Alert archive / New York / Winter Storm Warnings in 2006

Winter Storm Warning 4, NWS New York, NY

March 1, 20066 counties in New York; Hudson County, Passaic County, New Jersey

NWS New York, NY issued this winter storm warning at Mar 1, 2006, 3:50 PM EST for 6 counties in New York; Hudson County, Passaic County, New Jersey. It took effect at Mar 2, 2006, 9:00 AM EST. It was in force for 5 hr. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued
Mar 1, 2006, 3:50 PM EST (20:50 UTC)
In effect from
Mar 2, 2006, 9:00 AM EST
Expired
Mar 2, 2006, 2:21 PM EST
In force
5 hr
Issued by
NWS New York, NY

Counties Hudson County, NJ, Passaic County, NJ, Bronx County, NY, Kings County, NY, New York County, NY, Richmond County, NY, Suffolk County, NY, Westchester County, NY

The radar

The Brookhaven radar (KOKX), 83 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 20:49 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The nearest sounding before it

Brookhaven, NY (KOKX), launched 12:00Z, 8.8 hours before the alert went out and 83 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Brookhaven, NY at 12:00Z on 2006-03-01Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 0 joules per kilogram.LCL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Brookhaven, NY at 12:00Z on 2006-03-01The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 58 square meters per square second.1939587897Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
0 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
No buoyant parcel
Mixed-layer LCL
1354 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
70 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
58 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
33 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

000 
WWUS41 KOKX 012050
WSWOKX

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE UPTON NY
350 PM EST WED MAR 1 2006

...A SIGNIFICANT SNOWFALL EVENT ON TAP FOR THURSDAY...

.A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM OVER THE MISSISSIPPI VALLEY THIS EVENING
WILL TRACK EAST OVERNIGHT...GRADUALLY STRENGTHENING AS IT MOVES
INTO THE OHIO VALLEY BY DAYBREAK. THE SYSTEM WILL DEEPEN MORE
RAPIDLY DURING THE DAY THURSDAY...MOVING OFF THE NORTHERN MID
ATLANTIC COAST BY EARLY EVENING. THIS TRACK WILL BE FAR ENOUGH
SOUTH TO SUPPORT A MAINLY SNOW EVENT...WITH PERHAPS SOME SLEET 
MIXING IN AT THE ONSET. SNOW WILL OVERSPREAD THE TRI-STATE AREA
FROM WEST TO EAST DURING THE MID TO LATE MORNING HOURS...WITH THE
STEADIEST SNOW FALLING IN THE AFTERNOON.

NJZ002>006-011-NYZ071>078-080-020500-
/O.UPG.KOKX.WS.A.0002.060302T1100Z-060303T0300Z/
/O.NEW.KOKX.WS.W.0004.060302T1400Z-060303T0500Z/
WESTERN PASSAIC-BERGEN-EASTERN PASSAIC-ESSEX-HUDSON-UNION-
SOUTHERN WESTCHESTER-NEW YORK (MANHATTAN)-BRONX-
RICHMOND (STATEN ISLAND)-KINGS (BROOKLYN)-QUEENS-NASSAU-
NORTHWESTERN SUFFOLK-SOUTHWESTERN SUFFOLK-
350 PM EST WED MAR 1 2006

...WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 9 AM THURSDAY TO MIDNIGHT
EST THURSDAY NIGHT...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN UPTON HAS ISSUED A WINTER STORM
WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 9 AM THURSDAY TO MIDNIGHT EST
THURSDAY NIGHT. THE WINTER STORM WATCH IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT. 

SNOW...MIXED WITH SOME SLEET AT THE ONSET...WILL BEGIN THURSDAY
MORNING AND CONTINUE THROUGH THE AFTERNOON...BEFORE ENDING
THURSDAY NIGHT. THE HEAVIEST SNOW IS FORECAST TO FALL IN THE
AFTERNOON. AT THIS TIME...TOTAL ACCUMULATIONS ARE EXPECTED TO
RANGE FROM 5 TO 7 INCHES ACROSS THE WARNING AREA.

A WINTER STORM WARNING MEANS SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF SNOW ARE
EXPECTED OR OCCURRING. THIS WILL MAKE TRAVEL VERY HAZARDOUS OR
IMPOSSIBLE.

STAY TUNED TO NOAA ALL HAZARDS WEATHER RADIO OR VISIT OUR WEB
SITE AT WEATHER.GOV/NYC FOR FURTHER DETAILS AND UPDATES.

$$

NYZ079-081-020500-
/O.UPG.KOKX.WS.A.0002.060302T1100Z-060303T0300Z/
/O.NEW.KOKX.WS.W.0004.060302T1700Z-060303T0700Z/
NORTHEASTERN SUFFOLK-SOUTHEASTERN SUFFOLK-
350 PM EST WED MAR 1 2006

...WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 12 PM THURSDAY TO 2 AM EST
FRIDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN UPTON HAS ISSUED A WINTER STORM
WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 12 PM THURSDAY TO 2 AM EST
FRIDAY. THE WINTER STORM WATCH IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT. 

SNOW...MIXED WITH SOME SLEET AT THE ONSET...WILL BEGIN AROUND
NOONTIME THURSDAY AND CONTINUE THROUGH THE AFTERNOON...BEFORE
ENDING LATE THURSDAY NIGHT. THE HEAVIEST SNOW IS FORECAST TO FALL
DURING THE AFTERNOON HOURS. AT THIS TIME...TOTAL ACCUMULATIONS ARE
EXPECTED TO RANGE FROM 5 TO 7 INCHES ACROSS THE WARNING AREA.

A WINTER STORM WARNING MEANS SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF SNOW ARE
EXPECTED OR OCCURRING. THIS WILL MAKE TRAVEL VERY HAZARDOUS OR
IMPOSSIBLE.

STAY TUNED TO NOAA ALL HAZARDS WEATHER RADIO OR VISIT OUR WEB
SITE AT WEATHER.GOV/NYC FOR FURTHER DETAILS AND UPDATES.

$$

CTZ007-008-011-012-020500-
/O.NEW.KOKX.SN.Y.0001.060302T1700Z-060303T0700Z/
NORTHERN MIDDLESEX-NORTHERN NEW LONDON-SOUTHERN MIDDLESEX-
SOUTHERN NEW LONDON-
350 PM EST WED MAR 1 2006

...SNOW ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 12 PM THURSDAY TO 2 AM EST
FRIDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN UPTON HAS ISSUED A SNOW
ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 12 PM THURSDAY TO 2 AM EST
FRIDAY. 

SNOW WILL BEGIN AROUND NOONTIME THURSDAY AND CONTINUE THROUGH THE
AFTERNOON...BEFORE ENDING LATE THURSDAY NIGHT. THE STEADIEST SNOW
IS FORECAST TO FALL DURING THE AFTERNOON HOURS. AT THIS TIME...
TOTAL ACCUMULATIONS ARE EXPECTED TO RANGE FROM 2 TO 4 INCHES
ACROSS THE ADVISORY AREA.

A SNOW ADVISORY MEANS THAT PERIODS OF SNOW WILL CAUSE PRIMARILY
TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR SNOW COVERED ROADS AND
LIMITED VISIBILITIES...AND USE CAUTION WHILE DRIVING.

$$

NYZ067>070-020500-
/O.NEW.KOKX.SN.Y.0001.060302T1400Z-060303T0500Z/
ORANGE-PUTNAM-ROCKLAND-NORTHERN WESTCHESTER-
350 PM EST WED MAR 1 2006

...SNOW ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 9 AM THURSDAY TO MIDNIGHT EST
THURSDAY NIGHT...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN UPTON HAS ISSUED A SNOW
ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 9 AM THURSDAY TO MIDNIGHT EST
THURSDAY NIGHT. 

SNOW WILL BEGIN THURSDAY MORNING AND CONTINUE THROUGH THE
AFTERNOON...BEFORE ENDING THURSDAY NIGHT. THE STEADIEST SNOW IS
FORECAST TO FALL DURING THE AFTERNOON HOURS. AT THIS TIME...
TOTAL ACCUMULATIONS ARE EXPECTED TO RANGE FROM 3 TO 5 INCHES
ACROSS THE ADVISORY AREA.

A SNOW ADVISORY MEANS THAT PERIODS OF SNOW WILL CAUSE PRIMARILY
TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR SNOW COVERED ROADS AND
LIMITED VISIBILITIES...AND USE CAUTION WHILE DRIVING.

$$

CTZ005-006-009-010-020500-
/O.NEW.KOKX.SN.Y.0001.060302T1400Z-060303T0500Z/
NORTHERN FAIRFIELD-NORTHERN NEW HAVEN-SOUTHERN FAIRFIELD-
SOUTHERN NEW HAVEN-
350 PM EST WED MAR 1 2006

...SNOW ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 9 AM THURSDAY TO MIDNIGHT EST
THURSDAY NIGHT...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN UPTON HAS ISSUED A SNOW
ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 9 AM THURSDAY TO MIDNIGHT EST
THURSDAY NIGHT. 

SNOW WILL BEGIN THURSDAY MORNING AND CONTINUE THROUGH THE
AFTERNOON...BEFORE ENDING THURSDAY NIGHT. THE STEADIEST SNOW IS
FORECAST TO FALL DURING THE AFTERNOON HOURS. AT THIS TIME...
TOTAL ACCUMULATIONS ARE EXPECTED TO RANGE FROM 3 TO 6 INCHES
ACROSS THE ADVISORY AREA.

A SNOW ADVISORY MEANS THAT PERIODS OF SNOW WILL CAUSE PRIMARILY
TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR SNOW COVERED ROADS AND
LIMITED VISIBILITIES...AND USE CAUTION WHILE DRIVING.

$$
4 follow-up statements
000 
WWUS41 KOKX 020305
WSWOKX

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE UPTON NY
1005 PM EST WED MAR 1 2006

...A SIGNIFICANT SNOWFALL EVENT ON TAP FOR THURSDAY...

.A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL STRENGTHEN AND TRACK UP THE OHIO RIVER
VALLEY OVERNIGHT...REACHING WEST CENTRAL OHIO BY THURSDAY
MORNING. THE LOW WILL CONTINUE TO INTENSIFY...TRACKING SOUTH OF
THE MASON DIXON LINE...AND BEING EAST OF THE DELMARVA PENINSULA
AND SOUTH OF RHODE ISLAND BY THURSDAY EVENING...AND THEN CONTINUE
TRACKING EAST AND NORTH THURSDAY NIGHT. THIS TRACK WILL BE FAR
ENOUGH SOUTH TO SUPPORT A MAINLY SNOW EVENT...WITH PERHAPS SOME
SLEET MIXING IN AT TIMES ACROSS THE NORTHEAST NEW JERSEY AND
COASTAL PORTIONS OF NEW YORK...INCLUDING NEW YORK CITY. SNOW WILL
OVER-SPREAD THE TRI- STATE AREA FROM WEST TO EAST DURING FROM MID
MORNING INTO THE AFTERNOON...WITH THE STEADIEST SNOW FALLING FROM THE
AFTERNOON INTO THE EVENING...INCLUDING THE EVENING RUSH HOUR.

NJZ002>006-011-NYZ071>078-080-021100-
/O.CON.KOKX.WS.W.0004.060302T1400Z-060303T0500Z/
WESTERN PASSAIC-BERGEN-EASTERN PASSAIC-ESSEX-HUDSON-UNION-
SOUTHERN WESTCHESTER-NEW YORK (MANHATTAN)-BRONX-
RICHMOND (STATEN ISLAND)-KINGS (BROOKLYN)-QUEENS-NASSAU-
NORTHWESTERN SUFFOLK-SOUTHWESTERN SUFFOLK-
1005 PM EST WED MAR 1 2006

...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 9 AM THURSDAY TO
MIDNIGHT EST THURSDAY NIGHT...

A WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 9 AM THURSDAY TO
MIDNIGHT EST THURSDAY NIGHT. 

SNOW...MIXED WITH SOME SLEET AT TIMES...WILL BEGIN THURSDAY
MORNING AND CONTINUE THROUGH THE AFTERNOON...BEFORE ENDING
THURSDAY NIGHT. THE HEAVIEST SNOW IS FORECAST TO FALL IN THE
AFTERNOON...INCLUDING THE EVENING RUSH HOUR. AT THIS TIME...TOTAL
ACCUMULATIONS ARE EXPECTED TO RANGE FROM 5 TO 7 INCHES...WITH
LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS...ACROSS THE WARNING AREA.

A WINTER STORM WARNING MEANS SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF SNOW ARE
EXPECTED OR OCCURRING. THIS WILL MAKE TRAVEL VERY HAZARDOUS OR
IMPOSSIBLE.

STAY TUNED TO NOAA ALL HAZARDS WEATHER RADIO OR VISIT OUR WEB
SITE AT WEATHER.GOV/NYC FOR FURTHER DETAILS AND UPDATES.

$$

NYZ079-081-021100-
/O.CON.KOKX.WS.W.0004.060302T1700Z-060303T0700Z/
NORTHEASTERN SUFFOLK-SOUTHEASTERN SUFFOLK-
1005 PM EST WED MAR 1 2006

...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 12 PM THURSDAY TO
2 AM EST FRIDAY...

A WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 12 PM THURSDAY TO
2 AM EST FRIDAY. 

SNOW...MIXED WITH SOME SLEET AT TIMES...WILL BEGIN AROUND
NOONTIME THURSDAY AND CONTINUE THROUGH THE AFTERNOON...BEFORE
ENDING LATE THURSDAY NIGHT. THE HEAVIEST SNOW IS FORECAST TO FALL
FROM THE MID AFTERNOON TO EARLY EVENING HOURS. AT THIS
TIME...TOTAL ACCUMULATIONS ARE EXPECTED TO RANGE FROM 5 TO 7
INCHES...WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS...ACROSS THE WARNING AREA.

A WINTER STORM WARNING MEANS SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF SNOW ARE
EXPECTED OR OCCURRING. THIS WILL MAKE TRAVEL VERY HAZARDOUS OR
IMPOSSIBLE.

STAY TUNED TO NOAA ALL HAZARDS WEATHER RADIO OR VISIT OUR WEB
SITE AT WEATHER.GOV/NYC FOR FURTHER DETAILS AND UPDATES.

$$

CTZ007-008-011-012-021100-
/O.CON.KOKX.SN.Y.0001.060302T1700Z-060303T0700Z/
NORTHERN MIDDLESEX-NORTHERN NEW LONDON-SOUTHERN MIDDLESEX-
SOUTHERN NEW LONDON-
1005 PM EST WED MAR 1 2006

...SNOW ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 12 PM THURSDAY TO 2 AM
EST FRIDAY...

A SNOW ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 12 PM THURSDAY TO 2 AM EST
FRIDAY. 

SNOW WILL BEGIN BY EARLY AFTERNOON THURSDAY AND CONTINUE THROUGH
THE EVENING...BEFORE ENDING LATE THURSDAY NIGHT. THE STEADIEST SNOW IS
FORECAST TO FALL FROM THE AFTERNOON TO MID EVENING HOURS. AT THIS
TIME... TOTAL ACCUMULATIONS ARE EXPECTED TO RANGE FROM 2 TO 5
INCHES ACROSS COASTAL AREAS AND 3 TO 6 INCHES...ACROSS INLAND
AREAS OF THE ADVISORY AREA.

A SNOW ADVISORY MEANS THAT PERIODS OF SNOW WILL CAUSE PRIMARILY
TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR SNOW COVERED ROADS AND
LIMITED VISIBILITIES...AND USE CAUTION WHILE DRIVING.

$$

NYZ067>070-021100-
/O.CON.KOKX.SN.Y.0001.060302T1400Z-060303T0500Z/
ORANGE-PUTNAM-ROCKLAND-NORTHERN WESTCHESTER-
1005 PM EST WED MAR 1 2006

...SNOW ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 9 AM THURSDAY TO MIDNIGHT
EST THURSDAY NIGHT...

A SNOW ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 9 AM THURSDAY TO MIDNIGHT
EST THURSDAY NIGHT. 

SNOW WILL BEGIN BY MID MORNING THURSDAY AND CONTINUE THROUGH THE
AFTERNOON...BEFORE ENDING THURSDAY NIGHT. THE STEADIEST SNOW IS
FORECAST TO FALL DURING THE AFTERNOON HOURS...INCLUDING THE
EVENING RUSH HOUR. AT THIS TIME... TOTAL ACCUMULATIONS ARE EXPECTED TO
RANGE FROM 3 TO 5 INCHES...WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS...ACROSS
THE ADVISORY AREA.

A SNOW ADVISORY MEANS THAT PERIODS OF SNOW WILL CAUSE PRIMARILY
TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR SNOW COVERED ROADS AND
LIMITED VISIBILITIES...AND USE CAUTION WHILE DRIVING.

$$

CTZ005-006-009-010-021100-
/O.CON.KOKX.SN.Y.0001.060302T1400Z-060303T0500Z/
NORTHERN FAIRFIELD-NORTHERN NEW HAVEN-SOUTHERN FAIRFIELD-
SOUTHERN NEW HAVEN-
1005 PM EST WED MAR 1 2006

...SNOW ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 9 AM THURSDAY TO MIDNIGHT
EST THURSDAY NIGHT...

A SNOW ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 9 AM THURSDAY TO MIDNIGHT
EST THURSDAY NIGHT. 

SNOW WILL BEGIN BY MIDDAY THURSDAY AND CONTINUE THROUGH THE
AFTERNOON...BEFORE ENDING THURSDAY NIGHT. THE STEADIEST SNOW IS
FORECAST TO FALL DURING THE MID AFTERNOON TO EARLY EVENING HOURS.
AT THIS TIME... TOTAL ACCUMULATIONS ARE EXPECTED TO RANGE FROM 3
TO 6 INCHES...WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS...ACROSS THE ADVISORY
AREA.

A SNOW ADVISORY MEANS THAT PERIODS OF SNOW WILL CAUSE PRIMARILY
TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR SNOW COVERED ROADS AND
LIMITED VISIBILITIES...AND USE CAUTION WHILE DRIVING.

$$

MALOIT
000 
WWUS41 KOKX 021013
WSWOKX

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE UPTON NY
513 AM EST THU MAR 2 2006

...A SIGNIFICANT SNOWFALL EVENT ON TAP FOR TODAY AND THIS EVENING...

.A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM OVER OHIO THIS MORNING WILL STRENGTHEN
AND TRACK SOUTH OF THE MASON DIXON LINE TODAY...MOVING OFFSHORE
FROM THE DELMARVA PENINSULA BY THIS EVENING. THE LOW WILL THEN
CONTINUE TRACKING EAST AND NORTH TONIGHT. THIS TRACK WILL
BE FAR ENOUGH SOUTH TO SUPPORT A MAINLY SNOW EVENT...WITH SOME
SLEET POSSIBLY MIXING IN AT TIMES ACROSS THE NORTHEAST NEW JERSEY
AND COASTAL PORTIONS OF NEW YORK...INCLUDING NEW YORK CITY. SNOW
WILL OVER-SPREAD THE TRI-STATE AREA FROM WEST TO EAST DURING THE
MID TO LATE MORNING INTO THE AFTERNOON...WITH THE STEADIEST SNOW
FALLING FROM THE AFTERNOON INTO THE EARLY EVENING HOURS...INCLUDING 
THE EVENING RUSH HOUR.

CTZ005-009-NYZ067>070-021800-
/O.UPG.KOKX.SN.Y.0001.060302T1400Z-060303T0500Z/
/O.NEW.KOKX.HS.W.0002.060302T1400Z-060303T0500Z/
NORTHERN FAIRFIELD-SOUTHERN FAIRFIELD-ORANGE-PUTNAM-ROCKLAND-
NORTHERN WESTCHESTER-
513 AM EST THU MAR 2 2006

...HEAVY SNOW WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 9 AM THIS MORNING TO
MIDNIGHT EST TONIGHT...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN UPTON HAS ISSUED A HEAVY SNOW
WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 9 AM THIS MORNING TO MIDNIGHT
EST TONIGHT. THE SNOW ADVISORY IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT. 

SNOW WILL BEGIN BY MID TO LATE MORNING...AND CONTINUE THROUGH THE
AFTERNOON...BEFORE ENDING DURING THE EVENING. THE HEAVIEST SNOW IS
FORECAST TO FALL IN THE AFTERNOON...INCLUDING THE EVENING RUSH
HOUR. AT THIS TIME...TOTAL SNOW ACCUMULATIONS ARE EXPECTED TO
RANGE FROM 5 TO 10 INCHES...WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS
POSSIBLE.

A HEAVY SNOW WARNING MEANS SEVERE WINTER WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED OR OCCURRING.  SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF SNOW ARE FORECAST
THAT WILL MAKE TRAVEL DANGEROUS. ONLY TRAVEL IN AN EMERGENCY. IF
YOU MUST...KEEP AN EXTRA FLASHLIGHT...FOOD...AND WATER IN YOUR
VEHICLE IN CASE OF AN EMERGENCY.

$$

CTZ006-010-021800-
/O.UPG.KOKX.SN.Y.0001.060302T1400Z-060303T0500Z/
/O.NEW.KOKX.HS.W.0002.060302T1700Z-060303T0700Z/
NORTHERN NEW HAVEN-SOUTHERN NEW HAVEN-
513 AM EST THU MAR 2 2006

...HEAVY SNOW WARNING IN EFFECT FROM NOON TODAY TO 2 AM EST
FRIDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN UPTON HAS ISSUED A HEAVY SNOW
WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM NOON TODAY TO 2 AM EST FRIDAY.
THE SNOW ADVISORY IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT. 

SNOW WILL BEGIN AROUND NOONTIME TODAY...AND CONTINUE THROUGH THE
AFTERNOON AND EVENING...BEFORE ENDING LATE TONIGHT. THE HEAVIEST
SNOW IS FORECAST TO FALL FROM THE MID AFTERNOON TO EARLY EVENING 
HOURS. AT THIS TIME...TOTAL ACCUMULATIONS ARE EXPECTED TO RANGE
FROM 4 TO 8 INCHES...WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS POSSIBLE.

A HEAVY SNOW WARNING MEANS SEVERE WINTER WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED OR OCCURRING. SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF SNOW ARE FORECAST
THAT WILL MAKE TRAVEL DANGEROUS. ONLY TRAVEL IN AN EMERGENCY. IF
YOU MUST...KEEP AN EXTRA FLASHLIGHT...FOOD...AND WATER IN YOUR
VEHICLE IN CASE OF AN EMERGENCY.

$$

CTZ007-008-011-012-021800-
/O.UPG.KOKX.SN.Y.0001.060302T1700Z-060303T0700Z/
/O.NEW.KOKX.HS.W.0002.060302T1700Z-060303T0700Z/
NORTHERN MIDDLESEX-NORTHERN NEW LONDON-SOUTHERN MIDDLESEX-
SOUTHERN NEW LONDON-
513 AM EST THU MAR 2 2006

...HEAVY SNOW WARNING IN EFFECT FROM NOON TODAY TO 2 AM EST
FRIDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN UPTON HAS ISSUED A HEAVY SNOW
WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM NOON TODAY TO 2 AM EST FRIDAY.
THE SNOW ADVISORY IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT. 

SNOW WILL BEGIN BY EARLY THIS AFTERNOON AND CONTINUE THROUGH THE
EVENING...BEFORE ENDING LATE TONIGHT. THE STEADIEST SNOW IS
FORECAST TO FALL FROM THE AFTERNOON TO MID EVENING HOURS. AT THIS
TIME... TOTAL ACCUMULATIONS ARE EXPECTED TO RANGE FROM 4 TO 8
INCHES...WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS POSSIBLE.

A HEAVY SNOW WARNING MEANS SEVERE WINTER WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED OR OCCURRING.  SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF SNOW ARE FORECAST
THAT WILL MAKE TRAVEL DANGEROUS. ONLY TRAVEL IN AN EMERGENCY. IF
YOU MUST...KEEP AN EXTRA FLASHLIGHT...FOOD...AND WATER IN YOUR
VEHICLE IN CASE OF AN EMERGENCY.

$$

NJZ002>006-011-NYZ071>078-080-021800-
/O.CON.KOKX.WS.W.0004.060302T1400Z-060303T0500Z/
WESTERN PASSAIC-BERGEN-EASTERN PASSAIC-ESSEX-HUDSON-UNION-
SOUTHERN WESTCHESTER-NEW YORK (MANHATTAN)-BRONX-
RICHMOND (STATEN ISLAND)-KINGS (BROOKLYN)-QUEENS-NASSAU-
NORTHWESTERN SUFFOLK-SOUTHWESTERN SUFFOLK-
513 AM EST THU MAR 2 2006

...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 9 AM THIS MORNING
TO MIDNIGHT EST TONIGHT...

A WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 9 AM THIS MORNING
TO MIDNIGHT EST TONIGHT. 

SNOW...MIXED WITH SOME SLEET AT TIMES...WILL BEGIN BY MID TO LATE
MORNING...AND CONTINUE THROUGH THE AFTERNOON...BEFORE ENDING
DURING THE EVENING. THE HEAVIEST SNOW IS FORECAST TO FALL IN THE
AFTERNOON...INCLUDING THE EVENING RUSH HOUR. THERE IS SIGNIFICANT
UNCERTAINTY AS TO THE AMOUNT OF MIXING WITH SLEET THAT WILL OCCUR
TODAY. THE AMOUNT OF MIXING MAY AFFECT SNOWFALL TOTALS...AS MORE
MIXING WITH SLEET WILL REDUCE THE ACCUMULATIONS OF SNOW. AT THIS
TIME...TOTAL SNOW AND SLEET ACCUMULATIONS ARE EXPECTED TO RANGE
FROM 4 TO 8 INCHES...WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS POSSIBLE.

IN ADDITION TO THE SNOW AND SLEET...THERE IS A CHANCE FOR SOME
FREEZING DRIZZLE DURING THE EVENING HOURS...AS THE SNOW BEGINS TO
TAPER OFF.

A WINTER STORM WARNING MEANS SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF SNOW ARE
EXPECTED OR OCCURRING. THIS WILL MAKE TRAVEL VERY HAZARDOUS OR
IMPOSSIBLE.

STAY TUNED TO NOAA ALL HAZARDS WEATHER RADIO OR VISIT OUR WEB
SITE AT WEATHER.GOV/NYC FOR FURTHER DETAILS AND UPDATES.

$$

NYZ079-081-021800-
/O.CON.KOKX.WS.W.0004.060302T1700Z-060303T0700Z/
NORTHEASTERN SUFFOLK-SOUTHEASTERN SUFFOLK-
513 AM EST THU MAR 2 2006

...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM NOON TODAY TO 2 AM
EST FRIDAY...

A WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM NOON TODAY TO 2 AM
EST FRIDAY. 

SNOW WILL BEGIN AROUND NOONTIME TODAY...AND CONTINUE THROUGH THE
AFTERNOON AND EVENING...BEFORE ENDING LATE TONIGHT. THE HEAVIEST
SNOW IS FORECAST TO FALL FROM THE MID AFTERNOON TO EARLY EVENING 
HOURS. AT THIS TIME...TOTAL ACCUMULATIONS ARE EXPECTED TO RANGE
FROM 5 TO 8 INCHES...WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS POSSIBLE.

A WINTER STORM WARNING MEANS SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF SNOW ARE
EXPECTED OR OCCURRING. THIS WILL MAKE TRAVEL VERY HAZARDOUS OR
IMPOSSIBLE.

STAY TUNED TO NOAA ALL HAZARDS WEATHER RADIO OR VISIT OUR WEB
SITE AT WEATHER.GOV/NYC FOR FURTHER DETAILS AND UPDATES.

$$

JACOBSON
000 
WWUS41 KOKX 021436
WSWOKX

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE UPTON NY
936 AM EST THU MAR 2 2006

...A SIGNIFICANT SNOWFALL EVENT ON TAP FOR TODAY AND THIS
EVENING...

.A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM OVER OHIO THIS MORNING WILL STRENGTHEN AND
TRACK ACROSS THE NORTHERN MIDDLE ATLANTIC STATES THIS AFTERNOON...
MOVING OFFSHORE THE DELMARVA PENINSULA BY THIS EVENING. THE LOW
WILL THEN CONTINUE TRACKING EAST AND NORTH TONIGHT. THIS TRACK
WILL BE FAR ENOUGH SOUTH TO SUPPORT A MAINLY SNOW EVENT...WITH
SOME SLEET POSSIBLY MIXING IN AT TIMES ACROSS NORTHEAST NEW
JERSEY AND COASTAL PORTIONS OF NEW YORK...INCLUDING NEW YORK CITY.
THE STEADIEST SNOW WILL FALL DURING THE AFTERNOON INTO THE EARLY
EVENING HOURS...INCLUDING THE EVENING RUSH HOUR.

CTZ006>008-010>012-022245-
/O.EXT.KOKX.HS.W.0002.060302T1436Z-060303T0700Z/
NORTHERN NEW HAVEN-NORTHERN MIDDLESEX-NORTHERN NEW LONDON-
SOUTHERN NEW HAVEN-SOUTHERN MIDDLESEX-SOUTHERN NEW LONDON-
936 AM EST THU MAR 2 2006

...HEAVY SNOW WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 2 AM EST FRIDAY...

THE HEAVY SNOW WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 2 AM EST FRIDAY. 

SNOW WILL CONTINUE INTO THIS AFTERNOON...BECOMING HEAVY AT
TIMES...BEFORE ENDING LATE TONIGHT. AT THIS TIME...TOTAL
ACCUMULATIONS ARE EXPECTED TO RANGE FROM 4 TO 8 INCHES...WITH
LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS POSSIBLE.

A HEAVY SNOW WARNING MEANS SEVERE WINTER WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED OR OCCURRING.  SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF SNOW ARE FORECAST
THAT WILL MAKE TRAVEL DANGEROUS. ONLY TRAVEL IN AN EMERGENCY. IF
YOU MUST...KEEP AN EXTRA FLASHLIGHT...FOOD...AND WATER IN YOUR
VEHICLE IN CASE OF AN EMERGENCY.

$$

NYZ079-081-022245-
/O.EXT.KOKX.WS.W.0004.060302T1436Z-060303T0700Z/
NORTHEASTERN SUFFOLK-SOUTHEASTERN SUFFOLK-
936 AM EST THU MAR 2 2006

...WINTER STORM WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 2 AM EST FRIDAY...

THE WINTER STORM WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 2 AM EST FRIDAY. 

SNOW...POSSIBLY MIXED WITH SLEET AT TIMES...WILL CONTINUE INTO THIS
AFTERNOON...BECOMING HEAVY AT TIMES. THE SNOW WILL END LATE
TONIGHT. AT THIS TIME...TOTAL ACCUMULATIONS ARE EXPECTED TO RANGE
FROM 5 TO 8 INCHES...WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS POSSIBLE.

A WINTER STORM WARNING MEANS SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF SNOW ARE
EXPECTED OR OCCURRING. THIS WILL MAKE TRAVEL VERY HAZARDOUS OR
IMPOSSIBLE.

STAY TUNED TO NOAA ALL HAZARDS WEATHER RADIO OR VISIT OUR WEB
SITE AT WEATHER.GOV/NYC FOR FURTHER DETAILS AND UPDATES.

$$

CTZ005-009-NYZ067>070-022245-
/O.CON.KOKX.HS.W.0002.000000T0000Z-060303T0500Z/
NORTHERN FAIRFIELD-SOUTHERN FAIRFIELD-ORANGE-PUTNAM-ROCKLAND-
NORTHERN WESTCHESTER-
936 AM EST THU MAR 2 2006

...HEAVY SNOW WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT EST
TONIGHT...

A HEAVY SNOW WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT EST
TONIGHT. 

SNOW WILL CONTINUE INTO THIS AFTERNOON...BECOMING HEAVY AT 
TIMES...BEFORE ENDING THIS EVENING. AT THIS TIME...TOTAL
ACCUMULATIONS ARE EXPECTED TO RANGE FROM 5 TO 10 INCHES...
WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS POSSIBLE.

A HEAVY SNOW WARNING MEANS SEVERE WINTER WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED OR OCCURRING. SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF SNOW ARE FORECAST
THAT WILL MAKE TRAVEL DANGEROUS. ONLY TRAVEL IN AN EMERGENCY. IF
YOU MUST...KEEP AN EXTRA FLASHLIGHT...FOOD...AND WATER IN YOUR
VEHICLE IN CASE OF AN EMERGENCY.

$$

NJZ002>006-011-NYZ071>078-080-022245-
/O.CON.KOKX.WS.W.0004.000000T0000Z-060303T0500Z/
WESTERN PASSAIC-BERGEN-EASTERN PASSAIC-ESSEX-HUDSON-UNION-
SOUTHERN WESTCHESTER-NEW YORK (MANHATTAN)-BRONX-
RICHMOND (STATEN ISLAND)-KINGS (BROOKLYN)-QUEENS-NASSAU-
NORTHWESTERN SUFFOLK-SOUTHWESTERN SUFFOLK-
936 AM EST THU MAR 2 2006

...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT EST
TONIGHT...

A WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT EST
TONIGHT. 

SNOW...POSSIBLY MIXED WITH SLEET AT TIMES...WILL CONTINUE INTO THIS
AFTERNOON...BECOMING HEAVY AT TIMES. THE SNOW WILL END THIS EVENING.
AT THIS TIME...TOTAL ACCUMULATIONS ARE EXPECTED TO RANGE FROM 4
TO 8 INCHES...WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS POSSIBLE.

IN ADDITION TO THE SNOW AND SLEET...THERE IS A CHANCE FOR SOME
FREEZING DRIZZLE DURING THE EVENING HOURS...AS THE SNOW BEGINS TO
TAPER OFF.

A WINTER STORM WARNING MEANS SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF SNOW ARE
EXPECTED OR OCCURRING. THIS WILL MAKE TRAVEL VERY HAZARDOUS OR
IMPOSSIBLE.

STAY TUNED TO NOAA ALL HAZARDS WEATHER RADIO OR VISIT OUR WEB
SITE AT WEATHER.GOV/NYC FOR FURTHER DETAILS AND UPDATES.

$$
000 
WWUS41 KOKX 021921
WSWOKX

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE UPTON NY
221 PM EST THU MAR 2 2006

...WINTRY WEATHER TO CONTINUE INTO THIS EVENING...

.LOW PRESSURE WILL MOVE WELL SOUTH OF LONG ISLAND EARLY THIS
EVENING BEFORE MOVING WELL OUT TO SEA EAST OF NANTUCKET TONIGHT.

CTZ006>008-010>012-030330-
/O.CAN.KOKX.HS.W.0002.000000T0000Z-060303T0700Z/
/O.NEW.KOKX.WW.Y.0011.060302T1921Z-060303T0500Z/
NORTHERN NEW HAVEN-NORTHERN MIDDLESEX-NORTHERN NEW LONDON-
SOUTHERN NEW HAVEN-SOUTHERN MIDDLESEX-SOUTHERN NEW LONDON-
221 PM EST THU MAR 2 2006

...HEAVY SNOW WARNING IS CANCELLED...
...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT EST TONIGHT...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN UPTON HAS ISSUED A WINTER WEATHER
ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT EST TONIGHT. THE
HEAVY SNOW WARNING HAS BEEN CANCELLED. 

SNOW MIXED WITH SLEET WILL CONTINUE FOR THE REST OF THIS
AFTERNOON AND THIS EVENING. SOME FREEZING RAIN MAY MIX IN AT
TIMES. STORM TOTAL SNOW AND SLEET ACCUMULATIONS ARE NOW EXPECTED
TO RANGE BETWEEN 3 AND 6 INCHES. TRAVEL WILL LIKELY BE
TREACHEROUS DURING THE EVENING RUSH HOUR AS SOME ICING IS
EXPECTED.

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY MEANS THAT PERIODS OF SNOW...SLEET...OR
FREEZING RAIN WILL CAUSE TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR
SLIPPERY ROADS AND LIMITED VISIBILITIES...AND USE CAUTION WHILE
DRIVING.

STAY TUNED TO NOAA ALL HAZARDS WEATHER RADIO OR VISIT OUR WEB
SITE AT WEATHER.GOV/NYC FOR FURTHER DETAILS AND UPDATES.

$$

CTZ005-009-NYZ067>070-030330-
/O.CAN.KOKX.HS.W.0002.000000T0000Z-060303T0500Z/
/O.NEW.KOKX.WW.Y.0011.060302T1921Z-060303T0500Z/
NORTHERN FAIRFIELD-SOUTHERN FAIRFIELD-ORANGE-PUTNAM-ROCKLAND-
NORTHERN WESTCHESTER-
221 PM EST THU MAR 2 2006

...HEAVY SNOW WARNING IS CANCELLED...
...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT EST TONIGHT...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN UPTON HAS ISSUED A WINTER WEATHER
ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT EST TONIGHT. THE
HEAVY SNOW WARNING HAS BEEN CANCELLED. 

SNOW MIXED WITH SLEET AND FREEZING RAIN WILL CONTINUE INTO THE
EVENING HOURS. STORM TOTAL SNOW AND SLEET ACCUMULATIONS ARE NOW
EXPECTED TO RANGE BETWEEN 3 AND 6 INCHES. TRAVEL WILL LIKELY BE
TREACHEROUS DURING THE EVENING RUSH HOUR WITH SOME ICING
EXPECTED.

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY MEANS THAT PERIODS OF SNOW...SLEET...OR
FREEZING RAIN WILL CAUSE TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR
SLIPPERY ROADS AND LIMITED VISIBILITIES...AND USE CAUTION WHILE
DRIVING.

STAY TUNED TO NOAA ALL HAZARDS WEATHER RADIO OR VISIT OUR WEB
SITE AT WEATHER.GOV/NYC FOR FURTHER DETAILS AND UPDATES.

$$

NJZ002>006-011-NYZ071>078-080-030330-
/O.CAN.KOKX.WS.W.0004.000000T0000Z-060303T0500Z/
/O.NEW.KOKX.WW.Y.0011.060302T1921Z-060303T0500Z/
WESTERN PASSAIC-BERGEN-EASTERN PASSAIC-ESSEX-HUDSON-UNION-
SOUTHERN WESTCHESTER-NEW YORK (MANHATTAN)-BRONX-
RICHMOND (STATEN ISLAND)-KINGS (BROOKLYN)-QUEENS-NASSAU-
NORTHWESTERN SUFFOLK-SOUTHWESTERN SUFFOLK-
221 PM EST THU MAR 2 2006

...WINTER STORM WARNING IS CANCELLED...
...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT EST TONIGHT...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN UPTON HAS ISSUED A WINTER WEATHER
ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT EST TONIGHT. THE
WINTER STORM WARNING HAS BEEN CANCELLED. 

A MIXTURE OF SLEET AND FREEZING RAIN WILL CONTINUE INTO THE EVENING
HOURS. STORM TOTAL SNOW AND SLEET ACCUMULATIONS ARE NOW EXPECTED
TO RANGE BETWEEN 1 AND 4 INCHES. TRAVEL WILL LIKELY BE
TREACHEROUS DURING THE EVENING RUSH HOUR WITH SOME ICING
EXPECTED.

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY MEANS THAT PERIODS OF SNOW...SLEET...OR
FREEZING RAIN WILL CAUSE TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR
SLIPPERY ROADS AND LIMITED VISIBILITIES...AND USE CAUTION WHILE
DRIVING.

STAY TUNED TO NOAA ALL HAZARDS WEATHER RADIO OR VISIT OUR WEB
SITE AT WEATHER.GOV/NYC FOR FURTHER DETAILS AND UPDATES.

$$

NYZ079-081-030330-
/O.CAN.KOKX.WS.W.0004.000000T0000Z-060303T0700Z/
/O.NEW.KOKX.WW.Y.0011.060302T1921Z-060303T0500Z/
NORTHEASTERN SUFFOLK-SOUTHEASTERN SUFFOLK-
221 PM EST THU MAR 2 2006

...WINTER STORM WARNING IS CANCELLED...
...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT EST TONIGHT...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN UPTON HAS ISSUED A WINTER WEATHER
ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT EST TONIGHT. THE
WINTER STORM WARNING HAS BEEN CANCELLED. 

A MIXTURE OF SNOW...SLEET...AND FREEZING RAIN WILL CONTINUE INTO
THE EVENING HOURS. STORM TOTAL SNOW AND SLEET ACCUMULATIONS ARE
NOW EXPECTED TO RANGE BETWEEN 3 AND 5 INCHES. TRAVEL WILL LIKELY
BE TREACHEROUS DURING THE EVENING RUSH HOUR WITH SOME ICING
EXPECTED.

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY MEANS THAT PERIODS OF SNOW...SLEET...OR
FREEZING RAIN WILL CAUSE TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR
SLIPPERY ROADS AND LIMITED VISIBILITIES...AND USE CAUTION WHILE
DRIVING.

STAY TUNED TO NOAA ALL HAZARDS WEATHER RADIO OR VISIT OUR WEB
SITE AT WEATHER.GOV/NYC FOR FURTHER DETAILS AND UPDATES.

$$

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this winter storm warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS New York, NY wrote its last area forecast discussion before this winter storm warning went out at Mar 1, 10:03 AM EST, 5 hours 47 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Mar 1, 10:03 AM EST, 5 hours 47 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE UPTON NY
1003 AM EST WED MAR 1 2006

.NEAR TERM (THIS AFTERNOON)...
JUST SOME MINOR UPDATES TO HOURLY TEMPERATURES...DEWPOINTS AND
WINDS. RIDGE CONTINUES TO BUILD INTO THE AREA AND WILL KEEP AREA
MOSTLY CLEAR.
&&

.SHORT TERM (TONIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT)...
00Z MODELS SHIFTED A BIT FURTHER TO THE SOUTH WITH THE TRACK OF THE
NEXT STORM SYSTEM. THIS TRACK SHIFT HAS SIGNIFICANT IMPLICATIONS FOR
THE FCST ACROSS THE TRI-STATE. GFS/NAM IN GOOD AGREEMENT SHOWING THE
SFC LOW OVER THE DELMARVA AREA OR EXTREME SRN NJ BY 18Z THU. EXPECT
PRECIP TO DEVELOP FAIRLY RAPIDLY FROM WEST TO EAST DURING THE
MORNING THU AS STRONG 850-700 FRONTOGENESIS AND OVERRUNNING DEVELOPS
ACROSS THE AREA. AS WOULD BE EXPECTED WITH THE MORE SRN TRACK...
MODELS ARE ALSO NOW SEVERAL DEGREES COLDER WITH SFC TEMPS ON THU.
BUFKIT PROFILES/PARTIAL THICKNESSES SUPPORT A SNOW/SLEET MIX ACROSS
THE NYC METRO AREA...NE NJ AND LONG ISLAND...WITH PRETTY MUCH ALL
SNOW ACROSS THE HUDSON VALLEY AND SRN CT.

GIVEN THE REVISED TRACK FCST...HAD TO MAKE SOME SUBSTANTIAL CHANGES
TO THE FCST. FCSTED LIQUID QPF AMOUNTS OF 1/2 TO 3/4 INCH ACROSS THE
SRN HALF OF THE AREA...WITH A SNOW-WATER RATIO OF 10 TO 1 APPLIED...
SUPPORTS 5-7 INCHES OF SNOW. THESE ACCUMULATIONS MAY BE REDUCED
SOMEWHAT BY SLEET MIXING IN...BUT GIVEN THE SOUTHWARD/COLDER TREND
OF THE MODELS...AND THE HPC WWD FCST WHICH SHOWS THE 6 INCH SNOW
CONTOUR RIGHT OVER NYC...FEEL THAT THE PRUDENT COURSE IS TO ISSUE A
WINTER STORM WATCH FOR THE SRN PORTIONS OF THE AREA...INCLUDING ALL
OF NE NJ...NYC...SRN WESTCHESTER...AND LONG ISLAND. WATCH WILL BE IN
EFFECT FROM 6 AM THU MORNING UNTIL 10 PM THU EVENING. FURTHER NORTH
ACROSS THE LOWER HUDSON VALLEY AND SRN CT...EXPECTING GENERALLY 4-6
INCHES TOTAL ACCUM SO WILL JUST CONTINUE THE SPS. ADVISORIES MAY BE
NEEDED LATER FOR THESE AREAS.

LATE BREAKING NEWS...THE 06Z NAM CAME IN SLOWER...FURTHER TO THE
SOUTH AND WITH LESS QPF FOR THIS AREA. GIVEN THE TENDENCY OF THESE
INTERMEDIATE MODEL RUNS TO CHANGE FROM PREVIOUS THINKING AND THEN
SOMETIMES CHANGE BACK ON THE NEXT REGULAR RUN...WILL STAY THE COURSE
WITH WINTER STORM WATCH. IF THE SOUTHWARD TREND CONTINUES WITH THE
12Z MODEL RUNS...LATER SHIFTS MIGHT HAVE TO DOWNGRADE THE WATCH TO
AN ADVISORY. WILL TRY TO INDICATE THE UNCERTAINTY IN THE WATCH TEXT.

PRECIP ENDS FROM WEST TO EAST ACROSS THE AREA THU EVENING AND SHOULD
BE FINISHED EVERYWHERE BY MIDNIGHT.

&&

.LONG TERM (FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY)...
QUIET WEATHER RETURNS ON FRIDAY AS HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS INTO THE
AREA...WITH A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW FLURRIES EXPECTED FRIDAY NIGHT
AND SATURDAY MORNING.

THERE IS STILL SOME UNCERTAINTY WITH THE NEXT STORM EARLY NEXT WEEK.
LOW PRESSURE MOVES OUT OF THE SOUTHERN STATES SUNDAY NIGHT AND
INTENSIFIES OFF THE CAROLINAS ON MONDAY. A NORTHEAST TRACK IS
FORECAST AT THIS TIME...BUT HOW CLOSE DOES IT ACTUALLY COME TO OUR
LOCAL AREA IS STILL UNCERTAIN. FOR NOW WILL DELAY TIMING OF SYSTEM
BASED ON MODEL GUIDANCE AND KEEP PRECIPITATION TYPE TO ALL SNOW
BASED ON THICKNESS/TEMP PROFILES.
&&

.HYDROLOGY...
NEXT CHANCE OF MEASURABLE PRECIPITATION WILL OCCUR FROM LATE
WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT. AT THIS TIME THE
PRECIPITATION SHOULD REMAIN AS ALL SNOW FROM START TO END. THIS
SHOULD NOT PRESENT A PROBLEM TO OUR AREA BASINS.
&&

.AVIATION...
VFR CONDITIONS ACROSS ALL TERMINALS THROUGH 06Z THU. SOME GUSTINESS
BEING OBSERVED EARLY THIS MORNING AT MANY OF THE TERMINALS...PROBABLY
DUE TO THE PASSING S/W AND SFC TROF. MODERATE TO OCNL GUSTY W/NW
FLOW WILL CONTINUE TODAY THEN SLACKEN OFF AFTER 00Z. WILL INTRODUCE
LOWERING VFR CIGS DURING THE LAST FEW HOURS OF THE 12Z TAF PACKAGE
AS THE NEXT SYSTEM APPROACHES FROM THE WEST. CONDITIONS WILL LIKELY
GO DOWNHILL RATHER QUICKLY THU MORNING BETWEEN 12Z AND 16Z FROM WEST
TO EAST AS IFR CIGS DEVELOP AND SN/IP REDUCES VSBYS.
&&

.MARINE...
WINDS AND SEAS HAVE DIMINISHED BELOW SMALL CRAFT LEVELS AND ADVISORY
HAS BEEN ALLOWED TO EXPIRE. NO CHANGES IN THE FORECAST AT THIS TIME.

LOW PRES THEN MOVES ACROSS AREA WATERS THU...AND WINDS/SEAS WILL
BUILD BACK UP TO SCA CRITERIA FOR LATE THU AND FRI...POSSIBLY GALE
CRITERIA ON EASTERN OCEAN ZONES.
&&

.OKX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
CT...NONE.
NJ...WINTER STORM WATCH FOR NJZ002>006-011 FROM 6 AM THURSDAY TO 10
     PM THURSDAY.
NY...WINTER STORM WATCH FOR NYZ071>081 FROM 6 AM THURSDAY TO 10 PM
     THURSDAY.
MARINE...NONE.
&&
Hazardous weather outlook, Mar 1, 4:35 AM EST, 11 hours 15 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE UPTON NY
435 AM EST WED MAR 1 2006

NJZ006-NYZ072>081-020945-
HUDSON-NEW YORK (MANHATTAN)-BRONX-RICHMOND (STATEN ISLAND)-
KINGS (BROOKLYN)-QUEENS-NASSAU-NORTHWESTERN SUFFOLK-
NORTHEASTERN SUFFOLK-SOUTHWESTERN SUFFOLK-SOUTHEASTERN SUFFOLK-
435 AM EST WED MAR 1 2006

...WINTER STORM WATCH IN EFFECT FROM THURSDAY MORNING THROUGH
THURSDAY EVENING...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF NORTHEAST NEW
JERSEY AND SOUTHEAST NEW YORK.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY

SNOW...MIXED WITH SOME SLEET...WILL SPREAD ACROSS THE WATCH AREA
THURSDAY MORNING AND CONTINUE THROUGH THE AFTERNOON. TOTAL
ACCUMULATIONS AT THIS TIME IS EXPECTED TO RANGE FROM 5 TO 8
INCHES.

THERE STILL CONSIDERABLE UNCERTAINTY REGARDING THE EXACT TRACK AND
SNOW AMOUNTS WITH THIS STORM.

MEDIUM RANGE FORECAST MODELS ARE HINTING AT THE DEVELOPMENT OF A
COASTAL STORM EARLY NEXT WEEK...WHICH COULD BRING ANOTHER THREAT FOR
WINTRY PRECIPITATION ON MONDAY.

OTHERWISE...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE NEEDED.

NJZ002>005-011-NYZ071-020945-
WESTERN PASSAIC-BERGEN-EASTERN PASSAIC-ESSEX-UNION-
SOUTHERN WESTCHESTER-
435 AM EST WED MAR 1 2006

...WINTER STORM WATCH IN EFFECT FROM THURSDAY MORNING THROUGH
THURSDAY EVENING...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF NORTHEAST NEW
JERSEY AND SOUTHEAST NEW YORK.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY

SNOW...MIXED WITH SOME SLEET...WILL SPREAD ACROSS THE WATCH AREA
THURSDAY MORNING AND CONTINUE THROUGH THE AFTERNOON. TOTAL
ACCUMULATIONS AT THIS TIME IS EXPECTED TO RANGE FROM 5 TO 8
INCHES.

THERE STILL CONSIDERABLE UNCERTAINTY REGARDING THE EXACT TRACK AND
SNOW AMOUNTS WITH THIS STORM.

MEDIUM RANGE FORECAST MODELS ARE HINTING AT THE DEVELOPMENT OF A
COASTAL STORM EARLY NEXT WEEK...WHICH COULD BRING SOME WINTRY
PRECIPITATION ON MONDAY.

OTHERWISE...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE NEEDED.

CTZ005>012-NYZ067>070-020945-
NORTHERN FAIRFIELD-NORTHERN NEW HAVEN-NORTHERN MIDDLESEX-
NORTHERN NEW LONDON-SOUTHERN FAIRFIELD-SOUTHERN NEW HAVEN-
SOUTHERN MIDDLESEX-SOUTHERN NEW LONDON-ORANGE-PUTNAM-ROCKLAND-
NORTHERN WESTCHESTER-
435 AM EST WED MAR 1 2006

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTHERN
CONNECTICUT AND SOUTHEAST NEW YORK.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY

SNOW...POSSIBLY MIXED WITH SOME SLEET...WILL SPREAD ACROSS THE
AREA THURSDAY MORNING AND CONTINUE THROUGH THURSDAY
AFTERNOON...BEFORE ENDING THURSDAY EVENING. AT THIS TIME...TOTAL
ACCUMULATIONS ARE EXPECTED TO RANGE FROM 4 TO 6 INCHES ACROSS THE
LOWER HUDSON VALLEY AND SOUTHERN CONNECTICUT.

THERE REMAINS CONSIDERABLE UNCERTAINTY REGARDING THE EXACT TRACK
AND SNOW AMOUNTS WITH THIS STORM.

MEDIUM RANGE FORECAST MODELS ARE HINTING AT THE DEVELOPMENT OF A
COASTAL STORM EARLY NEXT WEEK...WHICH COULD BRING SOME WINTRY
PRECIPITATION ON MONDAY.

OTHERWISE...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE NEEDED.

ANZ338-020945-
NEW YORK HARBOR-
435 AM EST WED MAR 1 2006

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF ATLANTIC
COASTAL WATERS.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY

SNOW AND SLEET MAY BRIEFLY RESTRICT VISIBILITY TO 1 TO 3 NM LATE
THURSDAY MORNING THROUGH THURSDAY EVENING.

SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE ON SATURDAY.

MEDIUM RANGE FORECAST MODELS ARE HINTING AT THE DEVELOPMENT OF A
COASTAL STORM EARLY NEXT WEEK...WHICH COULD BRING SOME WINTRY
PRECIPITATION AND SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY CONDITIONS ON MONDAY.

OTHERWISE...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE NEEDED.

ANZ330-335-020945-
LONG ISLAND SOUND EAST OF NEW HAVEN CT/PORT JEFFERSON NY-
LONG ISLAND SOUND WEST OF NEW HAVEN CT/PORT JEFFERSON NY-
435 AM EST WED MAR 1 2006

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF ATLANTIC
COASTAL WATERS.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY

SNOW...SLEET AND FREEZING RAIN MAY BRIEFLY RESTRICT VISIBILITY TO
1 TO 3 NM LATE THURSDAY MORNING THROUGH THURSDAY EVENING.

SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE ON SATURDAY.

MEDIUM RANGE FORECAST MODELS ARE HINTING AT THE DEVELOPMENT OF A
COASTAL STORM EARLY NEXT WEEK...WHICH COULD BRING SOME WINTRY
PRECIPITATION AND SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY CONDITIONS ON MONDAY.

OTHERWISE...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE NEEDED.

ANZ350-353-355-020945-
MORICHES INLET NY TO MONTAUK POINT NY OUT 20 NM-
FIRE ISLAND INLET NY TO MORICHES INLET NY OUT 20 NM-
SANDY HOOK NJ TO FIRE ISLAND INLET NY OUT 20 NM-
435 AM EST WED MAR 1 2006

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM EST THIS MORNING...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF ATLANTIC
COASTAL WATERS.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY

SNOW MAY BRIEFLY RESTRICT VISIBILITY TO 1 TO 3 NM THURSDAY MORNING
THROUGH THURSDAY EVENING. AFTER THE ASSOCIATED LOW PRESSURE
SYSTEM MOVES EAST OF THE AREA...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY CONDITIONS
ARE POSSIBLE FROM THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY.

MEDIUM RANGE FORECAST MODELS ARE HINTING AT THE DEVELOPMENT OF A
COASTAL STORM EARLY NEXT WEEK...WHICH COULD BRING SOME WINTRY
PRECIPITATION AND GALE FORCE WIND GUSTS ON MONDAY.

OTHERWISE...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE NEEDED.

In the hours before

Special weather statement, Mar 1, 10:51 AM EST, 4 hours 59 minutes before
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE UPTON NY
1051 AM EST WED MAR 1 2006

CTZ005>012-NYZ067>070-012200-
NORTHERN FAIRFIELD-NORTHERN NEW HAVEN-NORTHERN MIDDLESEX-
NORTHERN NEW LONDON-SOUTHERN FAIRFIELD-SOUTHERN NEW HAVEN-
SOUTHERN MIDDLESEX-SOUTHERN NEW LONDON-ORANGE-PUTNAM-ROCKLAND-
NORTHERN WESTCHESTER-
1051 AM EST WED MAR 1 2006

...WINTRY WEATHER EXPECTED THURSDAY...

A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL TRACK THROUGH THE OHIO VALLEY LATE
TONIGHT...GRADUALLY STRENGTHENING AS IT MOVES ACROSS THE DELMARVA
REGION AND INTO THE ATLANTIC OCEAN LATE THURSDAY AFTERNOON INTO
THURSDAY EVENING.

SNOW...POSSIBLY MIXED WITH SOME SLEET...WILL BEGIN THURSDAY
MORNING AND CONTINUE THROUGH THURSDAY AFTERNOON...BEFORE ENDING
THURSDAY EVENING. AT THIS TIME...TOTAL SNOW AND SLEET ACCUMULATIONS
ARE EXPECTED TO RANGE FROM 4 TO 6 INCHES ACROSS THE LOWER HUDSON
VALLEY AND SOUTHERN CONNECTICUT. THERE REMAINS CONSIDERABLE
UNCERTAINTY REGARDING THE EXACT TRACK OF THE STORM. THE TRACK OF
THE STORM WILL DETERMINE HOW MUCH SNOW AND SLEET FALLS ACROSS THE
AREA.

WINTER WEATHER ADVISORIES COULD EVENTUALLY BE ISSUED FOR A PORTION
OR ALL OF THE AREA FOR THURSDAY. STAY TUNED TO NOAA ALL HAZARDS
WEATHER RADIO OR VISIT OUR WEB SITE AT WEATHER.GOV/NYC FOR FURTHER
DETAILS AND UPDATES.

The office that day

Everything else NWS New York, NY issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Mar 1, 4:24 AM ESTWinter Storm WatchOKXBronx, Kings, New York, Richmond, Suffolk, Westchester11 hr
Mar 1, 3:50 PM ESTSnow AdvisoryOKXOrange, Putnam, Rockland, Westchester13 hr

Nearby

Winter Storm Warnings in New York, 2006Winter Storm Warnings in New Jersey, 2006Every winter storm warning in 2006

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.