ICE ON TOP OF THE SNOW AND SLEET... AND IT WILL GREATLY
EXACERBATE THE DANGER TO TRAVELERS. FREEZING RAIN MAY CHANGE TO
RAIN OVER THE IMMEDIATE NORTHERN AND WESTERN SUBURBS OF
PHILADELPHIA DURING THE AFTERNOON. ALL PRECIPITATION IS EXPECTED
TO TAPER OFF BY EVENING.

PEOPLE WHO NEED TO DRIVE TODAY ARE ENCOURAGED TO ALLOW EXTRA TIME
FOR THEIR COMMUTES. THE SAFEST COURSE OF ACTION WOULD BE TO AVOID
DRIVING.

LOW PRESSURE OVER THE OHIO RIVER VALLEY THIS MORNING IS FORECAST
TO MOVE OFF THE MID ATLANTIC COAST LATE THIS AFTERNOON. MOISTURE
FROM THIS SYSTEM WILL BRING WINTER WEATHER TO OUR REGION TODAY.

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO ALL HAZARDS... THE VOICE OF THE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE... OR LOCAL MEDIA OUTLETS FOR FURTHER
UPDATES ON THIS WINTER WEATHER EVENT.

A WINTER STORM WARNING MEANS SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF SNOW... SLEET
AND ICE ARE EXPECTED... MAKING TRAVEL DANGEROUS.

$$

NJZ013-016>020-PAZ070-071-021700-
/O.CON.KPHI.WW.Y.0007.000000T0000Z-060302T1700Z/
WESTERN MONMOUTH-SALEM-GLOUCESTER-CAMDEN-NORTHWESTERN BURLINGTON-
OCEAN-DELAWARE-PHILADELPHIA-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...FREEHOLD...PENNSVILLE...GLASSBORO...
CAMDEN...CHERRY HILL...MOORESTOWN...MOUNT HOLLY...JACKSON...MEDIA
903 AM EST THU MAR 2 2006

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON EST
TODAY...

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON EST TODAY.

FOR THE INTERSTATE 295... 195 AND 95 CORRIDORS OF EAST CENTRAL
AND SOUTHWESTERN NEW JERSEY... THE IMMEDIATE PHILADELPHIA METRO
AREA... NORTHERN DELAWARE AND NORTHEASTERN MARYLAND... ANYWHERE
FROM A COATING TO TWO INCHES OF SNOW AND SLEET WITH AN ADDITIONAL
LIGHT COATING OF ICE ARE FORECAST. A THUNDERSTORM IS ALSO
POSSIBLE IN A FEW LOCATIONS. PRECIPITATION IS EXPECTED TO BEGIN
AS SNOW AND SLEET DURING RUSH HOUR THIS MORNING... THEN CHANGE TO
FREEZING RAIN A LITTLE LATER IN THE MORNING...BEFORE CHANGING TO
PLAIN RAIN BY NOON. PRIOR TO THE CHANGEOVER... THE COMBINATION OF
SNOW... SLEET AND FREEZING RAIN WILL MAKE DRIVING HAZARDOUS.
PEOPLE WHO NEED TO DRIVE TODAY SHOULD ALLOW EXTRA TIME FOR THEIR
COMMUTES.

LOW PRESSURE OVER THE OHIO RIVER VALLEY THIS MORNING IS FORECAST
TO MOVE OFF THE MID ATLANTIC COAST LATE THIS AFTERNOON. MOISTURE
FROM THIS SYSTEM WILL BRING WINTER WEATHER TO OUR REGION TODAY.

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO ALL HAZARDS... THE VOICE OF THE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE... OR LOCAL MEDIA OUTLETS FOR FURTHER
UPDATES ON THIS WINTER WEATHER EVENT.

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY MEANS THAT PERIODS OF SNOW... SLEET OR
FREEZING RAIN WILL CAUSE TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR
SLIPPERY ROADS AND LIMITED VISIBILITIES... AND USE CAUTION WHILE
DRIVING.

$$
000 
WWUS41 KPHI 021714
WSWPHI

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
1214 PM EST THU MAR 2 2006

NJZ013-016>020-PAZ070-071-021815-
/O.EXP.KPHI.WW.Y.0007.000000T0000Z-060302T1700Z/
WESTERN MONMOUTH-SALEM-GLOUCESTER-CAMDEN-NORTHWESTERN BURLINGTON-
OCEAN-DELAWARE-PHILADELPHIA-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...FREEHOLD...PENNSVILLE...GLASSBORO...
CAMDEN...CHERRY HILL...MOORESTOWN...MOUNT HOLLY...JACKSON...MEDIA
1214 PM EST THU MAR 2 2006

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY HAS EXPIRED...

THE WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT. 

$$

NJZ001-007-008-PAZ054-055-022300-
/O.EXT.KPHI.WS.W.0005.000000T0000Z-060302T2300Z/
SUSSEX-WARREN-MORRIS-CARBON-MONROE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...NEWTON...WASHINGTON...MORRISTOWN...
JIM THORPE...STROUDSBURG
1214 PM EST THU MAR 2 2006

...WINTER STORM WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST THIS
AFTERNOON...

...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST THIS
EVENING...

A WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST THIS
EVENING. 

FOUR TO SEVEN INCHES OF SNOW AND SLEET ARE FORECAST FOR THE
SOUTHERN POCONOS AND THE UPPER LEHIGH VALLEY IN PENNSYLVANIA. SIX
TO EIGHT INCHES OF SNOW AND SLEET ARE FORECAST FOR NORTHWESTERN
NEW JERSEY... WHERE SOME FREEZING RAIN IS ALSO POSSIBLE...
ESPECIALLY IN WARREN AND MORRIS COUNTIES. A THUNDERSTORM IS ALSO
POSSIBLE IN A FEW LOCATIONS. PRECIPITATION IS EXPECTED TO BEGIN
DURING THE MORNING COMMUTE... THEN CONTINUE THROUGH MUCH OF THE
DAY BEFORE TAPERING OFF BY EVENING. THE SNOW... SLEET AND
FREEZING RAIN WILL MAKE DRIVING DANGEROUS. PEOPLE WHO NEED TO
DRIVE TODAY ARE ENCOURAGED TO ALLOW EXTRA TIME FOR THEIR
COMMUTES. THE SAFEST COURSE OF ACTION WOULD BE TO AVOID DRIVING.

LOW PRESSURE OVER THE WEST VIRGINIA PANHANDLE IS FORECAST TO MOVE
OFF THE MID ATLANTIC COAST LATE THIS AFTERNOON. MOISTURE FROM THIS
SYSTEM WILL BRING WINTER WEATHER TO OUR REGION TODAY.

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO ALL HAZARDS... THE VOICE OF THE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE... OR LOCAL MEDIA OUTLETS FOR FURTHER
UPDATES ON THIS WINTER WEATHER EVENT.

A WINTER STORM WARNING MEANS SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF SNOW AND
SLEET ARE EXPECTED... MAKING TRAVEL DANGEROUS.
 

$$

NJZ009-010-012-015-PAZ060>062-067>069-022300-
/O.EXT.KPHI.WS.W.0005.000000T0000Z-060302T2300Z/
HUNTERDON-SOMERSET-MIDDLESEX-MERCER-BERKS-LEHIGH-NORTHAMPTON-
CHESTER-MONTGOMERY-BUCKS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...FLEMINGTON...SOMERVILLE...
NEW BRUNSWICK...TRENTON...READING...ALLENTOWN...BETHLEHEM...
EASTON...WEST CHESTER...NORRISTOWN...DOYLESTOWN
1214 PM EST THU MAR 2 2006

...WINTER STORM WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST THIS
AFTERNOON...

THE WINTER STORM WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST THIS
AFTERNOON. 

FOR NORTH CENTRAL NEW JERSEY... THREE TO FIVE INCHES OF SNOW AND
SLEET WITH AN ADDITIONAL QUARTER INCH OF ICE ARE FORECAST. FOR
THE LOWER LEHIGH VALLEY...TWO TO FIVE INCHES OF SNOW AND SLEET
WITH AN ADDITIONAL QUARTER INCH OF ICE ARE FORECAST. FOR BERKS
COUNTY... ONE TO TWO INCHES OF SNOW AND SLEET WITH AN ADDITIONAL
QUARTER INCH OF ICE ARE FORECAST. FOR THE NORTHERN AND WESTERN
SUBURBS OF PHILADELPHIA IN PENNSYLVANIA... ONE TO TWO INCHES OF
SNOW AND SLEET WITH AN ADDITIONAL QUARTER INCH OF ICE ARE
FORECAST. A THUNDERSTORM IS ALSO POSSIBLE IN A FEW LOCATIONS
THROUGHOUT THE ENTIRE REGION. PRECIPITATION IS EXPECTED TO BEGIN
AS SNOW DURING THE RUSH HOUR THIS MORNING... MIX WITH SLEET A
LITTLE LATER IN THE MORNING BEFORE CHANGING OVER TO FREEZING
RAIN. THE FREEZING RAIN IS WHAT WILL CAUSE THE QUARTER INCH OF
ICE ON TOP OF THE SNOW AND SLEET... AND IT WILL GREATLY
EXACERBATE THE DANGER TO TRAVELERS. FREEZING RAIN MAY CHANGE TO
RAIN OVER THE IMMEDIATE NORTHERN AND WESTERN SUBURBS OF
PHILADELPHIA DURING THE AFTERNOON. ALL PRECIPITATION IS EXPECTED
TO TAPER OFF BY EVENING.

PEOPLE WHO NEED TO DRIVE TODAY ARE ENCOURAGED TO ALLOW EXTRA TIME
FOR THEIR COMMUTES. THE SAFEST COURSE OF ACTION WOULD BE TO AVOID
DRIVING.

LOW PRESSURE OVER THE WEST VIRGINIA PANHANDLE IS FORECAST TO MOVE
OFF THE MID ATLANTIC COAST LATE THIS AFTERNOON. MOISTURE FROM THIS
SYSTEM WILL BRING WINTER WEATHER TO OUR REGION TODAY.

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO ALL HAZARDS... THE VOICE OF THE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE... OR LOCAL MEDIA OUTLETS FOR FURTHER
UPDATES ON THIS WINTER WEATHER EVENT.

A WINTER STORM WARNING MEANS SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF SNOW... SLEET
AND ICE ARE EXPECTED... MAKING TRAVEL DANGEROUS.

$$


EBERWINE
000 
WWUS41 KPHI 021731 CCA
WSWPHI

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
1228 PM EST THU MAR 2 2006

NJZ013-016>020-PAZ070-071-021830-
/O.EXP.KPHI.WW.Y.0007.000000T0000Z-060302T1700Z/
WESTERN MONMOUTH-SALEM-GLOUCESTER-CAMDEN-NORTHWESTERN BURLINGTON-
OCEAN-DELAWARE-PHILADELPHIA-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...FREEHOLD...PENNSVILLE...GLASSBORO...
CAMDEN...CHERRY HILL...MOORESTOWN...MOUNT HOLLY...JACKSON...MEDIA
1228 PM EST THU MAR 2 2006

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY HAS EXPIRED...

THE WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT. 

$$

NJZ001-007-008-PAZ054-055-022300-
/O.COR.KPHI.WS.W.0005.000000T0000Z-060302T2300Z/
SUSSEX-WARREN-MORRIS-CARBON-MONROE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...NEWTON...WASHINGTON...MORRISTOWN...
JIM THORPE...STROUDSBURG
1228 PM EST THU MAR 2 2006

...WINTER STORM WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST THIS
AFTERNOON...

...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST THIS
EVENING...

 
FOUR TO SEVEN INCHES OF SNOW AND SLEET ARE FORECAST FOR THE
SOUTHERN POCONOS AND THE UPPER LEHIGH VALLEY IN PENNSYLVANIA. SIX
TO EIGHT INCHES OF SNOW AND SLEET ARE FORECAST FOR NORTHWESTERN
NEW JERSEY... WHERE SOME FREEZING RAIN IS ALSO POSSIBLE...
ESPECIALLY IN WARREN AND MORRIS COUNTIES. A THUNDERSTORM IS ALSO
POSSIBLE IN A FEW LOCATIONS. PEOPLE WHO NEED TO DRIVE TODAY ARE
ENCOURAGED TO ALLOW EXTRA TIME FOR THEIR COMMUTES. THE SAFEST
COURSE OF ACTION WOULD BE TO AVOID DRIVING.

LOW PRESSURE OVER THE WEST VIRGINIA PANHANDLE IS FORECAST TO MOVE
OFF THE MID ATLANTIC COAST LATE THIS AFTERNOON. MOISTURE FROM THIS
SYSTEM WILL BRING WINTER WEATHER TO OUR REGION TODAY.

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO ALL HAZARDS... THE VOICE OF THE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE... OR LOCAL MEDIA OUTLETS FOR FURTHER
UPDATES ON THIS WINTER WEATHER EVENT.

A WINTER STORM WARNING MEANS SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF SNOW AND
SLEET ARE EXPECTED... MAKING TRAVEL DANGEROUS.
 

$$

NJZ009-010-012-015-PAZ060>062-067>069-022300-
/O.COR.KPHI.WS.W.0005.000000T0000Z-060302T2300Z/
HUNTERDON-SOMERSET-MIDDLESEX-MERCER-BERKS-LEHIGH-NORTHAMPTON-
CHESTER-MONTGOMERY-BUCKS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...FLEMINGTON...SOMERVILLE...
NEW BRUNSWICK...TRENTON...READING...ALLENTOWN...BETHLEHEM...
EASTON...WEST CHESTER...NORRISTOWN...DOYLESTOWN
1228 PM EST THU MAR 2 2006

...WINTER STORM WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST THIS
AFTERNOON...

THE WINTER STORM WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST THIS
AFTERNOON. 

FOR NORTH CENTRAL NEW JERSEY... THREE TO FIVE INCHES OF SNOW AND
SLEET WITH AN ADDITIONAL QUARTER INCH OF ICE ARE FORECAST. FOR
THE LOWER LEHIGH VALLEY...TWO TO FIVE INCHES OF SNOW AND SLEET
WITH AN ADDITIONAL QUARTER INCH OF ICE ARE FORECAST. FOR BERKS
COUNTY... ONE TO TWO INCHES OF SNOW AND SLEET WITH AN ADDITIONAL
QUARTER INCH OF ICE ARE FORECAST. FOR THE NORTHERN AND WESTERN
SUBURBS OF PHILADELPHIA IN PENNSYLVANIA... ONE TO TWO INCHES OF
SNOW AND SLEET WITH AN ADDITIONAL QUARTER INCH OF ICE ARE
FORECAST. A THUNDERSTORM IS ALSO POSSIBLE IN A FEW LOCATIONS
THROUGHOUT THE ENTIRE REGION. THE FREEZING RAIN IS WHAT WILL
CAUSE THE QUARTER INCH OF ICE ON TOP OF THE SNOW AND SLEET... AND
IT WILL GREATLY EXACERBATE THE DANGER TO TRAVELERS. FREEZING RAIN
MAY CHANGE TO RAIN OVER THE IMMEDIATE NORTHERN AND WESTERN SUBURBS
OF PHILADELPHIA DURING THE AFTERNOON. ALL PRECIPITATION IS
EXPECTED TO TAPER OFF BY EVENING.

PEOPLE WHO NEED TO DRIVE TODAY ARE ENCOURAGED TO ALLOW EXTRA TIME
FOR THEIR COMMUTES. THE SAFEST COURSE OF ACTION WOULD BE TO AVOID
DRIVING.

LOW PRESSURE OVER THE WEST VIRGINIA PANHANDLE IS FORECAST TO MOVE
OFF THE MID ATLANTIC COAST LATE THIS AFTERNOON. MOISTURE FROM THIS
SYSTEM WILL BRING WINTER WEATHER TO OUR REGION TODAY.

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO ALL HAZARDS... THE VOICE OF THE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE... OR LOCAL MEDIA OUTLETS FOR FURTHER
UPDATES ON THIS WINTER WEATHER EVENT.

A WINTER STORM WARNING MEANS SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF SNOW... SLEET
AND ICE ARE EXPECTED... MAKING TRAVEL DANGEROUS.

$$


EBERWINE(COR TO OMIT START TIME OF PRECIP)

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this winter weather advisory went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Philadelphia/Mount Holly wrote its last area forecast discussion before this winter weather advisory went out at Mar 1, 10:20 AM EST, 4 hours 57 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Mar 1, 10:20 AM EST, 4 hours 57 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
1020 AM EST WED MAR 1 2006

.UPDATE...

WILL SEND A QUICK UPDATE TO THE ZONE PACKAGE TO REMOVAL ANY TIME
REFERENCES AND TO REMOVE THE SNOW FLURRIES FROM THE SOUTHERN ZONES.
ALSO...BASED ON CURRENT SATELLITE IMAGERY, WILL GO WITH MOSTLY SUNNY
EVERYWHERE FOR SKY COVER.  MAY MAKE A FEW MINOR TWEAKS TO TEMPS AS
WELL.

LSN

*********************************************************************
412 AM EST WED MAR 1 2006 PREVIOUS DISCUSSION...

.SHORT TERM /TODAY THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT/...
FIRST THE EAS PART. THE MID LEVEL MOISTURE THAT MOVED ACROSS THE
REGION LAST NIGHT IS BEGINNING TO MOVE OFF TO THE EAST...SO I EXPECT
MOST AREAS TO BE DRY TODAY WITH SKIES PARTLY TO MOSTLY SUNNY. I LEFT
CHC FOR SOME FLURRIES ACROSS THE SOUTHER ONES AS RADAR STILL SHOWING
SOME ACTIVITY WHICH IS MAINLY ALOFT.

THE NEXT WINTER WEATHER EVENT OF THE 2005-2006 SEASON WILL AFFECT
MUCH OF OUR AREA LATE TONIGHT AND ESPECIALLY THE FIRST PART OF
THURSDAY. WINTER STORM WATCHES HAVE BEEN EXTENDED SOUTHWARD FROM THE
AREAS THAT WERE PUT IN WATCHES YESTERDAY. WE NOW WILL OFFER THE
POSSIBILITY OF SIGNIFICANT WINTER WEATHER FROM CECIL COUNTY MD
NORTHEAST ACROSS PHILADELPHIA PA AND ITS SURROUNDING COUNTIES THEN
UP TO OCEAN AND MONMOUTH COUNTIES OF ERN NJ.

THE OVERNIGHT MODEL RUNS HAVE BEEN BOTH STRONGER AND FURTHER SOUTH
WITH THE PLACEMENT OF THE LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM THAT WILL MOVE BY
DURING THURSDAY. THE QPF FORECASTS HAVE DOUBLED (AT LEAST) IN MANY
AREAS WITH TOTALS NOW AROUND 3/4 INCH JUST FOR THE 6 HOUR PERIOD
FROM 12Z THU UNTIL 18Z THU. THE  MODELS ARE ALSO SHOWING A SLOWER
MOVEMENT WITH THE LOW AND THIS WILL ALLOW MORE TIME FOR RADIATIONAL
COOLING TO CONTRIBUTE TO A COLDER BOUNDARY LAYER TONIGHT WITH TEMPS
THEN HOLDING LOW AND THE CLOUDS ADVANCE. I HAVE WORDED TONIGHTS
FORECASTS WITH EARLY LOWS WHERE APPROPRIATE.

THE NAM MODEL HAS MADE A SIGNIFICANT DEPARTURE FROM ITS PREVIOUS
RUN WITH THE LOW ALMOST 10 MB DEEPER WHEN IT GET OFF THE NJ SHORE
NEAR KACY AT 18Z THURSDAY. THE 1310 M THICKNESS CONTOUR (1000MB TO
850MB LAYER) HAS DROPPED FROM THE NJ-NY STATE LINE AREA ON THE
31/12Z RUN TO THE CENTRAL NJ AREA ON THE 01/00Z RUN. THIS DURING THE
TIME OF HEAVY PRECIP. THE BUFKIT PROFILES FROM THE NAM GIVE 1/3 TO
2/3 IN OF SLEET AND FREEZING RAIN AS FAR SOUTH AS KTTN-KPNE-KRDG
WHICH IS JUST NORTH OF THE PHILADELPHIA METRO AREA.

THE GFS MODEL HAS HELD A MORE CONSISTENT TRACK FROM THE 31/12Z RUN
BUT IT IS STILL THE COLDER MODEL ( COMPARED TO THAN THEN NAM) AND
HAS THE LOW A BIT STRONGER (2 MB) THAN ITS PREVIOUS RUN. ITS BUFKIT
PROFILES PAINT SIGNIFICANT ICE EVEN FURTHER SOUTH ACROSS METRO
PHILADELPHIA AND EVEN AS FAR SOUTH A KILG. SINCE THE ICE IS FURTHER
SOUTH ON THIS MODEL IS ONLY MEANS THAT ITS SIGNIFICANT QPF TO THE
NORTH WOULD BE MAINLY SNOW WITH AMOUNTS 5 TO 8 INCHES NOT OUT OF THE
QUESTION ACROSS ERN PA AND CENTRAL NJ.

HPC PREFERS HAS SHOW A PREFERENCE FOR THE GFS MODEL FOR THEIR FCSTS
AS IT SEEMS TO BE DOING A BETTER JOB WITH THE STUBBORN H5 LOW OVER
THE CANADIAN MARITIMES. THIS FEATURE HAS BEEN GIVING FCSTERS
HEADACHES FOR THE PAST FEW DAYS AS THE MODELS SEEM TO NOT PLACE IT
CORRECTLY OR WEAKEN IT TOO FAST. THE RECENT TREND TOWARDS THE WINTER
WEATHER IS A DIRECT RESULT OF THE H5 LOW KEEPING COLDER AIR IN PLACE
ACROSS OR REGION AND KEEPING THE STORM TRACK NEARBY.

WE HAVE ENOUGH UNCERTAINTY TO EXTEND THE WATCH SOUTHWARD FOR NOW
AND LET THE DAY CREW MAKE THE TOUGH CHOICES LATER. I HAVE TRIED TO
SIMPLIFY THE WORDING IN THE THU PERIOD OF THE FORECAST IN AN ATTEMPT
TO SHOW -- 1. MAINLY SNOW NORTH WITH MODERATE ACCUM (BUT LEFT WATCH
UP IN CASE HEAVIER ACCUMS MOVE UP THAT WAY) 2. SNOW AND SLEET WITH
POSSIBLE HEAVY ACCUMS MIDDLE OF NJ AND EAST CENTRAL PA  3. SLEET AND
FREEZING RAIN WITH SOME SNOW IN NE MD ACROSS PHL AND UP TO OCEAN
COUNTY.  4. MAINLY SLEET AND RAIN WITH CHC OF SOME FREEZING RAIN
SOUTHERN AREAS CHANGING TO RAIN DURING THU.

THE STORM PASSES OFF THE COAST THU NIGHT AND THE POPS DECREASE
OVERNIGHT. I HAVE LEFT A FEW -SW UP IN THE POCONOS FOR NOW AS THE NW
FLOW OF COLD AIR WILL CONTINUE INTO FRIDAY.

&&

.LONG TERM /FRIDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/...
NOT MUCH TIME TO MAKE ANY CHANGES IN THE EXTENDED FCST. I DID MAKE
MINOR ADJUSTMENTS IN THE LATER PERIODS TO IMPROVE CONSISTENCE ACROSS
THE LINES WITH OUR SURROUNDING OFFICES. THE PREVIOUS EXTENDED FCST
DISCUSSION IS BELOW.

A TRANQUIL PERIOD OF WEATHER IS FORECAST THROUGH MONDAY AS HIGH
PRESSURE BUILDS E OVER THE AREA. THE LOW THAT WAS PREVIOUSLY FCST TO
BRING WINTRY WEATHER ON MONDAY IS NOW FORECAST TO BE FARTHER SOUTH
AND SLOWER THAN PREVIOUSLY FCST. THIS MEANS THAT TUE IS NOW THE
THREAT DAY FOR WINTRY WEATHER.

EVEN SO, THE ENSEMBLE FORECASTS CONTINUE TO HAVE A LARGE SPREAD
BETWEEN THEM AND THE LATEST 12Z GFS SUGGESTS THE FORECAST LOW MAY
EVEN BE TOO FAR SOUTH TO BRING SNOW UP TO US.

&&

.AVIATION...
BY 3:00 AM, THE BACK EDGE OF THE MID LEVEL CLOUDS HAD ALREADY PUSHED
DOWN INTO NORTHEASTERN PENNSYLVANIA AND NORTHERN NEW JERSEY.  THE
CLEARING LINE SHOULD CONTINUE TO WORK ITS WAY SOUTHWARD THROUGH OUR
REGION DURING THE EARLY MORNING HOURS.  A MOSTLY SUNNY SKY IS
EXPECTED FOR TODAY, ALONG WITH A WEST NORTHWEST WIND AROUND 10 KNOTS
OR SO.  WELL LIKELY SEE GUSTS UP TO 18 OR 20 KNOTS AT TIMES.

THE VFR CONDITIONS WILL LIKELY CONTINUE INTO THIS EVENING WITH ONLY
SOME HIGH AND MID LEVEL CLOUDS MOVING OVERHEAD IN ADVANCE OF THE
APPROACHING LOW.  CONDITIONS WILL LIKELY BEGIN TO DETERIORATE
RAPIDLY JUST AFTER THE VALID PERIOD OF THE CURRENT TAFS, WHICH IS
0600 UTC THURSDAY.

&&

.MARINE...
A WEST NORTHWEST WIND AROUND 15 KNOTS IS EXPECTED FOR TODAY.  THE
WIND SPEEDS SHOULD BECOME LIGHT FOR TONIGHT BEFORE THE LOW BEGINS TO
APPROACH FROM THE WEST.  WITH THE CENTER OF THE LOW EXPECTED TO PASS
ACROSS THE COASTAL WATERS OF SOUTHERN NEW JERSEY ON THURSDAY
AFTERNOON, WELL SEE VARYING WIND DIRECTIONS AROUND THAT TIME.  THE
WIND SHOULD BACK FROM EAST TO NORTHWEST ON THURSDAY ON OUR COASTAL
WATERS FROM ABOUT ATLANTIC CITY NORTHWARD.  TO THE SOUTH, THE WIND
SHOULD VEER FROM SOUTHEAST TO WEST DURING THE SAME PERIOD.

IT DOESNT APPEAR AS THOUGH WIND SPEEDS OR SEAS WILL REQUIRE A SMALL
CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL THURSDAY EVENING.  AS A RESULT, NO HEADLINES
WILL APPEAR IN OUR MARINE FORECAST AT THIS TIME.

&&

.PHI WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
PA...WINTER STORM WATCH FOR PAZ054-055-060>062-067>071 FROM
     MIDNIGHT THURSDAY TO 10 PM THURSDAY.
NJ...WINTER STORM WATCH FOR NJZ001-007>010-012>020-026-027 FROM
     MIDNIGHT THURSDAY TO 10 PM THURSDAY.
DE...WINTER STORM WATCH FOR DEZ001 FROM MIDNIGHT THURSDAY TO 10 PM
     THURSDAY.
MD...WINTER STORM WATCH FOR MDZ008 FROM MIDNIGHT THURSDAY TO 10 PM
     THURSDAY.
MARINE...NONE.
&&

SHORT TERM...OHARA
LONG TERM...STAUBER
AVIATION...IOVINO
MARINE...IOVINO
Hazardous weather outlook, Mar 1, 4:42 AM EST, 10 hours 35 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
442 AM EST WED MAR 1 2006

NJZ001-007>010-012-015-PAZ054-055-060>062-069-020930-
SUSSEX-WARREN-MORRIS-HUNTERDON-SOMERSET-MIDDLESEX-MERCER-CARBON-
MONROE-BERKS-LEHIGH-NORTHAMPTON-BUCKS-
442 AM EST WED MAR 1 2006

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF EASTERN
PENNSYLVANIA, DELAWARE, THE NORTHERN MARYLAND EASTERN SHORE AND
NEW JERSEY, EXCLUDING THE FIVE NORTHEAST COUNTIES.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED TODAY, BUT A STORM SYSTEM WILL
BEGIN TO AFFECT THE REGION AFTER MIDNIGHT TONIGHT WITH SOME
SNOWFALL.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY

A WINTER STORM IS EXPECTED TO MOVE ACROSS THE REGION THURSDAY WITH
MODERATE OR POSSIBLY HEAVY SNOWFALL ACCUMULATIONS. A WINTER STORM
WATCH HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR LATE WEDNESDAY NIGHT AND THURSDAY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTERS ARE ENCOURAGED TO PHONE IN SNOWFALL TOTALS OR ANY
SIGNIFICANT WEATHER THAT IS OBSERVED LATE TONIGHT AND THURSDAY.

DEZ001-MDZ008-NJZ013-014-016>020-026-027-PAZ067-068-070-071-
020930-
NEW CASTLE-CECIL-WESTERN MONMOUTH-EASTERN MONMOUTH-SALEM-
GLOUCESTER-CAMDEN-NORTHWESTERN BURLINGTON-OCEAN-COASTAL OCEAN-
SOUTHEASTERN BURLINGTON-CHESTER-MONTGOMERY-DELAWARE-PHILADELPHIA-
442 AM EST WED MAR 1 2006

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF EASTERN
PENNSYLVANIA, DELAWARE, THE NORTHERN MARYLAND EASTERN SHORE AND
NEW JERSEY, EXCLUDING THE FIVE NORTHEAST COUNTIES.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED TODAY, BUT A STORM SYSTEM WILL
BEGIN TO AFFECT THE REGION AFTER MIDNIGHT TONIGHT WITH SNOW, SLEET
AND FREEZING RAIN.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY

A WINTER STORM IS EXPECTED TO MOVE ACROSS THE REGION THURSDAY WITH
THE POSSIBILITY OF MODERATE TO HEAVY SNOWFALL ACCUMULATIONS AS WELL
AS AREAS OF SLEET AND FREEZING RAIN. A WINTER STORM WATCH HAS BEEN
ISSUED FOR LATE WEDNESDAY NIGHT AND THURSDAY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTERS ARE ENCOURAGED TO PHONE IN SNOWFALL TOTALS OR ANY
SIGNIFICANT WEATHER THAT IS OBSERVED LATE TONIGHT AND THURSDAY.

DEZ002>004-MDZ012-015-020-NJZ021>024-020930-
KENT DE-INLAND SUSSEX-DELAWARE BEACHES-KENT MD-QUEEN ANNES-
CAROLINE-CUMBERLAND-ATLANTIC-CAPE MAY-ATLANTIC COASTAL CAPE MAY-
442 AM EST WED MAR 1 2006

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF EASTERN
PENNSYLVANIA, DELAWARE, THE NORTHERN MARYLAND EASTERN SHORE AND
NEW JERSEY, EXCLUDING THE FIVE NORTHEAST COUNTIES.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED TODAY, BUT A STORM SYSTEM WILL
BEGIN TO AFFECT THE REGION AFTER MIDNIGHT TONIGHT WITH THE
POSSIBILITY OF A SHORT PERIOD OF SNOW OR SLEET. FREEZING RAIN IS
POSSIBLE AS WELL.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY

A WINTER STORM IS EXPECTED JUST TO THE NORTH OF THE REGION THURSDAY
WITH PERIODS OF RAIN WHICH WILL BE MIXED WITH SOME SLEET DURING THE
MORNING. A BRIEF PERIOD OF FREEZING RAIN IS POSSIBLE TOO.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTERS ARE ENCOURAGED TO PHONE IN ANY SIGNIFICANT WEATHER THAT IS
OBSERVED LATE TONIGHT AND THURSDAY.

The office that day

Everything else NWS Philadelphia/Mount Holly issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Mar 1, 3:17 PM ESTWinter Storm WarningPHIHunterdon, Mercer, Middlesex, Morris, Somerset, Sussex and 1 more27 hr

Nearby

Winter Weather Advisories in New Jersey, 2006Winter Weather Advisories in Pennsylvania, 2006Winter Weather Advisories in Delaware, 2006Every winter weather advisory in 2006

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.