Severe Thunderstorm Warning 27, NWS Melbourne, FL

000 
WWUS52 KMLB 130958
SVSMLB

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE FL
554 AM EDT TUE JUN 13 2006

FLC095-131004-
/O.CAN.KMLB.SV.W.0027.000000T0000Z-060613T1015Z/
ORANGE FL-
554 AM EDT TUE JUN 13 2006

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR CENTRAL ORANGE COUNTY IS
CANCELLED...

AT 554 AM EDT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RADAR INDICATED THAT THE 
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM HAD WEAKENED BELOW SEVERE LEVELS AND EXITED THE 
WARNED AREA AND WAS NO LONGER CAPABLE OF PRODUCING DAMAGING 
DOWNBURST WINDS...THUS THE WARNING HAS BEEN CANCELLED.

ORLANDO INTERNATIONAL AIRPORT RECORDED A WIND GUST OF 53 MPH AT 527 
AM. 

RADAR INDICATED THAT VERY HEAVY RAIN AND GUSTY WINDS WERE STILL 
POSSIBLE FROM THIS RAINBAND ASSOCIATED WITH TROPICAL STORM ALBERTO 
AS IT PUSHES ACROSS EASTERN ORANGE COUNTY.  STAY TUNED TO NOAA 
WEATHER RADIO OR LOCAL MEDIA OUTLETS FOR THE LATEST SEVERE WEATHER 
INFORMATION.

A TORNADO WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 800 AM EDT.

LAT...LON 2838 8144 2831 8125 2853 8115 2858 8137

$$

KELLY

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE FL
500 AM EDT TUE JUN 13 2006

...TROPICAL STORM ALBERTO FORECAST TO MAKE LANDFALL IN THE FLORIDA
BIG BEND LATER THIS MORNING...

...HEAVY RAIN AND SQUALLS MOVING THROUGH EAST CENTRAL FLORIDA TODAY...

.DISCUSSION...

TODAY/TONIGHT...BANDS OF SHOWERS/SQUALLS TO THE EAST OF ALBERTO
LIFTING THROUGH EC FL EARLY THIS MORNING. A FEW STORMS HAVE BEEN
SHOWING ROTATION...AND NORTHERN HALF OF EC FL REMAINS IN A TOR WATCH
UNTIL 8 AM EDT...AFTER WHICH TIME THE TOR POTENTIAL WILL BE WANING
AS LOW LEVEL SHEAR VALUES DECREASE. UPPER LEVEL JET AND SOME DRIER
AIR WRAPPING AROUND ALBERTO COULD LEAD TO A TEMPORARY LULL IN
CONVECTIVE ACTIVITY AFTER EARLY MORNING SQUALLS ROTATE THROUGH...BUT
MAY HELP A DAYTIME ORGANIZED SQUALL LINE TO DEVELOP AND MOVE ACROSS
THE PENINSULA. POPS REMAIN VERY HIGH WITH MENTION OF HEAVY DOWNPOURS
AND GUSTY WINDS WITH STORMS. ACTIVITY SHOULD WIND DOWN BY EARLY
EVENING WITH ALBERTO ACCELERATING NELY THROUGH GA.

WEDNESDAY-FRIDAY...THE REMAINS OF ALBERTO EXIT THE SOUTHEAST U.S.
COAST EARLY WEDNESDAY INTO THE WESTERN ATLANTIC CONTINUING ON A
NORTHEAST TRACK. A FRONTAL BOUNDARY WILL BE SITUATED ACROSS THE
NORTHERN PENINSULA AND DEEP MOIST TROPICAL AIR WILL BE LOCATED SOUTH
OF THIS BOUNDARY. MID-LVL TROUGHING WILL AID IN CONVECTION CHANCES
THROUGH THURSDAY. ON FRIDAY SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE WILL DROP OUT OF
THE OHIO VALLEY INTO THE SOUTHEAST U.S. AS DRIER AIR MOVES SOUTH
ACROSS THE PENINSULA. ONSHORE WIND COMPONENT WILL DEVELOP FRIDAY
AFTN AND WITH RESIDUAL MOISTURE AROUND WILL BE ADEQUATE TO PRODUCE
SOME AFTN SHRA/TSRA ACTIVITY. TEMPERATURES WILL SLOWLY CLIMB BACK
INTO THE UPPER 80S ALONG THE COAST WHILE LOWER 90S WILL BE FELT
THU/FRI ACROSS THE INTERIOR. LOWS WILL BE IN THE LOWER/MID 70S.

SATURDAY-MONDAY...THE SURFACE HIGH WILL TAKE UP RESIDENCY OFF THE
COAST OF THE CAROLINAS AS A RIDGE EXTENDS EASTWARD ACROSS SOUTHERN
GA AND NORTHERN FL. MID-LVL RIDGING WILL BUILD OVER THE SOUTHEAST
U.S. THROUGH THIS TIME PERIOD. LATEST MEDIUM RANGE MODEL RUNS ARE TO
TREND TOWARDS DRIER CONDITIONS IN THE EXTENDED. FOR NOW WILL KEEP
SCHC TO LOW END CHC POPS IN THE FCST THROUGH THE EXTENDED WITH BEST
CHCS ACROSS OUR SOUTHERN CWA. THE WIND COMPONENT WILL BE MAINLY
ONSHORE DURING THIS PERIOD. TEMPERATURES WILL BE MAINLY UPPER 80S
ALONG THE COAST AND INTO THE LOWER 90S INLAND. LOWS WILL RANGE FROM
THE UPPER 60S TO MID 70S.

&&

.MARINE...WINDS AND SEAS CONTINUE TO INCREASE OVER THE LOCAL WATERS
TODAY AS ALBERTO MOVES ONSHORE THE BIG BEND LATER THIS MORNING.

SOUTH-SOUTHWESTERLY WINDS WILL SLOWLY DECREASE FROM BETWEEN 15-20
KTS THROUGH THE DAY WEDNESDAY AS THE REMNANTS OF ALBERTO MOVE AWAY
FROM THE EAST COAST. SEAS WILL ALSO GRADUALLY SUBSIDE INTO THE LATE
AFTN. A WEAK FRONTAL BOUNDARY WILL SAG SOUTH ACROSS ECFL ON
THURSDAY. HIGH PRESSURE WILL SLIDE DOWN THE EAST COAST ON FRIDAY
INTO THE WEEKEND TURNING THE FLOW ONSHORE WITH CONTINUED SMALL
CHANCES FOR SHRA/TSRA.

&&

.AVIATION...LLWS INDICATED IN THE TAFS THROUGH 13Z WITH WINDS NR
40KT AT 15KFT. OCNL REDUCED VSBY/CIGS IN SHRA/SQUALLS AND POTENTIAL
FOR TSRA THIS AFTERNOON...THEN ACTIVITY GRADUALLY DECREASING THIS
EVE.

&&

.HYDROLOGY...RADAR RAINFALL ESTIMATES INDICATE THE HEAVIEST RAIN
AMOUNTS HAVE FALLEN OVER THE NORTHERN SECTIONS OF EC FL WITH 2-3
INCHES IN SPOTS. RAINFALL TOTALS TODAY AGAIN EXPECTED TO BE HIGHEST
OVER THE NORTH...SO EVENT TOTAL AMOUNTS OF 3-5 INCHES NORTH AND 1-3
SOUTH REASONABLE. FLOODING PROBLEMS LIMITED TO TEMPORARY INUNDATIONS
OF RAINFALL PONDING...ESPECIALLY STREETS AND LOW LYING AREAS.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
DAB  84  74  88  73 / 100  60  50  30
MCO  83  75  91  74 / 100  60  50  30
MLB  84  76  89  72 / 100  50  50  30
VRB  84  75  90  74 /  90  50  60  30

&&

.MLB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
...TORNADO WATCH 473 IN EFFECT FOR LAKE...ORANGE...SEMINOLE...
   VOLUSIA...BREVARD AND OSCEOLA COUNTIES UNTIL 8 AM EDT.
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FLAGLER BEACH-JUPITER INLET THROUGH
   THIS EVENING.

&&

SHORT TERM...GLITTO/DECKER
LONG TERM....SEDLOCK

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE FL
116 PM EDT MON JUN 12 2006

AMZ550-555-570-575-FLZ041-044>047-053-054-058-059-064-141-144-147-
130530-
COASTAL WATERS FROM FLAGLER BEACH TO COCOA BEACH OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM COCOA BEACH TO JUPITER INLET OUT 20 NM-
WATERS FROM FLAGLER BEACH TO COCOA BEACH 20 TO 60 NM OFFSHORE-
WATERS FROM COCOA BEACH TO JUPITER INLET 20 TO 60 NM OFFSHORE-
INLAND VOLUSIA-NORTHERN LAKE-ORANGE-SEMINOLE-SOUTHERN BREVARD-
OSCEOLA-INDIAN RIVER-OKEECHOBEE-ST. LUCIE-MARTIN-COASTAL VOLUSIA-
SOUTHERN LAKE-NORTHERN BREVARD-
116 PM EDT MON JUN 12 2006

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR EAST CENTRAL FLORIDA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY THROUGH TUESDAY...

FOR THE LATEST INFORMATION REGARDING WEATHER HAZARDS ASSOCIATED
WITH TROPICAL CYCLONE ALBERTO...PLEASE REFER TO THE HURRICANE
LOCAL STATEMENT.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTERS ARE REQUESTED TO MONITOR THE WEATHER AND SELF ACTIVATE
IF NEEDED.

99