Dense Fog Advisory 21, NWS Mobile, AL

000 
WWUS74 KMOB 170829
NPWMOB

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL
229 AM CST SUN DEC 17 2006

...THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MOBILE HAS CANCELLED THE DENSE
FOG ADVISORY...

.ALTHOUGH CLEAR SKIES...A MOIST LOW LEVEL AIRMASS...AND LIGHT SURFACE
WINDS WILL ALLOW FOR SOME PATCHY DENSE FOG TO DEVELOP ACROSS PARTS OF
THE REGION THIS MORNING...HIGHER WINDS DETECTED BY DOPPLER RADAR WITHIN
A COUPLE OF HUNDRED FEET OF THE GROUND WILL RESULT IN ENOUGH MIXING
TO PRECLUDE THE DEVELOPMENT OF WIDESPREAD DENSE FOG. SINCE COVERAGE
OF DENSE FOG IS NOT EXPECTED TO BE WIDESPREAD...THE DENSE FOG ADVISORY
THAT WAS IN EFFECT FOR THIS MORNING HAS BEEN CANCELLED.

ALZ051>062-MSZ067-075-076-078-079-170930-
/O.CAN.KMOB.FG.Y.0021.000000T0000Z-061217T1400Z/
CHOCTAW-WASHINGTON-CLARKE-WILCOX-MONROE-CONECUH-BUTLER-CRENSHAW-
ESCAMBIA-COVINGTON-UPPER MOBILE-UPPER BALDWIN-WAYNE-PERRY-GREENE-
STONE-GEORGE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BUTLER...LISMAN...SILAS...CHATOM...
MILLRY...JACKSON...THOMASVILLE...GROVE HILL...CAMDEN...
PINE HILL...HOMEWOOD...MONROEVILLE...EVERGREEN...GREENVILLE...
LUVERNE...BRANTLEY...ATMORE...BREWTON...EAST BREWTON...
ANDALUSIA...OPP...PRICHARD...SARALAND...BAY MINETTE...
WAYNESBORO...RICHTON...BEAUMONT...NEW AUGUSTA...LEAKESVILLE...
MCLAIN...WIGGINS...LUCEDALE
229 AM CST SUN DEC 17 2006

...DENSE FOG ADVISORY IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MOBILE HAS CANCELLED THE DENSE FOG
ADVISORY THAT WAS IN EFFECT THROUGH MID MORNING.

ALTHOUGH CLEAR SKIES...A MOIST LOW LEVEL AIRMASS...AND LIGHT SURFACE
WINDS WILL ALLOW FOR SOME PATCHY DENSE FOG TO DEVELOP ACROSS PARTS OF
THE REGION THIS MORNING...HIGHER WINDS DETECTED BY DOPPLER RADAR WITHIN
A COUPLE OF HUNDRED FEET OF THE GROUND WILL RESULT IN ENOUGH MIXING
TO PRECLUDE THE DEVELOPMENT OF WIDESPREAD DENSE FOG. SINCE COVERAGE
OF DENSE FOG IS NOT EXPECTED TO BE WIDESPREAD...THE DENSE FOG
ADVISORY THAT WAS IN EFFECT FOR THIS MORNING HAS BEEN CANCELLED.

PATCHY FOG...DENSE IN SOME LOCALIZED AREAS...WILL STILL BE POSSIBLE
THROUGH AROUND 900 AM...HOWEVER. IF ANY DENSE FOG DOES DEVELOP...IT
WILL MOST LIKELY OCCUR NEAR INLAND RIVER SYSTEMS AND WATERSHEDS.
MOTORISTS SHOULD BE AWARE OF THE POSSIBILITY OF DENSE LOCALIZED FOG
IN SOME AREAS THIS MORNING...AND REMEMBER THAT VISIBILITIES CAN QUICKLY
DROP TO A FEW FEET...ESPECIALLY ON BRIDGES WHICH CROSS INLAND WATERSHEDS
AND RIVER SYSTEMS AND IN LOW LYING AREAS AROUND THESE WATERSHEDS.

$$

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL
240 PM CST SAT DEC 16 2006

.SHORT TERM...(TONIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY)SURFACE RIDGE OF HIGH
PRESSURE CONTINUES TO CONTROL THE LOCAL WEATHER...RIDGE EXTENDS
ACROSS AREA FROMM THE NORTHEAST. AN UPPER RIDGE WILL DRIFT ACROSS
AREA SUNDAY AND MONDAY. BOTH SUNDAY AND MONDAY SHOULD BE MILD TO
WARM WITH A BIT MORE HUMIDITY BUT NO PRECIPITATION EXPECTED THROUGH
THE SHORT TERM AS MOISTURE REMAINS LIMITED WITH PRECIPITABLE WATER
VALUES AN INCH OR LESS.  LAST NIGHTS FOG WAS MORE PATCHY THAN
ANTICIPATED. EVIDENTLY THE CIRRUS HUNG AROUND LONGER THAN WE
THOUGHT...IT WAS CLOSE TO SUNRISE BEFORE IT CLEARED THE AREA. WITH
NO CIRRUS EXPECTED TONIGHT AND A LIGHT EAST TO NORTHEAST
WIND...WOULD EXPECT MORE FOG BUT GUIDANCE SAYS NO...WILL COMPROMISE
AND HAVE PATCHY DENSE FOG IN ZONES.

.LONG TERM...EARLIER ADVERTISED MID WEEK FRONT AND CHANCE OF RAIN
IS LOOKING LESS LIKELY. WILL BE A FRONT FROM SOUTHEAST TEXAS TO
SOUTH FLORIDA BY WEDNESDAY BUT ANY RAIN LOOKS TO BE RATHER SCARCE AS
THE SURFACE HIGH AND UPPER RIDGE CONTINUES TO KEEP BETTER MOISTURE
OFF TO THE WEST. FORECAST CALLS FOR THIS AREA TO BE IN WARM SECTOR
THURSDAY NIGHT AND FRIDAY WITH COLD FRONT NEAR INTERSTATE 65 BY
SATURDAY MORNING. BEST CHANCES OF RAIN WILL BE FRIDAY AND FRIDAY
NIGHT IN ADVANCE OF COLD FRONT. COOLER BUT NOT COLD BEHIND FRONT. /11

&&

.MARINE...HIGH SURFACE PRESSURE OVER THE EASTERN CONUS WILL PUSH TO
OVER THE CAROLINA COAST...THEN MEANDER EVEN SLOWER EAST INTO THE
COMING WEEK. MODELS ARE ADVERTISING AN UPPER DISTURBANCE MOVING OVER
THE CENTRAL/EASTERN GULF OF MX MONDAY INTO MONDAY NIGHT. GFS IS A
BIT FARTHER NORTHEAST WITH THIS SHORTWAVE...RESULTING IN A TIGHTER
GRADIENT AND HIGHER SURFACE WINDS OVER THE MARINE FA. HAVE BLENDED
THE MMG/MME GUIDANCE DUE TO THE UNCERTAINTY OF THE PATH/STRENGTH OF
THIS SHORTWAVE THE FIRST FEW DAYS. AN UPPER SYSTEM PUSHING OVER THE
CENTRAL US LATER MONDAY INTO MONDAY NIGHT WILL PUSH A WEAK FRONT
OVER AL/NW FL COASTAL WATERS TUESDAY NIGHT...WITH A WEAK OFFSHORE
FLOW MID WEEK. ANOTHER UPPER SYSTEM WILL DEVELOP A SURFACE LOW OVER
THE CENTRAL CONUS...INCREASING THE STRENGTH OF THE ONSHORE FLOW
THURSDAY INTO FRIDAY...WITH A STRONGER RE-ENFORCING FRONT CROSSING
AL/NW FL COASTAL WATERS FRIDAY NIGHT.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
MOBILE      44  75  54  78 /  00  00  00  05
PENSACOLA   50  72  56  75 /  00  00  00  05
DESTIN      54  71  57  75 /  00  00  00  05
EVERGREEN   36  75  43  78 /  00  00  00  05
WAYNESBORO  41  74  45  75 /  00  00  00  05
CAMDEN      41  73  43  75 /  00  00  00  05

&&

.MOB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AL...NONE.
FL...NONE.
MS...NONE.
GM...NONE.
&&

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL
940 AM CST SAT DEC 16 2006

ALZ051>064-FLZ001>006-GMZ630-650-655-670-675-MSZ067-075-076-078-079-
161800-
COASTAL WATERS FROM DESTIN TO PENSACOLA FL OUT 20 NM-
WATERS FROM DESTIN TO PENSACOLA FL FROM 20 TO 60 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM PENSACOLA FL TO PASCAGOULA MS OUT 20 NM-
WATERS FROM PENSACOLA FL TO PASCAGOULA MS FROM 20 TO 60 NM-
MOBILE BAY-BALDWIN COASTAL-BALDWIN INLAND-BUTLER-CHOCTAW-CLARKE-
CONECUH-COVINGTON-CRENSHAW-ESCAMBIA-ESCAMBIA COASTAL-ESCAMBIA INLAND-
GEORGE-GREENE-MOBILE COASTAL-MOBILE INLAND-MONROE-OKALOOSA COASTAL-
OKALOOSA INLAND-PERRY-SANTA ROSA COASTAL-SANTA ROSA INLAND-STONE-
WASHINGTON-WAYNE-WILCOX-
940 AM CST SAT DEC 16 2006

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR INLAND SOUTHEAST
MISSISSIPPI... SOUTHWEST ALABAMA...THE WESTERN FLORIDA
PANHANDLE...AND ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

THE DENSE FOG OVER THE AREA HAS MIXED OUT AND IS NO LONGER A THREAT
OVER THE AREA.

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH THURSDAY.

AREAS OF DENSE FOG WILL BE POSSIBLE EACH NIGHT THROUGH EARLY MONDAY
MORNING.

OTHERWISE...NO HAZARDOUS OR SEVERE WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

ACTIVATION OF STORM SPOTTERS OR EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT PERSONNEL FOR
SEVERE WEATHER OPERATIONS WILL NOT BE REQUIRED THROUGH TONIGHT.