Tornado Warning 35, NWS Norman, OK

000 
WWUS54 KOUN 280037
SVSOUN

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK
636 PM CST MON NOV 27 2006

OKC047-280100-
/O.CON.KOUN.TO.W.0035.000000T0000Z-061128T0100Z/
GARFIELD OK-
636 PM CST MON NOV 27 2006

...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 700 PM CST FOR GARFIELD
COUNTY...

AT 636 PM CST...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR DETECTED A
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING A TORNADO 7 MILES SOUTHWEST 
OF FAIRMONT...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 30 MPH.  THIS STORM IS MOVING ALONG
A FRONTAL BOUNDARY AND MAY PRODUCE A TORNADO AT ANY TIME.  

* LOCATIONS IN THE WARNING INCLUDE BRECKENRIDGE...FAIRMONT AND
  GARBER.

LAT...LON 3632 9788 3625 9772 3643 9753 3650 9775

$$

000 
WWUS54 KOUN 280051
SVSOUN

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK
650 PM CST MON NOV 27 2006

OKC047-280100-
/O.CON.KOUN.TO.W.0035.000000T0000Z-061128T0100Z/
GARFIELD OK-
650 PM CST MON NOV 27 2006

...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 700 PM CST FOR GARFIELD
COUNTY...

AT 650 PM CST...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR DETECTED A
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING A TORNADO 
2 MILES SOUTH OF BRECKENRIDGE.  RECENT RADAR DATA SUGGEST THE 
ROTATION IN THE STORM HAS WEAKENED DURING THE PAST 10 MINUTES.  
HOWEVER...THE STORM REMAINS NEAR A FRONTAL BOUNDARY AND AN INCREASE 
IN ROTATION IS STILL POSSIBLE AS THE STORM MOVES ACROSS NORTHEAST 
GARFIELD COUNTY.  

* LOCATIONS IN THE WARNING INCLUDE BRECKENRIDGE AND GARBER.

LAT...LON 3635 9774 3632 9760 3646 9747 3652 9764

$$

000 
WWUS54 KOUN 280059
SVSOUN

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK
655 PM CST MON NOV 27 2006

OKC047-280105-
/O.EXP.KOUN.TO.W.0035.000000T0000Z-061128T0100Z/
GARFIELD OK-
655 PM CST MON NOV 27 2006

...THE TORNADO WARNING FOR GARFIELD COUNTY EXPIRES AT 700 PM CST...

AT 655 PM...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED THE
STORM 4 MILES NORTHEAST OF BRECKENRIDGE CONTINUES TO WEAKEN AND 
THE TORNADO WARNING FOR GARFIELD COUNTY WILL BE ALLOWED TO EXPIRE AT 
7 PM.

LAT...LON 3635 9774 3632 9760 3646 9747 3652 9764

$$

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK
327 PM CST MON NOV 27 2006

.DISCUSSION...
MAIN FOCUS FOR THIS FORECAST WAS TONIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY WITH
POSSIBLE WINTER PRECIPITATION. SHWRS/TSTMS MOVING NE ACROSS FA
TODAY. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND A FEW TSTMS WILL CONT TO BE POSSIBLE
TONIGHT AS SHORTWAVE... CURRENTLY MOVING INTO NEW MEXICO... MOVES
ACROSS THE CENTRAL/SOUTHERN PLAINS. COLD FRONT THAT MOVED INTO
NORTHERN PORTIONS OF FA THIS MORNING HAS STALLED AND IS BEGINNING TO
LIFT NORTH AS A WARM FRONT AS PRESSURE FALLS INCREASE IN THE LEE OF
THE ROCKIES. WARM FRONT WILL CONT TO LIFT NORTH THIS EVENING WHICH
COULD MAKE LOW TEMPS IN NW OK OCCUR THIS EVENING WITH TEMPS
INCREASING A FEW DEGREES OVERNIGHT. AREAS OF FOG WILL BE LIKELY
TONIGHT NORTH OF THE BNDRY AS WARM MOIST AIR ADVECTS NORTHWARD...
WITH SOME LOCALLY DENSE FOG POSSIBLE. WARM TEMPS WILL CONT TUESDAY
WITH A SMALL CHANCE OF SHWRS/TSTMS IN EASTERN PORTIONS OF FA AS
SHORTWAVE EXITS REGION.

COLD FRONT USHERING IN THE ARCTIC AIRMASS STILL EXPECTED TO MOVE
ACROSS THE REGION WEDNESDAY. LATEST MODEL RUNS HAVE SLOWED DOWN THE
PASSAGE OF THE FRONT. HOWEVER... WITH THE SHALLOW COLD AIRMASS
ALREADY IN PLACE JUST TO THE NORTH OF US AND THE STRENGTH OF THE
COLD AIR BEHIND THE FRONT BELIEVE BOUNDARY WILL MOVE QUICKLY THROUGH
THE AREA... WITH FRONT IN NW OKLAHOMA BY 12Z... OKC BY AROUND 18Z...
AND IN SE PARTS OF THE FA BY 0Z. HIGHS ACROSS APPROXIMATELY THE NW
HALF OF FORECAST AREA WILL LIKELY BE REACHED DURING THE MORNING
HOURS WEDNESDAY WITH FALLING TEMPS IN THE AFTN. MODELS SEEM TO BE
REASONABLE WITH THE UPR PATTERN FOR WED/THU... WITH UPR TROUGH
MOVING ACROSS THE REGION WED NIGHT/THU. WITH THE COLD ARCTIC AIR
MOVING INTO THE AREA... WINTER PRECIP WILL LIKELY AFFECT PARTS OF
THE FA WED NIGHT INTO THURSDAY. THERE ARE STILL UNCERTAINTIES IN
TIMING AND TYPE OF PRECIP THAT WILL OCCUR. HOWEVER... APPEARS THE
BEST CHANCE FOR ANY SIGNIFICANT WINTER PRECIP WILL BE ACROSS SE
PORTIONS OF FA... MAINLY ALONG AND SOUTHEAST OF INTERSTATE 44. SOME
WINTER PRECIP WILL BE POSSIBLE ACROSS THE REST OF THE AREA.
HOWEVER... THIS PRECIP WILL LIKELY BE LIGHT. DRY AIR AT MID LVLS IS
EXPECTED TO MOVE INTO THE REGION DURING THIS PERIOD WHICH MAY HINDER
THE POSSIBILITY OF ANY HEAVY PRECIP. FREEZING RAIN AND SLEET MAY BE
THE MAIN IMPACTS... THEN CHANGING OVER TO SNOW BEFORE ENDING. FOR
FURTHER DETAILS... REFER TO THE SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT /SPSOUN/.
THE COLD AIR ADVECTION AND CLD COVER WILL LIKELY KEEP TEMPS FROM
RISING MUCH ON THURSDAY. DECREASING WINDS AND CLOUD COVER WILL
LIKELY LEAD TO THE COLDEST NIGHT SO FAR THIS SEASON THURSDAY
NIGHT... WITH LOWS IN THE SINGLE DIGITS IN NW OK TO THE LOW 20S IN
SE PORTIONS OF FA.

AFTER THURSDAY... TEMPS WILL REMAIN COOL AS SFC RIDGE REMAINS OVER
THE AREA. NO MAJOR CHANGES TO EXTENDED DUE TO FOCUS ON TONIGHT
THROUGH DAY 4.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
OKLAHOMA CITY OK  58  73  59  61 /  50  10  20  50
HOBART OK         53  75  53  55 /  30  10  10  30
WICHITA FALLS TX  58  79  61  65 /  30  10  10  50
GAGE OK           48  70  39  40 /  20   0  10  20
PONCA CITY OK     56  72  55  57 /  60  20  20  50
DURANT OK         60  76  66  74 /  50  20  20  60

&&

.OUN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...NONE.
TX...NONE.
&&

09/25

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK
1200 PM CST MON NOV 27 2006

OKZ004>048-050>052-TXZ083>090-281300-
HARPER-WOODS-ALFALFA-GRANT-KAY-ELLIS-WOODWARD-MAJOR-GARFIELD-NOBLE-
ROGER MILLS-DEWEY-CUSTER-BLAINE-KINGFISHER-LOGAN-PAYNE-BECKHAM-
WASHITA-CADDO-CANADIAN-OKLAHOMA-LINCOLN-GRADY-MCCLAIN-CLEVELAND-
POTTAWATOMIE-SEMINOLE-HUGHES-HARMON-GREER-KIOWA-JACKSON-TILLMAN-
COMANCHE-STEPHENS-GARVIN-MURRAY-PONTOTOC-COAL-COTTON-JEFFERSON-
CARTER-JOHNSTON-ATOKA-LOVE-MARSHALL-BRYAN-HARDEMAN-FOARD-WILBARGER-
WICHITA-KNOX-BAYLOR-ARCHER-CLAY-
1200 PM CST MON NOV 27 2006

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK COVERS NORTHERN...WESTERN...
CENTRAL...AND SOUTHERN OKLAHOMA...AND WESTERN NORTH TEXAS.

.DAY ONE...
THUNDERSTORM OUTLOOK...
SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ARE UNLIKELY THROUGH TONIGHT.

DISCUSSION...
A FEW THUNDERSTORMS MAY DEVELOP THROUGH TONIGHT AS AN UPPER LEVEL
DISTURBANCE AFFECTS THE REGION. INSTABILITY IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN
SUFFICIENTLY LOW TO PREVENT SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS.

PROBABILITY TABLE...
VALID THROUGH 700 AM CST TUESDAY NOV 28.
PROBABILITY OF THUNDERSTORMS OCCURRING IN THE
              NWS NORMAN COUNTY WARNING AREA...30 PERCENT.
PROBABILITY OF SEVERE STORMS IF STORMS OCCUR... 5 PERCENT.

OTHER HAZARDOUS WEATHER...
AREAS OF FOG WILL REDUCE VISIBILITY AT TIMES THIS AFTERNOON TO 1/2 MILE IN
NORTHWEST OKLAHOMA.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY...

THUNDERSTORM OUTLOOK...
THUNDERSTORMS ARE MOST LIKELY ON WEDNESDAY AS A STRONG COLD FRONT
MOVES THROUGH THE REGION. A FEW STRONG TO SEVERE STORMS CAN NOT BE
RULED OUT...ESPECIALLY ACROSS SOUTH CENTRAL AND SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA.

OTHER HAZARDOUS WEATHER...
ELEVATED FIRE DANGER WILL AFFECT THE WESTERN THIRD OF OKLAHOMA AND
PARTS OF NORTH TEXAS ON TUESDAY AS WARMER TEMPERATURES AND LOWER
HUMIDITIES DEVELOP OVER THE AREA.

A SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT HAS BEEN ISSUED WITH DETAILS REGARDING
THE ARRIVAL OF MUCH COLDER WEATHER ON WEDNESDAY...AND THE
POSSIBILITY OF A WINTER STORM WEDNESDAY NIGHT AND THURSDAY.

THE NEXT SCHEDULED HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK WILL BE ISSUED AT 7 AM
TUESDAY.

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK
346 PM CST MON NOV 27 2006

OKZ021-272215-
BECKHAM OK-
346 PM CST MON NOV 27 2006

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY...

THIS SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY IS FOR BECKHAM COUNTY.

A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WAS LOCATED 14 MILES SOUTH OF ERICK AT 346 PM
CST...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 25 MPH. SMALL HAIL IS LIKELY WITH THIS
STORM.

STORM INTENSITY IS INCREASING AND SEVERE WEATHER MAY DEVELOP...WITH
LARGE HAIL THE PRIMARY CONCERN.

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK
350 PM CST MON NOV 27 2006

OKZ004>048-050>052-TXZ083>090-281200-
ALFALFA-ARCHER-ATOKA-BAYLOR-BECKHAM-BLAINE-BRYAN-CADDO-CANADIAN-
CARTER-CLAY-CLEVELAND-COAL-COMANCHE-COTTON-CUSTER-DEWEY-ELLIS-FOARD-
GARFIELD-GARVIN-GRADY-GRANT-GREER-HARDEMAN-HARMON-HARPER-HUGHES-
JACKSON-JEFFERSON-JOHNSTON-KAY-KINGFISHER-KIOWA-KNOX-LINCOLN-LOGAN-
LOVE-MAJOR-MARSHALL-MCCLAIN-MURRAY-NOBLE-OKLAHOMA-PAYNE-PONTOTOC-
POTTAWATOMIE-ROGER MILLS-SEMINOLE-STEPHENS-TILLMAN-WASHITA-
WICHITA-WILBARGER-WOODS-WOODWARD-
350 PM CST MON NOV 27 2006

...FRIGID COLD BY MIDWEEK WITH SOME ICE AND SNOW...

ARCTIC AIR CONTINUES TO EXPAND...NOW COVERING NEARLY THE WESTERN ONE
HALF OF CANADA. THE JET STREAM IS VERY FAVORABLE FOR BRINGING THIS
AIR INTO OKLAHOMA AND WESTERN NORTH TEXAS BEGINNING WEDNESDAY. BY
FAR...THIS WILL BE THE COLDEST AIR TO VISIT THE SOUTHERN PLAINS YET
THIS FALL. PARTS OF THE REGION WILL SEE TEMPERATURES REMAIN BELOW
FREEZING FOR UP TO 48 HOURS BETWEEN WEDNESDAY AND FRIDAY. DURING
THAT PERIOD...WIND CHILL VALUES WILL APPROACH ZERO DEGREES IN
NORTHWEST OKLAHOMA...AND 10 TO 15 DEGREES ABOVE ZERO ELSEWHERE.

THE INITIAL SURGE OF ARCTIC AIR IS EXPECTED TO ARRIVE IN NORTHWEST
OKLAHOMA EARLY WEDNESDAY...REACHING CENTRAL OKLAHOMA BY NOON...AND
THE RED RIVER AREA BY EARLY EVENING. TEMPERATURES WILL BE WARM
IN ADVANCE OF THE FRONT...BUT WILL FALL DRAMATICALLY AFTER THE FRONT
PASSES. PEOPLE WILL NEED TO PLAN AHEAD TO AVOID BEING CAUGHT IN THE
COLD.

ICE AND SNOW ARE ALSO LIKELY TO AFFECT PARTS OF THE REGION...
ESPECIALLY WEDNESDAY NIGHT AND THURSDAY. THE COLD FRONT WILL MAKE
ONLY SLOW PROGRESS THROUGH EASTERN OKLAHOMA AND NORTHEAST
TEXAS...ALLOWING AN UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE TO CATCH UP TO AND
INTERACT WITH THE FRONT. THIS WILL PLACE SOUTHEAST AND SOUTH CENTRAL
OKLAHOMA IN THE MOST FAVORABLE AREA FOR ACCUMULATING PRECIPITATION.
RAIN AND THUNDERSTORMS WEDNESDAY NIGHT WILL GRADUALLY TRANSITION TO
LIGHT FREEZING RAIN...AND THEN SLEET AND SNOW THROUGHOUT THE DAY
THURSDAY. ONE OR TWO INCHES OF ICE AND SNOW ACCUMULATION WILL BE
POSSIBLE. THIS WILL LIKELY AFFECT TRAVEL GENERALLY SOUTH AND EAST OF
NORMAN. ELSEWHERE...VERY LIGHT SLEET AND SNOW ARE EXPECTED...WITH
MAINLY A DUSTING ON THE GROUND. THIS FORECAST WILL BE FINE TUNED
WITH TIME...AS THE LOCATION OF THE FRONT AND UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE
BECOME BETTER DEFINED. IF THESE FEATURES WERE TO MOVE SOMEWHAT
SLOWER...THEN ICE AND SNOW ACCUMULATIONS MAY EXTENDED FARTHER WEST
INTO CENTRAL OKLAHOMA AND WESTERN NORTH TEXAS.

RESIDENTS OF OKLAHOMA AND NORTHERN TEXAS SHOULD BE PREPARED FOR
SIGNIFICANTLY COLDER WEATHER BY WEDNESDAY... AND LISTEN TO THE
LATEST WEATHER INFORMATION REGARDING THE TRACK AND INTENSITY OF THE
ICE AND SNOW THAT IS EXPECTED TO FALL.

OUN

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK
410 PM CST MON NOV 27 2006

OKZ017-023-272230-
BLAINE OK-CADDO OK-
410 PM CST MON NOV 27 2006

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY...

THIS SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY IS FOR BLAINE AND CADDO COUNTIES.

A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WAS LOCATED 10 MILES SOUTH OF HYDRO AT 410 PM
CST...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 25 MPH.

BRIEF HEAVY RAIN...SMALL HAIL...AND WIND GUSTS TO 35 MPH WILL
ACCOMPANY THIS STORM AS IT CROSSES INTERSTATE 40 BETWEEN HYDRO AND
BRIDGEPORT.

BURKE

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK
415 PM CST MON NOV 27 2006

OKZ021-272245-
BECKHAM OK-
415 PM CST MON NOV 27 2006

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY...

THIS SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY IS FOR BECKHAM COUNTY.

A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WAS LOCATED 4 MILES SOUTH OF ERICK AT 415 PM
CST...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 20 MPH.

BRIEF HEAVY RAIN...SMALL HAIL...AND WINDS AROUND 40 MPH ARE LIKELY
AS THIS STORM CROSSES INTERSTATE 40 NEAR ERICK.

BURKE

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK
435 PM CST MON NOV 27 2006

OKZ014-021-272300-
ROGER MILLS OK-BECKHAM OK-
435 PM CST MON NOV 27 2006

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY...

THIS SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY IS FOR BECKHAM AND ROGER MILLS
COUNTIES.

A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WAS LOCATED 8 MILES WEST OF SAYRE AT 435 PM
CST...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 20 MPH.

THIS STORM WILL PRODUCE SMALL HAIL WHICH MAY BRIEFLY COVER THE
GROUND. BRIEF HEAVY RAIN AND WINDS AROUND 40 MPH ARE ALSO LIKELY IN
AREAS NORTH OF SAYRE ALONG HIGHWAY 283 TOWARD THE SOUTH SIDE OF
CHEYENNE.

BURKE

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK
600 PM CST MON NOV 27 2006

OKZ012-018-280030-
GARFIELD OK-KINGFISHER OK-
600 PM CST MON NOV 27 2006

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY...

THIS SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY IS FOR GARFIELD AND KINGFISHER
COUNTIES.

A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WAS LOCATED 5 MILES WEST OF HENNESSEY AT 600 PM
CST...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 35 MPH.  THIS STORM HAS SHOWN SOME INDICATION
OF LOW LEVEL ROTATION AND SEVERE WEATHER MAY DEVELOP.  PEOPLE
IN WAUKOMIS...FAIRMONT AND GARBER SHOULD MONITOR THIS STORM CLOSELY.