Alert archive / Nebraska / Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in 2006

Severe Thunderstorm Warning 360, NWS Omaha, NE

September 15, 2006Knox County, Nebraska

NWS Omaha, NE issued this severe thunderstorm warning at Sep 15, 2006, 6:13 PM CDT for Knox County, Nebraska. It was in force for 47 min. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued
Sep 15, 2006, 6:13 PM CDT (23:13 UTC)
Expired
Sep 15, 2006, 7:00 PM CDT
In force
47 min
Issued by
NWS Omaha, NE
Area
Counties, with a storm outline in the text

County Knox County, NE

The radar

The Sioux Falls radar (KFSD), 142 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 23:15 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The watch it was issued in

The SPC watch in force over the same counties when this warning went out.

IssuedProductOfficeLasted
Sep 15, 5:12 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPC8 hr

The nearest sounding before it

N. Platte/Lee Bi, NE (KLBF), launched 12:00Z, 11.2 hours before the alert went out and 280 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, N. Platte/Lee Bi, NE at 12:00Z on 2006-09-15Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 0 joules per kilogram.LCL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, N. Platte/Lee Bi, NE at 12:00Z on 2006-09-15The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 264 square meters per square second.193958Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
0 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
No buoyant parcel
Mixed-layer LCL
1112 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
26 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
264 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
262 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this severe thunderstorm warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Omaha, NE wrote its last area forecast discussion before this severe thunderstorm warning went out at Sep 15, 4:06 PM CDT, 2 hours 7 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Sep 15, 4:06 PM CDT, 2 hours 7 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...CORRECTION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OMAHA/VALLEY NE
406 PM CDT FRI SEP 15 2006

.DISCUSSION...

PRIMARY PROBLEMS ARE THE CHANCES OF THUNDERSORMS IN THE SHORT TERM
AND TEMPERATURES DURG THE WEEKEND AND NEXT WEEK.

DEEP UPR TROF AT 12Z WAS OVR THE PACIFIC NW WITH SERIES OF LEAD
SHORTWV TOFS EJECTING OUT ACRS THE RCKYS AND CNTRL PLNS.  AT H85
PLUME OF MSTR EXTDS FM WRN TX ACRS CNTRL AND WRN NEBRASKA INTO THE
DAKOTAS.  STG LO LVL JET CONTS TO ADVCT LO LVL MSTR NWD INTO THE
CNTRL PLNS. LEAD UPR SHORTWV TROF IS ASSOCD WITH UPR LVL JET MAX
MOVG ACRS KS.  THIS SHUD ENHANCE UVVS ACRS NEBRASKA THIS EVENING.

SHORT TERM...SEVERAL WAVES OF THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSIBLE TONIGHT ACRS
THE OAX CWA.  THERE MAY BE A CHC OF ISOLD SVR TSTMS...ESPECIALLY N
OF COLUMBUS. ACTVITY THAT HAS BEEN DVLPG FM DAVID CITY TO MARSHALL
COUNTY KS IS ELEVATED CNVTN DUE TO ISENTROPIC LIFT.  A SECOND WAVE
OF MORE SIGNIFICANT THUNDERSTORMS ARE OVER CNTRL AND WRN NEBRASKA
AND IS EXPECTED TO MOVE ACROSS THE AREA LATER TONIGHT INTO TOMORROW
MORNING.

ON SATURDAY SKIES SHUD CLEAR OUT BY MID MORNING AND ATMOSHERE SHUD
BCM UNSTBL BY AFTN INTO THE EVNG AHD OF AFTN.  NAM40 CAPES INDC CAPE
VALUES ABV 2000 J/KG.  HELICITY VALUES ON SATURDAY LOOK FVRBL FOR
SUPERCELLS STORMS AND POSSIBLE SQUALL LINE DVLPMT.  STG MID LVL DRY
PUNCH WL CREATE STGS ON PREFRONTAL TROF/DRYLN BY AFTN.

STORMS SHUD CONT ON SATURDAY NGT AND INTO SUNDAY MORNING BEFORE AREA
CLEARS OUT.

IN THE EXTENDED.  KEPT MAINLY DRY THRU THURSDAY NIGHT.  SOME SHOWERS
ARE POSSIBLE THURSDAY NIGHT INTO FRIDAY MORNING OVER NORTHEASTERN
PARTS OF THE OAX CWA AS ANOTHER UPR LVL SHRTWV TROF MOVS ACRS THE
RGN.

&&

.OAX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NE...NONE.
IA...NONE.
&&

SMITH
Hazardous weather outlook, Sep 15, 4:59 PM CDT, 1 hour 14 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK ...CORRECTION TO TIME
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OMAHA/VALLEY NE
459 PM CDT FRI SEP 15 2006

IAZ043-055-056-069-079-080-090-091-NEZ011-012-015>018-030>034-
042>045-050>053-065>068-078-088>093-161100-
ANTELOPE-BOONE-BURT-BUTLER-CASS-CEDAR-COLFAX-CUMING-DODGE-DOUGLAS-
FREMONT IA-GAGE-HARRISON IA-JEFFERSON-JOHNSON-KNOX-LANCASTER-MADISON-
MILLS IA-MONONA IA-MONTGOMERY IA-NEMAHA-OTOE-PAGE IA-PAWNEE-PIERCE-
PLATTE-POTTAWATTAMIE IA-RICHARDSON-SALINE-SARPY-SAUNDERS-SEWARD-
SHELBY IA-STANTON-THURSTON-WASHINGTON-WAYNE-
459 PM CDT FRI SEP 15 2006

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PARTS OF EASTERN NEBRASKA
AND SOUTHWEST IOWA.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT

SCATTERED NON SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WILL MOVE THROUGH EXTREME EAST
CENTRAL NEBRASKA AND WEST CENTRAL IOWA EARLY THIS EVENING. BRIEF
DOWNPOURS AND OCCASIONAL LIGHTNING STRIKES CAN BE EXPECTED FROM THESE
STORMS.

STRONGER THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS CENTRAL NEBRASKA WILL BEGIN MOVING
INTO EASTERN NEBRASKA THIS EVENING...LIKELY BY 7 PM. SOME OF THESE
THUNDERSTORMS MAY BE SEVERE THIS EVENING WITH LARGE HAIL AND
DAMAGING WINDS THE PRIMARY HAZARDS. THE SEVERE STORMS SHOULD BE
WEST OF A LINE FROM PAWNEE CITY NEBRASKA TO OMAHA TO ONAWA IOWA.
SCATTERED STRONG THUNDERSTORMS SHOULD CONTINUE ACROSS NORTHEAST
NEBRASKA AFTER MIDNIGHT WITH A CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS THE
REMAINDER OF THE AREA. LINGERING NON THUNDERSTORMS MAY OCCUR SATURDAY
MORNING ALONG AND EAST OF THE MISSOURI RIVER.

SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO REDEVELOP SATURDAY AFTERNOON
AS A DRY LINE BEGINS TO MOVE INTO EASTERN NEBRASKA. SUPERCELL
THUNDERSTORMS WILL LIKELY DEVELOP ALONG THE DRY LINE BY 2 TO 4 PM...
MOVING INTO THE REMAINDER OF EASTERN NEBRASKA AND WESTERN IOWA DURING
THE EVENING. STRONG INSTABILITY AND VERY STRONG WIND SHEAR WILL
COMBINE TO PRODUCE MOSTLY LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS ACROSS THE
OUTLOOK AREA. HOWEVER...ISOLATED TORNADOES ALSO APPEAR POSSIBLE
ACROSS MAINLY NORTHEAST NEBRASKA.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY

THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

STORM SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY STILL BE NEEDED ACROSS PORTIONS OF
EASTERN NEBRASKA THIS EVENING...BUT SHOULD NOT BE NEEDED ACROSS
WESTERN IOWA TONIGHT. STORM SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL LIKELY BE NEEDED
SATURDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING ACROSS ALL OF EASTERN NEBRASKA AND
WESTERN IOWA.

NWS

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in Nebraska, 2006Every severe thunderstorm warning in 2006

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.