High Wind Watch 3, NWS Pittsburgh, PA

Belmont County, OH, Carroll County, OH, Columbiana County, OH, Coshocton County, OH, Guernsey County, OH, Harrison County, OH, Jefferson County, OH, Monroe County, OH, Muskingum County, OH, Noble County, OH, Tuscarawas County, OH, Allegheny County, PA, Armstrong County, PA, Beaver County, PA, Butler County, PA, Clarion County, PA, Forest County, PA, Greene County, PA, Jefferson County, PA, Lawrence County, PA, Mercer County, PA, Venango County, PA, Washington County, PA, Brooke County, WV, Hancock County, WV, Marion County, WV, Marshall County, WV, Ohio County, WV, Wetzel County, WV

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PITTSBURGH PA
220 AM EST THU NOV 30 2006

.SHORT TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/...
POPS FOR TDA HIER THAN PREV MODEL RUNS. RAISED POPS AND AGREE WITH
TIMING OF SHWRS PROVIDED BY AVIATION FCSTR BELOW. ADDED WIND GUSTS
20-25 MPH THIS AFTN, THEN A LULL OVERNIGHT, BEFORE GREAT WIND EVENT
FRI. TOOK AVG OF GFS AND NGM TEMPS (ETA SEEMS WAY TOO HI GIVEN EXPECTED
CLDS AND RAIN.
&&

.LONG TERM /FRI THROUGH THU/...
QUITE A WIND AND THUNDER-STORM FOR FRI. IN BUFKIT, NAM SHOWS SFC WIND
GUSTS DURING FRI: PIT 53, HLG 54, DUJ 55, MGW 55, ZZV 56. (ADD 8 FOR
MPH). WL DO HI WIND WATCH 14Z FRI-05Z SAT WITH STRONG COLD FRONT AND
DEEPENING LOW. MODELS NOW FARTHER WEST AND A BIT SLOWER WITH SURFACE
LOW FRI MOVING ACROSS OHIO. BUT BOTH GFS AND NAM HAVE PRIMARY LOW IN
APPROX SAME POSITION. SOME WRAP AROUND SNOW SHOWERS FRI NIGHT. BOUNDARY
LAYER WIND TOO WSWLY FOR LAKE EFFECT. SURFACE HIGH LOOKS TO BUILD IN BY
SAT, REDUCING COVERAGE OF SNOW SHOWERS. REMAINDER OF EXTENDED WILL
FEATURE BELOW NORMAL TEMPERATURES. BEST CHANCE FOR SNOW SHOWERS NOW
LOOKS TO BE MON WITH REINFORCING COLD ADVECTION AS LOW PRESSURE MOVES
ALONG THE EAST COAST.
&&

.AVIATION...
WEAKNESS IN THE UPPER LEVEL RIDGE PRODUCING SOME SPOTTY PRECIP IN
NORTHERN W VA, AND MORE STEADY RAINS BACK ALONG IND-OH BORDER. TIMING
BRINGS THE WVA SEGMENT AROUND 11Z TO PIT IF IT HOLDS TOGETHER. NEXT
BATCH COULD BE LATE MORNING INTO THE AFTERNOON WITH TEMPO LOWERING OF
CIGS TO AROUND 020 ACCORDING TO CROSS SECTIONS. CROSS SECTIONS AGAIN
SHOWING CIGS RISING AS SOUTHERN PORTS BREAK INTO THE WARM SECTOR
TONIGHT. NORTHERN TERMINALS CLOSER TO NEAR-STATIONARY BOUNDARY CAN
BRING IN -SHRA MID TO LATE MORNING...THEN MORE STEADY PRECIP LATER THIS
AFTN AND OVERNIGHT WITH LOWERING CIGS TO MVFR. WINDS S-SW AROUND 10 KT
WITH SOME GUSTINESS THIS AFTN. WILL BE CONSIDERING POSSIBLE LLWS IN
NEXT ISSUANCE FOR OVERNIGHT AFT 06Z.
&&

.PBZ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
MD...HI WIND WATCH 9AM FRI TO 1159PM FRI FOR MDZ001.
OH...HI WIND WATCH 9AM FRI TO 1159PM FRI FOR
     OHZ039>041-048>050-057>059-068-069.
PA...HI WIND WATCH 9AM FRI TO 1159PM FRI FOR
     PAZ007>009-013>016-020>023-029>032.
WV...HI WIND WATCH 9AM FRI TO 1159PM FRI FOR
     WVZ001>004-012-021>023-041.
&&

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