Alert archive / New York / Winter Storm Warnings in 2006

Winter Storm Warning 2, NWS New York, NY

January 22, 2006Orange County, New York

NWS New York, NY issued this winter storm warning at Jan 22, 2006, 3:23 PM EST for Orange County, New York. It took effect at Jan 23, 2006, 2:00 AM EST. It was in force for 11 hr. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued
Jan 22, 2006, 3:23 PM EST (20:23 UTC)
In effect from
Jan 23, 2006, 2:00 AM EST
Expired
Jan 23, 2006, 1:00 PM EST
In force
11 hr
Issued by
NWS New York, NY

County Orange County, NY

The radar

The Albany radar (KENX), 133 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 20:23 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The nearest sounding before it

Brookhaven, NY (KOKX), launched 12:00Z, 8.4 hours before the alert went out and 135 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Brookhaven, NY at 12:00Z on 2006-01-22Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 0 joules per kilogram.LCL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Brookhaven, NY at 12:00Z on 2006-01-22The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity -324 square meters per square second.1939587897117136156Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
0 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
No buoyant parcel
Mixed-layer LCL
1666 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
80 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
-324 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
-157 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

000 
WWUS41 KOKX 222023
WSWOKX

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE UPTON NY
323 PM EST SUN JAN 22 2006

...WINTER WEATHER LIKELY LATE TONIGHT INTO MONDAY...

.A STORM DEVELOPING OVER THE SOUTHEASTERN STATES WILL REDEVELOP
OFF THE MID ATLANTIC STATES TONIGHT...THEN TRACK TO THE NORTHEAST
MONDAY. A MIX OF WINTRY WEATHER WILL BE LIKELY AS THE STORM MOVES
THROUGH.

NYZ067-230500-
/O.NEW.KOKX.WS.W.0002.060123T0700Z-060124T0000Z/
ORANGE-
323 PM EST SUN JAN 22 2006

...WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 2 AM TO 7 PM EST MONDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN UPTON HAS ISSUED A WINTER STORM
WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 2 AM TO 7 PM EST MONDAY. 

A MIXTURE OF SNOW...SLEET AND FREEZING RAIN WILL BECOME LIKELY BY
EARLY MONDAY MORNING. MOST OF THE PRECIPITATION WILL FALL AS
SNOW...ESPECIALLY OVER THE NORTHERN PORTION OF THE COUNTY. SLEET
AND FREEZING RAIN WILL MIX IN WITH THE SNOW...FIRST OVER THE
SOUTH...THEN FURTHER INLAND THROUGH THE DAY MONDAY.

BY THE END OF THE PRECIPITATION EARLY MONDAY EVENING A TOTAL OF 5
TO 7 INCHES OF SNOW WILL BE POSSIBLE...MAINLY THE NORTHERN
PORTION...WITH 3 TO 6 INCHES POSSIBLE ACROSS THE SOUTHERN PORTION.
ICE ACCUMULATIONS WILL BE LESS THAN A QUARTER INCH.

A WINTER STORM WARNING MEANS SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF SNOW...
SLEET...AND ICE ARE EXPECTED OR OCCURRING. STRONG WINDS ARE ALSO
POSSIBLE. THIS WILL MAKE TRAVEL VERY HAZARDOUS OR IMPOSSIBLE.

$$

CTZ005-NJZ002-003-NYZ068>070-230500-
/O.NEW.KOKX.WW.Y.0009.060123T0700Z-060123T1900Z/
NORTHERN FAIRFIELD-WESTERN PASSAIC-BERGEN-PUTNAM-ROCKLAND-
NORTHERN WESTCHESTER-
323 PM EST SUN JAN 22 2006

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 2 AM TO 2 PM EST
MONDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN UPTON HAS ISSUED A WINTER WEATHER
ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 2 AM TO 2 PM EST MONDAY. 

SNOW...SLEET AND FREEZING RAIN WILL BE BECOME LIKELY BY EARLY
MONDAY MORNING. MOST OF THE PRECIPITATION WILL FALL AS
SNOW...THEN BECOME MIXED WITH SLEET AND FREEZING RAIN. AS WARMER
AIR MOVES INTO THE REGION ALL THE PRECIPITATION IS EXPECTED TO
CHANGEOVER TO ALL RAIN FROM SOUTH TO NORTH BY MID AFTERNOON MONDAY.
BEFORE THE CHANGEOVER TO RAIN...SNOW TOTALS COULD REACH 3 TO 5
INCHES...WITH THE HIGHEST AMOUNTS ACROSS THE NORTHERN PORTIONS OF
THE COUNTIES. ICE ACCUMULATIONS WILL BE LESS THAN A QUARTER INCH.

SOME AREAS WHERE THE HIGHEST SNOW TOTALS ARE LIKELY INCLUDE...WEST
MILFORD...STONY POINT...PEEKSKILL...AND SHERMAN.
 
A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY MEANS THAT PERIODS OF SNOW...SLEET...OR
FREEZING RAIN WILL CAUSE TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR
SLIPPERY ROADS AND LIMITED VISIBILITIES...AND USE CAUTION WHILE
DRIVING.

$$

CTZ006-230500-
/O.NEW.KOKX.WW.Y.0009.060123T0800Z-060123T1800Z/
NORTHERN NEW HAVEN-
323 PM EST SUN JAN 22 2006

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 3 AM TO 1 PM EST
MONDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN UPTON HAS ISSUED A WINTER WEATHER
ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 3 AM TO 1 PM EST MONDAY. 

SNOW...SLEET AND FREEZING RAIN WILL BE BECOME LIKELY BY EARLY
MONDAY MORNING. MOST OF THE PRECIPITATION WILL FALL AS
SNOW...THEN BECOME MIXED WITH SLEET AND FREEZING RAIN. AS WARMER
AIR MOVES INTO THE REGION ALL THE PRECIPITATION IS EXPECTED TO
CHANGEOVER TO ALL RAIN FROM SOUTH TO NORTH BY EARLY AFTERNOON
MONDAY. BEFORE THE CHANGEOVER TO RAIN...SNOW TOTALS COULD REACH
AROUND 3 INCHES...WITH THE HIGHEST AMOUNTS ACROSS THE NORTHERN
PORTIONS OF THE COUNTIES...WITH 1 TO 3 INCHES ACROSS THE SOUTHERN PORTION.
ICE ACCUMULATIONS WILL BE LESS THAN A QUARTER INCH.

SOME AREAS WHERE THE HIGHEST SNOW TOTALS ARE LIKELY
INCLUDE...SOUTHBURY...MIDDLEBURY...AND WATERBURY.

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY MEANS THAT PERIODS OF SNOW...SLEET...OR
FREEZING RAIN WILL CAUSE TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR
SLIPPERY ROADS AND LIMITED VISIBILITIES...AND USE CAUTION WHILE
DRIVING.

$$
9 follow-up statements
000 
WWUS41 KOKX 230429
WSWOKX

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE UPTON NY
1129 PM EST SUN JAN 22 2006

...WINTER WEATHER LIKELY LATE TONIGHT INTO MONDAY...

.A STORM DEVELOPING OVER THE SOUTHEASTERN STATES WILL REDEVELOP
OFF THE MID ATLANTIC STATES TONIGHT...THEN TRACK TO THE NORTHEAST
MONDAY. A MIX OF WINTRY WEATHER WILL BE LIKELY AS THE STORM MOVES
THROUGH.

NYZ067-231230-
/O.CON.KOKX.WS.W.0002.060123T0700Z-060124T0000Z/
ORANGE-
1129 PM EST SUN JAN 22 2006

...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST MONDAY...

A WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST MONDAY. 

SNOW WILL BECOME LIKELY OVERNIGHT...THEN SLEET AND FREEZING RAIN WILL
MIX IN WITH THE SNOW BY MID TO LATE MORNING. BY THE TIME
PRECIPITATION ENDS EARLY MONDAY EVENING A TOTAL OF 5 TO 7 INCHES OF
SNOW WILL BE POSSIBLE...MAINLY THE NORTHERN PORTION...WITH 3 TO 6
INCHES POSSIBLE ACROSS THE SOUTHERN PORTION. ICE ACCUMULATIONS WILL
BE LESS THAN A QUARTER INCH. 

A WINTER STORM WARNING MEANS SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF SNOW...
SLEET...AND ICE ARE EXPECTED OR OCCURRING. THIS WILL MAKE TRAVEL
VERY HAZARDOUS OR IMPOSSIBLE.

$$

CTZ005-NJZ002-003-NYZ068>070-231230-
/O.CON.KOKX.WW.Y.0009.060123T0700Z-060123T1900Z/
NORTHERN FAIRFIELD-WESTERN PASSAIC-BERGEN-PUTNAM-ROCKLAND-
NORTHERN WESTCHESTER-
1129 PM EST SUN JAN 22 2006

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 2 PM EST
MONDAY...

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 2 PM EST
MONDAY. 

SNOW WILL BE BECOME LIKELY OVERNIGHT...THEN BECOME MIXED WITH
SLEET...FREEZING RAIN AND RAIN. AS WARMER AIR MOVES INTO THE
REGION...PRECIPITATION WILL CHANGE TO ALL RAIN FROM SOUTH TO NORTH
BY MIDDAY MONDAY. BEFORE THE CHANGE TO RAIN...SNOW TOTALS COULD
REACH 3 TO 5 INCHES...WITH THE HIGHEST AMOUNTS ACROSS THE NORTHERN
PORTIONS OF THE COUNTIES. ICE ACCUMULATIONS WILL BE MINIMAL.

SOME AREAS WHERE THE HIGHEST SNOW TOTALS ARE LIKELY INCLUDE...
WEST MILFORD...STONY POINT...PEEKSKILL...AND SHERMAN.

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY MEANS THAT PERIODS OF SNOW...SLEET...OR
FREEZING RAIN WILL CAUSE TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR
SLIPPERY ROADS AND LIMITED VISIBILITIES...AND USE CAUTION WHILE
DRIVING.

$$

CTZ006-231230-
/O.CON.KOKX.WW.Y.0009.060123T0800Z-060123T1800Z/
NORTHERN NEW HAVEN-
1129 PM EST SUN JAN 22 2006

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 3 AM TO 1 PM
EST MONDAY...

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 3 AM TO 1 PM EST
MONDAY. 

SNOW WILL BECOME LIKELY BY EARLY MONDAY MORNING...THEN BECOME MIXED
WITH SLEET AND FREEZING RAIN WELL INLAND...AND RAIN FARTHER SOUTH. 
AS WARMER AIR MOVES INTO THE REGION...PRECIPITATION WILL CHANGE TO
ALL RAIN FROM SOUTH TO NORTH BY MIDDAY MONDAY. BEFORE THE CHANGE TO
RAIN...SNOW TOTALS COULD REACH 3 TO 4 INCHES ACROSS THE FAR NORTHERN
PORTION OF THE COUNTY...WITH 1 TO 3 INCHES ACROSS THE SOUTHERN
PORTION.

SOME AREAS WHERE THE HIGHEST SNOW TOTALS ARE LIKELY INCLUDE...
SOUTHBURY...MIDDLEBURY...AND WATERBURY.

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY MEANS THAT PERIODS OF SNOW...SLEET...OR
FREEZING RAIN WILL CAUSE TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR
SLIPPERY ROADS AND LIMITED VISIBILITIES...AND USE CAUTION WHILE
DRIVING.

$$

GOODMAN
000 
WWUS41 KOKX 230439 CCA
WSWOKX

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE UPTON NY
1137 PM EST SUN JAN 22 2006

CORRECTED OVERVIEW

...WINTER WEATHER LIKELY OVERNIGHT INTO MONDAY...

.LOW PRESSURE DEVELOPING OVER THE TENNESSEE VALLEY WILL REDEVELOP
OFF THE VIRGINIA CAPES OVERNIGHT...THEN TRACK SOUTH OF LONG ISLAND ON
MONDAY. WINTRY WEATHER WILL BE LIKELY OVER INLAND SECTIONS AS THE
LOW APPROACHES. 

NYZ067-231300-
/O.CON.KOKX.WS.W.0002.060123T0700Z-060124T0000Z/
ORANGE-
1137 PM EST SUN JAN 22 2006

...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST MONDAY...

A WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST MONDAY. 

SNOW WILL BECOME LIKELY OVERNIGHT...THEN SLEET AND FREEZING RAIN WILL
MIX IN WITH THE SNOW BY MID TO LATE MORNING. BY THE TIME
PRECIPITATION ENDS EARLY MONDAY EVENING A TOTAL OF 5 TO 7 INCHES OF
SNOW WILL BE POSSIBLE...MAINLY THE NORTHERN PORTION...WITH 3 TO 6
INCHES POSSIBLE ACROSS THE SOUTHERN PORTION. ICE ACCUMULATIONS WILL
BE LESS THAN A QUARTER INCH. 

A WINTER STORM WARNING MEANS SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF SNOW...
SLEET...AND ICE ARE EXPECTED OR OCCURRING. THIS WILL MAKE TRAVEL
VERY HAZARDOUS OR IMPOSSIBLE.

$$

CTZ005-NJZ002-003-NYZ068>070-231300-
/O.CON.KOKX.WW.Y.0009.060123T0700Z-060123T1900Z/
NORTHERN FAIRFIELD-WESTERN PASSAIC-BERGEN-PUTNAM-ROCKLAND-
NORTHERN WESTCHESTER-
1137 PM EST SUN JAN 22 2006

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 2 PM EST
MONDAY...

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 2 PM EST
MONDAY. 

SNOW WILL BE BECOME LIKELY OVERNIGHT...THEN BECOME MIXED WITH
SLEET...FREEZING RAIN AND RAIN. AS WARMER AIR MOVES INTO THE
REGION...PRECIPITATION WILL CHANGE TO ALL RAIN FROM SOUTH TO NORTH
BY MIDDAY MONDAY. BEFORE THE CHANGE TO RAIN...SNOW TOTALS COULD
REACH 3 TO 5 INCHES...WITH THE HIGHEST AMOUNTS ACROSS THE NORTHERN
PORTIONS OF THE COUNTIES. ICE ACCUMULATIONS WILL BE MINIMAL.

SOME AREAS WHERE THE HIGHEST SNOW TOTALS ARE LIKELY INCLUDE...
WEST MILFORD...STONY POINT...PEEKSKILL...AND SHERMAN.

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY MEANS THAT PERIODS OF SNOW...SLEET...OR
FREEZING RAIN WILL CAUSE TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR
SLIPPERY ROADS AND LIMITED VISIBILITIES...AND USE CAUTION WHILE
DRIVING.

$$

CTZ006-231300-
/O.CON.KOKX.WW.Y.0009.060123T0800Z-060123T1800Z/
NORTHERN NEW HAVEN-
1137 PM EST SUN JAN 22 2006

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 3 AM TO 1 PM
EST MONDAY...

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 3 AM TO 1 PM EST
MONDAY. 

SNOW WILL BECOME LIKELY BY EARLY MONDAY MORNING...THEN BECOME MIXED
WITH SLEET AND FREEZING RAIN WELL INLAND...AND RAIN FARTHER SOUTH. 
AS WARMER AIR MOVES INTO THE REGION...PRECIPITATION WILL CHANGE TO
ALL RAIN FROM SOUTH TO NORTH BY MIDDAY MONDAY. BEFORE THE CHANGE TO
RAIN...SNOW TOTALS COULD REACH 3 TO 4 INCHES ACROSS THE FAR NORTHERN
PORTION OF THE COUNTY...WITH 1 TO 3 INCHES ACROSS THE SOUTHERN
PORTION.

SOME AREAS WHERE THE HIGHEST SNOW TOTALS ARE LIKELY INCLUDE...
SOUTHBURY...MIDDLEBURY...AND WATERBURY.

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY MEANS THAT PERIODS OF SNOW...SLEET...OR
FREEZING RAIN WILL CAUSE TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR
SLIPPERY ROADS AND LIMITED VISIBILITIES...AND USE CAUTION WHILE
DRIVING.

$$

GOODMAN
000 
WWUS41 KOKX 230655
WSWOKX

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE UPTON NY
155 AM EST MON JAN 23 2006

...WINTER WEATHER EXPECTED OVERNIGHT INTO MONDAY...

.COASTAL LOW PRESSURE DEVELOPING OFF THE VIRGINIA CAPES
OVERNIGHT...WILL TRACK SOUTH OF LONG ISLAND ON MONDAY. WINTRY WEATHER
WILL BE LIKELY OVER INLAND SECTIONS AS THE LOW APPROACHES.

NYZ067-231500-
/O.CON.KOKX.WS.W.0002.060123T0700Z-060124T0000Z/
ORANGE-
155 AM EST MON JAN 23 2006

...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST THIS
EVENING...

A WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST THIS
EVENING. 

SNOW WILL BECOME LIKELY OVERNIGHT...THEN SLEET AND FREEZING RAIN
WILL MIX IN WITH THE SNOW BY MID TO LATE MORNING. BY THE TIME
PRECIPITATION ENDS EARLY MONDAY EVENING A TOTAL OF 5 TO 7 INCHES
OF SNOW WILL BE POSSIBLE...MAINLY THE NORTHERN PORTION...WITH
3 TO 6 INCHES POSSIBLE ACROSS THE SOUTHERN PORTION. ICE
ACCUMULATIONS WILL BE LESS THAN A QUARTER INCH.

A WINTER STORM WARNING MEANS SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF SNOW...
SLEET...AND ICE ARE EXPECTED OR OCCURRING. THIS WILL MAKE TRAVEL
VERY HAZARDOUS OR IMPOSSIBLE.

$$

CTZ007-008-231500-
/O.EXA.KOKX.WW.Y.0009.060123T0800Z-060123T1800Z/
NORTHERN MIDDLESEX-NORTHERN NEW LONDON-
155 AM EST MON JAN 23 2006

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 PM EST THIS
AFTERNOON...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN UPTON HAS ISSUED A WINTER WEATHER
ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON. 

SNOW WILL BECOME LIKELY BY EARLY MONDAY MORNING...THEN BECOME
MIXED WITH SLEET AND FREEZING RAIN WELL INLAND...AND RAIN FARTHER
SOUTH. AS WARMER AIR MOVES INTO THE REGION...PRECIPITATION WILL
CHANGE TO ALL RAIN FROM SOUTH TO NORTH BY LATE MORNING MONDAY. BEFORE
THE CHANGE TO RAIN...SNOW TOTALS COULD REACH 2 TO 4 INCHES ACROSS
THE FAR NORTHERN PORTION OF THE COUNTY...WITH 1 TO 3 INCHES ACROSS
THE SOUTHERN PORTION. A GLAZING OF ICE IS POSSIBLE IN SHELTERED
VALLEY LOCATIONS.

SOME AREAS WHERE THE HIGHEST SNOW TOTALS ARE LIKELY INCLUDE...
JEWETT CITY...LEBANON...AND CROMWELL.

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY MEANS THAT PERIODS OF SNOW...SLEET...OR
FREEZING RAIN WILL CAUSE TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR
SLIPPERY ROADS AND LIMITED VISIBILITIES...AND USE CAUTION WHILE
DRIVING.

$$

CTZ005-NJZ002-003-NYZ068>070-231500-
/O.CON.KOKX.WW.Y.0009.060123T0700Z-060123T1900Z/
NORTHERN FAIRFIELD-WESTERN PASSAIC-BERGEN-PUTNAM-ROCKLAND-
NORTHERN WESTCHESTER-
155 AM EST MON JAN 23 2006

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 2 PM EST THIS
AFTERNOON...

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 2 PM EST THIS
AFTERNOON. 

SNOW WILL BE BECOME LIKELY OVERNIGHT...THEN BECOME MIXED WITH
SLEET...FREEZING RAIN AND RAIN. AS WARMER AIR MOVES INTO THE
REGION...PRECIPITATION WILL CHANGE TO ALL RAIN FROM SOUTH TO
NORTH BY MIDDAY MONDAY. BEFORE THE CHANGE TO RAIN...SNOW TOTALS
COULD REACH 3 TO 5 INCHES...WITH THE HIGHEST AMOUNTS ACROSS THE
NORTHERN PORTIONS OF THE COUNTIES. ICE ACCUMULATIONS WILL BE
MINIMAL.

SOME AREAS WHERE THE HIGHEST SNOW TOTALS ARE LIKELY INCLUDE...
WEST MILFORD...STONY POINT...PEEKSKILL...AND SHERMAN.

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY MEANS THAT PERIODS OF SNOW...SLEET...OR
FREEZING RAIN WILL CAUSE TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR
SLIPPERY ROADS AND LIMITED VISIBILITIES...AND USE CAUTION WHILE
DRIVING.

$$

CTZ006-231500-
/O.CON.KOKX.WW.Y.0009.060123T0800Z-060123T1800Z/
NORTHERN NEW HAVEN-
155 AM EST MON JAN 23 2006

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 PM EST THIS
AFTERNOON...

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 PM EST THIS
AFTERNOON. 

SNOW WILL BECOME LIKELY BY EARLY MONDAY MORNING...THEN BECOME
MIXED WITH SLEET AND FREEZING RAIN WELL INLAND...AND RAIN FARTHER
SOUTH. AS WARMER AIR MOVES INTO THE REGION...PRECIPITATION WILL
CHANGE TO ALL RAIN FROM SOUTH TO NORTH BY MIDDAY MONDAY. BEFORE
THE CHANGE TO RAIN...SNOW TOTALS COULD REACH 3 TO 4 INCHES ACROSS
THE FAR NORTHERN PORTION OF THE COUNTY...WITH 1 TO 3 INCHES
ACROSS THE SOUTHERN PORTION. A GLAZING OF ICE IS POSSIBLE IN
SHELTERED VALLEY LOCATIONS.

SOME AREAS WHERE THE HIGHEST SNOW TOTALS ARE LIKELY INCLUDE...
SOUTHBURY...MIDDLEBURY...AND WATERBURY.

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY MEANS THAT PERIODS OF SNOW...SLEET...OR
FREEZING RAIN WILL CAUSE TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR
SLIPPERY ROADS AND LIMITED VISIBILITIES...AND USE CAUTION WHILE
DRIVING.

$$
000 
WWUS41 KOKX 230930
WSWOKX

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE UPTON NY
430 AM EST MON JAN 23 2006

...WINTER WEATHER EXPECTED TODAY...

.COASTAL LOW PRESSURE DEVELOPING ALONG THE DELMARVA COAST...WILL TRACK
SOUTH AND THEN EAST OF LONG ISLAND TODAY. WINTRY WEATHER AHEAD OF
THIS SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE OVER INLAND SECTIONS THROUGH
A GOOD PORTION OF TODAY.

NYZ067-231800-
/O.CON.KOKX.WS.W.0002.000000T0000Z-060124T0000Z/
ORANGE-
430 AM EST MON JAN 23 2006

...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST THIS
EVENING...

A WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST THIS
EVENING. 

SNOW WILL FALL HEAVY AT TIMES THROUGH THE MORNING COMMUTE...THEN
SLEET AND FREEZING RAIN WILL MIX IN WITH THE SNOW BY MID TO LATE
MORNING. BY THE TIME PRECIPITATION ENDS THIS EVENING A TOTAL OF 5 TO
7 INCHES OF SNOW WILL BE POSSIBLE...MAINLY ACROSS THE NORTHERN
PORTION...WITH 3 TO 6 INCHES POSSIBLE ACROSS THE SOUTHERN PORTION.
ICE ACCUMULATIONS WILL BE LESS THAN A QUARTER INCH.

A WINTER STORM WARNING MEANS SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF SNOW...
SLEET...AND ICE ARE EXPECTED OR OCCURRING. THIS WILL MAKE TRAVEL
VERY HAZARDOUS OR IMPOSSIBLE.

$$

CTZ006>008-231800-
/O.CON.KOKX.WW.Y.0009.000000T0000Z-060123T1800Z/
NORTHERN NEW HAVEN-NORTHERN MIDDLESEX-NORTHERN NEW LONDON-
430 AM EST MON JAN 23 2006

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 PM EST THIS
AFTERNOON...

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 PM EST THIS
AFTERNOON. 

SNOW WILL BECOME HEAVY AT TIMES TOWARDS DAYBREAK...THEN BECOME MIXED
WITH SLEET AND FREEZING RAIN WELL INLAND...AND RAIN FARTHER
SOUTH DURING THE MID-MORNING. AS WARMER AIR MOVES INTO THE
REGION...PRECIPITATION WILL CHANGE TO ALL RAIN FROM SOUTH TO NORTH
BY MIDDAY MONDAY. BEFORE THE CHANGE TO RAIN...SNOW TOTALS COULD
REACH 3 TO 5 INCHES ACROSS THE FAR NORTHERN PORTION OF THE
COUNTY...WITH 2 TO 4 INCHES ACROSS THE SOUTHERN PORTION. A GLAZING
OF ICE IS ALSO POSSIBLE.

SOME AREAS WHERE THE HIGHEST SNOW TOTALS ARE LIKELY INCLUDE...
JEWETT CITY...WATERBURY...AND CROMWELL.

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY MEANS THAT PERIODS OF SNOW...SLEET...OR
FREEZING RAIN WILL CAUSE TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR
SLIPPERY ROADS AND LIMITED VISIBILITIES...AND USE CAUTION WHILE
DRIVING.

$$

CTZ005-NJZ002-003-NYZ068>070-231800-
/O.CON.KOKX.WW.Y.0009.000000T0000Z-060123T1900Z/
NORTHERN FAIRFIELD-WESTERN PASSAIC-BERGEN-PUTNAM-ROCKLAND-
NORTHERN WESTCHESTER-
430 AM EST MON JAN 23 2006

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 2 PM EST THIS
AFTERNOON...

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 2 PM EST THIS
AFTERNOON. 

SNOW WILL CONTINUE HEAVY AT TIMES THROUGH DAYBREAK...THEN BECOME
MIXED WITH SLEET...FREEZING RAIN AND RAIN DURING THE MID MORNING.
AS WARMER AIR MOVES INTO THE REGION...PRECIPITATION WILL CHANGE TO
ALL RAIN FROM SOUTH TO NORTH BY MIDDAY MONDAY. BEFORE THE CHANGE
TO RAIN...SNOW TOTALS COULD REACH 3 TO 5 INCHES...WITH THE HIGHEST
AMOUNTS ACROSS THE NORTHERN PORTIONS OF THE COUNTIES. A GLAZING OF
ICE IS ALSO POSSIBLE.

SOME AREAS WHERE THE HIGHEST SNOW TOTALS ARE LIKELY INCLUDE...
WEST MILFORD...STONY POINT...PEEKSKILL...AND SHERMAN.

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY MEANS THAT PERIODS OF SNOW...SLEET...OR
FREEZING RAIN WILL CAUSE TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR
SLIPPERY ROADS AND LIMITED VISIBILITIES...AND USE CAUTION WHILE
DRIVING.

$$
000 
WWUS41 KOKX 231453
WSWOKX

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE UPTON NY
953 AM EST MON JAN 23 2006

...WINTER STORM DRAWING TO A CLOSE...

.COASTAL LOW PRESSURE OFF THE SOUTHERN NEW JERSEY COAST IS PULLING
AWAY FROM THE AREA AND PRECIPITATION WILL GRADUALLY DIMINISH IN
INTENSITY AND COVERAGE THROUGH EARLY THIS AFTERNOON. WINTRY
WEATHER ASSOCIATED WITH THIS SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO COME TO AN END
BY EARLY THIS AFTERNOON.

NJZ003-231600-
/O.CAN.KOKX.WW.Y.0009.000000T0000Z-060123T1900Z/
BERGEN-
953 AM EST MON JAN 23 2006

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN UPTON HAS CANCELLED THE WINTER
WEATHER ADVISORY. 

THE PRECIPITATION HAS CHANGED OVER TO ALL RAIN...ENDING THE THREAT
OF WINTER WEATHER.

$$

NYZ067-231800-
/O.EXT.KOKX.WS.W.0002.000000T0000Z-060123T1800Z/
ORANGE-
953 AM EST MON JAN 23 2006

...WINTER STORM WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 PM EST THIS
AFTERNOON...

THE WINTER STORM WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 PM EST THIS
AFTERNOON. 

A MIX OF SNOW...SLEET AND FREEZING RAIN WILL CONTINUE THIS MORNING
BEFORE MIXING WITH AND CHANGING OVER TO ALL RAIN EARLY THIS
AFTERNOON. AN ADDITIONAL 1 TO 2 INCHES OF SNOWFALL IS
POSSIBLE...MAINLY ACROSS THE NORTHERN HALF OF THE COUNTY. BY
EARLY THIS AFTERNOON...A TOTAL OF 4 TO 7 INCHES OF SNOW IS
POSSIBLE...MAINLY ACROSS THE NORTHERN PORTION...WITH 2 TO 4INCHES
ELSEWHERE. ICE ACCUMULATIONS WILL BE LESS THAN A QUARTER INCH.

A WINTER STORM WARNING MEANS SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF SNOW...
SLEET...AND ICE ARE EXPECTED OR OCCURRING. THIS WILL MAKE TRAVEL
VERY HAZARDOUS OR IMPOSSIBLE.

$$

CTZ005>008-NJZ002-NYZ068>070-231700-
/O.EXT.KOKX.WW.Y.0009.000000T0000Z-060123T1700Z/
NORTHERN FAIRFIELD-NORTHERN NEW HAVEN-NORTHERN MIDDLESEX-
NORTHERN NEW LONDON-WESTERN PASSAIC-PUTNAM-ROCKLAND-
NORTHERN WESTCHESTER-
953 AM EST MON JAN 23 2006

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON EST TODAY...

THE WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON EST
TODAY. 

A MIXTURE OF SNOW...SLEET...AND FREEZING RAIN WILL CHANGE TO ALL
RAIN BY NOONTIME. AN ADDITIONAL INCH OF SNOWFALL IS POSSIBLE...BUT
MAINLY ACROSS THE FAR NORTHERN PORTIONS OF THE COUNTY. BEFORE THE
CHANGE TO RAIN...SNOW TOTALS COULD REACH 2 TO 4 INCHES ACROSS THE
FAR NORTHERN PORTION OF THE COUNTY. A GLAZING OF ICE IS ALSO
POSSIBLE.

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY MEANS THAT PERIODS OF SNOW...SLEET...OR
FREEZING RAIN WILL CAUSE TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR
SLIPPERY ROADS AND LIMITED VISIBILITIES...AND USE CAUTION WHILE
DRIVING.

$$
000 
WWUS41 KOKX 231658
WSWOKX

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE UPTON NY
1158 AM EST MON JAN 23 2006

...WINTER STORM DRAWING TO A CLOSE...

.COASTAL LOW PRESSURE OFF THE SOUTHERN NEW JERSEY COAST IS
PULLING AWAY FROM THE AREA AND PRECIPITATION WILL GRADUALLY
DIMINISH IN INTENSITY AND COVERAGE THROUGH EARLY THIS AFTERNOON.
WINTRY WEATHER ASSOCIATED WITH THIS SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO COME TO
AN END BY EARLY THIS AFTERNOON.

CTZ005>008-NJZ002-NYZ068>070-231800-
/O.EXP.KOKX.WW.Y.0009.000000T0000Z-060123T1700Z/
NORTHERN FAIRFIELD-NORTHERN NEW HAVEN-NORTHERN MIDDLESEX-
NORTHERN NEW LONDON-WESTERN PASSAIC-PUTNAM-ROCKLAND-
NORTHERN WESTCHESTER-
1158 AM EST MON JAN 23 2006

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY WILL EXPIRE AT NOON EST TODAY...

THE WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY WILL EXPIRE AT NOON EST TODAY. 

TEMPERATURES HAVE RISEN ABOVE FREEZING ACROSS THE ADVISORY AREA
AND ALL PRECIPITATION HAS CHANGED OVER TO RAIN OR DRIZZLE.
THUS...THE THREAT OF HAZARDOUS WINTER WEATHER IS NO LONGER.

$$

NYZ067-231800-
/O.CON.KOKX.WS.W.0002.000000T0000Z-060123T1800Z/
ORANGE-
1158 AM EST MON JAN 23 2006

...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 PM EST THIS
AFTERNOON...

A WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 PM EST THIS
AFTERNOON. 

A MIX OF SNOW...SLEET AND FREEZING RAIN...MAINLY ACROSS THE
EXTREME NORTHERN PORTION OF THE COUNTY...WILL CHANGE OVER TO LIGHT
RAIN OR DRIZZLE BY EARLY THIS AFTERNOON. LITTLE OR NO ADDITIONAL
SNOW AND SLEET ACCUMULATION IS EXPECTED. A TOTAL OF 4 TO 7 INCHES
OF SNOW IS POSSIBLE...BUT MAINLY NORTH OF MIDDLETOWN...WITH 2 TO
4 INCHES ELSEWHERE. ICE ACCUMULATIONS WILL BE LESS THAN A QUARTER
INCH.

A WINTER STORM WARNING MEANS SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF SNOW...
SLEET...AND ICE ARE EXPECTED OR OCCURRING. THIS WILL MAKE TRAVEL
VERY HAZARDOUS OR IMPOSSIBLE.

$$
000 
WWUS41 KOKX 231755
WSWOKX

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE UPTON NY
1255 PM EST MON JAN 23 2006

...MIXED PRECIPITATION HAS ENDED...

.LOW PRESSURE RESPONSIBLE FOR A BOUT OF WINTRY WEATHER LATE LAST
NIGHT INTO EARLY THIS AFTERNOON IS NOW LOCATED SOUTH OF LONG
ISLAND. THE LOW WILL RACE OUT INTO THE ATLANTIC...TRACKING WELL
EAST OF CAPE CODE BY THIS EVENING. THUS...THE THREAT OF HAZARDOUS
WINTER WEATHER HAS ENDED.

NYZ067-231900-
/O.EXP.KOKX.WS.W.0002.000000T0000Z-060123T1800Z/
ORANGE-
1255 PM EST MON JAN 23 2006

...WINTER STORM WARNING WILL EXPIRE AT 1 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON...

THE WINTER STORM WARNING WILL EXPIRE AT 1 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON. 

$$
000 
WWUS41 KOKX 011545
WSWOKX

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE UPTON NY
1045 AM EST WED MAR 1 2006

...WINTRY WEATHER EXPECTED THURSDAY...

.A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL TRACK THROUGH THE OHIO VALLEY LATE
TONIGHT...GRADUALLY STRENGTHENING AS IT MOVES ACROSS THE DELMARVA
REGION AND INTO THE ATLANTIC OCEAN LATE THURSDAY AFTERNOON INTO
THURSDAY EVENING. SNOW...POSSIBLY MIXED WITH SOME SLEET IS
EXPECTED TO DEVELOP ACROSS THE TRI STATE REGION THURSDAY.

NJZ002>006-011-NYZ071>081-012200-
/O.CON.KOKX.WS.A.0002.060302T1100Z-060303T0300Z/
WESTERN PASSAIC-BERGEN-EASTERN PASSAIC-ESSEX-HUDSON-UNION-
SOUTHERN WESTCHESTER-NEW YORK (MANHATTAN)-BRONX-
RICHMOND (STATEN ISLAND)-KINGS (BROOKLYN)-QUEENS-NASSAU-
NORTHWESTERN SUFFOLK-NORTHEASTERN SUFFOLK-SOUTHWESTERN SUFFOLK-
SOUTHEASTERN SUFFOLK-
1045 AM EST WED MAR 1 2006

...WINTER STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM THURSDAY MORNING
THROUGH THURSDAY EVENING...

A WINTER STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM THURSDAY MORNING
THROUGH THURSDAY EVENING. 

SNOW...MIXED WITH SOME SLEET...WILL BEGIN THURSDAY MORNING AND
CONTINUE THROUGH THURSDAY AFTERNOON...BEFORE ENDING THURSDAY
EVENING. AT THIS TIME...TOTAL ACCUMULATIONS ARE EXPECTED TO RANGE
FROM 4 TO 8 INCHES ACROSS THE WATCH AREA. THERE REMAINS
CONSIDERABLE UNCERTAINTY REGARDING THE EXACT TRACK AND SNOW
AMOUNTS WITH THIS STORM.

A WINTER STORM WATCH MEANS THERE IS A POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT
SNOW...SLEET...OR ICE ACCUMULATIONS THAT MAY IMPACT TRAVEL.
CONTINUE TO MONITOR THE LATEST FORECASTS.

STAY TUNED TO NOAA ALL HAZARDS WEATHER RADIO OR VISIT OUR WEB
SITE AT WEATHER.GOV/NYC FOR FURTHER DETAILS AND UPDATES.

$$
000 
WWUS41 KOKX 012050
WSWOKX

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE UPTON NY
350 PM EST WED MAR 1 2006

...A SIGNIFICANT SNOWFALL EVENT ON TAP FOR THURSDAY...

.A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM OVER THE MISSISSIPPI VALLEY THIS EVENING
WILL TRACK EAST OVERNIGHT...GRADUALLY STRENGTHENING AS IT MOVES
INTO THE OHIO VALLEY BY DAYBREAK. THE SYSTEM WILL DEEPEN MORE
RAPIDLY DURING THE DAY THURSDAY...MOVING OFF THE NORTHERN MID
ATLANTIC COAST BY EARLY EVENING. THIS TRACK WILL BE FAR ENOUGH
SOUTH TO SUPPORT A MAINLY SNOW EVENT...WITH PERHAPS SOME SLEET 
MIXING IN AT THE ONSET. SNOW WILL OVERSPREAD THE TRI-STATE AREA
FROM WEST TO EAST DURING THE MID TO LATE MORNING HOURS...WITH THE
STEADIEST SNOW FALLING IN THE AFTERNOON.

NJZ002>006-011-NYZ071>078-080-020500-
/O.UPG.KOKX.WS.A.0002.060302T1100Z-060303T0300Z/
/O.NEW.KOKX.WS.W.0004.060302T1400Z-060303T0500Z/
WESTERN PASSAIC-BERGEN-EASTERN PASSAIC-ESSEX-HUDSON-UNION-
SOUTHERN WESTCHESTER-NEW YORK (MANHATTAN)-BRONX-
RICHMOND (STATEN ISLAND)-KINGS (BROOKLYN)-QUEENS-NASSAU-
NORTHWESTERN SUFFOLK-SOUTHWESTERN SUFFOLK-
350 PM EST WED MAR 1 2006

...WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 9 AM THURSDAY TO MIDNIGHT
EST THURSDAY NIGHT...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN UPTON HAS ISSUED A WINTER STORM
WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 9 AM THURSDAY TO MIDNIGHT EST
THURSDAY NIGHT. THE WINTER STORM WATCH IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT. 

SNOW...MIXED WITH SOME SLEET AT THE ONSET...WILL BEGIN THURSDAY
MORNING AND CONTINUE THROUGH THE AFTERNOON...BEFORE ENDING
THURSDAY NIGHT. THE HEAVIEST SNOW IS FORECAST TO FALL IN THE
AFTERNOON. AT THIS TIME...TOTAL ACCUMULATIONS ARE EXPECTED TO
RANGE FROM 5 TO 7 INCHES ACROSS THE WARNING AREA.

A WINTER STORM WARNING MEANS SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF SNOW ARE
EXPECTED OR OCCURRING. THIS WILL MAKE TRAVEL VERY HAZARDOUS OR
IMPOSSIBLE.

STAY TUNED TO NOAA ALL HAZARDS WEATHER RADIO OR VISIT OUR WEB
SITE AT WEATHER.GOV/NYC FOR FURTHER DETAILS AND UPDATES.

$$

NYZ079-081-020500-
/O.UPG.KOKX.WS.A.0002.060302T1100Z-060303T0300Z/
/O.NEW.KOKX.WS.W.0004.060302T1700Z-060303T0700Z/
NORTHEASTERN SUFFOLK-SOUTHEASTERN SUFFOLK-
350 PM EST WED MAR 1 2006

...WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 12 PM THURSDAY TO 2 AM EST
FRIDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN UPTON HAS ISSUED A WINTER STORM
WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 12 PM THURSDAY TO 2 AM EST
FRIDAY. THE WINTER STORM WATCH IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT. 

SNOW...MIXED WITH SOME SLEET AT THE ONSET...WILL BEGIN AROUND
NOONTIME THURSDAY AND CONTINUE THROUGH THE AFTERNOON...BEFORE
ENDING LATE THURSDAY NIGHT. THE HEAVIEST SNOW IS FORECAST TO FALL
DURING THE AFTERNOON HOURS. AT THIS TIME...TOTAL ACCUMULATIONS ARE
EXPECTED TO RANGE FROM 5 TO 7 INCHES ACROSS THE WARNING AREA.

A WINTER STORM WARNING MEANS SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF SNOW ARE
EXPECTED OR OCCURRING. THIS WILL MAKE TRAVEL VERY HAZARDOUS OR
IMPOSSIBLE.

STAY TUNED TO NOAA ALL HAZARDS WEATHER RADIO OR VISIT OUR WEB
SITE AT WEATHER.GOV/NYC FOR FURTHER DETAILS AND UPDATES.

$$

CTZ007-008-011-012-020500-
/O.NEW.KOKX.SN.Y.0001.060302T1700Z-060303T0700Z/
NORTHERN MIDDLESEX-NORTHERN NEW LONDON-SOUTHERN MIDDLESEX-
SOUTHERN NEW LONDON-
350 PM EST WED MAR 1 2006

...SNOW ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 12 PM THURSDAY TO 2 AM EST
FRIDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN UPTON HAS ISSUED A SNOW
ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 12 PM THURSDAY TO 2 AM EST
FRIDAY. 

SNOW WILL BEGIN AROUND NOONTIME THURSDAY AND CONTINUE THROUGH THE
AFTERNOON...BEFORE ENDING LATE THURSDAY NIGHT. THE STEADIEST SNOW
IS FORECAST TO FALL DURING THE AFTERNOON HOURS. AT THIS TIME...
TOTAL ACCUMULATIONS ARE EXPECTED TO RANGE FROM 2 TO 4 INCHES
ACROSS THE ADVISORY AREA.

A SNOW ADVISORY MEANS THAT PERIODS OF SNOW WILL CAUSE PRIMARILY
TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR SNOW COVERED ROADS AND
LIMITED VISIBILITIES...AND USE CAUTION WHILE DRIVING.

$$

NYZ067>070-020500-
/O.NEW.KOKX.SN.Y.0001.060302T1400Z-060303T0500Z/
ORANGE-PUTNAM-ROCKLAND-NORTHERN WESTCHESTER-
350 PM EST WED MAR 1 2006

...SNOW ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 9 AM THURSDAY TO MIDNIGHT EST
THURSDAY NIGHT...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN UPTON HAS ISSUED A SNOW
ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 9 AM THURSDAY TO MIDNIGHT EST
THURSDAY NIGHT. 

SNOW WILL BEGIN THURSDAY MORNING AND CONTINUE THROUGH THE
AFTERNOON...BEFORE ENDING THURSDAY NIGHT. THE STEADIEST SNOW IS
FORECAST TO FALL DURING THE AFTERNOON HOURS. AT THIS TIME...
TOTAL ACCUMULATIONS ARE EXPECTED TO RANGE FROM 3 TO 5 INCHES
ACROSS THE ADVISORY AREA.

A SNOW ADVISORY MEANS THAT PERIODS OF SNOW WILL CAUSE PRIMARILY
TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR SNOW COVERED ROADS AND
LIMITED VISIBILITIES...AND USE CAUTION WHILE DRIVING.

$$

CTZ005-006-009-010-020500-
/O.NEW.KOKX.SN.Y.0001.060302T1400Z-060303T0500Z/
NORTHERN FAIRFIELD-NORTHERN NEW HAVEN-SOUTHERN FAIRFIELD-
SOUTHERN NEW HAVEN-
350 PM EST WED MAR 1 2006

...SNOW ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 9 AM THURSDAY TO MIDNIGHT EST
THURSDAY NIGHT...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN UPTON HAS ISSUED A SNOW
ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 9 AM THURSDAY TO MIDNIGHT EST
THURSDAY NIGHT. 

SNOW WILL BEGIN THURSDAY MORNING AND CONTINUE THROUGH THE
AFTERNOON...BEFORE ENDING THURSDAY NIGHT. THE STEADIEST SNOW IS
FORECAST TO FALL DURING THE AFTERNOON HOURS. AT THIS TIME...
TOTAL ACCUMULATIONS ARE EXPECTED TO RANGE FROM 3 TO 6 INCHES
ACROSS THE ADVISORY AREA.

A SNOW ADVISORY MEANS THAT PERIODS OF SNOW WILL CAUSE PRIMARILY
TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR SNOW COVERED ROADS AND
LIMITED VISIBILITIES...AND USE CAUTION WHILE DRIVING.

$$

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this winter storm warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS New York, NY wrote its last area forecast discussion before this winter storm warning went out at Jan 22, 9:25 AM EST, 5 hours 58 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Jan 22, 9:25 AM EST, 5 hours 58 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE UPTON NY
925 AM EST SUN JAN 22 2006

.NEAR TERM (TODAY AND THIS EVENING)...
JUST SOME MINOR ADJUSTMENTS TO THE TEMPERATURES...DEWPOINTS AND WIND
GRIDS FOR TODAY.

ZONAL UPPER FLOW TODAY WITH STRONG SURFACE HIGH OVER THE OHIO VALLEY
DRIFTING ACROSS THE REGION TODAY. AFTER A MOSTLY SUNNY START TO THE
DAY WILL INCREASE HIGH CLOUDINESS LATE IN THE DAY AS AXIS OF SURFACE
HIGH SLIDES EAST OF THE REGION AND WAA ALOFT BEGINS AHEAD OF NEXT
SYSTEM.

MAY BE ABLE TO GET SOME GOOD RADIATIONAL COOLING ACROSS EASTERN HALF
OF CWA THIS EVENING WITH SURFACE HIGH CENTER STILL OVER THE REGION
AND CIRRUS ONLY STARTING TO FILTER IN.
&&

.SHORT TERM (TONIGHT THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT)...
MEDIUM RANGE MODELS INTO FAIRLY GOOD AGREEMENT WITH A SHORTWAVE
ENTERING THE NORTHERN PLAINS EARLY THIS MORNING AND THEN DEEPENING
AS IT TRACKS INTO THE NORTHERN GREAT LAKES TONIGHT AND INTO THE
EASTERN GREAT LAKES ON MONDAY. THIS UPPER SYSTEM WILL STEER LOW
PRESSURE DEVELOPING OVER THE WESTERN GULF COAST THIS MORNING INTO
THE TENNESSEE VALLEY BY SUNDAY NIGHT...AND THEN INDUCE SECONDARY
DEVELOPMENT OF A COASTAL LOW OFF THE CAROLINA COAST BY MONDAY
MORNING...WHICH WILL RACE NE...JUST N OF 40/70 BENCHMARK BY LATE
MONDAY AFTERNOON.

IN TERMS OF SENSIBLE WEATHER...INCREASING THETA-E ADVECTION AND
ISENTROPIC LIFT AHEAD OF SYSTEM AND OVER SLOWLY RETREATING CANADIAN
HIGH SHOULD HAVE PRECIP DEVELOPING FROM SW TO NE BETWEEN 06-09Z.
SOUNDINGS AND THICKNESS PROFILES SUGGEST SUFFICIENT COLD AIR ALOFT
FOR PRECIP TO START AS SNOW FOR INTERIOR...WITH A BRIEF START AS
SNOW AT THE CITY/COAST. A STRENGTHENING EASTERLY FLOW WILL ADVECT
ENOUGH WARM AIR IN OFF THE OCEAN TO CHANGE ANY SNOW TO RAIN ACROSS
LONG ISLAND...NYC AND CT COASTAL ZONES BY DAYBREAK.

PRECIP INCREASES IN INTENSITY TOWARDS DAYBREAK AND CONTINUES THROUGH
LATE MORNING/EARLY AFTERNOON WITH STRONG LIFT AND MID-LEVEL
FRONTOGENESIS/DEFORMATION FORCING AHEAD OF DEVELOPING COASTAL LOW
PRESSURE...IN COMBINATION WITH UPPER DIVERGENT LIFT ASSOCIATED WITH
RIGHT REAR QUAD OF UPPER JET.

THERE ARE SOME SUBTLE DIFFERENCES IN THE TRACK OF LOW
PRESSURE...WITH OPERATIONAL GFS THE FURTHEST SOUTH AND COLDEST...AND
GFS ENSEMBLE/NAM/UKMET/ECMWF/CANREG A BIT FARTHER
NORTH...WETTER...AND WARMER. HPC PREFERS FURTHER NORTH TRACK OF NAM.
WITH CONSENSUS TOWARDS A WARMER TRACK...IT APPEARS MOST OF CWA WILL
EVENTUALLY GO OVER TO RAIN SOMETIME IN THE MORNING...EXCEPT PERHAPS
FAR NW ZONES MAY STAY ALL FROZEN (SNOW/SLEET/FZRA).STORM LOOKS TO BE
A RELATIVELY QUICK MOVER...WITH BULK OF PRECIP FALLING IN A 6 TO 8
HR PERIOD BETWEEN 10Z AND 20Z ON MONDAY.

PRELIMINARY SNOW AMOUNTS LOOKING LIKE AN INCH OR LESS ACROSS NYC AND
COASTAL SECTIONS BEFORE CHANGEOVER...WITH 2 TO 4 INCHES OF SNOW AND
POCKETS OF UP TO 1/10TH INCH ICE ACROSS NORTHERN PORTIONS OF LOWER
HUDSON VALLEY AND SOUTHERN CONNECTICUT BEFORE CHANGEOVER TO ALL
RAIN. THE ONLY COUNTY NEARING WATCH CRITERIA IS ORANGE IN NY WHICH
WILL EXPERIENCE MAINLY FROZEN PRECIP...BUT AFTER IN-HOUSE AND
NEIGHBORING OFFICE COLLAB WILL NOT ISSUE. WITH BEST MOISTURE/QPF
AXIS ACROSS THE COAST...LESS THAN PERFECT HEAVY SNOW GROWTH...AND
WARMING ALOFT INTRODUCING ICE INTO THE MIX...THINK ORANGE COUNTY
WILL FALL BELOW CRITERIA FOR EITHER ICE OR SNOW...WITH 1/2 TO 3/4
INCH QPF OF WHICH 3 TO 6 INCHES WILL BE SNOW AND UP TO 1/4 INCH ICE.
ADDITIONALLY...MODELS HAVE BEEN TRENDING WARMER WITH SUBSEQUENT
MODEL RUNS...AND WITH ONLY ONE COUNTY IN QUESTION...DONT FEEL
CONFIDENT ENOUGH TO ISSUE A WATCH FOR COMBINED SNOW/ICE THREAT AT
THIS TIME.

ANOTHER ISSUE WILL BE RIVER/STREAM FLOODING...PARTICULARLY FOR
NORTHEAST NJ AND WESTERN CONNECTICUT...WHERE RIVERS ARE NEAR OR
STILL OVER BANKFULL. LOOKING AT 3/4 TO 1 INCH QPF ACROSS THESE RIVER
BASINS...WHICH WILL NO DOUBT CAUSE SOME RIVER FLOODING ISSUES ONCE
AGAIN. SINCE THIS WILL BE MAINLY A THIRD PERIOD CONCERN AS HEAVIEST
QPF WILL DEVELOP TOWARDS DAYBREAK MONDAY...WILL HOLD OFF ON FLOOD
WATCH FOR NOW.

PRECIP TAPERS OFF BY MONDAY EVENING...WITH LACK OF BACKSIDE BANDING
DUE TO WEAK UPPER SUPPORT AND PROGRESSIVE NATURE OF SYSTEM.

UPPER TROUGH AXIS WILL BE SLOW TO PUSH TO COAST...WITH LOW PRESSURE
RACING WELL OUT TO SEA MON NIGHT. TEMPS WILL REMAIN ABOVE NORMAL
(AOB FREEZING)WITH WEAK CAA...AND SKIES WILL BE SLOW TO CLEAR.
&&

.LONG TERM (TUESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY)...
SURFACE RIDGE WEAKENS TUESDAY AS A CLIPPER SYSTEM APPROACHES THROUGH
SOUTHEASTERN CANADA. COLD AIR IN PLACE AND REINFORCED WITH THE
CLIPPER SYSTEM. WILL SEE A CHANCE OF SOME SNOW SHOWERS WITH THE
FRONT AND IN THE COLDER AIR BEHIND THE LOW INTO WEDNESDAY. WITH THE
LOW DEEPENING OVER THE CANADIAN MARITIMES INTO WEDNESDAY NIGHT WILL
SEE A PROLONGED PERIOD OF WIND CONDITIONS AS COLD AIR FLOWS INTO THE
AREA INTO THE END OF THE WEEK.

RIDGE BUILDS SLOWLY IN THURSDAY INTO SATURDAY WITH COLD DRY PERIOD.
&&

.AVIATION...
LOOKING FOR CLEAR SKIES THIS MORNING THEN ONLY SOME CIRRUS THIS
AFTERNOON WHICH THICKENS UP BY LATER IN THE DAY. DURING THE EVENING
A MID DECK WILL ROLL IN FROM THE SOUTHWEST. IT IS NOT EXPECTED THAT
CIGS WILL LOWER BELOW VFR UNTIL WELL AFTER MIDNIGHT. VSBYS WILL ALSO
REMAIN VFR THROUGH THE TAF PERIOD...NOT LOWERING UNTIL ALMOST
DAYBREAK MONDAY AS SOME PRECIPITATION BEGINS TO MOVE IN FROM THE
SOUTHWEST. WINDS WILL AVERAGE 10 KNOTS OR LESS THROUGH THIS EVENING.
&&

.MARINE...
NO CHANGES TO THE CURRENT FORECAST.

WILL NEED HEADLINES FOR LATE TONIGHT THROUGH MONDAY AS NEXT SYSTEM
APPROACHES FROM THE SOUTHWEST. NOT LOOKING FOR A GREAT DEAL OF WIND
WITH THIS SYSTEM AS THE CENTER OF THE LOW ACTUALLY APPEARS TO BE
HEADED DIRECTLY ACROSS THE LOW AREA. WINDS FOR THE MOST PART WILL BE
AHEAD OF THIS CENTER AND THEN IN ITS WAKE. SEAS ON THE OCEAN WILL
ALSO BE ON THE INCREASE IN RESPONSE TO THIS...MEETING SMALL CRAFT
ADVISORY CRITERIA BY LATE MONDAY MORNING. SEAS WILL LIKELY REMAIN AT
OR ABOVE CRITERIA UNTIL LATE MONDAY NIGHT. &&

.HYDROLOGY...
SYSTEM FOR LATE TONIGHT THROUGH MONDAY HAS THE POTENTIAL FOR LIQUID
EQUIVALENT OF 3/4 TO 1 1/4 INCHES WITH THE HIGHEST AMOUNTS OVER THE
SOUTHERN PORTIONS OF THE REGION...CLOSER TO THE TRACK OF THE LOW.
WITH MANY STREAMS AND RIVERS...PARTICULARLY IN NE JERSEY AND WESTERN
CONN...RUNNING NEAR OR ABOVE BANKFULL FROM THE RECENT RAINS AND THE
POTENTIAL OF ADDITIONAL FLOODING...WILL CONTINUE A SPECIAL WEATHER
STATEMENT TO ADDRESS.

NO SIGNIFICANT PRECIP EXPECTED THROUGH LONG TERM.
&&

.OKX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
CT...NONE.
NJ...NONE.
NY...NONE.
MARINE...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR ANZ350-353-355 FROM 3 AM MONDAY TO
         3 AM TUESDAY.
      ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR ANZ330-335 FROM 6 AM MONDAY TO
         10 AM  MONDAY.
&&
Hazardous weather outlook, Jan 22, 5:03 AM EST, 10 hours 20 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE UPTON NY
503 AM EST SUN JAN 22 2006

NJZ006-NYZ072>081-231015-
HUDSON-NEW YORK (MANHATTAN)-BRONX-RICHMOND (STATEN ISLAND)-
KINGS (BROOKLYN)-QUEENS-NASSAU-NORTHWESTERN SUFFOLK-
NORTHEASTERN SUFFOLK-SOUTHWESTERN SUFFOLK-SOUTHEASTERN SUFFOLK-
503 AM EST SUN JAN 22 2006

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF NORTHEAST NEW
JERSEY AND SOUTHEAST NEW YORK.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM DEVELOPING OVER THE GULF STATES THIS MORNING
WILL DEEPEN AND TRACK NORTHEAST THROUGH THE TENNESSEE VALLEY TODAY
AND THEN ALONG THE APPALACHIANS TONIGHT.

AHEAD OF THIS SYSTEM...RAIN WILL DEVELOP ACROSS THE AREA AFTER
MIDNIGHT...AFTER A BRIEF START AS SNOW OR SLEET.

OTHERWISE...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER EXPECTED TODAY.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY

A SECONDARY COASTAL LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL DEVELOP ALONG THE MID
ATLANTIC COAST MONDAY MORNING AND THEN MOVE NORTHEAST UP THE COAST
MONDAY NIGHT.

RAIN COULD BE HEAVY AT TIMES THROUGH MONDAY AFTERNOON WITH A
TOTAL RAINFALL OF ONE TO ONE AND A HALF INCH BY THE TIME THE STORM
EXITS THE AREA MONDAY NIGHT. THIS MAY POSE SOME MINOR URBAN
FLOODING PROBLEMS DURING THE MONDAY MORNING COMMUTE.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NEEDED FOR RAINFALL AMOUNTS LATE TONIGHT
INTO MONDAY.

CTZ005>007-009>011-231015-
NORTHERN FAIRFIELD-NORTHERN NEW HAVEN-NORTHERN MIDDLESEX-
SOUTHERN FAIRFIELD-SOUTHERN NEW HAVEN-SOUTHERN MIDDLESEX-
503 AM EST SUN JAN 22 2006

...FLOOD WARNINGS CONTINUE FOR THE CONNECTICUT AND HOUSATONIC RIVERS...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTHERN
CONNECTICUT.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

MINOR FLOODING ON THE CONNECTICUT AND HOUSATONIC RIVERS IS
EXPECTED TO CONTINUE THROUGH AT LEAST MIDDAY TODAY.

A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM DEVELOPING OVER THE GULF STATES THIS MORNING
WILL DEEPEN AND TRACK NORTHEAST THROUGH THE TENNESSEE VALLEY TODAY
AND THEN ALONG THE APPALACHIANS TONIGHT.

AHEAD OF THIS SYSTEM...SNOW WILL DEVELOP ACROSS THE AREA AFTER
MIDNIGHT...BECOMING MORE WIDESPREAD TOWARDS DAYBREAK MONDAY.
CURRENTLY THERE IS THE POTENTIAL FOR A SNOWFALL OF 2 TO 4 INCHES
WITH LOCALIZED AMOUNTS OF UP TO ONE TENTH OF AN INCH OF
ICE...BEFORE PRECIPITATION CHANGES TO ALL RAIN BY MID-MORNING
MONDAY. HOWEVER...WITH STILL SOME UNCERTAINTY AS TO THE TRACK OF
THE LOW...THESE AMOUNTS WILL BE ADJUSTED AS THE EVENT NEARS.

OTHERWISE...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER EXPECTED TODAY.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY

A SECONDARY COASTAL LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL DEVELOP ALONG THE
MID ATLANTIC COAST MONDAY MORNING AND THEN MOVE NORTHEAST UP THE
COAST MONDAY NIGHT.

AT THE SAME TIME...A STRENGTHENING ONSHORE FLOW WILL HAVE WARMER
AIR WORKING INTO THE AREA AFTER DAYBREAK WITH THE SNOW MIXING WITH
SLEET...AND FREEZING RAIN...AND GRADUALLY TURNING TO ALL RAIN.

AFTER THE CHANGEOVER...THE RAIN COULD BE HEAVY AT TIMES THROUGH MONDAY
AFTERNOON WITH A TOTAL RAINFALL OF THREE QUARTERS TO ONE INCH BY
THE TIME THE STORM EXITS THE AREA MONDAY NIGHT. WITH RIVERS AND
STREAMS ALREADY RUNNING HIGH FROM RECENT RAINS...THERE IS THE
POTENTIAL FOR ADDITIONAL FLOODING WITH THIS EVENT.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NEEDED FOR RAINFALL...SNOWFALL...AND ICE
AMOUNTS...AND FLOODING REPORTS LATE TONIGHT INTO MONDAY.

ANZ330-335-231015-
LONG ISLAND SOUND EAST OF NEW HAVEN CT/PORT JEFFERSON NY-
LONG ISLAND SOUND WEST OF NEW HAVEN CT/PORT JEFFERSON NY-
503 AM EST SUN JAN 22 2006

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF ATLANTIC
COASTAL WATERS.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY

SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FOR MONDAY MORNING...AND THEN
MAY BE NEEDED AGAIN ON TUESDAY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE NEEDED.

ANZ350-353-355-231015-
MORICHES INLET NY TO MONTAUK POINT NY OUT 20 NM-
FIRE ISLAND INLET NY TO MORICHES INLET NY OUT 20 NM-
SANDY HOOK NJ TO FIRE ISLAND INLET NY OUT 20 NM-
503 AM EST SUN JAN 22 2006

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF ATLANTIC
COASTAL WATERS.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FOR WINDS AND SEAS LATE TONIGHT.

OTHERWISE...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER EXPECTED TODAY.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY

SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FOR WINDS AND SEAS THROUGH LATE
MONDAY NIGHT...AND THEN MAY BE NEEDED AGAIN ON TUESDAY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE NEEDED.

ANZ338-231015-
NEW YORK HARBOR-
503 AM EST SUN JAN 22 2006

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF ATLANTIC
COASTAL WATERS.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY

SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MAY BE NEEDED TUESDAY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE NEEDED.

NYZ067-231015-
ORANGE-
503 AM EST SUN JAN 22 2006

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTHEAST NEW
YORK.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM DEVELOPING OVER THE GULF STATES THIS MORNING
WILL DEEPEN AND TRACK NORTHEAST THROUGH THE TENNESSEE VALLEY TODAY
AND THEN UP THE APPALACHIANS TONIGHT.

AHEAD OF THIS SYSTEM...SNOW WILL DEVELOP ACROSS THE AREA AFTER
MIDNIGHT...BECOMING MORE WIDESPREAD AND HEAVIER TOWARDS DAYBREAK
MONDAY.

OTHERWISE...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER EXPECTED TODAY.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY

A SECONDARY COASTAL LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL DEVELOP ALONG THE
MID ATLANTIC COAST MONDAY MORNING AND THEN MOVE NORTHEAST UP THE
COAST MONDAY NIGHT.

AT THE SAME TIME...A STRENGTHENING ONSHORE FLOW WILL HAVE
SOME WARMER AIR WORKING INTO THE AREA AFTER DAYBREAK WITH THE SNOW
MIXING WITH SLEET...AND FREEZING RAIN. CURRENTLY THERE IS THE
POTENTIAL FOR A SNOWFALL OF 3 TO 5 INCHES WITH ICE ACCUMULATION OF
LESS THAN ONE QUARTER OF AN INCH...BEFORE PRECIPITATION TAPERS OFF
MONDAY AFTERNOON. HOWEVER...WITH STILL SOME UNCERTAINTY AS TO THE
TRACK OF THE LOW...THESE AMOUNTS WILL BE ADJUSTED AS THE EVENT
NEARS.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NEEDED FOR SNOWFALL...AND ICE
AMOUNTS LATE TONIGHT INTO MONDAY.

CTZ008-012-NJZ002>005-011-NYZ068>071-231015-
NORTHERN NEW LONDON-SOUTHERN NEW LONDON-WESTERN PASSAIC-BERGEN-
EASTERN PASSAIC-ESSEX-UNION-PUTNAM-ROCKLAND-NORTHERN WESTCHESTER-
SOUTHERN WESTCHESTER-
503 AM EST SUN JAN 22 2006

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTHERN
CONNECTICUT...NORTHEAST NEW JERSEY AND SOUTHEAST NEW YORK.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM DEVELOPING OVER THE GULF STATES THIS MORNING
WILL DEEPEN AND TRACK NORTHEAST THROUGH THE TENNESSEE VALLEY TODAY
AND THEN ALONG THE APPALACHIANS TONIGHT.

AHEAD OF THIS SYSTEM...SNOW WILL DEVELOP ACROSS THE AREA AFTER
MIDNIGHT. AT THE SAME TIME...A STRENGTHENING ONSHORE FLOW WILL
HAVE WARMER AIR WORKING INTO THE AREA WITH THE SNOW MIXING WITH
SLEET...AND FREEZING RAIN...AND GRADUALLY TURNING TO ALL RAIN BY
DAYBREAK MONDAY.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY

A SECONDARY COASTAL LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL DEVELOP ALONG THE
MID ATLANTIC COAST MONDAY MORNING AND THEN MOVE NORTHEAST UP THE
COAST MONDAY NIGHT.

ONLY AN INCH OR LESS OF SNOWFALL IS EXPECTED WITH
A LOCALIZED GLAZING OF ICE...BEFORE PRECIPITATION CHANGES TO ALL
RAIN BY EARLY MONDAY MORNING. HOWEVER...WITH STILL SOME
UNCERTAINTY AS TO THE TRACK OF THE LOW...THESE AMOUNTS WILL BE
ADJUSTED AS THE EVENT NEARS.

AFTER THE CHANGEOVER...THE RAIN COULD BE HEAVY AT TIMES THROUGH MONDAY
AFTERNOON WITH A TOTAL RAINFALL OF AROUND INCH BY THE TIME THE STORM
EXITS THE AREA MONDAY NIGHT. WITH RIVERS AND STREAMS ALREADY
RUNNING HIGH FROM RECENT RAINS...THERE IS THE POTENTIAL FOR
ADDITIONAL FLOODING WITH THIS EVENT.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NEEDED FOR RAINFALL...SNOWFALL...AND ICE
AMOUNTS...AND FLOODING REPORTS LATE TONIGHT INTO MONDAY.

The office that day

Everything else NWS New York, NY issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jan 22, 3:23 PM ESTWinter Weather AdvisoryOKXPutnam, Rockland, Westchester21 hr

Nearby

Winter Storm Warnings in New York, 2006Every winter storm warning in 2006

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.