Alert archive / Mississippi / Flash Flood Watches in 2006
Flash Flood Watch 3, NWS Mobile, AL
NWS Mobile, AL issued this flash flood watch at Dec 30, 2006, 4:13 AM CST for Escambia County, Washington County, Alabama; 5 counties in Mississippi. It took effect at Dec 30, 2006, 12:00 PM CST. It was in force for 16 hr.
The area
The counties it named.
The facts
- Issued
- Dec 30, 2006, 4:13 AM CST (10:13 UTC)
- In effect from
- Dec 30, 2006, 12:00 PM CST
- Expired
- Dec 31, 2006, 3:57 AM CST
- In force
- 16 hr
- Issued by
- NWS Mobile, AL
- Flood severity
- None
Counties Escambia County, AL, Washington County, AL, George County, MS, Greene County, MS, Perry County, MS, Stone County, MS, Wayne County, MS
The radar
The Mobile radar (KMOB), 60 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 10:14 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
The nearest sounding before it
Slidell Radar S, LA (KSIL), launched 00:00Z, 10.2 hours before the alert went out and 154 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 0 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- No buoyant parcel
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 671 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 36 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- 175 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 207 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 0.0
- Supercell composite
- 0.0
The text
As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.
000 WGUS64 KMOB 301013 FFAMOB URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED FLOOD WATCH NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL 413 AM CST SAT DEC 30 2006 ...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT FOR SOUTHEAST MISSISSIPPI THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT... .A SLOW MOVING COLD FRONTAL SYSTEM MOVING EAST OUT OF TEXAS TODAY WILL MOVE SLOWLY ACROSS SOUTH MISSISSIPPI TONIGHT AND SUNDAY MORNING. AHEAD OF THIS FRONTAL SYSTEM...BANDS OF HEAVY RAINFALL WILL MOVE ACROSS SOUTHEAST MISSISSIPPI BRINGING AN INCREASED RISK OF FLOODING. MSZ067-075-076-078-079-301900- /O.NEW.KMOB.FF.A.0003.061230T1800Z-061231T1200Z/ /00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/ WAYNE-PERRY-GREENE-STONE-GEORGE- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...WAYNESBORO...RICHTON...BEAUMONT... NEW AUGUSTA...LEAKESVILLE...MCLAIN...WIGGINS...LUCEDALE 413 AM CST SAT DEC 30 2006 ...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT FROM NOON CST TODAY THROUGH LATE TONIGHT... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MOBILE HAS ISSUED A * FLASH FLOOD WATCH FOR A PORTION OF SOUTHEAST MISSISSIPPI... INCLUDING THE FOLLOWING COUNTIES...GEORGE...GREENE...PERRY... STONE AND WAYNE. * FROM NOON CST TODAY THROUGH LATE TONIGHT. * A SLOW MOVING COLD FRONTAL SYSTEM MOVING EAST OUT OF TEXAS TODAY WILL MOVE SLOWLY ACROSS SOUTH MISSISSIPPI THROUGH SUNDAY MORNING. AHEAD OF THIS FRONTAL SYSTEM...BANDS OF HEAVY RAINFALL WILL MOVE ACROSS SOUTHEAST MISSISSIPPI BRINGING AN INCREASED RISK OF FLOODING. * RAINFALL AMOUNTS THROUGH 6 AM SUNDAY WILL TOTAL BETWEEN 2 AND 4 INCHES WITH LOCALIZED AMOUNTS TO NEAR 6 INCHES POSSIBLE. THE FORECAST RAINFALL AMOUNTS COULD RESULT IN FLOODING OF SMALL STREAMS...CREEKS AND SOME RIVER SYSTEMS LATE TODAY AND TONIGHT. AREAS WITH POOR DRAINAGE OF RUNOFF RAINFALL WILL ALSO BE AT AN INCREASED RISK FOR RAPID FLOODING LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT. A FLASH FLOOD WATCH MEANS THAT CONDITIONS MAY DEVELOP THAT LEAD TO FLASH FLOODING. FLASH FLOODING IS A VERY DANGEROUS SITUATION. YOU SHOULD MONITOR LATER FORECASTS AND BE PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION SHOULD FLASH FLOOD WARNINGS BE ISSUED. $$
3 follow-up statements
000 WGUS64 KMOB 301843 FFAMOB URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED FLOOD WATCH NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL 1243 PM CST SAT DEC 30 2006 ...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT FOR SOUTHEAST MISSISSIPPI...EXTREME SOUTHWEST ALABAMA AND THE WESTERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE THROUGH TONIGHT... .A COLD FRONT MOVING ACROSS LOUISIANA WILL MOVE SLOWLY ACROSS SOUTH MISSISSIPPI AND INTO SOUTHWEST ALABAMA AND THE NORTHWEST FLORIDA PANHANDLE THROUGH SUNDAY MORNING. BANDS OF HEAVY RAINFALL WILL MOVE ACROSS THE REGION AHEAD OF THE FRONT BRINGING AN INCREASED RISK OF FLOODING. ALZ052-059-061>064-FLZ001>006-310245- /O.EXA.KMOB.FF.A.0003.000000T0000Z-061231T1200Z/ /00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/ WASHINGTON-ESCAMBIA-UPPER MOBILE-UPPER BALDWIN-LOWER MOBILE- LOWER BALDWIN-INLAND ESCAMBIA-COASTAL ESCAMBIA-INLAND SANTA ROSA- COASTAL SANTA ROSA-INLAND OKALOOSA-COASTAL OKALOOSA- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...CHATOM...MILLRY...ATMORE...BREWTON... EAST BREWTON...PRICHARD...SARALAND...BAY MINETTE... TILLMANS CORNER...THEODORE...DAPHNE...FAIRHOPE...FOLEY... SPANISH FORT...CENTURY...FLOMATON...MOLINO...PENSACOLA... FERRY PASS...BRENT...WEST PENSACOLA...BELLVIEW...ENSLEY... MYRTLE GROVE...JAY...PACE...MILTON...GULF BREEZE...CRESTVIEW... WRIGHT...FORT WALTON BEACH...NICEVILLE...DESTIN...SEMINOLE... EGLIN AFB...VALPARAISO 1243 PM CST SAT DEC 30 2006 ...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT THROUGH LATE TONIGHT... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MOBILE HAS EXPANDED THE * FLASH FLOOD WATCH TO INCLUDE PORTIONS OF EXTREME SOUTHWEST ALABAMA AND NORTHWEST FLORIDA...INCLUDING THE FOLLOWING AREAS...IN ALABAMA...ESCAMBIA...BALDWIN...MOBILE...AND WASHINGTON. IN NORTHWEST FLORIDA...ESCAMBIA...OKALOOSA...AND SANTA ROSA. * THROUGH LATE TONIGHT * A SLOW MOVING COLD FRONT ADVANCING ACROSS LOUISIANA WILL MOVE SLOWLY ACROSS SOUTHWEST ALABAMA AND THE NORTHWEST FLORIDA PANHANDLE THROUGH SUNDAY MORNING. BANDS OF HEAVY RAINFALL WILL MOVE ACROSS THE AREA AHEAD OF THE FRONT RESULTING IN AN INCREASED RISK OF FLOODING. * RAINFALL AMOUNTS THROUGH 6 AM SUNDAY WILL TOTAL BETWEEN 3 AND 4 INCHES WITH LOCALIZED AMOUNTS TO NEAR 6 INCHES POSSIBLE. THE RAINFALL AMOUNTS COULD RESULT IN FLOODING OF SMALL STREAMS...CREEKS AND SOME RIVER SYSTEMS LATE TODAY AND TONIGHT. AREAS WITH POOR DRAINAGE WILL ALSO BE AT AN INCREASED RISK FOR RAPID FLOODING. A FLASH FLOOD WATCH MEANS THAT CONDITIONS MAY DEVELOP THAT LEAD TO FLASH FLOODING. FLASH FLOODING IS A VERY DANGEROUS SITUATION. YOU SHOULD MONITOR LATER FORECASTS AND BE PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION SHOULD FLASH FLOOD WARNINGS BE ISSUED. $$ MSZ067-075-076-078-079-310245- /O.CON.KMOB.FF.A.0003.000000T0000Z-061231T1200Z/ /00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/ WAYNE-PERRY-GREENE-STONE-GEORGE- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...WAYNESBORO...RICHTON...BEAUMONT... NEW AUGUSTA...LEAKESVILLE...MCLAIN...WIGGINS...LUCEDALE 1243 PM CST SAT DEC 30 2006 ...FLASH FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH LATE TONIGHT... THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH CONTINUES FOR * A PORTION OF SOUTHEAST MISSISSIPPI...INCLUDING THE FOLLOWING AREAS...GEORGE...GREENE...PERRY...STONE AND WAYNE. * THROUGH LATE TONIGHT * A SLOW MOVING COLD FRONT ADVANCING ACROSS LOUISIANA WILL MOVE SLOWLY ACROSS SOUTH MISSISSIPPI OVERNIGHT. BANDS OF HEAVY RAINFALL WILL MOVE ACROSS THE AREA AHEAD OF THE FRONT RESULTING IN AN INCREASED RISK OF FLOODING. * RAINFALL AMOUNTS THROUGH 6 AM SUNDAY WILL TOTAL BETWEEN 3 AND 4 INCHES WITH LOCALIZED AMOUNTS TO NEAR 6 INCHES POSSIBLE. THE RAINFALL AMOUNTS COULD RESULT IN FLOODING OF SMALL STREAMS...CREEKS AND SOME RIVER SYSTEMS LATE TODAY AND TONIGHT. AREAS WITH POOR DRAINAGE WILL ALSO BE AT AN INCREASED RISK FOR RAPID FLOODING. A FLASH FLOOD WATCH MEANS THAT CONDITIONS MAY DEVELOP THAT LEAD TO FLASH FLOODING. FLASH FLOODING IS A VERY DANGEROUS SITUATION. YOU SHOULD MONITOR LATER FORECASTS AND BE PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION SHOULD FLASH FLOOD WARNINGS BE ISSUED. $$
000 WGUS64 KMOB 310311 FFAMOB FLOOD WATCH NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL 911 PM CST SAT DEC 30 2006 ...FLASH FLOOD WATCH CONTINUES IN EFFECT FOR SOUTHEAST MISSISSIPPI... AND PORTIONS OF SOUTHWEST ALABAMA TONIGHT... ...FLASH FLOOD WATCH HAS BEEN CANCELED FOR THE WESTERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE... .A WEAK FRONT ACROSS CENTRAL LOUISIANA WILL MOVE EVER SO SLOWLY EAST TONIGHT. THE FRONT IS FORECAST TO MOVE ACROSS THE HEART OF THE FORECAST AREA BY AROUND SUNRISE SUNDAY MORNING. DOPPLER WEATHER RADAR TRENDS SHOWS THE AREA OF SHOWERS AND EMBEDDED THUNDERSTORMS HAS SLOWED AND BECOME NEARLY STATIONARY FROM SOUTHEAST LOUISIANA INTO SOUTHEAST MISSISSIPPI AND SOUTHWEST ALABAMA. LATEST FORECASTS CALL FOR A VERY SLOW MOVEMENT CONTINUING THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF THE NIGHT. AS A RESULT...THE THREAT OF EXCESSIVE RAINS CONTINUES OVER SOUTHEAST MISSISSIPPI AND WILL GRADUALLY SHIFT EASTWARD INTO SOUTHWEST ALABAMA OVERNIGHT. DUE TO THE SLOW MOVEMENT OF THE WEATHER SYSTEM...THE THREAT OF EXCESSIVE RAINS INTO THE WESTERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF THE NIGHT HAS DIMINISHED. THUS...THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH WILL BE CANCELED. ALZ059-FLZ001>006-310415- /O.CAN.KMOB.FF.A.0003.000000T0000Z-061231T1200Z/ /00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/ ESCAMBIA-INLAND ESCAMBIA-COASTAL ESCAMBIA-INLAND SANTA ROSA- COASTAL SANTA ROSA-INLAND OKALOOSA-COASTAL OKALOOSA- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ATMORE...BREWTON...EAST BREWTON... CENTURY...FLOMATON...MOLINO...PENSACOLA...FERRY PASS...BRENT... WEST PENSACOLA...BELLVIEW...ENSLEY...MYRTLE GROVE...JAY...PACE... MILTON...GULF BREEZE...CRESTVIEW...WRIGHT...FORT WALTON BEACH... NICEVILLE...DESTIN...SEMINOLE...EGLIN AFB...VALPARAISO 911 PM CST SAT DEC 30 2006 ...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IS CANCELLED... THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF ESCAMBIA COUNTY ALABAMA AND ALL OF THE WESTERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE HAS BEEN CANCELED. THE SLOW MOVEMENT OF THE FRONT ACROSS LOUISIANA CREATES A HIGHER EXCESSIVE RAIN THREAT TO THE WEST OF THE AREA THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF THE NIGHT. $$ ALZ052-061>064-MSZ067-075-076-078-079-311115- /O.CON.KMOB.FF.A.0003.000000T0000Z-061231T1200Z/ /00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/ WASHINGTON-UPPER MOBILE-UPPER BALDWIN-LOWER MOBILE-LOWER BALDWIN- WAYNE-PERRY-GREENE-STONE-GEORGE- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...CHATOM...MILLRY...PRICHARD...SARALAND... BAY MINETTE...TILLMANS CORNER...THEODORE...DAPHNE...FAIRHOPE... FOLEY...SPANISH FORT...WAYNESBORO...RICHTON...BEAUMONT... NEW AUGUSTA...LEAKESVILLE...MCLAIN...WIGGINS...LUCEDALE 911 PM CST SAT DEC 30 2006 ...FLASH FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM CST SUNDAY... THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH CONTINUES FOR * PORTIONS OF SOUTHWEST ALABAMA AND SOUTHEAST MISSISSIPPI... INCLUDING THE FOLLOWING AREAS...IN SOUTHWEST ALABAMA...LOWER BALDWIN...LOWER MOBILE...UPPER BALDWIN...UPPER MOBILE AND WASHINGTON. IN SOUTHEAST MISSISSIPPI...GEORGE...GREENE... PERRY...STONE AND WAYNE. * UNTIL 6 AM CST SUNDAY * A COLD FRONT ADVANCES VERY SLOWLY EAST ACROSS LOUISIANA TONIGHT. AHEAD OF THE FRONT...A SHIELD OF MODERATE TO HEAVY SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE TO TRAIN OR MOVE ACROSS THE SAME AREAS TONIGHT. THIS RESULTS IN AN INCREASED RISK OF FLOODING. * LATEST DOPPLER WEATHER RADAR RAINFALL ESTIMATES SUGGEST THAT 1 TO LOCALLY 2 INCHES OF RAIN HAVE FALLEN OVER SOUTHEAST MISSISSIPPI. THESE RAINS ARE FORECAST TO SLOWLY OVERSPREAD SOUTHWEST ALABAMA THROUGH THE NIGHT. ADDITIONAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS THROUGH 6 AM SUNDAY MORNING COULD TOTAL 2 TO 4 INCHES IN THE WATCH AREA. THE RAINFALL AMOUNTS COULD RESULT IN FLOODING OF SMALL STREAMS... CREEKS AND SOME RIVER SYSTEMS LATE TONIGHT. AREAS WITH POOR DRAINAGE WILL ALSO BE AT AN INCREASED RISK FOR RAPID FLOODING. A FLASH FLOOD WATCH MEANS THAT CONDITIONS MAY DEVELOP THAT LEAD TO FLASH FLOODING. FLASH FLOODING IS A VERY DANGEROUS SITUATION...ESPECIALLY AT NIGHT WHEN WATER COVERED ROADS ARE HARDER TO SEE. YOU SHOULD MONITOR LATER FORECASTS AND BE PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION SHOULD FLASH FLOOD WARNINGS BE ISSUED. $$
000 WGUS64 KMOB 310957 FFAMOB FLOOD WATCH NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL 357 AM CST SUN DEC 31 2006 ALZ052-061>064-MSZ067-075-076-078-079-311100- /O.CAN.KMOB.FF.A.0003.000000T0000Z-061231T1200Z/ /00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/ WASHINGTON-UPPER MOBILE-UPPER BALDWIN-LOWER MOBILE-LOWER BALDWIN- WAYNE-PERRY-GREENE-STONE-GEORGE- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...CHATOM...MILLRY...PRICHARD...SARALAND... BAY MINETTE...TILLMANS CORNER...THEODORE...DAPHNE...FAIRHOPE... FOLEY...SPANISH FORT...WAYNESBORO...RICHTON...BEAUMONT... NEW AUGUSTA...LEAKESVILLE...MCLAIN...WIGGINS...LUCEDALE 357 AM CST SUN DEC 31 2006 ...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IS CANCELLED... THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH FOR INLAND SOUTHEAST MISSISSIPPI AND PORTIONS OF SOUTHWEST ALABAMA HAS BEEN CANCELED. A LINE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS CONTINUES TO MOVE EASTWARD ACROSS THE AREA...HOWEVER THE FAST MOTION IS PREVENTING EXCESSIVE RAINFALL. SOME MINOR URBAN AND SMALL STREAM FLOODING CAN BE EXPECTED ESPECIALLY IN THE STRONGER THUNDERSTORMS...HOWEVER WIDESPREAD FLASH FLOODING IS NOT EXPECTED. $$
What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before this flash flood watch went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Mobile, AL wrote its last area forecast discussion before this flash flood watch went out at Dec 29, 9:20 PM CST, 6 hours 53 minutes earlier.
Area forecast discussion, Dec 29, 9:20 PM CST, 6 hours 53 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL
920 PM CST FRI DEC 29 2006
.UPDATE...CLOUDS ARE SLOWER COMING IN AND LOOKS LIKE RAIN WILL BE
DELAYED UNTIL AFTER SUNRISE...MAY BE A FEW SPRINKLES WHEN CLOUDS
COME IN LATER TONIGHT. DID LEAVE A SMALL POP IN FOR SOUTHEAST
MISSISSIPPI BUT THINK EVEN THESE AREAS WILL NOT SEE ANYTHING
MEASURABLE UNTIL AT LEAST AFTER SUNRISE SATURDAY. ALSO REMOVED THE
PATCHY FOG...WINDS ARE REMAINING AROUND 10 KNOTS OVER THE WESTERN
HALF...EVEN A BIT GUSTY NEAR THE COAST. /11
&&
.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
MOBILE 59 72 61 66 / 20 60 100 90
PENSACOLA 59 70 62 67 / 10 40 70 90
DESTIN 60 70 63 69 / 05 30 60 80
EVERGREEN 52 71 58 66 / 10 40 80 100
WAYNESBORO 56 70 56 64 / 30 70 100 70
CAMDEN 52 70 58 64 / 10 50 90 100
&&
.MOB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AL...NONE.
FL...NONE.
MS...NONE.
GM...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 9 PM SATURDAY FOR THE FOLLOWING
ZONES: COASTAL WATERS FROM DESTIN FL TO PASCAGOULA MS OUT 60
NM.
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FROM 9 PM FRIDAY TO 9 PM SATURDAY FOR
MOBILE BAY.
&&Hazardous weather outlook, Dec 29, 10:35 PM CST, 5 hours 38 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK...UPDATED NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL 1035 PM CST FRI DEC 29 2006 ALZ051>064-FLZ001>006-GMZ630-650-655-670-675-MSZ067-075-076-078-079- 301200- COASTAL WATERS FROM DESTIN TO PENSACOLA FL OUT 20 NM- WATERS FROM DESTIN TO PENSACOLA FL FROM 20 TO 60 NM- COASTAL WATERS FROM PENSACOLA FL TO PASCAGOULA MS OUT 20 NM- WATERS FROM PENSACOLA FL TO PASCAGOULA MS FROM 20 TO 60 NM- MOBILE BAY-BALDWIN COASTAL-BALDWIN INLAND-BUTLER-CHOCTAW-CLARKE- CONECUH-COVINGTON-CRENSHAW-ESCAMBIA-ESCAMBIA COASTAL-ESCAMBIA INLAND- GEORGE-GREENE-MOBILE COASTAL-MOBILE INLAND-MONROE-OKALOOSA COASTAL- OKALOOSA INLAND-PERRY-SANTA ROSA COASTAL-SANTA ROSA INLAND-STONE- WASHINGTON-WAYNE-WILCOX- 1035 PM CST FRI DEC 29 2006 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR INLAND SOUTHEAST MISSISSIPPI...SOUTHWEST ALABAMA...THE WESTERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE...AND ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS. .DAY ONE...REST OF TONIGHT. MODERATE TO OCCASIONALLY STRONG EASTERLY WINDS OVER THE MARINE AREA ALONG WITH 4 TO 8 FOOT SEAS FROM 20 TO 60 NAUTICAL MILES OFFSHORE WILL CONTINUE TO CREATE HAZARDOUS CONDITIONS FOR SMALL CRAFT. A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH SATURDAY EVENING. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY. A MODERATE TO STRONG SOUTHEAST WIND FLOW WILL CONTINUE SATURDAY AND PREDICTED HIGH TIDE WILL BE SATURDAY EVENING. TIDES OF ONE TO POSSIBLY TWO FEET ABOVE PREDICTED LEVELS MAY LEAD TO WATER PILING AND MINOR COASTAL FLOODING...ALONG WITH HIGHER THAN NORMAL SURF CONDITIONS AND RIP CURRENTS. RAIN AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO BEGIN OVER INLAND SOUTHEAST MISSISSIPPI LATE SATURDAY MORNING AND SPREAD EAST DURING THE AFTERNOON...ENCOMPASSING MOST OF THE AREA BY SUNSET SATURDAY. HEAVIEST RAIN IS EXPECTED TO BE OVERNIGHT SATURDAY INTO SUNDAY LATE MORNING OR AFTERNOON. TOTAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS BETWEEN 3 AN 4 INCHES ARE LIKELY WITH ISOLATED AREAS POSSIBLY UP TO 5 INCHES. SIGNIFICANT RIVER FLOODING IS NOT ANTICIPATED BUT SOME FLOODING OF SMALL CREEKS ...STREAMS...LOW LYING AND POOR DRAINAGE AREAS IS POSSIBLE. SEVERE STORMS ARE NOT EXPECTED TO BE WIDESPREAD. HOWEVER...AN ISOLATED SEVERE THUNDERSTORM MAY OCCUR LATE SATURDAY AFTERNOON OR EVENING WITH THE ONSET OF HEAVIER RAIN OVER SOUTHEAST MISSISSIPPI AND A SMALL PART OF SOUTHWEST ALABAMA. AT THIS TIME IT APPEARS THAT HAIL AND ISOLATED WIND DAMAGE ARE THE MAIN RISKS...ALTHOUGH AN ISOLATED TORNADO CAN NOT BE RULED OUT...DUE TO STRONG LOW-LEVEL WIND SHEAR. PLEASE STAY INFORMED BY STAYING TUNED TO THIS STATION FOR LATER UPDATES AND FORECAST. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... ACTIVATION OF STORM SPOTTERS OR EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT PERSONNEL MAY BE NEEDED SATURDAY NIGHT.
Nearby
Flash Flood Watches in Mississippi, 2006Flash Flood Watches in Alabama, 2006Flash Flood Watches in Florida, 2006Every flash flood watch in 2006
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.