Severe Thunderstorm Warning 9, NWS Melbourne, FL

000 
WWUS52 KMLB 222259 RRA
SVSMLB

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE FL
659 PM EDT SAT APR 22 2006

FLC009-222345-
/O.CON.KMLB.SV.W.0009.000000T0000Z-060422T2345Z/
BREVARD FL-
659 PM EDT SAT APR 22 2006

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 745 PM EDT 
FOR NORTHERN BREVARD COUNTY...

AT 658 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR CONTINUED TO
INDICATE A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING QUARTER SIZE
HAIL...AND DAMAGING WINDS IN EXCESS OF 60 MPH.  THIS STORM WAS 
LOCATED 8 MILES WEST OF TITUSVILLE...MOVING SOUTHEAST AT 15 MPH.

OTHER LOCATIONS IN THE WARNING INCLUDE BUT ARE NOT LIMITED TO MIMS...
HAULOVER CANAL...TITUSVILLE...MERRITT ISLAND WILDLIFE REFUGE. 

DOPPLER RADAR HAS INDICATED SOME WEAK ROTATION WITHIN THIS STORM.
WHILE NOT IMMEDIATELY LIKELY...A TORNADO MAY STILL DEVELOP. IF A
TORNADO IS SPOTTED...ACT QUICKLY AND MOVE TO A PLACE OF SAFETY IN A
STURDY STRUCTURE...SUCH AS A SMALL INTERIOR ROOM.

LAT...LON 2877 8106 2862 8110 2846 8080 2844 8067
      2873 8065

$$


52

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE FL
245 PM EDT SAT APR 22 2006

.DISCUSSION...

SUN-TUE...
DEEP LYR NWRLY FLOW OVER THE LWR MS VALLEY WILL PUSH THE COLD FRONT
INTO THE S FL PENINSULA ON SUN WHERE IT WILL STALL AND WASH OUT.
MOST OF THE STORM ACTIVITY WILL PUSH INTO THE SRN PENINSULA AHEAD OF
THE FRONT.  HOWEVER...A WEAK SFC PGRAD DUE TO THE CLOSE PROXIMITY OF
THE FRONTAL TROF WILL ALLOW THE SEABREEZE TO FORM S OF THE CAPE.
THE SEABREEZE WOULD WORK ON ANY RESIDUAL MOISTURE THAT MAY POOL
WITHIN THE TROF...TRIGGERING A FEW TSRAS OVER THE SRN CWA SUN AFTN.
MINIMAL CHANCES...HOWEVER...AS MOST OF THE MOISTURE WILL HAVE BEEN
PUSHED INTO THE SRN PENINSULA BY THEN.  MINIMAL TEMP CHANGE AS THE
AIR MASS AS SFC DEWPOINTS IN THE 60S/L70S STATEWIDE INDICATE THE
AIRMASS NEAR THE SFC HAS ALREADY UNDERGONE SIGNIFICANT
MODIFICATION...READING TO CONTINUE AOA CLIMO INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK.

DLM RIDGE OVER THE SRN PLAINS WILL PUSH FAR ENOUGH EWD BY MON TO
PLACE THE CWA UNDER ITS SUPPRESSIVE INFLUENCE...WHILE NWRLY FLOW
AHEAD OF THE RIDGE WILL HAVE PUSHED ANY LINGERING MOISTURE INTO THE
SRN PENINSULA/FL STRAITS.

WED-SAT...
AT THE H25 LVL...A LIFTING 80KT JET OVER THE DESERT SW WILL COMBINE
WITH A DIGGING 90KT JET OVER THE CENTRAL PLAINS TO INDUCE A NEW SFC
LOW OUT OF THE BROAD TROF THAT CURRENTLY BLANKETS THE WRN HALF OF
THE CONUS.  THIS NEW SFC LOW WILL PUSH E UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF A
STRONG ZONAL WIND COMPONENT OVER THE SRN TIER STATES...BRINGING THE
NEXT COLD FRONT TO THE FL PENINSULA AROUND THE THU TIMEFRAME.
EXTENDED PD OF CLOUDINESS EXPECTED THU/FRI AS FRONT PUSHES UP
AGAINST THE ATLC RIDGE...WHILE THE CONTINENTAL RIDGE BEHIND THE
FRONT PUSHES COOLER AIR INTO THE GOMEX/SW ATLC REGION.  EXPECT TEMPS
NEAR OR SLIGHTLY BLO CLIMO TO END THE WEEK.  HOWEVER...FRONTS OFTEN
WASHOUT THIS TIME OF YEAR AS THEY PUSH INTO THE PENINSULA DUE TO THE
STRONG MODIFYING EFFECTS OF THE GOMEX/SW ATLC. PREFER NOT TO DEVIATE
TOO MUCH FROM THE PREVIOUS FCST WRT MINIMAL POPS THU/FRI.

&&

.MARINE...
WINDS/SEAS EXPECTED TO REMAIN BLO THE NEED FOR ANY HIGHLIGHTS THRU
THE UPCOMING WEEK.  OFFSHORE FLOW DEVELOPING WED NIGHT INTO THU WITH
THE ANTICIPATED FROPA WILL GENERATE CHOPPY SEAS OVER THE OPEN ATLC
WATERS.

&&

.AVIATION...
OCNL IFR SHRA/TSRA THRU 23/00Z...ISOLD MVFR SHRAS 23/00Z-04Z...MVFR
CIGS BTWN FL020-030 AFT 23/08Z.

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...
MIN RH VALUES EXPECTED TO REMAIN ABV CRITICAL LVLS THRU MUCH OF THE
UPCOMING WEEK.  MON APPEARS TO BE THE DRIEST DAY IN THE WAKE OF THE
COLD FRONT...COULD SEE SOME READINGS OVER THE INTERIOR FALL BLO 40%
FOR A FEW HRS.  HOWEVER...ATTM CONFIDENCE IN NOT HIGH THAT RFW
CONDITIONS WILL BE MET.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
DAB  64  85  61  86 /  50  10   0   0
MCO  65  90  64  91 /  50  10   0   0
MLB  64  85  65  85 /  50  20   0   0
VRB  65  83  65  84 /  40  20   0   0

&&

.MLB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...NONE.

&&

SHORT TERM...KELLY
LONG TERM....BRAGAW

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE FL
500 AM EDT SAT APR 22 2006

AMZ550-555-570-575-FLZ041-044>047-053-054-058-059-064-141-144-147-
230900-
COASTAL VOLUSIA-COCOA BEACH TO JUPITER INLET 20 NM TO 60 NM OFFSHORE-
COCOA BEACH TO JUPITER INLET OUT TO 20 NM-
FLAGLER BEACH TO COCOA BEACH 20 NM TO 60 NM OFFSHORE-
FLAGLER BEACH TO COCOA BEACH OUT TO 20 NM-INDIAN RIVER-
INLAND VOLUSIA-MARTIN-NORTHERN BREVARD-NORTHERN LAKE-OKEECHOBEE-
ORANGE-OSCEOLA-SEMINOLE-SOUTHERN BREVARD-SOUTHERN LAKE-ST. LUCIE-
500 AM EDT SAT APR 22 2006

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR EAST CENTRAL FLORIDA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

...THUNDERSTORM IMPACT...
A FRONTAL BOUNDARY WILL MOVE INTO NORTHERN FLORIDA THIS AFTERNOON.
CONDITIONS ACROSS THE AREA WILL BECOME INCREASINGLY MOIST AND
UNSTABLE AHEAD OF THIS FRONT. ISOLATED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL
INITIALLY DEVELOP ALONG A LINE STRETCHING FROM LAKE OKEECHOBEE
THROUGH ORLANDO AND TOWARDS LAKE GEORGE THIS AFTERNOON. THE STORMS
BECOME MORE WIDESPREAD LATE THIS AFTERNOON BEFORE SLIDING DOWN THE
SPACE AND TREASURE COASTS EARLY THIS EVENING. THE STRONGEST STORMS
WILL BE CAPABLE OF PRODUCING HEAVY RAIN...FREQUENT LIGHTNING...WIND
GUSTS IN EXCESS OF 50 MPH AND COIN-SIZED HAIL. CONDITIONS WILL ALSO
BE CONDUCIVE FOR AN ISOLATED FUNNEL CLOUD OR TORNADO LATE THIS
AFTERNOON ALONG THE COASTAL COUNTIES.

...RIP CURRENT IMPACT...
SOUTHEASTERLY WINDS AROUND 15 MPH WILL PRODUCE A STRONG LONGSHORE
CURRENT AT THE BEACHES TODAY. A LONGSHORE CURRENT FLOWS PARALLEL TO
THE BEACH AND CAN BE STRONG ENOUGH TO KNOCK YOU OFF THE SANDBAR INTO
DEEP WATER. REMEMBER TO ALWAYS SWIM NEAR A LIFEGUARD.

...MARINE THUNDERSTORM GUST IMPACT...
LIGHTNING STORMS THAT DEVELOP OVER THE MAINLAND WILL LIKELY TRACK
EASTWARD ACROSS THE INTRACOASTAL AND NEARSHORE ATLANTIC WATERS.
MARINERS ARE URGED TO BE ALERT FOR STORMS PRODUCING FREQUENT AND
DANGEROUS LIGHTNING AND STRONG WIND GUSTS IN EXCESS OF 35 KNOTS.

...WIND AND SEA IMPACT...
SOUTH TO SOUTHEASTERLY WINDS WILL PEAK BETWEEN 15 AND 20 KNOTS...
MAINLY BEYOND 20 NAUTICAL MILES OFFSHORE. SMALL CRAFT ARE URGED TO
EXERCISE CAUTION IN THESE AREAS.

...FIRE WEATHER IMPACT...
VERY DRY GROUND CONDITIONS PERSIST ACROSS THE AREA. LIGHTNING STRIKES
FROM STORMS LATE THIS AFTERNOON HAVE THE POTENTIAL TO SPARK NEW
WILDFIRES.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY
THE WEAKENING FRONTAL BOUNDARY MAY TRIGGER A FEW THUNDERSTORMS NEAR
LAKE OKEECHOBEE AND THE TREASURE COAST SUNDAY. DRIER CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED EARLY NEXT WEEK AS A RIDGE BUILDS ACROSS THE STATE.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
SPOTTERS ARE REQUESTED TO MONITOR THE WEATHER AND SELF ACTIVATE
IF NEEDED.

HIRSCH

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE FL
514 PM EDT SAT APR 22 2006

FLZ054-222200-
INDIAN RIVER-
514 PM EDT SAT APR 22 2006

...STRONG STORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING WINDS UP TO 50 MPH AND SMALL
HAIL NORTHERN INDIAN RIVER COUNTY...

AT 509 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
STORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING STRONG WINDS AND SMALL HAIL 14 MILES WEST
OF FELLSMERE...MOVING EAST AT 30 MPH.

LOCATIONS IN THE PATH OF THE STORM WHICH MAY EXPERIENCE STRONG WINDS
AND SMALL HAIL INCLUDE SEBASTIAN INLET RECREATIO.

IF THE STORM STRENGTHENS FURTHER...A WARNING WILL BE ISSUED.

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE FL
549 PM EDT SAT APR 22 2006

FLZ054-222245-
INDIAN RIVER-
549 PM EDT SAT APR 22 2006

...STRONG STORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING WINDS UP TO 50 MPH AND SMALL
HAIL SOUTHERN INDIAN RIVER COUNTY...

AT 548 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
STORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING STRONG WINDS AND SMALL HAIL 17 MILES WEST
OF VERO BEACH SOUTH...MOVING SOUTHEAST AT 10 MPH.

A WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR NORTHERN INDIAN RIVER COUNTY UNTIL 630
PM. IF THIS STORM CONTINUES ON ITS SOUTHEAST TRACK UNDER ITS CURRENT
INTENSITY...A WARNING MAY BE ISSUED FOR SOUTHERN INDIAN RIVER COUNTY.

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE FL
558 PM EDT SAT APR 22 2006

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0540 PM     TSTM WND GST     BLUE CYPRESS LAKE       27.73N 80.75W
04/22/2006  M56 MPH          INDIAN RIVER       FL   PUBLIC

&&

FXD

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE FL
621 PM EDT SAT APR 22 2006

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0545 PM     HAIL             3 N EDGEWATER           29.01N 80.90W
04/22/2006  E0.75 INCH       VOLUSIA            FL   PUBLIC

            HAIL CAME DOWN SO INTENSE HAD TO PULL OFF US1. MINOR
            DAMAGE TO VEHICLES.

&&

FXD

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE FL
623 PM EDT SAT APR 22 2006

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0540 PM     TSTM WND GST     BLUE CYPRESS LAKE       27.73N 80.75W
04/22/2006  M60.00 MPH       INDIAN RIVER       FL   PUBLIC

&&

FXD

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE FL
632 PM EDT SAT APR 22 2006

FLZ045-046-147-222315-
NORTHERN BREVARD COUNTY-ORANGE-SEMINOLE-
632 PM EDT SAT APR 22 2006

...STRONG STORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING WINDS UP TO 50 MPH AND SMALL
HAIL OVER SOUTHEASTERN SEMINOLE COUNTY...

AT 630 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
STORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING STRONG WINDS AND SMALL HAIL BETWEEN
GENEVA AND CHULUOTA...MOVING SOUTHEAST AT 15 MPH. THE STORM WILL
APPROACH EASTERN ORANGE AND NORTHWESTERN BREVARD COUNTY.

IF THE STORM STRENGTHENS FURTHER...A WARNING WILL BE ISSUED.

52