Wind Advisory 1, NWS Morristown, TN

Cherokee County, NC, Clay County, NC, Anderson County, TN, Bledsoe County, TN, Blount County, TN, Bradley County, TN, Campbell County, TN, Carter County, TN, Claiborne County, TN, Cocke County, TN, Grainger County, TN, Greene County, TN, Hamblen County, TN, Hamilton County, TN, Hancock County, TN, Hawkins County, TN, Jefferson County, TN, Johnson County, TN, Knox County, TN, Loudon County, TN, Marion County, TN, McMinn County, TN, Meigs County, TN, Monroe County, TN, Morgan County, TN, Polk County, TN, Rhea County, TN, Roane County, TN, Scott County, TN, Sequatchie County, TN, Sevier County, TN, Sullivan County, TN, Unicoi County, TN, Union County, TN, Washington County, TN, City of Bristol, VA, City of Norton, VA, Lee County, VA, Russell County, VA, Scott County, VA, Washington County, VA, Wise County, VA

000 
WWUS74 KMRX 140031 AAA
NPWMRX

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
731 PM EST FRI JAN 13 2006

...WINDY CONDITIONS EXPECTED TONIGHT AND SATURDAY ACROSS EAST
TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST VIRGINIA...AND SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA...

.A STRONG COLD FRONT MOVED EAST ACROSS THE SOUTHERN APPALACHIANS
TODAY. A DEEPENING AREA OF LOW PRESSURE WILL MOVE FROM THE OHIO
VALLEY TO THE CENTRAL APPALACHIANS HELPING TO TIGHTEN THE PRESSURE
GRADIENTS OVER THE TENNESSEE VALLEY AND SOUTHERN APPALACHIANS
TONIGHT AND SATURDAY. WINDS WILL BECOME WEST TO NORTHWEST AT 20 TO
30 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 45 MPH ACROSS THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS.

NCZ060-061-TNZ012>018-035>047-067>074-081>087-098>102-VAZ001-002-
005-006-008-140845-
/O.EXT.KMRX.WI.Y.0001.060114T0031Z-060114T2000Z/
CHEROKEE-CLAY-SCOTT TN-CAMPBELL-CLAIBORNE-HANCOCK-HAWKINS-
SULLIVAN-JOHNSON-MORGAN-ANDERSON-UNION-GRAINGER-HAMBLEN-
NORTHWEST COCKE-COCKE SMOKY MOUNTAINS-NORTHWEST GREENE-
SOUTHEAST GREENE-WASHINGTON TN-UNICOI-NORTHWEST CARTER-
SOUTHEAST CARTER-ROANE-LOUDON-KNOX-JEFFERSON-NW BLOUNT-
BLOUNT SMOKY MOUNTAINS-NORTH SEVIER-SEVIER SMOKY MOUNTAINS-
SEQUATCHIE-BLEDSOE-RHEA-MEIGS-MCMINN-NORTHWEST MONROE-
SOUTHEAST MONROE-MARION-HAMILTON-BRADLEY-WEST POLK-EAST POLK-LEE-
WISE-SCOTT-RUSSELL-WASHINGTON-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...MURPHY...HAYESVILLE...ONEIDA...
LA FOLLETTE...TAZEWELL...SNEEDVILLE...ROGERSVILLE...KINGSPORT...
BRISTOL...MOUNTAIN CITY...WARTBURG...CLINTON...OAK RIDGE...
MAYNARDVILLE...RUTLEDGE...MORRISTOWN...NEWPORT...COSBY...
GREENEVILLE...CEDAR CREEK...JOHNSON CITY...ERWIN...ELIZABETHTON...
ROAN MOUNTAIN...KINGSTON...LENOIR CITY...KNOXVILLE...DANDRIDGE...
MARYVILLE...CADES COVE...SEVIERVILLE...GATLINBURG...DUNLAP...
PIKEVILLE...DAYTON...DECATUR...ATHENS...MADISONVILLE...
COKER CREEK...JASPER...CHATTANOOGA...CLEVELAND...BENTON...
DUCKTOWN...JONESVILLE...WISE...GATE CITY...LEBANON...ABINGDON
631 PM CST FRI JAN 13 2006 /731 PM EST FRI JAN 13 2006/

...WIND ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 3 PM EST /2 PM CST/
SATURDAY...

THE WIND ADVISORY IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 3 PM EST /2 PM CST/
SATURDAY. 

WINDS WILL BECOME WEST TO NORTHWEST TONIGHT AND INCREASE TO 20 TO 30
MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 45 MPH...MAINLY ACROSS THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS.
PERSONS PLANNING ON TRAVELING TONIGHT AND SATURDAY NEED TO BE ALERT
TO SUDDEN STRONG GUSTS...ESPECIALLY THOSE DRIVING HIGH PROFILE
VEHICLES...SUCH AS SEMI-TRUCKS AND VANS.

A WIND ADVISORY MEANS THAT WINDS OF 31 TO 39 MPH AND/OR GUSTS OF
40 TO 57 MPH ARE EXPECTED OR OCCURRING. WINDS THIS STRONG CAN
MAKE DRIVING DIFFICULT...ESPECIALLY FOR HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES...
SO USE CAUTION WHEN DRIVING.

$$

TD

000 
WWUS74 KMRX 140815
NPWMRX

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
315 AM EST SAT JAN 14 2006

...WINDY CONDITIONS EXPECTED TODAY ACROSS EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST
VIRGINIA...AND SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA...

.STRONG NORTHWEST WINDS WILL DEVELOP TODAY BEHIND THE PASSAGE OF A COLD
FRONT. A DEEPENING AREA OF LOW PRESSURE ALOFT WILL MOVE ACROSS THE
CENTRAL APPALACHIANS THIS MORNING...HELPING TO TIGHTEN THE PRESSURE
GRADIENTS OVER THE TENNESSEE VALLEY AND SOUTHERN APPALACHIANS. WINDS
WILL BE STRONGEST ACROSS THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS AND SHOULD GRADUALLY
DIMINISH AFTER SUNSET THIS EVENING.


NCZ060-061-TNZ012>018-035>047-067>074-081>087-098>102-VAZ001-002-
005-006-008-141615-
/O.EXT.KMRX.WI.Y.0001.000000T0000Z-060115T0100Z/
CHEROKEE-CLAY-SCOTT TN-CAMPBELL-CLAIBORNE-HANCOCK-HAWKINS-
SULLIVAN-JOHNSON-MORGAN-ANDERSON-UNION-GRAINGER-HAMBLEN-
NORTHWEST COCKE-COCKE SMOKY MOUNTAINS-NORTHWEST GREENE-
SOUTHEAST GREENE-WASHINGTON TN-UNICOI-NORTHWEST CARTER-
SOUTHEAST CARTER-ROANE-LOUDON-KNOX-JEFFERSON-NW BLOUNT-
BLOUNT SMOKY MOUNTAINS-NORTH SEVIER-SEVIER SMOKY MOUNTAINS-
SEQUATCHIE-BLEDSOE-RHEA-MEIGS-MCMINN-NORTHWEST MONROE-
SOUTHEAST MONROE-MARION-HAMILTON-BRADLEY-WEST POLK-EAST POLK-LEE-
WISE-SCOTT-RUSSELL-WASHINGTON-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...MURPHY...HAYESVILLE...ONEIDA...
LA FOLLETTE...TAZEWELL...SNEEDVILLE...ROGERSVILLE...KINGSPORT...
BRISTOL...MOUNTAIN CITY...WARTBURG...CLINTON...OAK RIDGE...
MAYNARDVILLE...RUTLEDGE...MORRISTOWN...NEWPORT...COSBY...
GREENEVILLE...CEDAR CREEK...JOHNSON CITY...ERWIN...ELIZABETHTON...
ROAN MOUNTAIN...KINGSTON...LENOIR CITY...KNOXVILLE...DANDRIDGE...
MARYVILLE...CADES COVE...SEVIERVILLE...GATLINBURG...DUNLAP...
PIKEVILLE...DAYTON...DECATUR...ATHENS...MADISONVILLE...
COKER CREEK...JASPER...CHATTANOOGA...CLEVELAND...BENTON...
DUCKTOWN...JONESVILLE...WISE...GATE CITY...LEBANON...ABINGDON
215 AM CST SAT JAN 14 2006 /315 AM EST SAT JAN 14 2006/

...WIND ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EST /7 PM CST/ THIS
EVENING...

THE WIND ADVISORY IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EST /7 PM CST/ THIS
EVENING. 

NORTHWEST WINDS WILL STRENGTHEN TO BETWEEN 20 AND 30 MPH WITH GUSTS
UP TO 40 MPH ACROSS THE VALLEYS. WINDS WILL BE BETWEEN 25 AND 35
MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS TO 55 MPH ACROSS THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS ABOVE
2500 FEET. 

PERSONS PLANNING ON TRAVELING TODAY NEED TO BE ALERT TO SUDDEN
STRONG GUSTS...ESPECIALLY THOSE DRIVING HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES...
SUCH AS SEMI-TRUCKS AND VANS.


$$

DMG

000 
WWUS74 KMRX 141546
NPWMRX

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
1046 AM EST SAT JAN 14 2006

...WINDY CONDITIONS WILL PERSIST TODAY ACROSS EAST TENNESSEE...
SOUTHWEST VIRGINIA...AND SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA...

.STRONG NORTHWEST WINDS WILL DEVELOP TODAY BEHIND THE PASSAGE OF
A COLD FRONT. A DEEPENING AREA OF LOW PRESSURE ALOFT WILL MOVE
ACROSS THE CENTRAL APPALACHIANS..HELPING TO TIGHTEN THE PRESSURE
GRADIENTS OVER THE TENNESSEE VALLEY AND SOUTHERN APPALACHIANS.
WINDS WILL BE STRONGEST ACROSS THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS AND SHOULD
GRADUALLY DIMINISH AFTER SUNSET THIS EVENING.

NCZ060-061-TNZ012>018-035>047-067>074-081>087-098>102-VAZ001-002-
005-006-008-150000-
/O.CON.KMRX.WI.Y.0001.000000T0000Z-060115T0100Z/
CHEROKEE-CLAY-SCOTT TN-CAMPBELL-CLAIBORNE-HANCOCK-HAWKINS-
SULLIVAN-JOHNSON-MORGAN-ANDERSON-UNION-GRAINGER-HAMBLEN-
NORTHWEST COCKE-COCKE SMOKY MOUNTAINS-NORTHWEST GREENE-
SOUTHEAST GREENE-WASHINGTON TN-UNICOI-NORTHWEST CARTER-
SOUTHEAST CARTER-ROANE-LOUDON-KNOX-JEFFERSON-NW BLOUNT-
BLOUNT SMOKY MOUNTAINS-NORTH SEVIER-SEVIER SMOKY MOUNTAINS-
SEQUATCHIE-BLEDSOE-RHEA-MEIGS-MCMINN-NORTHWEST MONROE-
SOUTHEAST MONROE-MARION-HAMILTON-BRADLEY-WEST POLK-EAST POLK-LEE-
WISE-SCOTT-RUSSELL-WASHINGTON-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...MURPHY...HAYESVILLE...ONEIDA...
LA FOLLETTE...TAZEWELL...SNEEDVILLE...ROGERSVILLE...KINGSPORT...
BRISTOL...MOUNTAIN CITY...WARTBURG...CLINTON...OAK RIDGE...
MAYNARDVILLE...RUTLEDGE...MORRISTOWN...NEWPORT...COSBY...
GREENEVILLE...CEDAR CREEK...JOHNSON CITY...ERWIN...ELIZABETHTON...
ROAN MOUNTAIN...KINGSTON...LENOIR CITY...KNOXVILLE...DANDRIDGE...
MARYVILLE...CADES COVE...SEVIERVILLE...GATLINBURG...DUNLAP...
PIKEVILLE...DAYTON...DECATUR...ATHENS...MADISONVILLE...
COKER CREEK...JASPER...CHATTANOOGA...CLEVELAND...BENTON...
DUCKTOWN...JONESVILLE...WISE...GATE CITY...LEBANON...ABINGDON
946 AM CST SAT JAN 14 2006 /1046 AM EST SAT JAN 14 2006/

...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EST /7 PM CST/ THIS
EVENING...

A WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EST /7 PM CST/ THIS
EVENING. 

NORTHWEST WINDS WILL STRENGTHEN TO BETWEEN 20 AND 30 MPH WITH
GUSTS UP TO 40 MPH ACROSS THE VALLEYS. WINDS WILL BE BETWEEN
25 AND 35 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS TO 50 MPH ACROSS THE HIGHER
ELEVATIONS ABOVE 2500 FEET.

PERSONS PLANNING ON TRAVELING TODAY NEED TO BE ALERT TO SUDDEN
STRONG GUSTS...ESPECIALLY THOSE DRIVING HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES...
SUCH AS SEMI-TRUCKS AND VANS. ALSO...BLOWING AND DRIFTING OF SNOW
ARE POSSIBLE ACROSS THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS REDUCING VISIBILITIES AT
TIMES.

$$

DH

000 
WWUS74 KMRX 142048
NPWMRX

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
348 PM EST SAT JAN 14 2006

...WINDY CONDITIONS WILL PERSIST THROUGH EARLY SUNDAY MORNING ACROSS
THE FAR EASTERN TENNESSEE MOUNTAINS AND SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA...

.STRONG NORTHWEST WINDS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH EARLY SUNDAY MORNING 
AS A STRONG UPPER LEVEL STORM SYSTEM PULLS NORTHEAST AWAY FROM THE
SOUTHERN APPALACHIANS. WINDS WILL BE STRONGEST ACROSS THE HIGHER
ELEVATIONS AND SHOULD GRADUALLY DIMINISH EARLY SUNDAY MORNING.

TNZ012>017-035>040-042-044-046-067>071-073-081>086-098>101-VAZ001-
002-005-006-008-142200-
/O.CAN.KMRX.WI.Y.0001.000000T0000Z-060115T0100Z/
SCOTT TN-CAMPBELL-CLAIBORNE-HANCOCK-HAWKINS-SULLIVAN-MORGAN-
ANDERSON-UNION-GRAINGER-HAMBLEN-NORTHWEST COCKE-NORTHWEST GREENE-
WASHINGTON TN-NORTHWEST CARTER-ROANE-LOUDON-KNOX-JEFFERSON-
NW BLOUNT-NORTH SEVIER-SEQUATCHIE-BLEDSOE-RHEA-MEIGS-MCMINN-
NORTHWEST MONROE-MARION-HAMILTON-BRADLEY-WEST POLK-LEE-WISE-SCOTT-
RUSSELL-WASHINGTON-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ONEIDA...LA FOLLETTE...TAZEWELL...
SNEEDVILLE...ROGERSVILLE...KINGSPORT...BRISTOL...WARTBURG...
CLINTON...OAK RIDGE...MAYNARDVILLE...RUTLEDGE...MORRISTOWN...
NEWPORT...GREENEVILLE...JOHNSON CITY...ELIZABETHTON...KINGSTON...
LENOIR CITY...KNOXVILLE...DANDRIDGE...MARYVILLE...SEVIERVILLE...
DUNLAP...PIKEVILLE...DAYTON...DECATUR...ATHENS...MADISONVILLE...
JASPER...CHATTANOOGA...CLEVELAND...BENTON...JONESVILLE...WISE...
GATE CITY...LEBANON...ABINGDON
248 PM CST SAT JAN 14 2006 /348 PM EST SAT JAN 14 2006/

...WIND ADVISORY IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MORRISTOWN HAS CANCELED THE WIND
ADVISORY. 

NORTHWEST WINDS BETWEEN 10 AND 20 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 30 MPH CAN BE
EXPECTED THROUGH EARLY SUNDAY MORNING.

$$

NCZ060-061-TNZ018-041-043-045-047-072-074-087-102-150500-
/O.EXT.KMRX.WI.Y.0001.000000T0000Z-060115T0900Z/
CHEROKEE-CLAY-JOHNSON-COCKE SMOKY MOUNTAINS-SOUTHEAST GREENE-
UNICOI-SOUTHEAST CARTER-BLOUNT SMOKY MOUNTAINS-
SEVIER SMOKY MOUNTAINS-SOUTHEAST MONROE-EAST POLK-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...MURPHY...HAYESVILLE...MOUNTAIN CITY...
COSBY...CEDAR CREEK...ERWIN...ROAN MOUNTAIN...CADES COVE...
GATLINBURG...COKER CREEK...DUCKTOWN
348 PM EST SAT JAN 14 2006

...WIND ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 AM EST SUNDAY...

THE WIND ADVISORY IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 AM EST SUNDAY. 

NORTHWEST WINDS BETWEEN 20 AND 30 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 40 MPH
WILL CONTINUE THROUGH EARLY SUNDAY MORNING. THE STRONG GUSTY WINDS
COMBINED WITH TEMPERATURES DROPPING INTO THE TEENS WILL PRODUCE WIND
CHILLS NEAR ZERO.

PERSONS PLANNING ON TRAVELING TODAY NEED TO BE ALERT TO SUDDEN
STRONG GUSTS...ESPECIALLY THOSE DRIVING HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES...
SUCH AS SEMI-TRUCKS AND VANS. ALSO...BLOWING AND DRIFTING OF SNOW
ARE POSSIBLE ACROSS THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS REDUCING VISIBILITIES
AT TIMES.

$$

DH

000 
WWUS74 KMRX 150309
NPWMRX

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
1009 PM EST SAT JAN 14 2006

...WINDY CONDITIONS WILL PERSIST THROUGH EARLY SUNDAY MORNING
ACROSS THE FAR EASTERN TENNESSEE MOUNTAINS AND SOUTHWEST NORTH
CAROLINA...

.STRONG NORTHWEST WINDS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH EARLY SUNDAY
MORNING AS A STRONG UPPER LEVEL STORM SYSTEM PULLS NORTHEAST AWAY
FROM THE SOUTHERN APPALACHIANS. WINDS WILL BE STRONGEST ACROSS
THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS AND SHOULD GRADUALLY DIMINISH EARLY SUNDAY
MORNING.

NCZ060-061-TNZ018-041-043-045-047-072-074-087-102-150900-
/O.CON.KMRX.WI.Y.0001.000000T0000Z-060115T0900Z/
CHEROKEE-CLAY-JOHNSON-COCKE SMOKY MOUNTAINS-SOUTHEAST GREENE-
UNICOI-SOUTHEAST CARTER-BLOUNT SMOKY MOUNTAINS-
SEVIER SMOKY MOUNTAINS-SOUTHEAST MONROE-EAST POLK-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...MURPHY...HAYESVILLE...MOUNTAIN CITY...
COSBY...CEDAR CREEK...ERWIN...ROAN MOUNTAIN...CADES COVE...
GATLINBURG...COKER CREEK...DUCKTOWN
1009 PM EST SAT JAN 14 2006

...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 AM EST SUNDAY...

A WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 AM EST SUNDAY FOR THE
FAR EASTERN TENNESSEE MOUNTAINS AND SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA.

NORTHWEST WINDS BETWEEN 20 AND 30 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 40 MPH WILL
CONTINUE THROUGH EARLY SUNDAY MORNING MOSTLY AT THE HIGHER
ELEVATIONS. THE STRONG GUSTY WINDS COMBINED WITH TEMPERATURES
DROPPING INTO THE TEENS WILL PRODUCE WIND CHILLS NEAR ZERO.

PERSONS PLANNING ON TRAVELING TONIGHT NEED TO BE ALERT TO SUDDEN STRONG
GUSTS...ESPECIALLY THOSE DRIVING HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES... SUCH AS
SEMI-TRUCKS AND VANS. ALSO...BLOWING AND DRIFTING OF SNOW ARE
POSSIBLE ACROSS THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS REDUCING VISIBILITIES AT
TIMES.

$$

TD

000 
WWUS74 KMRX 150755
NPWMRX

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
255 AM EST SUN JAN 15 2006

...WIND ADVISORY IS CANCELLED...

.WINDS HAVE DECREASED BELOW WIND ADVISORY CRITERIA.


NCZ060-061-TNZ018-041-043-045-047-072-074-087-102-150900-
/O.CAN.KMRX.WI.Y.0001.000000T0000Z-060115T0900Z/
CHEROKEE-CLAY-JOHNSON-COCKE SMOKY MOUNTAINS-SOUTHEAST GREENE-
UNICOI-SOUTHEAST CARTER-BLOUNT SMOKY MOUNTAINS-
SEVIER SMOKY MOUNTAINS-SOUTHEAST MONROE-EAST POLK-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...MURPHY...HAYESVILLE...MOUNTAIN CITY...
COSBY...CEDAR CREEK...ERWIN...ROAN MOUNTAIN...CADES COVE...
GATLINBURG...COKER CREEK...DUCKTOWN
255 AM EST SUN JAN 15 2006

...WIND ADVISORY IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MORRISTOWN HAS CANCELLED THE WIND
ADVISORY. 

$$

DMG

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
1045 AM EST FRI JAN 13 2006

.DISCUSSION...CONFIDENCE LEVEL HIGH ENOUGH FOR WARNING LEVEL SNOWS
OVER THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS OF EAST TENNESSEE AND SOUTHWEST VIRGINIA
TO ISSUE A HEAVY SNOW WARNING BEGINNING AROUND MIDNIGHT TONIGHT
EXTENDING THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT.  WE WILL BE ISSUING THE PRODUCT AS
SOON AS POSSIBLE (BEFORE NOON).

ALSO WILL BE EXTENDING THE WINTER STORM WATCH TO BLEDSOE...
SEQUATCHIE...AND MARION COUNTIES IN SOUTHEAST TENNESSEE.  THE
GREATEST THREAT IN THESE AREAS WILL BE IN THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS.

.PREV DISCUSSION...(ISSUED 1015 AM CST FRI JAN 13 2006)
VERY DYNAMIC UPPER TROUGH DIGGING SOUTHEAST INTO THE TENNESSEE
VALLEY AND SOUTHERN APPALACHIANS.  RADAR SHOWS A LARGE AREA OF
SHOWERS AND EMBEDDED THUNDERSTORMS MOVING INTO THE PLATEAU.  AIRMASS
ACROSS THE GREAT TENNESSEE VALLEY IS JUST NOW STARTING TO MIX OUT
WITH DEWPOINTS STILL IN THE 30S AND 40S. GIVEN CONTINUED WEAK
DAMMING INTO THE SOUTHERN APPALACHIANS...LOW LEVEL INFLOW OF
MOISTURE IS LIMITED...SO INSTABILITIES THIS AFTERNOON WILL BE
MINIMAL.

LATEST NAM SHOWS LIMITED CAPE AND LIFTED INDICES...SO THREAT FOR
SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IS LOW WITH MAIN THREAT BEING DAMAGING WINDS DUE
TO THE STRONG WINDS JUST OFF THE SURFACE. WILL CONTINUE DAMAGING
WINDS WORDING FOR THE SOUTHERN COUNTIES.

BIG STORY FOR TONIGHT IS DIGGING OFF UPPER TROUGH ACROSS THE SOUTHERN
APPALACHIANS. STRONG DYNAMICS ASSOCIATED WITH TROUGH WITH COLD AIR
DIGGING SOUTHEAST INTO THE FORECAST AREA. LATEST GFS AND NAM SHOWS A
DEFORMATION ZONE AND ISENTROPIC LIFT SETTING UP ACROSS
OHIO...EASTERN KENTUCKY...AND EAST TENNESSEE BY EARLY SATURDAY
MORNING. A SURFACE TROUGH AXIS WILL SWING ACROSS ABOUT THE SAME TIME
WITH WINDS BECOMING MORE NORTH-NORTHWEST. FAIRLY DEEP MOISTURE AS
WELL...SO ANTICIPATE ABOUT 3-6 HOURS OF AT LEAST MODERATE SNOWFALL
ACROSS THE NORTHERN HALF OF THE FORECAST AREA WITH UPSLOPE SNOWS
INTO THE FAVORED NORTHWEST FACING SLOPES CONTINUING THROUGH MOST OF
SATURDAY.

MAIN CHALLENGE FOR THE VALLEY LOCATIONS...GENERALLY ALONG AND NORTH
OF INTERSTATE 40...IS HOW MUCH OF SNOWFALL WILL STICK. GROUND IS
UNSEASONABLY WARM GIVEN TEMPERATURES IN THE 60S THE LAST COUPLE
DAYS. MAY HAVE SOME ACCUMULATIONS ACROSS THE GRASSY SURFACES. FOR
THE MOUNTAINS...SNOW WILL BE ABLE TO STICK AND ANTICIPATE A FOOT OR
MORE POSSIBLE ACROSS THE SMOKYS.

WILL LIKELY UPDATE THE WSW FOR AT LEAST THE MOUNTAINS TO A HEAVY
SNOW WARNING THIS AFTERNOON. WILL UPDATE THE WSW FOR THE WATCH
SHORTLY.

&&

.MRX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NC...WINTER STORM WATCH FROM 10 PM FRIDAY TO 6 PM SATURDAY FOR THE
     FOLLOWING ZONES: CHEROKEE...AND CLAY.

TN...WINTER STORM WATCH FROM 10 PM FRIDAY TO 6 PM SATURDAY FOR THE
     FOLLOWING ZONES: BLEDSOE...CAMPBELL...CLAIBORNE...EAST
     POLK...HANCOCK...HAWKINS...MARION...MORGAN...NORTHWEST
     CARTER...NORTHWEST GREENE...SCOTT TN...SEQUATCHIE...
     SULLIVAN...AND WASHINGTON TN.

     HEAVY SNOW WARNING FROM MIDNIGHT SATURDAY TO 10 PM SATURDAY FOR
     THE FOLLOWING ZONES: BLOUNT SMOKY MOUNTAINS...COCKE SMOKY
     MOUNTAINS...JOHNSON...SEVIER SMOKY MOUNTAINS...SOUTHEAST
     CARTER...SOUTHEAST GREENE...SOUTHEAST MONROE...AND UNICOI.

VA...HEAVY SNOW WARNING FROM MIDNIGHT SATURDAY TO 10 PM SATURDAY FOR
     THE FOLLOWING ZONES: LEE...RUSSELL...SCOTT...WASHINGTON...
     AND WISE.

&&

DH/HW

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
1230 PM EST FRI JAN 13 2006

NCZ060-061-TNZ012>018-035>047-067>074-081>087-098>102-VAZ001-002-005-
006-008-141100-
ANDERSON-BLEDSOE-BLOUNT SMOKY MTN-BRADLEY-CAMPBELL-CHEROKEE-
CLAIBORNE-CLAY-COCKE SMOKY MTN-EAST POLK-GRAINGER-HAMBLEN-HAMILTON-
HANCOCK-HAWKINS-JEFFERSON-JOHNSON-KNOX-LEE-LOUDON-MARION-MCMINN-
MEIGS-MORGAN-NORTH SEVIER-NORTHWEST CARTER-NORTHWEST COCKE-
NORTHWEST GREENE-NORTHWEST MONROE-NW BLOUNT-RHEA-ROANE-RUSSELL-
SCOTT TN-SCOTT VA-SEQUATCHIE-SEVIER SMOKY MTN-SOUTHEAST CARTER-
SOUTHEAST GREENE-SOUTHEAST MONROE-SULLIVAN-UNICOI-UNION-
WASHINGTON TN-WASHINGTON VA-WEST POLK-WISE-
1230 PM EST (1130 AM CST) FRI JAN 13 2006

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST
VIRGINIA AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

A STRONG COLD FRONT WILL MOVE THROUGH THE SOUTHERN APPALACHIAN REGION
THIS AFTERNOON...WITH A LINE OF SHOWERS AND EMBEDDED THUNDERSTORMS
EXPECTED AHEAD OF IT. DUE TO LIMITED INSTABILITY...CHANCES OF SEVERE
THUNDERSTORMS HAVE DIMINISHED.  ISOLATED STORMS MAY PRODUCE STRONG
GUSTY WINDS UP TO 40 MPH.

MUCH COLDER AIR WILL MOVE INTO THE REGION AFTER MIDNIGHT TONIGHT
BEHIND THIS COLD FRONT. RAIN WILL MIX WITH AND CHANGE TO SNOW AFTER
MIDNIGHT TONIGHT...ESPECIALLY ACROSS THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS ABOVE 2000
FEET. A WINTER STORM WATCH HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR THIS EVENING THROUGH
SATURDAY ACROSS SOUTHWEST VIRGINIA...NORTHEAST TENNESSEE...THE
CUMBERLAND PLATEAU...AND THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS OF EAST TENNESSEE AND
SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA. PLEASE SEE MEMWSWMRX FOR FURTHER DETAILS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY

SIGNIFICANT SNOWFALL ACCUMULATIONS WILL BE POSSIBLE ON SATURDAY
ACROSS MAINLY THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS ABOVE 2000 FEET OF THE WARNING
AND WATCH AREAS. WINDS ARE ALSO EXPECTED TO STRENGTHEN ON
SATURDAY...WITH NORTHWEST WINDS OF 20 TO 30 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS
EXPECTED ACROSS MUCH OF THE REGION.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE REQUIRED TODAY...WHILE SNOW OBSERVERS MAY
BE NEEDED ON SATURDAY FOR SNOWFALL REPORTS.

DH

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
305 PM EST FRI JAN 13 2006

TNZ036>040-067>071-073-083>086-099>101-132215-
ANDERSON-UNION-GRAINGER-HAMBLEN-NORTHWEST COCKE-ROANE-LOUDON-KNOX-
JEFFERSON-NW BLOUNT-NORTH SEVIER-RHEA-MEIGS-MCMINN-
NORTHWEST MONROE-HAMILTON-BRADLEY-WEST POLK-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...CLINTON...OAK RIDGE...MAYNARDVILLE...
RUTLEDGE...MORRISTOWN...NEWPORT...KINGSTON...LENOIR CITY...
KNOXVILLE...DANDRIDGE...MARYVILLE...SEVIERVILLE...DAYTON...
DECATUR...ATHENS...MADISONVILLE...CHATTANOOGA...CLEVELAND...
BENTON
305 PM EST FRI JAN 13 2006

...SNOWFALL AND WINDY CONDITIONS EXPECTED ON SATURDAY...

A STRONG COLD FRONT WILL MOVE THROUGH THE SOUTHERN APPALACHIAN REGION
THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING. MUCH COLDER AIR WILL MOVE INTO THE
REGION AFTER MIDNIGHT TONIGHT BEHIND THIS COLD FRONT. RAIN WILL MIX
WITH AND CHANGE TO SNOW AFTER MIDNIGHT TONIGHT...ESPECIALLY ACROSS
THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS ABOVE 2500 FEET. A WINTER STORM WARNING HAS
BEEN ISSUED FOR SOUTHWEST VIRGINIA AND THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS OF
EAST TENNESSEE. A SNOW ADVISORY HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR NORTHEAST
TENNESSEE...THE CUMBERLAND PLATEAU AND SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA.

THE VALLEY AREAS OF EAST TENNESSEE WILL LIKELY SEE SNOWFALL TONIGHT
AND SATURDAY...HOWEVER...IT WILL HAVE A TOUGH TIME ACCUMULATING DUE
TO THE RECENT UNSEASONABLY WARM WEATHER...BUT IT APPEARS THAT SOME
LIGHT SNOW ACCUMULATIONS WILL BE POSSIBLE. IN THE CENTRAL AND
SOUTHERN TENNESSEE VALLEY AREAS...ANY SNOWFALL ACCUMULATIONS SHOULD
MAINLY BE LESS THAN AN INCH AND OCCUR ON GRASSY AREAS AND EXPOSED
SURFACES.

WINDS ARE ALSO EXPECTED TO STRENGTHEN ON SATURDAY...WITH NORTHWEST
WINDS OF 20 TO 30 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS EXPECTED ACROSS MUCH OF THE
REGION.

RESIDENTS ACROSS EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST VIRGINIA AND EXTREME
SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA SHOULD STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO...
OR YOUR FAVORITE RADIO AND TV STATIONS FOR FURTHER UPDATES ON THIS
WEATHER SYSTEM.

DH/HW