Alert archive / Kentucky / Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in 2006

Severe Thunderstorm Warning 470, NWS Paducah, KY

July 21, 2006Ballard County, Carlisle County, McCracken County, Kentucky

NWS Paducah, KY issued this severe thunderstorm warning at Jul 21, 2006, 7:29 PM CDT for Ballard County, Carlisle County, McCracken County, Kentucky. It was in force for 46 min. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued
Jul 21, 2006, 7:29 PM CDT (00:29 UTC)
Expired
Jul 21, 2006, 8:15 PM CDT
In force
46 min
Issued by
NWS Paducah, KY
Area
Counties, with a storm outline in the text

Counties Ballard County, KY, Carlisle County, KY, McCracken County, KY

The radar

The Paducah radar (KPAH), 14 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 00:32 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The watch it was issued in

The SPC watch in force over the same counties when this warning went out.

IssuedProductOfficeLasted
Jul 21, 1:00 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm Watch PDSSPC7 hr

The nearest sounding before it

Nashville Metro, TN (KBNA), launched 00:00Z, 0.5 hours before the alert went out and 226 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Nashville Metro, TN at 00:00Z on 2006-07-22Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 9 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Nashville Metro, TN at 00:00Z on 2006-07-22The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity -289 square meters per square second.193958Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
9 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-439 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
1221 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
29 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
-289 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
-85 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this severe thunderstorm warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Paducah, KY wrote its last area forecast discussion before this severe thunderstorm warning went out at Jul 21, 2:18 PM CDT, 5 hours 11 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Jul 21, 2:18 PM CDT, 5 hours 11 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY
218 PM CDT FRI JUL 21 2006

.DISCUSSION...

MAIN CONCERNS ARE CONVECTIVE POTENTIAL OVER THE FIRST 24 HOURS.

THE COLD FRONT IS CURRENTLY POSITIONED JUST NORTHWEST OF THE
CWA...WHILE MAIN MID-LEVEL TROUGH WAS LOCATED FURTHER NORTHWEST OVER
SOUTHEAST IOWA AND NORTHWEST MISSOURI.  ONGOING CONVECTION WILL RUN
ITS COURSE THIS AFTERNOON...WITH PRIMARY WIND DAMAGE THREAT ACROSS
THE EVANSVILLE TRI STATE AREA THIS AFTERNOON...WITH HEAVY RAIN MORE
OF A PROBLEM IN TRAILING BAND OF CONVECTION ACROSS THE SOUTHERN TIP
OF ILLINOIS.  LARGE OUTFLOW BOUNDARY FROM THIS CONVECTION WILL
LIKELY SCOUR OUT THE AIRMASS OVER ALL BUT FAR WESTERN COUNTIES IN
SOUTHEAST MISSOURI.

MODELS ARE OF LITTLE USE TODAY...SO WILL HAVE TO GO IT ALONE FOR
TONIGHT.  IN THE WAKE OF THIS AFTERNOONS CONVECTION THERE WILL BE A
WEDGE OF UNSTABLE SURFACE AIR LEFT OVER SOUTHEAST MISSOURI...AHEAD
OF THE COLD FRONT THAT IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE SLOWLY SOUTHEAST.
SEEING NO SIGN OF NEW CONVECTION TO THE NORTHWEST OVER NORTHERN
MISSOURI...DO NOT THINK MUCH OF THE POTENTIAL FOR ANOTHER ROUND OF
CONVECTION DEVELOPING ON THE HEELS OF THE ONGOING STUFF.

WILL TRY TO FOCUS CONVECTIVE POTENTIAL OVER WESTERN ZONES
TONIGHT...WITH A MORE GENERAL PRECIPITATION THREAT OVER THE
REMAINDER OF THE AREA...SIMILAR TO WHAT IS GOING ON OVER NORTHERN
ILLINOIS RIGHT NOW.  MAY TWEAK POPS DOWN TO LIKELY FOR TONIGHT...BUT
WILL NOT MAKE ANY RADICAL CHANGES AT THIS TIME.  THERE WILL LIKELY
BE SEVERAL UPDATES THROUGH THE EVENING TO DEAL WITH THE WATCH AND
LATEST CONVECTIVE TRENDS.

THE PRIMARY AREA OF PRECIPITATION SHOULD BE OUT OF THE AREA BY 12Z
SATURDAY...BUT THERE WILL BE SOME POTENTIAL FOR AN ISOLATED SHOWER
OR THUNDERSTORM IN THE EASTERN HALF OF THE AREA...MAINLY EARLY
SATURDAY.  WILL LEAVE THE 20-30 POPS GOING FOR SATURDAY.

NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGES BEYOND SATURDAY.

&&

.PAH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
KY...NONE.
MO...NONE.
IL...NONE.
IN...NONE.

&&

DRS
Hazardous weather outlook, Jul 21, 11:25 AM CDT, 8 hours 4 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY
1125 AM CDT FRI JUL 21 2006

ILZ075>078-080>094-INZ081-082-085>088-KYZ001>022-MOZ076-086-087-
100-107>112-114-221630-
JEFFERSON-WAYNE IL-EDWARDS-WABASH-PERRY IL-FRANKLIN-HAMILTON-
WHITE-JACKSON-WILLIAMSON-SALINE-GALLATIN-UNION IL-JOHNSON-POPE-
HARDIN-ALEXANDER-PULASKI-MASSAC-GIBSON-PIKE-POSEY-VANDERBURGH-
WARRICK-SPENCER-FULTON-HICKMAN-CARLISLE-BALLARD-MCCRACKEN-GRAVES-
LIVINGSTON-MARSHALL-CALLOWAY-CRITTENDEN-LYON-TRIGG-CALDWELL-
UNION KY-WEBSTER-HOPKINS-CHRISTIAN-HENDERSON-DAVIESS-MCLEAN-
MUHLENBERG-TODD-PERRY MO-BOLLINGER-CAPE GIRARDEAU-WAYNE MO-CARTER-
RIPLEY-BUTLER-STODDARD-SCOTT-MISSISSIPPI-NEW MADRID-
1125 AM CDT FRI JUL 21 2006

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTHERN
ILLINOIS...SOUTHWEST INDIANA...WESTERN KENTUCKY AND SOUTHEAST
MISSOURI.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

THERE IS A MODERATE RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS THE ENTIRE
AREA TODAY. DAMAGING WINDS AND LARGE HAIL ARE THE MAIN
THREATS...WITH SIGNIFICANT WIND DAMAGE POSSIBLE DUE TO THE LARGE
AMOUNT OF INSTABILITY AND WIND SHEAR IN THE ATMOSPHERE.

SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL BEGIN MOVING INTO THE
AREA EARLY THIS AFTERNOON ACROSS PORTIONS OF SOUTHEAST
MISSOURI...SOUTHERN ILLINOIS AND SOUTHWEST INDIANA. THE THREAT FOR
THUNDERSTORMS WILL MOVE SOUTH ACROSS THE REST OF THE AREA LATER
THIS AFTERNOON AND THIS EVENING.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY

THERE IS A LINGERING CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS SATURDAY...
HOWEVER...NO WIDESPREAD SEVERE WEATHER IS ANTICIPATED AT THIS
TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVIATION WILL LIKELY BE NEEDED THIS AFTERNOON AND
TONIGHT.

In the hours before

Local storm report, Jul 21, 5:55 PM CDT, 1 hour 34 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE
555 PM CDT FRI JUL 21 2006

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0145 PM     TSTM WND DMG     3 N PERRYVILLE          37.77N 89.87W
07/21/2006                   PERRY              MO   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            SHERIFF OFFICE REPORTED TREES DOWN ON HIGHWAY 5...ABOUT 3
            MILES NORTH OF PERRYVILLE

&&

JG
Local storm report, Jul 21, 6:16 PM CDT, 1 hour 13 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE
616 PM CDT FRI JUL 21 2006

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0315 PM     TSTM WND DMG     BENTON                  36.85N 88.36W
07/21/2006                   MARSHALL           KY   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            SEVERAL TREES DOWN ACROSS THE COUNTY...ROOF BLOWN OFF
            MOBILE HOME NEAR OAK LEVEL HIGHWAY

&&

JG
Local storm report, Jul 21, 6:17 PM CDT, 1 hour 12 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE
617 PM CDT FRI JUL 21 2006

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0305 PM     TSTM WND DMG     SMITHLAND               37.14N 88.40W
07/21/2006                   LIVINGSTON         KY   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            TREES DOWN ACROSS THE COUNTY

&&

JG
Local storm report, Jul 21, 6:21 PM CDT, 1 hour 8 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE
621 PM CDT FRI JUL 21 2006

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0230 PM     TSTM WND DMG     SEBREE                  37.60N 87.53W
07/21/2006                   WEBSTER            KY   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            TREES DOWN IN NORTHERN PART OF THE COUNTY

&&

JG
Local storm report, Jul 21, 6:23 PM CDT, 1 hour 6 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE
623 PM CDT FRI JUL 21 2006

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0310 PM     TSTM WND DMG     MADISONVILLE            37.34N 87.51W
07/21/2006                   HOPKINS            KY   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            TREES DOWN COUNTY WIDE...ESPECIALLY SOUTH OF MADISONVILLE
            AND JUST NORTHWEST OF MADISONVILLE

&&

JG
Local storm report, Jul 21, 6:38 PM CDT, 51 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE
638 PM CDT FRI JUL 21 2006

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0130 PM     TSTM WND DMG     MCLEANSBORO             38.09N 88.53W
07/21/2006                   HAMILTON           IL   EMERGENCY MNGR

            TREES DOWN ACROSS THE COUNTY...TREE FELL UPON AND
            DESTROYED A MOBILE HOME IN MCLEANSBORO

&&

JG

The office that day

Everything else NWS Paducah, KY issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jul 21, 7:26 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPAHFulton, Hickman64 min
Jul 21, 7:40 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPAHGraves50 min
Jul 21, 8:24 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPAHCaldwell, Lyon, Trigg51 min
Jul 21, 8:37 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPAHChristian, Todd53 min
Jul 21, 7:09 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPAHNew Madrid36 min

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in Kentucky, 2006Every severe thunderstorm warning in 2006

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.