Alert archive / Pennsylvania / Heavy Snow Warnings in 2006

Heavy Snow Warning 1, NWS Philadelphia/Mount Holly

February 11, 20065 counties in Pennsylvania; 5 counties in New Jersey

NWS Philadelphia/Mount Holly issued this heavy snow warning at Feb 11, 2006, 3:49 AM EST for 5 counties in Pennsylvania; 5 counties in New Jersey. It took effect at Feb 11, 2006, 11:58 AM EST. It was in force for 15 hr. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued
Feb 11, 2006, 3:49 AM EST (08:49 UTC)
In effect from
Feb 11, 2006, 11:58 AM EST
Expired
Feb 12, 2006, 3:06 AM EST
In force
15 hr
Issued by
NWS Philadelphia/Mount Holly

Counties Hunterdon County, NJ, Morris County, NJ, Somerset County, NJ, Sussex County, NJ, Warren County, NJ, Berks County, PA, Carbon County, PA, Lehigh County, PA, Monroe County, PA, Northampton County, PA

The radar

The Philadelphia radar (KDIX), 112 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 08:55 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The nearest sounding before it

Brookhaven, NY (KOKX), launched 00:00Z, 8.8 hours before the alert went out and 194 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Brookhaven, NY at 00:00Z on 2006-02-11Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 0 joules per kilogram.LCL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Brookhaven, NY at 00:00Z on 2006-02-11The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 160 square meters per square second.1939587897117136156175Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
0 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
No buoyant parcel
Mixed-layer LCL
1161 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
114 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
160 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
187 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

000 
WWUS41 KPHI 110849
WSWPHI

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
349 AM EST SAT FEB 11 2006

NJZ001-007>010-PAZ060>062-067>069-111700-
/O.UPG.KPHI.WS.A.0003.060211T1700Z-060212T1700Z/
/O.NEW.KPHI.HS.W.0001.060211T2100Z-060212T1800Z/
SUSSEX-WARREN-MORRIS-HUNTERDON-SOMERSET-BERKS-LEHIGH-NORTHAMPTON-
CHESTER-MONTGOMERY-BUCKS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...NEWTON...WASHINGTON...MORRISTOWN...
FLEMINGTON...SOMERVILLE...READING...ALLENTOWN...BETHLEHEM...
EASTON...WEST CHESTER...NORRISTOWN...DOYLESTOWN
349 AM EST SAT FEB 11 2006

...HEAVY SNOW WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 4 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 1 PM
EST SUNDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MOUNT HOLLY HAS ISSUED A HEAVY
SNOW WARNING, WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM LATE THIS AFTERNOON TO
MIDDAY SUNDAY. THE WINTER STORM WATCH IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT.

THE LATEST FORECAST FOR THE NORTHWEST SUBURBS OF PHILADELPHIA AND
NORTH CENTRAL NEW JERSEY IS FOR EIGHT TO THIRTEEN INCHES OF SNOW. 
THE LATEST FORECAST FOR BERKS COUNTY, THE LEHIGH VALLEY AND FAR
NORTHWEST NEW JERSEY IS FOR SIX TO TEN INCHES OF SNOW. SNOW SHOULD
BEGIN LATE THIS AFTERNOON, CONTINUE OVERNIGHT AND END ON SUNDAY.
MOST OF THE ACCUMULATING SNOW WILL OCCUR OVERNIGHT. SOME THUNDER
IS POSSIBLE.

LOW PRESSURE WILL MOVE FROM THE GULF REGION TO OFF THE NORTHERN
NORTH CAROLINA COAST TONIGHT, THEN LIFT NORTHEAST TO OFF THE NEW
JERSEY COAST BY MIDDAY SUNDAY. 

A HEAVY SNOW WARNING MEANS SEVERE WINTER WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED. SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF SNOW ARE FORECAST THAT WILL MAKE
TRAVEL DANGEROUS. ONLY TRAVEL IN AN EMERGENCY. IF YOU MUST, KEEP
AN EXTRA FLASHLIGHT, FOOD AND WATER IN YOUR VEHICLE IN CASE OF AN
EMERGENCY.

$$

DEZ001-MDZ008-NJZ012>020-026-027-PAZ070-071-111700-
/O.UPG.KPHI.WS.A.0003.060211T1700Z-060212T1700Z/
/O.NEW.KPHI.WS.W.0004.060211T2100Z-060212T1800Z/
NEW CASTLE-CECIL-MIDDLESEX-WESTERN MONMOUTH-EASTERN MONMOUTH-
MERCER-SALEM-GLOUCESTER-CAMDEN-NORTHWESTERN BURLINGTON-OCEAN-
COASTAL OCEAN-SOUTHEASTERN BURLINGTON-DELAWARE-PHILADELPHIA-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...WILMINGTON...ELKTON...NEW BRUNSWICK...
FREEHOLD...SANDY HOOK...TRENTON...PENNSVILLE...GLASSBORO...
CAMDEN...CHERRY HILL...MOORESTOWN...MOUNT HOLLY...JACKSON...
LONG BEACH ISLAND...WHARTON STATE FOREST...MEDIA
349 AM EST SAT FEB 11 2006

...WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 4 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO
1 PM EST SUNDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MOUNT HOLLY HAS ISSUED A WINTER
STORM WARNING, WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM LATE THIS AFTERNOON UNTIL
MIDDAY SUNDAY. THE WINTER STORM WATCH IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT.

THE LATEST FORECAST FOR THE INTERSTATE 95 CORRIDOR IS FOR EIGHT TO
THIRTEEN INCHES OF SNOW AND SLEET. THE LATEST FORECAST FOR COASTAL
MONMOUTH AND OCEAN COUNTIES IS FOR SIX TO TEN INCHES OF SNOW AND
SLEET. SNOW SHOULD BEGIN LATE THIS AFTERNOON, CONTINUE OVERNIGHT
AND END ON SUNDAY. MOST OF THE ACCUMULATING SNOW WILL OCCUR
OVERNIGHT. SOME THUNDER IS POSSIBLE.

LOW PRESSURE WILL MOVE FROM THE GULF REGION TO OFF THE NORTHERN
NORTH CAROLINA COAST TONIGHT, THEN LIFT NORTHEAST TO OFF THE NEW
JERSEY COAST BY MIDDAY SUNDAY. 

A WINTER STORM WARNING MEANS SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF SNOW AND SLEET
ARE EXPECTED. STRONG WINDS ARE ALSO POSSIBLE. THIS WILL MAKE TRAVEL
VERY HAZARDOUS OR IMPOSSIBLE.

$$

PAZ054-055-111700-
/O.UPG.KPHI.WS.A.0003.060211T1700Z-060212T1700Z/
/O.NEW.KPHI.SN.Y.0001.060212T0000Z-060212T1800Z/
CARBON-MONROE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...JIM THORPE...STROUDSBURG
349 AM EST SAT FEB 11 2006

...SNOW ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM THIS EVENING TO 1 PM EST
SUNDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MOUNT HOLLY HAS ISSUED A SNOW
ADVISORY, WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM THIS EVENING UNTIL MIDDAY
SUNDAY. THE WINTER STORM WATCH IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT.

THE LATEST FORECAST FOR THE SOUTHERN POCONOS IS FOR FOUR TO EIGHT
INCHES OF SNOW. SNOW SHOULD BEGIN TOWARD EVENING, CONTINUE
OVERNIGHT AND END ON SUNDAY. MOST OF THE ACCUMULATING SNOW WILL
OCCUR OVERNIGHT. 

LOW PRESSURE WILL MOVE FROM THE GULF REGION TO OFF THE NORTHERN
NORTH CAROLINA COAST TONIGHT, THEN LIFT NORTHEAST TO OFF THE NEW
JERSEY COAST BY MIDDAY SUNDAY. 

A SNOW ADVISORY MEANS THAT PERIODS OF SNOW WILL CAUSE PRIMARILY
TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR SNOW COVERED ROADS AND
LIMITED VISIBILITIES, AND USE CAUTION WHILE DRIVING.

$$

DEZ002>004-MDZ012-015-019-020-NJZ021>025-111700-
/O.EXT.KPHI.WS.A.0003.060212T0300Z-060212T1800Z/
KENT DE-INLAND SUSSEX-DELAWARE BEACHES-KENT MD-QUEEN ANNES-
TALBOT-CAROLINE-CUMBERLAND-ATLANTIC-CAPE MAY-
ATLANTIC COASTAL CAPE MAY-COASTAL ATLANTIC-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...DOVER...GEORGETOWN...REHOBOTH BEACH...
CHESTERTOWN...CENTREVILLE...EASTON...DENTON...MILLVILLE...
HAMMONTON...CAPE MAY COURT HOUSE...OCEAN CITY...ATLANTIC CITY
349 AM EST SAT FEB 11 2006

...WINTER STORM WATCH NOW IN EFFECT FROM THIS EVENING THROUGH
SUNDAY AFTERNOON...

SNOW DEVELOPING TODAY IS EXPECTED TO CHANGE TO SLEET AND THEN
RAIN, AND THAT RAIN IS FORECAST TO CHANGE BACK TO SLEET AND THEN
SNOW TONIGHT. FOUR TO SEVEN INCHES OF SNOW AND SLEET MAY FALL
INLAND OVER FAR SOUTHERN NEW JERSEY, CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN DELAWARE
AND THE ADJACENT MARYLAND EASTERN SHORE, WHILE THREE TO FIVE
INCHES OF SNOW AND SLEET MAY FALL ALONG THE SOUTHERN NEW JERSEY
COAST AND THE DELAWARE COAST. THE BULK OF THE SNOW AND SLEET IS
EXPECTED FROM AROUND MIDNIGHT INTO SUNDAY MORNING. SOME THUNDER
AND STRONG WINDS ARE POSSIBLE.

LOW PRESSURE WILL MOVE FROM THE GULF REGION TO OFF THE NORTHERN
NORTH CAROLINA COAST TONIGHT, THEN LIFT NORTHEAST TO OFF THE NEW
JERSEY COAST BY MIDDAY SUNDAY. 

A WINTER STORM WATCH MEANS THERE IS A POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT
SNOW AND SLEET THAT MAY IMPACT TRAVEL. CONTINUE TO MONITOR THE
LATEST FORECASTS. 

$$
4 follow-up statements
000 
WWUS41 KPHI 111658
WSWPHI

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
1158 AM EST SAT FEB 11 2006

PAZ054-055-112300-
/O.UPG.KPHI.SN.Y.0001.060212T0000Z-060212T1800Z/
/O.EXA.KPHI.HS.W.0001.060211T2100Z-060212T1800Z/
CARBON-MONROE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...JIM THORPE...STROUDSBURG
1158 AM EST SAT FEB 11 2006

...HEAVY SNOW WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 4 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 1 PM
EST SUNDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MOUNT HOLLY HAS ISSUED A HEAVY
SNOW WARNING, WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 4 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 1 PM
EST SUNDAY. THE SNOW ADVISORY IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT.

LOW PRESSURE WILL MOVE FROM THE SOUTHEASTERN STATES THIS AFTERNOON TO
OFF THE NORTH CAROLINA COAST TONIGHT, THEN LIFT NORTHEASTWARD TO OFF
THE NEW JERSEY COAST BY MIDDAY SUNDAY.

SNOWFALL ACCUMULATIONS FOR THE SOUTHERN POCONOS OF 5 TO 9 INCHES
ARE EXPECTED. THE SNOW IS EXPECTED TO OVERSPREAD THE REGION
TOWARD EVENING AND CONTINUE OVERNIGHT HEAVY AT TIMES AND TAPER
OFF ON SUNDAY. MOST OF THE ACCUMULATING SNOW WILL OCCUR OVERNIGHT
AND SUNDAY MORNING. NORTHERLY WINDS WILL INCREASE TONIGHT TO 10 TO
20 MPH, AND CONTINUE ON SUNDAY. THIS WILL CAUSE SOME BLOWING AND
DRIFTING SNOW, ESPECIALLY IN OPEN AREAS.

A HEAVY SNOW WARNING MEANS SEVERE WINTER WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED OR OCCURRING. SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF SNOW ARE FORECAST
THAT WILL MAKE TRAVEL DANGEROUS. ONLY TRAVEL IN AN EMERGENCY. IF
YOU MUST, KEEP AN EXTRA FLASHLIGHT, FOOD, AND WATER IN YOUR
VEHICLE IN CASE OF AN EMERGENCY.

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO ALL HAZARDS OR YOUR LOCAL MEDIA
OUTLET FOR ADDITIONAL UPDATES ON THIS WINTER STORM.

$$

DEZ002>004-MDZ012-015-019-020-NJZ021>025-112300-
/O.UPG.KPHI.WS.A.0003.060212T0300Z-060212T1800Z/
/O.EXA.KPHI.WS.W.0004.060211T2100Z-060212T1800Z/
KENT DE-INLAND SUSSEX-DELAWARE BEACHES-KENT MD-QUEEN ANNES-
TALBOT-CAROLINE-CUMBERLAND-ATLANTIC-CAPE MAY-
ATLANTIC COASTAL CAPE MAY-COASTAL ATLANTIC-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...DOVER...GEORGETOWN...REHOBOTH BEACH...
CHESTERTOWN...CENTREVILLE...EASTON...DENTON...MILLVILLE...
HAMMONTON...CAPE MAY COURT HOUSE...OCEAN CITY...ATLANTIC CITY
1158 AM EST SAT FEB 11 2006

...WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 4 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO
1 PM EST SUNDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MOUNT HOLLY HAS ISSUED A WINTER
STORM WARNING, WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 4 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 1 PM
EST SUNDAY. THE WINTER STORM WATCH IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT.

LOW PRESSURE WILL MOVE FROM THE SOUTHEASTERN STATES THIS AFTERNOON TO
OFF THE NORTH CAROLINA COAST TONIGHT, THEN LIFT NORTHEASTWARD TO OFF
THE NEW JERSEY COAST BY MIDDAY SUNDAY.

A MIX OF RAIN, SLEET AND SNOW WILL OVERSPREAD THE REGION AND
CONTINUE THIS EVENING, THEN CHANGE TO ALL SNOW DURING THE COURSE
OF TONIGHT AND BECOME HEAVY AT TIMES WITH SNOWFALL RATES OF 1
TO 2 INCHES PER HOUR AT TIMES. THE SNOW WILL TAPER OFF DURING
SUNDAY. SNOWFALL AMOUNTS ARE ANTICIPATED TO VARY, WITH 3 TO 6
INCHES AT THE COAST, AND 5 TO 10 INCHES ACROSS THE INLAND AREAS.
THERE SHOULD BE A TIGHT SNOWFALL GRADIENT ACROSS ATLANTIC AND CAPE
MAY COUNTIES IN NEW JERSEY, AND IN SUSSEX COUNTY IN DELAWARE. FOR
THESE COUNTIES, 6 TO 10 INCHES OF SNOW INLAND AND 3 TO 6 INCHES
RIGHT AT THE COAST. MOST OF THE ACCUMULATING SNOW WILL OCCUR
OVERNIGHT AND SUNDAY MORNING.

NORTHEAST WINDS WILL INCREASE TONIGHT TO 15 TO 25 MPH WITH
OCCASIONAL GUSTS TO AROUND 35 MPH, AND CONTINUE ON SUNDAY. THIS
WILL PRODUCE BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW, ESPECIALLY IN OPEN AREAS.

A WINTER STORM WARNING MEANS SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF SNOW, SLEET AND
ICE ARE EXPECTED OR OCCURRING. STRONG WINDS ARE ALSO POSSIBLE.
THIS WILL MAKE TRAVEL VERY HAZARDOUS OR IMPOSSIBLE.

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO ALL HAZARDS OR YOUR LOCAL MEDIA
OUTLET FOR ADDITIONAL UPDATES ON THIS WINTER STORM.

$$

NJZ001-007>010-PAZ060>062-067>069-112300-
/O.CON.KPHI.HS.W.0001.060211T2100Z-060212T1800Z/
SUSSEX-WARREN-MORRIS-HUNTERDON-SOMERSET-BERKS-LEHIGH-NORTHAMPTON-
CHESTER-MONTGOMERY-BUCKS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...NEWTON...WASHINGTON...MORRISTOWN...
FLEMINGTON...SOMERVILLE...READING...ALLENTOWN...BETHLEHEM...
EASTON...WEST CHESTER...NORRISTOWN...DOYLESTOWN
1158 AM EST SAT FEB 11 2006

...HEAVY SNOW WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 4 PM THIS AFTERNOON
TO 1 PM EST SUNDAY...

A HEAVY SNOW WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 4 PM THIS AFTERNOON
TO 1 PM EST SUNDAY. 

LOW PRESSURE WILL MOVE FROM THE SOUTHEASTERN STATES THIS AFTERNOON TO
OFF THE NORTH CAROLINA COAST TONIGHT, THEN LIFT NORTHEASTWARD TO OFF
THE NEW JERSEY COAST BY MIDDAY SUNDAY.

SNOWFALL AMOUNTS OF 6 TO 10 INCHES ARE EXPECTED FOR THE LEHIGH
VALLEY INCLUDING BERKS COUNTY, AND FAR NORTHWESTERN NEW JERSEY.
FURTHER SOUTH AND EAST, SNOWFALL AMOUNTS OF 8 TO 13 INCHES ARE
EXPECTED FOR AREAS NORTH AND WEST OF PHILADELPHIA. THE SNOW IS
EXPECTED TO OVERSPREAD THE AREA THIS AFTERNOON, THEN CONTINUE
OVERNIGHT AND BECOME HEAVY AT TIMES WITH SNOWFALL RATES OF 1 TO 2 
INCHES PER HOUR AT TIMES. THE SNOW WILL TAPER OFF DURING SUNDAY.
MOST OF THE ACCUMULATING SNOW WILL OCCUR OVERNIGHT AND SUNDAY
MORNING. SOME THUNDER IS ALSO POSSIBLE.

NORTHEAST WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO INCREASE TO 15 TO 25 MPH TONIGHT
AND CONTINUE ON SUNDAY, WITH OCCASIONAL GUSTS TO 35 MPH. THIS WILL
CAUSE BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW, ESPECIALLY IN OPEN AREAS.

A HEAVY SNOW WARNING MEANS SEVERE WINTER WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED. SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF SNOW ARE FORECAST THAT WILL MAKE
TRAVEL DANGEROUS. ONLY TRAVEL IN AN EMERGENCY. IF YOU MUST, KEEP
AN EXTRA FLASHLIGHT, FOOD AND WATER IN YOUR VEHICLE IN CASE OF AN
EMERGENCY.

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO ALL HAZARDS OR YOUR LOCAL MEDIA
OUTLET FOR ADDITIONAL UPDATES ON THIS WINTER STORM.

$$

DEZ001-MDZ008-NJZ012>020-026-027-PAZ070-071-112300-
/O.CON.KPHI.WS.W.0004.060211T2100Z-060212T1800Z/
NEW CASTLE-CECIL-MIDDLESEX-WESTERN MONMOUTH-EASTERN MONMOUTH-
MERCER-SALEM-GLOUCESTER-CAMDEN-NORTHWESTERN BURLINGTON-OCEAN-
COASTAL OCEAN-SOUTHEASTERN BURLINGTON-DELAWARE-PHILADELPHIA-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...WILMINGTON...ELKTON...NEW BRUNSWICK...
FREEHOLD...SANDY HOOK...TRENTON...PENNSVILLE...GLASSBORO...
CAMDEN...CHERRY HILL...MOORESTOWN...MOUNT HOLLY...JACKSON...
LONG BEACH ISLAND...WHARTON STATE FOREST...MEDIA
1158 AM EST SAT FEB 11 2006

...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 4 PM THIS
AFTERNOON TO 1 PM EST SUNDAY...

A WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 4 PM THIS AFTERNOON
TO 1 PM EST SUNDAY. 

LOW PRESSURE WILL MOVE FROM THE SOUTHEASTERN STATES THIS AFTERNOON TO
OFF THE NORTH CAROLINA COAST TONIGHT, THEN LIFT NORTHEASTWARD TO OFF
THE NEW JERSEY COAST BY MIDDAY SUNDAY.

SNOWFALL AMOUNTS OF 8 TO 13 INCHES ARE EXPECTED. SNOW IS EXPECTED TO
OVERSPREAD THE REGION LATER THIS AFTERNOON AND COULD MIX WITH SOME
SLEET AND RAIN AT TIMES. THE SNOW WILL CONTINUE TONIGHT AND BECOME
HEAVY AT TIMES WITH SNOWFALL RATES OF 1 TO 2 INCHES PER HOUR AT
TIMES. THE SNOW WILL TAPER OFF DURING SUNDAY. MOST OF THE
ACCUMULATING SNOW WILL OCCUR OVERNIGHT AND SUNDAY MORNING. SOME
THUNDER IS ALSO POSSIBLE.

NORTHEAST WINDS WILL INCREASE TO 15 T0 25 MPH TONIGHT WITH
OCCASIONAL GUSTS TO 35 MPH, AND CONTINUE ON SUNDAY. THIS WILL
PRODUCE BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW, ESPECIALLY IN OPEN AREAS.

A WINTER STORM WARNING MEANS SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF SNOW AND
SLEET ARE EXPECTED. STRONG WINDS ARE ALSO POSSIBLE. THIS WILL
MAKE TRAVEL VERY HAZARDOUS OR IMPOSSIBLE.

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO ALL HAZARDS OR YOUR LOCAL MEDIA
OUTLET FOR ADDITIONAL UPDATES ON THIS WINTER STORM.

$$

GORSE/KRUDZLO/KAWECKI
000 
WWUS41 KPHI 112102
WSWPHI

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
402 PM EST SAT FEB 11 2006

NJZ001-007>010-PAZ054-055-060>062-067>069-120515-
/O.CON.KPHI.HS.W.0001.000000T0000Z-060212T1800Z/
SUSSEX-WARREN-MORRIS-HUNTERDON-SOMERSET-CARBON-MONROE-BERKS-
LEHIGH-NORTHAMPTON-CHESTER-MONTGOMERY-BUCKS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...NEWTON...WASHINGTON...MORRISTOWN...
FLEMINGTON...SOMERVILLE...JIM THORPE...STROUDSBURG...READING...
ALLENTOWN...BETHLEHEM...EASTON...WEST CHESTER...NORRISTOWN...
DOYLESTOWN
402 PM EST SAT FEB 11 2006

...HEAVY SNOW WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 PM EST SUNDAY...

A HEAVY SNOW WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 PM EST SUNDAY. 

LOW PRESSURE WILL MOVE FROM THE SOUTHEASTERN STATES TO OFF THE
NORTH CAROLINA COAST TONIGHT. IT WILL THEN LIFT NORTHEASTWARD TO
A POSITION OFF THE NEW JERSEY COAST BY MIDDAY SUNDAY. A SLIGHT
SHIFT IN THE TRACK OF THE STORM WILL HAVE AN IMPACT SNOWFALL
AMOUNTS.

SNOWFALL AMOUNTS OF 6 TO 10 INCHES ARE EXPECTED FOR THE LEHIGH
VALLEY INCLUDING BERKS COUNTY AND FAR NORTHWESTERN NEW JERSEY.
FURTHER SOUTH AND EAST, SNOWFALL AMOUNTS OF 8 TO 13 INCHES ARE
EXPECTED FOR AREAS NORTH AND WEST OF PHILADELPHIA. 5 TO 9 INCHES
ARE ANTICIPATED IN THE POCONOS. SNOW WILL BE LIGHT AT FIRST. IT WILL
CONTINUE OVERNIGHT AND BECOME HEAVY AT TIMES, WITH SNOWFALL RATES
OF 1 TO 2 INCHES PER HOUR AT TIMES. THE SNOW WILL TAPER OFF DURING
SUNDAY. MOST OF THE ACCUMULATING SNOW WILL OCCUR OVERNIGHT AND
SUNDAY MORNING. SOME THUNDER IS ALSO POSSIBLE.

NORTHEAST WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO INCREASE TO 15 TO 25 MPH TONIGHT
AND CONTINUE ON SUNDAY, WITH OCCASIONAL GUSTS TO 35 MPH. THIS WILL
CAUSE BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW, ESPECIALLY IN OPEN AREAS.

A HEAVY SNOW WARNING MEANS SEVERE WINTER WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED. SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF SNOW ARE FORECAST THAT WILL MAKE
TRAVEL DANGEROUS. ONLY TRAVEL IN AN EMERGENCY. IF YOU MUST TRAVEL,
KEEP AN EXTRA FLASHLIGHT, FOOD AND WATER IN YOUR VEHICLE IN CASE
OF AN EMERGENCY.

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO ALL HAZARDS OR YOUR LOCAL MEDIA
OUTLET FOR ADDITIONAL UPDATES ON THIS WINTER STORM.

$$

DEZ001>004-MDZ008-012-015-019-020-NJZ012>027-PAZ070-071-120515-
/O.CON.KPHI.WS.W.0004.000000T0000Z-060212T1800Z/
NEW CASTLE-KENT DE-INLAND SUSSEX-DELAWARE BEACHES-CECIL-KENT MD-
QUEEN ANNES-TALBOT-CAROLINE-MIDDLESEX-WESTERN MONMOUTH-
EASTERN MONMOUTH-MERCER-SALEM-GLOUCESTER-CAMDEN-
NORTHWESTERN BURLINGTON-OCEAN-CUMBERLAND-ATLANTIC-CAPE MAY-
ATLANTIC COASTAL CAPE MAY-COASTAL ATLANTIC-COASTAL OCEAN-
SOUTHEASTERN BURLINGTON-DELAWARE-PHILADELPHIA-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...WILMINGTON...DOVER...GEORGETOWN...
REHOBOTH BEACH...ELKTON...CHESTERTOWN...CENTREVILLE...EASTON...
DENTON...NEW BRUNSWICK...FREEHOLD...SANDY HOOK...TRENTON...
PENNSVILLE...GLASSBORO...CAMDEN...CHERRY HILL...MOORESTOWN...
MOUNT HOLLY...JACKSON...MILLVILLE...HAMMONTON...
CAPE MAY COURT HOUSE...OCEAN CITY...ATLANTIC CITY...
LONG BEACH ISLAND...WHARTON STATE FOREST...MEDIA
402 PM EST SAT FEB 11 2006

...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 PM EST SUNDAY...

A WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 PM EST SUNDAY. 

LOW PRESSURE WILL MOVE FROM THE SOUTHEASTERN STATES TO OFF THE
NORTH CAROLINA COAST TONIGHT. IT WILL THEN LIFT NORTHEASTWARD TO
A POSITION OFF THE NEW JERSEY COAST BY MIDDAY SUNDAY. A SLIGHT
SHIFT IN THE TRACK OF THE STORM WILL HAVE AN IMPACT SNOWFALL
AMOUNTS.

SNOWFALL AMOUNTS OF 8 TO 13 INCHES ARE EXPECTED. LESSER AMOUNTS
ARE EXPECTED CLOSER TO THE SHORE.  LIGHT SNOW HAS BEGUN IN MANY
AREAS AND COULD MIX WITH SOME SLEET AT TIMES. ACROSS SOUTHERN
DELAWARE AND MARYLAND AND EXTREME SOUTHERN NEW JERSEY, THE
PRECIPITATION BEGAN AS RAIN BUT WILL MIXING WITH AND EVENTUALLY
CHANGE TO SNOW TONIGHT. THE SNOW WILL CONTINUE TONIGHT AND BECOME
HEAVY AT TIMES WITH SNOWFALL RATES OF 1 TO 2 INCHES PER HOUR AT
TIMES. THE SNOW WILL TAPER OFF DURING SUNDAY. MOST OF THE
ACCUMULATING SNOW WILL OCCUR OVERNIGHT AND SUNDAY MORNING. SOME
THUNDER IS ALSO POSSIBLE.

NORTHEAST WINDS WILL INCREASE TO 15 T0 25 MPH TONIGHT WITH
OCCASIONAL GUSTS TO 35 MPH... AND CONTINUE ON SUNDAY. THIS WILL
PRODUCE BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW... ESPECIALLY IN OPEN AREAS.

A WINTER STORM WARNING MEANS SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF SNOW AND
SLEET ARE EXPECTED. STRONG WINDS ARE ALSO POSSIBLE.  SIGNIFICANT
AMOUNTS OF SNOW ARE FORECAST THAT WILL MAKE TRAVEL DANGEROUS. ONLY
TRAVEL IN AN EMERGENCY. IF YOU MUST TRAVEL, KEEP AN EXTRA
FLASHLIGHT, FOOD AND WATER IN YOUR VEHICLE IN CASE OF AN
EMERGENCY.

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO ALL HAZARDS OR YOUR LOCAL MEDIA
OUTLET FOR ADDITIONAL UPDATES ON THIS WINTER STORM.

$$

NIERENBERG
000 
WWUS41 KPHI 120257
WSWPHI

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
957 PM EST SAT FEB 11 2006

NJZ001-007>010-PAZ054-055-060>062-067>069-121100-
/O.CON.KPHI.HS.W.0001.000000T0000Z-060212T1800Z/
SUSSEX-WARREN-MORRIS-HUNTERDON-SOMERSET-CARBON-MONROE-BERKS-
LEHIGH-NORTHAMPTON-CHESTER-MONTGOMERY-BUCKS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...NEWTON...WASHINGTON...MORRISTOWN...
FLEMINGTON...SOMERVILLE...JIM THORPE...STROUDSBURG...READING...
ALLENTOWN...BETHLEHEM...EASTON...WEST CHESTER...NORRISTOWN...
DOYLESTOWN
957 PM EST SAT FEB 11 2006

...HEAVY SNOW WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 PM EST SUNDAY...

A HEAVY SNOW WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 PM EST SUNDAY. 

THE LOW PRESSURE OFF THE NORTH CAROLINA COAST WILL LIFT 
NORTHEASTWARD OVERNIGHT AND MOVE TO A POSITION OFF THE NEW JERSEY 
COAST BY MIDDAY SUNDAY. A SLIGHT SHIFT IN THE TRACK OF THE STORM 
COULD STILL HAVE AN IMPACT SNOWFALL AMOUNTS.

SNOWFALL AMOUNTS OF 6 TO 10 INCHES ARE EXPECTED FOR THE LEHIGH
VALLEY INCLUDING BERKS COUNTY AND FAR NORTHWESTERN NEW JERSEY.
FURTHER SOUTH AND EAST, SNOWFALL AMOUNTS OF 8 TO 13 INCHES ARE
EXPECTED FOR AREAS NORTH AND WEST OF PHILADELPHIA. 5 TO 9 INCHES ARE 
ANTICIPATED IN THE POCONOS.  THE SNOW WILL CONTINUE OVERNIGHT AND 
BECOME HEAVY AT TIMES. SNOWFALL RATES MAY REACH 1 TO 2 INCHES PER 
HOUR. SNOW WILL TAPER OFF DURING SUNDAY. MOST OF THE ACCUMULATING 
SNOW WILL OCCUR OVERNIGHT AND SUNDAY MORNING. SOME THUNDER IS ALSO 
POSSIBLE.

NORTHEAST WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO INCREASE TO 15 TO 25 MPH TONIGHT
AND CONTINUE ON SUNDAY, WITH OCCASIONAL GUSTS TO 35 MPH. THIS WILL
CAUSE BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW, ESPECIALLY IN OPEN AREAS.

A HEAVY SNOW WARNING MEANS SEVERE WINTER WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED. SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF SNOW ARE FORECAST THAT WILL MAKE
TRAVEL DANGEROUS. ONLY TRAVEL IN AN EMERGENCY. IF YOU MUST TRAVEL,
KEEP AN EXTRA FLASHLIGHT, FOOD AND WATER IN YOUR VEHICLE IN CASE
OF AN EMERGENCY.

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO ALL HAZARDS OR YOUR LOCAL MEDIA
OUTLET FOR ADDITIONAL UPDATES ON THIS WINTER STORM.

$$

DEZ001>004-MDZ008-012-015-019-020-NJZ012>027-PAZ070-071-121100-
/O.CON.KPHI.WS.W.0004.000000T0000Z-060212T1800Z/
NEW CASTLE-KENT DE-INLAND SUSSEX-DELAWARE BEACHES-CECIL-KENT MD-
QUEEN ANNES-TALBOT-CAROLINE-MIDDLESEX-WESTERN MONMOUTH-
EASTERN MONMOUTH-MERCER-SALEM-GLOUCESTER-CAMDEN-
NORTHWESTERN BURLINGTON-OCEAN-CUMBERLAND-ATLANTIC-CAPE MAY-
ATLANTIC COASTAL CAPE MAY-COASTAL ATLANTIC-COASTAL OCEAN-
SOUTHEASTERN BURLINGTON-DELAWARE-PHILADELPHIA-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...WILMINGTON...DOVER...GEORGETOWN...
REHOBOTH BEACH...ELKTON...CHESTERTOWN...CENTREVILLE...EASTON...
DENTON...NEW BRUNSWICK...FREEHOLD...SANDY HOOK...TRENTON...
PENNSVILLE...GLASSBORO...CAMDEN...CHERRY HILL...MOORESTOWN...
MOUNT HOLLY...JACKSON...MILLVILLE...HAMMONTON...
CAPE MAY COURT HOUSE...OCEAN CITY...ATLANTIC CITY...
LONG BEACH ISLAND...WHARTON STATE FOREST...MEDIA
957 PM EST SAT FEB 11 2006

...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 PM EST SUNDAY...

A WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 PM EST SUNDAY. 

THE LOW PRESSURE OFF THE NORTH CAROLINA COAST WILL BEGIN TO LIFT 
NORTHEASTWARD OVERNIGHT AND MOVE TO A POSITION OFF THE NEW JERSEY 
COAST BY MIDDAY SUNDAY. A SLIGHT SHIFT IN THE TRACK OF THE STORM 
WILL HAVE AN IMPACT SNOWFALL AMOUNTS.

SNOWFALL AMOUNTS OF 8 TO 13 INCHES ARE EXPECTED. LESSER AMOUNTS ARE 
EXPECTED CLOSER TO THE SHORE AS WELL AS AREAS OF THE SOUTHERN 
DELAWARE, MARYLAND, AND SOUTHERN NEW JERSEY.  AREAS ALONG THE 
SOUTHERN DELAWARE COAST WILL ONLY SEE 2 TO 5 INCHES.  ACROSS 
SOUTHERN DELAWARE AND EXTREME SOUTHEAST NEW JERSEY, RAIN WAS STILL 
FALLING INTO THE LATE EVENING HOURS. HOWEVER, EVEN THIS RAIN WILL 
CHANGE TO SNOW AND BY 2 AM ALL AREAS SHOULD HAVE CHANGED TO SNOW. 
SNOWFALL RATES COULD REACH 1 TO 2 INCHES PER HOUR. THE SNOW 
WILL TAPER OFF DURING SUNDAY. MOST OF THE ACCUMULATING SNOW WILL 
OCCUR OVERNIGHT AND SUNDAY MORNING. SOME THUNDER IS ALSO POSSIBLE.

NORTHEAST WINDS WILL INCREASE TO 15 T0 25 MPH TONIGHT WITH 
OCCASIONAL GUSTS TO 35 MPH...AND CONTINUE ON SUNDAY. THIS WILL 
PRODUCE BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW...ESPECIALLY IN OPEN AREAS.

A WINTER STORM WARNING MEANS SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF SNOW WILL OCCUR 
ALONG WITH SOME BLOWING SNOW. STRONG WINDS ARE ALSO POSSIBLE.  
THIS WILL MAKE TRAVEL DANGEROUS. ONLY TRAVEL IN AN EMERGENCY. IF 
YOU MUST TRAVEL, KEEP AN EXTRA FLASHLIGHT, FOOD AND WATER IN YOUR 
VEHICLE IN CASE OF AN EMERGENCY.

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO ALL HAZARDS OR YOUR LOCAL MEDIA
OUTLET FOR ADDITIONAL UPDATES ON THIS WINTER STORM.

$$

NIERENBERG/ROBERTSON/RNS
000 
WWUS41 KPHI 120806
WSWPHI

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
306 AM EST SUN FEB 12 2006

NJZ001-007>010-PAZ054-055-060>062-067>069-121800-
/O.CAN.KPHI.HS.W.0001.000000T0000Z-060212T1800Z/
/O.EXA.KPHI.WS.W.0004.000000T0000Z-060212T1800Z/
SUSSEX-WARREN-MORRIS-HUNTERDON-SOMERSET-CARBON-MONROE-BERKS-
LEHIGH-NORTHAMPTON-CHESTER-MONTGOMERY-BUCKS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...NEWTON...WASHINGTON...MORRISTOWN...
FLEMINGTON...SOMERVILLE...JIM THORPE...STROUDSBURG...READING...
ALLENTOWN...BETHLEHEM...EASTON...WEST CHESTER...NORRISTOWN...
DOYLESTOWN
306 AM EST SUN FEB 12 2006

...HEAVY SNOW WARNING IS CANCELLED...
...WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON...

BECAUSE WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO CAUSE SIGNIFICANT BLOWING AND
DRIFTING OF SNOW, THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MOUNT HOLLY HAS
ISSUED A WINTER STORM WARNING IN PLACE OF THE HEAVY SNOW WARNING
THAT WAS IN EFFECT. THE WINTER STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 
1 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON. 

IN THE SOUTHERN POCONOS, 4 TO 8 INCHES OF SNOW IS FORECAST. FOR
BERKS COUNTY AND THE LEHIGH VALLEY IN PENNSYLVANIA, AND FOR NORTHWEST
NEW JERSEY, 7 TO 12 INCHES OF SNOW IS FORECAST. FOR NORTH CENTRAL
AND WEST CENTRAL NEW JERSEY, AND FOR THE NORTHERN AND WESTERN
SUBURBS OF PHILADELPHIA, 10 TO 15 INCHES OF SNOW IS FORECAST. 

LOW PRESSURE OFF THE SOUTHERN DELMARVA PENINSULA EARLY THIS
MORNING WILL CONTINUE TO INTENSIFY AND LIFT NORTHEAST DURING THE
DAY. THE INTENSIFYING LOW WILL CAUSE SNOW TO LINGER THROUGH THE
MORNING AND WILL CAUSE WINDS TO INCREASE TOWARD DAYBREAK. THE
WINDS AND THE SNOW WILL LEAD TO BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW, AND
THERE MAY BE TRANSIENT BLIZZARD CONDITIONS. 

A WINTER STORM WARNING MEANS SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF SNOW AND
SIGNIFICANT BLOWING AND DRIFTING OF SNOW ARE EXPECTED. THIS WILL
MAKE TRAVEL VERY HAZARDOUS OR IMPOSSIBLE.

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO ALL HAZARDS OR YOUR LOCAL MEDIA
OUTLET FOR ADDITIONAL UPDATES ON THIS WINTER STORM.

$$

DEZ003-004-NJZ023>025-121800-
/O.CAN.KPHI.WS.W.0004.000000T0000Z-060212T1800Z/
/O.NEW.KPHI.WW.Y.0006.060212T0806Z-060212T1800Z/
INLAND SUSSEX-DELAWARE BEACHES-CAPE MAY-ATLANTIC COASTAL CAPE MAY-
COASTAL ATLANTIC-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...GEORGETOWN...REHOBOTH BEACH...
CAPE MAY COURT HOUSE...OCEAN CITY...ATLANTIC CITY
306 AM EST SUN FEB 12 2006

...WINTER STORM WARNING IS CANCELLED...
...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 PM EST THIS
AFTERNOON...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MOUNT HOLLY HAS ISSUED A WINTER
WEATHER ADVISORY, WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 PM EST THIS
AFTERNOON. THE WINTER STORM WARNING HAS BEEN CANCELLED.

EARLY THIS MORNING, PRECIPITATION STILL WAS MAINLY IN THE FORM OF
RAIN OVER SOUTHERN DELAWARE AND EXTREME SOUTHERN NEW JERSEY. THAT
PRECIPITATION STILL IS FORECAST TO CHANGE TO SNOW BY DAYBREAK, BUT
SNOWFALL AMOUNTS ARE ONLY EXPECTED TO REACH 1 TO 4 INCHES. 

LOW PRESSURE OFF THE SOUTHERN DELMARVA PENINSULA EARLY THIS
MORNING WILL CONTINUE TO INTENSIFY AND LIFT NORTHEAST DURING THE
DAY. THE INTENSIFYING LOW WILL CAUSE SNOW TO LINGER THROUGH THE
MORNING AND WILL CAUSE WINDS TO INCREASE TOWARD DAYBREAK.

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY MEANS THAT RAIN WILL CHANGE TO SNOW AND
CAUSE TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. SOME BLOWING OF SNOW ALSO IS POSSIBLE. 
BE PREPARED FOR SLIPPERY ROADS AND LIMITED VISIBILITIES, AND USE
CAUTION WHILE DRIVING.

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO ALL HAZARDS OR YOUR LOCAL MEDIA
OUTLET FOR ADDITIONAL UPDATES.

$$

DEZ001-002-MDZ008-012-015-019-020-NJZ012>022-026-027-PAZ070-071-
121800-
/O.CON.KPHI.WS.W.0004.000000T0000Z-060212T1800Z/
NEW CASTLE-KENT DE-CECIL-KENT MD-QUEEN ANNES-TALBOT-CAROLINE-
MIDDLESEX-WESTERN MONMOUTH-EASTERN MONMOUTH-MERCER-SALEM-
GLOUCESTER-CAMDEN-NORTHWESTERN BURLINGTON-OCEAN-CUMBERLAND-
ATLANTIC-COASTAL OCEAN-SOUTHEASTERN BURLINGTON-DELAWARE-
PHILADELPHIA-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...WILMINGTON...DOVER...ELKTON...
CHESTERTOWN...CENTREVILLE...EASTON...DENTON...NEW BRUNSWICK...
FREEHOLD...SANDY HOOK...TRENTON...PENNSVILLE...GLASSBORO...
CAMDEN...CHERRY HILL...MOORESTOWN...MOUNT HOLLY...JACKSON...
MILLVILLE...HAMMONTON...LONG BEACH ISLAND...
WHARTON STATE FOREST...MEDIA
306 AM EST SUN FEB 12 2006

...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 PM EST THIS
AFTERNOON...

A WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 PM EST THIS
AFTERNOON. 

ALONG AND NEAR THE INTERSTATE 95 CORRIDOR, INCLUDING THE IMMEDIATE
PHILADELPHIA METRO AREA, 7 TO 12 INCHES OF SNOW IS FORECAST. ABOUT
THE SAME AMOUNT IS FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN NEW JERSEY COASTLINE. 
FOR SOUTH CENTRAL NEW JERSEY, CENTRAL DELAWARE AND THE ADJACENT
PORTIONS OF THE MARYLAND EASTERN SHORE, 4 TO 8 INCHES OF SNOW IS
FORECAST.

LOW PRESSURE OFF THE SOUTHERN DELMARVA PENINSULA EARLY THIS
MORNING WILL CONTINUE TO INTENSIFY AND LIFT NORTHEAST DURING THE
DAY. THE INTENSIFYING LOW WILL CAUSE SNOW TO LINGER THROUGH THE
MORNING AND WILL CAUSE WINDS TO INCREASE TOWARD DAYBREAK. THE
WINDS AND THE SNOW WILL LEAD TO BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW, AND
THERE MAY BE TRANSIENT BLIZZARD CONDITIONS. 

A WINTER STORM WARNING MEANS SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF SNOW AND
BLOWING AND DRIFTING OF SNOW ARE EXPECTED. THIS WILL MAKE TRAVEL
VERY HAZARDOUS OR IMPOSSIBLE.

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO ALL HAZARDS OR YOUR LOCAL MEDIA
OUTLET FOR ADDITIONAL UPDATES ON THIS WINTER STORM.

$$

MPD

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this heavy snow warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Philadelphia/Mount Holly wrote its last area forecast discussion before this heavy snow warning went out at Feb 10, 8:10 PM EST, 7 hours 39 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Feb 10, 8:10 PM EST, 7 hours 39 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
810 PM EST FRI FEB 10 2006

.UPDATE...
SENT A QUICK UPDATE TO THE ZONE PACKAGE MAINLY TO MAKE SOME MINOR
CHANGES.  FIRST, REMOVED MENTION OF SNOW FLURRIES TONIGHT AS RADAR
IMAGERY SHOWS THAT THEY HAVE DISSIPATED.  MADE SOME MINOR
ADJUSTMENTS TO WINDS AS WELL.  OTHERWISE, CURRENT FCST LOOKS GOOD AS
WE ARE IN THE CALM BEFORE THE STORM.

LSN

********************************************************************
457 PM EST FRI FEB 10 2006 PREVIOUS DISCUSSION...

.SHORT/LONG TERM...
TRACK FORECASTS CAME INTO BETTER AGREEMENT LAST NIGHT WITH THE
NAM/GFS/ECMWF/UKMET AND NOGAPS SHOWING A NICE CLUSTER. THE GGEM WAS
A BIT TO THE WEST. FAST FORWARD TO TODAY, THE 12Z NAM/GFS TOOK A JOG
TO THE EAST. THE 18Z NAM CAME BACK WEST. WEVE BEEN PRETTY MUCH
FAVORING THE MORE OFFSHORE GFS/ECMWF THROUGH THE EVOLUTION WITH THIS
SYSTEM KEEPING AN ALL SNOW EVENT FOR MUCH OF THE REGION. CLIMATOLOGY
WAS NOT FAVORED IN TERMS OF THE USUAL RAIN/SNOW MIX ALL THE WAY TO
THE I-95 CORRIDOR.

FOLLOWING CLOSELY TO THE GFS, QPF MASS FIELDS WERE FAVORED. ITS
NICE TO SEE THE 18Z NAM HONING IN ON A WETTER SOLUTION (AT LEAST
WITH THIS RUN). I GUESS ONE CONCERN IS THE FACT THAT EVEN THE
DOMESTIC MODELS ARE HAVING A TOUGH TIME CLOSING OFF THE UPPER
FEATURE NOW. THE EURO MODELS HAVE BEEN SHOWING THIS. WILL THIS
EFFECT AMOUNTS?

ANOTHER CONCERN IS THE TRACK OF THE LOW AND HOW FAR EAST THAT TRACK
IS GETTING. I DID FIND SOME CLOSE ANALOGS IN VOLUME III OF NORTHEAST
SNOWSTORMS WHERE THE SURFACE LOW TRACKED EAST OF LI AS WELL AS THE
CAPE AND STILL PROVIDED SOME GOOD SNOW TOTALS. KEEP IN MIND THE
ATMOSPHERE DOES NOT REPEAT ITSELF.

WELL LEAVE THE WATCH UP EVERYWHERE FOR ANOTHER GO, ALTHOUGH THE
TRACK IS CONSOLIDATING MORE EAST. TIME IS ON OUR SIDE AND WANTED TO
USE IT TO ADJUST FOR A WESTWARD SHIFT IF NECESSARY. KINDA LIKE THE
18Z NAM? PLUS, THINGS HAVE SLOWED DOWN.

USING THIS SHIFT IN TRACK, THE HEAVIEST SNOWFALL HAS ALSO SHIFTED TO
THE EAST. THERE COULD BE SOME LARGE ACCUMULATION DIFFERENCES ACROSS
OUR COASTAL COUNTIES. WOULDNT BE SURPRISED TO SEE 3 OR 4 INCHES
SOMEWHERE IN EASTERN ATLANTIC COUNTY AND 10 INCHES ACROSS THE
WESTERN PORTION. THIS OBVIOUSLY DUE TO THE RELATIVELY WARMER OCEAN
WATER.

WITH THINGS TAKING AN EASTWARD SHIFT, WE FELT THAT THE BEST
CONVECTION WOULD BE TO OUR EAST AS WELL. IT WAS TOUGH TO FIND
GENEROUS PARAMETERS FOR THE INCLUSION OF THUNDER.

TEMP-WISE, WE DIDNT STRAY TO FAR FROM STAT GUIDANCE, EXCEPT FOR THE
OVERNIGHT LOWS IN WHICH STAT GUIDANCE DOESNT SEE THE SNOW UNTIL IT
HAS FALLEN.

WE EXCEPTED HPCS EXTENDED.

&&

.AVIATION...
ALTOCU REMAINS OVER THE REGION AND WILL CONTINUE IN PLACE UNTIL
STRATO CU CLOUDS FROM THE DEVELOPING LOW MOVE IN ON SATURDAY.
CONDITIONS ARE FORECAST TO REMAIN VFR THROUGH SATURDAY MORNING.
CONDITIONS WILL DETERIORATE IN THE AFTERNOON AND ESPECIALLY TOWARD
EVENING AS SNOW MOVES ACROSS THE REGION...WITH A POSSIBLE MIX OF
RAIN AND SNOW AT MIV/ACY AT THE ONSET.

&&

.MARINE...
THE LOW MOVING OUT OF THE SOUTHEAST AND UP THE EASTERN SEABOARD WILL
CAUSE WINDS TO INCREASE FROM THE NORTHEAST AS THE LOW DEEPENS. THE
STRONGEST WINDS SHOULD OCCUR LATE SATURDAY NIGHT AND SUNDAY AS
COLDER AIR MOVES SE AND THE GRADIENT INCREASES. GALE FORCE WINDS ARE
EXPECTED...WITH SOME GUSTS POSSIBLY NEAR STORM FORCE AT 40 TO 45
KNOTS.

SUNDAY NIGHT AND MONDAY, AS THE LOW MOVES AWAY, THE WINDS SHOULD
SLOWLY DECREASE. RELATIVELY QUIET CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED THROUGH
MIDWEEK.

&&

.PHI WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
PA...WINTER STORM WATCH FOR PAZ054-055-060>062-067>071 FROM NOON
     SATURDAY TO NOON SUNDAY.
NJ...WINTER STORM WATCH FOR NJZ001-007>010-012>020-026-027 FROM
     NOON SATURDAY TO NOON SUNDAY.
  ...WINTER STORM WATCH FOR NJZ021>025 FROM NOON SATURDAY TO 7 AM
     SUNDAY.
DE...WINTER STORM WATCH FOR DEZ001 FROM NOON SATURDAY TO NOON
     SUNDAY.
  ...WINTER STORM WATCH FOR DEZ002>004 FROM NOON SATURDAY TO 7 AM
     SUNDAY.
MD...WINTER STORM WATCH FOR MDZ008-012 FROM NOON SATURDAY TO NOON
     SUNDAY.
  ...WINTER STORM WATCH FOR MDZ015-019-020 FROM NOON SATURDAY TO 7
     AM SUNDAY.
MARINE...GALE WARNING FOR ANZ430-431 FROM 7 AM SUNDAY TO 7 PM SUNDAY.
  ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR ANZ430-431 FROM 7 PM SATURDAY TO 7 AM
     SUNDAY.
  ...GALE WARNING FOR ANZ450>455 FROM 7 PM SATURDAY TO 7 PM SUNDAY.
&&

SHORT/LONG TERM...KRUZDLO
AVIATION/MARINE...COPE
Hazardous weather outlook, Feb 10, 4:32 AM EST, 23 hours 17 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
432 AM EST FRI FEB 10 2006

ANZ430-431-450>455-DEZ001>004-MDZ008-012-015-019-020-NJZ001-
007>010-012>027-PAZ054-055-060>062-067>071-110945-
DELAWARE BAY WATERS NORTH OF EAST POINT NJ TO SLAUGHTER BEACH DE-
DELAWARE BAY WATERS SOUTH OF EAST POINT NJ TO SLAUGHTER BEACH DE-
COASTAL WATERS FROM SANDY HOOK TO MANASQUAN INLET NJ OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM MANASQUAN INLET TO LITTLE EGG INLET NJ OUT
20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM LITTLE EGG INLET TO GREAT EGG INLET NJ OUT
20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM GREAT EGG INLET TO CAPE MAY NJ OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE MAY NJ TO CAPE HENLOPEN DE OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE HENLOPEN TO FENWICK ISLAND DE OUT 20 NM-
NEW CASTLE-KENT DE-INLAND SUSSEX-DELAWARE BEACHES-CECIL-KENT MD-
QUEEN ANNES-TALBOT-CAROLINE-SUSSEX-WARREN-MORRIS-HUNTERDON-
SOMERSET-MIDDLESEX-WESTERN MONMOUTH-EASTERN MONMOUTH-MERCER-SALEM-
GLOUCESTER-CAMDEN-NORTHWESTERN BURLINGTON-OCEAN-CUMBERLAND-
ATLANTIC-CAPE MAY-ATLANTIC COASTAL CAPE MAY-COASTAL ATLANTIC-
COASTAL OCEAN-SOUTHEASTERN BURLINGTON-CARBON-MONROE-BERKS-LEHIGH-
NORTHAMPTON-CHESTER-MONTGOMERY-BUCKS-DELAWARE-PHILADELPHIA-
432 AM EST FRI FEB 10 2006

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF EASTERN
PENNSYLVANIA, DELAWARE, THE NORTHERN MARYLAND EASTERN SHORE AND
NEW JERSEY, EXCLUDING THE FIVE NORTHEAST COUNTIES.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY

A WINTER STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR THE ENTIRE REGION FROM
SATURDAY AFTERNOON INTO SUNDAY MORNING. PLEASE REFER TO WWUS41 FOR
FURTHER DETAILS. GALE WARNINGS MAY ALSO BE NEEDED ALONG THE COAST
OVER THE WEEKEND. NO OTHER HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE NEEDED. SNOWFALL REPORTS WILL BE
APPRECIATED OVER THE WEEKEND.

The office that day

Everything else NWS Philadelphia/Mount Holly issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Feb 11, 3:49 AM ESTSnow AdvisoryPHICarbon, Monroe8 hr
Feb 11, 3:49 AM ESTWinter Storm WarningPHIBerks, Carbon, Delaware, Lehigh, Monroe, Northampton and 1 more18 days

Nearby

Heavy Snow Warnings in Pennsylvania, 2006Heavy Snow Warnings in New Jersey, 2006Every heavy snow warning in 2006

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.