Wind Chill Advisory 1, NWS Melbourne, FL

000 
WWUS42 KMLB 062032
WSWMLB

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE FL
332 PM EST FRI JAN 6 2006

...WIND CHILLS IN THE UPPER 20S AND LOWER 30S LIKELY LATE TONIGHT...

.THE COLDEST AIR OF THE SEASON WILL REACH CENTRAL FLORIDA TONIGHT
AND COMBINED WITH 10 MPH WINDS...WILL MAKE IT FEEL UNUSUALLY COLD.

FLZ041-044>047-053-054-058-059-064-141-144-147-071400-
/O.CON.KMLB.WC.Y.0001.060107T0600Z-060107T1400Z/
INLAND VOLUSIA COUNTY-NORTHERN LAKE-ORANGE-SEMINOLE-
SOUTHERN BREVARD-OSCEOLA-INDIAN RIVER-OKEECHOBEE-ST. LUCIE-MARTIN-
COASTAL VOLUSIA-SOUTHERN LAKE-NORTHERN BREVARD-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...DE LAND...LEESBURG...ORLANDO...
SANFORD...MELBOURNE...PALM BAY...KISSIMMEE...ST CLOUD...
VERO BEACH...OKEECHOBEE...FORT PIERCE...HOBE SOUND...
DAYTONA BEACH...CLERMONT...TITUSVILLE
332 PM EST FRI JAN 6 2006

...WIND CHILL ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 1 AM TO 9 AM EST
SATURDAY...

THE COLDEST AIR OF THE SEASON WILL REACH CENTRAL FLORIDA TONIGHT
...WITH AIR TEMPERATURES FALLING INTO THE 30S AFTER MIDNIGHT.
THESE TEMPERATURES...COMBINED WITH 10 MPH WINDS...WILL MAKE IT
FEEL EVEN COLDER. WIND CHILL READINGS WILL LIKELY FALL INTO THE
LOWER 30S AFTER 1 AM...WITH MINIMUM WIND CHILLS REACHING THE LOWER
TO MIDDLE 20S NEAR THE OCALA FOREST...AND THE MIDDLE TO UPPER 20S
ACROSS THE REST OF EAST CENTRAL FLORIDA AROUND SUNRISE SATURDAY.

A WIND CHILL ADVISORY MEANS THAT VERY COLD AIR AND WINDS NEAR OR
ABOVE 10 MPH WILL COMBINE TO GENERATE LOW WIND CHILLS. THIS WILL
RESULT IN VERY UNCOMFORTABLE CONDITIONS FOR THOSE NOT USE TO THE
COLD OR ANYONE REMAINING OUTDOORS FOR LONG PERIODS OF TIME IF
PRECAUTIONS ARE NOT TAKEN.

IF YOU MUST VENTURE OUTDOORS TONIGHT...MAKE SURE YOU WEAR A HAT
AND GLOVES. BRING PETS INSIDE OVERNIGHT.

$$


TES

EAST CENTRAL FLORIDA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE FL
323 AM EST FRI JAN 6 2006

...FREEZING TEMPS NORTH INTERIOR WITH LOW WIND CHILLS ENTIRE AREA
SATURDAY MORNING...
...EVEN COLDER WITH FROST AND/OR FREEZING TEMPS POSSIBLE MANY AREAS
SUNDAY MORNING...

.DISCUSSION...STRONG COLD FRONT CURRENTLY DROPPING RADIDLY SOUTH
FROM NORTHERN CWA...MARKED BY GUSTY NW WIND SHIFT...FALLING
TEMPS...AND SIGNIFICANT DEWPOINT REDUCTION. NARROW BAND OF SPRINKLES
PRECEDES FRONT AND WILL MOVE SOUTH OF CWA DURING NEXT HOUR. AS
ADVERTIZED FOR SOME TIME...TODAY WILL FEATURE STRONG COLD AIR
ADVECTION ON BREEZY/WINDY NW TRAJECTORY. MAX TEMPS WILL BE 15 TO 20
DEGREES COOLER THAN THU AFTERNOON...OR ABOUT 10-12 DEGREES BELOW
NORMAL. CENTER OF COLD POOL ALOFT...MINUS 28C AT 500 MB...WILL SWING
DIRECTLY ACROSS CWA THIS AFTERNOON/EVENING...AND WILL LIKELY
GENERATE LARGE AREA OF CLOUDINESS AND PERIOD OF ENHANCED WIND GUSTS.
EXPECT CURRENT CLOUD COVER TO BREAK SOME INITIALLY THIS MORNING...
FOLLOWED BY RETURN TO CONSIDERABLE/MOSTLY CLOUD SKIES THIS
AFTERNOON.

TONIGHT...STRONG COLD AIR ADVECTION PATTERN CONTINUES...WITH SURFACE
WINDS EXPECTED TO REMAIN BIT HIGHER THAN GUIDANCE...DROPPING TO NEAR
10 MPH OVERNIGHT. AIRMASS SUPPORTS 30S FOR ENTIRE CWA BY DAYBREAK
SATURDAY...WITH COLDEST READINGS OF 30-32F ACROSS LAKE AND INTERIOR
VOLUSIA WHERE FREEZE WATCH WILL BE UPGRADED TO A WARNING. ADJACENT
RURAL AREAS OF SEMINOLE/ORNAGE COUNTIES MAY ALSO EXPERIENCE MINS
NEAR 32. FARTHER SOUTH...LOW/MID 30S EXPECTED...WITH ONLY SE COAST
PERHAPS REMAINING AS *WARM* AS THE UPPER 30S. WINDS WILL PROHIBIT
FROST FORMATION. WIND CHILLS SHOULD FALL BELOW 35 DEGREES ACROSS
ENTIRE CWA SHORTLY AFTER MIDNIGHT...REACHING THE UPPER 20S FOR
SEVERAL HOURS ACROSS MUCH OF EAST CENTRAL FLORIDA AROUND DAYBREAK
SATURDAY. THEREFORE...A WIND CHILL ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED FOR
ENTIRE CWA FOR LATE TONIGHT/EARLY SATURDAY.

SAT/SAT NIGHT...COOL HIGH PRESSURE WILL WORK OVER THE STATE FROM THE
GULF REGION WITH MOSTLY CLEAR SKIES AND DRY CONDITIONS. TEMPS WILL
REMAIN IN THE 50S ACROSS MOST OF THE AREA WITH VERY LOW DEWPOINT
READINGS IN THE AFTERNOON. EXPECT RAPIDLY FALLING TEMPERATURES AT
SUNSET SAT EVENING WITH THE COLDEST NIGHT IN NEARLY THREE YEARS
ACROSS THE SPACE COAST AND TREASURE COAST SOUTH TO LAKE OKEECHOBEE.
WITH CALM WINDS FROST DEVELOPMENT ACROSS A LARGE AREA IS ALSO
EXPECTED. MODEL GUID CONTINUES TO SUGGEST THE POSSIBILITY OF
FREEZING TEMPERATURES SOUTH TO LAKE OKEECHOBEE...ESPECIALLY IN LOW
LYING AND SHELTERED LOCATIONS. A FREEZE WATCH FOR SUNDAY MORNING
WILL LIKELY BE ISSUED FOR A LARGER PORTION OF THE AREA LATER TODAY.
UNTIL THEN...WILL HIGHLIGHT THREATS WITHIN HAZARDOUS WEATHER
OUTLOOK.

SUN...HIGH PRESSURE RIDGE AXIS EXTENDING FROM CENTRAL FL TO THE
ADJACENT ATLC WATERS WILL PROVIDE FOR SUNNY AND COOL CONDITIONS. A
WARMING TREND COMMENCES WITH HIGHS MAKING IT BACK TO THE MID/UPR 60S
IN THE AFTERNOON. OTHERWISE...NIL WEATHER.

MON-THU...THE SURFACE RIDGE ACROSS THE AREA WILL SLOWLY WEAKEN
THROUGH MIDWEEK WITH A ZONAL TENDENCY TO MID LATITUDE FLOW PATN. A
GENERAL INCREASE IN ONSHORE FLOW IS PROJECTED FROM AROUND TUE
ONWARD WITH MILD TEMPS AND NEUTRAL MOISTURE. TEMPS WILL RETURN TO
NEAR OR SLIGHTLY ABOVE NORMAL. VEERING FLOW BY THU SHOULD SUPPLY
ENUF LL MOISTURE TO MENTION PRECIP CHANCE IN AFTERNOON.

THANKS JAX/TBW/MFL FOR COORDINATION.

&&

.MARINE...FRONTAL WIND SHIFT CURRENTLY OCCURRING OVER NORTHERMOST
WATERS WILL SPREAD RAPIDLY SOUTH THROUGH REMAINDER OF THE AREA NEXT
SEVERAL HOURS. NW GRADIENT WILL INCREASE TO 20 KT NEARSHORE AND 25
KT OFFSHORE WITH HIGHER GUSTS...RESULTING IN RAPIDLY BUILDING SEAS
AWAY FROM IMMEDIATE COAST. SCA WILL BE EXPANDED TO INCLUDE NEARSHORE
WATERS. COLD AIR ADVECTION PATTERN WILL SUPPORT SCA WINDS INTO EARLY
SATURDAY. RELAXING GRADIENT WILL RETURN MUCH LIGHTER WINDS BY LATE
SATURDAY...ALTHOUGH SEAS WILL BE SLOW TO SUBSIDE...REACHING BELOW
SCA/SCEC LEVELS BY LATE IN THE WEEKEND.

&&

.AVIATION...ZONE OF BROKEN MVFR CLOUDS WILL CONTINUE TO PUSH
SOUTH...AFFECTING KVRB NEXT HOUR OR TWO. MAINLY VFR WITH PERIODS OF
SUNSHINE FIRST HALF OF DAY WILL LIKELY GIVE WAY TO MOSTLY CLOUDY
CONDITIONS NEAR 3KFT THIS AFTERNOON AS COLD POOL REACHES REGION.
TREND OF DECREASING CLOUDS ANTICIPATED BETWEEN SUNSET AND MIDNIGHT
AS MID LEVEL TROUGH PASSES. OTHER CONCERN TODAY WILL BE GUSTY NW
SURFACE WINDS...OCCASIONALLY REACHING 25KT THROUGH SUNSET.

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...SIGNIFICANT DRY INTRUSION BEHIND TODAYS FRONT.
ADVECTIVE FREEZE TONIGHT EXTREME NORTH WITH DRY SIR SURGING SOUTH
INTO SAT. A FIRE WATCH IS IN PLACE FOR SAT AT THIS TIME AND AN
UPGRADE TO WARNING WILL BE CONSIDERED LATER TODAY. LOW RHS ON
SUNDAY MAY REQUIRE A HEADLINE FOR LOW RH DURATION. A RETURN TO
ONSHORE FLOW ON MONDAY THROUGH THURSDAY WILL BEGIN TO MODERATE RHS
OVER THE AREA. NO RAIN IS IN THE FORECAST THROUGH WEDNESDAY.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
DAB  57  34  58  31  /   0   0   0   0
MCO  56  35  57  34  /   0   0   0   0
MLB  60  35  59  34  /   0   0   0   0
VRB  62  35  60  34  /   0   0   0   0

&&

.MLB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
 SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FLAGLER BEACH-JUPITER INLET.
 WIND CHILL ADVISORY TONIGHT FOR ALL ECFL COUNTIES.
 FREEZE WARNING TONIGHT LAKE AND INTERIOR VOLUSIA COUNTIES.
 FIRE WEATHER WATCH ALL COUNTIES SATURDAY AFTERNOON.

&&

SHORT TERM...SPRATT
LONG TERM....PENDERGRAST

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE FL
808 PM EST THU JAN 5 2006

AMZ550-555-570-575-FLZ041-044>047-053-054-058-059-064-141-144-147-
061030-
COASTAL WATERS FROM FLAGLER BEACH TO COCOA BEACH OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM COCOA BEACH TO JUPITER INLET OUT 20 NM-
WATERS FROM FLAGLER BEACH TO COCOA BEACH 20 TO 60 NM OFFSHORE-
WATERS FROM COCOA BEACH TO JUPITER INLET 20 TO 60 NM OFFSHORE-
INLAND VOLUSIA COUNTY-NORTHERN LAKE-ORANGE-SEMINOLE-
SOUTHERN BREVARD-OSCEOLA-INDIAN RIVER-OKEECHOBEE-ST. LUCIE-MARTIN-
COASTAL VOLUSIA-SOUTHERN LAKE-NORTHERN BREVARD-
808 PM EST THU JAN 5 2006

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR EAST CENTRAL FLORIDA.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT:

...WIND AND SEA IMPACT...
A STRONG COLD FRONT WILL SWEEP ACROSS THE COASTAL WATERS LATE
TONIGHT. WINDS WILL SHIFT TO NORTHWEST AND INCREASE RAPIDLY TO
BETWEEN 20 AND 25 KNOTS OVER THE OFFSHORE WATERS AND TO BETWEEN 15
AND 20 KNOTS WITHIN ABOUT 20 MILES OF THE COAST. SEAS WILL BUILD
TO 7 FEET OFFSHORE FRIDAY MORNING AND BETWEEN 3 AND 4 FEET CLOSER
TO THE COAST.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY:

...FREEZE WATCH IN EFFECT EARLY SATURDAY MORNING FOR LAKE AND
INTERIOR VOLUSIA COUNTIES...

...SUB FREEZING WIND CHILLS ACROSS ALL OF EAST CENTRAL FLORIDA
EARLY SATURDAY...

GUSTY NORTHWEST WINDS WILL USHER IN THE COLDEST AIR OF THE SEASON
INTO EAST CENTRAL FLORIDA FRIDAY NIGHT. FREEZING TEMPERATURES ARE
POSSIBLE NORTH OF ORLANDO SATURDAY MORNING. BUT COLD WIND CHILL
TEMPERATURES WILL BE EXPERIENCED EVERYWHERE...RANGING FROM THE MID
20S NORTH OF ORLANDO...TO THE LOWER 30S ALONG THE TREASURE COAST.

EVEN COLDER TEMPERATURES ARE LIKELY SUNDAY MORNING...BUT WINDS
WILL NOT BE A FACTOR. AS A RESULT...AREAS OF FROST AND
TEMPERATURES NEAR OR BELOW FREEZING CAN BE EXPECTED ACROSS MUCH
OF EAST CENTRAL FLORIDA. PLEASE MONITOR THE LATEST FORECASTS AND
STATEMENTS REGARDING THIS UPCOMING COLD WEATHER EVENT AND PLAN TO
TAKE NECESSARY PRECAUTIONS ESPECIALLY FOR PLANTS AND PETS.

A GRADUAL WARMING TREND WILL BEGIN SUNDAY NIGHT...MONDAY MORNING.

HAZARDOUS BOATING CONDITIONS WILL PERSIST THROUGH SATURDAY...WITH
DIMINISHING WINDS AND SUBSIDING SEAS BEGINNING SATURDAY NIGHT.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE NEEDED THROUGH FRIDAY.

KELLY