Freeze Warning 3, NWS Mobile, AL

000 
WWUS74 KMOB 250120 AAA
NPWMOB

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL
720 PM CST FRI MAR 24 2006

...A FREEZE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FROM LATE TONIGHT THROUGH EARLY
SATURDAY MORNING FOR SOUTHEAST MISSISSIPPI...THE INTERIOR OF SOUTHWEST
ALABAMA...AND THE INTERIOR OF THE NORTHWEST FLORIDA PANHANDLE...

.UNSEASONABLY COLD AIR WILL CONTINUE TO SPREAD INTO THE CENTRAL GULF
COAST REGION TONIGHT AS STRONG HIGH PRESSURE DRIFTS EAST OUT OF TEXAS.
A LIGHT FREEZE IS ANTICIPATED OVER THE WARNED AREA. WINDS WILL BECOME
LIGHT AND VARIABLE LATE TONIGHT GIVING WAY TO PATCHES OF FROST AS
WELL. 

ALZ051>062-FLZ001-003-005-MSZ067-075-076-078-079-250800-
/O.CON.KMOB.FZ.W.0003.060325T0800Z-060325T1300Z/
CHOCTAW-WASHINGTON-CLARKE-WILCOX-MONROE-CONECUH-BUTLER-CRENSHAW-
ESCAMBIA-COVINGTON-UPPER MOBILE-UPPER BALDWIN-INLAND ESCAMBIA-
INLAND SANTA ROSA-INLAND OKALOOSA-WAYNE-PERRY-GREENE-STONE-GEORGE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BUTLER...LISMAN...SILAS...CHATOM...
MILLRY...JACKSON...THOMASVILLE...GROVE HILL...CAMDEN...
PINE HILL...HOMEWOOD...MONROEVILLE...EVERGREEN...GREENVILLE...
LUVERNE...BRANTLEY...ATMORE...BREWTON...EAST BREWTON...
ANDALUSIA...OPP...PRICHARD...SARALAND...BAY MINETTE...CENTURY...
FLOMATON...MOLINO...JAY...CRESTVIEW...WAYNESBORO...RICHTON...
BEAUMONT...NEW AUGUSTA...LEAKESVILLE...MCLAIN...WIGGINS...
LUCEDALE
720 PM CST FRI MAR 24 2006

...FREEZE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 2 AM TO 7 AM CST
SATURDAY...

OVERNIGHT TEMPERATURES WILL DROP TO 35 TO 40 BY MIDNIGHT
TONIGHT...THEN BOTTOM OUT GENERALLY IN THE LOWER THIRTIES AFTER
2 AM. PATCHES OF FROST ARE ANTICIPATED AS WELL.

A FREEZE WARNING MEANS FREEZING TO SUB-FREEZING TEMPERATURES ARE
IMMINENT OR HIGHLY LIKELY. THESE CONDITIONS...ALONG WITH FROST...WILL
BE DETRIMENTAL TO COLD SENSITIVE SPRING PLANTS AND VEGETABLES.
GROWERS ARE URGED TO TAKE PROTECTIVE MEASURES.

$$


10

000 
WWUS74 KMOB 251031
NPWMOB

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL
428 AM CST SAT MAR 25 2006

...A FREEZE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH 7 AM THIS MORNING FOR
WAYNE COUNTY MISSISSIPPI AND CHOCTAW COUNTY ALABAMA...

...A FREEZE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR PORTIONS OF INTERIOR SOUTHEAST
MISSISSIPPI AND INTERIOR SOUTH ALABAMA LATE TONIGHT AND EARLY SUNDAY
MORNING...

...A FROST ADVISORY IS IN EFFECT FOR PORTIONS OF INTERIOR SOUTHEAST
MISSISSIPPI...SOUTHWEST ALABAMA AND THE WESTERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE 
LATE TONIGHT AND EARLY SUNDAY MORNING AS WELL...

.UNSEASONABLY COLD AIR WILL CONTINUE TO SPREAD INTO THE CENTRAL GULF
COAST REGION TONIGHT AS STRONG HIGH PRESSURE DRIFTS EAST OUT OF THE 
LOWER MISSISSIPPI RIVER VALLEY. A BRIEF...LIGHT FREEZE IS 
ANTICIPATED OVER THE FREEZE WARNING AREA ACROSS PORTIONS OF INTERIOR 
SOUTHEAST MISSISSIPPI AND INTERIOR SOUTH ALABAMA...WITH AREAS OF 
FROST EXPECTED FURTHER SOUTH TO NEAR THE COAST. 

ALZ052>060-252200-
/O.CAN.KMOB.FZ.W.0003.000000T0000Z-060325T1300Z/
/O.NEW.KMOB.FZ.W.0004.060326T0900Z-060326T1300Z/
WASHINGTON-CLARKE-WILCOX-MONROE-CONECUH-BUTLER-CRENSHAW-ESCAMBIA-
COVINGTON-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...CHATOM...MILLRY...JACKSON...
THOMASVILLE...GROVE HILL...CAMDEN...PINE HILL...HOMEWOOD...
MONROEVILLE...EVERGREEN...GREENVILLE...LUVERNE...BRANTLEY...
ATMORE...BREWTON...EAST BREWTON...ANDALUSIA...OPP
428 AM CST SAT MAR 25 2006

...THE FREEZE WARNING FOR THIS MORNING HAS BEEN CANCELLED...
...A FREEZE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FROM 3 AM TO 7 AM CST SUNDAY...

PERSISTENT WINDS BLOWING FROM 5 TO 10 MPH HAVE MANAGED TO KEEP 
TEMPERATURES FROM FALLING TO THE FREEZING MARK THIS MORNING...SO THE 
FREEZE WARNING FOR THIS MORNING HAS BEEN CANCELLED.  

HOWEVER...AS A HIGH PRESSURE SYSTEM MOVES EAST ACROSS THE AREA EARLY 
SUNDAY MORNING...WINDS WILL DIMINISH ALLOWING TEMPERATURES TO FALL 
TO NEAR OR JUST BELOW FREEZING FOR A FEW HOURS.  THEREFORE...A 
FREEZE WARNING HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR THE EARLY MORNING HOURS ON 
SUNDAY.  

A FREEZE WARNING MEANS FREEZING TO SUB-FREEZING TEMPERATURES ARE
IMMINENT OR HIGHLY LIKELY. THESE CONDITIONS...ALONG WITH FROST...WILL
BE DETRIMENTAL TO COLD SENSITIVE SPRING PLANTS AND VEGETABLES.
GROWERS ARE URGED TO TAKE PROTECTIVE MEASURES.

$$

ALZ061-062-FLZ001-003-005-MSZ075-076-078-079-252200-
/O.CAN.KMOB.FZ.W.0003.000000T0000Z-060325T1300Z/
/O.NEW.KMOB.FR.Y.0001.060326T0900Z-060326T1300Z/
UPPER MOBILE-UPPER BALDWIN-INLAND ESCAMBIA-INLAND SANTA ROSA-
INLAND OKALOOSA-PERRY-GREENE-STONE-GEORGE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...PRICHARD...SARALAND...BAY MINETTE...
CENTURY...FLOMATON...MOLINO...JAY...CRESTVIEW...RICHTON...
BEAUMONT...NEW AUGUSTA...LEAKESVILLE...MCLAIN...WIGGINS...
LUCEDALE
428 AM CST SAT MAR 25 2006

...THE FREEZE WARNING FOR THIS MORNING HAS BEEN CANCELLED...
...A FROST ADVISORY IS IN EFFECT FROM 3 AM TO 7 AM CST SUNDAY...

PERSISTENT WINDS FROM 5 TO 10 MPH HAVE MANAGED TO KEEP TEMPERATURES 
FROM FALLING TO THE FREEZING MARK EARLY THIS MORNING...SO THE FREEZE 
WARNING FOR THIS MORNING HAS BEEN CANCELLED.  

HOWEVER...AS A HIGH PRESSURE SYSTEM MOVES EAST ACROSS THE AREA EARLY 
SUNDAY MORNING...THE WINDS WILL DIMINISH ALLOWING TEMPERATURES TO 
FALL INTO THE MIDDLE 30S.  TEMPERATURES IN THE MIDDLE 30S WITH CALM 
WINDS WILL ALLOW AREAS OF FROST TO FORM.  THEREFORE...A FROST 
ADVISORY HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR THE EARLY MORNING HOURS ON SUNDAY.  

A FROST ADVISORY MEANS THAT FROST IS POSSIBLE. SENSITIVE OUTDOOR
PLANTS MAY BE KILLED IF LEFT UNCOVERED.

$$

ALZ051-MSZ067-251300-
/O.NEW.KMOB.FZ.W.0004.060326T0900Z-060326T1300Z/
/O.CON.KMOB.FZ.W.0003.000000T0000Z-060325T1300Z/
CHOCTAW-WAYNE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BUTLER...LISMAN...SILAS...WAYNESBORO
428 AM CST SAT MAR 25 2006

...A FREEZE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM CST THIS MORNING...
...A FREEZE WARNING IS ALSO IN EFFECT FROM 3 AM TO 7 AM CST SUNDAY...

AS A HIGH PRESSURE SYSTEM MOVES EAST ACROSS THE AREA EARLY SUNDAY 
MORNING...WINDS WILL DIMINISH ALLOWING TEMPERATURES TO FALL BELOW 
FREEZING AGAIN FOR A FEW HOURS EARLY SUNDAY.    

A FREEZE WARNING MEANS FREEZING TO SUB-FREEZING TEMPERATURES ARE
IMMINENT OR HIGHLY LIKELY. THESE CONDITIONS...ALONG WITH FROST...
WILL BE DETRIMENTAL TO COLD SENSITIVE SPRING PLANTS AND VEGETABLES. 

GROWERS ARE URGED TO TAKE PROTECTIVE MEASURES FOR THEIR PLANTS AGAIN 
TONIGHT FOR ANOTHER EXPECTED FREEZE EARLY SUNDAY MORNING.

$$

ALZ063-064-FLZ002-004-006-252200-
/O.NEW.KMOB.FR.Y.0001.060326T0900Z-060326T1300Z/
LOWER MOBILE-LOWER BALDWIN-COASTAL ESCAMBIA-COASTAL SANTA ROSA-
COASTAL OKALOOSA-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...TILLMANS CORNER...THEODORE...DAPHNE...
FAIRHOPE...FOLEY...SPANISH FORT...PENSACOLA...FERRY PASS...
BRENT...WEST PENSACOLA...BELLVIEW...ENSLEY...MYRTLE GROVE...
PACE...MILTON...GULF BREEZE...WRIGHT...FORT WALTON BEACH...
NICEVILLE...DESTIN...SEMINOLE...EGLIN AFB...VALPARAISO
428 AM CST SAT MAR 25 2006

...A FROST ADVISORY IS IN EFFECT FROM 3 AM TO 7 AM CST SUNDAY FOR 
THE INLAND AREAS JUST NORTH OF THE COAST...

AS A HIGH PRESSURE SYSTEM MOVES EAST ACROSS THE AREA EARLY SUNDAY 
MORNING...THE WINDS WILL DIMINISH ALLOWING TEMPERATURES TO FALL INTO 
THE MIDDLE 30S OVER THE INLAND AREAS JUST NORTH OF THE COAST.  
TEMPERATURES IN THE MID 30S WITH CALM WINDS WILL ALLOW AREAS OF 
FROST TO FORM.  THEREFORE...A FROST ADVISORY HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR THE 
EARLY MORNING HOURS ON SUNDAY JUST NORTH OF THE COAST.

A FROST ADVISORY MEANS THAT FROST IS POSSIBLE. SENSITIVE OUTDOOR 
PLANTS MAY BE KILLED IF LEFT UNCOVERED.

$$

GARMON

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL
707 AM CST FRI MAR 24 2006

.UPDATE...SENT A ZONE FORECAST UPDATE TO REMOVE THE FREEZE WARNING
THAT WAS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM FOR CHOCTAW AND WILCOX COUNTIES. A
FREEZE WATCH CONTINUES FOR TONIGHT (SEE UPDATED WWA SECTION BELOW
AND NPWMOB FOR EXACT LOCATIONS./13

...PREVIOUS DISCUSSION........................................

.SHORT TERM...(TODAY AND TONIGHT) 06Z SFC ANALYSIS SHOWS STRONG HIGH
PRESSURE CENTERED OVER TEXAS PROGGED TO DRIFT EAST ACROSS THE LOWER
MS RIVER VALLEY AND SE STATES THROUGH MONDAY. AS A RESULT COOLER
THAN NORMAL CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL THROUGH EARLY SUNDAY AS COOL DRY
AIR ADVECTS SOUTHWARD EAST OF THE HIGH. FOR TONIGHT WINDS WILL
BECOME LIGHT AND VARIABLE FOR MOST INLAND SECTIONS OF THE CWFA
POSSIBLY LEADING TO SOME PATCHES OF FROST ALSO. GUSTY NORTHERLY
WINDS TODAY WILL MAKE TEMPERATURES FEEL MUCH COOLER THAN PREDICTED
PRODUCING WIND CHILLS IN THE 50S. WILL STAY CLOSE TO CURRENT MAV
GUIDANCE AND CONTINUE WITH A FREEZE WATCH THROUGH SAT MORNING. HAVE
ADDED BOTH INLAND PORTIONS OF OKALOOSA AND SANTA ROSA COUNTRIES TO
THE FREEZE WATCH. /32

(SATURDAY THROUGH NEXT FRIDAY)...SFC LOW NOW DEVELOPING OFF THE
SOUTHEAST US COAST AS 120 KT JETSTREAK AND ASSOCIATED UPPER PV
ANOMALY ROTATE THROUGH THE SOUTHEAST. AS THE UPPER TROUGH CONTINUES
TO SLIDE EAST OF THE REGION...NORTHWESTERLY UPPER LEVEL FLOW WILL
SUPPORT HIGH PRESSURE BUILDING INTO THE AREA THROUGH SUNDAY. THIS
WILL KEEP THE AREA IN DRY NORTHWESTERLY SFC FLOW AND KEEP THE GULF
OF MEXICO CUTOFF THROUGH THE SHORT TERM. THIS MEANS A DRY AND COOL
FORECAST THROUGH THE FIRST PART OF THE EXTENDED WITH TEMPERATURES BELOW
CLIMO. AS STATED ABOVE...TEMPERATURES PRESENT THE GREATEST FORECAST
CONCERN IN THE SHORT TERM.  THE STRONG GRADIENT BETWEEN DEVELOPING
LOW PRESSURE OFF THE SE COAST AND HIGH PRESSURE BUILDING INTO THE
AREA IS HELPING KEEP WINDS IN THE 5 TO 10 MPH RANGE AND THUS
PREVENTING WIDESPREAD FREEZING TEMPERATURES. AS THE SFC HIGH GETS
CLOSER SAT NIGHT...THE GRADIENT WILL WEAKEN ALLOW FOR BETTER
RADIATIONAL COOLING AND THUS A BETTER SHOT AT FREEZING TEMPS ACROSS
THE INTERIOR. WILL LET THE DAYSHIFT ASSESS THE POSSIBLE NEED FOR A
FREEZE WATCH ON SATURDAY NIGHT.

ON MONDAY...THE SFC HIGH SHIFTS TO THE EAST AS THE LONGWAVE RIDGE
OVER THE CENTRAL STATES SLIDES EAST IN ADVANCE OF A SHORTWAVE MOVING
ACROSS THE UPPER MIDWEST AND THE ASSOCIATED COLD FRONT. IN ADVANCE
OF THE COLD FRONT RETURN FLOW BEGINS AS SFC WINDS BECOME SOUTHERLY
WITH TEMPERATURES WARMING BACK TO NEAR NORMAL. COLD FRONT BRIEFLY
STALLS ACROSS CENTRAL ALABAMA BEFORE GETTING A SHOVE TO THE SOUTH
WITH SLIGHT CHANCES OF RAIN.  DID KEEP A LITTLE HIGHER POPS ACROSS THE
NORTHWESTERN ZONES TO AGREE WITH SURROUNDING OFFICES. AS THIS SYSTEM
EJECTS TO THE EAST BY THE END OF NEXT WEEK...THE PREVIOUSLY
MENTIONED FRONTAL BOUNDARY WILL MOVE BACK TO THE NORTH AS A WARM
FRONT WITH SOME OVERRUNNING SHOWERS/THUNDERSTORMS POSSIBLE.
HOWEVER...MODEL SPREAD IS RATHER HIGH DURING THE LATTER HALF OF THE
EXTENDED CONCERNING THE HANDLING OF THE FOUR CORNERS SYSTEM. DUE TO
THE UNCERTAINTY IN THIS PERIOD...HAVE ONLY GONE WITH SLIGHT CHANCE
POPS AND ADDED THUNDER AS THE AREA WILL BE MORE UNSTABLE DURING THIS
PERIOD.

&&

.MARINE...A MODERATE TO STRONG NORTHERLY WIND WILL PERSIST THROUGH
EARLY SUN AS STRONG HIGH PRESSURE TO THE WEST DRIFTS SLOWLY EAST.
SEAS WILL CONTINUE TO BUILD THROUGH TONIGHT THEN GRADUALLY SUBSIDE
ON SAT. A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH THIS
AFTERNOON FOR THE ENTIRE MARINE AREA. /32

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...CONTINUED DRY NORTHWESTERLY FLOW COMBINED WITH
AFTERNOON TEMPERATURES IN THE LOWER 60S WILL CAUSE AFTERNOON
RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES TO DROP BELOW CRITICAL VALUES IN THE
WESTERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE AND A RED FLAG WARNING IS IN EFFECT THIS
AFTERNOON WITH A WATCH IN EFFECT ON SATURDAY AFTERNOON. RED FLAG
CONDITIONS WILL LIKELY CONTINUE THROUGH THE FIRST OF NEXT WEEK.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
MOBILE      61  36  65  37 /   0   0   0   0
PENSACOLA   63  39  64  38 /   0   0   0   0
DESTIN      63  41  64  41 /   0   0   0   0
EVERGREEN   58  35  61  33 /   0   0   0   0
WAYNESBORO  60  34  63  34 /   0   0   0  10
CAMDEN      58  35  60  34 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.MOB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AL...FREEZE WATCH FROM 3 AM SATURDAY TO 7 AM SATURDAY FOR THE
     FOLLOWING ZONES: BUTLER...CHOCTAW...CLARKE...CONECUH...
     COVINGTON...CRENSHAW...ESCAMBIA...MONROE...WASHINGTON...AND
     WILCOX.

FL...FIRE WEATHER WATCH FROM 10 AM SATURDAY TO 6 PM SATURDAY FOR THE
     FOLLOWING ZONES: COASTAL ESCAMBIA...COASTAL OKALOOSA...
     COASTAL SANTA ROSA...COASTAL WALTON...INLAND ESCAMBIA...
     INLAND OKALOOSA...AND INLAND SANTA ROSA.

     RED FLAG WARNING UNTIL 6 PM FRIDAY FOR THE FOLLOWING ZONES:
     COASTAL ESCAMBIA...COASTAL OKALOOSA...COASTAL SANTA ROSA...
     COASTAL WALTON...INLAND ESCAMBIA...INLAND OKALOOSA...AND
     INLAND SANTA ROSA.

     FREEZE WATCH FROM 3 AM SATURDAY TO 7 AM SATURDAY FOR THE
     FOLLOWING ZONES: INLAND OKALOOSA...AND INLAND SANTA ROSA.

MS...FREEZE WATCH FROM 3 AM SATURDAY TO 7 AM SATURDAY FOR THE
     FOLLOWING ZONES: GREENE...PERRY...AND WAYNE.

GM...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 6 PM FRIDAY FOR THE FOLLOWING ZONES:
     COASTAL WATERS FROM DESTIN TO PENSACOLA FL OUT 20 NM...
     COASTAL WATERS FROM PENSACOLA FL TO PASCAGOULA MS OUT 20
     NM...MOBILE BAY...WATERS FROM DESTIN TO PENSACOLA FL FROM
     20 TO 60 NM...AND WATERS FROM PENSACOLA FL TO PASCAGOULA MS
     FROM 20 TO 60 NM.

&&

13/JC
32/

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL
500 AM CST FRI MAR 24 2006

ALZ051>064-FLZ001>006-MSZ067-075-076-078-079-251200-
BALDWIN COASTAL-BALDWIN INLAND-BUTLER-CHOCTAW-CLARKE-CONECUH-
COVINGTON-CRENSHAW-ESCAMBIA-ESCAMBIA COASTAL-ESCAMBIA INLAND-GEORGE-
GREENE-MOBILE COASTAL-MOBILE INLAND-MONROE-OKALOOSA COASTAL-
OKALOOSA INLAND-PERRY-SANTA ROSA COASTAL-SANTA ROSA INLAND-STONE-
WASHINGTON-WAYNE-WILCOX-
500 AM CST FRI MAR 24 2006

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR SOUTHWEST ALABAMA...INLAND
SOUTHEAST MISSISSIPPI...AND THE WESTERN PORTION OF THE FLORIDA
PANHANDLE.

.DAY ONE...(TODAY AND TONIGHT).

A STRONG RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE...BUILDING EAST OUT OF TEXAS...
CONTINUES TO BRING THE THREAT OF A LIGHT FREEZE OVER INLAND SECTIONS
OF SOUTHEAST MISSISSIPPI...SOUTHWEST ALABAMA AND PARTS OF NORTHWEST
FLORIDA.

STRONG NORTHERLY WINDS AND BUILDING SEAS WILL CREATE A POTENTIALLY
HAZARDOUS CONDITIONS FOR SMALL CRAFT THROUGH THIS AFTERNOON AND
TONIGHT.

AN INCREASED THREAT FOR WILDFIRES WILL CONTINUE TODAY DUE TO LOW
AFTERNOON RELATIVE HUMIDITIES AND BREEZY CONDITIONS. .

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...(SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY).

FREEZING OR NEAR FREEZING TEMPERATURE ALONG WITH POSSIBLE FRONTS
WILL BE LIKELY AGAIN SATURDAY NIGHT. STAY TUNED FOR FURTHER UPDATES
LATER TODAY.

AN INCREASED THREAT FOR WILDFIRES WILL CONTINUE THROUGH MONDAY DUE
TO LOW AFTERNOON RELATIVE HUMIDITIES.

THUNDERSTORM CHANCES RETURN TO THE FORECAST BY TUESDAY AS AN AREA OF
LOW PRESSURE AND A TRAILING COLD FRONT APPROACH FROM THE WEST.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

ACTIVATION OF STORM SPOTTERS AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT PERSONNEL WILL
NOT BE REQUIRED TONIGHT.