Alert archive / Kentucky / Tornado Warnings in 2006

Tornado Warning 51, NWS Paducah, KY

April 2, 2006Lyon County, Marshall County, Kentucky

NWS Paducah, KY issued this tornado warning at Apr 2, 2006, 7:56 PM CDT for Lyon County, Marshall County, Kentucky. It was in force for 48 min. 1 report came from inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The outline as issued, with what was reported inside it.

The facts

Issued: Apr 2, 2006, 7:56 PM CDT (00:56 UTC)
Expired: Apr 2, 2006, 8:44 PM CDT
In force: 48 min
Issued by: NWS Paducah, KY
Area: Counties, with a storm outline in the text

Counties Lyon County, KY, Marshall County, KY

The radar

The Paducah radar (KPAH), 49 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 01:00 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What was reported inside it

Time	Report	Where	Remark
Apr 2, 8:22 PM CDT	HAIL 0.75	Kuttawa, KY	LATE REPORT. LSR ISSUED BY WFO PADUCAH KENTUCKY.

Local storm reports filed while the alert was in force, from inside its polygon or its counties.

Did it verify

Not verified. The Iowa Environmental Mesonet's Cow found no qualifying storm report inside this tornado warning while it was in force. That is not proof nothing happened: reports are thin where few people live.

Cow counts a report within 15 km of the polygon while the warning was in force: a tornado for a tornado warning; hail of 1 inch or more, a gust of 58 mph or more or wind damage for a severe thunderstorm warning; a flash flood report for a flash flood warning.

The watch it was issued in

The SPC watch in force over the same counties when this warning went out.

Issued	Product	Office	Lasted
Apr 2, 5:44 PM CDT	Tornado Watch	SPC	7 hr

The nearest sounding before it

Nashville Metro, TN (KBNA), launched 00:00Z, 0.9 hours before the alert went out and 176 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-p

Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.

Hodograph

The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.

Mixed-layer CAPE: 80 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN: -308 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL: 1096 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear: 42 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity: 324 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity: 318 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter: 0.0
Supercell composite: 0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

000 
WFUS53 KPAH 030056
TORPAH
KYC143-157-030200-
/O.NEW.KPAH.TO.W.0051.060403T0056Z-060403T0200Z/

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
TORNADO WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY
756 PM CDT SUN APR 2 2006

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HAS ISSUED A

* TORNADO WARNING FOR...
  LYON COUNTY IN WESTERN KENTUCKY.
  NORTHERN MARSHALL COUNTY IN WESTERN KENTUCKY.

* UNTIL 900 PM CDT.

* AT 755 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
  SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING A TORNADO NEAR SHARPE...OR
  ABOUT 7 MILES SOUTHEAST OF PADUCAH...MOVING EAST AT 40 MPH.

* THE TORNADO IS EXPECTED TO BE...
  NEAR PALMA BY 805 PM CDT.
  NEAR CALVERT CITY AND DRAFFENVILLE BY 810 PM CDT.
  NEAR KUTTAWA BY 830 PM CDT.
  NEAR EDDYVILLE BY 835 PM CDT.
  NEAR CONFEDERATE BY 840 PM CDT.
  NEAR LAMASCO BY 845 PM CDT.

IN ADDITION TO THE TORNADO...THIS STORM IS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING 
GOLF BALL SIZE HAIL AND DESTRUCTIVE STRAIGHT LINE WINDS.

THE SAFEST PLACE TO BE DURING A TORNADO IS IN A BASEMENT. GET UNDER A
WORKBENCH OR OTHER PIECE OF STURDY FURNITURE. IF NO BASEMENT IS
AVAILABLE...SEEK SHELTER ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF THE BUILDING IN AN
INTERIOR HALLWAY OR ROOM SUCH AS A CLOSET. USE BLANKETS OR PILLOWS TO
COVER YOUR BODY AND ALWAYS STAY AWAY FROM WINDOWS.

IF IN MOBILE HOMES OR VEHICLES...EVACUATE THEM AND GET INSIDE A
SUBSTANTIAL SHELTER. IF NO SHELTER IS AVAILABLE...LIE FLAT IN THE
NEAREST DITCH OR OTHER LOW SPOT AND COVER YOUR HEAD WITH YOUR HANDS.

LAT...LON 3691 8849 3702 8849 3706 8842 3706 8834
      3699 8825 3700 8822 3709 8823 3713 8821
      3716 8810 3715 8803 3705 8797 3698 8790
      3692 8801

$$

2 follow-up statements

000 
WWUS53 KPAH 030115
SVSPAH

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY 
813 PM CDT SUN APR 2 2006

KYC157-030123-
/O.CAN.KPAH.TO.W.0051.000000T0000Z-060403T0200Z/
MARSHALL KY-
813 PM CDT SUN APR 2 2006

...THE TORNADO WARNING FOR MARSHALL COUNTY IS CANCELLED...

THE TORNADIC STORM HAS EXITED THE COUNTY.

LAT...LON 3699 8825 3700 8821 3709 8822 3713 8821
      3713 8817 3716 8810 3715 8803 3705 8797
      3698 8790 3692 8801 3692 8819

$$

KYC143-030200-
/O.CON.KPAH.TO.W.0051.000000T0000Z-060403T0200Z/
LYON KY-
813 PM CDT SUN APR 2 2006

...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 900 PM CDT FOR LYON
COUNTY...

AT 810 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR CONTINUED TO 
INDICATE STRONG ROTATION AND A POSSIBLE TORNADO 9 MILES SOUTHWEST OF 
KUTTAWA...OR NEAR KENTUCKY DAM...MOVING EAST AT 50 MPH.

THE POTENTIAL TORNADO WILL BE...
  NEAR KUTTAWA AND EDDYVILLE BY 820 PM CDT.
  NEAR CONFEDERATE BY 825 PM CDT.
  NEAR LAMASCO BY 830 PM CDT.

DO NOT USE YOUR CAR TO TRY TO OUTRUN A TORNADO. CARS ARE EASILY
TOSSED AROUND BY TORNADO WINDS. IF YOU ARE CAUGHT IN THE PATH OF A
TORNADO...LEAVE THE CAR AND GO TO A STRONG BUILDING. IF NO SAFE
STRUCTURE IS NEARBY...SEEK SHELTER IN A DITCH OR LOW SPOT AND COVER
YOUR HEAD.

LAT...LON 3699 8825 3700 8821 3709 8822 3713 8821
      3713 8817 3716 8810 3715 8803 3705 8797
      3698 8790 3692 8801 3692 8819

$$

000 
WWUS53 KPAH 030144
SVSPAH

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE
844 PM CDT SUN APR 2 2006

KYC143-030154-
/O.CAN.KPAH.TO.W.0051.000000T0000Z-060403T0200Z/
LYON KY-
844 PM CDT SUN APR 2 2006

...THE TORNADO WARNING FOR LYON COUNTY IS CANCELLED...

THE STORM HAS MOVED OUT OF THE WARNED AREA...THEREFORE THE TORNADO
WARNING HAS BEEN CANCELED.

LAT...LON 3699 8825 3700 8821 3709 8822 3713 8821
      3713 8817 3716 8810 3715 8803 3705 8797
      3698 8790 3692 8801 3692 8819

$$

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this tornado warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Paducah, KY wrote its last area forecast discussion before this tornado warning went out at Apr 2, 3:00 PM CDT, 4 hours 56 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Apr 2, 3:00 PM CDT, 4 hours 56 minutes before

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY
300 PM CDT SUN APR 2 2006

DISCUSSION...
SEVERAL ISSUES THIS PACKAGE WITH TIMING OF STORMS...MODERATE RISK OF
SEVERE WEATHER...DRY SLOT MOVING INTO THE REGION...ALL WITHIN THE
FIRST 6 HOURS OR SO.

BOTH NAM AND GFS ARE VERY SIMILAR WITH THE SYSTEM TODAY/TONIGHT.
WARM FRONT CONTS TO LIFT NORTHEAST ACROSS THE FORECAST AREA THIS
AFTERNOON. AT 18Z...THE WARM FRONT WAS LOCATED NEAR A LINE FROM
PERRYVILLE MO TO THE EVV AND OWB AREAS ALONG THE OH RVR. EXPECT WARM
FRONT TO MOVE THROUGH THE ENTIRE CWA BETWEEN BY 21Z. STORMS HAVE
REALLY BEGUN TO BLOSSOM ALONG THIS WARM FRONT JUST EAST OF EVV.
THESE STORMS ARE FORMING IN STABLE LOW LEVEL ENVIRONMENT...SO SHOULD
REMAIN ELEVATED WITH MAIN THREAT BEING HAIL AND GUSTY WINDS.

15Z RUC MODEL STILL SUGGESTS A BROKEN SQUALL LINE WILL DEVELOP JUST
TO OUR WEST IN SE MO LATE THIS AFTERNOON...AND THEN MOVE QUICKLY
THROUGH THE ENTIRE FORECAST AREA BEFORE MIDNIGHT. STABILITY AND WIND
FIELDS STILL LOOK SUPPORTIVE OF SUPERCELLS AND LINE SEGMENTS WITH
DESTRUCTIVE WINDS. ALSO...SFC DEW POINTS ARE ALREADY IN THE LOWER
AND MID 60S IN THE WARM SECTOR SOUTH OF THE WARM FRONT. IN
CONTRAST...THE NAM AND GFS KEEP THE SYSTEM RATHER STARVED FOR
MOISTURE...WITH MID LVL DRY SLOTTING HELPING TO KEEP CONVECTION TO A
MINIMUM.

AS OF 1930Z...STLT IMAGES AND AREA WSR-88D RADARS INDICATED STORMS
FIRING RAPIDLY OUT NEAR SGF. THUS...HAVE CHOSEN TO DISCREDIT THE LOW
MOS POPS FROM THE GFS AND NAM MODELS. WILL CONTINUE WITH FAIRLY HIGH
STORM CHANCES THIS EVENING OVER THE ENTIRE REGION...WITH HIGHEST
CHCS FURTHER NORTH CLOSER TO THE GREATER MID LEVEL SUPPORT. AS PER
SPC DISCUSSION...EXPECT ALL TYPES OF SEVERE WEATHER WITH THIS
LINE...ESP DAMAGING WINDS AND HAIL. COULD ALSO BE A FEW STRONG
TORNADOES...ESP IN DISCRETE CELLS AHEAD OF THE LINE...OR BROKEN
AREAS WITHIN THE LINE.

WILL END ALL PRECIP LATER TONIGHT AS SFC FRONT AND UPPER SHORT WAVE
FINALLY MOVE EAST OF THE REGION. HOWEVER...THE MAIN UPPER TROF WILL
NOT COME THROUGH THE REGION UNTIL MONDAY MORNING. EXPECT LOW CLOUDS
AND MAYBE EVEN SOME SPRINKLES WITH THIS SYSTEM...ESP OVER NORTH/EAST
AREAS OF THE FORECAST AREA. HOWEVER...MOST IF NOT ALL AREAS SHOULD
SEE SOME SUN BY LATER IN THE AFTERNOON AS HIGH PRESSURE FINALLY
PUSHES IN FROM THE WEST.

LOOK FOR A DRY AND COOLER PERIOD MON/TUE AS THE SURFACE HIGH BUILDS
IN. FROST/FREEZE MAY EVEN BE A POSSIBILITY TUE/WED MORNINGS...
DEPENDING ON AMOUNT OF WIND MONDAY NIGHT AND THE AMOUNT OF MID
CLOUDS TUE NIGHT.

NOT A LOT OF CHANGES WITH THE EXTENDED. CONTINUED WITH SLGT CHCS
STARTING IN SEMO WED NIGHT WITH INCREASING CHCS THU AND GOOD/BEST
CHANCE THURS NGT. CONTINUE LINGERING CHC INTO FRIDAY. FOR THE
WEEKEND HAD MAJOR DESCREPANCIES BETWEEN THE 00Z SUN GFS AND THE 06Z
SUN DGEX. LEANED TOWARD THE MORE CONSISTENT GFS. THE MAIN PROBLEM IS
SPEED AND PLACEMENT OF THE HIGH PRESSURE. THE DGEX PLACES SFC HIGH
OVER WEST VA. AND RAPIDLY MOVES OFF THE EAST COAST SUNDAY. THE GFS
ON THE OTHER HAND PLACES THE HIGH OVER THE CENTRAL PLAINS THROUGH
THE WEEKEND. THE BIGGEST PROBLEM WITH THIS IS THE WIND DIRECTION IN
THE GRIDS. SINCE THE WIND SPEED ARE NOT EXPECTED TO BE SIGNIFICANT
ANY WAY JUST FOLLOWED THE GFS.

AS FOR TEMPS MINOR TWEAKS HERE AN THERE MAINLY FOR COLLABORATION
PURPOSES. COOLED THINGS DOWN A LITTLE LATE IN THE WEEK AFTER THE
LATE WEEK SYSTEM MOVES THROUGH AND INCREASED CLOUD COVER ROUGHLY
FROM WED THROUGH FRI AM.

&&

.PAH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
KY...NONE.
MO...NONE.
IL...NONE.
IN...NONE.
&&

GM/KH

Hazardous weather outlook, Apr 2, 5:01 AM CDT, 14 hours 55 minutes before

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY
501 AM CDT SUN APR 2 2006

ILZ075>078-080>094-INZ081-082-085>088-KYZ001>022-MOZ076-086-087-
100-107>112-114-031015-
JEFFERSON-WAYNE IL-EDWARDS-WABASH-PERRY IL-FRANKLIN-HAMILTON-
WHITE-JACKSON-WILLIAMSON-SALINE-GALLATIN-UNION IL-JOHNSON-POPE-
HARDIN-ALEXANDER-PULASKI-MASSAC-GIBSON-PIKE-POSEY-VANDERBURGH-
WARRICK-SPENCER-FULTON-HICKMAN-CARLISLE-BALLARD-MCCRACKEN-GRAVES-
LIVINGSTON-MARSHALL-CALLOWAY-CRITTENDEN-LYON-TRIGG-CALDWELL-
UNION KY-WEBSTER-HOPKINS-CHRISTIAN-HENDERSON-DAVIESS-MCLEAN-
MUHLENBERG-TODD-PERRY MO-BOLLINGER-CAPE GIRARDEAU-WAYNE MO-CARTER-
RIPLEY-BUTLER-STODDARD-SCOTT-MISSISSIPPI-NEW MADRID-
501 AM CDT SUN APR 2 2006

...MODERATE RISK OF SEVERE WEATHER THIS AFTERNOON AND THIS EVENING...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTHERN
ILLINOIS...SOUTHWEST INDIANA...WESTERN KENTUCKY AND SOUTHEAST
MISSOURI.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

THERE IS A MODERATE RISK OF SEVERE WEATHER THIS AFTERNOON AND THIS
EVENING.

SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS WILL MOVE THROUGH PARTS OF THE
REGION THIS MORNING. LARGE HAIL IS THE MAIN HAZARD WITH THESE
STORMS.

SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS SHOULD REDEVELOP BY MID AFTERNOON OVER
THE REGION. TORNADOES...DAMAGING WINDS...AND LARGE HAIL ARE
POSSIBLE WITH THESE STORMS.

DURING THE EVENING HOURS...A LINE OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IS EXPECTED
TO QUICKLY MOVE THROUGH THE AREA. DAMAGING WINDS WILL BE THE MAIN
HAZARD...HOWEVER LARGE HAIL AND ISOLATED TORNADOES ARE AGAIN
POSSIBLE.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY

THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE FROM WEDNESDAY NIGHT INTO FRIDAY.
THERE IS THE POTENTIAL FOR MORE SEVERE WEATHER DURING THAT TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS LIKELY ACROSS THE REGION...ESPECIALLY LATE
THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING.

SPODEN

In the hours before

Local storm report, Apr 2, 7:47 PM CDT, 9 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE
747 PM CDT SUN APR 02 2006

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0735 PM     FUNNEL CLOUD     PADUCAH                 37.07N 88.64W
04/02/2006                   MCCRACKEN          KY   PUBLIC

            REPORTED AT 6TH STREET NEAR DOWNTOWN.

&&

SMITTY

Local storm report, Apr 2, 7:48 PM CDT, 8 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE
748 PM CDT SUN APR 02 2006

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0740 PM     TSTM WND DMG     2 N FORT BRANCH         38.28N 87.57W
04/02/2006                   GIBSON             IN   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            POWER LINES DOWN THROUGHOUT COMMUNITY.

&&

SMITTY

Local storm report, Apr 2, 7:49 PM CDT, 7 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE
749 PM CDT SUN APR 02 2006

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0748 PM     HAIL             DAWSON SPRINGS          37.17N 87.69W
04/02/2006  M2.00 INCH       HOPKINS            KY   EMERGENCY MNGR

            WALL CLOUD REPORTED WITH STORM.

&&

SMITTY

Local storm report, Apr 2, 7:50 PM CDT, 6 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE
750 PM CDT SUN APR 02 2006

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0745 PM     HAIL             PORTAGEVILLE            36.43N 89.70W
04/02/2006  M0.88 INCH       NEW MADRID         MO   LAW ENFORCEMENT

&&

SMITTY

Local storm report, Apr 2, 7:51 PM CDT, 5 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE
751 PM CDT SUN APR 02 2006

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0745 PM     HAIL             3 N DAWSON SPRINGS      38.13N 87.49W
04/02/2006  M2.00 INCH       VANDERBURGH        IN   EMERGENCY MNGR

            WALL CLOUD REPORTED WITH STORM.

&&

SMITTY

Local storm report, Apr 2, 7:56 PM CDT, 0 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE
756 PM CDT SUN APR 02 2006

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0736 PM     HAIL             GIDEON                  36.45N 89.91W
04/02/2006  M2.00 INCH       NEW MADRID         MO   BROADCAST MEDIA

            ISOLATED 3 INCH HAIL ESTIMATED WITH STORM.

&&

SMITTY

The office that day

Everything else NWS Paducah, KY issued on the same UTC day.

Issued	Product	Office	Counties	Lasted
Apr 2, 7:03 PM CDT	Tornado Warning	PAH	Crittenden, Livingston	57 min
Apr 2, 7:15 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	PAH	Caldwell, Calloway, Christian, Hopkins, Lyon, Marshall and 1 more	45 min
Apr 2, 7:17 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	PAH	Daviess	73 min
Apr 2, 7:23 PM CDT	Tornado Warning	PAH	Ballard, McCracken	52 min
Apr 2, 7:31 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	PAH	Webster	44 min
Apr 2, 7:39 PM CDT	Tornado Warning	PAH	Webster	30 min
Apr 2, 7:42 PM CDT	Tornado Warning	PAH	Crittenden, Livingston	48 min
Apr 2, 7:50 PM CDT	Tornado Warning	PAH	Hopkins, McLean, Muhlenberg	55 min
Apr 2, 7:55 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	PAH	Todd	35 min
Apr 2, 8:23 PM CDT	Tornado Warning	PAH	Caldwell, Trigg	37 min
Apr 2, 8:31 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	PAH	Crittenden, Livingston	44 min
Apr 2, 8:34 PM CDT	Tornado Warning	PAH	Christian, Todd	56 min
Apr 2, 8:56 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	PAH	Caldwell	35 min
Apr 2, 9:08 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	PAH	Hopkins	44 min
Apr 2, 9:18 PM CDT	Tornado Warning	PAH	Todd	19 min
Apr 2, 9:22 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	PAH	Christian	31 min
Apr 2, 9:43 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	PAH	Muhlenberg, Todd	24 min
Apr 2, 10:27 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	PAH	Calloway	48 min

Nearby

Tornado Warnings in Kentucky, 2006 Every tornado warning in 2006 Tornadoes in 2006

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; local storm reports from the same archive; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.