Alert archive / New York / Winter Storm Warnings in 2006
Winter Storm Warning 4, NWS New York, NY
NWS New York, NY issued this winter storm warning at Mar 1, 2006, 3:50 PM EST for 6 counties in New York; Hudson County, Passaic County, New Jersey. It took effect at Mar 2, 2006, 9:00 AM EST. It was in force for 5 hr. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.
The area
The counties it named.
The facts
- Issued
- Mar 1, 2006, 3:50 PM EST (20:50 UTC)
- In effect from
- Mar 2, 2006, 9:00 AM EST
- Expired
- Mar 2, 2006, 2:21 PM EST
- In force
- 5 hr
- Issued by
- NWS New York, NY
Counties Hudson County, NJ, Passaic County, NJ, Bronx County, NY, Kings County, NY, New York County, NY, Richmond County, NY, Suffolk County, NY, Westchester County, NY
The radar
The Brookhaven radar (KOKX), 83 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 20:49 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
The nearest sounding before it
Brookhaven, NY (KOKX), launched 12:00Z, 8.8 hours before the alert went out and 83 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 0 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- No buoyant parcel
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 1354 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 70 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- 58 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 33 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 0.0
- Supercell composite
- 0.0
The text
As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.
000 WWUS41 KOKX 012050 WSWOKX URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE UPTON NY 350 PM EST WED MAR 1 2006 ...A SIGNIFICANT SNOWFALL EVENT ON TAP FOR THURSDAY... .A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM OVER THE MISSISSIPPI VALLEY THIS EVENING WILL TRACK EAST OVERNIGHT...GRADUALLY STRENGTHENING AS IT MOVES INTO THE OHIO VALLEY BY DAYBREAK. THE SYSTEM WILL DEEPEN MORE RAPIDLY DURING THE DAY THURSDAY...MOVING OFF THE NORTHERN MID ATLANTIC COAST BY EARLY EVENING. THIS TRACK WILL BE FAR ENOUGH SOUTH TO SUPPORT A MAINLY SNOW EVENT...WITH PERHAPS SOME SLEET MIXING IN AT THE ONSET. SNOW WILL OVERSPREAD THE TRI-STATE AREA FROM WEST TO EAST DURING THE MID TO LATE MORNING HOURS...WITH THE STEADIEST SNOW FALLING IN THE AFTERNOON. NJZ002>006-011-NYZ071>078-080-020500- /O.UPG.KOKX.WS.A.0002.060302T1100Z-060303T0300Z/ /O.NEW.KOKX.WS.W.0004.060302T1400Z-060303T0500Z/ WESTERN PASSAIC-BERGEN-EASTERN PASSAIC-ESSEX-HUDSON-UNION- SOUTHERN WESTCHESTER-NEW YORK (MANHATTAN)-BRONX- RICHMOND (STATEN ISLAND)-KINGS (BROOKLYN)-QUEENS-NASSAU- NORTHWESTERN SUFFOLK-SOUTHWESTERN SUFFOLK- 350 PM EST WED MAR 1 2006 ...WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 9 AM THURSDAY TO MIDNIGHT EST THURSDAY NIGHT... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN UPTON HAS ISSUED A WINTER STORM WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 9 AM THURSDAY TO MIDNIGHT EST THURSDAY NIGHT. THE WINTER STORM WATCH IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT. SNOW...MIXED WITH SOME SLEET AT THE ONSET...WILL BEGIN THURSDAY MORNING AND CONTINUE THROUGH THE AFTERNOON...BEFORE ENDING THURSDAY NIGHT. THE HEAVIEST SNOW IS FORECAST TO FALL IN THE AFTERNOON. AT THIS TIME...TOTAL ACCUMULATIONS ARE EXPECTED TO RANGE FROM 5 TO 7 INCHES ACROSS THE WARNING AREA. A WINTER STORM WARNING MEANS SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF SNOW ARE EXPECTED OR OCCURRING. THIS WILL MAKE TRAVEL VERY HAZARDOUS OR IMPOSSIBLE. STAY TUNED TO NOAA ALL HAZARDS WEATHER RADIO OR VISIT OUR WEB SITE AT WEATHER.GOV/NYC FOR FURTHER DETAILS AND UPDATES. $$ NYZ079-081-020500- /O.UPG.KOKX.WS.A.0002.060302T1100Z-060303T0300Z/ /O.NEW.KOKX.WS.W.0004.060302T1700Z-060303T0700Z/ NORTHEASTERN SUFFOLK-SOUTHEASTERN SUFFOLK- 350 PM EST WED MAR 1 2006 ...WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 12 PM THURSDAY TO 2 AM EST FRIDAY... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN UPTON HAS ISSUED A WINTER STORM WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 12 PM THURSDAY TO 2 AM EST FRIDAY. THE WINTER STORM WATCH IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT. SNOW...MIXED WITH SOME SLEET AT THE ONSET...WILL BEGIN AROUND NOONTIME THURSDAY AND CONTINUE THROUGH THE AFTERNOON...BEFORE ENDING LATE THURSDAY NIGHT. THE HEAVIEST SNOW IS FORECAST TO FALL DURING THE AFTERNOON HOURS. AT THIS TIME...TOTAL ACCUMULATIONS ARE EXPECTED TO RANGE FROM 5 TO 7 INCHES ACROSS THE WARNING AREA. A WINTER STORM WARNING MEANS SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF SNOW ARE EXPECTED OR OCCURRING. THIS WILL MAKE TRAVEL VERY HAZARDOUS OR IMPOSSIBLE. STAY TUNED TO NOAA ALL HAZARDS WEATHER RADIO OR VISIT OUR WEB SITE AT WEATHER.GOV/NYC FOR FURTHER DETAILS AND UPDATES. $$ CTZ007-008-011-012-020500- /O.NEW.KOKX.SN.Y.0001.060302T1700Z-060303T0700Z/ NORTHERN MIDDLESEX-NORTHERN NEW LONDON-SOUTHERN MIDDLESEX- SOUTHERN NEW LONDON- 350 PM EST WED MAR 1 2006 ...SNOW ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 12 PM THURSDAY TO 2 AM EST FRIDAY... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN UPTON HAS ISSUED A SNOW ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 12 PM THURSDAY TO 2 AM EST FRIDAY. SNOW WILL BEGIN AROUND NOONTIME THURSDAY AND CONTINUE THROUGH THE AFTERNOON...BEFORE ENDING LATE THURSDAY NIGHT. THE STEADIEST SNOW IS FORECAST TO FALL DURING THE AFTERNOON HOURS. AT THIS TIME... TOTAL ACCUMULATIONS ARE EXPECTED TO RANGE FROM 2 TO 4 INCHES ACROSS THE ADVISORY AREA. A SNOW ADVISORY MEANS THAT PERIODS OF SNOW WILL CAUSE PRIMARILY TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR SNOW COVERED ROADS AND LIMITED VISIBILITIES...AND USE CAUTION WHILE DRIVING. $$ NYZ067>070-020500- /O.NEW.KOKX.SN.Y.0001.060302T1400Z-060303T0500Z/ ORANGE-PUTNAM-ROCKLAND-NORTHERN WESTCHESTER- 350 PM EST WED MAR 1 2006 ...SNOW ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 9 AM THURSDAY TO MIDNIGHT EST THURSDAY NIGHT... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN UPTON HAS ISSUED A SNOW ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 9 AM THURSDAY TO MIDNIGHT EST THURSDAY NIGHT. SNOW WILL BEGIN THURSDAY MORNING AND CONTINUE THROUGH THE AFTERNOON...BEFORE ENDING THURSDAY NIGHT. THE STEADIEST SNOW IS FORECAST TO FALL DURING THE AFTERNOON HOURS. AT THIS TIME... TOTAL ACCUMULATIONS ARE EXPECTED TO RANGE FROM 3 TO 5 INCHES ACROSS THE ADVISORY AREA. A SNOW ADVISORY MEANS THAT PERIODS OF SNOW WILL CAUSE PRIMARILY TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR SNOW COVERED ROADS AND LIMITED VISIBILITIES...AND USE CAUTION WHILE DRIVING. $$ CTZ005-006-009-010-020500- /O.NEW.KOKX.SN.Y.0001.060302T1400Z-060303T0500Z/ NORTHERN FAIRFIELD-NORTHERN NEW HAVEN-SOUTHERN FAIRFIELD- SOUTHERN NEW HAVEN- 350 PM EST WED MAR 1 2006 ...SNOW ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 9 AM THURSDAY TO MIDNIGHT EST THURSDAY NIGHT... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN UPTON HAS ISSUED A SNOW ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 9 AM THURSDAY TO MIDNIGHT EST THURSDAY NIGHT. SNOW WILL BEGIN THURSDAY MORNING AND CONTINUE THROUGH THE AFTERNOON...BEFORE ENDING THURSDAY NIGHT. THE STEADIEST SNOW IS FORECAST TO FALL DURING THE AFTERNOON HOURS. AT THIS TIME... TOTAL ACCUMULATIONS ARE EXPECTED TO RANGE FROM 3 TO 6 INCHES ACROSS THE ADVISORY AREA. A SNOW ADVISORY MEANS THAT PERIODS OF SNOW WILL CAUSE PRIMARILY TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR SNOW COVERED ROADS AND LIMITED VISIBILITIES...AND USE CAUTION WHILE DRIVING. $$
4 follow-up statements
000 WWUS41 KOKX 020305 WSWOKX URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE UPTON NY 1005 PM EST WED MAR 1 2006 ...A SIGNIFICANT SNOWFALL EVENT ON TAP FOR THURSDAY... .A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL STRENGTHEN AND TRACK UP THE OHIO RIVER VALLEY OVERNIGHT...REACHING WEST CENTRAL OHIO BY THURSDAY MORNING. THE LOW WILL CONTINUE TO INTENSIFY...TRACKING SOUTH OF THE MASON DIXON LINE...AND BEING EAST OF THE DELMARVA PENINSULA AND SOUTH OF RHODE ISLAND BY THURSDAY EVENING...AND THEN CONTINUE TRACKING EAST AND NORTH THURSDAY NIGHT. THIS TRACK WILL BE FAR ENOUGH SOUTH TO SUPPORT A MAINLY SNOW EVENT...WITH PERHAPS SOME SLEET MIXING IN AT TIMES ACROSS THE NORTHEAST NEW JERSEY AND COASTAL PORTIONS OF NEW YORK...INCLUDING NEW YORK CITY. SNOW WILL OVER-SPREAD THE TRI- STATE AREA FROM WEST TO EAST DURING FROM MID MORNING INTO THE AFTERNOON...WITH THE STEADIEST SNOW FALLING FROM THE AFTERNOON INTO THE EVENING...INCLUDING THE EVENING RUSH HOUR. NJZ002>006-011-NYZ071>078-080-021100- /O.CON.KOKX.WS.W.0004.060302T1400Z-060303T0500Z/ WESTERN PASSAIC-BERGEN-EASTERN PASSAIC-ESSEX-HUDSON-UNION- SOUTHERN WESTCHESTER-NEW YORK (MANHATTAN)-BRONX- RICHMOND (STATEN ISLAND)-KINGS (BROOKLYN)-QUEENS-NASSAU- NORTHWESTERN SUFFOLK-SOUTHWESTERN SUFFOLK- 1005 PM EST WED MAR 1 2006 ...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 9 AM THURSDAY TO MIDNIGHT EST THURSDAY NIGHT... A WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 9 AM THURSDAY TO MIDNIGHT EST THURSDAY NIGHT. SNOW...MIXED WITH SOME SLEET AT TIMES...WILL BEGIN THURSDAY MORNING AND CONTINUE THROUGH THE AFTERNOON...BEFORE ENDING THURSDAY NIGHT. THE HEAVIEST SNOW IS FORECAST TO FALL IN THE AFTERNOON...INCLUDING THE EVENING RUSH HOUR. AT THIS TIME...TOTAL ACCUMULATIONS ARE EXPECTED TO RANGE FROM 5 TO 7 INCHES...WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS...ACROSS THE WARNING AREA. A WINTER STORM WARNING MEANS SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF SNOW ARE EXPECTED OR OCCURRING. THIS WILL MAKE TRAVEL VERY HAZARDOUS OR IMPOSSIBLE. STAY TUNED TO NOAA ALL HAZARDS WEATHER RADIO OR VISIT OUR WEB SITE AT WEATHER.GOV/NYC FOR FURTHER DETAILS AND UPDATES. $$ NYZ079-081-021100- /O.CON.KOKX.WS.W.0004.060302T1700Z-060303T0700Z/ NORTHEASTERN SUFFOLK-SOUTHEASTERN SUFFOLK- 1005 PM EST WED MAR 1 2006 ...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 12 PM THURSDAY TO 2 AM EST FRIDAY... A WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 12 PM THURSDAY TO 2 AM EST FRIDAY. SNOW...MIXED WITH SOME SLEET AT TIMES...WILL BEGIN AROUND NOONTIME THURSDAY AND CONTINUE THROUGH THE AFTERNOON...BEFORE ENDING LATE THURSDAY NIGHT. THE HEAVIEST SNOW IS FORECAST TO FALL FROM THE MID AFTERNOON TO EARLY EVENING HOURS. AT THIS TIME...TOTAL ACCUMULATIONS ARE EXPECTED TO RANGE FROM 5 TO 7 INCHES...WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS...ACROSS THE WARNING AREA. A WINTER STORM WARNING MEANS SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF SNOW ARE EXPECTED OR OCCURRING. THIS WILL MAKE TRAVEL VERY HAZARDOUS OR IMPOSSIBLE. STAY TUNED TO NOAA ALL HAZARDS WEATHER RADIO OR VISIT OUR WEB SITE AT WEATHER.GOV/NYC FOR FURTHER DETAILS AND UPDATES. $$ CTZ007-008-011-012-021100- /O.CON.KOKX.SN.Y.0001.060302T1700Z-060303T0700Z/ NORTHERN MIDDLESEX-NORTHERN NEW LONDON-SOUTHERN MIDDLESEX- SOUTHERN NEW LONDON- 1005 PM EST WED MAR 1 2006 ...SNOW ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 12 PM THURSDAY TO 2 AM EST FRIDAY... A SNOW ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 12 PM THURSDAY TO 2 AM EST FRIDAY. SNOW WILL BEGIN BY EARLY AFTERNOON THURSDAY AND CONTINUE THROUGH THE EVENING...BEFORE ENDING LATE THURSDAY NIGHT. THE STEADIEST SNOW IS FORECAST TO FALL FROM THE AFTERNOON TO MID EVENING HOURS. AT THIS TIME... TOTAL ACCUMULATIONS ARE EXPECTED TO RANGE FROM 2 TO 5 INCHES ACROSS COASTAL AREAS AND 3 TO 6 INCHES...ACROSS INLAND AREAS OF THE ADVISORY AREA. A SNOW ADVISORY MEANS THAT PERIODS OF SNOW WILL CAUSE PRIMARILY TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR SNOW COVERED ROADS AND LIMITED VISIBILITIES...AND USE CAUTION WHILE DRIVING. $$ NYZ067>070-021100- /O.CON.KOKX.SN.Y.0001.060302T1400Z-060303T0500Z/ ORANGE-PUTNAM-ROCKLAND-NORTHERN WESTCHESTER- 1005 PM EST WED MAR 1 2006 ...SNOW ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 9 AM THURSDAY TO MIDNIGHT EST THURSDAY NIGHT... A SNOW ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 9 AM THURSDAY TO MIDNIGHT EST THURSDAY NIGHT. SNOW WILL BEGIN BY MID MORNING THURSDAY AND CONTINUE THROUGH THE AFTERNOON...BEFORE ENDING THURSDAY NIGHT. THE STEADIEST SNOW IS FORECAST TO FALL DURING THE AFTERNOON HOURS...INCLUDING THE EVENING RUSH HOUR. AT THIS TIME... TOTAL ACCUMULATIONS ARE EXPECTED TO RANGE FROM 3 TO 5 INCHES...WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS...ACROSS THE ADVISORY AREA. A SNOW ADVISORY MEANS THAT PERIODS OF SNOW WILL CAUSE PRIMARILY TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR SNOW COVERED ROADS AND LIMITED VISIBILITIES...AND USE CAUTION WHILE DRIVING. $$ CTZ005-006-009-010-021100- /O.CON.KOKX.SN.Y.0001.060302T1400Z-060303T0500Z/ NORTHERN FAIRFIELD-NORTHERN NEW HAVEN-SOUTHERN FAIRFIELD- SOUTHERN NEW HAVEN- 1005 PM EST WED MAR 1 2006 ...SNOW ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 9 AM THURSDAY TO MIDNIGHT EST THURSDAY NIGHT... A SNOW ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 9 AM THURSDAY TO MIDNIGHT EST THURSDAY NIGHT. SNOW WILL BEGIN BY MIDDAY THURSDAY AND CONTINUE THROUGH THE AFTERNOON...BEFORE ENDING THURSDAY NIGHT. THE STEADIEST SNOW IS FORECAST TO FALL DURING THE MID AFTERNOON TO EARLY EVENING HOURS. AT THIS TIME... TOTAL ACCUMULATIONS ARE EXPECTED TO RANGE FROM 3 TO 6 INCHES...WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS...ACROSS THE ADVISORY AREA. A SNOW ADVISORY MEANS THAT PERIODS OF SNOW WILL CAUSE PRIMARILY TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR SNOW COVERED ROADS AND LIMITED VISIBILITIES...AND USE CAUTION WHILE DRIVING. $$ MALOIT
000 WWUS41 KOKX 021013 WSWOKX URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE UPTON NY 513 AM EST THU MAR 2 2006 ...A SIGNIFICANT SNOWFALL EVENT ON TAP FOR TODAY AND THIS EVENING... .A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM OVER OHIO THIS MORNING WILL STRENGTHEN AND TRACK SOUTH OF THE MASON DIXON LINE TODAY...MOVING OFFSHORE FROM THE DELMARVA PENINSULA BY THIS EVENING. THE LOW WILL THEN CONTINUE TRACKING EAST AND NORTH TONIGHT. THIS TRACK WILL BE FAR ENOUGH SOUTH TO SUPPORT A MAINLY SNOW EVENT...WITH SOME SLEET POSSIBLY MIXING IN AT TIMES ACROSS THE NORTHEAST NEW JERSEY AND COASTAL PORTIONS OF NEW YORK...INCLUDING NEW YORK CITY. SNOW WILL OVER-SPREAD THE TRI-STATE AREA FROM WEST TO EAST DURING THE MID TO LATE MORNING INTO THE AFTERNOON...WITH THE STEADIEST SNOW FALLING FROM THE AFTERNOON INTO THE EARLY EVENING HOURS...INCLUDING THE EVENING RUSH HOUR. CTZ005-009-NYZ067>070-021800- /O.UPG.KOKX.SN.Y.0001.060302T1400Z-060303T0500Z/ /O.NEW.KOKX.HS.W.0002.060302T1400Z-060303T0500Z/ NORTHERN FAIRFIELD-SOUTHERN FAIRFIELD-ORANGE-PUTNAM-ROCKLAND- NORTHERN WESTCHESTER- 513 AM EST THU MAR 2 2006 ...HEAVY SNOW WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 9 AM THIS MORNING TO MIDNIGHT EST TONIGHT... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN UPTON HAS ISSUED A HEAVY SNOW WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 9 AM THIS MORNING TO MIDNIGHT EST TONIGHT. THE SNOW ADVISORY IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT. SNOW WILL BEGIN BY MID TO LATE MORNING...AND CONTINUE THROUGH THE AFTERNOON...BEFORE ENDING DURING THE EVENING. THE HEAVIEST SNOW IS FORECAST TO FALL IN THE AFTERNOON...INCLUDING THE EVENING RUSH HOUR. AT THIS TIME...TOTAL SNOW ACCUMULATIONS ARE EXPECTED TO RANGE FROM 5 TO 10 INCHES...WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS POSSIBLE. A HEAVY SNOW WARNING MEANS SEVERE WINTER WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED OR OCCURRING. SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF SNOW ARE FORECAST THAT WILL MAKE TRAVEL DANGEROUS. ONLY TRAVEL IN AN EMERGENCY. IF YOU MUST...KEEP AN EXTRA FLASHLIGHT...FOOD...AND WATER IN YOUR VEHICLE IN CASE OF AN EMERGENCY. $$ CTZ006-010-021800- /O.UPG.KOKX.SN.Y.0001.060302T1400Z-060303T0500Z/ /O.NEW.KOKX.HS.W.0002.060302T1700Z-060303T0700Z/ NORTHERN NEW HAVEN-SOUTHERN NEW HAVEN- 513 AM EST THU MAR 2 2006 ...HEAVY SNOW WARNING IN EFFECT FROM NOON TODAY TO 2 AM EST FRIDAY... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN UPTON HAS ISSUED A HEAVY SNOW WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM NOON TODAY TO 2 AM EST FRIDAY. THE SNOW ADVISORY IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT. SNOW WILL BEGIN AROUND NOONTIME TODAY...AND CONTINUE THROUGH THE AFTERNOON AND EVENING...BEFORE ENDING LATE TONIGHT. THE HEAVIEST SNOW IS FORECAST TO FALL FROM THE MID AFTERNOON TO EARLY EVENING HOURS. AT THIS TIME...TOTAL ACCUMULATIONS ARE EXPECTED TO RANGE FROM 4 TO 8 INCHES...WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS POSSIBLE. A HEAVY SNOW WARNING MEANS SEVERE WINTER WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED OR OCCURRING. SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF SNOW ARE FORECAST THAT WILL MAKE TRAVEL DANGEROUS. ONLY TRAVEL IN AN EMERGENCY. IF YOU MUST...KEEP AN EXTRA FLASHLIGHT...FOOD...AND WATER IN YOUR VEHICLE IN CASE OF AN EMERGENCY. $$ CTZ007-008-011-012-021800- /O.UPG.KOKX.SN.Y.0001.060302T1700Z-060303T0700Z/ /O.NEW.KOKX.HS.W.0002.060302T1700Z-060303T0700Z/ NORTHERN MIDDLESEX-NORTHERN NEW LONDON-SOUTHERN MIDDLESEX- SOUTHERN NEW LONDON- 513 AM EST THU MAR 2 2006 ...HEAVY SNOW WARNING IN EFFECT FROM NOON TODAY TO 2 AM EST FRIDAY... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN UPTON HAS ISSUED A HEAVY SNOW WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM NOON TODAY TO 2 AM EST FRIDAY. THE SNOW ADVISORY IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT. SNOW WILL BEGIN BY EARLY THIS AFTERNOON AND CONTINUE THROUGH THE EVENING...BEFORE ENDING LATE TONIGHT. THE STEADIEST SNOW IS FORECAST TO FALL FROM THE AFTERNOON TO MID EVENING HOURS. AT THIS TIME... TOTAL ACCUMULATIONS ARE EXPECTED TO RANGE FROM 4 TO 8 INCHES...WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS POSSIBLE. A HEAVY SNOW WARNING MEANS SEVERE WINTER WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED OR OCCURRING. SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF SNOW ARE FORECAST THAT WILL MAKE TRAVEL DANGEROUS. ONLY TRAVEL IN AN EMERGENCY. IF YOU MUST...KEEP AN EXTRA FLASHLIGHT...FOOD...AND WATER IN YOUR VEHICLE IN CASE OF AN EMERGENCY. $$ NJZ002>006-011-NYZ071>078-080-021800- /O.CON.KOKX.WS.W.0004.060302T1400Z-060303T0500Z/ WESTERN PASSAIC-BERGEN-EASTERN PASSAIC-ESSEX-HUDSON-UNION- SOUTHERN WESTCHESTER-NEW YORK (MANHATTAN)-BRONX- RICHMOND (STATEN ISLAND)-KINGS (BROOKLYN)-QUEENS-NASSAU- NORTHWESTERN SUFFOLK-SOUTHWESTERN SUFFOLK- 513 AM EST THU MAR 2 2006 ...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 9 AM THIS MORNING TO MIDNIGHT EST TONIGHT... A WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 9 AM THIS MORNING TO MIDNIGHT EST TONIGHT. SNOW...MIXED WITH SOME SLEET AT TIMES...WILL BEGIN BY MID TO LATE MORNING...AND CONTINUE THROUGH THE AFTERNOON...BEFORE ENDING DURING THE EVENING. THE HEAVIEST SNOW IS FORECAST TO FALL IN THE AFTERNOON...INCLUDING THE EVENING RUSH HOUR. THERE IS SIGNIFICANT UNCERTAINTY AS TO THE AMOUNT OF MIXING WITH SLEET THAT WILL OCCUR TODAY. THE AMOUNT OF MIXING MAY AFFECT SNOWFALL TOTALS...AS MORE MIXING WITH SLEET WILL REDUCE THE ACCUMULATIONS OF SNOW. AT THIS TIME...TOTAL SNOW AND SLEET ACCUMULATIONS ARE EXPECTED TO RANGE FROM 4 TO 8 INCHES...WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS POSSIBLE. IN ADDITION TO THE SNOW AND SLEET...THERE IS A CHANCE FOR SOME FREEZING DRIZZLE DURING THE EVENING HOURS...AS THE SNOW BEGINS TO TAPER OFF. A WINTER STORM WARNING MEANS SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF SNOW ARE EXPECTED OR OCCURRING. THIS WILL MAKE TRAVEL VERY HAZARDOUS OR IMPOSSIBLE. STAY TUNED TO NOAA ALL HAZARDS WEATHER RADIO OR VISIT OUR WEB SITE AT WEATHER.GOV/NYC FOR FURTHER DETAILS AND UPDATES. $$ NYZ079-081-021800- /O.CON.KOKX.WS.W.0004.060302T1700Z-060303T0700Z/ NORTHEASTERN SUFFOLK-SOUTHEASTERN SUFFOLK- 513 AM EST THU MAR 2 2006 ...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM NOON TODAY TO 2 AM EST FRIDAY... A WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM NOON TODAY TO 2 AM EST FRIDAY. SNOW WILL BEGIN AROUND NOONTIME TODAY...AND CONTINUE THROUGH THE AFTERNOON AND EVENING...BEFORE ENDING LATE TONIGHT. THE HEAVIEST SNOW IS FORECAST TO FALL FROM THE MID AFTERNOON TO EARLY EVENING HOURS. AT THIS TIME...TOTAL ACCUMULATIONS ARE EXPECTED TO RANGE FROM 5 TO 8 INCHES...WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS POSSIBLE. A WINTER STORM WARNING MEANS SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF SNOW ARE EXPECTED OR OCCURRING. THIS WILL MAKE TRAVEL VERY HAZARDOUS OR IMPOSSIBLE. STAY TUNED TO NOAA ALL HAZARDS WEATHER RADIO OR VISIT OUR WEB SITE AT WEATHER.GOV/NYC FOR FURTHER DETAILS AND UPDATES. $$ JACOBSON
000 WWUS41 KOKX 021436 WSWOKX URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE UPTON NY 936 AM EST THU MAR 2 2006 ...A SIGNIFICANT SNOWFALL EVENT ON TAP FOR TODAY AND THIS EVENING... .A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM OVER OHIO THIS MORNING WILL STRENGTHEN AND TRACK ACROSS THE NORTHERN MIDDLE ATLANTIC STATES THIS AFTERNOON... MOVING OFFSHORE THE DELMARVA PENINSULA BY THIS EVENING. THE LOW WILL THEN CONTINUE TRACKING EAST AND NORTH TONIGHT. THIS TRACK WILL BE FAR ENOUGH SOUTH TO SUPPORT A MAINLY SNOW EVENT...WITH SOME SLEET POSSIBLY MIXING IN AT TIMES ACROSS NORTHEAST NEW JERSEY AND COASTAL PORTIONS OF NEW YORK...INCLUDING NEW YORK CITY. THE STEADIEST SNOW WILL FALL DURING THE AFTERNOON INTO THE EARLY EVENING HOURS...INCLUDING THE EVENING RUSH HOUR. CTZ006>008-010>012-022245- /O.EXT.KOKX.HS.W.0002.060302T1436Z-060303T0700Z/ NORTHERN NEW HAVEN-NORTHERN MIDDLESEX-NORTHERN NEW LONDON- SOUTHERN NEW HAVEN-SOUTHERN MIDDLESEX-SOUTHERN NEW LONDON- 936 AM EST THU MAR 2 2006 ...HEAVY SNOW WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 2 AM EST FRIDAY... THE HEAVY SNOW WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 2 AM EST FRIDAY. SNOW WILL CONTINUE INTO THIS AFTERNOON...BECOMING HEAVY AT TIMES...BEFORE ENDING LATE TONIGHT. AT THIS TIME...TOTAL ACCUMULATIONS ARE EXPECTED TO RANGE FROM 4 TO 8 INCHES...WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS POSSIBLE. A HEAVY SNOW WARNING MEANS SEVERE WINTER WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED OR OCCURRING. SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF SNOW ARE FORECAST THAT WILL MAKE TRAVEL DANGEROUS. ONLY TRAVEL IN AN EMERGENCY. IF YOU MUST...KEEP AN EXTRA FLASHLIGHT...FOOD...AND WATER IN YOUR VEHICLE IN CASE OF AN EMERGENCY. $$ NYZ079-081-022245- /O.EXT.KOKX.WS.W.0004.060302T1436Z-060303T0700Z/ NORTHEASTERN SUFFOLK-SOUTHEASTERN SUFFOLK- 936 AM EST THU MAR 2 2006 ...WINTER STORM WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 2 AM EST FRIDAY... THE WINTER STORM WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 2 AM EST FRIDAY. SNOW...POSSIBLY MIXED WITH SLEET AT TIMES...WILL CONTINUE INTO THIS AFTERNOON...BECOMING HEAVY AT TIMES. THE SNOW WILL END LATE TONIGHT. AT THIS TIME...TOTAL ACCUMULATIONS ARE EXPECTED TO RANGE FROM 5 TO 8 INCHES...WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS POSSIBLE. A WINTER STORM WARNING MEANS SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF SNOW ARE EXPECTED OR OCCURRING. THIS WILL MAKE TRAVEL VERY HAZARDOUS OR IMPOSSIBLE. STAY TUNED TO NOAA ALL HAZARDS WEATHER RADIO OR VISIT OUR WEB SITE AT WEATHER.GOV/NYC FOR FURTHER DETAILS AND UPDATES. $$ CTZ005-009-NYZ067>070-022245- /O.CON.KOKX.HS.W.0002.000000T0000Z-060303T0500Z/ NORTHERN FAIRFIELD-SOUTHERN FAIRFIELD-ORANGE-PUTNAM-ROCKLAND- NORTHERN WESTCHESTER- 936 AM EST THU MAR 2 2006 ...HEAVY SNOW WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT EST TONIGHT... A HEAVY SNOW WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT EST TONIGHT. SNOW WILL CONTINUE INTO THIS AFTERNOON...BECOMING HEAVY AT TIMES...BEFORE ENDING THIS EVENING. AT THIS TIME...TOTAL ACCUMULATIONS ARE EXPECTED TO RANGE FROM 5 TO 10 INCHES... WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS POSSIBLE. A HEAVY SNOW WARNING MEANS SEVERE WINTER WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED OR OCCURRING. SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF SNOW ARE FORECAST THAT WILL MAKE TRAVEL DANGEROUS. ONLY TRAVEL IN AN EMERGENCY. IF YOU MUST...KEEP AN EXTRA FLASHLIGHT...FOOD...AND WATER IN YOUR VEHICLE IN CASE OF AN EMERGENCY. $$ NJZ002>006-011-NYZ071>078-080-022245- /O.CON.KOKX.WS.W.0004.000000T0000Z-060303T0500Z/ WESTERN PASSAIC-BERGEN-EASTERN PASSAIC-ESSEX-HUDSON-UNION- SOUTHERN WESTCHESTER-NEW YORK (MANHATTAN)-BRONX- RICHMOND (STATEN ISLAND)-KINGS (BROOKLYN)-QUEENS-NASSAU- NORTHWESTERN SUFFOLK-SOUTHWESTERN SUFFOLK- 936 AM EST THU MAR 2 2006 ...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT EST TONIGHT... A WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT EST TONIGHT. SNOW...POSSIBLY MIXED WITH SLEET AT TIMES...WILL CONTINUE INTO THIS AFTERNOON...BECOMING HEAVY AT TIMES. THE SNOW WILL END THIS EVENING. AT THIS TIME...TOTAL ACCUMULATIONS ARE EXPECTED TO RANGE FROM 4 TO 8 INCHES...WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS POSSIBLE. IN ADDITION TO THE SNOW AND SLEET...THERE IS A CHANCE FOR SOME FREEZING DRIZZLE DURING THE EVENING HOURS...AS THE SNOW BEGINS TO TAPER OFF. A WINTER STORM WARNING MEANS SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF SNOW ARE EXPECTED OR OCCURRING. THIS WILL MAKE TRAVEL VERY HAZARDOUS OR IMPOSSIBLE. STAY TUNED TO NOAA ALL HAZARDS WEATHER RADIO OR VISIT OUR WEB SITE AT WEATHER.GOV/NYC FOR FURTHER DETAILS AND UPDATES. $$
000 WWUS41 KOKX 021921 WSWOKX URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE UPTON NY 221 PM EST THU MAR 2 2006 ...WINTRY WEATHER TO CONTINUE INTO THIS EVENING... .LOW PRESSURE WILL MOVE WELL SOUTH OF LONG ISLAND EARLY THIS EVENING BEFORE MOVING WELL OUT TO SEA EAST OF NANTUCKET TONIGHT. CTZ006>008-010>012-030330- /O.CAN.KOKX.HS.W.0002.000000T0000Z-060303T0700Z/ /O.NEW.KOKX.WW.Y.0011.060302T1921Z-060303T0500Z/ NORTHERN NEW HAVEN-NORTHERN MIDDLESEX-NORTHERN NEW LONDON- SOUTHERN NEW HAVEN-SOUTHERN MIDDLESEX-SOUTHERN NEW LONDON- 221 PM EST THU MAR 2 2006 ...HEAVY SNOW WARNING IS CANCELLED... ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT EST TONIGHT... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN UPTON HAS ISSUED A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT EST TONIGHT. THE HEAVY SNOW WARNING HAS BEEN CANCELLED. SNOW MIXED WITH SLEET WILL CONTINUE FOR THE REST OF THIS AFTERNOON AND THIS EVENING. SOME FREEZING RAIN MAY MIX IN AT TIMES. STORM TOTAL SNOW AND SLEET ACCUMULATIONS ARE NOW EXPECTED TO RANGE BETWEEN 3 AND 6 INCHES. TRAVEL WILL LIKELY BE TREACHEROUS DURING THE EVENING RUSH HOUR AS SOME ICING IS EXPECTED. A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY MEANS THAT PERIODS OF SNOW...SLEET...OR FREEZING RAIN WILL CAUSE TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR SLIPPERY ROADS AND LIMITED VISIBILITIES...AND USE CAUTION WHILE DRIVING. STAY TUNED TO NOAA ALL HAZARDS WEATHER RADIO OR VISIT OUR WEB SITE AT WEATHER.GOV/NYC FOR FURTHER DETAILS AND UPDATES. $$ CTZ005-009-NYZ067>070-030330- /O.CAN.KOKX.HS.W.0002.000000T0000Z-060303T0500Z/ /O.NEW.KOKX.WW.Y.0011.060302T1921Z-060303T0500Z/ NORTHERN FAIRFIELD-SOUTHERN FAIRFIELD-ORANGE-PUTNAM-ROCKLAND- NORTHERN WESTCHESTER- 221 PM EST THU MAR 2 2006 ...HEAVY SNOW WARNING IS CANCELLED... ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT EST TONIGHT... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN UPTON HAS ISSUED A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT EST TONIGHT. THE HEAVY SNOW WARNING HAS BEEN CANCELLED. SNOW MIXED WITH SLEET AND FREEZING RAIN WILL CONTINUE INTO THE EVENING HOURS. STORM TOTAL SNOW AND SLEET ACCUMULATIONS ARE NOW EXPECTED TO RANGE BETWEEN 3 AND 6 INCHES. TRAVEL WILL LIKELY BE TREACHEROUS DURING THE EVENING RUSH HOUR WITH SOME ICING EXPECTED. A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY MEANS THAT PERIODS OF SNOW...SLEET...OR FREEZING RAIN WILL CAUSE TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR SLIPPERY ROADS AND LIMITED VISIBILITIES...AND USE CAUTION WHILE DRIVING. STAY TUNED TO NOAA ALL HAZARDS WEATHER RADIO OR VISIT OUR WEB SITE AT WEATHER.GOV/NYC FOR FURTHER DETAILS AND UPDATES. $$ NJZ002>006-011-NYZ071>078-080-030330- /O.CAN.KOKX.WS.W.0004.000000T0000Z-060303T0500Z/ /O.NEW.KOKX.WW.Y.0011.060302T1921Z-060303T0500Z/ WESTERN PASSAIC-BERGEN-EASTERN PASSAIC-ESSEX-HUDSON-UNION- SOUTHERN WESTCHESTER-NEW YORK (MANHATTAN)-BRONX- RICHMOND (STATEN ISLAND)-KINGS (BROOKLYN)-QUEENS-NASSAU- NORTHWESTERN SUFFOLK-SOUTHWESTERN SUFFOLK- 221 PM EST THU MAR 2 2006 ...WINTER STORM WARNING IS CANCELLED... ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT EST TONIGHT... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN UPTON HAS ISSUED A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT EST TONIGHT. THE WINTER STORM WARNING HAS BEEN CANCELLED. A MIXTURE OF SLEET AND FREEZING RAIN WILL CONTINUE INTO THE EVENING HOURS. STORM TOTAL SNOW AND SLEET ACCUMULATIONS ARE NOW EXPECTED TO RANGE BETWEEN 1 AND 4 INCHES. TRAVEL WILL LIKELY BE TREACHEROUS DURING THE EVENING RUSH HOUR WITH SOME ICING EXPECTED. A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY MEANS THAT PERIODS OF SNOW...SLEET...OR FREEZING RAIN WILL CAUSE TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR SLIPPERY ROADS AND LIMITED VISIBILITIES...AND USE CAUTION WHILE DRIVING. STAY TUNED TO NOAA ALL HAZARDS WEATHER RADIO OR VISIT OUR WEB SITE AT WEATHER.GOV/NYC FOR FURTHER DETAILS AND UPDATES. $$ NYZ079-081-030330- /O.CAN.KOKX.WS.W.0004.000000T0000Z-060303T0700Z/ /O.NEW.KOKX.WW.Y.0011.060302T1921Z-060303T0500Z/ NORTHEASTERN SUFFOLK-SOUTHEASTERN SUFFOLK- 221 PM EST THU MAR 2 2006 ...WINTER STORM WARNING IS CANCELLED... ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT EST TONIGHT... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN UPTON HAS ISSUED A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT EST TONIGHT. THE WINTER STORM WARNING HAS BEEN CANCELLED. A MIXTURE OF SNOW...SLEET...AND FREEZING RAIN WILL CONTINUE INTO THE EVENING HOURS. STORM TOTAL SNOW AND SLEET ACCUMULATIONS ARE NOW EXPECTED TO RANGE BETWEEN 3 AND 5 INCHES. TRAVEL WILL LIKELY BE TREACHEROUS DURING THE EVENING RUSH HOUR WITH SOME ICING EXPECTED. A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY MEANS THAT PERIODS OF SNOW...SLEET...OR FREEZING RAIN WILL CAUSE TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR SLIPPERY ROADS AND LIMITED VISIBILITIES...AND USE CAUTION WHILE DRIVING. STAY TUNED TO NOAA ALL HAZARDS WEATHER RADIO OR VISIT OUR WEB SITE AT WEATHER.GOV/NYC FOR FURTHER DETAILS AND UPDATES. $$
What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before this winter storm warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS New York, NY wrote its last area forecast discussion before this winter storm warning went out at Mar 1, 10:03 AM EST, 5 hours 47 minutes earlier.
Area forecast discussion, Mar 1, 10:03 AM EST, 5 hours 47 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE UPTON NY
1003 AM EST WED MAR 1 2006
.NEAR TERM (THIS AFTERNOON)...
JUST SOME MINOR UPDATES TO HOURLY TEMPERATURES...DEWPOINTS AND
WINDS. RIDGE CONTINUES TO BUILD INTO THE AREA AND WILL KEEP AREA
MOSTLY CLEAR.
&&
.SHORT TERM (TONIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT)...
00Z MODELS SHIFTED A BIT FURTHER TO THE SOUTH WITH THE TRACK OF THE
NEXT STORM SYSTEM. THIS TRACK SHIFT HAS SIGNIFICANT IMPLICATIONS FOR
THE FCST ACROSS THE TRI-STATE. GFS/NAM IN GOOD AGREEMENT SHOWING THE
SFC LOW OVER THE DELMARVA AREA OR EXTREME SRN NJ BY 18Z THU. EXPECT
PRECIP TO DEVELOP FAIRLY RAPIDLY FROM WEST TO EAST DURING THE
MORNING THU AS STRONG 850-700 FRONTOGENESIS AND OVERRUNNING DEVELOPS
ACROSS THE AREA. AS WOULD BE EXPECTED WITH THE MORE SRN TRACK...
MODELS ARE ALSO NOW SEVERAL DEGREES COLDER WITH SFC TEMPS ON THU.
BUFKIT PROFILES/PARTIAL THICKNESSES SUPPORT A SNOW/SLEET MIX ACROSS
THE NYC METRO AREA...NE NJ AND LONG ISLAND...WITH PRETTY MUCH ALL
SNOW ACROSS THE HUDSON VALLEY AND SRN CT.
GIVEN THE REVISED TRACK FCST...HAD TO MAKE SOME SUBSTANTIAL CHANGES
TO THE FCST. FCSTED LIQUID QPF AMOUNTS OF 1/2 TO 3/4 INCH ACROSS THE
SRN HALF OF THE AREA...WITH A SNOW-WATER RATIO OF 10 TO 1 APPLIED...
SUPPORTS 5-7 INCHES OF SNOW. THESE ACCUMULATIONS MAY BE REDUCED
SOMEWHAT BY SLEET MIXING IN...BUT GIVEN THE SOUTHWARD/COLDER TREND
OF THE MODELS...AND THE HPC WWD FCST WHICH SHOWS THE 6 INCH SNOW
CONTOUR RIGHT OVER NYC...FEEL THAT THE PRUDENT COURSE IS TO ISSUE A
WINTER STORM WATCH FOR THE SRN PORTIONS OF THE AREA...INCLUDING ALL
OF NE NJ...NYC...SRN WESTCHESTER...AND LONG ISLAND. WATCH WILL BE IN
EFFECT FROM 6 AM THU MORNING UNTIL 10 PM THU EVENING. FURTHER NORTH
ACROSS THE LOWER HUDSON VALLEY AND SRN CT...EXPECTING GENERALLY 4-6
INCHES TOTAL ACCUM SO WILL JUST CONTINUE THE SPS. ADVISORIES MAY BE
NEEDED LATER FOR THESE AREAS.
LATE BREAKING NEWS...THE 06Z NAM CAME IN SLOWER...FURTHER TO THE
SOUTH AND WITH LESS QPF FOR THIS AREA. GIVEN THE TENDENCY OF THESE
INTERMEDIATE MODEL RUNS TO CHANGE FROM PREVIOUS THINKING AND THEN
SOMETIMES CHANGE BACK ON THE NEXT REGULAR RUN...WILL STAY THE COURSE
WITH WINTER STORM WATCH. IF THE SOUTHWARD TREND CONTINUES WITH THE
12Z MODEL RUNS...LATER SHIFTS MIGHT HAVE TO DOWNGRADE THE WATCH TO
AN ADVISORY. WILL TRY TO INDICATE THE UNCERTAINTY IN THE WATCH TEXT.
PRECIP ENDS FROM WEST TO EAST ACROSS THE AREA THU EVENING AND SHOULD
BE FINISHED EVERYWHERE BY MIDNIGHT.
&&
.LONG TERM (FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY)...
QUIET WEATHER RETURNS ON FRIDAY AS HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS INTO THE
AREA...WITH A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW FLURRIES EXPECTED FRIDAY NIGHT
AND SATURDAY MORNING.
THERE IS STILL SOME UNCERTAINTY WITH THE NEXT STORM EARLY NEXT WEEK.
LOW PRESSURE MOVES OUT OF THE SOUTHERN STATES SUNDAY NIGHT AND
INTENSIFIES OFF THE CAROLINAS ON MONDAY. A NORTHEAST TRACK IS
FORECAST AT THIS TIME...BUT HOW CLOSE DOES IT ACTUALLY COME TO OUR
LOCAL AREA IS STILL UNCERTAIN. FOR NOW WILL DELAY TIMING OF SYSTEM
BASED ON MODEL GUIDANCE AND KEEP PRECIPITATION TYPE TO ALL SNOW
BASED ON THICKNESS/TEMP PROFILES.
&&
.HYDROLOGY...
NEXT CHANCE OF MEASURABLE PRECIPITATION WILL OCCUR FROM LATE
WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT. AT THIS TIME THE
PRECIPITATION SHOULD REMAIN AS ALL SNOW FROM START TO END. THIS
SHOULD NOT PRESENT A PROBLEM TO OUR AREA BASINS.
&&
.AVIATION...
VFR CONDITIONS ACROSS ALL TERMINALS THROUGH 06Z THU. SOME GUSTINESS
BEING OBSERVED EARLY THIS MORNING AT MANY OF THE TERMINALS...PROBABLY
DUE TO THE PASSING S/W AND SFC TROF. MODERATE TO OCNL GUSTY W/NW
FLOW WILL CONTINUE TODAY THEN SLACKEN OFF AFTER 00Z. WILL INTRODUCE
LOWERING VFR CIGS DURING THE LAST FEW HOURS OF THE 12Z TAF PACKAGE
AS THE NEXT SYSTEM APPROACHES FROM THE WEST. CONDITIONS WILL LIKELY
GO DOWNHILL RATHER QUICKLY THU MORNING BETWEEN 12Z AND 16Z FROM WEST
TO EAST AS IFR CIGS DEVELOP AND SN/IP REDUCES VSBYS.
&&
.MARINE...
WINDS AND SEAS HAVE DIMINISHED BELOW SMALL CRAFT LEVELS AND ADVISORY
HAS BEEN ALLOWED TO EXPIRE. NO CHANGES IN THE FORECAST AT THIS TIME.
LOW PRES THEN MOVES ACROSS AREA WATERS THU...AND WINDS/SEAS WILL
BUILD BACK UP TO SCA CRITERIA FOR LATE THU AND FRI...POSSIBLY GALE
CRITERIA ON EASTERN OCEAN ZONES.
&&
.OKX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
CT...NONE.
NJ...WINTER STORM WATCH FOR NJZ002>006-011 FROM 6 AM THURSDAY TO 10
PM THURSDAY.
NY...WINTER STORM WATCH FOR NYZ071>081 FROM 6 AM THURSDAY TO 10 PM
THURSDAY.
MARINE...NONE.
&&Hazardous weather outlook, Mar 1, 4:35 AM EST, 11 hours 15 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE UPTON NY 435 AM EST WED MAR 1 2006 NJZ006-NYZ072>081-020945- HUDSON-NEW YORK (MANHATTAN)-BRONX-RICHMOND (STATEN ISLAND)- KINGS (BROOKLYN)-QUEENS-NASSAU-NORTHWESTERN SUFFOLK- NORTHEASTERN SUFFOLK-SOUTHWESTERN SUFFOLK-SOUTHEASTERN SUFFOLK- 435 AM EST WED MAR 1 2006 ...WINTER STORM WATCH IN EFFECT FROM THURSDAY MORNING THROUGH THURSDAY EVENING... THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF NORTHEAST NEW JERSEY AND SOUTHEAST NEW YORK. .DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY SNOW...MIXED WITH SOME SLEET...WILL SPREAD ACROSS THE WATCH AREA THURSDAY MORNING AND CONTINUE THROUGH THE AFTERNOON. TOTAL ACCUMULATIONS AT THIS TIME IS EXPECTED TO RANGE FROM 5 TO 8 INCHES. THERE STILL CONSIDERABLE UNCERTAINTY REGARDING THE EXACT TRACK AND SNOW AMOUNTS WITH THIS STORM. MEDIUM RANGE FORECAST MODELS ARE HINTING AT THE DEVELOPMENT OF A COASTAL STORM EARLY NEXT WEEK...WHICH COULD BRING ANOTHER THREAT FOR WINTRY PRECIPITATION ON MONDAY. OTHERWISE...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE NEEDED. NJZ002>005-011-NYZ071-020945- WESTERN PASSAIC-BERGEN-EASTERN PASSAIC-ESSEX-UNION- SOUTHERN WESTCHESTER- 435 AM EST WED MAR 1 2006 ...WINTER STORM WATCH IN EFFECT FROM THURSDAY MORNING THROUGH THURSDAY EVENING... THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF NORTHEAST NEW JERSEY AND SOUTHEAST NEW YORK. .DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY SNOW...MIXED WITH SOME SLEET...WILL SPREAD ACROSS THE WATCH AREA THURSDAY MORNING AND CONTINUE THROUGH THE AFTERNOON. TOTAL ACCUMULATIONS AT THIS TIME IS EXPECTED TO RANGE FROM 5 TO 8 INCHES. THERE STILL CONSIDERABLE UNCERTAINTY REGARDING THE EXACT TRACK AND SNOW AMOUNTS WITH THIS STORM. MEDIUM RANGE FORECAST MODELS ARE HINTING AT THE DEVELOPMENT OF A COASTAL STORM EARLY NEXT WEEK...WHICH COULD BRING SOME WINTRY PRECIPITATION ON MONDAY. OTHERWISE...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE NEEDED. CTZ005>012-NYZ067>070-020945- NORTHERN FAIRFIELD-NORTHERN NEW HAVEN-NORTHERN MIDDLESEX- NORTHERN NEW LONDON-SOUTHERN FAIRFIELD-SOUTHERN NEW HAVEN- SOUTHERN MIDDLESEX-SOUTHERN NEW LONDON-ORANGE-PUTNAM-ROCKLAND- NORTHERN WESTCHESTER- 435 AM EST WED MAR 1 2006 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTHERN CONNECTICUT AND SOUTHEAST NEW YORK. .DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY SNOW...POSSIBLY MIXED WITH SOME SLEET...WILL SPREAD ACROSS THE AREA THURSDAY MORNING AND CONTINUE THROUGH THURSDAY AFTERNOON...BEFORE ENDING THURSDAY EVENING. AT THIS TIME...TOTAL ACCUMULATIONS ARE EXPECTED TO RANGE FROM 4 TO 6 INCHES ACROSS THE LOWER HUDSON VALLEY AND SOUTHERN CONNECTICUT. THERE REMAINS CONSIDERABLE UNCERTAINTY REGARDING THE EXACT TRACK AND SNOW AMOUNTS WITH THIS STORM. MEDIUM RANGE FORECAST MODELS ARE HINTING AT THE DEVELOPMENT OF A COASTAL STORM EARLY NEXT WEEK...WHICH COULD BRING SOME WINTRY PRECIPITATION ON MONDAY. OTHERWISE...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE NEEDED. ANZ338-020945- NEW YORK HARBOR- 435 AM EST WED MAR 1 2006 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF ATLANTIC COASTAL WATERS. .DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY SNOW AND SLEET MAY BRIEFLY RESTRICT VISIBILITY TO 1 TO 3 NM LATE THURSDAY MORNING THROUGH THURSDAY EVENING. SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE ON SATURDAY. MEDIUM RANGE FORECAST MODELS ARE HINTING AT THE DEVELOPMENT OF A COASTAL STORM EARLY NEXT WEEK...WHICH COULD BRING SOME WINTRY PRECIPITATION AND SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY CONDITIONS ON MONDAY. OTHERWISE...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE NEEDED. ANZ330-335-020945- LONG ISLAND SOUND EAST OF NEW HAVEN CT/PORT JEFFERSON NY- LONG ISLAND SOUND WEST OF NEW HAVEN CT/PORT JEFFERSON NY- 435 AM EST WED MAR 1 2006 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF ATLANTIC COASTAL WATERS. .DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY SNOW...SLEET AND FREEZING RAIN MAY BRIEFLY RESTRICT VISIBILITY TO 1 TO 3 NM LATE THURSDAY MORNING THROUGH THURSDAY EVENING. SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE ON SATURDAY. MEDIUM RANGE FORECAST MODELS ARE HINTING AT THE DEVELOPMENT OF A COASTAL STORM EARLY NEXT WEEK...WHICH COULD BRING SOME WINTRY PRECIPITATION AND SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY CONDITIONS ON MONDAY. OTHERWISE...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE NEEDED. ANZ350-353-355-020945- MORICHES INLET NY TO MONTAUK POINT NY OUT 20 NM- FIRE ISLAND INLET NY TO MORICHES INLET NY OUT 20 NM- SANDY HOOK NJ TO FIRE ISLAND INLET NY OUT 20 NM- 435 AM EST WED MAR 1 2006 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM EST THIS MORNING... THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF ATLANTIC COASTAL WATERS. .DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY SNOW MAY BRIEFLY RESTRICT VISIBILITY TO 1 TO 3 NM THURSDAY MORNING THROUGH THURSDAY EVENING. AFTER THE ASSOCIATED LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM MOVES EAST OF THE AREA...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE FROM THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY. MEDIUM RANGE FORECAST MODELS ARE HINTING AT THE DEVELOPMENT OF A COASTAL STORM EARLY NEXT WEEK...WHICH COULD BRING SOME WINTRY PRECIPITATION AND GALE FORCE WIND GUSTS ON MONDAY. OTHERWISE...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE NEEDED.
In the hours before
Special weather statement, Mar 1, 10:51 AM EST, 4 hours 59 minutes before
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT...UPDATED NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE UPTON NY 1051 AM EST WED MAR 1 2006 CTZ005>012-NYZ067>070-012200- NORTHERN FAIRFIELD-NORTHERN NEW HAVEN-NORTHERN MIDDLESEX- NORTHERN NEW LONDON-SOUTHERN FAIRFIELD-SOUTHERN NEW HAVEN- SOUTHERN MIDDLESEX-SOUTHERN NEW LONDON-ORANGE-PUTNAM-ROCKLAND- NORTHERN WESTCHESTER- 1051 AM EST WED MAR 1 2006 ...WINTRY WEATHER EXPECTED THURSDAY... A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL TRACK THROUGH THE OHIO VALLEY LATE TONIGHT...GRADUALLY STRENGTHENING AS IT MOVES ACROSS THE DELMARVA REGION AND INTO THE ATLANTIC OCEAN LATE THURSDAY AFTERNOON INTO THURSDAY EVENING. SNOW...POSSIBLY MIXED WITH SOME SLEET...WILL BEGIN THURSDAY MORNING AND CONTINUE THROUGH THURSDAY AFTERNOON...BEFORE ENDING THURSDAY EVENING. AT THIS TIME...TOTAL SNOW AND SLEET ACCUMULATIONS ARE EXPECTED TO RANGE FROM 4 TO 6 INCHES ACROSS THE LOWER HUDSON VALLEY AND SOUTHERN CONNECTICUT. THERE REMAINS CONSIDERABLE UNCERTAINTY REGARDING THE EXACT TRACK OF THE STORM. THE TRACK OF THE STORM WILL DETERMINE HOW MUCH SNOW AND SLEET FALLS ACROSS THE AREA. WINTER WEATHER ADVISORIES COULD EVENTUALLY BE ISSUED FOR A PORTION OR ALL OF THE AREA FOR THURSDAY. STAY TUNED TO NOAA ALL HAZARDS WEATHER RADIO OR VISIT OUR WEB SITE AT WEATHER.GOV/NYC FOR FURTHER DETAILS AND UPDATES.
The office that day
Everything else NWS New York, NY issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 1, 4:24 AM EST | Winter Storm Watch | OKX | Bronx, Kings, New York, Richmond, Suffolk, Westchester | 11 hr |
| Mar 1, 3:50 PM EST | Snow Advisory | OKX | Orange, Putnam, Rockland, Westchester | 13 hr |
Nearby
Winter Storm Warnings in New York, 2006Winter Storm Warnings in New Jersey, 2006Every winter storm warning in 2006
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.