Alert archive / New Jersey / Coastal Flood Warnings in 2006
Coastal Flood Warning 9, NWS Philadelphia/Mount Holly
NWS Philadelphia/Mount Holly issued this coastal flood warning at Nov 22, 2006, 10:58 AM EST for 6 counties in New Jersey; Sussex County, Delaware. It took effect at Nov 22, 2006, 8:00 PM EST. It was in force for 15 hr. 4 reports came from inside the area while it was in force.
The area
The counties it named, with what was reported inside it.
The facts
- Issued
- Nov 22, 2006, 10:58 AM EST (15:58 UTC)
- In effect from
- Nov 22, 2006, 8:00 PM EST
- Expired
- Nov 23, 2006, 10:55 AM EST
- In force
- 15 hr
- Issued by
- NWS Philadelphia/Mount Holly
Counties Sussex County, DE, Atlantic County, NJ, Burlington County, NJ, Cape May County, NJ, Middlesex County, NJ, Monmouth County, NJ, Ocean County, NJ
The radar
The Philadelphia radar (KDIX), 35 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 15:59 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
What was reported inside it
| Time | Report | Where | Remark |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 22, 8:34 PM EST | NON-TSTM WND GST 43 | Georgetown, DE | A 43 MPH WIND GUST WAS MEASURED AT THE GEORGETOWN AIRPORT. |
| Nov 22, 9:00 PM EST | NON-TSTM WND GST 47 | Wildwood, NJ | A 47 MPH WIND GUST WAS MEASURED BY A NJDOT WEATHER STATION IN WILDWOOD. |
| Nov 22, 9:10 PM EST | FLOOD | Ocean City, NJ | SOME FLOODING ONGOING IN OCEAN CITY OFF THE 9TH STREET BRIDGE. A WIND GUST OF 59 MPH WAS REPORTED AT THE OCEAN CITY MUSIC PIER. |
| Nov 22, 10:00 PM EST | NON-TSTM WND GST 48 | Wildwood, NJ | A 48 MPH WIND GUST WAS MEASURED BY A NJDOT WEATHER STATION IN WILDWOOD. |
Local storm reports filed while the alert was in force, from inside its polygon or its counties.
The nearest sounding before it
Phillips Aaf/Abe, MD (KAPG), launched 12:00Z, 4.0 hours before the alert went out and 129 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 0 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- No buoyant parcel
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 752 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 3 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- -91 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- -41 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 0.0
- Supercell composite
- 0.0
The text
As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.
000 WHUS41 KPHI 221558 CFWPHI URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED COASTAL HAZARD MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ 1058 AM EST WED NOV 22 2006 DEZ004-NJZ014-024>026-230000- /O.UPG.KPHI.CF.A.0003.061123T0100Z-061123T2100Z/ /O.NEW.KPHI.CF.W.0009.061123T0100Z-061123T2100Z/ /O.CON.KPHI.CF.Y.0005.000000T0000Z-061123T0100Z/ /O.CON.KPHI.SU.Y.0004.000000T0000Z-061123T2200Z/ DELAWARE BEACHES-EASTERN MONMOUTH-ATLANTIC COASTAL CAPE MAY- COASTAL ATLANTIC-COASTAL OCEAN- 1058 AM EST WED NOV 22 2006 ...COASTAL FLOOD WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 8 PM THIS EVENING TO 4 PM EST THURSDAY... ...COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EST THIS EVENING... ...HIGH SURF ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 PM EST THURSDAY... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MOUNT HOLLY HAS ISSUED A COASTAL FLOOD WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 8 PM THIS EVENING TO 4 PM EST THURSDAY. THE COASTAL FLOOD WARNING REPLACES THE COASTAL FLOOD WATCH. THE COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY THAT IS IN EFFECT THROUGH 8 PM THIS EVENING IS TO COVER ANY ONGOING FLOODING THAT IS NOW OCCURRING IN THE BACK BAYS AND INLETS. A HIGH SURF ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 PM EST THURSDAY. LOW PRESSURE CONTINUES TO SLOWLY MOVE NORTH ALONG THE NORTH CAROLINA COAST. AS A RESULT...THERE IS VERY LITTLE CHANGE IN THE WEATHER SCENARIO OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS AS WE ANTICIPATE AN INCREASE IN WINDS AND THE POTENTIAL FOR COASTAL FLOODING AND EROSION. THE LOW WILL BE MOVING AWAY FROM THE COAST EARLY FRIDAY MORNING. THIS EVENINGS HIGH TIDE WILL OCCUR BETWEEN 8 PM AND 9 PM...AND THURSDAY MORNINGS HIGH TIDE WILL OCCUR BETWEEN 830 AM AND 10 AM ALONG THE COAST AND RARITAN BAY. HIGH TIDES OCCUR A COUPLE OF HOURS LATER OVER THE ADJACENT BACK BAYS AND INLETS. FOR TONIGHTS HIGH TIDE...MINOR TIDAL FLOODING IS EXPECTED ALONG THE COAST...BUT BACK BAY AND INLET AREAS WILL EXPERIENCE WIDESPREAD MODERATE TIDAL FLOODING SINCE PERSISTENT NORTHEAST WINDS WILL KEEP THEM FROM DRAINING TODAY. FOR THURSDAY MORNINGS HIGH TIDE...WIDESPREAD MODERATE TIDAL FLOODING IS LIKELY ALONG THE COAST AND ADJACENT BACK BAYS AND INLETS. THE ONGOING RAIN WILL EXACERBATE ROADWAY FLOODING AND IS EXPECTED TO PERSIST THROUGH THE TWO HIGH TIDE CYCLES. IN ADDITION...A HIGH SURF ADVISORY HAS BEEN ISSUED WHICH MEANS THAT HIGH SURF WILL AFFECT BEACHES AND PRODUCE DANGEROUS RIP CURRENTS AND POSSIBLE MODERATE BEACH EROSION. IT IS HIGHLY RECOMMENDED THAT PEOPLE STAY AWAY FROM THE SURF. AT SANDY HOOK HIGH TIDE THIS EVENING IS EXPECTED TO REACH BETWEEN 7.0 AND 7.5 FEET ABOVE MEAN LOWER LOW WATER. HIGH TIDE ON THURSDAY MORNING IS EXPECTED TO REACH BETWEEN 7.5 TO 8.0 FEET ABOVE MEAN LOWER LOW WATER. AT SEASIDE HEIGHTS ON THE OCEAN SIDE HIGH TIDE THIS EVENING IS EXPECTED TO REACH BETWEEN 6.5 AND 7.0 FEET ABOVE MEAN LOWER LOW WATER. HIGH TIDE ON THURSDAY MORNING IS EXPECTED TO REACH BETWEEN 7.0 TO 7.5 FEET ABOVE MEAN LOWER LOW WATER. AT ATLANTIC CITY ON THE OCEAN SIDE HIGH TIDE THIS EVENING IS EXPECTED TO REACH BETWEEN 6.5 AND 7.0 FEET ABOVE MEAN LOWER LOW WATER. HIGH TIDE ON THURSDAY MORNING IS EXPECTED TO REACH BETWEEN 7.0 TO 7.5 FEET ABOVE MEAN LOWER LOW WATER. AT CAPE MAY ON THE OCEAN SIDE HIGH TIDE THIS EVENING IS EXPECTED TO REACH AROUND 7.5 FEET ABOVE MEAN LOWER LOW WATER. HIGH TIDE ON THURSDAY MORNING IS EXPECTED TO REACH BETWEEN 7.5 TO 8.0 FEET ABOVE MEAN LOWER LOW WATER. AT BREAKWATER HARBOR ON DELAWARE BAY HIGH TIDE THIS EVENING IS EXPECTED TO REACH AROUND 7.0 FEET ABOVE MEAN LOWER LOW WATER. HIGH TIDE ON THURSDAY MORNING IS EXPECTED TO REACH AROUND 7.5 FEET ABOVE MEAN LOWER LOW WATER. AT FENWICK ISLAND ON THE OCEAN SIDE HIGH TIDE THIS EVENING IS EXPECTED TO REACH AROUND 6.5 FEET ABOVE MEAN LOWER LOW WATER. HIGH TIDE ON THURSDAY MORNING IS EXPECTED TO REACH AROUND 7.0 FEET ABOVE MEAN LOWER LOW WATER. HIGHER DEPARTURES AND GREATER COASTAL FLOODING IS EXPECTED IN THE BACK BAYS AND INLETS WHERE WATER WILL NOT BE ALLOWED TO DRAIN BETWEEN THE HIGH TIDE CYCLES BECAUSE OF THE PERSISTENT ONSHORE FLOW. MINOR TIDAL FLOODING BEGINS AT 6.7 FEET ABOVE MEAN LOWER LOW WATER...AND MODERATE TIDAL FLOODING BEGINS AT 7.7 FEET ABOVE MEAN LOWER LOW WATER. WHEN WE REACH MODERATE LEVELS...SOME ACCESS ROADS WILL BE IMPASSABLE FOR A TIME...AND YOU WILL CERTAINLY HAVE TO MOVE YOUR CAR TO A SAFE PLACE BEFORE THE TIMES OF HIGH TIDE. A COASTAL FLOOD WARNING MEANS THAT FLOODING IS OCCURRING OR IMMINENT. COASTAL RESIDENTS IN THE WARNED AREA SHOULD BE ALERT FOR RISING WATER...AND TAKE APPROPRIATE ACTION TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY. A HIGH SURF ADVISORY MEANS THAT HIGH SURF WILL AFFECT BEACHES IN THE ADVISORY AREA...PRODUCING RIP CURRENTS AND LOCALIZED BEACH EROSION. $$ DEZ003-NJZ012-013-020-022-023-027-230000- /O.UPG.KPHI.CF.A.0003.061123T0100Z-061123T2100Z/ /O.NEW.KPHI.CF.W.0009.061123T0100Z-061123T2100Z/ /O.CON.KPHI.CF.Y.0005.000000T0000Z-061123T0100Z/ INLAND SUSSEX-MIDDLESEX-WESTERN MONMOUTH-OCEAN-ATLANTIC-CAPE MAY- SOUTHEASTERN BURLINGTON- 1058 AM EST WED NOV 22 2006 ...COASTAL FLOOD WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 8 PM THIS EVENING TO 4 PM EST THURSDAY... ...COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EST THIS EVENING... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MOUNT HOLLY HAS ISSUED A COASTAL FLOOD WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 8 PM THIS EVENING TO 4 PM EST THURSDAY. THE COASTAL FLOOD WARNING REPLACES THE COASTAL FLOOD WATCH. THE COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY THAT IS IN EFFECT THROUGH 8 PM THIS EVENING IS TO COVER ANY ONGOING FLOODING THAT IS NOW OCCURRING IN THE BACK BAYS AND INLETS. LOW PRESSURE CONTINUES TO SLOWLY MOVE NORTH ALONG THE NORTH CAROLINA COAST. AS A RESULT...THERE IS VERY LITTLE CHANGE IN THE WEATHER SCENARIO OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS AS WE ANTICIPATE AN INCREASE IN WINDS AND THE POTENTIAL FOR COASTAL FLOODING AND EROSION. THE LOW WILL BE MOVING AWAY FROM THE COAST EARLY FRIDAY MORNING. THIS EVENINGS HIGH TIDE WILL OCCUR BETWEEN 8 PM AND 9 PM...AND THURSDAY MORNINGS HIGH TIDE WILL OCCUR BETWEEN 830 AM AND 10 AM ALONG THE COAST AND RARITAN BAY. HIGH TIDES OCCUR A COUPLE OF HOURS LATER OVER THE ADJACENT BACK BAYS AND INLETS. FOR TONIGHTS HIGH TIDE...MINOR TIDAL FLOODING IS EXPECTED ALONG THE COAST AND RARITAN BAY...BUT BACK BAY AND INLET AREAS WILL EXPERIENCE WIDESPREAD MODERATE TIDAL FLOODING SINCE PERSISTENT NORTHEAST WINDS WILL KEEP THEM FROM DRAINING TODAY. FOR THURSDAY MORNINGS HIGH TIDE...WIDESPREAD MODERATE TIDAL FLOODING IS LIKELY ALONG THE COAST, RARITAN BAY AND ADJACENT BACK BAYS AND INLETS. THE ONGOING RAIN WILL EXACERBATE ROADWAY FLOODING AND IS EXPECTED TO PERSIST THROUGH THE TWO HIGH TIDE CYCLES. AT SANDY HOOK HIGH TIDE THIS EVENING IS EXPECTED TO REACH BETWEEN 7.0 AND 7.5 FEET ABOVE MEAN LOWER LOW WATER. HIGH TIDE ON THURSDAY MORNING IS EXPECTED TO REACH BETWEEN 7.5 TO 8.0 FEET ABOVE MEAN LOWER LOW WATER. AT SEASIDE HEIGHTS ON THE OCEAN SIDE HIGH TIDE THIS EVENING IS EXPECTED TO REACH BETWEEN 6.5 AND 7.0 FEET ABOVE MEAN LOWER LOW WATER. HIGH TIDE ON THURSDAY MORNING IS EXPECTED TO REACH BETWEEN 7.0 TO 7.5 FEET ABOVE MEAN LOWER LOW WATER. AT ATLANTIC CITY ON THE OCEAN SIDE HIGH TIDE THIS EVENING IS EXPECTED TO REACH BETWEEN 6.5 AND 7.0 FEET ABOVE MEAN LOWER LOW WATER. HIGH TIDE ON THURSDAY MORNING IS EXPECTED TO REACH BETWEEN 7.0 TO 7.5 FEET ABOVE MEAN LOWER LOW WATER. AT CAPE MAY ON THE OCEAN SIDE HIGH TIDE THIS EVENING IS EXPECTED TO REACH AROUND 7.5 FEET ABOVE MEAN LOWER LOW WATER. HIGH TIDE ON THURSDAY MORNING IS EXPECTED TO REACH BETWEEN 7.5 TO 8.0 FEET ABOVE MEAN LOWER LOW WATER. AT BREAKWATER HARBOR ON DELAWARE BAY HIGH TIDE THIS EVENING IS EXPECTED TO REACH AROUND 7.0 FEET ABOVE MEAN LOWER LOW WATER. HIGH TIDE ON THURSDAY MORNING IS EXPECTED TO REACH AROUND 7.5 FEET ABOVE MEAN LOWER LOW WATER. AT FENWICK ISLAND ON THE OCEAN SIDE HIGH TIDE THIS EVENING IS EXPECTED TO REACH AROUND 6.5 FEET ABOVE MEAN LOWER LOW WATER. HIGH TIDE ON THURSDAY MORNING IS EXPECTED TO REACH AROUND 7.0 FEET ABOVE MEAN LOWER LOW WATER. HIGHER DEPARTURES AND GREATER COASTAL FLOODING IS EXPECTED IN THE BACK BAYS AND INLETS WHERE WATER WILL NOT BE ALLOWED TO DRAIN BETWEEN THE HIGH TIDE CYCLES BECAUSE OF THE PERSISTENT ONSHORE FLOW. MINOR TIDAL FLOODING BEGINS AT 6.7 FEET ABOVE MEAN LOWER LOW WATER...AND MODERATE TIDAL FLOODING BEGINS AT 7.7 FEET ABOVE MEAN LOWER LOW WATER. WHEN WE REACH MODERATE LEVELS...SOME ACCESS ROADS WILL BE IMPASSABLE FOR A TIME...AND YOU WILL CERTAINLY HAVE TO MOVE YOUR CAR TO A SAFE PLACE BEFORE THE TIMES OF HIGH TIDE. A COASTAL FLOOD WARNING MEANS THAT FLOODING IS OCCURRING OR IMMINENT. COASTAL RESIDENTS IN THE WARNED AREA SHOULD BE ALERT FOR RISING WATER...AND TAKE APPROPRIATE ACTION TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY. $$ DEZ002-NJZ021-230000- /O.CON.KPHI.CF.Y.0005.000000T0000Z-061123T1800Z/ KENT DE-CUMBERLAND- 1058 AM EST WED NOV 22 2006 ...COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 PM EST THURSDAY... A COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 PM EST THURSDAY. LOW PRESSURE CONTINUES TO SLOWLY MOVE NORTH ALONG THE SOUTHEAST U.S. COAST. WE ANTICIPATE AN INCREASE IN WINDS AND THE POTENTIAL FOR TIDAL FLOODING ALONG DELAWARE BAY. GALE WARNINGS WILL BE IN EFFECT THROUGH THURSDAY. THE LOW WILL BE MOVING AWAY FROM THE COAST EARLY FRIDAY MORNING. THIS MORNINGS HIGH TIDE WILL OCCUR BETWEEN 9 AM AND NOON.... THIS EVENINGS HIGH TIDE WILL OCCUR BETWEEN 930 PM AND 1230 AM... AND THURSDAYS MORNING AND EARLY AFTERNOON HIGH TIDE WILL OCCUR BETWEEN 945 AM AND 1245 PM. FOR THIS MORNINGS HIGH TIDE...MINOR TIDAL FLOODING IS EXPECTED... ESPECIALLY BUT NOT EXCLUSIVELY ALONG THE KENT COUNTY... DELAWARE BAYSHORE. FOR TONIGHTS HIGH TIDE...MINOR TIDAL FLOODING MAY BE MORE SPOTTY AS IT IS THE LOWER OF THE TWO ASTRONOMICAL HIGH TIDES. FOR THURSDAYS MORNING AND EARLY AFTERNOON HIGH TIDE... MINOR TIDAL FLOODING IS EXPECTED. A COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY INDICATES THAT ONSHORE WINDS AND TIDES WILL COMBINE TO GENERATE FLOODING OF LOW AREAS ALONG THE BAYSHORE. MINOR TIDAL FLOODING BEGINS AT 7.2 FEET ABOVE MEAN LOWER LOW WATER. PLEASE TAKE APPROPRIATE ACTIONS...WHICH INCLUDE MOVING YOUR VEHICLE FROM AREAS PRONE TO TIDAL FLOODING AND AVOIDING ROUTES PRONE TO THE SAME. $$ TFG
4 follow-up statements
000 WHUS41 KPHI 222043 CFWPHI COASTAL HAZARD MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ 343 PM EST WED NOV 22 2006 DEZ004-NJZ014-024>026-230445- /O.CAN.KPHI.CF.Y.0005.000000T0000Z-061123T0100Z/ /O.CON.KPHI.CF.W.0009.061123T0100Z-061123T2100Z/ /O.CON.KPHI.SU.Y.0004.000000T0000Z-061123T2200Z/ DELAWARE BEACHES-EASTERN MONMOUTH-ATLANTIC COASTAL CAPE MAY- COASTAL ATLANTIC-COASTAL OCEAN- 343 PM EST WED NOV 22 2006 ...COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY IS CANCELLED... ...COASTAL FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 8 PM THIS EVENING TO 4 PM EST THURSDAY... ...HIGH SURF ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 PM EST THURSDAY... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MOUNT HOLLY HAS REPLACED THE COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY WITH A COASTAL FLOOD WARNING. THE COASTAL FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 8 PM THIS EVENING TO 4 PM EST THURSDAY. A HIGH SURF ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 PM EST THURSDAY. LOW PRESSURE CONTINUES TO SLOWLY MOVE NORTHEAST ALONG THE NORTH CAROLINA COAST. AS A RESULT...THERE IS VERY LITTLE CHANGE IN THE WEATHER SCENARIO OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS AS WINDS HAVE INCREASED AND THE STRONG LIKELIHOOD EXISTS FOR COASTAL FLOODING AND EROSION. THE LOW WILL BE MOVING AWAY FROM THE COAST EARLY FRIDAY MORNING. THIS EVENINGS HIGH TIDE WILL OCCUR BETWEEN 8 PM AND 9 PM...AND THURSDAY MORNINGS HIGH TIDE WILL OCCUR BETWEEN 830 AM AND 10 AM ALONG THE COAST AND RARITAN BAY. HIGH TIDES OCCUR A COUPLE OF HOURS LATER OVER THE ADJACENT BACK BAYS AND INLETS. FOR TONIGHTS HIGH TIDE...WIDESPREAD MINOR TIDAL FLOODING IS EXPECTED ALONG THE COAST...BUT BACK BAY AND INLET AREAS WILL EXPERIENCE WIDESPREAD MODERATE TIDAL FLOODING SINCE PERSISTENT NORTHEAST WINDS WILL KEEP THEM FROM DRAINING. FOR THURSDAY MORNINGS HIGH TIDE...WIDESPREAD MODERATE TIDAL FLOODING IS LIKELY ALONG THE COAST AND ADJACENT BACK BAYS AND INLETS. THE ONGOING RAIN WILL EXACERBATE ROADWAY FLOODING AND IS EXPECTED TO PERSIST THROUGH THESE TWO HIGH TIDE CYCLES. THE THURSDAY EVENING HIGH TIDE IS ASTRONOMICALLY LOWER. BUT IT IS POSSIBLE THAT MINOR TIDAL FLOODING MIGHT PERSIST THROUGH THE THURSDAY EVENING HIGH TIDE. IN ADDITION...A HIGH SURF ADVISORY HAS BEEN ISSUED WHICH MEANS THAT HIGH SURF WILL AFFECT BEACHES AND PRODUCE DANGEROUS RIP CURRENTS AND POSSIBLE MODERATE BEACH EROSION. IT IS HIGHLY RECOMMENDED THAT PEOPLE STAY AWAY FROM THE SURF. AT SANDY HOOK HIGH TIDE THIS EVENING IS EXPECTED TO REACH BETWEEN 7.0 AND 7.5 FEET ABOVE MEAN LOWER LOW WATER. HIGH TIDE ON THURSDAY MORNING IS EXPECTED TO REACH AROUND 8.0 FEET ABOVE MEAN LOWER LOW WATER. AT SEASIDE HEIGHTS ON THE OCEAN SIDE HIGH TIDE THIS EVENING IS EXPECTED TO REACH BETWEEN 6.5 AND 7.0 FEET ABOVE MEAN LOWER LOW WATER. HIGH TIDE ON THURSDAY MORNING IS EXPECTED TO REACH BETWEEN AROUND 7.5 FEET ABOVE MEAN LOWER LOW WATER. AT ATLANTIC CITY ON THE OCEAN SIDE HIGH TIDE THIS EVENING IS EXPECTED TO REACH BETWEEN 6.5 AND 7.0 FEET ABOVE MEAN LOWER LOW WATER. HIGH TIDE ON THURSDAY MORNING IS EXPECTED TO REACH AROUND 7.5 FEET ABOVE MEAN LOWER LOW WATER. AT CAPE MAY ON THE OCEAN SIDE HIGH TIDE THIS EVENING IS EXPECTED TO REACH AROUND 7.5 FEET ABOVE MEAN LOWER LOW WATER. HIGH TIDE ON THURSDAY MORNING IS EXPECTED TO REACH AROUND 8.0 FEET ABOVE MEAN LOWER LOW WATER. AT BREAKWATER HARBOR ON DELAWARE BAY HIGH TIDE THIS EVENING IS EXPECTED TO REACH AROUND 7.0 FEET ABOVE MEAN LOWER LOW WATER. HIGH TIDE ON THURSDAY MORNING IS EXPECTED TO REACH AROUND 7.5 FEET ABOVE MEAN LOWER LOW WATER. AT FENWICK ISLAND ON THE OCEAN SIDE HIGH TIDE THIS EVENING IS EXPECTED TO REACH AROUND 6.5 FEET ABOVE MEAN LOWER LOW WATER. HIGH TIDE ON THURSDAY MORNING IS EXPECTED TO REACH AROUND 7.0 FEET ABOVE MEAN LOWER LOW WATER. HIGHER DEPARTURES AND GREATER COASTAL FLOODING IS EXPECTED IN THE BACK BAYS AND INLETS WHERE WATER WILL NOT BE ALLOWED TO DRAIN BETWEEN THE HIGH TIDE CYCLES BECAUSE OF THE PERSISTENT ONSHORE FLOW. MINOR TIDAL FLOODING BEGINS AT 6.7 FEET ABOVE MEAN LOWER LOW WATER...AND MODERATE TIDAL FLOODING BEGINS AT 7.7 FEET ABOVE MEAN LOWER LOW WATER. WHEN WE REACH MODERATE LEVELS...SOME ACCESS ROADS WILL BE IMPASSABLE FOR A TIME...AND YOU WILL CERTAINLY HAVE TO MOVE YOUR CAR TO A SAFE PLACE BEFORE THE TIMES OF HIGH TIDE. A COASTAL FLOOD WARNING MEANS THAT FLOODING IS OCCURRING OR IMMINENT. COASTAL RESIDENTS IN THE WARNED AREA SHOULD BE ALERT FOR RISING WATER...AND TAKE APPROPRIATE ACTION TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY. A HIGH SURF ADVISORY MEANS THAT HIGH SURF WILL AFFECT BEACHES IN THE ADVISORY AREA...PRODUCING RIP CURRENTS AND LOCALIZED BEACH EROSION. $$ DEZ003-NJZ012-013-020-022-023-027-230445- /O.CAN.KPHI.CF.Y.0005.000000T0000Z-061123T0100Z/ /O.CON.KPHI.CF.W.0009.061123T0100Z-061123T2100Z/ INLAND SUSSEX-MIDDLESEX-WESTERN MONMOUTH-OCEAN-ATLANTIC-CAPE MAY- SOUTHEASTERN BURLINGTON- 343 PM EST WED NOV 22 2006 ...COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY IS CANCELLED... ...COASTAL FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 8 PM THIS EVENING TO 4 PM EST THURSDAY... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MOUNT HOLLY HAS REPLACED THE COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY WITH A COASTAL FLOOD WARNING. THE COASTAL FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 8 PM THIS EVENING TO 4 PM EST THURSDAY. LOW PRESSURE CONTINUES TO SLOWLY MOVE NORTHEAST ALONG THE NORTH CAROLINA COAST. AS A RESULT...THERE IS VERY LITTLE CHANGE IN THE WEATHER SCENARIO OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS AS WINDS HAVE INCREASED AND THE STRONG LIKELIHOOD EXISTS FOR COASTAL FLOODING AND EROSION. THE LOW WILL BE MOVING AWAY FROM THE COAST EARLY FRIDAY MORNING. THIS EVENINGS HIGH TIDE WILL OCCUR BETWEEN 8 PM AND 9 PM...AND THURSDAY MORNINGS HIGH TIDE WILL OCCUR BETWEEN 830 AM AND 10 AM ALONG THE COAST AND RARITAN BAY. HIGH TIDES OCCUR A COUPLE OF HOURS LATER OVER THE ADJACENT BACK BAYS AND INLETS. FOR TONIGHTS HIGH TIDE...WIDESPREAD MINOR TIDAL FLOODING IS EXPECTED ALONG THE COAST AND RARITAN BAY...BUT BACK BAY AND INLET AREAS WILL EXPERIENCE WIDESPREAD MODERATE TIDAL FLOODING SINCE PERSISTENT NORTHEAST WINDS WILL KEEP THEM FROM DRAINING. FOR THURSDAY MORNINGS HIGH TIDE...WIDESPREAD MODERATE TIDAL FLOODING IS LIKELY ALONG THE COAST...RARITAN BAY AND ADJACENT BACK BAYS AND INLETS. THE ONGOING RAIN WILL EXACERBATE ROADWAY FLOODING AND IS EXPECTED TO PERSIST THROUGH THESE TWO HIGH TIDE CYCLES. THE THURSDAY EVENING HIGH TIDE IS ASTRONOMICALLY LOWER. BUT IT IS POSSIBLE THAT MINOR TIDAL FLOODING MIGHT PERSIST THROUGH THE THURSDAY EVENING HIGH TIDE. AT SANDY HOOK HIGH TIDE THIS EVENING IS EXPECTED TO REACH BETWEEN 7.0 AND 7.5 FEET ABOVE MEAN LOWER LOW WATER. HIGH TIDE ON THURSDAY MORNING IS EXPECTED TO REACH AROUND 8.0 FEET ABOVE MEAN LOWER LOW WATER. AT SEASIDE HEIGHTS ON THE OCEAN SIDE HIGH TIDE THIS EVENING IS EXPECTED TO REACH BETWEEN 6.5 AND 7.0 FEET ABOVE MEAN LOWER LOW WATER. HIGH TIDE ON THURSDAY MORNING IS EXPECTED TO REACH BETWEEN AROUND 7.5 FEET ABOVE MEAN LOWER LOW WATER. AT ATLANTIC CITY ON THE OCEAN SIDE HIGH TIDE THIS EVENING IS EXPECTED TO REACH BETWEEN 6.5 AND 7.0 FEET ABOVE MEAN LOWER LOW WATER. HIGH TIDE ON THURSDAY MORNING IS EXPECTED TO REACH AROUND 7.5 FEET ABOVE MEAN LOWER LOW WATER. AT CAPE MAY ON THE OCEAN SIDE HIGH TIDE THIS EVENING IS EXPECTED TO REACH AROUND 7.5 FEET ABOVE MEAN LOWER LOW WATER. HIGH TIDE ON THURSDAY MORNING IS EXPECTED TO REACH AROUND 8.0 FEET ABOVE MEAN LOWER LOW WATER. AT BREAKWATER HARBOR ON DELAWARE BAY HIGH TIDE THIS EVENING IS EXPECTED TO REACH AROUND 7.0 FEET ABOVE MEAN LOWER LOW WATER. HIGH TIDE ON THURSDAY MORNING IS EXPECTED TO REACH AROUND 7.5 FEET ABOVE MEAN LOWER LOW WATER. AT FENWICK ISLAND ON THE OCEAN SIDE HIGH TIDE THIS EVENING IS EXPECTED TO REACH AROUND 6.5 FEET ABOVE MEAN LOWER LOW WATER. HIGH TIDE ON THURSDAY MORNING IS EXPECTED TO REACH AROUND 7.0 FEET ABOVE MEAN LOWER LOW WATER. HIGHER DEPARTURES AND GREATER COASTAL FLOODING IS EXPECTED IN THE BACK BAYS AND INLETS WHERE WATER WILL NOT BE ALLOWED TO DRAIN BETWEEN THE HIGH TIDE CYCLES BECAUSE OF THE PERSISTENT ONSHORE FLOW. MINOR TIDAL FLOODING BEGINS AT 6.7 FEET ABOVE MEAN LOWER LOW WATER...AND MODERATE TIDAL FLOODING BEGINS AT 7.7 FEET ABOVE MEAN LOWER LOW WATER. WHEN WE REACH MODERATE LEVELS...SOME ACCESS ROADS WILL BE IMPASSABLE FOR A TIME...AND YOU WILL CERTAINLY HAVE TO MOVE YOUR CAR TO A SAFE PLACE BEFORE THE TIMES OF HIGH TIDE. A COASTAL FLOOD WARNING MEANS THAT FLOODING IS OCCURRING OR IMMINENT. COASTAL RESIDENTS IN THE WARNED AREA SHOULD BE ALERT FOR RISING WATER...AND TAKE APPROPRIATE ACTION TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY. $$ DEZ002-NJZ021-230445- /O.CON.KPHI.CF.Y.0005.000000T0000Z-061123T1800Z/ KENT DE-CUMBERLAND- 343 PM EST WED NOV 22 2006 ...COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 PM EST THURSDAY... A COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 PM EST THURSDAY. LOW PRESSURE CONTINUES TO SLOWLY MOVE NORTH ALONG THE CAROLINA COAST. THE STRONG NORTHEAST WINDS HAVE ARRIVED AND WILL CONTINUE TO AFFECT UPPER DELAWARE BAY. GALE WARNINGS WILL BE IN EFFECT THROUGH THURSDAY FOR THE UPPER BAY. THE LOW WILL BE MOVING AWAY FROM THE COAST EARLY FRIDAY MORNING. THIS EVENINGS HIGH TIDE WILL OCCUR BETWEEN 930 PM AND 1230 AM... AND THURSDAYS MORNING AND EARLY AFTERNOON HIGH TIDE WILL OCCUR BETWEEN 945 AM AND 1245 PM. FOR THIS EVENINGS HIGH TIDE...MINOR TIDAL FLOODING MAY BE MORE SPOTTY AS IT IS THE LOWER OF THE TWO ASTRONOMICAL HIGH TIDES. FOR THURSDAYS MORNING AND EARLY AFTERNOON HIGH TIDE...MORE WIDESPREAD MINOR TIDAL FLOODING IS EXPECTED. A COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY INDICATES THAT ONSHORE WINDS AND TIDES WILL COMBINE TO GENERATE FLOODING OF LOW AREAS ALONG THE BAYSHORE. MINOR TIDAL FLOODING BEGINS AT 7.2 FEET ABOVE MEAN LOWER LOW WATER. PLEASE TAKE APPROPRIATE ACTIONS...WHICH INCLUDE MOVING YOUR VEHICLE FROM AREAS PRONE TO TIDAL FLOODING AND AVOIDING ROUTES PRONE TO THE SAME. $$ TFG
000 WHUS41 KPHI 230340 CFWPHI COASTAL HAZARD MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ 1040 PM EST WED NOV 22 2006 DEZ004-NJZ014-024>026-231145- /O.CON.KPHI.CF.W.0009.000000T0000Z-061123T2100Z/ /O.CON.KPHI.SU.Y.0004.000000T0000Z-061123T2200Z/ DELAWARE BEACHES-EASTERN MONMOUTH-ATLANTIC COASTAL CAPE MAY- COASTAL ATLANTIC-COASTAL OCEAN- 1040 PM EST WED NOV 22 2006 ...COASTAL FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM EST THURSDAY... ...HIGH SURF ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 PM EST THURSDAY... A COASTAL FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM EST THURSDAY. A HIGH SURF ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 PM EST THURSDAY. LOW PRESSURE CONTINUES TO SLOWLY MOVE NORTHEAST ALONG THE NORTH CAROLINA COAST. AS A RESULT...THERE IS VERY LITTLE CHANGE IN THE WEATHER SCENARIO OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS AS WINDS HAVE INCREASED AND THE STRONG LIKELIHOOD EXISTS FOR COASTAL FLOODING AND EROSION. THE LOW WILL BE MOVING AWAY FROM THE COAST EARLY FRIDAY MORNING. THURSDAY MORNINGS HIGH TIDE WILL OCCUR BETWEEN 830 AM AND 10 AM ALONG THE COAST AND RARITAN BAY. HIGH TIDES OCCUR A COUPLE OF HOURS LATER OVER THE ADJACENT BACK BAYS AND INLETS. TIDES WILL REMAIN ABOVE NORMAL OVERNIGHT AS PERSISTENT NORTHEAST WINDS WILL KEEP THEM FROM DRAINING. DUE TO THE PERSISTENT ABOVE NORMAL TIDE, MODERATE TIDAL FLOODING IS LIKELY FOR THURSDAY MORNINGS HIGH TIDE ALONG THE COAST AND ADJACENT BACK BAYS AND INLETS. THE ONGOING RAIN WILL EXACERBATE ROADWAY FLOODING AND IS EXPECTED TO PERSIST THROUGH THE HIGH TIDE ON THURSDAY MORNING. THE THURSDAY EVENING HIGH TIDE IS ASTRONOMICALLY LOWER. BUT IT IS POSSIBLE THAT MINOR TIDAL FLOODING MIGHT PERSIST THROUGH THE THURSDAY EVENING HIGH TIDE. IN ADDITION...A HIGH SURF ADVISORY HAS BEEN ISSUED WHICH MEANS THAT HIGH SURF WILL AFFECT BEACHES AND PRODUCE DANGEROUS RIP CURRENTS AND POSSIBLE MODERATE BEACH EROSION. IT IS HIGHLY RECOMMENDED THAT PEOPLE STAY AWAY FROM THE SURF. AT SANDY HOOK NEW JERSEY, THE HIGH TIDE ON THURSDAY MORNING IS EXPECTED TO REACH AROUND 8.0 FEET ABOVE MEAN LOWER LOW WATER. AT SEASIDE HEIGHTS ON THE OCEAN SIDE, HIGH TIDE ON THURSDAY MORNING IS EXPECTED TO REACH BETWEEN AROUND 7.5 FEET ABOVE MEAN LOWER LOW WATER. AT ATLANTIC CITY ON THE OCEAN SIDE, HIGH TIDE ON THURSDAY MORNING IS EXPECTED TO REACH AROUND 7.5 FEET ABOVE MEAN LOWER LOW WATER. AT CAPE MAY ON THE OCEAN SIDE, HIGH TIDE ON THURSDAY MORNING IS EXPECTED TO REACH AROUND 8.0 FEET ABOVE MEAN LOWER LOW WATER. AT BREAKWATER HARBOR ON DELAWARE BAY, HIGH TIDE ON THURSDAY MORNING IS EXPECTED TO REACH AROUND 7.5 FEET ABOVE MEAN LOWER LOW WATER. AT FENWICK ISLAND ON THE OCEAN SIDE, HIGH TIDE ON THURSDAY MORNING IS EXPECTED TO REACH AROUND 7.0 FEET ABOVE MEAN LOWER LOW WATER. HIGHER DEPARTURES AND GREATER COASTAL FLOODING IS EXPECTED IN THE BACK BAYS AND INLETS WHERE WATER WILL NOT BE ALLOWED TO DRAIN BETWEEN THE HIGH TIDE CYCLES BECAUSE OF THE PERSISTENT ONSHORE FLOW. MINOR TIDAL FLOODING BEGINS AT 6.7 FEET ABOVE MEAN LOWER LOW WATER...AND MODERATE TIDAL FLOODING BEGINS AT 7.7 FEET ABOVE MEAN LOWER LOW WATER. WHEN WE REACH MODERATE LEVELS...SOME ACCESS ROADS WILL BE IMPASSABLE FOR A TIME...AND YOU WILL CERTAINLY HAVE TO MOVE YOUR CAR TO A SAFE PLACE BEFORE THE TIMES OF HIGH TIDE. A COASTAL FLOOD WARNING MEANS THAT FLOODING IS OCCURRING OR IMMINENT. COASTAL RESIDENTS IN THE WARNED AREA SHOULD BE ALERT FOR RISING WATER...AND TAKE APPROPRIATE ACTION TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY. A HIGH SURF ADVISORY MEANS THAT HIGH SURF WILL AFFECT BEACHES IN THE ADVISORY AREA...PRODUCING RIP CURRENTS AND LOCALIZED BEACH EROSION. $$ DEZ003-NJZ012-013-020-022-023-027-231145- /O.CON.KPHI.CF.W.0009.000000T0000Z-061123T2100Z/ INLAND SUSSEX-MIDDLESEX-WESTERN MONMOUTH-OCEAN-ATLANTIC-CAPE MAY- SOUTHEASTERN BURLINGTON- 1040 PM EST WED NOV 22 2006 ...COASTAL FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM EST THURSDAY... A COASTAL FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM EST THURSDAY. LOW PRESSURE CONTINUES TO SLOWLY MOVE NORTHEAST ALONG THE NORTH CAROLINA COAST. AS A RESULT...THERE IS VERY LITTLE CHANGE IN THE WEATHER SCENARIO OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS AS WINDS HAVE INCREASED AND THE STRONG LIKELIHOOD EXISTS FOR COASTAL FLOODING AND EROSION. THE LOW WILL BE MOVING AWAY FROM THE COAST EARLY FRIDAY MORNING. HIGH TIDE ON THURSDAY MORNING WILL OCCUR BETWEEN 830 AM AND 10 AM ALONG THE COAST AND RARITAN BAY. HIGH TIDES OCCUR A COUPLE OF HOURS LATER OVER THE ADJACENT BACK BAYS AND INLETS. OVER THE BACK BAYS AND INLET AREAS, MODERATE TIDAL FLOODING WILL CONTINUE AS PERSISTENT NORTHEAST WINDS KEEP THE WATER HIGH. FOR THURSDAY MORNINGS HIGH TIDE...WIDESPREAD MODERATE TIDAL FLOODING IS LIKELY ALONG THE COAST...RARITAN BAY AND ADJACENT BACK BAYS AND INLETS. THE ONGOING RAIN WILL EXACERBATE ROADWAY FLOODING AND IS EXPECTED TO PERSIST THROUGH THURSDAY MORNING. THE THURSDAY EVENING HIGH TIDE IS ASTRONOMICALLY LOWER. BUT IT IS POSSIBLE THAT MINOR TIDAL FLOODING MIGHT PERSIST THROUGH THE THURSDAY EVENING HIGH TIDE. AT SANDY HOOK, HIGH TIDE ON THURSDAY MORNING IS EXPECTED TO REACH AROUND 8.0 FEET ABOVE MEAN LOWER LOW WATER. AT SEASIDE HEIGHTS ON THE OCEAN SIDE, HIGH TIDE ON THURSDAY MORNING IS EXPECTED TO REACH BETWEEN AROUND 7.5 FEET ABOVE MEAN LOWER LOW WATER. AT ATLANTIC CITY ON THE OCEAN SIDE, HIGH TIDE ON THURSDAY MORNING IS EXPECTED TO REACH AROUND 7.5 FEET ABOVE MEAN LOWER LOW WATER. AT CAPE MAY ON THE OCEAN SIDE, HIGH TIDE ON THURSDAY MORNING IS EXPECTED TO REACH AROUND 8.0 FEET ABOVE MEAN LOWER LOW WATER. AT BREAKWATER HARBOR ON DELAWARE BAY, HIGH TIDE ON THURSDAY MORNING IS EXPECTED TO REACH AROUND 7.5 FEET ABOVE MEAN LOWER LOW WATER. AT FENWICK ISLAND ON THE OCEAN SIDE, HIGH TIDE PM THURSDAY MORNING IS EXPECTED TO REACH AROUND 7.0 FEET ABOVE MEAN LOWER LOW WATER. HIGHER DEPARTURES AND GREATER COASTAL FLOODING IS EXPECTED IN THE BACK BAYS AND INLETS WHERE WATER WILL NOT BE ALLOWED TO DRAIN BETWEEN THE HIGH TIDE CYCLES BECAUSE OF THE PERSISTENT ONSHORE FLOW. MINOR TIDAL FLOODING BEGINS AT 6.7 FEET ABOVE MEAN LOWER LOW WATER...AND MODERATE TIDAL FLOODING BEGINS AT 7.7 FEET ABOVE MEAN LOWER LOW WATER. WHEN WE REACH MODERATE LEVELS...SOME ACCESS ROADS WILL BE IMPASSABLE FOR A TIME...AND YOU WILL CERTAINLY HAVE TO MOVE YOUR CAR TO A SAFE PLACE BEFORE THE TIMES OF HIGH TIDE. A COASTAL FLOOD WARNING MEANS THAT FLOODING IS OCCURRING OR IMMINENT. COASTAL RESIDENTS IN THE WARNED AREA SHOULD BE ALERT FOR RISING WATER...AND TAKE APPROPRIATE ACTION TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY. $$ DEZ002-NJZ021-231145- /O.CON.KPHI.CF.Y.0005.000000T0000Z-061123T1800Z/ KENT DE-CUMBERLAND- 1040 PM EST WED NOV 22 2006 ...COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 PM EST THURSDAY... A COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 PM EST THURSDAY. LOW PRESSURE CONTINUES TO SLOWLY MOVE NORTH ALONG THE CAROLINA COAST. THE STRONG NORTHEAST WINDS HAVE ARRIVED AND WILL CONTINUE TO AFFECT UPPER DELAWARE BAY. GALE WARNINGS WILL BE IN EFFECT THROUGH THURSDAY FOR THE UPPER BAY. THE LOW WILL BE MOVING AWAY FROM THE COAST EARLY FRIDAY MORNING. HIGH TIDE ON THURSDAY MORNING AND EARLY AFTERNOON WILL OCCUR BETWEEN 945 AM AND 1245 PM. THE HIGH TIDE ON THURSDAY MORNING AND EARLY AFTERNOON WILL CAUSE WIDESPREAD MINOR TIDAL FLOODING. A COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY INDICATES THAT ONSHORE WINDS AND TIDES WILL COMBINE TO GENERATE FLOODING OF LOW AREAS ALONG THE BAYSHORE. MINOR TIDAL FLOODING BEGINS AT 7.2 FEET ABOVE MEAN LOWER LOW WATER. PLEASE TAKE APPROPRIATE ACTIONS...WHICH INCLUDE MOVING YOUR VEHICLE FROM AREAS PRONE TO TIDAL FLOODING AND AVOIDING ROUTES PRONE TO THE SAME. $$ RNS/RPW
000 WHUS41 KPHI 230845 CFWPHI COASTAL HAZARD MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ 345 AM EST THU NOV 23 2006 DEZ004-NJZ014-024>026-231700- /O.CON.KPHI.CF.W.0009.000000T0000Z-061123T2100Z/ /O.CON.KPHI.SU.Y.0004.000000T0000Z-061123T2200Z/ DELAWARE BEACHES-EASTERN MONMOUTH-ATLANTIC COASTAL CAPE MAY- COASTAL ATLANTIC-COASTAL OCEAN- 345 AM EST THU NOV 23 2006 ...COASTAL FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON... ...HIGH SURF ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON... A COASTAL FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON. A HIGH SURF ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON. LOW PRESSURE CONTINUES TO SLOWLY MOVE NORTHEAST FROM OFF THE NORTH CAROLINA VIRGINIA COAST. AS A RESULT...STRONG GUSTY NORTHEAST WINDS WILL CONTINUE TODAY CAUSING TIDES TO BE ABOVE NORMAL AND MODERATE TIDAL FLOODING IS FORECAST, ESPECIALLY AROUND THE TIME OF HIGH TIDE. ALSO, BEACH EROSION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TODAY. CONDITIONS WILL GRADUALLY IMPROVE LATER TODAY AND TONIGHT AS THE LOW WILL BE MOVING AWAY FROM THE COAST. THIS MORNINGS HIGH TIDE WILL OCCUR BETWEEN 830 AM AND 10 AM ALONG THE COAST AND RARITAN BAY. HIGH TIDES OCCUR A COUPLE OF HOURS LATER OVER THE ADJACENT BACK BAYS AND INLETS. TIDES WILL REMAIN ABOVE NORMAL DUE TO PERSISTENT NORTHEAST WINDS. MODERATE TIDAL FLOODING IS LIKELY FOR THIS MORNINGS HIGH TIDE ALONG THE COAST AND ADJACENT BACK BAYS AND INLETS. THE ONGOING RAIN WILL EXACERBATE ROADWAY FLOODING AND IS EXPECTED TO PERSIST THROUGH THE HIGH TIDE THIS MORNING. THIS EVENINGS HIGH TIDE IS ASTRONOMICALLY LOWER THAN THIS MORNING. HOWEVER, IT IS POSSIBLE THAT MINOR TIDAL FLOODING MIGHT PERSIST THROUGH THE EVENING HIGH TIDE. IN ADDITION...A HIGH SURF ADVISORY CONTINUES ALONG THE COAST. THIS MEANS THAT HIGH SURF WILL AFFECT BEACHES AND PRODUCE DANGEROUS RIP CURRENTS AND POSSIBLE MODERATE BEACH EROSION. IT IS HIGHLY RECOMMENDED THAT PEOPLE STAY AWAY FROM THE SURF. AT SANDY HOOK NEW JERSEY... THE HIGH TIDE THIS MORNING IS EXPECTED TO REACH AROUND 8.0 FEET ABOVE MEAN LOWER LOW WATER. AT SEASIDE HEIGHTS ON THE OCEAN SIDE... HIGH TIDE THIS MORNING IS EXPECTED TO REACH BETWEEN AROUND 7.5 FEET ABOVE MEAN LOWER LOW WATER. AT ATLANTIC CITY ON THE OCEAN SIDE... HIGH TIDE THIS MORNING IS EXPECTED TO REACH AROUND 7.5 FEET ABOVE MEAN LOWER LOW WATER. AT CAPE MAY ON THE OCEAN SIDE... HIGH TIDE THIS MORNING IS EXPECTED TO REACH AROUND 8.0 FEET ABOVE MEAN LOWER LOW WATER. AT BREAKWATER HARBOR ON DELAWARE BAY... HIGH TIDE THIS MORNING IS EXPECTED TO REACH AROUND 7.5 FEET ABOVE MEAN LOWER LOW WATER. AT FENWICK ISLAND ON THE OCEAN SIDE... HIGH TIDE THIS MORNING IS EXPECTED TO REACH AROUND 7.0 FEET ABOVE MEAN LOWER LOW WATER. HIGHER DEPARTURES AND GREATER COASTAL FLOODING IS EXPECTED IN THE BACK BAYS AND INLETS WHERE WATER WILL NOT BE ALLOWED TO DRAIN BETWEEN THE HIGH TIDE CYCLES BECAUSE OF THE PERSISTENT ONSHORE FLOW. MINOR TIDAL FLOODING BEGINS AT 6.7 FEET ABOVE MEAN LOWER LOW WATER...AND MODERATE TIDAL FLOODING BEGINS AT 7.7 FEET ABOVE MEAN LOWER LOW WATER. WHEN WE REACH MODERATE LEVELS...SOME ACCESS ROADS WILL BE IMPASSABLE FOR A TIME...AND YOU WILL CERTAINLY HAVE TO MOVE YOUR CAR TO A SAFE PLACE BEFORE THE TIMES OF HIGH TIDE. A COASTAL FLOOD WARNING MEANS THAT FLOODING IS OCCURRING OR IMMINENT. COASTAL RESIDENTS IN THE WARNED AREA SHOULD BE ALERT FOR RISING WATER...AND TAKE APPROPRIATE ACTION TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY. A HIGH SURF ADVISORY MEANS THAT HIGH SURF WILL AFFECT BEACHES IN THE ADVISORY AREA...PRODUCING RIP CURRENTS AND LOCALIZED BEACH EROSION. $$ DEZ003-NJZ012-013-020-022-023-027-231700- /O.CON.KPHI.CF.W.0009.000000T0000Z-061123T2100Z/ INLAND SUSSEX-MIDDLESEX-WESTERN MONMOUTH-OCEAN-ATLANTIC-CAPE MAY- SOUTHEASTERN BURLINGTON- 345 AM EST THU NOV 23 2006 ...COASTAL FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON... A COASTAL FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON. LOW PRESSURE CONTINUES TO SLOWLY MOVE NORTHEAST FROM OFF THE NORTH CAROLINA VIRGINIA COAST. AS A RESULT...STRONG GUSTY NORTHEAST WINDS WILL CONTINUE TODAY CAUSING TIDES TO BE ABOVE NORMAL AND MODERATE TIDAL FLOODING IS FORECAST, ESPECIALLY AROUND THE TIME OF HIGH TIDE. ALSO, BEACH EROSION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TODAY. CONDITIONS WILL GRADUALLY IMPROVE LATER TODAY AND TONIGHT AS THE LOW WILL BE MOVING AWAY FROM THE COAST. HIGH TIDE THIS MORNING WILL OCCUR BETWEEN 830 AM AND 10 AM ALONG THE COAST AND RARITAN BAY. HIGH TIDES OCCUR A COUPLE OF HOURS LATER OVER THE ADJACENT BACK BAYS AND INLETS. OVER THE BACK BAYS AND INLET AREAS... MODERATE TIDAL FLOODING WILL CONTINUE AS PERSISTENT NORTHEAST WINDS KEEP THE WATER HIGH. THIS MORNINGS HIGH TIDE WILL CAUSE MODERATE TIDAL FLOODING ALONG THE COAST...RARITAN BAY AND ADJACENT BACK BAYS AND INLETS. THE ONGOING RAIN WILL EXACERBATE ROADWAY FLOODING AND IS EXPECTED TO PERSIST THROUGH THURSDAY MORNING. THIS EVENINGS HIGH TIDE IS ASTRONOMICALLY LOWER THAN THIS MORNING. HOWEVER, IT IS POSSIBLE THAT MINOR TIDAL FLOODING MIGHT PERSIST THROUGH THE EVENING HIGH TIDE. AT SANDY HOOK... HIGH TIDE THIS MORNING IS EXPECTED TO REACH AROUND 8.0 FEET ABOVE MEAN LOWER LOW WATER. AT SEASIDE HEIGHTS ON THE OCEAN SIDE... HIGH TIDE THIS MORNING IS EXPECTED TO REACH BETWEEN AROUND 7.5 FEET ABOVE MEAN LOWER LOW WATER. AT ATLANTIC CITY ON THE OCEAN SIDE... HIGH TIDE THIS MORNING IS EXPECTED TO REACH AROUND 7.5 FEET ABOVE MEAN LOWER LOW WATER. AT CAPE MAY ON THE OCEAN SIDE... HIGH TIDE THIS MORNING IS EXPECTED TO REACH AROUND 8.0 FEET ABOVE MEAN LOWER LOW WATER. AT BREAKWATER HARBOR ON DELAWARE BAY... HIGH TIDE THIS MORNING IS EXPECTED TO REACH AROUND 7.5 FEET ABOVE MEAN LOWER LOW WATER. AT FENWICK ISLAND ON THE OCEAN SIDE... HIGH TIDE THIS MORNING IS EXPECTED TO REACH AROUND 7.0 FEET ABOVE MEAN LOWER LOW WATER. HIGHER DEPARTURES AND GREATER COASTAL FLOODING IS EXPECTED IN THE BACK BAYS AND INLETS WHERE WATER WILL NOT BE ALLOWED TO DRAIN BETWEEN THE HIGH TIDE CYCLES BECAUSE OF THE PERSISTENT ONSHORE FLOW. MINOR TIDAL FLOODING BEGINS AT 6.7 FEET ABOVE MEAN LOWER LOW WATER...AND MODERATE TIDAL FLOODING BEGINS AT 7.7 FEET ABOVE MEAN LOWER LOW WATER. WHEN WE REACH MODERATE LEVELS...SOME ACCESS ROADS WILL BE IMPASSABLE FOR A TIME...AND YOU WILL CERTAINLY HAVE TO MOVE YOUR CAR TO A SAFE PLACE BEFORE THE TIMES OF HIGH TIDE. A COASTAL FLOOD WARNING MEANS THAT FLOODING IS OCCURRING OR IMMINENT. COASTAL RESIDENTS IN THE WARNED AREA SHOULD BE ALERT FOR RISING WATER...AND TAKE APPROPRIATE ACTION TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY. $$ DEZ002-NJZ021-231700- /O.CON.KPHI.CF.Y.0005.000000T0000Z-061123T1800Z/ KENT DE-CUMBERLAND- 345 AM EST THU NOV 23 2006 ...COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON... A COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON. LOW PRESSURE CONTINUES TO SLOWLY MOVE NORTHEAST FROM OFF THE NORTH CAROLINA VIRGINIA COAST. AS A RESULT...STRONG GUSTY NORTHEAST WINDS WILL CONTINUE TODAY CAUSING TIDES TO BE ABOVE NORMAL AND MINOR TIDAL FLOODING IS FORECAST, ESPECIALLY AROUND THE TIME OF HIGH TIDE. HIGH TIDE THIS MORNING AND EARLY AFTERNOON WILL OCCUR BETWEEN 945 AM AND 1245 PM. THE HIGH TIDE THIS MORNING AND EARLY AFTERNOON WILL CAUSE WIDESPREAD MINOR TIDAL FLOODING. A COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY INDICATES THAT ONSHORE WINDS AND TIDES WILL COMBINE TO GENERATE FLOODING OF LOW AREAS ALONG THE BAYSHORE. MINOR TIDAL FLOODING BEGINS AT 7.2 FEET ABOVE MEAN LOWER LOW WATER. PLEASE TAKE APPROPRIATE ACTIONS...WHICH INCLUDE MOVING YOUR VEHICLE FROM AREAS PRONE TO TIDAL FLOODING AND AVOIDING ROUTES PRONE TO THE SAME. $$ STAUBER
000 WHUS41 KPHI 231555 CFWPHI COASTAL HAZARD MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ 1055 AM EST THU NOV 23 2006 DEZ004-NJZ014-024>026-232200- /O.CAN.KPHI.CF.W.0009.000000T0000Z-061123T2100Z/ /O.NEW.KPHI.CF.Y.0006.061123T2300Z-061124T0800Z/ /O.CON.KPHI.SU.Y.0004.000000T0000Z-061123T2200Z/ DELAWARE BEACHES-EASTERN MONMOUTH-ATLANTIC COASTAL CAPE MAY- COASTAL ATLANTIC-COASTAL OCEAN- 1055 AM EST THU NOV 23 2006 ...COASTAL FLOOD WARNING IS CANCELLED... ...HIGH SURF ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON... ...COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 6 PM THIS EVENING TO 3 AM EST FRIDAY... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MOUNT HOLLY HAS ISSUED A COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 6 PM THIS EVENING TO 3 AM EST FRIDAY. NOW THAT THE MORNING HIGH TIDE CYCLE HAS PASSED, THE COASTAL FLOOD WARNING HAS BEEN CANCELLED. A HIGH SURF ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON. LOW PRESSURE CONTINUES TO MOVE NORTHEAST FROM THE VIRGINIA COAST AND WILL REACH THE SOUTHERN NEW ENGLAND COASTAL WATERS TONIGHT. AS A RESULT, STRONG GUSTY NORTHEAST TO NORTH WINDS WILL CONTINUE CAUSING TIDES TO BE ABOVE NORMAL, ESPECIALLY AROUND THE TIME OF HIGH TIDE. ALSO, BEACH EROSION WILL CONTINUE. CONDITIONS WILL GRADUALLY IMPROVE LATER TONIGHT AS THE LOW WILL BE MOVING AWAY FROM THE NEW ENGLAND COASTAL WATERS AND ALLOW MORE WATER TO DRAIN FROM THE BACK BAYS AND INLETS. THE NEXT HIGH TIDE WILL OCCUR BETWEEN 9 PM TO 11 PM THIS EVENING. HIGH TIDES OCCUR A COUPLE OF HOURS LATER OVER THE ADJACENT BACK BAYS AND INLETS. TIDES WILL REMAIN ABOVE NORMAL DUE TO PERSISTENT NORTHEAST THEN NORTH WINDS. WHILE THIS EVENINGS HIGH TIDE IS ASTRONOMICALLY LOWER THAN THE MORNING ONE, SOME MINOR TIDAL FLOODING IS STILL POSSIBLE AT TIMES OF THE HIGH TIDE MAINLY IN THE BACK BAYS AND INLETS. THE WORST OF THE TIDAL FLOODING WITH THIS EVENT IS OVER. IF YOU DID NOT HAVE ANY TIDAL FLOODING THROUGH THIS MORNING, YOU WILL NOT EXPERIENCE ANY TIDAL FLOODING WITH THE NEXT HIGH TIDE CYCLE. IN ADDITION...A HIGH SURF ADVISORY CONTINUES ALONG THE COAST. THIS MEANS THAT HIGH SURF WILL AFFECT BEACHES AND PRODUCE DANGEROUS RIP CURRENTS AND BEACH EROSION. IT IS HIGHLY RECOMMENDED THAT PEOPLE STAY AWAY FROM THE SURF. MINOR TIDAL FLOODING BEGINS AT 6.7 FEET ABOVE MEAN LOWER LOW WATER...AND MODERATE TIDAL FLOODING BEGINS AT 7.7 FEET ABOVE MEAN LOWER LOW WATER. A COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY MEANS THAT CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR MINOR TIDAL FLOODING. IF YOU LIVE IN AN AREA THAT IS PRONE TO TIDAL FLOODING...BE PREPARED TO MOVE YOUR VEHICLE TO HIGHER GROUND...ESPECIALLY DURING HIGH TIDE. A HIGH SURF ADVISORY MEANS THAT HIGH SURF WILL AFFECT BEACHES IN THE ADVISORY AREA...PRODUCING ENHANCED RIP CURRENTS AND BEACH EROSION. $$ DEZ003-NJZ013-020-022-023-027-240000- /O.CAN.KPHI.CF.W.0009.000000T0000Z-061123T2100Z/ /O.NEW.KPHI.CF.Y.0006.061123T2300Z-061124T0800Z/ INLAND SUSSEX-WESTERN MONMOUTH-OCEAN-ATLANTIC-CAPE MAY- SOUTHEASTERN BURLINGTON- 1055 AM EST THU NOV 23 2006 ...COASTAL FLOOD WARNING IS CANCELLED... ...COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 6 PM THIS EVENING TO 3 AM EST FRIDAY... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MOUNT HOLLY HAS ISSUED A COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 6 PM THIS EVENING TO 3 AM EST FRIDAY. NOW THAT THE MORNING HIGH TIDE CYCLE HAS PASSED, THE COASTAL FLOOD WARNING HAS BEEN CANCELLED. LOW PRESSURE CONTINUES TO MOVE NORTHEAST FROM THE VIRGINIA COAST AND WILL REACH THE SOUTHERN NEW ENGLAND COASTAL WATERS TONIGHT. AS A RESULT, STRONG GUSTY NORTHEAST TO NORTH WINDS WILL CONTINUE CAUSING TIDES TO BE ABOVE NORMAL, ESPECIALLY AROUND THE TIME OF HIGH TIDE. CONDITIONS WILL GRADUALLY IMPROVE LATER TONIGHT AS THE LOW WILL BE MOVING AWAY FROM THE NEW ENGLAND COASTAL WATERS AND ALLOW MORE WATER TO DRAIN FROM THE BACK BAYS AND INLETS. THE NEXT HIGH TIDE WILL OCCUR BETWEEN 9 PM TO 11 PM THIS EVENING. HIGH TIDES OCCUR A COUPLE OF HOURS LATER OVER THE ADJACENT BACK BAYS AND INLETS. TIDES WILL REMAIN ABOVE NORMAL DUE TO PERSISTENT NORTHEAST THEN NORTH WINDS. WHILE THIS EVENINGS HIGH TIDE IS ASTRONOMICALLY LOWER THAN THE MORNING ONE, SOME MINOR TIDAL FLOODING IS STILL POSSIBLE AT TIMES OF THE HIGH TIDE MAINLY IN THE BACK BAYS AND INLETS. THE WORST OF THE TIDAL FLOODING WITH THIS EVENT IS OVER. IF YOU DID NOT HAVE ANY TIDAL FLOODING THROUGH THIS MORNING, YOU WILL NOT EXPERIENCE ANY TIDAL FLOODING WITH THE NEXT HIGH TIDE CYCLE. MINOR TIDAL FLOODING BEGINS AT 6.7 FEET ABOVE MEAN LOWER LOW WATER...AND MODERATE TIDAL FLOODING BEGINS AT 7.7 FEET ABOVE MEAN LOWER LOW WATER. A COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY MEANS THAT CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR MINOR TIDAL FLOODING. IF YOU LIVE IN AN AREA THAT IS PRONE TO TIDAL FLOODING...BE PREPARED TO MOVE YOUR VEHICLE TO HIGHER GROUND...ESPECIALLY DURING HIGH TIDE. $$ NJZ012-231700- /O.CAN.KPHI.CF.W.0009.000000T0000Z-061123T2100Z/ MIDDLESEX- 1055 AM EST THU NOV 23 2006 ...COASTAL FLOOD WARNING IS CANCELLED... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MOUNT HOLLY HAS CANCELLED THE COASTAL FLOOD WARNING. THE HIGH TIDE CYCLE HAS PASSED AND A MORE NORTHERLY COMPONENT OF THE WIND FOR TONIGHT SHOULD NEGATE ANY TIDAL ISSUES IN THE MIDDLESEX COUNTY PART OF RARITAN BAY. $$ DEZ002-NJZ021-231800- /O.CON.KPHI.CF.Y.0005.000000T0000Z-061123T1800Z/ KENT DE-CUMBERLAND- 1055 AM EST THU NOV 23 2006 ...COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON... LOW PRESSURE CONTINUES TO MOVE NORTHEAST FROM THE VIRGINIA COAST AND WILL REACH THE SOUTHERN NEW ENGLAND COASTAL WATERS TONIGHT. AS A RESULT...STRONG GUSTY NORTHEAST TO NORTH WINDS WILL CONTINUE CAUSING TIDES TO BE ABOVE NORMAL, ESPECIALLY AROUND THE TIME OF HIGH TIDE. HIGH TIDE THIS MORNING AND EARLY AFTERNOON WILL OCCUR BETWEEN 945 AM AND 1245 PM. THE HIGH TIDE THIS MORNING AND EARLY AFTERNOON WILL CAUSE WIDESPREAD MINOR TIDAL FLOODING. A COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY INDICATES THAT ONSHORE WINDS AND TIDES WILL COMBINE TO GENERATE FLOODING OF LOW AREAS ALONG THE BAYSHORE. THIS IS EXPECTED TO BE THE LAST TIDE CYCLE THAT WILL CAUSE MINOR TIDAL FLOODING IN UPPER DELAWARE BAY. MINOR TIDAL FLOODING BEGINS AT 7.2 FEET ABOVE MEAN LOWER LOW WATER. PLEASE TAKE APPROPRIATE ACTIONS...WHICH INCLUDE MOVING YOUR VEHICLE FROM AREAS PRONE TO TIDAL FLOODING AND AVOIDING ROUTES PRONE TO THE SAME. $$ TFG
What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before this coastal flood warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Philadelphia/Mount Holly wrote its last area forecast discussion before this coastal flood warning went out at Nov 22, 10:45 AM EST, 13 minutes earlier.
Area forecast discussion, Nov 22, 10:45 AM EST, 13 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
1045 AM EST WED NOV 22 2006
.UPDATE #4...
WE ARE GOING TO ISSUE THE COASTAL FLOOD WARNING NOW FOR COASTAL
AREAS. DEMA BRIDGE CALL THEY DID HAVE MINOR TIDAL FLOODING WITH THE
ONGOING HIGH TIDE THAT WILL BE GOING NOWHERE IN THE INLETS BECAUSE
OF THE INCREASING ONSHORE WINDS. GREATETS THREAT FOR MODERATE TIDAL
FLOODING WILL BE IN CAPE MAY AND SUSSEX DE WITH THE EVENING HIGH
TIDE AND THEN SPREAD NORTHWARD THROUGHOUT FOR THE THURSDAY
MORNING/EARLY AFTERNOON HIGH TIDE. FARTHER UP IN DELAWARE BAY...WE
WILL SEE HOW THE CUR HIGH TIDE BEHAVES WITH THE NEXT HIGH TIDE
CLOSER TO MID WE HAVE A BIT MORE TIME ALSO TO SEE THE NEW SSE GUID.
&&
.PHI WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
PA...NONE.
NJ...HIGH WIND WARNING FOR NJZ024 UNTIL 7 PM WEDNESDAY.
...HIGH SURF ADVISORY FOR NJZ014-024>026 UNTIL 5 PM THURSDAY.
...COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY FOR NJZ012>014-020-022>027 UNTIL 8 PM
WEDNESDAY.
...COASTAL FLOOD WARNING FOR NJZ012>014-020-022>027 FROM 8 PM
WEDNESDAY TO 4 PM THURSDAY.
...WIND ADVISORY FOR NJZ013-014-020>023-025>027 UNTIL 10 PM
WEDNESDAY.
...COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY FOR NJZ021 UNTIL 1 PM THURSDAY.
DE...COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY FOR DEZ002 UNTIL 1 PM THURSDAY.
...WIND ADVISORY FOR DEZ002-003 UNTIL 10 PM WEDNESDAY.
...COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY FOR DEZ003-004 UNTIL 8 PM WEDNESDAY.
...COASTAL FLOOD WARNING FOR DEZ003-004 FROM 8 PM WEDNESDAY TO 4
PM THURSDAY.
...HIGH SURF ADVISORY FOR DEZ004 UNTIL 5 PM THURSDAY.
...HIGH WIND WARNING FOR DEZ004 UNTIL 7 PM WEDNESDAY.
MD...NONE.
MARINE...GALE WARNING FOR ANZ430-450>452 UNTIL 5 PM THURSDAY.
...GALE WARNING FOR ANZ431-453-454 FROM 7 PM WEDNESDAY TO 5 PM
THURSDAY.
...STORM WARNING FOR ANZ431-453>455 UNTIL 7 PM WEDNESDAY.
...GALE WARNING FOR ANZ455 FROM 7 PM WEDNESDAY TO 4 AM THURSDAY.
&&
TFG
ALL PREV UPDATE AND FULL LENGTH AFDS BELOW ************************
.UPDATE #3...
WE ARE GOING TO UPGRADE OUR GALES TO STORM TO COINCIDE WITH THE
PUBLIC HIGH WIND WARNING. CHESAPEAKE LIGHT CONTS TO HAVE STORM FORCE
WINDS. PRES GRADIENT ACRS OUR SRN AREA WATERS IS NOT FCSTD TO BE AS
TIGHT FTHR NORTH AND WE WILL LEAVE JUST GALES FTHR N FOR NOW.
&&
*******************************************************************
.UPDATE #2...
SEEING PCPN TRENDS LOOKS LIKE THE MDLS ARE 3-6 HRS SLOWER AND WE
WILL BE BUMPING UP POPS IN LINE WITH THE 06Z WRF-NMM. THEIR 18Z
MSRBL PCPN ISOHYET IS IN LINE WITH CUR NWWD EXTENSION OF THE PCPN ON
RADAR. MAX TEMPS STILL LOOK REASONABLE AND WON/T BE ADJUSTED.
&&
*******************************************************************
UPDATE #1
WATCHING THE TIDE GAUGE AT REEDY POINT AND THE SSE GUIDANCE THAT IS
LAGGING BEHIND REALITY, WE HAVE DECIDED TO EXTEND A COASTAL FLOOD
ADVISORY INTO THE DELAWARE BAY FOR THE HIGH TIDES TODAY, TONIGHT
AND TOMORROW. THERE ARE NO OTHER CHANGES TO THE PRESENT FORECAST
PACKAGE. THE PREV AFD IS BELOW.
&&
********************************************************************
.SHORT TERM /TODAY THROUGH FRIDAY/...
THE GFS AND NAM/WRF ARE IN GENERAL AGREEMENT ON THE PATTERN WITH
SOME SMALL DIFFERENCES ON TIMING AND LOCATION. CURRENT OBS SHOW RAIN
S OF DELAWARE ON SOUTHWARD. STRONG WINDS HAVE BEEN OBS AT CHLV2
ALONG THE VA COAST WITH GUSTS OVER 50 KT AND GUSTS INTO THE HIGH 30S
HAVE ALREADY REACHED 44009.
CONSIDERING THE STRONG GRADIENT OVER THE REGION TODAY, AND THE
MOMENTUM TRANSFER SHOWING GUSTS OVER 40KT OVER THE EASTERN ZONES, A
WIND ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED FOR TODAY AND CONTINUE INTO THIS
EVENING. WINDS SHOULD ALSO GUST TO 50 KT ON THE DELAWARE COAST AND
PROBABLY CAPE MAY COUNTY COAST IN NJ SO A HIGH WIND WARNING WILL BE
ISSUED FOR THOSE AREAS. THESE STRONG WINDS ARE SUPPORTED BY 925 MB
WINDS AROUND 1800 FT OF 50 KT.
FOLLOWING TRENDS AND TIMING THE ADVANCING RAIN BASED ON GFS
SOUNDINGS STARTS THE RAIN LATE THIS AM IN SRN DELMARVA, THEN SPREADS
THE RAIN INTO EXTREME SRN NJ EARLY THIS AFTERNOON. THE RAIN SHOULD
REACH PHL AND COVER ALL AREAS TO THE S AND E BY 7 PM. BETWEEN 10PM
AND MIDNIGHT TONIGHT THE RAIN SHOULD COVER THE ENTIRE FCST AREA. THE
ISENTROPIC SURFACES SHOW LIFT AND SATURATION WHICH LINE UP WELL WITH
THE SOUNDINGS AND PRECIPITATION TIMING.
LOOKING AT SATL AND OBS, THICK CLOUDS COVER MUCH OF THE EASTERN
ZONES ALREADY. WITH CONTINUED NORTHERLY WINDS, AND LOTS OF CLOUDS
ALONG WITH WEAK SEASONAL SUNSHINE, MEANS TEMPERATURES WILL BE HARD
PRESSED TO MOVE UPWARD TODAY. GENERALLY THE GFS HOURLY TEMPS WERE
ACCEPTED OVER THE HIGHER MAX TEMP TODAY. THE ONLY EXCEPTION IS ON
THE COAST WHERE THE WARMER OCEAN /RELATIVE TO AIR TEMP ON LAND/
SHOULD LET TEMPS REACH 50.
TONIGHT, THE MAV HRLY TEMPS AGAIN LOOK BETTER THAN THE MIN TEMPS
WITH CLOUDS AND WINDS LIMITING THE LOWS MAINLY DUE TO ADVECTION.
FOLLOWING THE TEMPERATURES AND SOUNDINGS IT LOOKS LIKE ALL RAIN FROM
THIS SYSTEM. HOWEVER, OVER THE POCONOS, THE SOUNDINGS DID INDICATE
TEMPERATURES JUST BARELY ABOVE 32 SUGGESTING THE POSSIBILITY OF FRZG
RAIN. HOWEVER, WITH TEMPERTURES AT 900 MB UP ABOVE PLUS 7, THE
RAINDROPS SHOULD BE WARM ENOUGH TO PREVENT FREEZING EVEN IF 32 IS
SEEN.
THE LOW MOVES BY TO THE EAST THURSDAY AFTERNOON AND MOVES AWAY
THURSDAY NIGHT. THERE CONTINUES TO BE SOME WEAK ISENTROPIC LIFT
BEHIND THE LOW, SO CHC POPS ARE CONTINUED INTO THU NIGHT. ASSUMING
THE LOW PULLS OUT AS EXPECTED, THE WEATHER WILL IMPROVE RAPIDLY BY
FRIDAY MORNING WITH SUNSHINE EXPECTED FOR FRIDAY.
&&
.LONG TERM /FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY/...
NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGES WERE MADE TO THE PREVIOUS FCST. HERE IS THE
PREVIOUS DISCUSSION. THE RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE WILL CONTINUE TO
BUILD DOWN FROM THE NORTHWEST FOR SATURDAY AND SUNDAY, WITH ITS AXIS
EXPECTED TO BE OVER OUR REGION ON MONDAY. AS THE HIGH PASSES OFF
THE COAST, A COLD FRONT IS EXPECTED TO APPROACH SLOWLY FROM THE WEST
AND NORTHWEST FOR THE MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK.
&&
.HYDROLOGY...
ALTHOUGH RAIN IS EXPECTED THROUGH THURSDAY, RAINFALL TOTALS SHOULD
BE UNDER 1.5 INCHES. EVEN IF THE 1.5 INCHES FALLS, IT SHOULD BE
SPREAD OUT OVER A 24 HOUR PERIOD, SUCH THAT FLOODING OF STREAMS IS
NOT EXPECTED.
&&
.AVIATION...
CIGS ARE FORECAST TO DETERIORATE AND NE WINDS ARE FORECAST TO
INCREASE AS SYSTEM MOVES VERY SLOWLY NORTHWARD. REGARDING VSBYS, THE
NE FLOW SHOULD KEEP THEM IN THE VFR AREA EVEN FOR A TIME AFTER THE
RAIN BEGINS.
&&
.MARINE...
WE HAVE PUSHED THE TIMING A LTL BIT FURTHER UP, WITH GALES UP OVER
LOWER BAY AND COASTAL WATERS SOUTH OF LITTLE EGG AND GOING UP AT 13Z
ELSEWHERE. 44009 ALREADY GUSTING TO 41 KT AND 44025 GUSTING TO 29
KT. WE HAVE STOPPED UNDERCUTTING WAVEWATCH VALUES AS THEY ARE
VERIFYING. WE HAVE NOTED MODELS AGREEING ON A SOMEWHAT QUICKER EXIT
OF THIS SYSTEM, AT LEAST FOR THE SOUTHERN WATERS, AND WE HAVE BROKEN
OFF THE ATLANTIC COASTAL WATERS SOUTH OF CAPE HENLOPEN AND ENDED THE
GALE WARNING THERE BEFORE DAYBREAK THU. ELSEWHERE, WE HAVE NOT
CHANGED THE END TIME ON THIS FORECAST PACKAGE. AKQ HAS GONE TO STORM
WARNING ADJACENT TO US, AND WE HAVE WORDED OUR SRN ATLANTIC COASTAL
WATERS AS EXPERIENCING OCCASIONAL 50 KT GUSTS AS WE SEE AKQS POINT
BUT DONT THINK THAT UP HERE WE WILL SEE SUCH GUSTS FOR AN EXTENDED
PERIOD. THE MENTION OF OCCASIONAL 50 KT GUSTS IN THE SRN WATERS IS
CONSISTENT WITH THE HIGH WIND WARNING IN EFFECT FOR OUR FAR SOUTHERN
COUNTIES.
WE MAINTAIN THE HIGH SURF ADVISORY.
&&
.TIDES...
WE HAVE BLANKETED THE COAST, RARITAN BAY AND ADJACENT BACK BAYS WITH
AN ADVISORY FOR THIS MORNINGS HIGH TIDE AND A WATCH FOR THE HIGH
TIDES TONIGHT AND WEDNESDAY. TONIGHTS HIGH TIDE IS THE LOWER OF THE
ASTRONOMICAL HIGH TIDES AND WE REALLY DONT EXPECT MODERATE FLOODING
ALONG THE COAST. HOWEVER, WEVE ALREADY HAD A DECENT NERLY FLOW FOR
ABOUT 12 HOURS AS OF EARLY THIS MORNING AND WE HAVE A LITTLE CONCERN
ABOUT BACK BAY DRAINING TONIGHT. WE ALSO HAVE THE PROBLEM OF RAIN
MAKING FLOODING SEEM WORSE. IT PRESENTLY LOOKS LIKE THE FIRST
THURSDAY HIGH TIDE WILL BE THE WORST OF THE THREE.
WE STILL THINK THAT THE NE FLOW WILL PRECLUDE TIDAL FLOODING ALONG
THE CHESAPEAKE BAY AND TIDAL DELAWARE, BUT WE HAVE ISSUED A
STATEMENT ABOUT SPOTTY MINOR TIDAL FLOODING THIS MORNING AND MINOR
TIDAL FLOODING THURSDAY MORNING INTO EARLY AFTERNOON ALONG THE
DELAWARE BAY.
&&
SHORT TERM/HYDROLOGY...STAUBER
LONG TERM...IOVINO
AVIATION/MARINE/TIDES...DELISIHazardous weather outlook, Nov 22, 3:15 AM EST, 7 hours 43 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ 315 AM EST WED NOV 22 2006 DEZ001-MDZ008-012-015-019-020-NJZ001-007>010-012-015>019-PAZ054- 055-060>062-067>071-230815- NEW CASTLE-CECIL-KENT MD-QUEEN ANNES-TALBOT-CAROLINE-SUSSEX- WARREN-MORRIS-HUNTERDON-SOMERSET-MIDDLESEX-MERCER-SALEM- GLOUCESTER-CAMDEN-NORTHWESTERN BURLINGTON-CARBON-MONROE-BERKS- LEHIGH-NORTHAMPTON-CHESTER-MONTGOMERY-BUCKS-DELAWARE-PHILADELPHIA- 315 AM EST WED NOV 22 2006 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF EASTERN PENNSYLVANIA, DELAWARE, THE NORTHERN MARYLAND EASTERN SHORE AND NEW JERSEY, EXCLUDING THE FIVE NORTHEAST COUNTIES. .DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT ALTHOUGH NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME, GUSTY WINDS UP TO 45 MPH ARE POSSIBLE OVER EXTREME SOUTHEAST PENNSYLVANIA, WESTERN AND NORTHERN NEW JERSEY, EXTREME NORTHERN DELWARE AND NORTHEAST MARYLAND TODAY. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE NEEDED. DEZ002>004-NJZ013-014-020>027-230815- KENT DE-INLAND SUSSEX-DELAWARE BEACHES-WESTERN MONMOUTH- EASTERN MONMOUTH-OCEAN-CUMBERLAND-ATLANTIC-CAPE MAY- ATLANTIC COASTAL CAPE MAY-COASTAL ATLANTIC-COASTAL OCEAN- SOUTHEASTERN BURLINGTON- 315 AM EST WED NOV 22 2006 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF EASTERN PENNSYLVANIA, DELAWARE, THE NORTHERN MARYLAND EASTERN SHORE AND NEW JERSEY, EXCLUDING THE FIVE NORTHEAST COUNTIES. .DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT A HIGH WIND WARNING HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR THE COAST OF CAPE MAY NEW JERSEY AND SUSSEX DELAWARE FOR WIND GUSTS AROUND 60 MPH TODAY. WIND ADVISORIES HAVE BEEN ISSUED FOR THE REST OF THE AREA FOR TODAY INTO THIS EVENING FOR WIND GUSTS OF 50 TO 55 MPH. A COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY HAS ALSO BEEN ISSUED FOR TODAY WITH A COASTAL FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT FOR TONIGHT. A HIGH SURF ADVISORY IS IN EFFECT THROUGH TONIGHT ALONG THE COAST AND MODERATE BEACH EROSION IS EXPECTED. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY THE COASTAL FLOOD WATCH AND HIGH SURF ADVISORY IS ALSO IN EFFECT FOR THURSDAY. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTERS ARE REQUESTED TO CALL IN OBSERVED WIND GUSTS IN EXCESS OF 45 MPH. ANZ430-431-450>455-230815- DELAWARE BAY WATERS NORTH OF EAST POINT NJ TO SLAUGHTER BEACH DE- DELAWARE BAY WATERS SOUTH OF EAST POINT NJ TO SLAUGHTER BEACH DE- COASTAL WATERS FROM SANDY HOOK TO MANASQUAN INLET NJ OUT 20 NM- COASTAL WATERS FROM MANASQUAN INLET TO LITTLE EGG INLET NJ OUT 20 NM- COASTAL WATERS FROM LITTLE EGG INLET TO GREAT EGG INLET NJ OUT 20 NM- COASTAL WATERS FROM GREAT EGG INLET TO CAPE MAY NJ OUT 20 NM- COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE MAY NJ TO CAPE HENLOPEN DE OUT 20 NM- COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE HENLOPEN TO FENWICK ISLAND DE OUT 20 NM- 315 AM EST WED NOV 22 2006 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF EASTERN PENNSYLVANIA, DELAWARE, THE NORTHERN MARYLAND EASTERN SHORE AND NEW JERSEY, EXCLUDING THE FIVE NORTHEAST COUNTIES. .DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT A GALE FORCE WINDS ARE EXPECTED THROUGHOUT THE COASTAL WATERS. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY GALE FORCE WINDS COULD CONTINUE INTO THURSDAY, ESPECIALLY ALONG THE NEW JERSEY COAST. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE NEEDED. STAUBER
The office that day
Everything else NWS Philadelphia/Mount Holly issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 22, 2:38 AM EST | High Wind Warning | PHI | Cape May | 16 hr |
| Nov 22, 2:38 AM EST | Wind Advisory | PHI | Atlantic, Burlington, Cape May, Cumberland, Monmouth, Ocean | 19 hr |
Nearby
Coastal Flood Warnings in New Jersey, 2006Coastal Flood Warnings in Delaware, 2006Every coastal flood warning in 2006
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; local storm reports from the same archive; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.