Alert archive / New Jersey / Coastal Flood Warnings in 2006

Coastal Flood Warning 7, NWS Philadelphia/Mount Holly

October 6, 20068 counties in New Jersey; Kent County, New Castle County, Sussex County, Delaware

NWS Philadelphia/Mount Holly issued this coastal flood warning at Oct 6, 2006, 12:48 PM EDT for 8 counties in New Jersey; Kent County, New Castle County, Sussex County, Delaware. It took effect at Oct 6, 2006, 7:00 PM EDT. It was in force for 31 hr. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued
Oct 6, 2006, 12:48 PM EDT (16:48 UTC)
In effect from
Oct 6, 2006, 7:00 PM EDT
Expired
Oct 8, 2006, 2:00 AM EDT
In force
31 hr
Issued by
NWS Philadelphia/Mount Holly

Counties Kent County, DE, New Castle County, DE, Sussex County, DE, Atlantic County, NJ, Burlington County, NJ, Cape May County, NJ, Cumberland County, NJ, Middlesex County, NJ, Monmouth County, NJ, Ocean County, NJ, Salem County, NJ

The radar

The Philadelphia radar (KDIX), 59 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 16:50 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The nearest sounding before it

Phillips Aaf/Abe, MD (KAPG), launched 12:00Z, 4.8 hours before the alert went out and 103 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Phillips Aaf/Abe, MD at 12:00Z on 2006-10-06Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 3 joules per kilogram.LCLEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Phillips Aaf/Abe, MD at 12:00Z on 2006-10-06The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 11 square meters per square second.19395878Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
3 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
0 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
459 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
33 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
11 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
88 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

000 
WHUS41 KPHI 061648
CFWPHI

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
COASTAL HAZARD MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
1248 PM EDT FRI OCT 6 2006

DEZ001>004-NJZ012>014-016-020>027-070200-
/O.UPG.KPHI.CF.A.0002.061006T2300Z-061008T0600Z/
/O.NEW.KPHI.CF.W.0007.061006T2300Z-061008T0600Z/
NEW CASTLE-KENT DE-INLAND SUSSEX-DELAWARE BEACHES-MIDDLESEX-
WESTERN MONMOUTH-EASTERN MONMOUTH-SALEM-OCEAN-CUMBERLAND-ATLANTIC-
CAPE MAY-ATLANTIC COASTAL CAPE MAY-COASTAL ATLANTIC-COASTAL OCEAN-
SOUTHEASTERN BURLINGTON-
1248 PM EDT FRI OCT 6 2006

...COASTAL FLOOD WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM THIS EVENING TO 2 AM
EDT SUNDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MOUNT HOLLY HAS ISSUED A COASTAL
FLOOD WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM THIS EVENING TO 2 AM
EDT SUNDAY. THE COASTAL FLOOD WATCH IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT. 

THE COMBINATION OF HIGH ASTRONOMICAL TIDES DUE TO THE FULL MOON
AND A CONTINUING STRONG NORTHEAST WIND ARE EXPECTED TO GENERATE
HIGH TIDES IN EXCESS OF 7.5 FEET ABOVE MEAN LOWER LOW WATER. 

MINOR TIDAL FLOODING WAS EXPERIENCED WITH THE FRIDAY MORNINGS TIDAL
CYCLE ACROSS THE WARNED AREA. THE ONSHORE WINDS AND THE WATER
LEVELS HAVE INCREASED STEADILY THROUGH THE MORNING AND WILL
CONTINUE THROUGH TONIGHT AND SATURDAY. AS A RESULT, AREAS OF MODERATE
TIDAL FLOODING IS EXPECTED THIS EVENING AND WIDESPREAD MODERATE
FLOODING IS EXPECTED FOR SATURDAY MORNING. ANY RAINFALL THIS
AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT WILL ONLY EXACERBATE THE TIDAL FLOODING,
SINCE IT WILL HAVE DIFFICULTY DRAINING DURING THE TIMES OF HIGH
TIDE. THE ONSHORE WINDS WILL BEGIN TO DIMINISH SUNDAY AND THE
TIDAL FLOODING SHOULD BEGIN TO DIMINISH.

HERE ARE THE TIMES OF HIGH TIDE AND THE WATER LEVEL FORECASTS FOR
AREAS ALONG THE COASTS AND INTO DELAWARE BAY. 

AT SANDY HOOK, NJ...TONIGHTS HIGH TIDE WILL OCCUR AROUND 8:00 PM
WITH WATER LEVELS JUST ABOVE 7.5 FEET ABOVE MEAN LOWER LOW WATER.
THE HIGH TIDE ON SATURDAY MORNING WILL OCCUR AROUND 8:25 AM WITH
WATER LEVELS BETWEEN 7.5 AND 8.0 FEET ABOVE MEAN LOWER LOW WATER.

AT SEASIDE HEIGHTS, NJ...TONIGHTS HIGH TIDE WILL OCCUR AROUND 7:30 PM
WITH WATER LEVELS JUST ABOVE 7.5 FEET ABOVE MEAN LOWER LOW WATER.
THE HIGH TIDE ON SATURDAY MORNING WILL OCCUR AROUND 7:55 AM WITH
WATER LEVELS BETWEEN 7.5 AND 8.0 FEET ABOVE MEAN LOWER LOW WATER.

AT ATLANTIC CITY, NJ...TONIGHTS HIGH TIDE WILL OCCUR AROUND 7:35 PM
WITH WATER LEVELS JUST ABOVE 7.5 FEET ABOVE MEAN LOWER LOW WATER.
THE HIGH TIDE ON SATURDAY MORNING WILL OCCUR AROUND 8:00 AM WITH
WATER LEVELS BETWEEN 7.5 AND 8.0 FEET ABOVE MEAN LOWER LOW WATER.

AT CAPE MAY, NJ...TONIGHTS HIGH TIDE WILL OCCUR AROUND 8:05 PM
WITH WATER LEVELS BETWEEN 7.5 AND 8.0 FEET ABOVE MEAN LOWER LOW
WATER. THE HIGH TIDE ON SATURDAY MORNING WILL OCCUR AROUND 8:30 AM
WITH WATER LEVELS BETWEEN AROUND 8.0 FEET ABOVE MEAN LOWER LOW
WATER.

AT BREAKWATER HARBOR, DE...TONIGHTS HIGH TIDE WILL OCCUR AROUND
8:50 PM WITH WATER LEVELS BETWEEN 7.5 AND 8.0 FEET ABOVE MEAN LOWER
LOW WATER. THE HIGH TIDE ON SATURDAY MORNING WILL OCCUR AROUND 9:10
AM WITH WATER LEVELS AROUND 8.0 FEET ABOVE MEAN LOWER LOW WATER.

AT FENWICK ISLAND, DE...TONIGHTS HIGH TIDE WILL OCCUR AROUND 7:45
PM WITH WATER LEVELS BETWEEN 7.5 AND 8.0 FEET ABOVE MEAN LOWER LOW
WATER. THE HIGH TIDE ON SATURDAY MORNING WILL OCCUR AT 8:10 AM WITH
WATER LEVELS AROUND 8.0 FEET ABOVE MEAN LOWER LOW WATER.

AT REEDY POINT, DE...TONIGHTS HIGH TIDE WILL OCCUR AROUND 11:30PM
WITH WATER LEVELS JUST ABOVE 7.5 FEET ABOVE MEAN LOWER LOW WATER.
THE HIGH TIDE ON SATURDAY MORNING WILL OCCUR AROUND 11:55 AM WITH
WATER LEVELS BETWEEN 7.5 AND 8.0 FEET ABOVE MEAN LOWER LOW WATER.

THE MORE VULNERABLE LOCATIONS THAT EXPERIENCE FLOODING WITH LOWER
WATER LEVELS WILL EXPERIENCE MODERATE TIDAL FLOODING FASTER THAN
OTHER AREAS. THESE LOCATIONS INCLUDE...BUT ARE NOT CONFINED TO...
WEST ATLANTIC CITY...AROUND THE FIFTH STREET BOAT RAMP IN
WILDWOOD...NINTH STREET IN OCEAN CITY AND GREEN STREET IN
TUCKERTON.

A COASTAL FLOOD WARNING MEANS THAT FLOODING IS OCCURRING OR
IMMINENT. COASTAL RESIDENTS IN THE WARNED AREA SHOULD BE ALERT
FOR RISING WATER...AND TAKE APPROPRIATE ACTION TO PROTECT LIFE
AND PROPERTY. STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO ALL HAZARDS FOR THE
LATEST INFORMATION. PAY ATTENTION TO LOCAL OFFICIALS WITH REGARDS
TO APPROPRIATE ACTIONS FOR YOUR AREA. 

$$

NJZ017>019-PAZ070-071-070200-
/O.CON.KPHI.CF.S.0009.061006T2300Z-061008T0600Z/
GLOUCESTER-CAMDEN-NORTHWESTERN BURLINGTON-DELAWARE-PHILADELPHIA-
1248 PM EDT FRI OCT 6 2006

...MINOR TIDAL FLOODING EXPECTED FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH EARLY
SUNDAY...

THE STRONG ONSHORE FLOW WILL CONTINUE THROUGH SATURDAY. THIS WILL
BE DUE TO AN INCREASING PRESSURE GRADIENT BETWEEN LOW PRESSURE
DEVELOPING TO THE SOUTH AND HIGH PRESSURE ANCHORED TO OUR NORTH.
THIS ONSHORE FLOW LIKELY WILL KEEP THE TIDES FROM RECEDING
COMPLETELY FROM THE DELAWARE RIVER...THEREBY ALLOWING THE TIDAL
WATER LEVEL TO BUILD. THIS WILL RESULT IN AREAS OF MINOR TIDAL
FLOODING AT TIMES OF HIGH TIDE FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH EARLY SUNDAY.

HIGH TIDES OCCUR ALONG THE DELAWARE RIVER BETWEEN 1:00 AM AND
4:00 AM SATURDAY...BETWEEN 1:00 PM AND 4:00 PM SATURDAY...AND
BETWEEN 2:00 AM AND 5:00 AM SUNDAY.

IF YOU LIVE IN AN AREA OR TRAVEL IN REGIONS THAT ARE PRONE TO
TIDAL FLOODING...SUCH AS THE ADMIRAL WILSON BOULEVARD IN
CAMDEN...NEW JERSEY...PLEASE TAKE THE EXPECTED FLOODING INTO
ACCOUNT. DO NOT DRIVE THROUGH FLOOD WATERS.

THE STRONG ONSHORE FLOW IS EXPECTED TO DIMINISH SOME DURING THE
COURSE OF SUNDAY. STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO ALL HAZARDS
FOR THE LATEST WEATHER INFORMATION.

$$

OHARA/GORSE
5 follow-up statements
000 
WHUS41 KPHI 070145
CFWPHI

COASTAL HAZARD MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
945 PM EDT FRI OCT 6 2006

DEZ001>004-NJZ012>014-016-020>027-071200-
/O.CON.KPHI.CF.W.0007.000000T0000Z-061008T0600Z/
NEW CASTLE-KENT DE-INLAND SUSSEX-DELAWARE BEACHES-MIDDLESEX-
WESTERN MONMOUTH-EASTERN MONMOUTH-SALEM-OCEAN-CUMBERLAND-ATLANTIC-
CAPE MAY-ATLANTIC COASTAL CAPE MAY-COASTAL ATLANTIC-COASTAL OCEAN-
SOUTHEASTERN BURLINGTON-
945 PM EDT FRI OCT 6 2006

...COASTAL FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 2 AM EDT
SUNDAY...

THE COMBINATION OF HIGH ASTRONOMICAL TIDES DUE TO THE FULL MOON
AND A CONTINUING STRONG NORTHEAST WIND ARE EXPECTED TO GENERATE
HIGH TIDES IN EXCESS OF 7.5 FEET ABOVE MEAN LOWER LOW WATER.

THE DOMINANT WEATHER SYSTEM IS THE HIGH PRESSURE TO THE NORTH OF THE 
REGION. LOW PRESSURE IS STILL TRYING TO DEVELOP OVER THE DELMARVA 
PENINSULA. AS A RESULT, MINOR TO OCCASIONAL MODERATE FLOODING DID 
OCCUR AT THIS EVENINGS HIGH TIDE, BUT THE PREDICTION FELL SHORT BY 
ABOUT A HALF FOOT. HOWEVER, THE LOW PRESSURE WILL DEVELOP OVERNIGHT 
AND INTERACT WITH THE HIGH TO THE NORTH MAINTAINING A TIGHT EAST TO 
NORTHEAST WIND GRADIENT. AS A RESULT, THE NEXT ASTRONOMICAL CYCLE 
WILL BE HIGHER AND AT THAT TIME THE TIDAL DEPARTURES WILL BE ABOUT 
TWO TO TWO AND A HALF FEET ABOVE NORMAL.

ANY RAINFALL THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT WILL ONLY EXACERBATE THE 
TIDAL FLOODING, SINCE IT WILL HAVE DIFFICULTY DRAINING DURING THE 
TIMES OF HIGH TIDE. THE ONSHORE WINDS WILL BEGIN TO DIMINISH SUNDAY 
AND THE TIDAL FLOODING SHOULD BEGIN TO DIMINISH.

HERE ARE THE TIMES OF THE NEXT HIGH TIDES AND THE WATER LEVEL 
FORECASTS FOR AREAS ALONG THE COASTS AND INTO DELAWARE BAY. 

AT SANDY HOOK, NJ...THE HIGH TIDE ON SATURDAY MORNING WILL OCCUR 
AROUND 8:25 AM WITH WATER LEVELS BETWEEN 7.5 AND 8.0 FEET ABOVE MEAN 
LOWER LOW WATER. HIGH TIDE SATURDAY EVENING OCCURS 849 PM WITH A
HEIGHT OF 7.5 TO 8.0 FEET ABOVE MEAN LOWER LOW WATER.

AT SEASIDE HEIGHTS, NJ...THE HIGH TIDE ON SATURDAY MORNING WILL 
OCCUR AROUND 7:55 AM WITH WATER LEVELS BETWEEN 7.5 AND 8.0 FEET 
ABOVE MEAN LOWER LOW WATER. HIGH TIDE SATURDAY EVENING OCCURS 8.18
FEET WITH A HEIGHT 7.0 TO 7.5 FEET ABOVE MEAN LOWER LOW WATER. 

AT ATLANTIC CITY, NJ...THE HIGH TIDE ON SATURDAY MORNING WILL OCCUR 
AROUND 8:00 AM WITH WATER LEVELS BETWEEN 7.5 AND 8.0 FEET ABOVE MEAN 
LOWER LOW WATER. HIGH TIDE SATURDAY EVENING OCCURS 8.22 FEET WITH A
HEIGHT AROUND 7.5 FEET.

AT CAPE MAY, NJ...THE HIGH TIDE ON SATURDAY MORNING WILL OCCUR 
AROUND 8:30 AM WITH WATER LEVELS BETWEEN AROUND 8.0 FEET ABOVE MEAN 
LOWER LOW WATER. HIGH TIDE SATURDAY NIGHT OCCURS AT 8.55 PM WITH A
HEIGHT OF 7.5 TO NEAR 8.0 FEET ABOVE MEAN LOWER LOW WATER.

AT BREAKWATER HARBOR, DE...THE HIGH TIDE ON SATURDAY MORNING WILL 
OCCUR AROUND 9:10 AM WITH WATER LEVELS AROUND 8.0 FEET ABOVE MEAN 
LOWER LOW WATER. HIGH TIDE SATURDAY NIGHT OCCURS AT 9:36 PM WITH A
HEIGHT OF 7.0 TO 7.5 FEET ABOVE MEAN LOWER LOW WATER. 

AT FENWICK ISLAND, DE...THE HIGH TIDE ON SATURDAY MORNING WILL
OCCUR AT 8:10 AM WITH WATER LEVELS AROUND 8.0 FEET ABOVE MEAN
LOWER LOW WATER. HIGH TIDE SATURDAY EVENING OCCURS AT 834 PM WITH
A HEIGHT NEAR 7.0 FEET ABOVE MEAN LOWER LOW WATER.

AT REEDY POINT, DE...THE HIGH TIDE ON SATURDAY MORNING WILL OCCUR 
AROUND 11:55 AM WITH WATER LEVELS BETWEEN 7.5 AND 8.0 FEET ABOVE 
MEAN LOWER LOW WATER.  

THE MORE VULNERABLE LOCATIONS THAT EXPERIENCE FLOODING WITH LOWER
WATER LEVELS WILL EXPERIENCE MODERATE TIDAL FLOODING FASTER THAN
OTHER AREAS. THESE LOCATIONS INCLUDE...BUT ARE NOT CONFINED TO...
WEST ATLANTIC CITY...AROUND THE FIFTH STREET BOAT RAMP IN
WILDWOOD...NINTH STREET IN OCEAN CITY AND GREEN STREET IN
TUCKERTON.

A COASTAL FLOOD WARNING MEANS THAT FLOODING IS OCCURRING OR
IMMINENT. COASTAL RESIDENTS IN THE WARNED AREA SHOULD BE ALERT
FOR RISING WATER...AND TAKE APPROPRIATE ACTION TO PROTECT LIFE
AND PROPERTY. REMEMBER TO MOVE YOUR CAR TO HIGHER GROUND PRIOR TO
THE HIGH TIDE. STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO ALL HAZARDS FOR
THE LATEST INFORMATION. PAY ATTENTION TO LOCAL OFFICIALS WITH
REGARDS TO APPROPRIATE ACTIONS FOR YOUR AREA.

$$

NJZ017>019-PAZ070-071-071200-
/O.CON.KPHI.CF.S.0009.000000T0000Z-061008T0600Z/
GLOUCESTER-CAMDEN-NORTHWESTERN BURLINGTON-DELAWARE-PHILADELPHIA-
945 PM EDT FRI OCT 6 2006

...MINOR TIDAL FLOODING EXPECTED FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH EARLY
SUNDAY...

THE STRONG ONSHORE FLOW WILL CONTINUE THROUGH SATURDAY. THIS WILL
BE DUE TO AN INCREASING PRESSURE GRADIENT BETWEEN LOW PRESSURE
DEVELOPING TO THE SOUTH AND HIGH PRESSURE ANCHORED TO OUR NORTH.
THIS ONSHORE FLOW LIKELY WILL KEEP THE TIDES FROM RECEDING
COMPLETELY FROM THE DELAWARE RIVER...THEREBY ALLOWING THE TIDAL
WATER LEVEL TO BUILD. THIS WILL RESULT IN AREAS OF MINOR TIDAL
FLOODING AT TIMES OF HIGH TIDE FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH EARLY SUNDAY.

HIGH TIDES OCCUR ALONG THE DELAWARE RIVER BETWEEN 1:00 AM AND
4:00 AM SATURDAY...BETWEEN 1:00 PM AND 4:00 PM SATURDAY...AND
BETWEEN 2:00 AM AND 5:00 AM SUNDAY.

IF YOU LIVE IN AN AREA OR TRAVEL IN REGIONS THAT ARE PRONE TO
TIDAL FLOODING...SUCH AS THE ADMIRAL WILSON BOULEVARD IN CAMDEN...
NEW JERSEY...PLEASE TAKE THE EXPECTED FLOODING INTO ACCOUNT. DO
NOT DRIVE THROUGH FLOOD WATERS.

THE STRONG ONSHORE FLOW IS EXPECTED TO DIMINISH SOME DURING THE
COURSE OF SUNDAY. STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO ALL HAZARDS
FOR THE LATEST WEATHER INFORMATION.

$$


EBERWINE
000 
WHUS41 KPHI 070816
CFWPHI

COASTAL HAZARD MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
415 AM EDT SAT OCT 7 2006

DEZ001>004-NJZ012>014-016-020>027-071800-
/O.CON.KPHI.CF.W.0007.000000T0000Z-061008T0600Z/
NEW CASTLE-KENT DE-INLAND SUSSEX-DELAWARE BEACHES-MIDDLESEX-
WESTERN MONMOUTH-EASTERN MONMOUTH-SALEM-OCEAN-CUMBERLAND-ATLANTIC-
CAPE MAY-ATLANTIC COASTAL CAPE MAY-COASTAL ATLANTIC-COASTAL OCEAN-
SOUTHEASTERN BURLINGTON-
415 AM EDT SAT OCT 7 2006

...COASTAL FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 2 AM EDT
SUNDAY...

THE COMBINATION OF HIGH ASTRONOMICAL TIDES DUE TO THE RECENT FULL
MOON AND PERSISTENT STRONG NORTHEAST WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO
GENERATE HIGH TIDES IN EXCESS OF 7.5 FEET ABOVE MEAN LOWER LOW
WATER.

HIGH PRESSURE TO THE NORTH OF THE REGION WILL CONTRAST SHARPLY WITH 
LOW PRESSURE WELL OFF THE NORTH CAROLINA COAST, RESULTING IN THE
STRONG ONSHORE FLOW. THIS MORNINGS HIGH TIDE CYCLE, WHICH IS THE
HIGHER OF THE TWO DAILY HIGH TIDES, WILL PROVIDE TIDAL DEPARTURES
BETWEEN 2 AND 2.5 FEET ABOVE NORMAL.

ANY RAINFALL THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT WILL ONLY EXACERBATE THE 
TIDAL FLOODING, SINCE IT WILL HAVE DIFFICULTY DRAINING DURING THE 
TIMES OF HIGH TIDE. THE ONSHORE WINDS WILL BEGIN TO DIMINISH SUNDAY 
AND THE TIDAL FLOODING SHOULD BEGIN TO DIMINISH.

HERE ARE THE TIMES OF THE NEXT HIGH TIDES AND THE WATER LEVEL 
FORECASTS FOR AREAS ALONG THE COAST AND INTO DELAWARE BAY. 

AT SANDY HOOK, NJ...HIGH TIDE THIS MORNING WILL OCCUR AROUND 8:25 AM 
WITH WATER LEVELS BETWEEN 7.5 AND 8.0 FEET ABOVE MEAN LOWER LOW 
WATER. HIGH TIDE THIS EVENING WILL OCCUR AT 8:49 PM WITH A HEIGHT OF 
7.5 TO 8.0 FEET ABOVE MEAN LOWER LOW WATER.

AT SEASIDE HEIGHTS, NJ...HIGH TIDE THIS MORNING WILL OCCUR AROUND 
7:55 AM WITH WATER LEVELS BETWEEN 7.5 AND 8.0 FEET ABOVE MEAN LOWER 
LOW WATER. HIGH TIDE THIS EVENING WILL OCCUR AT 8:18 PM WITH A 
HEIGHT 7.0 TO 7.5 FEET ABOVE MEAN LOWER LOW WATER. 

AT ATLANTIC CITY, NJ...HIGH TIDE THIS MORNING WILL OCCUR AROUND 
8:00 AM WITH WATER LEVELS BETWEEN 7.5 AND 8.0 FEET ABOVE MEAN LOWER 
LOW WATER. HIGH TIDE THIS EVENING WILL OCCUR AT 8:22 PM WITH A 
HEIGHT AROUND 7.5 FEET.

AT CAPE MAY, NJ...HIGH TIDE THIS MORNING WILL OCCUR AROUND 8:30 AM 
WITH WATER LEVELS BETWEEN AROUND 8.0 FEET ABOVE MEAN LOWER LOW 
WATER. HIGH TIDE TONIGHT WILL OCCUR AT 8:55 PM WITH A HEIGHT OF 7.5 
TO NEAR 8.0 FEET ABOVE MEAN LOWER LOW WATER.

AT BREAKWATER HARBOR, DE...HIGH TIDE THIS MORNING WILL OCCUR AROUND 
9:10 AM WITH WATER LEVELS AROUND 8.0 FEET ABOVE MEAN LOWER LOW 
WATER. HIGH TIDE TONIGHT WILL OCCUR AT 9:36 PM WITH A HEIGHT OF 7.0 
TO 7.5 FEET ABOVE MEAN LOWER LOW WATER. 

AT FENWICK ISLAND, DE...HIGH TIDE THIS MORNING WILL OCCUR AT 8:10 AM 
WITH WATER LEVELS BETWEEN 7.5 AND 8.0 FEET ABOVE MEAN LOWER LOW 
WATER. HIGH TIDE THIS EVENING WILL OCCUR AT 8:34 PM WITH A HEIGHT 
NEAR 7.0 FEET ABOVE MEAN LOWER LOW WATER.

AT REEDY POINT, DE...HIGH TIDE THIS MORNING WILL OCCUR AROUND 11:55 
AM WITH WATER LEVELS BETWEEN 7.5 AND 8.0 FEET ABOVE MEAN LOWER LOW 
WATER.  

A COASTAL FLOOD WARNING MEANS THAT FLOODING IS OCCURRING OR 
IMMINENT. COASTAL RESIDENTS IN THE WARNED AREA SHOULD BE ALERT FOR 
RISING WATER...AND TAKE APPROPRIATE ACTION TO PROTECT LIFE AND 
PROPERTY. REMEMBER TO MOVE YOUR CAR TO HIGHER GROUND PRIOR TO THE 
HIGH TIDE. DO NOT DRIVE THROUGH FLOOD WATERS.

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO ALL HAZARDS FOR THE LATEST 
INFORMATION. PAY ATTENTION TO LOCAL OFFICIALS REGARDING THE 
APPROPRIATE ACTIONS FOR YOUR AREA.

$$

NJZ017>019-PAZ070-071-071800-
/O.CON.KPHI.CF.S.0009.000000T0000Z-061008T0600Z/
GLOUCESTER-CAMDEN-NORTHWESTERN BURLINGTON-DELAWARE-PHILADELPHIA-
415 AM EDT SAT OCT 7 2006

...MINOR TIDAL FLOODING EXPECTED THROUGH EARLY SUNDAY...

THE STRONG ONSHORE FLOW WILL CONTINUE TODAY, AS HIGH PRESSURE TO THE 
NORTH OF THE REGION WILL CONTRAST SHARPLY WITH LOW PRESSURE OVER THE 
WESTERN ATLANTIC OCEAN, RESULTING IN A STRONG ONSHORE FLOW. THIS 
ONSHORE FLOW WILL LIKELY KEEP THE TIDES FROM RECEDING COMPLETELY 
FROM THE DELAWARE RIVER...THEREBY ALLOWING THE TIDAL WATER LEVEL TO 
BUILD. THIS WILL RESULT IN AREAS OF MINOR TIDAL FLOODING AT TIMES OF 
HIGH TIDE TODAY THROUGH EARLY SUNDAY.

HIGH TIDES OCCUR ALONG THE DELAWARE RIVER BETWEEN 1:00 PM AND 4:00 
PM THIS AFTERNOON...AND BETWEEN 2:00 AM AND 5:00 AM EARLY SUNDAY 
MORNING.

IF YOU LIVE IN AN AREA OR TRAVEL IN REGIONS THAT ARE PRONE TO TIDAL 
FLOODING...SUCH AS THE ADMIRAL WILSON BOULEVARD IN CAMDEN NEW 
JERSEY...PLEASE TAKE THE EXPECTED FLOODING INTO ACCOUNT. DO NOT 
DRIVE THROUGH FLOOD WATERS.

THE STRONG ONSHORE FLOW IS EXPECTED TO DIMINISH SOMEWHAT TONIGHT AND 
SUNDAY. STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO ALL HAZARDS FOR THE LATEST 
WEATHER INFORMATION.

$$
000 
WHUS41 KPHI 071752
CFWPHI

COASTAL HAZARD MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
152 PM EDT SAT OCT 7 2006

DEZ001>004-NJZ012>014-016-020>027-080200-
/O.CON.KPHI.CF.W.0007.000000T0000Z-061008T0600Z/
NEW CASTLE-KENT DE-INLAND SUSSEX-DELAWARE BEACHES-MIDDLESEX-
WESTERN MONMOUTH-EASTERN MONMOUTH-SALEM-OCEAN-CUMBERLAND-ATLANTIC-
CAPE MAY-ATLANTIC COASTAL CAPE MAY-COASTAL ATLANTIC-COASTAL OCEAN-
SOUTHEASTERN BURLINGTON-
152 PM EDT SAT OCT 7 2006

...COASTAL FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 2 AM EDT
SUNDAY...

HIGH PRESSURE TO THE NORTH OF THE REGION WILL CONTRAST SHARPLY
WITH LOW PRESSURE OFF THE EAST COAST... RESULTING IN THE STRONG
ONSHORE FLOW. THIS MORNINGS HIGH TIDE CYCLE PRODUCED WIDESPREAD
MINOR TIDAL FLOODING WITH SEVERAL AREAS REACHING MODERATE FLOODING.
ROADS WERE IMPASSABLE FOR SEVERAL HOURS AFTER HIGH TIDE... ESPECIALLY
AROUND WILDWOOD AND ACROSS LONG BEACH ISLAND

THE ONSHORE WINDS SHOULD BEGIN TO DIMINISH SUNDAY AND THE TIDAL
FLOODING WILL DIMINISH. THE NEXT HIGH TIDE CYCLE THIS EVENING
ALONG THE SHORE WILL BRING MORE CONDITIONS SIMILAR TO THIS
MORNINGS. ALL HEIGHTS ARE MEAN LOWER LOW WATER.

HERE ARE THE TIMES OF THE NEXT HIGH TIDES AND THE WATER LEVEL
FORECASTS FOR AREAS ALONG THE COAST AND INTO DELAWARE BAY.

AT SANDY HOOK... NJ...HIGH TIDE THIS EVENING WILL OCCUR AROUND
8:40 PM WITH WATER LEVELS BETWEEN 7.0 AND 7.5 FEET.

AT SEASIDE HEIGHTS... NJ...HIGH TIDE THIS EVENING WILL OCCUR AT
8:18 PM WITH A HEIGHT 6.5 TO 7.0 FEET.

AT ATLANTIC CITY... NJ...HIGH TIDE THIS EVENING WILL OCCUR AT
8:22 PM WITH A HEIGHT AROUND 7.0 FEET.

AT CAPE MAY... NJ...HIGH TIDE THIS EVENING WILL OCCUR AT 8:55 PM
WITH A HEIGHT AROUND 7.5 FEET.

AT BREAKWATER HARBOR... DE...HIGH TIDE EARLY TONIGHT WILL OCCUR
AT 9:36 PM WITH A HEIGHT BETWEEN 7.0 AND 7.5 FEET.

AT FENWICK ISLAND... DE...HIGH TIDE THIS EVENING WILL OCCUR AT
8:34 PM WITH A HEIGHT BETWEEN 6.5 AND 7.0 FEET.

AT REEDY POINT... DE...HIGH TIDE TONIGHT WILL OCCUR AROUND 12:21
AM SUNDAY WITH WATER LEVELS BETWEEN 7.0 AND 7.5 FEET.

A COASTAL FLOOD WARNING MEANS THAT FLOODING IS OCCURRING OR
IMMINENT. COASTAL RESIDENTS IN THE WARNED AREA SHOULD BE ALERT
FOR RISING WATER...AND TAKE APPROPRIATE ACTION TO PROTECT LIFE
AND PROPERTY. REMEMBER TO MOVE YOUR CAR TO HIGHER GROUND PRIOR TO
THE HIGH TIDE. DO NOT DRIVE THROUGH FLOOD WATERS.

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO ALL HAZARDS FOR THE LATEST
INFORMATION. PAY ATTENTION TO LOCAL OFFICIALS REGARDING THE
APPROPRIATE ACTIONS FOR YOUR AREA.

$$

NJZ017>019-PAZ070-071-080200-
/O.EXT.KPHI.CF.S.0009.000000T0000Z-061008T1100Z/
GLOUCESTER-CAMDEN-NORTHWESTERN BURLINGTON-DELAWARE-PHILADELPHIA-
152 PM EDT SAT OCT 7 2006

...MINOR TIDAL FLOODING EXPECTED THROUGH EARLY SUNDAY...

THE STRONG ONSHORE FLOW WILL CONTINUE THROUGH EARLY SUNDAY. AS
HIGH PRESSURE TO THE NORTH OF THE REGION WILL CONTRAST SHARPLY
WITH LOW PRESSURE OVER THE WESTERN ATLANTIC OCEAN... RESULTING IN
A STRONG ONSHORE FLOW. THIS ONSHORE FLOW WILL LIKELY KEEP THE
TIDES FROM RECEDING COMPLETELY FROM THE DELAWARE RIVER...THEREBY
ALLOWING THE TIDAL WATER LEVEL TO BUILD. THIS WILL RESULT IN AREAS
OF MINOR TIDAL FLOODING AT TIMES OF HIGH TIDE THIS AFTERNOON AND
ONCE AGAIN EARLY SUNDAY MORNING. 

HIGH TIDES OCCUR ALONG THE DELAWARE RIVER BETWEEN 1:00 PM AND
4:00 PM THIS AFTERNOON...AND BETWEEN 2:00 AM AND 5:00 AM EARLY
SUNDAY MORNING.

IF YOU LIVE IN AN AREA OR TRAVEL IN REGIONS THAT ARE PRONE TO
TIDAL FLOODING...SUCH AS THE ADMIRAL WILSON BOULEVARD IN CAMDEN
NEW JERSEY...PLEASE TAKE THE EXPECTED FLOODING INTO ACCOUNT. DO
NOT DRIVE THROUGH FLOOD WATERS.

THE STRONG ONSHORE FLOW IS EXPECTED TO DIMINISH SUNDAY AND THIS
WILL REDUCE THE THREAT OF TIDAL FLOODING. STAY TUNED TO NOAA
WEATHER RADIO ALL HAZARDS FOR THE LATEST WEATHER INFORMATION.

$$

OHARA/EBERWINE
000 
WHUS41 KPHI 080052
CFWPHI

COASTAL HAZARD MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
852 PM EDT SAT OCT 7 2006

DEZ001>004-NJZ012>014-016-020>027-080600-
/O.CON.KPHI.CF.W.0007.000000T0000Z-061008T0600Z/
NEW CASTLE-KENT DE-INLAND SUSSEX-DELAWARE BEACHES-MIDDLESEX-
WESTERN MONMOUTH-EASTERN MONMOUTH-SALEM-OCEAN-CUMBERLAND-ATLANTIC-
CAPE MAY-ATLANTIC COASTAL CAPE MAY-COASTAL ATLANTIC-COASTAL OCEAN-
SOUTHEASTERN BURLINGTON-
852 PM EDT SAT OCT 7 2006

...COASTAL FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 2 AM EDT
SUNDAY...

THE ONSHORE WINDS THAT HAVE BEEN ACROSS THE AREA THE PAST FEW DAYS
WILL BEGIN TO SUBSIDE SUNDAY AND THE TIDAL FLOODING WILL THEN
DIMINISH. THIS EVENINGS HIGH TIDES WILL BE OCCURRING OVER NEXT
HOUR OVER THE SHORE AREAS AND INTO THE EARLY MORNING OVER THE
DELAWARE BAY. WIDESPREAD MINOR TIDAL FLOODING WITH AREAS OF
MODERATE FLOODING WILL OCCUR WITH HIS HIGH TIDE. 

THE FOLLOWING LISTS THE TIMES OF HIGH TIDE THIS EVENING WITH ALL
HEIGHTS REFERENCED TO MEAN LOWER LOW WATER.

AT SANDY HOOK... NJ...HIGH TIDE THIS EVENING WILL OCCUR AROUND
AROUND 9 PM. WITH WATER LEVELS BETWEEN 7.0 AND 7.5 FEET.

AT SEASIDE HEIGHTS... NJ...HIGH TIDE THIS EVENING IS OCCURRING AT
THIS TIME WITH HEIGHTS BETWEEN 6.5 TO 7.0 FEET.

AT ATLANTIC CITY... NJ...HIGH TIDE THIS EVENING WILL OCCUR AT
AROUND 9 PM WITH A HEIGHT AROUND 7.0 FEET.

AT CAPE MAY... NJ...HIGH TIDE THIS EVENING WILL OCCUR AROUND 925 PM
WITH A HEIGHT AROUND 7.5 FEET.

AT BREAKWATER HARBOR... DE...HIGH TIDE EARLY TONIGHT WILL OCCUR
AT 9:45 PM WITH A HEIGHT BETWEEN 7.0 AND 7.5 FEET.

AT FENWICK ISLAND... DE...HIGH TIDE THIS EVENING WILL OCCUR AT
9 PM WITH A HEIGHT BETWEEN 6.5 AND 7.0 FEET.

AT REEDY POINT... DE...HIGH TIDE TONIGHT WILL OCCUR AROUND
12:21 AM SUNDAY WITH WATER LEVELS BETWEEN 7.0 AND 7.5 FEET.

A COASTAL FLOOD WARNING MEANS THAT FLOODING IS OCCURRING OR
IMMINENT. COASTAL RESIDENTS IN THE WARNED AREA SHOULD BE ALERT
FOR RISING WATER...AND TAKE APPROPRIATE ACTION TO PROTECT LIFE
AND PROPERTY. REMEMBER TO MOVE YOUR CAR TO HIGHER GROUND PRIOR TO
THE HIGH TIDE. DO NOT DRIVE THROUGH FLOOD WATERS.

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO ALL HAZARDS FOR THE LATEST
INFORMATION. PAY ATTENTION TO LOCAL OFFICIALS REGARDING THE
APPROPRIATE ACTIONS FOR YOUR AREA.

$$

NJZ017>019-PAZ070-071-080900-
/O.CON.KPHI.CF.S.0009.000000T0000Z-061008T1100Z/
GLOUCESTER-CAMDEN-NORTHWESTERN BURLINGTON-DELAWARE-PHILADELPHIA-
852 PM EDT SAT OCT 7 2006

...MINOR TIDAL FLOODING EXPECTED THROUGH EARLY SUNDAY...

THE STRONG ONSHORE FLOW WILL CONTINUE THROUGH EARLY SUNDAY. AS
HIGH PRESSURE TO THE NORTH OF THE REGION WILL CONTRAST SHARPLY
WITH LOW PRESSURE OVER THE WESTERN ATLANTIC OCEAN... RESULTING IN
A STRONG ONSHORE FLOW. THIS ONSHORE FLOW WILL LIKELY KEEP THE
TIDES FROM RECEDING COMPLETELY FROM THE DELAWARE RIVER...THEREBY
ALLOWING THE TIDAL WATER LEVEL TO BUILD. THIS WILL RESULT IN
AREAS OF MINOR TIDAL FLOODING AT TIMES OF HIGH TIDE EARLY SUNDAY
MORNING.

HIGH TIDES OCCUR ALONG THE DELAWARE RIVER BETWEEN 2:00 AM AND
5:00 AM EARLY SUNDAY MORNING.

IF YOU LIVE IN AN AREA OR TRAVEL IN REGIONS THAT ARE PRONE TO
TIDAL FLOODING...SUCH AS THE ADMIRAL WILSON BOULEVARD IN CAMDEN
NEW JERSEY...PLEASE TAKE THE EXPECTED FLOODING INTO ACCOUNT. DO
NOT DRIVE THROUGH FLOOD WATERS.

THE STRONG ONSHORE FLOW IS EXPECTED TO DIMINISH SUNDAY AND THIS
WILL REDUCE THE THREAT OF TIDAL FLOODING. STAY TUNED TO NOAA
WEATHER RADIO ALL HAZARDS FOR THE LATEST WEATHER INFORMATION.

$$


OHARA
000 
WHUS41 KPHI 080532
CFWPHI

COASTAL HAZARD MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
132 AM EDT SUN OCT 8 2006

DEZ001>004-NJZ012>014-016-020>027-080645-
/O.EXP.KPHI.CF.W.0007.000000T0000Z-061008T0600Z/
NEW CASTLE-KENT DE-INLAND SUSSEX-DELAWARE BEACHES-MIDDLESEX-
WESTERN MONMOUTH-EASTERN MONMOUTH-SALEM-OCEAN-CUMBERLAND-ATLANTIC-
CAPE MAY-ATLANTIC COASTAL CAPE MAY-COASTAL ATLANTIC-COASTAL OCEAN-
SOUTHEASTERN BURLINGTON-
132 AM EDT SUN OCT 8 2006

...COASTAL FLOOD WARNING WILL EXPIRE AT 2 AM EDT EARLY THIS
MORNING...

THE COASTAL FLOOD WARNING WILL EXPIRE AT 2 AM EDT EARLY THIS
MORNING. HOWEVER, SOME MINOR TIDAL FLOODING MAY REDEVELOP AROUND
THE TIMES OF HIGH TIDE ON SUNDAY.

$$

NJZ017>019-PAZ070-071-081100-
/O.CON.KPHI.CF.S.0009.000000T0000Z-061008T1100Z/
GLOUCESTER-CAMDEN-NORTHWESTERN BURLINGTON-DELAWARE-PHILADELPHIA-
132 AM EDT SUN OCT 8 2006

...MINOR TIDAL FLOODING EXPECTED THROUGH EARLY SUNDAY...

THE STRONG ONSHORE FLOW WILL CONTINUE THROUGH EARLY SUNDAY. AS
HIGH PRESSURE TO THE NORTH OF THE REGION WILL CONTRAST SHARPLY
WITH LOW PRESSURE OVER THE WESTERN ATLANTIC OCEAN... RESULTING IN
A STRONG ONSHORE FLOW. THIS ONSHORE FLOW WILL LIKELY KEEP THE
TIDES FROM RECEDING COMPLETELY FROM THE DELAWARE RIVER...THEREBY
ALLOWING THE TIDAL WATER LEVEL TO BUILD. THIS WILL RESULT IN
AREAS OF MINOR TIDAL FLOODING AT TIMES OF HIGH TIDE EARLY SUNDAY
MORNING.

HIGH TIDES OCCUR ALONG THE DELAWARE RIVER BETWEEN 2:00 AM AND
5:00 AM EARLY SUNDAY MORNING.

IF YOU LIVE IN AN AREA OR TRAVEL IN REGIONS THAT ARE PRONE TO
TIDAL FLOODING...SUCH AS THE ADMIRAL WILSON BOULEVARD IN CAMDEN
NEW JERSEY...PLEASE TAKE THE EXPECTED FLOODING INTO ACCOUNT. DO
NOT DRIVE THROUGH FLOOD WATERS.

THE STRONG ONSHORE FLOW IS EXPECTED TO DIMINISH SUNDAY AND THIS
WILL REDUCE THE THREAT OF TIDAL FLOODING. STAY TUNED TO NOAA
WEATHER RADIO ALL HAZARDS FOR THE LATEST WEATHER INFORMATION.

$$

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this coastal flood warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Philadelphia/Mount Holly wrote its last area forecast discussion before this coastal flood warning went out at Oct 6, 10:50 AM EDT, 1 hour 58 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Oct 6, 10:50 AM EDT, 1 hour 58 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
1050 AM EDT FRI OCT 6 2006

.UPDATE /THIS AFTERNOON/...
IF THIS WAS ONLY WINTER WITH THIS CURRENT WEATHER SETUP, WE WOULD BE
DEALING WITH SNOW ANYHOW, WATER VAPOR IMAGERY SHOWING A VERY
IMPRESSIVE UPPER-LEVEL TROUGH DIGGING SOUTHWARD TO OUR WEST. AN
UPPER AIR ANALYSIS SHOWS A STRONG UPPER JET ENTRANCE REGION LOCATED
NEAR SOUTHEASTERN PENNSYLVANIA THIS MORNING AND THIS FEATURE WILL
PROBABLY NOT MOVE TO MUCH AS THE SHARP TROUGH SETTLES SOUTHWARD
THROUGH TODAY AND CLOSES OFF INTO AN UPPER LOW TOWARD THE CENTRAL
APPALACHIAN REGION. STRONG LIFT WILL BE MAINLY FOCUSED ACROSS THE
SOUTHEASTERN ZONES AND DELMARVA. THE NORTHWESTERN EDGE OF THE STEADY
RAIN AS BEEN SLIDING SOUTHEASTWARD THIS MORNING, AND THIS TREND IS
DEPICTED TO CONTINUE GRADUALLY THIS AFTERNOON BY THE RUC. THE GOING
FORECAST HANDLES THIS TREND WELL AND ONLY SOME MINOR ADJUSTMENTS
WERE MADE TO THE TIMING.

RAINFALL AMOUNTS HAVE BEEN HEAVIEST ACROSS THE SOUTHERN ZONES WHERE
GENERALLY 1 TO 2 INCHES HAS ALREADY FALLEN THROUGH 14Z. ANOTHER INCH
OR SO IS QUITE POSSIBLE ACROSS OUR SOUTHERN ZONES, WITH MUCH LESSER
AMOUNTS AS YOU GO NORTHWARD. WIDESPREAD FLOODING IS NOT ANTICIPATED,
HOWEVER SOME FLOODING OF POOR DRAINAGE AREAS AS WELL AS SOME PONDING
OF WATER ON ROADS IS QUITE POSSIBLE. WE WILL MONITOR RAINFALL
AMOUNTS AND TRENDS.

REGARDING WINDS...THE PRESSURE GRADIENT CONTINUES TO TIGHTEN UP AS
LOW PRESSURE ORGANIZES TO OUR SOUTH. THE SURFACE LOW IS NOT FORECAST
TO BE THAT STRONG, HOWEVER IT WILL COMBINE WITH A 1036 MB HIGH TO
OUR NORTH. THIS WILL BE PLENTY TO CREATE/SUSTAIN A STRONG ONSHORE
FLOW. THIS INCREASED NORTHEASTERLY FLOW IS ALREADY BEING OBSERVED AS
BUOY 44009 HAS GUSTED TO 45 MPH ALREADY. SOME COASTAL OBSERVING
SITES SHOWING GUSTS TO 48 MPH IN AVALON, NJ, 44 MPH AT LEWES, DE AND
33 MPH AT THE ATLANTIC CITY MARINA. THE GOING WIND ADVISORY LOOKS
GOOD, HOWEVER WE WILL START IT NOW BASED ON SOME CURRENT WIND GUSTS
BEING OBSERVED AT THE COAST AS WELL AS INCREASED THE WIND GUSTS A
BIT MORE IN THE FORECAST.

TEMPERATURES HAVE BEEN LOWERED A COUPLE OF DEGREES FOR MOST OF THE
REGION BASED ON PERSISTENT CLOUD COVER ACROSS THE BOARD AND
CONTINUED RAIN FOR THE CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN ZONES. UPDATED PRODUCTS
SHOULD HIT THE STREET BY 11:30 AM. ANOTHER UPDATE MAY BE ISSUED BY
EARLY AFTERNOON IF ANY HEADLINES CHANGE.

&&

.MARINE...
THE COASTAL WATERS FORECAST WAS UPDATED EARLIER TO BEGIN THE GALE
WARNINGS A BIT SOONER. THE GALE WARNINGS WILL CONTINUE FOR ALL
MARINE ZONES DUE TO A STRONG NORTHEASTERLY FLOW. PEAK WIND GUSTS
SHOULD TOP OUT BETWEEN 40 AND 45 KNOTS, WITH THE HIGHER OF THE GUSTS
BEING OBSERVED OVER THE OCEAN ZONES. SEAS AT BUOY 44009 ARE UP TO 10
FEET AT 13Z. THE SEAS ARE EXPECTED TO BUILD SOME MORE THROUGH THIS
AFTERNOON.

&&

.TIDES...
WE CONTINUE TO LOOK AT NEW DATA AND GUIDANCE THIS MORNING REGARDING
THE COASTAL FLOOD POTENTIAL. WE ARE LOOKING INTO THE POSSIBILITY OF
UPGRADING THE COASTAL FLOOD WATCH TO A WARNING OVER THE NEXT COUPLE
OF HOURS.

&&

.PHI WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
PA...NONE.
NJ...WIND ADVISORY FOR NJZ024-025 UNTIL 10 AM SATURDAY.
  ...COASTAL FLOOD WATCH FOR NJZ012>014-016-020>027 FROM 7 PM
     FRIDAY TO 2 AM SUNDAY.
DE...COASTAL FLOOD WATCH FOR DEZ001>004 FROM 7 PM FRIDAY TO 2 AM
     SUNDAY.
  ...WIND ADVISORY FOR DEZ004 UNTIL 10 AM SATURDAY.
MD...NONE.
MARINE...GALE WARNING FOR ANZ430-431-450>455 UNTIL NOON SATURDAY.
&&

UPDATE...GORSE
MARINE/TIDES...OHARA
Hazardous weather outlook, Oct 6, 5:31 AM EDT, 7 hours 17 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
531 AM EDT FRI OCT 6 2006

ANZ430-431-450>455-DEZ001>004-MDZ008-012-015-019-020-NJZ001-
007>010-012>024-026-027-PAZ054-055-060>062-067>071-070945-
DELAWARE BAY WATERS NORTH OF EAST POINT NJ TO SLAUGHTER BEACH DE-
DELAWARE BAY WATERS SOUTH OF EAST POINT NJ TO SLAUGHTER BEACH DE-
COASTAL WATERS FROM SANDY HOOK TO MANASQUAN INLET NJ OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM MANASQUAN INLET TO LITTLE EGG INLET NJ OUT
20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM LITTLE EGG INLET TO GREAT EGG INLET NJ OUT
20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM GREAT EGG INLET TO CAPE MAY NJ OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE MAY NJ TO CAPE HENLOPEN DE OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE HENLOPEN TO FENWICK ISLAND DE OUT 20 NM-
NEW CASTLE-KENT DE-INLAND SUSSEX-DELAWARE BEACHES-CECIL-KENT MD-
QUEEN ANNES-TALBOT-CAROLINE-SUSSEX-WARREN-MORRIS-HUNTERDON-
SOMERSET-MIDDLESEX-WESTERN MONMOUTH-EASTERN MONMOUTH-MERCER-SALEM-
GLOUCESTER-CAMDEN-NORTHWESTERN BURLINGTON-OCEAN-CUMBERLAND-
ATLANTIC-CAPE MAY-ATLANTIC COASTAL CAPE MAY-COASTAL OCEAN-
SOUTHEASTERN BURLINGTON-CARBON-MONROE-BERKS-LEHIGH-NORTHAMPTON-
CHESTER-MONTGOMERY-BUCKS-DELAWARE-PHILADELPHIA-
531 AM EDT FRI OCT 6 2006

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF EASTERN
PENNSYLVANIA, DELAWARE, THE NORTHERN MARYLAND EASTERN SHORE AND
NEW JERSEY, EXCLUDING THE FIVE NORTHEAST COUNTIES.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

LOW PRESSURE WILL DEVELOP OFF THE CAROLINA COAST THIS AFTERNOON
AND REMAIN THERE INTO SATURDAY. WITH THIS LOW TO OUR SOUTH AND
STRONG HIGH PRESSURE TO OUR NORTH, A SIGNIFICANT NORTHEAST
GRADIENT WILL DEVELOP. A COASTAL FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IS AFFECT.
BESIDES HIGHER THAN NORMAL TIDES, MODERATE TO SEVERE BEACH
EROSION IS POSSIBLE. A WIND ADVISORY HAS ALSO BEEN ISSUED FOR
COASTAL ATLANTIC AND CAPE MAY COUNTIES IN NEW JERSEY ALONG WITH
COASTAL SUSSEX COUNTY IN DELAWARE. WINDS ARE LIKELY TO TOP OUT AT
AROUND 45 MPH. DOWNED TREES COULD OCCUR AT THESE SPEEDS WHEN
COMBINED WITH WET SOILS.

THE HEAVIEST RAINS DURING THE EVENT WILL TAKE PLACE OVER SOUTHERN
NEW JERSEY, DELAWARE, AND THE EASTERN SHORE OF MARYLAND. WHILE
WIDESPREAD FLOODING IS NOT EXPECTED TO OCCUR, NUISANCE TYPE
FLOODING IS LIKELY. ONE TO TWO INCHES COULD ACCUMULATE ACROSS THIS
AREA BY DAYBREAK SATURDAY.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY

WINDS WILL BEGIN TO SUBSIDE SATURDAY AFTERNOON AS THE HIGH
PRESSURE SYSTEM TO OUR NORTH DRIFTS SOUTH OVER THE REGION. THE
THREAT OF COASTAL FLOODING WILL PERSIST INTO SUNDAY. PLEASE REFER
TO OUR SPECIFIC PRODUCTS (NPW, CFW, SPS) FOR FURTHER INFORMATION.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER REPORTS WILL BE HELPFUL DURING THIS EVENT.

KRUZDLO

In the hours before

Special weather statement, Oct 6, 11:43 AM EDT, 1 hour 5 minutes before
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
1143 AM EDT FRI OCT 6 2006

DEZ002>004-MDZ012-015-019-020-NJZ023-024-062200-
KENT DE-INLAND SUSSEX-DELAWARE BEACHES-KENT MD-QUEEN ANNES-
TALBOT-CAROLINE-CAPE MAY-ATLANTIC COASTAL CAPE MAY-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...DOVER...GEORGETOWN...REHOBOTH BEACH...
CHESTERTOWN...CENTREVILLE...EASTON...DENTON...
CAPE MAY COURT HOUSE...OCEAN CITY
1143 AM EDT FRI OCT 6 2006

...GUSTY WINDS AND ADDITIONAL RAIN EXPECTED...

STRONG HIGH PRESSURE, OVER SOUTHEASTERN CANADA AND NEW ENGLAND,
ALONG WITH LOW PRESSURE NEAR THE NORTH CAROLINA COAST, WILL
BOTH CONTINUE TO CREATE A STRONG ONSHORE WIND THIS AFTERNOON,
TONIGHT, AND INTO SATURDAY.

NORTHEAST WINDS WILL AVERAGE BETWEEN 20 AND 30 MPH THIS AFTERNOON
THROUGH TONIGHT. ALONG THE COAST, WHERE A WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN
EFFECT, WIND GUSTS OF 45 TO 50 MPH ARE EXPECTED. AWAY FROM THE
WATER, WINDS WILL GUST CLOSER TO 35 MPH.

THE SAME LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM HELPING TO PRODUCE THE WINDS IS ALSO
RESPONSIBLE FOR THE RAINFALL, WHICH HAS BEEN PERSISTENT. 1 TO 2.5
INCHES OF RAIN HAS ALREADY FALLEN ACROSS THE AREA, AND ANOTHER
INCH OF RAIN IS POSSIBLE INTO TONIGHT. THIS IS LIKELY TO CAUSE
SOME FLOODING OF POOR DRAINAGE AREAS AND CREATE PONDING OF WATER
ON SOME ROADWAYS. IF TRAVELING, LEAVE EXTRA SPACE BETWEEN YOU AND
THE VEHICLE AHEAD OF YOU TO ALLOW MORE ROOM FOR BRAKING. DO NOT
DRIVE ACROSS A ROAD WHICH IS COVERED BY WATER.

THE COMBINED EFFECTS OF THE GUSTY WINDS AND THE RAINFALL COULD
ALSO KNOCK DOWN SOME SHALLOW ROOTED TREES, CAUSING SCATTERED POWER
OUTAGES. THIS IS MORE LIKELY TO OCCUR CLOSER TO THE COAST WHERE
THE WINDS WILL BE THE STRONGEST.

GORSE

The office that day

Everything else NWS Philadelphia/Mount Holly issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Oct 6, 4:32 AM EDTWind AdvisoryPHIAtlantic, Cape May29 hr

Nearby

Coastal Flood Warnings in New Jersey, 2006Coastal Flood Warnings in Delaware, 2006Every coastal flood warning in 2006

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.