Flash Flood Warning 1, NWS Nashville, TN

000 
WGUS74 KOHX 230209
FFSOHX

FLASH FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NASHVILLE TN
758 PM CST SUN JAN 22 2006

TNC005-230215-
BENTON TN-
758 PM CST SUN JAN 22 2006

...A FLASH FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 815 PM CST FOR
BENTON COUNTY...

AT 753 PM CST...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR CONTINUED TO
INDICATE SHOWERS MOVING THROUGH BENTON COUNTY. HOWEVER THE HEAVY
RAINFALL THAT PRODUCED FLASH FLOODING IN SOUTHERN BENTON COUNTY HAS
ENDED. CREEKS AND STREAMS SHOULD BEGIN RETURNING TO THEIR BANKS
SHORTLY.

BENTON COUNTY SHERIFFS OFFICE REPORTED SEVERAL ROADS FLOODED IN
THE SOUTHERN PART OF THE COUNTY AT 740 PM CST. ONE LADY WAS 
RESCUED FROM HER CAR WHICH HAD STALLED IN A FLOODED ROADWAY.

LOCATIONS IN THE WARNING INCLUDE BUT ARE NOT LIMITED TO CAMDEN 
AND HOLLADAY.

DO NOT DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE INTO AREAS WHERE THE WATER COVERS THE
ROADWAY. THE WATER DEPTH MAY BE TOO GREAT TO ALLOW YOUR CAR TO CROSS
SAFELY. VEHICLES CAUGHT IN RISING WATER SHOULD BE ABANDONED QUICKLY.
MOVE TO HIGHER GROUND.

LAT...LON 3587 8823 3587 8801 3629 8798 3631 8817

$$
BOYD

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NASHVILLE TN
238 PM CST SUN JAN 22 2006

.DISCUSSION...
HAD A BIT OF A BREAK THIS AFTERNOON...BUT HEAVIER RAINFALL IS
STARTING TO MOVE INTO WRN MIDDLE TENNESSEE. SATELLITE IMAGES ARE
SHOWING STRONGLY ENHANCED CLOUD TOPS EXTENDING SWWD ACROSS AR/NRN
LA/EAST TX. GFS 12 HR ACCUMULATED PRECIP IS INDICATING 1-2 INCHES
OF RAIN FROM 6 PM TO 6AM TONIGHT. GIVEN THAT THIS IS GRID SCALE
PRECIP...LOCAL AMOUNTS APPROACHING 3 INCHES IS POSSIBLE. LATEST
ONE HOUR FLASH FLOOD GUIDANCE FROM SLIDELL RFC INDICATES THAT MOST
COUNTIES ARE IN THE 0.8 TO 1.8 INCHES BRACKET. GIVEN THE ANTECEDENT
RAINFALL...FLOOD WARNINGS LATER TONIGHT LOOK LIKE A GOOD BET.

H5 SHORTWAVE ASSOCD WITH THIS ACTIVITY IS BACK IN CNTRL TX. A LONGER
WAVE FEATURE IS LOCATED FROM THE NRN PLAINS TO THE DESERT SW.
FLOOD POTENTIAL SHOULD END MONDAY MORNING WHEN THE 1ST FEATURE
PASSES. THE 2ND LONGER WAVE WILL PASS MON NIGHT BRINGING MORE DRY
AIR INTO THE AREA...BUT WILL GENERATE A STRONG LOW IN THE GREAT
LAKES WHICH SHOULD NOT HAVE A SIGNIFICANT EFFECT ON MIDSTATE
WEATHER IT PASSES WELL TO THE NORTH.

NO SGFNT WEATHER EXPECTED TUE/WED/MOST OF THU AS THE RIDGE MOVES
ACROSS THE AREA. THEN A CUTOFF LOW...WHICH DROPPED OFF THE BOTTOM
OF THE 2ND LONGER WAVE FEATURE NOTED ABOVE...MOVES OUT OF SRN CA
ON WED...REACHING THE MID MS VALLEY LATE THU. THIS WILL GENERATE
A CHANCE OF RAIN EARLY FRI THROUGH THE WEEKEND.

MOS TEMPS WERE IN GOOD AGREEMENT THROUGH DAY 3 WITH NO SGFNT
DEVIATIONS NOTED AMONG THE MODELS. MOS POPS WERE ALL CATEGORICAL
TONIGHT WITH A FEW TIMING DIFFERENCES NOTED FOR TOMORROW CONCERNING
THE ENDING OF THE PRECIP THREAT.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
NASHVILLE    41  48  33  57 / 100  50  10  10
CLARKSVILLE  37  49  31  56 / 100  30  10  10
CROSSVILLE   45  49  28  53 / 100  70  10  10

&&

.OHX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FLASH FLOOD WATCH FROM 6 PM CST SUNDAY TO 6 AM CST MONDAY FOR
ALL OF MIDDLE TENNESSEE.
&&

JLM

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NASHVILLE TN
519 AM CST SUN JAN 22 2006

TNZ005>011-022>034-056>066-075-077>080-093>095-231030-
BEDFORD-BENTON-CANNON-CHEATHAM-CLAY-COFFEE-CUMBERLAND-DAVIDSON-
DEKALB-DICKSON-FENTRESS-GILES-GRUNDY-HICKMAN-HOUSTON-HUMPHREYS-
JACKSON-LAWRENCE-LEWIS-MACON-MARSHALL-MAURY-MONTGOMERY-OVERTON-PERRY-
PICKETT-PUTNAM-ROBERTSON-RUTHERFORD-SMITH-STEWART-SUMNER-TROUSDALE-
VAN BUREN-WARREN-WAYNE-WHITE-WILLIAMSON-WILSON-
519 AM CST SUN JAN 22 2006

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR MIDDLE TENNESSEE.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT
RAIN WILL SPREAD NORTHWARD ACROSS MIDDLE TENNESSEE TODAY
AND BECOME LOCALLY HEAVY THIS EVENING AND TONIGHT. ISOLATED
THUNDERSTORMS ARE ALSO POSSIBLE...WHICH COULD PRODUCE
ADDITIONAL HEAVY DOWNPOURS.

A FLASH FLOOD WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR LATE TODAY AND TONIGHT
...WITH RAINFALL TOTALS BETWEEN ONE AND HALF AND TWO INCHES
...AND LOCAL AMOUNTS TO OVER THREE INCHES. THIS WILL LIKELY
PRODUCE PONDING OF WATER IN LOW LYING AREAS...AND MAY CAUSE
WATER LEVELS TO RISE ALONG SOME CREEKS AND STREAMS.

IF YOU LIVE IN A FLOOD PRONE AREA YOU SHOULD BE ALERT...AND
BE READY TO MOVE TO A PLACE OF SAFETY...IF FLASH FLOODING IS
OBSERVED...OR A FLASH FLOOD WARNING IS ISSUED FOR YOUR LOCATION.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY
NO WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME

.SPOTTER CALL TO ACTION STATEMENT...
DURING PERIODS OF HEAVY RAIN...SPOTTERS AND LAW ENFORCEMENT
PERSONNEL ARE ENCOURAGED TO RELAY REPORTS OF FLOODING TO
THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN NASHVILLE.

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SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NASHVILLE TN
120 PM CST SUN JAN 22 2006

TNZ005>011-022>034-056>066-075-077>080-093>095-222030-
BEDFORD-BENTON-CANNON-CHEATHAM-CLAY-COFFEE-CUMBERLAND-DAVIDSON-
DEKALB-DICKSON-FENTRESS-GILES-GRUNDY-HICKMAN-HOUSTON-HUMPHREYS-
JACKSON-LAWRENCE-LEWIS-MACON-MARSHALL-MAURY-MONTGOMERY-OVERTON-PERRY-
PICKETT-PUTNAM-ROBERTSON-RUTHERFORD-SMITH-STEWART-SUMNER-TROUSDALE-
VAN BUREN-WARREN-WAYNE-WHITE-WILLIAMSON-WILSON-
120 PM CST SUN JAN 22 2006

STORM SPOTTER AND LAW ENFORCEMENT AGENCIES IN WAYNE AND
FENTRESS COUNTIES HAVE REPORTED STANDING WATER ON THE ROADWAYS AND
MINOR FLOODING WITHIN FLOOD PRONE AREAS. THIS IS DUE TO THE HEAVY
RAINFALL WHICH MOVED ACROSS THE AREA EARLIER THIS MORNING. RADAR
ESTIMATED RAINFALL AMOUNTS...SINCE 6 AM CST THIS MORNING...ARE AROUND
1 INCH IN SOUTHERN FENTRESS COUNTY TO JUST OVER 2 INCHES IN SOUTHERN
WAYNE COUNTY.

CURRENTLY...RAINFALL COVERAGE AND INTENSITY HAS DECREASED ACROSS
THE MID STATE. HOWEVER...ADDITIONAL RAINFALL IS STILL EXPECTED LATER
THIS AFTERNOON AND INTO TONIGHT. A FLASH FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN
EFFECT FROM THIS EVENING THROUGH TONIGHT.

IF TRAVELING THROUGH THE MIDDLE TN AREA TODAY OR TONIGHT...SLOW
DOWN AND ALLOW FOR EXTRA TIME TO REACH YOUR DESTINATION. THE PONDING
OF WATER ON ROADWAYS AND STANDING WATER WITHIN FLOOD PRONE AREAS
CAN BE EXPECTED AT A MINIMUM.

STAY TUNED FOR FURTHER UPDATES.

21