Severe Thunderstorm Warning 119, NWS Twin Cities, MN

000 
WWUS53 KMPX 242138
SVSMPX

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TWIN CITIES/CHANHASSEN MN
437 PM CDT MON JUL 24 2006

MNC085-242147-
/O.CAN.KMPX.SV.W.0119.000000T0000Z-060724T2200Z/
MCLEOD MN-
437 PM CDT MON JUL 24 2006

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR MCLEOD COUNTY IS CANCELLED...

RADAR INDICATED THAT THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM HAD MOVED OUT OF THE 
WARNED AREA AND WEAKENED. THUS THE WARNING HAS BEEN CANCELLED. MORE 
THUNDERSTORMS...WHICH COULD POTENTIALLY BECOME SEVERE...ARE EXPECTED 
THROUGH 700 PM.  REPORT ANY SEVERE WEATHER TO YOUR LOCAL LAW 
ENFORCEMENT FOR RELAY TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE.

LAT...LON 4498 9436 4494 9449 4483 9432 4474 9401
      4497 9402

$$

MTF

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TWIN CITIES/CHANHASSEN MN
341 PM CDT MON JUL 24 2006

.DISCUSSION...
BOUNDARY HAS SAGGED INTO THE CENTRAL PART OF WI CWA BACK WEST TO
KMSP TO THE SOUTH DAKOTA BORDER. THIS MAY MOVE A BIT MORE SOUTH
BUT NOT MUCH. BEST THETA E ADVECTION/HOT PROD AND SURFACE CONV FOCUSED
IN SOUTHEAST MN AND REMAINDER OF WESTERN WI...BUT SOME CONV AND
RETURN FLOW STARTING TO DEVELOP OVER SW MN AS WELL. THINK BEST
AREA FOR SEVERE WILL BE IN SOUTH CENTRAL MN AND WEST CENTRAL WI
THIS EVENING. LOW LEVEL FLOW WILL INCREASE A BIT TO SOUTH OF
BOUNDARY OVERNIGHT SO WILL KEEP SOME MOD POPS...AFTER SOME LIKELYS
THIS EVENING.

SHOULD BE A BREAK IN THE ACTION ON TUESDAY WITH A LACK OF ANY SIG
SHORT WAVE. TUESDAY NIGHT STILL LOOKS LIKE SOME POSSIBLE RENEWED
ACTION. NAM IS CONSISTENT WITH PREVIOUS RUN IN SHOWING INCREASED
850 MB MOISTURE TRANSPORT DURING THIS PERIOD BUT IS AIMED A LITTLE
MORE AT SOUTHEAST MINNESOTA AND NORTHEAST IOWA. GFS FOCUSED MORE
INTO IOWA. WILL KEEP WITH SOME HIGHER POPS IN EAST CENTRAL MN AND
WESTERN WI WITH BOUNDARY IN THE GENERAL VICINITY OF SOUTHERN MN.
ANOTHER SHORT WAVE IN THE NW FLOW WILL DRIVE THE FRONT INTO AT
LEAST THE WESTERN PART OF THE AREA ON WEDNESDAY. WILL CUT BACK ON
POPS IN WEST CENTRAL MN BY WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON. MOISTURE TRANSPORT
IS FORECAST TO CUT BACK DRAMTICALLY BY THAT TIME.

LONGER TERM...THURSDAY THROUGH MONDAY

12Z GFS AND CANADIAN STILL CONGRUENT IN THEIR APPROACH TO A
CONTINUED BUILDUP OF A LARGE AMPLTITUDE 50H RIDGE ACROSS THE WESTERN
HALF OF THE CONTIGUOUS U.S. FRIDAY INTO MONDAY. BOTH CONTINUE TO
INDICATE A SERIES OF SURFACE WAVES DEVELOPING OVER THE DAKOTAS
THRU MONDAY...WITH FIRST SURFACE SYSTEM AND ASSOCTIED WARM FRONTAL
BOUNDARY AFFECTING OUR CWA THUR EVENING INTO EARLY SUNDAY AFTERNOON.
250MB JET AXIS REMAINS TO OUR NORTH FOR MUCH OF THIS TIME FRAME...WITH
BEST DIVERGENCE COUPLETS DEVELOPING OVER NORTHERN HALF OF MN FRIDAY
EVENING INTO SAT AFTN. GAVE WAY TO CHANCE POPS FOR SAT NIGHT AS COOL
FRONT TAG TEAMS WITH SOLID DIVERGENCE COUPLET SETTING UP FROM NE
TO SW OVER FA. NEXT SURFACE SYSTEM POKES ITS HEAD INTO THE WESTERN
DAKOTAS BY MONDAY MORNING. CANADIAN MODEL DOES INDICATE A SLIGHTLY
MORE SOUTHERLY AND A TAD DEEPER PRESSURE SOLUTION COMPARED TO GFS40.
EITHER POINT WILL BE MOOT FOR MONDAYS FORECAST: CONTINUED HOT AND DRY.
IN FACT PUSHED TEMPERATURES ONE CATEGORY HIGHER ACROSS MOST OF
EXTENDED PERIOD DUE TO MAINLY ABUNDANT SUNSHINE...SOME BOUTS OF
MODERATE SOUTHERLY FLOW...50H TEMPERATURES...AND THE CONTINUED BONE
DRY CONDITIONS OVER MUCH OF FA.

&

.MPX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
MN...NONE.
WI...NONE.
&&

JPR/AJZ

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TWIN CITIES/CHANHASSEN MN
444 AM CDT MON JUL 24 2006

MNZ041>045-047>070-073>078-082>085-091>093-WIZ014>016-023>028-
250945-
DOUGLAS-TODD-MORRISON-MILLE LACS-KANABEC-STEVENS-POPE-STEARNS-
BENTON-SHERBURNE-ISANTI-CHISAGO-LAC QUI PARLE-SWIFT-CHIPPEWA-
KANDIYOHI-MEEKER-WRIGHT-HENNEPIN-ANOKA-RAMSEY-WASHINGTON-
YELLOW MEDICINE-RENVILLE-MCLEOD-SIBLEY-CARVER-SCOTT-DAKOTA-
REDWOOD-BROWN-NICOLLET-LE SUEUR-RICE-GOODHUE-WATONWAN-BLUE EARTH-
WASECA-STEELE-MARTIN-FARIBAULT-FREEBORN-POLK-BARRON-RUSK-
ST. CROIX-PIERCE-DUNN-PEPIN-EAU CLAIRE-
444 AM CDT MON JUL 24 2006

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF CENTRAL AND
SOUTH CENTRAL MINNESOTA...AND WEST CENTRAL WISCONSIN.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT
A COOL FRONT ACROSS NORTHERN MINNESOTA WILL SLIDE SLOWLY SOUTHWARD
INTO CENTRAL MINNESOTA AND WEST CENTRAL WISCONSIN TODAY. SCATTERED
THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED ALONG AND AHEAD OF THE FRONT. A FEW OF
THE STORMS MAY BECOME SEVERE THIS AFTERNOON ACROSS CENTRAL
MINNESOTA AND WEST CENTRAL WISCONSIN...WITH LARGE HAIL AND
DAMAGING WINDS POSSIBLE. THE THREAT FOR SEVERE STORMS WILL PUSH
SOUTHWARD INTO SOUTH CENTRAL MINNESOTA THIS EVENING AS THE FRONT
BECOMES STATIONARY ACROSS THE REGION.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY
THE STATIONARY FRONT WILL MOVE SLOWLY NORTHWARD AS A WARM
FRONT TUESDAY AFTERNOON AND NIGHT. THUNDERSTORMS WITH HEAVY RAIN
ARE POSSIBLE TUESDAY NIGHT ACROSS EAST CENTRAL MINNESOTA AND WEST
CENTRAL WISCONSIN. A STRONG COLD FRONT IS THEN EXPECTED TO PASS
ACROSS THE REGION THURSDAY AFTERNOON AND NIGHT. A FEW SEVERE
THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE AS THE FRONT MOVES THROUGH.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SKYWARN SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NEEDED THIS AFTERNOON AND
EVENING.

RAH

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TWIN CITIES/CHANHASSEN MN
130 PM CDT MON JUL 24 2006

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0110 PM     HAIL             GLEN FLORA              45.50N 90.89W
07/24/2006  E0.75 INCH       RUSK               WI   TRAINED SPOTTER

&&

TDK

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TWIN CITIES/CHANHASSEN MN
157 PM CDT MON JUL 24 2006

WIZ016-241915-
RUSK-
157 PM CDT MON JUL 24 2006

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ALERT FOR SOUTHEAST RUSK COUNTY UNTIL 215 PM
CDT...

HAIL WAS FALLING SHELDON...OR ABOUT 15 MILES SOUTHEAST OF LADYSMITH.
THE STORM SHOULD QUICKLY WEAKEN BETWEEN 200 PM AND 215 PM.  GUSTY
WIND CAN ALSO BE EXPECTED BEFORE THE STORM MOVES SOUTHEAST OF
SHELDON BEFORE 215 PM.

TDK

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TWIN CITIES/CHANHASSEN MN
159 PM CDT MON JUL 24 2006

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0155 PM     HAIL             SHELDON                 45.31N 90.96W
07/24/2006  M1.25 INCH       RUSK               WI   TRAINED SPOTTER

&&

TDK

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TWIN CITIES/CHANHASSEN MN
252 PM CDT MON JUL 24 2006

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0140 PM     HAIL             CUMBERLAND              45.54N 92.02W
07/24/2006  E0.75 INCH       BARRON             WI   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            HAIL STILL FALLING AS OF 150 PM.

&&

TDK

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TWIN CITIES/CHANHASSEN MN
258 PM CDT MON JUL 24 2006

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0154 PM     HAIL             CUMBERLAND              45.54N 92.02W
07/24/2006  M0.88 INCH       BARRON             WI   TRAINED SPOTTER

&&

TDK

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TWIN CITIES/CHANHASSEN MN
310 PM CDT MON JUL 24 2006

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0240 PM     HAIL             CUMBERLAND              45.54N 92.02W
07/24/2006  E0.75 INCH       BARRON             WI   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            HAIL STILL FALLING AS OF 250 PM.

0254 PM     HAIL             CUMBERLAND              45.54N 92.02W
07/24/2006  M0.88 INCH       BARRON             WI   TRAINED SPOTTER

&&

TDK