Severe Thunderstorm Warning 56, NWS Mobile, AL

000 
WWUS54 KMOB 081644
SVSMOB

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL
1142 AM CDT SAT APR 8 2006

ALC013-081700-
/O.CON.KMOB.SV.W.0056.000000T0000Z-060408T1700Z/
BUTLER AL-
1142 AM CDT SAT APR 8 2006

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING CONTINUES UNTIL NOON CDT FOR BUTLER 
COUNTY...

AT 1140 AM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR CONTINUED TO
INDICATE A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING QUARTER SIZE 
HAIL...AND DAMAGING WINDS NEAR 60 MPH.  THIS STORM WAS LOCATED JUST 
EAST OF GEORGIANA...NEAR AVANT...OR ABOUT 21 MILES NORTHEAST OF 
EVERGREEN.  THE STORM WAS MOVING EAST AT 35 MPH TOWARDS THE PIGEON 
CREEK AREA.

OTHER STRONG STORMS ARE NOTED OVER NORTHWESTERN BUTLER COUNTY.  
THESE STORMS WILL PRODUCE SMALL HAIL AS THEY MOVE EAST AT 35 MPH 
ACROSS NORTHERN BUTLER COUNTY.  THESE STORMS MAY INCREASE IN 
STRENGTH AND BECOME SEVERE.  PERSONS IN NORTHERN BUTLER 
COUNTY SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR THESE STORMS AS WELL.  

LAT...LON 3171 8692 3163 8690 3157 8687 3156 8650
      3167 8650 3167 8646 3183 8645

$$

000 
WWUS54 KMOB 081703
SVSMOB

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL
1201 PM CDT SAT APR 8 2006

ALC013-081711-
/O.EXP.KMOB.SV.W.0056.000000T0000Z-060408T1700Z/
BUTLER AL-
1201 PM CDT SAT APR 8 2006

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR BUTLER COUNTY WAS ALLOWED TO 
EXPIRE AT NOON CDT...

THE STORMS THAT PROMPTED THE WARNING FOR BUTLER COUNTY HAVE WEAKENED 
TO BELOW SEVERE LIMITS.  ISOLATED STRONG STORMS ARE STILL ONGOING 
ACROSS NORTHERN BUTLER COUNTY JUST WEST AND NORTHWEST OF GREENVILLE. 

THESE STORMS ARE MOVING TO THE EAST AROUND 35 MPH...AND MAY PRODUCE 
SMALL HAIL AND GUSTY WINDS AROUND 45 MPH AS THEY MOVE ACROSS 
NORTHERN BUTLER COUNTY THROUGH 1230 PM. 

LAT...LON 3171 8692 3163 8690 3157 8687 3156 8650
      3167 8650 3167 8646 3183 8645

$$

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL
615 AM CDT SAT APR 8 2006

.UPDATE...BRIEF UPDATE TO INCREASE THE SURFACE WINDS FOR TODAY. WENT
WITH THE 08/06Z ETA12 WHICG LOOKS TO AGREE WITH THE CURRENT
CONDITIONS AND THE VAD WINDS BETTER. /11

*************************PREVIOUS*********************************

.SHORT TERM...(TODAY AND TONIGHT)
STRONG UPPER SYSTEM...CLOSED H5 LOW DROPPING SOUTH INTO ARKANSAS
AROUND SUNRISE FORECAST TO OPEN UP AND MOVE NORTHEAST TODAY. A COUPLE
LINES OF STRONG TO SEVERE STORMS MOVING EASTERLY ACROSS THE SOUTH
OVERNIGHT SHOULD BEGIN TO WEAKEN AS THE UPPER LOW OPENS UP AND MOVES
NORTHEAST. LATEST SPS OUTLOOK HAS SLIGHT CHANCE SEVERE FROM ROUGHLY
MOBILE NORTHEAST AND EAST TODAY...WILL MENTION DAMAGING WINDS AND
MAYBE MENTION ISOLATED TORNADOS THIS MORNING OVER THE WESTERN HALF.
THIS AFTERNOON WILL SEE THE COLDER AIR IN THE H5 TROUGH SLIPPING
ACROSS THE AREA AND MAY SEE SOME HAIL PRODUCING STORMS OVER THE
EASTERN HALF..ESPECIALLY IF WE CAN GET THE BRIEF CLEARING AS
ADVERTISED BY THE NAM AND SOMEWHAT BY THE GFS OVER THE SOUTHERN
SECTIONS OF THE FORECAST AREA. WINDS SHIFTING TO WEST FROM NOON TO
DARK ACROSS THE AREA AS SURFACE LOW MOVES PAST AND THEN NORTHERLY
LATER THIS EVENING WITH A FEW LINGERING SHOWERS ENDING THIS EVENING.
USED MAVMOS TEMPS TODAY AND TONIGHT. /11

.LONG TERM...(SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY)
BACK TO RAINFREE WEATHER THROUGH MUCH OF THE UPCOMING WEEK AS WE COME
UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF HIGH PRESSURE. COULD SEE A MID LEVEL FEATURE
SWINGING EAST ACROSS THE FORECAST AREA WEDNESDAY. AT THIS
TIME...LOOKS LIKE MORE IN THE WAY OF CLOUDS THAN RAIN CHANCES THEN.
MAY SEE AN ISOLATED SHOWER CREEPING BACK INTO THE FORECAST BY FRIDAY
AS SOUTHERLY FLOW BECOMES ESTABLISHED AROUND HIGH PRESSURE...OFF THE
SOUTHEAST UNITED STATES COAST. TEMPERATURES THROUGH THE MEDIUM RANGE
SHOULD BE GENERALLY CLOSE TO CLIMATOLOGY. /10

&&

.MARINE...
WINDS ARE AT EXERCISE CAUTION LEVELS CURRENTLY AND BELIEVE
THEY WILL STAY IN THIS RANGE...EXCEPT FOR SOME BRIEFLY STRONGER WINDS
IN AND NEAR ANY CONVECTION THIS MORNING...UNTIL TONIGHT. COOLER AIR
ARRIVES AS THE SURFACE LOW MOVES BY AND WINDS SHOULD INCREASE TO
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY LEVELS TONIGHT AS THE NORTHERLY WINDS ADVECT
COOLER TEMPERATURES OVER THE WARMER OFFSHORE WATERS. WATER
TEMPERATURES ARE AROUND 70 IN THE NEARSHORE AREAS. NORTHERLY FLOW
CONTINUES INTO MONDAY AS SURFACE HIGH MOVES OFF TO THE EAST BUT WILL
DIMINISH BY SUNDAY AFTERNOON. RIDGE MAINTAINS ITS GRIP THROUGH MID
WEEK WITH A MAINLY ONSHORE LIGHT TO MODERATE WIND. /11

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...AWAY FROM THUNDERSTORMS AND LIGHTNING LEVELS
TODAY...NO CONCERNS. LOWEST DAYTIME RELATIVE HUMIDITIES THROUGH THE
WEEKEND ARE EXPECTED TO STAY OUT OF THE CRITICAL THRESHOLD RANGE. /10

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
MOBILE      81  49  75  49 /  50  10   0   0
PENSACOLA   81  52  75  53 /  60  10   0   0
DESTIN      77  55  74  55 /  50  20   0   0
EVERGREEN   78  49  73  44 /  60  10   0   0
WAYNESBORO  79  48  73  43 /  60  10   0   0
CAMDEN      77  48  73  44 /  70  20   0   0

&&

.MOB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AL...NONE.
FL...NONE.
MS...NONE.
GM...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FROM 7 PM SATURDAY TO 10 AM SUNDAY FOR THE
     FOLLOWING ZONES: COASTAL WATERS FROM DESTIN TO PENSACOLA FL
     OUT 20 NM...COASTAL WATERS FROM PENSACOLA FL TO PASCAGOULA
     MS OUT 20 NM...MOBILE BAY...WATERS FROM DESTIN TO PENSACOLA
     FL FROM 20 TO 60 NM...AND WATERS FROM PENSACOLA FL TO
     PASCAGOULA MS FROM 20 TO 60 NM.
&&

10/11

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK...UPDATED...
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL
1115 AM CDT SAT APR 8 2006

ALZ051>064-FLZ001>006-MSZ067-075-076-078-079-082300-
BALDWIN COASTAL-BALDWIN INLAND-BUTLER-CHOCTAW-CLARKE-CONECUH-
COVINGTON-CRENSHAW-ESCAMBIA-ESCAMBIA COASTAL-ESCAMBIA INLAND-GEORGE-
GREENE-MOBILE COASTAL-MOBILE INLAND-MONROE-OKALOOSA COASTAL-
OKALOOSA INLAND-PERRY-SANTA ROSA COASTAL-SANTA ROSA INLAND-STONE-
WASHINGTON-WAYNE-WILCOX-
1115 AM CDT SAT APR 8 2006

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR SOUTHWEST ALABAMA...INLAND
SOUTHEAST MISSISSIPPI...AND THE WESTERN PORTION OF THE FLORIDA
PANHANDLE.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH SUNDAY MORNING...
A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS EXISTS THIS AFTERNOON AS A
COLD FRONT MOVES INTO AN UNSTABLE AIRMASS CURRENTLY IN PLACE OVER
PORTIONS OF SOUTHERN ALABAMA AND THE NORTHWEST FLORIDA PANHANDLE.

THE AIRMASS IS FORECAST TO BECOME INCREASINGLY UNSTABLE LATER THIS
AFTERNOON...MAINLY EAST OF I-65.  LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING
STRAIGHT-LINE WINDS WILL BE THE MAIN THREAT...AND THE FARTHER
NORTH...THE HIGHER THE CHANCES ARE OF RECEIVING LARGE HAIL. THIS
DOES NOT MEAN...HOWEVER...THAT LARGE HAIL MAY NOT OCCUR CLOSE TO THE
COAST...ESPECIALLY IN THE MID AFTERNOON.  THE STORMS WILL HAVE MOVED
EAST OF A GREENVILLE TO DESTIN LINE BY 5 PM.  DRIER AIR WILL FILTER
IN BEHIND THE COLD FRONT THIS EVENING AND NO ADDITIONAL RAINFALL IS
EXPECTED.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. OUR AREA IS IN FOR
YET ANOTHER PROLONGED DRY PERIOD DURING A LARGE PORTION OF THE NEXT
WEEK.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

ACTIVATION OF STORM SPOTTERS AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT PERSONNEL FOR
SEVERE WEATHER OPERATIONS MAY BE REQUIRED LATER THIS
AFTERNOON...MAINLY EAST OF I-65...INCLUDING THE EXTREME NORTHWEST
FLORIDA PANHANDLE.