Snow Advisory 2, NWS Nashville, TN

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NASHVILLE TN
318 AM CST SAT JAN 14 2006

.DISCUSSION...WV IMAGERY SHOWING THAT THE UPPER LOW IS LOCATED OVER
EASTERN KY AT THIS TIME. WESTERN EDGE OF THE SNOWFALL IS ROUGHLY
PARALLEL TO I-65 WITH THIS WESTERN EDGE CURRENTLY MAKING SOME
EASTWARD PROGRESS. WESTERN EDGE OF THE CLOUD COVER IS ALSO RUNNING
N-S ABOUT 30 MILES OR SO WEST OF I-65.

FOR TODAY...WILL OPT TO REPLACE THE WINTER STORM WARNING WITH A SNOW
ADVISORY FOR THE 6 COUNTIES ACROSS THE NORTHERN AND CENTRAL PLATEAU.
WILL LIKELY RUN THIS ADVISORY UNTIL 7 AM AS FLURRIES WILL BE THE
ONLY PRECIP TYPE EXPECTED BY LATE MORNING. WILL MENTION THAT AN
ADDITIONAL INCH OF SNOW ACCUM WILL BE POSSIBLE ACROSS THE ADVISORY
AREA. FURTHER SOUTH ACROSS THE SOUTHERN PLATEAU...ONLY LIGHT AMOUNTS
WILL BE POSSIBLE.
OTHERWISE...WILL BASE THE TODAY PERIOD ON THE FUTURE RADAR TRENDS AS
POST TIME DRAWS NEAR. MOST LIKELY...POPS WILL ONLY BE INCLUDED
ACROSS THE PLATEAU.

SHOULD BE A COLD DAY TODAY DESPITE AFTERNOON SUN ACROSS ALL BUT THE
PLATEAU AREA. MAV NUMBERS ARE A TAD TOO WARM SO WILL UNDERCUT.

FOR TONIGHT...SFC RIDGE WILL BE DIRECTLY ACROSS MIDDLE TN BY 12Z
SUN. MAV NUMBERS LOOK REASONABLE WITH MID 20S FOR NASHVILLE. SHOULD
SEE 20-25 FOR OUTLYING/LOW LYING AREAS AND PLATEAU.

SOUTHERLY FLOW AND WARMER TEMPS TO RETURN ON SUNDAY WITH MID/HIGH
CLOUDS INCREASING IN THE AFTERNOON. UPPER RIDGE AXIS WILL SHIFT EAST
OF THE MID STATE ON SUNDAY NIGHT AS MOISTURE INCREASES. THUS WILL
INCLUDE A 20-30 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AREA WIDE...BUT MAINLY
LATE SUNDAY NIGHT.

ON MONDAY...MLK DAY...A STRONG COLD FRONT WILL BE APPROACHING FROM
THE WEST AS UPPER LEVEL IMPULSES MOVE NORTHEASTWARD ACROSS THE AREA.
WILL CONTINUE WITH A 40-50 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND TSTMS. WET
WEATHER TO CONTINUE INTO TUESDAY NIGHT AS STRONG FORCING AND UPPER
DYNAMICS COMBINE. PRECIP SHOULD END ON WEDNESDAY WITH A BRIEF COOL
DOWN.

&&

.OHX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...SNOW ADVISORY NORTHERN AND
CENTRAL PLATEAU UNTIL 7 AM THIS MORNING.

&&

21

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NASHVILLE TN
400 AM CST SAT JAN 14 2006

TNZ005>011-022>034-056>066-075-077>080-093>095-151200-
BEDFORD-BENTON-CANNON-CHEATHAM-CLAY-COFFEE-CUMBERLAND-DAVIDSON-
DEKALB-DICKSON-FENTRESS-GILES-GRUNDY-HICKMAN-HOUSTON-HUMPHREYS-
JACKSON-LAWRENCE-LEWIS-MACON-MARSHALL-MAURY-MONTGOMERY-OVERTON-PERRY-
PICKETT-PUTNAM-ROBERTSON-RUTHERFORD-SMITH-STEWART-SUMNER-TROUSDALE-
VAN BUREN-WARREN-WAYNE-WHITE-WILLIAMSON-WILSON-
400 AM CST SAT JAN 14 2006

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR MIDDLE TENNESSEE.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT
A SNOW ADVISORY IS IN EFFECT FOR THE NORTHERN AND CENTRAL CUMBERLAND
PLATEAU EARLY THIS MORNING...WITH ADDITIONAL SNOWFALL AROUND ONE
INCH. SUBFREEZING TEMPERATURES WILL MAKE FOR HAZARDOUS TRAVEL IN
THIS REGION DURING THE MORNING. NO OTHER HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS
EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY
ANOTHER COLD FRONT WILL MOVE INTO MIDDLE TENNESSEE TUESDAY. THERE IS
A CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS BEGINNING MARTIN LUTHER KING JUNIOR DAY
UNTIL THE FRONT PASSES THROUGH. COLDER AIR AND LINGERING MOISTURE
KEEP A CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS ON WEDNESDAY. HOWEVER...NO SIGNIFICANT
SNOW ACCUMULATIONS ARE EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER CALL TO ACTION STATEMENT...
ACTIVATION OF SPOTTERS AND EMERGENCY MANAGERS IS NOT ANTICIPATED.

04