Red Flag Warning 8, NWS Missoula, MT

Clearwater County, ID, Idaho County, ID, Latah County, ID, Lewis County, ID, Nez Perce County, ID, Beaverhead County, MT, Deer Lodge County, MT, Flathead County, MT, Glacier County, MT, Granite County, MT, Jefferson County, MT, Lake County, MT, Lewis and Clark County, MT, Lincoln County, MT, Madison County, MT, Mineral County, MT, Missoula County, MT, Powell County, MT, Ravalli County, MT, Sanders County, MT, Silver Bow County, MT

000 
WWUS85 KMSO 222040
RFWMSO

RED FLAG WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MISSOULA MT
240 PM MDT TUE AUG 22 2006

MTZ110-111-230400-
/O.NEW.KMSO.FW.A.0009.060823T1800Z-060824T0400Z/
/O.CON.KMSO.FW.W.0008.000000T0000Z-060823T0400Z/
DEERLODGE/WEST BEAVERHEAD-EAST BEAVERHEAD-
240 PM MDT TUE AUG 22 2006

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM MDT THIS
EVENING FOR GUSTY WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITIES IN THE
BEAVERHEAD NATIONAL FOREST (ZONES 110 AND 111)...
...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT FROM WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH
WEDNESDAY EVENING FOR STRONG WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITIES IN
THE BEAVERHEAD NATIONAL FOREST (ZONES 110 AND 111)...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MISSOULA HAS ISSUED A FIRE
WEATHER WATCH...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON
THROUGH WEDNESDAY EVENING. A RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT
UNTIL 10 PM MDT THIS EVENING. 

THE ATMOSPHERE CONTINUES TO BE UNSTABLE WITH THE PASSING OF A
WEATHER SYSTEM TODAY...WINDS MIXING DOWN IN COMBINATION WITH VERY
LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITIES WILL PRODUCE CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER
CONDITIONS THROUGH THE EVENING. SOUTHWEST TO WEST WINDS OF 15 TO
25 MPH WILL BE COMMON ON THE MID AND UPPER SLOPES AS WELL AS IN
THE BROADER VALLEYS. HUMIDITIES WILL DROP INTO THE TEENS IN THE
VALLEYS... AND THE UPPER TEENS AND 20S IN THE HIGHER TERRAIN.
THESE CONDITIONS WILL IMPROVE SHORTLY AFTER DARK.

ANOTHER WEATHER SYSTEM WILL ENTER SOUTHWEST MONTANA WEDNESDAY.
STRONG WINDS 15 TO 25 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 30 ARE POSSIBLE...AGAIN
WITH RELATIVE HUMIDITIES DIPPING BELOW 20 PERCENT. THIS WILL
PRODUCE CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS THROUGH THE AFTERNOON AND
EVENING.

A FIRE WEATHER WATCH MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE FORECAST TO OCCUR. LISTEN FOR LATER FORECASTS AND POSSIBLE
RED FLAG WARNINGS.

$$

IDZ102-103-MTZ104>109-230400-
/O.CON.KMSO.FW.W.0008.000000T0000Z-060823T0400Z/
PALOUSE/HELLS CANYON-CLEARWATER/NEZ PERCE-KOOTENAI-
FLATHEAD/GLACIER PARK-WEST LOLO-SALISH AND KOOTENAI RESERVATION-
EAST LOLO-BITTERROOT-
140 PM PDT TUE AUG 22 2006 /240 PM MDT TUE AUG 22 2006/

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM MDT /9 PM PDT/
THIS EVENING FOR GUSTY WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITIES FOR 
CENTRAL IDAHO AND WESTERN MONTANA...

A RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM MDT /9 PM PDT/
THIS EVENING. 

THE ATMOSPHERE CONTINUES TO BE UNSTABLE WITH THE PASSING OF A
WEATHER SYSTEM TODAY...WINDS MIXING DOWN TO THE SURFACE IN
COMBINATION WITH VERY LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITIES WILL PRODUCE
CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS THROUGH THE EVENING. SOUTHWEST TO
WEST WINDS OF 15 TO 25 MPH WILL BE COMMON ON THE MID AND UPPER
SLOPES AS WELL AS IN THE BROADER VALLEYS. HUMIDITIES WILL DROP
INTO THE TEENS IN THE VALLEYS... AND THE UPPER TEENS AND 20S IN
THE HIGHER TERRAIN. THESE CONDITIONS WILL IMPROVE SHORTLY AFTER
DARK.



$$

000 
WWUS85 KMSO 230409
RFWMSO

RED FLAG WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MISSOULA MT
1009 PM MDT TUE AUG 22 2006

IDZ102-103-MTZ104>109-231615-
/O.EXP.KMSO.FW.W.0008.000000T0000Z-060823T0400Z/
/O.EXA.KMSO.FW.A.0009.060823T1800Z-060824T0400Z/
PALOUSE/HELLS CANYON-CLEARWATER/NEZ PERCE-KOOTENAI-
FLATHEAD/GLACIER PARK-WEST LOLO-SALISH AND KOOTENAI RESERVATION-
EAST LOLO-BITTERROOT-
909 PM PDT TUE AUG 22 2006 /1009 PM MDT TUE AUG 22 2006/

...RED FLAG WARNING WILL EXPIRE AT 10 PM MDT /9 PM PDT/ THIS
EVENING...
...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT FROM WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH
WEDNESDAY EVENING FOR GUSTY WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITIES FOR 
CENTRAL IDAHO AND WESTERN MONTANA...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MISSOULA HAS ISSUED A FIRE
WEATHER WATCH...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON
THROUGH WEDNESDAY EVENING. THE RED FLAG WARNING WILL EXPIRE AT
10 PM MDT /9 PM PDT/ THIS EVENING. 

THE ATMOSPHERE WILL BECOME UNSTABLE WITH THE PASSING OF ANOTHER WEATHER
SYSTEM WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON...WINDS MIXING DOWN IN COMBINATION WITH VERY LOW
RELATIVE HUMIDITIES WILL PRODUCE CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
THROUGH THE EVENING. SOUTHWEST TO WEST WINDS OF 15 TO 25 MPH WITH
GUSTS TO 30 MPH WILL BE COMMON ON THE MID AND UPPER SLOPES AS WELL
AS IN THE BROADER VALLEYS. HUMIDITIES WILL DROP INTO THE TEENS IN
THE VALLEYS... AND THE UPPER TEENS AND 20S IN THE HIGHER TERRAIN.
THESE CONDITIONS WILL IMPROVE SHORTLY AFTER DARK.

A FIRE WEATHER WATCH MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE FORECAST TO OCCUR. LISTEN FOR LATER FORECASTS AND POSSIBLE
RED FLAG WARNINGS.

$$

MTZ110-111-231615-
/O.EXP.KMSO.FW.W.0008.000000T0000Z-060823T0400Z/
/O.CON.KMSO.FW.A.0009.060823T1800Z-060824T0400Z/
DEERLODGE/WEST BEAVERHEAD-EAST BEAVERHEAD-
1009 PM MDT TUE AUG 22 2006

...RED FLAG WARNING WILL EXPIRE AT 10 PM MDT THIS EVENING...
...FIRE WEATHER WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON
THROUGH WEDNESDAY EVENING FOR STRONG WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITIES IN
THE BEAVERHEAD NATIONAL FOREST (ZONES 110 AND 111)...

THE ATMOSPHERE WILL BECOME UNSTABLE WITH THE PASSING OF ANOTHER WEATHER
SYSTEM WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON...WINDS MIXING DOWN IN COMBINATION WITH VERY LOW
RELATIVE HUMIDITIES WILL PRODUCE CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
THROUGH THE EVENING. SOUTHWEST TO WEST WINDS OF 15 TO 25 MPH WITH
GUSTS TO 30 MPH WILL BE COMMON ON THE MID AND UPPER SLOPES AS WELL
AS IN THE BROADER VALLEYS. HUMIDITIES WILL DROP INTO THE TEENS IN
THE VALLEYS... AND THE UPPER TEENS AND 20S IN THE HIGHER TERRAIN.
THESE CONDITIONS WILL IMPROVE SHORTLY AFTER DARK.

A FIRE WEATHER WATCH MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE FORECAST TO OCCUR. LISTEN FOR LATER FORECASTS AND POSSIBLE
RED FLAG WARNINGS.

$$

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MISSOULA MT
340 AM MDT TUE AUG 22 2006

.SHORT TERM...INCOMING WEATHER DISTURBANCE MOVING RAPIDLY INTO
NORTH CENTRAL IDAHO AND FAR WESTERN MONTANA EARLY THIS MORNING.
RADAR SHOWING HIGH BASED SHOWERS BUT NOT MUCH PRECIP REACHING ANY
SURFACE WEATHER STATIONS THUS FAR. WITH CONTINUED DRY AIR AT THE
SURFACE...BELIEVE THIS WILL HOLD TRUE THROUGH THE MORNING WITH
PEOPLE WAKING UP TO A FAIRLY CHAOTIC SKY BUT LIKELY NOT HAVING TO
USE THEIR WINDSHIELD WIPERS.  THE EVAPORATIVE COOLING STILL HAS
POTENTIAL TO PRODUCE SOME OUTFLOW AT THE GROUND HOWEVER. THE BACK
EDGE OF THE SHOWER ACTIVITY IS ALREADY INTO SOUTHERN IDAHO
COUNTY...SO THIS WILL BE A MORNING EVENT FOR MOST OF THE NORTHERN
ROCKIES. IT WILL LIKELY STILL BE PASSING FAR NORTHWEST MONTANA THIS
AFTERNOON. WILL ALSO MAINTAIN A SMALL THREAT OF LATE AFTERNOON
THUNDERSTORMS OVER SOUTHWEST MONTANA WITH RESIDUAL INSTABILITY AND
A STALLED SURFACE BOUNDARY.

THIS INSTABILITY WILL ALLOW MODERATE WINDS ALOFT TO MIX TO THE
SURFACE EARLY THIS AFTERNOON INTO THE EVENING. ONLY SLIGHT COOLING
EXPECTED TODAY...ESPECIALLY WITH A FAIR BIT OF SUNSHINE THIS AFTERNOON.

A SECOND DISTURBANCE WILL PASS OVER WEDNESDAY. MAIN THREAT OF
THUNDERSTORMS FROM THIS FEATURE WILL BE OVER THE FAR NORTH.
HOWEVER...THE AFOREMENTIONED SURFACE BOUNDARY WILL STILL BE OVER
SOUTHWEST MONTANA AND EAST CENTRAL IDAHO...AND EXPECT CONVECTION
TO REDEVELOP IN THOSE AREAS DURING THE AFTERNOON. BREEZY
CONDITIONS WILL ALSO REDEVELOP ACROSS THE NORTHERN ROCKIES.

.LONG TERM...THURSDAY THROUGH MONDAY...A THIRD SYSTEM WILL DROP
INTO NORTHERN IDAHO AND WESTERN MONTANA THURSDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH
FRIDAY. THE COOLING WITH THIS SYSTEM WILL BE MORE NOTICEABLE AS IT
MOVES IN FROM THE NORTHWEST. ANY SHOWERS THAT DEVELOP WILL STILL
BE PRETTY LIGHT BUT MAY BE MORE EXTENSIVE IN AERIAL COVERAGE. THE
WEEKEND SHOULD BRING A SLOW WARM UP AS HIGH PRESSURE REBUILDS.

&&

.AVIATION...HIGH BASED SHOWERS AND EMBEDDED THUNDERSTORMS WILL
MOVE FROM SOUTH TO NORTH THROUGH WESTERN MONTANA AND NORTHERN
IDAHO THIS MORNING DUE TO A PASSING DISTURBANCE.
INSTABILITY...THOUGH...COULD KICK OFF A FEW AIR MASS THUNDERSTORMS
THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING AS WELL. SEE APPROPRIATE TAFS AND
TWEBS.

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...WILL UPGRADE WATCH TO A WARNING WITH MORNING
FORECAST. MORNING SHOWERS COULD PROVIDE AN EARLY SHOT OF GUSTY
WINDS...THEN WE MAY GET A SHORT LULL BEFORE THE AFTERNOON WINDS
DEVELOP. DO NOT EXPECT A MAJOR EVENT...BUT THINK 15 TO 25 MPH WILL
BE COMMON FROM MID SLOPES TO RIDGES. HUMIDITIES WILL BE SOMEWHAT
IMPROVED FROM THE SINGLE DIGITS IN THE VALLEYS THE PAST COUPLE
DAYS. STILL EXPECT THEM TO DROP INTO THE TEENS...THOUGH.

WINDS A FACTOR AGAIN WEDNESDAY...BUT WITH CONTINUED TEMPERATURE
AND HUMIDITY IMPROVEMENT.

&&

.MSO WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
MT...RED FLAG WARNING FROM NOON TO 10 PM TUESDAY FOR KOOTENAI/CABINET
     REGION...WEST GLACIER REGION...FLATHEAD/MISSION VALLEYS...LOWER
     CLARK FORK REGION...MISSOULA/BITTERROOT VALLEYS...
     BITTERROOT/SAPPHIRE MOUNTAINS...BUTTE/BLACKFOOT REGION...
 POTOMAC/SEELEY LAKE REGION. (ZONES 104 THROUGH 111)

ID...RED FLAG WARNING FROM NOON TO 10 PM TUESDAY FOR NORTHERN
     CLEARWATER MOUNTAINS...SOUTHERN CLEARWATER MOUNTAINS...
     OROFINO/GRANGEVILLE REGION...LOWER HELLS CANYON/SALMON RIVER
 REGION. (ZONES 102 AND 103)

&&

WHITMORE

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MISSOULA MT
603 AM MDT TUE AUG 22 2006

IDZ005>010-MTZ001>007-043-222100-
NORTHERN CLEARWATER MOUNTAINS-SOUTHERN CLEARWATER MOUNTAINS-
OROFINO/GRANGEVILLE REGION-LOWER HELLS CANYON/SALMON RIVER REGION-
WESTERN LEMHI COUNTY-EASTERN LEMHI COUNTY-KOOTENAI/CABINET REGION-
WEST GLACIER REGION-FLATHEAD/MISSION VALLEYS-
LOWER CLARK FORK REGION-MISSOULA/BITTERROOT VALLEYS-
BITTERROOT/SAPPHIRE MOUNTAINS-BUTTE/BLACKFOOT REGION-
POTOMAC/SEELEY LAKE REGION-
503 AM PDT TUE AUG 22 2006 /603 AM MDT TUE AUG 22 2006/

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF NORTH CENTRAL
IDAHO...NORTHWEST MONTANA AND WEST CENTRAL MONTANA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

A WEAK DISTURBANCE IS MOVING THROUGH NORTHERN IDAHO AND WESTERN
MONTANA THIS MORNING. INCREASED MID LEVEL FLOW BEHIND THIS
FEATURE WILL MIX DOWN TO THE SURFACE THIS AFTERNOON. THE WINDS IN
COMBINATION WITH THE CONTINUED HOT AND DRY AIR MASS WILL CREATE
DANGEROUS FIRE CONDITIONS THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING. PLEASE SEE
GTFRFWMSO FOR FURTHER DETAILS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY

WIND WILL PICK UP AGAIN WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON...BUT TEMPERATURES AND
HUMIDITIES WILL BE SOMEWHAT IMPROVED.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

WEATHER SPOTTERS ARE ENCOURAGED TO REPORT SIGNIFICANT WEATHER
CONDITIONS ACCORDING TO STANDARD OPERATING PROCEDURES.