Severe Thunderstorm Warning 209, NWS Twin Cities, MN

000 
WWUS53 KMPX 242311
SVSMPX

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TWIN CITIES/CHANHASSEN MN
610 PM CDT THU AUG 24 2006

MNC093-171-242320-
/O.EXP.KMPX.SV.W.0209.000000T0000Z-060824T2315Z/
WRIGHT MN-MEEKER MN-
610 PM CDT THU AUG 24 2006

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR MEEKER AND WRIGHT COUNTIES
EXPIRES AT 615 PM CDT...

SEVERE STORMS HAVE ENDED OR MOVED OUT OF COUNTY. HOWEVER...MORE 
STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WERE EXITING THE FAR SOUTHEASTERN PORTION OF 
THE COUNTY...SOUTHEAST OF BUFFALO. HALF INCH HAIL AND WINDS UP TO 50 
MPH ARE STILL POSSIBLE WITH THIS STORM..REMAIN ALERT FOR POSSIBLE 
ADDITIONAL WARNINGS.

A TORNADO WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT CDT FRIDAY MORNING
FOR SOUTHERN MINNESOTA AND WEST CENTRAL WISCONSIN. A TORNADO WATCH
ALSO REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1100 PM CDT THURSDAY EVENING FOR WEST
CENTRAL MINNESOTA. A TORNADO WATCH ALSO REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL
MIDNIGHT CDT FRIDAY MORNING FOR SOUTHWEST MINNESOTA.

LAT...LON 4531 9474 4498 9475 4501 9380 4526 9365
      4535 9390 4540 9405 4532 9412 4525 9427

$$

DE/AZ

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TWIN CITIES/CHANHASSEN MN
348 PM CDT THU AUG 24 2006

.DISCUSSION...TONIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY
DEEP SURFACE IN CENTRAL SOUTH DAKOTA ATTM WITH PRESSURE NEAR 1000
MB. VERY MOIST...UNSTABLE AIR PUSHING INTO THE MPX CWA IN ADVANCE
OF THIS SYSTEM WITH THE LATEST SPC HRLY MESOSCALE ANALYSIS FOR
20Z SHOWING A REMARKABLE 0.40 0-3 KM VGP TO THE SOUTH AND WEST OF
THE MINNESOTA RIVER VALLEY WITH 0.50 NOSING INTO SOUTH-CENTRAL MN.
THE 0-1 KM BULK SHEAR HAS BEEN PICKING UP TO AROUND 15 TO 25 KNOTS
TOO WHILE THE 0-6 KM BULK SHEAR IS ABOVE 50 KNOTS OVER MUCH OF
THE CWA. REMARKABLY STRONG NSE FOR AUGUST

WEVE BEEN WORKING WITH EXTREMELY LARGE HAIL PRODUCERS ALL DAY
WITH INITIAL ACTIVITY QUITE ELEVATED. HOWEVER...LOWERING LCL AND
LFC FIGURES SUGGEST STORMS WILL BECOME MORE SURFACE ROOTED WITH
INCREASING TORNADO POTENTIAL.

PWAT VALUES PICK UP TO FROM 1.5 TO 2 INCHES AS THE LOW MOVES
EASTWARD ACROSS FAR SOUTHERN MN. WHILE MOISTURE TRANSPORT COULD BE
A GOOD DEAL BETTER FOR A FLOOD EVENT...WE DID ISSUE A FLASH FLOOD WATCH
FOR OUR EASTERN MN COUNTIES AND OUR WEST WISCONSIN COUNTIES.
SYSTEM MAKES ITS WAY EAST OF THE AREA ON FRIDAY AND WE DRY OUT.

LONGER TERM...SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY
DISCUSSION NOT AVAILABLE THIS ISSUANCE.

&&

.MPX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
MN...FLASH FLOOD WATCH FROM 7 PM CDT THIS EVENING THROUGH FRIDAY
     MORNING FOR ANOKA-BENTON-CARVER-CHISAGO-DAKOTA-GOODHUE-
     HENNEPIN-ISANTI-KANABEC-MILLE LACS-MORRISON-RAMSEY-RICE-
     SCOTT-SHERBURNE-STEARNS-TODD-WASHINGTON-WRIGHT COUNTY(IES).

WI...FLASH FLOOD WATCH FROM 7 PM CDT THIS EVENING THROUGH FRIDAY
     MORNING FOR BARRON-CHIPPEWA-DUNN-EAU CLAIRE-PEPIN-PIERCE-
     POLK-RUSK-ST. CROIX COUNTY(IES).

&&

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TWIN CITIES/CHANHASSEN MN
534 AM CDT THU AUG 24 2006

MNZ041>045-047>070-073>078-082>085-091>093-WIZ014>016-023>028-
251045-
DOUGLAS-TODD-MORRISON-MILLE LACS-KANABEC-STEVENS-POPE-STEARNS-
BENTON-SHERBURNE-ISANTI-CHISAGO-LAC QUI PARLE-SWIFT-CHIPPEWA-
KANDIYOHI-MEEKER-WRIGHT-HENNEPIN-ANOKA-RAMSEY-WASHINGTON-
YELLOW MEDICINE-RENVILLE-MCLEOD-SIBLEY-CARVER-SCOTT-DAKOTA-
REDWOOD-BROWN-NICOLLET-LE SUEUR-RICE-GOODHUE-WATONWAN-BLUE EARTH-
WASECA-STEELE-MARTIN-FARIBAULT-FREEBORN-POLK-BARRON-RUSK-
ST. CROIX-PIERCE-DUNN-PEPIN-EAU CLAIRE-
534 AM CDT THU AUG 24 2006

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF CENTRAL AND
SOUTH CENTRAL MINNESOTA...AND WEST CENTRAL WISCONSIN.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

THERE IS MODERATE RISK OF SEVERE WEATHER ACROSS WEST CENTRAL AND
SOUTHERN MINNESOTA AND FAR WEST CENTRAL WISCONSIN. THERE IS A
SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE WEATHER ACROSS THE REST OF THE OUTLOOK AREA.

SEVERAL WEATHER FEATURES WILL BRING POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT
SEVERE WEATHER DEVELOPMENT TODAY AND TONIGHT. THE FIRST FOCUS FOR
THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE A NEARLY STATIONARY WARM FRONTAL BOUNDARY
POSITIONED ACROSS FAR SOUTHERN MINNESOTA AND WEST CENTRAL
WISCONSIN THROUGH THE AFTERNOON. THE ATMOSPHERE TO THE NORTH OF
THIS BOUNDARY WILL BECOME UNSTABLE AS TEMPERATURES WARM UP AND
MOISTURE INCREASES. THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP ALONG
AND NORTH OF THIS BOUNDARY. STRONG VERTICAL WIND SHEAR AND
MODERATE INSTABILITY WILL ALLOW THESE STORMS TO POTENTIALLY BECOME
SEVERE...WITH LARGE HAIL...DAMAGING WINDS...AND ISOLATED TORNADOES
POSSIBLE. THE GREATEST RISK FOR TORNADOES WILL BE ALONG AND JUST
NORTH OF THE FRONT...OR SOUTHWEST OF AN ALEXANDRIA TO ST. CLOUD
MINNESOTA TO NEW RICHMOND TO MENOMONIE WISCONSIN LINE. THE FRONT
WILL BEGIN TO MOVE NORTH AND EAST TOWARDS SOUTH CENTRAL MINNESOTA
AND FAR WEST CENTRAL WISCONSIN THIS EVENING. STORMS THAT DEVELOP
ALONG THIS FRONT WILL LIKELY EXPAND INTO A LARGE THUNDERSTORM
COMPLEX LATE THIS EVENING BRINGING HEAVY RAIN WITH IT.

A SECOND AREA OF THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE ASSOCIATED WITH A SURFACE
LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM AND COLD FRONT MOVING EAST OUT OF SOUTH
DAKOTA. THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY WILL LIKELY BE CONFINED TO THE
IMMEDIATE LOCATION OF THE COLD FRONT WHICH WILL ENTER SOUTHWEST
MINNESOTA THIS EVENING. SOME ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS MAY DEVELOP
WELL AHEAD OF THE FRONT ACROSS EXTREME SOUTHERN MINNESOTA AND
SOUTH OF THE NEARLY STATIONARY WARM FRONT. ALL OF THESE
THUNDERSTORMS WILL HAVE THE POTENTIAL TO BECOME SEVERE WITH LARGE
HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS...ALONG WITH ISOLATED TORNADOES. THIS
ACTIVITY WILL MOVE EASTWARD LATE TONIGHT.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY

SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS MAY LINGER INTO THE EARLY AFTERNOON HOURS
FRIDAY IN WEST CENTRAL WISCONSIN...BUT THEY ARE EXPECTED TO REMAIN
BELOW SEVERE LEVELS AT THIS TIME. NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED
THROUGH WEDNESDAY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SKYWARN SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL LIKELY BE NEEDED THIS AFTERNOON
AND TONIGHT.

MDB

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TWIN CITIES/CHANHASSEN MN
449 PM CDT THU AUG 24 2006

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0444 PM     HAIL             10 S MENOMONIE          44.74N 91.91W
08/24/2006  E0.75 INCH       DUNN               WI   TRAINED SPOTTER

&&

BVS

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TWIN CITIES/CHANHASSEN MN
453 PM CDT THU AUG 24 2006

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0450 PM     HAIL             12 SSE MENOMONIE        44.73N 91.82W
08/24/2006  E1.00 INCH       DUNN               WI   TRAINED SPOTTER

            1 1/8 INCH HAIL.

&&

BVS

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TWIN CITIES/CHANHASSEN MN
458 PM CDT THU AUG 24 2006

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0456 PM     HAIL             AVON                    45.61N 94.45W
08/24/2006  E0.75 INCH       STEARNS            MN   FIRE DEPT/RESCUE

&&

AZ

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TWIN CITIES/CHANHASSEN MN
459 PM CDT THU AUG 24 2006

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0456 PM     HAIL             RICHMOND                45.45N 94.52W
08/24/2006  E0.75 INCH       STEARNS            MN   FIRE DEPT/RESCUE

&&

AZ

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TWIN CITIES/CHANHASSEN MN
509 PM CDT THU AUG 24 2006

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0508 PM     FUNNEL CLOUD     COURTLAND               44.27N 94.34W
08/24/2006                   NICOLLET           MN   BROADCAST MEDIA

&&

AZ

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TWIN CITIES/CHANHASSEN MN
510 PM CDT THU AUG 24 2006

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0510 PM     HAIL             ST JOSEPH               45.57N 94.32W
08/24/2006  E1.75 INCH       STEARNS            MN   TRAINED SPOTTER

&&

AZ