Severe Thunderstorm Warning 231, NWS Mobile, AL

000 
WWUS54 KMOB 211829
SVSMOB

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL
127 PM CDT MON AUG 21 2006

ALC039-211900-
/O.CON.KMOB.SV.W.0231.000000T0000Z-060821T1900Z/
COVINGTON AL-
127 PM CDT MON AUG 21 2006

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING CONTINUES UNTIL 200 PM CDT FOR
SOUTHEASTERN COVINGTON COUNTY...

AT 125 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR CONTINUED TO
INDICATE A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING DAMAGING WINDS IN
EXCESS OF 60 MPH.  THIS STORM WAS LOCATED NEAR ONYCHA...OR ABOUT 13 
MILES SOUTHEAST OF ANDALUSIA...MOVING SOUTHWEST AT 5 MPH. OTHER 
STRONG TO SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WERE LOCATED 5 MILES SOUTHWEST OF 
LOANGO AND 2 MILES NORTHWEST OF ROSE HILL AND WERE MOVING TO THE 
SOUTHWEST AT 5 MPH.

THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WILL BE NEAR...
  GREEN BAY BY 150 PM CDT
  8 MILES NORTH OF STEDMAN AND 9 MILES NORTHEAST OF WATKINS BRIDGE BY
  200 PM CDT

LAT...LON 3131 8618 3136 8632 3109 8650 3101 8626

$$

000 
WWUS54 KMOB 211842
SVSMOB

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL
142 PM CDT MON AUG 21 2006

ALC039-211900-
/O.CON.KMOB.SV.W.0231.000000T0000Z-060821T1900Z/
COVINGTON AL-
142 PM CDT MON AUG 21 2006

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING CONTINUES UNTIL 200 PM CDT FOR
CENTRAL COVINGTON COUNTY...

AT 139 PM CDT...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WAS DETECTED CAPABLE OF
PRODUCING NICKEL SIZE HAIL...AND DAMAGING WINDS IN EXCESS OF 60 MPH. 
THIS STORM WAS LOCATED NEAR SOUTH...OR ABOUT 9 MILES NORTHWEST OF
ANDALUSIA...MOVING SOUTHWEST AT 5 MPH.

THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WILL BE NEAR...
  RED LEVEL...SOUTH...RIVER FALLS AND 9 MILES NORTHWEST OF ANDALUSIA
  BY 200 PM CDT

IN ADDITION TO LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS...CONTINUOUS CLOUD TO
GROUND LIGHTNING IS OCCURRING WITH THIS STORM. MOVE INDOORS
IMMEDIATELY LIGHTNING KILLS...PLAY IT SAFE. IF YOU CAN HEAR
THUNDER...YOU ARE CLOSE ENOUGH TO BE STRUCK BY LIGHTNING.

LAT...LON 3152 8644 3150 8667 3109 8650 3101 8626

$$

000 
WWUS54 KMOB 211858
SVSMOB

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL
156 PM CDT MON AUG 21 2006

ALC039-211906-
/O.EXP.KMOB.SV.W.0231.000000T0000Z-060821T1900Z/
COVINGTON AL-
156 PM CDT MON AUG 21 2006

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR COVINGTON COUNTY WILL BE 
ALLOWED TO EXPIRE AT 200 PM CDT...

SEVERAL STRONG THUNDERSTORMS CONTINUE ACROSS NORTHWESTERN COVINGTON 
COUNTY AND MOVING SOUTHWEST AT 5 MPH. SMALL HAIL...GUSTY WINDS AND 
FREQUENT CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING WILL CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT HOUR 
OR SO.

LAT...LON 3152 8644 3150 8667 3109 8650 3101 8626

$$

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL
330 AM CDT MON AUG 21 2006

.SHORT TERM...EXPECT RAIN CHANCES TO BE HIGHER ACROSS THE FCST AREA
TODAY AND TONIGHT. CURRENT SFC MAP SHOWS WEAK QUASI-STATIONARY FRONT
OVER THE TN VALLEY REGION WITH A HIGH PRESSURE RIDGE TO THE SOUTH
OVER THE EASTERN GULF. MID AND UPPER LEVELS CONTINUE TO INDICATE
STRONG HIGH PRESSURE RIDGE ALOFT...WHICH WILL BE SHIFTED SLIGHTLY
WEST TODAY...BEING CENTERED OVER EASTERN TEXAS. AS THIS RIDGE WILL
BE SLIGHTLY WEAKER OVER THE REGION TODAY...AND CENTERED TO THE MORE
TO THE WEST...FLOW AROUND EASTERN PERIPHERY SHOULD ALLOW THE WEAK
FRONTAL BOUNDARY TO DRIFT SLOWLY SOUTH INTO AL/MS TODAY AND TONIGHT
AS A SERIES OF WEAK MID LEVEL DISTURBANCES MOVE NE-SW ACROSS THE
REGION. ALL OF THESE FACTORS SHOULD RESULT IN A BETTER COVERAGE OF
PCPN ACROSS THE REGION TODAY AND THIS EVENING...AND 00Z MOS POPS ARE
IN THE 50 PERCENT RANGE FOR MOST FCST POINTS TODAY. EXPECT SCATTERED
SHOWERS AND STORMS TO DEVELOP BY LATE MORNING AND THEN MOVE
SOUTHWEST ACROSS THE REGION INTO THE EVENING HOURS. THE INCREASED
PCPN AND MORE WIDESPREAD CLOUD COVER...AND THE FACT THAT THE STRONG
MIDLEVEL RIDGING HAS SHIFTED WEST...SHOULD RESULT IN SLIGHTLY LOWER
BUT STILL HOT AFTERNOON TEMPS IN THE LOW TO MID 90S TODAY. LOWS
TONIGHT IN THE GENERALLY IN THE LOW TO MID 70S. /12

&&

.LONG TERM...(TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY). WEAK FRONTAL BOUNDARY OVER
NORTHERN AL AND MS WILL DRIFT SOUTHWARD AND WEAKEN OR BECOME DIFFUSE
OVER THE CENTRAL PART OF EACH STATE THROUGH MIDWEEK. THIS BOUNDARY
IS A REFLECTION OF A MID TO UPPER TROF WHICH DIGGS OVER THE EASTERN
CONUS THROUGH FRIDAY...GIVING WAY TO INCREASED LIFT OR MID LEVEL
FORCING TO THE CENTRAL GULF REGION. WITH THIS AND DEEPER MOISTURE
ADVECTING NORTHWARD ACROSS MUCH OF THE SE CONUS THROUGHOUT THE WEEK
EXPECT BETTER COVERAGE OF PRECIP FOR MUCH OF THE CWFA THROUGH FRI.
THE BEST CHANCE FOR HEAVIER SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE OVER
MOST INLAND SECTIONS OVER THE CWFA MAINLY DURING THE AFTERNOON AND
EARLY EVENING HOURS. ISOLATED TO SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS
CAN BE EXPECTED ALONG THE COAST AND OFFSHORE EACH MORNING. LATEST
PROGGS FROM BOTH THE GFS AND NAM DEPICT THIS BETTER COVERAGE TO
BEGIN OVER NORTHERN SECTIONS OF THE CWFA TUE AFT SPREADING FURTHER
SOUTH EACH DAY THROUGH THURSDAY. WITH PWS INCREASING TO AROUND 2
INCHES THROUGHOUT MUCH OF THE WEEK LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL WITH MINOR
FLOODING WILL LIKELY OCCUR WITH SOME OF THE STRONGER STORMS INLAND
DURING THE AFTERNOON HOURS. AS FOR TEMPS WITH BETTER CLOUDS AND
MOISTURE IN PLACE HIGHS WILL CLIMB TO THE LOWER 90S FOR MUCH OF THE
CWFA THROUGH FRI...WARMING SOMEWHAT OVER THE WEEKEND AS UPPER TROF
LIFTS NORTHWARD. WILL CONTINUE TO USE CURRENT MEX GUIDANCE THROUGH
THE PERIOD. /32

&&

.MARINE...A RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE WILL REMAIN OVER THE EASTERN GULF
OF MEXICO THROUGH MOST OF THE UPCOMING WEEK...AS TROF OR WEAK FRONT
REMAINS NEARLY STATIONARY JUST INLAND OVER THE SOUTHEASTERN UNITED
STATES. THIS WILL RESULT IN A CONTINUED MAINLY LIGHT SOUTHWESTERLY
WIND FLOW THROUGH THE PERIOD WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN SEAS. ISOLATED TO
SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS PRODUCING LOCALLY HIGHER WINDS
AND SEAS. /12

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...NO CONCERNS.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
MOBILE      93  76  91  75 /  50  50  40  30
PENSACOLA   91  78  89  76 /  50  40  50  40
DESTIN      90  79  89  78 /  50  30  50  30
EVERGREEN   92  73  90  73 /  60  40  60  40
WAYNESBORO  96  74  92  73 /  50  50  70  50
CAMDEN      94  75  90  74 /  60  40  60  30

&&

.MOB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AL...NONE.
FL...NONE.
MS...NONE.
GM...NONE.
&&

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL
545 AM CDT MON AUG 21 2006

ALZ051>064-FLZ001>006-MSZ067-075-076-078-079-211800-
BALDWIN COASTAL-BALDWIN INLAND-BUTLER-CHOCTAW-CLARKE-CONECUH-
COVINGTON-CRENSHAW-ESCAMBIA-ESCAMBIA COASTAL-ESCAMBIA INLAND-GEORGE-
GREENE-MOBILE COASTAL-MOBILE INLAND-MONROE-OKALOOSA COASTAL-
OKALOOSA INLAND-PERRY-SANTA ROSA COASTAL-SANTA ROSA INLAND-STONE-
WASHINGTON-WAYNE-WILCOX-
545 AM CDT MON AUG 21 2006

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR SOUTHWEST ALABAMA...INLAND
SOUTHEAST MISSISSIPPI...AND THE WESTERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS WILL DEVELOP ACROSS THE REGION TODAY. MOST
OF THE STORMS WILL BE MOVING WEST OR NORTHWEST OVER THE COASTAL
WATERS AND OVER THE COASTAL SECTIONS OF ALABAMA AND THE WESTERN
FLORIDA PANHANDLE. BY LATE MORNING...AND CONTINUING THROUGH THE
EARLY EVENING HOURS...MOST OF THE ACTIVITY WILL BE OCCURRING ACROSS
INTERIOR PORTIONS OF SOUTHWEST ALABAMA...THE WESTERN FLORIDA
PANHANDLE AND INLAND SECTIONS OF SOUTHEAST MISSISSIPPI. THE STORMS
THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING WILL MOVE TOWARD THE WEST OR SOUTHWEST
ACROSS THE AREA. WHILE WIDESPREAD SEVERE THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT IS
NOT ANTICIPATED...SOME OF THE STORMS MAY PRODUCE GUSTY WINDS TO 40
MPH...LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL AND SMALL HAIL.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY.

THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS OR SEVERE WEATHER WILL
REMAIN LOW.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

ACTIVATION OF STORM SPOTTERS OR EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT PERSONNEL FOR
SEVERE WEATHER OPERATIONS IS NOT EXPECTED TO BE REQUIRED THROUGH
TONIGHT.