High Surf Advisory 1, NWS Mobile, AL

000 
WHUS44 KMOB 300209
CFWMOB

COASTAL HAZARD MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL
909 PM CDT SAT APR 29 2006

ALZ063-064-FLZ002-004-006-301200-
/O.CON.KMOB.SU.Y.0001.000000T0000Z-060430T1800Z/
LOWER MOBILE-LOWER BALDWIN-COASTAL ESCAMBIA-COASTAL SANTA ROSA-
COASTAL OKALOOSA-
909 PM CDT SAT APR 29 2006

...HIGH SURF ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 PM CDT SUNDAY...

THE AREAS MOST PRONE TO HIGHER THAN NORMAL SURF IN THIS SITUATION
INCLUDE ALL GULF BEACHES.  SMALL BAYS AND INLETS ALONG THE INTER-
COASTAL WATERWAY COULD ALSO SEE ABOVE NORMAL TIDAL WASH UP WITH THE
PERSISTENT STRONG SOUTHEAST WINDS.

A HIGH SURF ADVISORY MEANS THAT HIGH SURF WILL AFFECT BEACHES IN
THE ADVISORY AREA...PRODUCING WIDESPREAD DANGEROUS RIP CURRENTS AND
LOCALIZED BEACH EROSION.

$$

000 
WHUS44 KMOB 301129
CFWMOB

COASTAL HAZARD MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL
629 AM CDT SUN APR 30 2006

ALZ063-064-FLZ002-004-006-301800-
/O.CON.KMOB.SU.Y.0001.000000T0000Z-060430T1800Z/
LOWER MOBILE-LOWER BALDWIN-COASTAL ESCAMBIA-COASTAL SANTA ROSA-
COASTAL OKALOOSA-
629 AM CDT SUN APR 30 2006

...HIGH SURF ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 PM CDT THIS
AFTERNOON...

THE AREAS MOST PRONE TO HIGHER THAN NORMAL SURF IN THIS SITUATION
INCLUDE ALL GULF BEACHES.  SMALL BAYS AND INLETS ALONG THE INTER-
COASTAL WATERWAY COULD ALSO SEE ABOVE NORMAL TIDAL WASH UP WITH THE
PERSISTENT STRONG SOUTHEAST WINDS.

A HIGH SURF ADVISORY MEANS THAT HIGH SURF WILL AFFECT BEACHES IN
THE ADVISORY AREA...PRODUCING WIDESPREAD DANGEROUS RIP CURRENTS AND
LOCALIZED BEACH EROSION.

$$

000 
WHUS44 KMOB 301816
CFWMOB

COASTAL HAZARD MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL
115 PM CDT SUN APR 30 2006

ALZ063-064-FLZ002-004-006-010215-
/O.EXP.KMOB.SU.Y.0001.000000T0000Z-060430T1800Z/
/O.NEW.KMOB.SU.Y.0002.060430T1815Z-060501T0900Z/
LOWER MOBILE-LOWER BALDWIN-COASTAL ESCAMBIA-COASTAL SANTA ROSA-
COASTAL OKALOOSA-
115 PM CDT SUN APR 30 2006

...HIGH SURF ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 AM CDT MONDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MOBILE HAS EXTENDED THE HIGH SURF 
ADVISORY UNTIL 4 AM CDT MONDAY.

THE AREAS MOST PRONE TO HIGHER THAN NORMAL SURF IN THIS SITUATION  
INCLUDE ALL BEACH AREAS.  SMALL BAYS AND INLETS ALONG THE 
INTER-COASTAL WATERWAY COULD ALSO SEE ABOVE NORMAL TIDAL WASH UP 
WITH THE PERSISTENT STRONG SOUTH TO SOUTHEAST WINDS.

A HIGH SURF ADVISORY MEANS THAT HIGH SURF WILL AFFECT BEACHES IN
THE ADVISORY AREA...PRODUCING RIP CURRENTS AND LOCALIZED BEACH
EROSION.

$$

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL
455 AM CDT SAT APR 29 2006

SHORT TERM (TODAY AND TONIGHT)...UPPER LOW CONTINUES TO MOVE
EASTWARD OUT OF THE SOUTHWESTERN STATES AS THE UPPER RIDGE ACROSS
THE EASTERN STATES ALSO MOVE EAST. LARGE SCALE DIFFLUENT UPPER FLOW
REGIME AHEAD OF THE UPPER TROUGH CONTINUES TO SUPPORT WIDESPREAD
CLOUD DEVELOPMENT AND IR IMAGERY INDICATED WIDESPREAD HIGH CLOUDS
AROUND THE AREA. SFC LOW ACROSS TEXAS WILL DEEPEN AS IT HEADS
NORTHEASTWARD THROUGH THIS EVENING. THE GRADIENT BETWEEN THE SFC LOW
TO THE WEST AND A HIGH PRESSURE RIDGE TO OUR EAST WILL CAUSE WINDS
TO CONTINUE TO INCREASE THROUGHOUT THE DAY. A WIND ADVISORY...MAINLY
FOR FREQUENT GUSTS ABOVE 25 MPH...WILL BE IN EFFECT FROM 9 AM UNTIL
7 PM THIS EVENING. WIND ADVISORY WILL ALSO BE EXPANDED TO INCLUDE
THE ENTIRE AREA ON THE MORNING UPDATE...WILL LET DAYSHIFT DECIDE ON
IF ANY EXTENSION PAST 7 PM IS WARRANTED. ALSO WILL CONTINUE THE
COASTAL FLOOD WATCH TODAY FOR COASTAL MOBILE AND BALDWIN AS TIDES OF
1 TO 2 FEET ABOVE NORMAL ARE EXPECTED AS THE STRONG SOUTHEAST WINDS
OCCUR NEAR ASTRONOMICAL HIGH TIDE LATE THIS MORNING INTO EARLY
AFTERNOON. ASTRONOMICAL LOW TIDES WILL OCCUR TONIGHT...SLIGHTLY
LESSENING THE POTENTIAL FOR ANY COASTAL FLOODING...HOWEVER THE
STRONG ONSHORE FLOW WILL CONTINUE OVERNIGHT. AS WITH THE WIND
ADVISORY...WILL LET THE DAYSHIFT DECIDED IF THE COASTAL FLOOD
ADVISORY SHOULD BE EXTENDED THROUGH TONIGHT.

RAIN CHANCES WILL INCREASE THROUGH THE DAY (MAINLY ISOLATED) AS THE
UPPER RIDGE LOOSES ITS GRIP ON THE AREA AND LOW LVL MOISTURE
INCREASES. HOWEVER...GREATEST RAIN CHANCES WILL LIKELY HOLD OFF
UNTIL AFTER MIDNIGHT WHEN A LINE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IS
EXPECTED TO MOVE ACROSS THE AREA AHEAD OF A COLD FRONT APPROACHING
THE AREA. THIS COLD FRONT IS EXPECTED TO HANG UP WEST OF THE AREA AS
IT OUTRUNS ITS UPPER SUPPORT WHICH MOVES NORTHWARD INTO THE MID
WEST. THUS AM NOT EXPECTING MUCH IN THE WAY OF SEVERE WEATHER
THROUGH TONIGHT. 13/JC

&&

.LONG TERM (SUNDAY THROUGH NEXT FRIDAY)...RAIN CHANCES WILL REMAIN
HIGH ACROSS FCST AREA ON SUNDAY AS THE LINE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS ASSOCIATED WITH THE FRONTAL BOUNDARY MENTIONED ABOVE
CONTINUE TO MOVE SOUTH AND EAST ACROSS THE REGION. WEAK LOW PRESSURE
IS FORECAST TO DEVELOP ALONG THE FRONT OVER THE NORTHERN GULF BY
LATE SUNDAY AND THEN MOVE EAST OF THE AREA BY MONDAY. WITH THIS...
RAIN CHANCES WILL DECREASE SUBSTANTIALLY LATE SUNDAY NIGHT INTO
MONDAY AND REMAIN LOW THROUGH MOST OF THE EXTENDED PERIOD WITH A
HIGH PRESSURE RIDGE IN CONTROL. AT THIS TIME...HAVE CHANCE POPS
RETURNING TO FCST FOR NORTHERN ZONES BY NEXT FRIDAY AS ANOTHER
FRONTAL BOUNDARY APPROACHES FROM THE NORTH. WENT WITH MAV MOS TEMPS
DURING EXTENDED PERIOD...WHICH ARE SLIGHTLY ABOVE NORMAL FOR THIS
TIME OF THE YEAR. 12/DS

&&

.MARINE...SOUTHEASTERLY WINDS WILL CONTINUE ABOVE ADVISORY LEVELS
THROUGH SUNDAY AFTERNOON WITH GUSTS NEAR 30 KNOTS AT TIMES TODAY AND
TONIGHT. AS SOUTHEASTERLY WINDS INCREASE TODAY...SEAS WILL BUILD
FROM 3 TO 5 FEET THIS MORNING TO 8 TO 10 FEET THIS AFTERNOON AND 10
TO 12 FEET BY SUNDAY MORNING. NEAR THE COAST...TIDES WILL ALSO RUN 1
TO 2 FEET ABOVE NORMAL...POSSIBLY CAUSING MINOR COASTAL FLOODING. A
WEAK AREA OF LOW PRESSURE IS FORECAST TO DEVELOP ACROSS THE NORTH
CENTRAL GULF ON SUNDAY AND MOVE EAST OF THE AREA ON MONDAY WITH A
BRIEF PERIOD OF OFFSHORE FLOW IN ITS WAKE. FLOW WILL QUICKLY BECOME
ONSHORE AGAIN BY TUESDAY. 13/JC

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...COLD FRONT APPROACHING REGION FROM THE WEST TODAY
AND TONIGHT...WITH SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS DEVELOPING BY LATE
AFTERNOON AND CONTINUING OVERNIGHT INTO EARLY SUNDAY. EXPECT
INCREASING SOUTHEASTERLY TO SOUTH WINDS OVER THE AREA TODAY AND
TONIGHT AS WELL. WITH THE STRONG WIND FLOW...THERE WILL BE SOME RISK
OF FIRE CONTROL LOSS WITH THE HIGH DISPERSIONS...BUT RED FLAG
WARNING AND/OR FIRE WEATHER WATCH CRITERIA SPECIFY DISPERSION IN
EXCESS OF 75 MUST MEET CERTAIN HUMIDITY MINIMA...WHICH ARE NOT
EXPECTED TO BE MET TODAY. 12/DS

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
MOBILE      76  66  79  58 /  20  70  50  10
PENSACOLA   75  65  73  60 /  20  50  70  10
DESTIN      75  63  71  63 /  10  40  70  10
EVERGREEN   77  58  71  54 /  20  60  60  10
WAYNESBORO  76  62  73  54 /  30  80  40  20
CAMDEN      78  57  70  53 /  30  60  60  10

&&

.MOB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AL...WIND ADVISORY FROM 9 AM SATURDAY TO 7 PM SATURDAY FOR THE
     FOLLOWING ZONES: BUTLER...CHOCTAW...CLARKE...CONECUH...
     COVINGTON...CRENSHAW...ESCAMBIA...LOWER BALDWIN...LOWER
     MOBILE...MONROE...UPPER BALDWIN...UPPER MOBILE...
     WASHINGTON...AND WILCOX.

     COASTAL FLOOD WATCH FROM 9 AM SATURDAY TO 7 PM SATURDAY FOR THE
     FOLLOWING ZONES: LOWER BALDWIN...AND LOWER MOBILE.

FL...WIND ADVISORY FROM 9 AM SATURDAY TO 7 PM SATURDAY FOR THE
     FOLLOWING ZONES: COASTAL ESCAMBIA...COASTAL OKALOOSA...
     COASTAL SANTA ROSA...INLAND ESCAMBIA...INLAND OKALOOSA...
     AND INLAND SANTA ROSA.

MS...WIND ADVISORY FROM 9 AM SATURDAY TO 7 PM SATURDAY FOR THE
     FOLLOWING ZONES: GEORGE...GREENE...PERRY...STONE...AND
     WAYNE.

GM...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 4 AM MONDAY FOR THE FOLLOWING ZONES:
     COASTAL WATERS FROM DESTIN TO PENSACOLA FL OUT 20 NM...
     COASTAL WATERS FROM PENSACOLA FL TO PASCAGOULA MS OUT 20
     NM...MOBILE BAY...WATERS FROM DESTIN TO PENSACOLA FL FROM
     20 TO 60 NM...AND WATERS FROM PENSACOLA FL TO PASCAGOULA MS
     FROM 20 TO 60 NM.

&&

12/SHEPHERD

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL
600 AM CDT FRI APR 29 2006

ALZ051>064-FLZ001>006-MSZ067-075-076-078-079-301200-
BALDWIN COASTAL-BALDWIN INLAND-BUTLER-CHOCTAW-CLARKE-CONECUH-
COVINGTON-CRENSHAW-ESCAMBIA-ESCAMBIA COASTAL-ESCAMBIA INLAND-GEORGE-
GREENE-MOBILE COASTAL-MOBILE INLAND-MONROE-OKALOOSA COASTAL-
OKALOOSA INLAND-PERRY-SANTA ROSA COASTAL-SANTA ROSA INLAND-STONE-
WASHINGTON-WAYNE-WILCOX-
600 AM CDT FRI APR 29 2006

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR SOUTHWEST ALABAMA...INLAND
SOUTHEAST MISSISSIPPI...AND THE WESTERN PORTION OF THE FLORIDA
PANHANDLE.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

STRONG HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE EASTERN STATES WILL CONTINUE
RETREATING SLOWLY TO THE EAST...WHILE A TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE MOVES
SLOWLY TO THE EAST OUT OF TEXAS TODAY.  IN BETWEEN THESE TWO
WEATHER SYSTEMS...A STRONG SOUTHEAST WIND FLOW WILL DEVELOP ALONG
THE CENTRAL GULF COAST REGION.  GUSTY WINDS OF 25 TO 30 MPH ARE
EXPECTED TODAY ACROSS ALL OF SOUTHEAST MISSISSIPPI...SOUTHWEST
ALABAMA AND THE WESTERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE ON SATURDAY AND A WIND
ADVISORY IS IN EFFECT FOR THESE AREAS TODAY.

THE STRONG SOUTHEAST WIND FLOW COULD RESULT IN ABOVE NORMAL TIDES
AND SOME COASTAL FLOODING ALONG THE ALABAMA COAST AS WELL...ALONG
WITH AN INCREASED RISK OF DANGEROUS RIP CURRENTS ALONG THE BEACHES
OF ALABAMA AND THE WESTERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE.

BY THIS AFTERNOON...ISOLATED TO SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE
POSSIBLE WEST OF A LINE FROM MOBILE TO GROVE HILL.  SOME OF THESE
STORMS COULD BE STRONG WITH GUSTY WINDS AROUND 45 MPH AND VERY HEAVY
RAINS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY.

A LINE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IS EXPECTED TO AFFECT THE AREA
STARTING LATE TONIGHT AND LASTING THROUGH SUNDAY MORNING. HEAVY
RAINFALL AND THE POSSIBILITY OF A FEW STRONG STORMS ARE THE MAIN
THREATS DURING THIS TIME FRAME. MORE SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE
EXPECTED ON WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY.

ADDITIONALLY...STRONG SOUTH TO SOUTHEASTERLY WINDS WILL PROMOTE
DANGEROUS RIP CURRENTS ALONG THE ALABAMA AND NORTHWEST FLORIDA
BEACHES ON SUNDAY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

ACTIVATION OF STORM SPOTTERS AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT PERSONNEL IS
NOT EXPECTED THROUGH TONIGHT...HOWEVER CONTINUE TO MONITOR LATER
FORECASTS FOR UPDATES ON THIS DEVELOPING SITUATION.