High Surf Advisory 3, NWS Mobile, AL

000 
WHUS44 KMOB 120913
CFWMOB

COASTAL HAZARD MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL
413 AM CDT MON JUN 12 2006

ALZ063-064-FLZ002-004-006-121800-
/O.CON.KMOB.SU.Y.0003.000000T0000Z-060613T1800Z/
LOWER MOBILE-LOWER BALDWIN-COASTAL ESCAMBIA-COASTAL SANTA ROSA-
COASTAL OKALOOSA-
413 AM CDT MON JUN 12 2006

...HIGH SURF ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 PM CDT TUESDAY...

TROPICAL STORM ALBERTO WAS LOCATED ABOUT 275 MILES SOUTH SOUTHWEST OF
APALACHICOLA FLORIDA AND WAS MOVING NORTH NORTHEAST NEAR 8 MPH.
THIS MOVEMENT WILL CAUSE INCREASING EASTERLY WINDS ALONG WITH BUILDING
SWELLS THROUGH THIS EVENING...CAUSING TIDES TO RUN 1 TO 3 FEET ABOVE
NORMAL. LARGE BREAKING WAVES WILL CREATE DANGEROUS RIP CURRENTS AND
HAZARDOUS SWIMMING CONDITIONS...AND CAUSE BEACH EROSION AND MINOR
FLOODING OF LOW LYING AREAS...ESPECIALLY AT HIGH TIDE. THE AREAS MOST
LIKELY TO EXPERIENCE MINOR FLOODING WILL BE THOSE AFFECTED BY THE
HURRICANES OF THE PREVIOUS SEASON. HIGH TIDE IS PREDICTED BETWEEN 10
AM AND 2 PM THIS AFTERNOON.

A HIGH SURF ADVISORY MEANS THAT HIGH SURF WILL AFFECT BEACHES IN THE
ADVISORY AREA...PRODUCING RIP CURRENTS AND LOCALIZED BEACH EROSION.

$$

000 
WHUS44 KMOB 122354
CFWMOB

COASTAL HAZARD MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL
654 PM CDT MON JUN 12 2006

ALZ063-064-FLZ002-004-006-131200-
/O.CON.KMOB.SU.Y.0003.000000T0000Z-060613T1800Z/
LOWER MOBILE-LOWER BALDWIN-COASTAL ESCAMBIA-COASTAL SANTA ROSA-
COASTAL OKALOOSA-
654 PM CDT MON JUN 12 2006

...HIGH SURF ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 PM CDT TUESDAY...

TROPICAL STORM ALBERTO...OVER THE EASTERN GULF OF MEXICO...IS
FORECAST BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER TO MOVE NORTHEAST IN THE 
DIRECTION OF FLORIDAS BIG BEND...MAKING LANDFALL THERE TUESDAY 
MORNING.  LARGE SWELLS ARE FORECAST TO CONTINUE BREAKING ONSHORE 
ALONG THE BEACHES OF ALABAMA AND THE WESTERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE 
THROUGH TUESDAY MORNING...CREATING DANGEROUS RIP CURRENT AND 
HAZARDOUS SWIMMING CONDITIONS. 

A HIGH SURF ADVISORY MEANS THAT HIGH SURF WILL AFFECT BEACHES IN THE 
ADVISORY AREA...PRODUCING DANGEROUS RIP CURRENTS AND LOCALIZED BEACH 
EROSION.

$$

000 
WHUS44 KMOB 130927
CFWMOB

COASTAL HAZARD MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL
427 AM CDT TUE JUN 13 2006

ALZ063-064-FLZ002-004-006-131800-
/O.CON.KMOB.SU.Y.0003.000000T0000Z-060613T1800Z/
LOWER MOBILE-LOWER BALDWIN-COASTAL ESCAMBIA-COASTAL SANTA ROSA-
COASTAL OKALOOSA-
427 AM CDT TUE JUN 13 2006

...HIGH SURF ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 PM CDT THIS
AFTERNOON...

TROPICAL STORM ALBERTO...OVER THE NORTHEASTERN GULF OF MEXICO...IS
FORECAST BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER TO MOVE NORTHEAST AND MAKE
LANDFALL IN THE FLORIDA BIG BEND LATER THIS MORNING. LARGE SWELLS
ARE FORECAST TO CONTINUE BREAKING ONSHORE ALONG THE BEACHES OF
ALABAMA AND THE WESTERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE THROUGH EARLY THIS
AFTERNOON...CREATING DANGEROUS RIP CURRENT AND HAZARDOUS SWIMMING
CONDITIONS.

A HIGH SURF ADVISORY MEANS THAT HIGH SURF WILL AFFECT BEACHES IN
THE ADVISORY AREA...PRODUCING DANGEROUS RIP CURRENTS AND
LOCALIZED BEACH EROSION.

$$

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL
243 PM CDT SUN JUN 11 2006

.SYNOPSIS...TROPICAL STORM ALBERTO WAS OVER THE SOUTHERN GULF OF
MEXICO AT MID AFTERNOON. THE LOW LEVEL CENTER HAS MOVED AWAY FROM
THE DEEP CONVECTION. STATIONARY FRONT WELL TO THE NORTH ACROSS THE
TENNESSEE VALLEY. IN BETWEEN THE TWO SYSTEMS...THE FORECAST AREA
REMAINS CAUGHT UP IN THE DRY MID LEVELS AS SEEN BY WATER VAPOR. /11

&&

.SHORT TERM...FORECAST NEXT FEW DAYS DEPENDS ON FUTURE TRACK AND
STRENGTH OF ALBERTO. GUIDANCE IS QUITE DIVERSE IN THEIR
SOLUTIONS...COURSE OF LEAST REGRET IS THE GFS WHICH IS CLOSER TO THE
OFFICIAL NHC TRACK AND AGREES MORE CLOSELY WITH OUR PREVIOUS
FORECASTS. THIS WILL MEAN LITTLE IF ANY RAIN OVER THE FORECAST
AREA...SOME ISOLATED CONVECTION ALONG THE COAST AND NEAR THE FRONT
IN A FEW DAYS AS IT DROPS INTO THE FORECAST AREA. THE UPPER TROUGH
IS SUPPOSED TO PICK UP ALBERTO AND MOVE IT OFF TO THE NORTHEAST...
HOWEVER IN DEFERENCE TO THE NAM AND THE CANADIAN WILL BOOST THE POPS
JUST A BIT NEXT 24 TO 36 HOURS AS THESE TWO MODELS KEEP IT CLOSER TO
THE CENTRAL GULF COAST AND PUSH MORE MOISTURE NORTH TOWARD THIS
AREA.

.LONG TERM...ASSUMMING THE TROPICAL STORM IS HISTORY BY THE START OF
THE LONG TERM...UPPER RIDGE OVER TEXAS WILL KEEP NORTHWEST FLOW
ALOFT AND LOWER PRECIPITABLE WATER VALUES ACROSS FORECAST AREA. ONLY
ISOLATED TO SLIGHT CHANCE POPS THROUGH THE EXTENDED WITH MID 90S
MOST PLACES FOR HIGHS AND AROUND 70 TO MID AND UPPER 70S FOR LOWS.
/11

&&

.MARINE...WEATHER HEADLINE FOR THE DAY IS THE FORMATION OF THE FIRST
TROPICAL STORM OF THE 2006 HURRICANE SEASON OVER THE MID
GULF...ALBERTO. DATA FROM A HURRICANE HUNTER MISSION THIS MORNING
INDICATED TROPICAL STORM FORCE WIND GUSTS IN SQUALLS OVER THE
EASTERN GULF...NORTHEAST OF THE SYSTEM. LATEST VISIBLE SATELLITE
PICTURES SHOW A HIGHLY SHEARED STRUCTURE TO THE CYCLONIC ENVELOPE OF
ALBERTO. THE LOW LEVEL CENTER...OVER THE SOUTH CENTRAL GULF...WAS
WELL REMOVED FROM THE DEEP CONVECTION/HIGHER WINDS WELL EAST OF THE
CENTER. THE LATEST FORECASTS FROM THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER
SHOWS ALBERTO CROSSING THE FLORIDA PENINSULA TUESDAY AND MOVING
NORTHEAST OFF THE SOUTHEAST UNITED STATES COAST WEDNESDAY. EARLY IN
THE FORECAST...MAIN IMPACT LOOKS TO COME IN THE WAY OF BUILDING
SWELL...WHICH WILL MEET ADVISORY CRITERIA FOR THE 20 TO 60 NM ZONES.
WE ARE ALSO CALLING FOR SOME PASSING BANDS OF SHOWERS AT TIMES AS
WELL. WITH ALBERTO FORECAST TO LIFT OUT OF THE GULF TUESDAY...A
DECREASING WIND AND SUBSIDING SEA STATE IS FORECAST.

FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION ON TROPICAL STORM ALBERTO...REFER TO THE
LATEST PRODUCTS FROM THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER. /10

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...SOME SPOTTY SHOWERS OR THUNDERSTORMS NEXT FEW DAYS
BUT NOT EXPECTING AND PROLONGED RAIN EVENT ANYTIME SOON. SURFACE
HUMIDITY WILL REMAIN ABOVE 35 PERCENT. /11

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
MOBILE      72  94  72  94 /  10  20  10  20
PENSACOLA   75  93  74  94 /  20  20  10  30
DESTIN      77  91  76  92 /  20  20  20  30
EVERGREEN   70  94  69  93 /  10  20  10  20
WAYNESBORO  69  95  69  94 /  10  20  10  10
CAMDEN      69  93  68  92 /  10  20  10  10

&&

.MOB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AL...NONE.
FL...NONE.
MS...NONE.
GM...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR HAZARDOUS SEAS FROM 7 PM SUNDAY TO 7
PM      MONDAY FOR THE FOLLOWING ZONES: WATERS FROM DESTIN TO
PENSACOLA FL FROM 20 TO 60 NM...AND WATERS FROM PENSACOLA      FL TO
PASCAGOULA MS FROM 20 TO 60 NM.

&&

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL
550 AM CDT SUN JUN 11 2006

ALZ051>064-FLZ001>006-MSZ067-075-076-078-079-111700-
BALDWIN COASTAL-BALDWIN INLAND-BUTLER-CHOCTAW-CLARKE-CONECUH-
COVINGTON-CRENSHAW-ESCAMBIA-ESCAMBIA COASTAL-ESCAMBIA INLAND-GEORGE-
GREENE-MOBILE COASTAL-MOBILE INLAND-MONROE-OKALOOSA COASTAL-
OKALOOSA INLAND-PERRY-SANTA ROSA COASTAL-SANTA ROSA INLAND-STONE-
WASHINGTON-WAYNE-WILCOX-
550 AM CDT SUN JUN 11 2006

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR SOUTHWEST ALABAMA...INLAND
SOUTHEAST MISSISSIPPI...AND THE WESTERN PORTION OF THE FLORIDA
PANHANDLE.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

NO HAZARDOUS OR SEVERE WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY.

NO HAZARDOUS OR SEVERE WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

ACTIVATION OF STORM SPOTTERS AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT PERSONNEL
SHOULD NOT BE REQUIRED THROUGH TONIGHT.